Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 134.115677 153.041998 174.071735 199.238818 228.626398 261.962059 302.787798
2025-11-23 106.505735 130.833967 160.233100 198.635642 247.853613 309.323611 392.701582
2025-11-30 91.601953 118.496658 152.986457 200.974939 266.831878 355.230587 484.892551
2025-12-07 78.060426 105.053902 141.291384 194.260703 270.999769 380.152049 550.839914
2025-12-14 69.202461 96.343181 134.243636 192.076739 279.960732 411.603573 629.755904
2025-12-21 63.417473 91.026878 130.983378 194.398758 295.115193 453.457886 730.688654
2025-12-28 60.068732 88.734752 131.645547 202.355087 319.539868 512.669903 869.681867
2026-01-04 56.478992 85.601929 130.538001 207.144020 339.134602 566.342163 1008.221712
2026-01-11 52.009577 80.594640 125.874517 205.391780 347.171092 600.855474 1117.274332
2026-01-18 49.366439 78.210138 125.117905 209.998327 366.703714 658.449341 1281.159725
2026-01-25 46.079935 74.435598 121.631530 209.333319 376.367616 698.674143 1416.967812
2026-02-01 43.683336 71.922788 120.011062 211.755995 392.005688 752.565787 1592.172597
2026-02-08 40.745221 68.481841 116.897929 211.962255 405.224732 807.565071 1791.734337
2026-02-15 37.926862 65.025581 113.476691 211.315544 417.011914 862.538809 2007.535096
2026-02-22 35.842882 62.673470 111.801123 213.825545 435.698420 935.993411 2288.727256
2026-03-01 32.781462 58.230025 105.726590 206.622185 432.158852 957.777329 2440.112038
2026-03-08 30.613234 55.268466 102.203092 204.279637 439.118004 1005.790674 2677.228532
2026-03-15 29.184249 53.589717 101.021376 206.770274 457.600659 1085.811643 3030.877071
2026-03-22 28.486168 53.267961 102.516735 215.306528 491.896209 1213.571422 3572.057514
2026-03-29 27.497579 52.273191 102.516981 220.446098 518.641750 1326.847064 4105.771029
2026-04-05 25.955918 50.021207 99.653710 218.565427 527.105553 1390.764866 4492.640681
2026-04-12 25.115165 49.147046 99.657226 223.509946 554.427818 1515.567310 5146.110158
2026-04-19 23.881006 47.342875 97.455673 222.796081 566.246527 1596.260967 5662.987727