Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 159.615520 185.182932 214.874319 252.230675 298.440746 354.347211 4.280603e+02
2025-06-15 128.184018 160.887562 203.092866 262.845253 347.463573 466.610650 6.540751e+02
2025-06-22 103.666024 136.328433 181.263355 249.809838 355.992272 522.274187 8.209798e+02
2025-06-29 90.206707 123.114165 170.784702 248.164158 377.664144 600.805898 1.055496e+03
2025-07-06 80.501914 113.266937 162.811438 247.603559 399.479221 685.027357 1.341884e+03
2025-07-13 76.261113 110.677773 165.069596 263.498558 453.285930 847.008987 1.893746e+03
2025-07-20 73.374724 109.621408 169.350673 283.444205 520.250030 1064.528307 2.763931e+03
2025-07-27 68.105600 103.938306 164.844446 286.046691 552.435305 1217.549890 3.602331e+03
2025-08-03 64.288057 100.162840 163.021807 293.323391 596.968384 1424.495272 4.891290e+03
2025-08-10 59.955516 94.979683 157.878495 292.721887 622.820253 1593.730890 6.292565e+03
2025-08-17 56.633543 91.204232 154.829145 295.939646 659.371833 1818.700205 8.427415e+03
2025-08-24 53.256675 86.975997 150.352528 295.123195 685.151762 2025.265069 1.099228e+04
2025-08-31 49.351672 81.724658 143.858858 290.083305 702.692264 2236.630804 1.455466e+04
2025-09-07 47.455549 80.093926 144.576351 302.799728 779.926618 2775.259809 2.441760e+04
2025-09-14 43.325530 73.762077 134.700055 287.165353 761.679272 2864.589200 2.970695e+04
2025-09-21 40.772348 70.266161 130.433370 285.194727 789.333898 3224.853345 4.369417e+04
2025-09-28 38.585287 67.286074 126.913180 284.523602 821.990872 3662.292167 6.781947e+04
2025-10-05 37.978766 67.415151 130.285027 303.583781 938.751032 4832.334691 1.658519e+05
2025-10-12 37.644502 68.059009 134.916325 327.590695 1091.766102 6662.634097 5.962258e+05
2025-10-19 36.069409 65.940055 132.765871 330.730216 1156.299344 7920.949366 1.728486e+06
2025-10-26 34.922956 64.633058 132.410516 339.517031 1254.539506 9892.823236 1.091796e+07
2025-11-02 33.379572 62.330753 129.326367 338.790226 1305.436370 11517.344628 1.396304e+08
2025-11-09 32.175373 60.678719 127.693031 342.679276 1385.545147 13998.469291 NaN