Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 164.630647 191.271539 222.267488 261.344756 309.793493 368.553156 4.462428e+02
2025-06-15 131.865144 165.863919 209.869062 272.378929 361.253458 486.969547 6.858742e+02
2025-06-22 106.161982 140.039216 186.843083 258.600447 370.444142 546.907225 8.669666e+02
2025-06-29 92.125000 126.201093 175.822490 256.882863 393.641392 631.704297 1.123562e+03
2025-07-06 82.041651 115.918075 167.448111 256.295058 416.980066 722.946682 1.439669e+03
2025-07-13 77.639252 113.207398 169.798172 273.091937 474.578319 899.236110 2.055769e+03
2025-07-20 74.610897 112.036756 174.165917 293.997603 546.072306 1136.637944 3.039117e+03
2025-07-27 69.192126 106.166593 169.510539 296.896569 581.088483 1306.471895 4.008697e+03
2025-08-03 65.254313 102.243443 167.596825 304.610178 629.193600 1536.360964 5.518555e+03
2025-08-10 60.812022 96.901321 162.278572 304.123977 657.594352 1726.894673 7.196946e+03
2025-08-17 57.406720 93.010064 159.131312 307.646702 697.565780 1981.060480 9.800078e+03
2025-08-24 54.027465 88.803693 154.802541 307.645196 728.241634 2225.997883 1.309412e+04
2025-08-31 50.032588 83.400998 148.089752 302.527446 748.281870 2472.107189 1.771988e+04
2025-09-07 48.043989 81.634357 148.683478 315.694663 831.721952 3088.028541 3.079252e+04
2025-09-14 43.800582 75.073186 138.333474 299.029332 811.767239 3192.709887 3.812474e+04
2025-09-21 41.181960 71.457693 133.873384 296.956130 842.317799 3614.809809 5.821142e+04
2025-09-28 38.940171 68.376138 130.190344 296.247010 878.346093 4130.556611 9.481582e+04
2025-10-05 38.315142 68.501717 133.701347 316.544664 1007.273318 5525.654214 2.616691e+05
2025-10-12 37.954060 69.126330 138.451329 341.907584 1175.943181 7737.948336 1.200323e+06
2025-10-19 36.352299 66.958355 136.250692 345.433133 1248.828510 9306.121569 4.825612e+06
2025-10-26 35.179234 65.606606 135.872202 354.823821 1358.767333 11786.029773 8.689049e+07
2025-11-02 33.611733 63.251766 132.697863 354.231491 1417.062299 13883.879989 3.986400e+14
2025-11-09 32.387863 61.560740 131.022385 358.524434 1508.135682 17129.803186 NaN