Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 146.266559 169.419490 196.344302 230.289166 272.399837 323.538881 3.913012e+02
2025-05-25 115.093293 143.754251 180.708906 233.042177 307.294386 412.267101 5.786139e+02
2025-06-01 97.031004 127.128934 168.622877 232.209087 331.512329 489.059067 7.780558e+02
2025-06-08 84.045948 114.048304 157.527493 228.331118 347.729623 556.390393 9.925781e+02
2025-06-15 77.469448 108.608891 155.908771 237.603611 386.379357 674.051695 1.369529e+03
2025-06-22 67.989476 97.334141 143.288796 225.821091 384.220754 713.263587 1.600459e+03
2025-06-29 62.231854 90.996341 137.466286 224.378382 400.757242 797.169517 2.009892e+03
2025-07-06 57.592759 85.830880 132.756925 223.871652 418.798319 891.973179 2.541718e+03
2025-07-13 55.894002 85.228020 135.675231 238.272916 472.975891 1103.661003 3.749312e+03
2025-07-20 54.780831 85.434743 139.980401 256.260587 541.583482 1398.612041 5.885325e+03
2025-07-27 51.829405 82.097872 137.250384 258.810597 572.688670 1598.575421 8.051665e+03
2025-08-03 49.673982 79.946565 136.473421 265.493112 617.345514 1880.810351 1.181811e+04
2025-08-10 46.210493 75.369753 130.952197 261.662547 635.562704 2097.988611 1.648079e+04
2025-08-17 43.722989 72.412273 128.418838 264.824583 678.038410 2476.589625 2.667782e+04
2025-08-24 41.152860 69.028341 124.543503 263.837287 707.354454 2834.587965 4.247973e+04
2025-08-31 38.573093 65.379504 119.651604 259.251636 723.002770 3146.922430 6.601455e+04
2025-09-07 37.439806 64.451116 120.502827 270.223078 801.488244 3996.247131 1.638523e+05
2025-09-14 34.635560 59.944007 112.913271 256.285813 777.171160 4077.655971 2.262339e+05
2025-09-21 32.927121 57.523587 109.781504 254.581923 803.407814 4634.703422 5.028258e+05
2025-09-28 31.441086 55.437842 107.186631 253.983596 834.955549 5331.651433 1.505065e+06
2025-10-05 31.123248 55.740624 110.187795 271.015929 958.055683 7416.176901 9.521716e+07
2025-10-12 30.990947 56.417599 114.176028 292.368891 1121.151158 10993.777796 NaN
2025-10-19 29.905246 54.945848 112.697706 295.402875 1189.249814 13596.154403 NaN