Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 130.034143 148.190434 168.276105 192.196264 219.974517 251.296294 289.400657
2025-12-28 107.817166 132.334906 161.793801 200.008626 248.576754 308.647043 389.194130
2026-01-04 93.418502 120.839027 155.783361 204.009552 269.505390 356.309615 481.654050
2026-01-11 81.383800 109.708473 147.526296 202.371708 280.971497 391.222783 560.554777
2026-01-18 74.285052 103.811031 144.876069 207.104517 300.678737 438.841389 663.371653
2026-01-25 67.162532 96.802799 139.503443 206.728731 312.172060 475.092537 753.595034
2026-02-01 61.957615 91.855433 136.338972 208.884997 327.231803 518.056967 860.303294
2026-02-08 56.130540 85.282536 129.894503 204.940147 331.695572 544.006334 941.617217
2026-02-15 52.369076 81.474149 127.245483 206.603835 345.297146 586.512907 1058.183361
2026-02-22 49.174367 78.218363 125.078098 208.676784 359.600414 631.722045 1186.492826
2026-03-01 45.017980 72.988997 119.128135 203.511462 360.240277 651.946711 1269.094450
2026-03-08 41.774247 68.989551 114.853535 200.782844 364.873810 679.967397 1371.520493
2026-03-15 39.271301 66.312109 113.076296 203.300249 381.537586 737.203264 1554.202836
2026-03-22 37.807037 65.345926 114.287795 211.697007 411.227948 826.194945 1827.827128
2026-03-29 35.901642 63.380310 113.442961 215.964816 433.107172 902.406142 2089.139611
2026-04-05 33.429138 60.121990 109.827533 214.219819 442.005323 951.584428 2295.615581
2026-04-12 32.013754 58.706696 109.565682 219.263379 466.310746 1039.738265 2622.478588
2026-04-19 30.122369 56.194944 106.891492 218.862890 478.270194 1100.742181 2891.373436
2026-04-26 28.685316 54.440366 105.549576 221.160980 496.789995 1180.987696 3234.657637
2026-05-03 26.742626 51.503305 101.503884 216.956800 499.120037 1220.511364 3468.147563
2026-05-10 25.521667 49.931198 100.155851 218.729784 516.427749 1302.455602 3854.172337
2026-05-17 24.433386 48.539332 99.055018 220.939065 535.169881 1391.769594 4289.136548
2026-05-24 22.799230 45.862875 94.923778 215.434342 533.004776 1421.981151 4534.024735