Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-15 80.775400 91.340411 102.918841 116.574395 132.270939 149.785258 170.859172
2026-02-22 66.510191 80.687398 97.479776 118.935678 145.762476 178.379085 221.315120
2026-03-01 55.754699 71.111562 90.343054 116.388912 151.038274 195.959493 259.275277
2026-03-08 48.393526 64.238030 84.986674 114.445990 155.679661 212.058630 296.215689
2026-03-15 43.163704 59.278564 81.203313 113.627663 161.065672 229.034701 335.801152
2026-03-22 40.413052 57.260669 81.003688 117.471839 173.083706 256.363241 393.701238
2026-03-29 38.066553 55.478710 80.813404 121.095755 184.912619 284.478008 456.329835
2026-04-05 34.945348 52.192299 77.994363 120.283277 189.573703 301.692227 503.287434
2026-04-12 32.657692 49.915629 76.422786 121.140372 196.812792 323.639589 560.930458
2026-04-19 30.168866 47.077450 73.670510 119.720907 199.970918 338.871002 608.464156
2026-04-26 27.934304 44.438089 70.973525 118.062323 202.421498 352.953622 655.528489
2026-05-03 26.054956 42.212746 68.742849 116.936255 205.597434 368.534820 707.385673
2026-05-10 24.481233 40.490449 67.409008 117.627685 212.865574 393.926045 785.631832
2026-05-17 23.293125 39.336811 66.970533 119.940009 223.569450 427.588842 887.443866
2026-05-24 21.477196 36.921770 64.077777 117.360781 224.449516 441.793719 949.639466
2026-05-31 19.943878 34.875960 61.656126 115.398832 226.270482 458.071448 1019.193535
2026-06-07 18.718238 33.283997 59.919819 114.572816 230.277350 479.438578 1104.357715
2026-06-14 18.199267 32.954164 60.513406 118.452558 244.656425 525.464422 1258.166636
2026-06-21 17.683927 32.583100 60.983912 122.110132 258.985987 573.422883 1426.425603
2026-06-28 16.704481 31.234889 59.414835 121.290097 263.157919 598.142481 1538.055414
2026-07-05 15.983965 30.337573 58.667563 122.155163 271.293520 633.567539 1686.272705
2026-07-12 15.089288 29.023429 56.960041 120.722499 273.813685 655.349277 1799.958879
2026-07-19 14.242417 27.744355 55.222630 119.048516 275.545407 675.355647 1912.578283