Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 192.094369 221.888189 255.724881 297.193189 346.908048 404.920987 478.218599
2025-09-28 151.416768 189.116388 236.159910 299.919546 385.229059 497.088871 657.641376
2025-10-05 134.660923 177.793013 235.394977 319.512383 441.895470 617.800077 898.001197
2025-10-12 122.075249 168.429127 233.793054 335.257777 493.612366 739.910942 1170.207587
2025-10-19 108.069176 154.351471 222.488797 333.600356 517.309467 822.629157 1400.294445
2025-10-26 99.733300 147.061484 219.585735 343.477345 559.972260 943.886074 1730.681706
2025-11-02 91.864530 139.261401 214.479078 348.375817 594.306610 1057.137633 2079.599936
2025-11-09 85.464831 132.877467 210.580990 354.308569 631.007296 1182.341877 2493.540243
2025-11-16 78.897422 125.389360 203.755641 353.700754 654.775642 1286.650009 2895.993164
2025-11-23 73.115178 118.550563 197.135486 352.290112 676.362537 1390.952289 3336.280108
2025-11-30 68.788691 113.740813 193.483813 355.901088 708.845778 1527.262807 3914.950204
2025-12-07 62.557782 104.945549 181.566022 341.300675 698.965740 1560.920732 4215.255141
2025-12-14 58.187800 99.551663 176.263031 341.394868 726.861899 1707.680210 4972.081956
2025-12-21 54.541574 95.181072 172.533532 344.599470 763.966004 1893.907731 5983.778321
2025-12-28 53.339924 95.258252 177.512026 367.733478 856.019733 2267.137631 7943.996787
2026-01-04 51.728650 94.335994 180.297844 386.357959 941.623165 2657.419741 10318.234759
2026-01-11 48.463870 89.768651 174.850461 384.396122 970.389054 2877.830756 12134.144392
2026-01-18 46.616766 87.886278 174.931379 396.091817 1041.847757 3277.284798 15282.179041
2026-01-25 44.477943 85.176117 172.842840 401.896342 1097.452543 3646.283096 18720.679316
2026-02-01 42.603558 82.838739 171.311136 408.930015 1159.286341 4072.302441 23127.237840
2026-02-08 40.382677 79.543923 167.181939 408.209231 1195.671530 4412.679284 27475.060509
2026-02-15 38.294267 76.353727 162.949719 406.536565 1228.756128 4758.642745 32491.279747
2026-02-22 36.717141 74.163620 160.887366 410.818710 1284.906687 5248.662032 39803.581023