Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 172.592137 200.453463 232.701035 273.098675 322.793824 382.506773 4.605681e+02
2025-07-13 141.710054 178.358472 225.464401 291.730761 384.682365 513.828058 7.132257e+02
2025-07-20 125.795000 167.407755 225.017740 313.307161 450.376314 664.721736 1.047062e+03
2025-07-27 110.359972 152.948511 215.234900 317.128211 488.508355 783.904634 1.381251e+03
2025-08-03 100.035182 143.516050 210.190043 325.741978 534.806236 929.867795 1.834760e+03
2025-08-10 90.343140 133.294000 201.759198 326.287720 566.164831 1058.026099 2.323255e+03
2025-08-17 83.249330 126.007058 196.641724 331.072636 606.091690 1217.542942 2.991732e+03
2025-08-24 76.315259 117.999331 188.958846 329.344277 632.054909 1355.902190 3.708549e+03
2025-08-31 70.678672 111.442880 182.790284 329.173612 661.120735 1513.845207 4.628715e+03
2025-09-07 66.509756 106.902447 179.567022 334.194165 703.367127 1725.943476 5.974817e+03
2025-09-14 60.462940 98.396759 167.866743 319.289091 693.481717 1784.885411 6.757439e+03
2025-09-21 56.828562 93.889584 163.259485 319.021447 720.944232 1973.538723 8.429184e+03
2025-09-28 52.986845 89.014590 158.106337 318.514110 753.428076 2218.741852 1.101886e+04
2025-10-05 51.640751 88.737563 162.277644 341.118711 861.325845 2827.295655 1.788198e+04
2025-10-12 50.616000 88.931088 167.424408 367.464969 993.368129 3672.860361 3.114991e+04
2025-10-19 47.957254 85.568856 164.412170 372.141607 1057.521235 4282.496830 4.653239e+04
2025-10-26 45.975005 83.356638 163.623946 382.695712 1148.225617 5154.144990 7.634112e+04
2025-11-02 43.533014 79.937190 159.617423 383.364910 1203.088027 5900.195806 1.174945e+05
2025-11-09 41.633940 77.474687 157.522921 389.234905 1282.913053 6955.597855 2.017383e+05
2025-11-16 39.453620 74.202759 153.082900 387.114059 1328.910778 7854.684154 3.285144e+05
2025-11-23 37.568422 71.406854 149.472198 386.904672 1384.818509 8971.215944 5.844127e+05
2025-11-30 36.154719 69.527148 147.914689 393.066850 1475.908441 10666.177540 1.298044e+06
2025-12-07 33.705071 65.129679 139.494200 374.787778 1436.166390 10887.161173 1.817892e+06