Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 134.930104 155.775186 179.935689 210.289714 247.806076 293.190136 3.530786e+02
2025-05-18 104.665692 129.934249 162.298127 207.796225 271.822208 361.521892 5.021947e+02
2025-05-25 89.065486 116.121641 153.249675 209.866149 297.815876 436.574244 6.895799e+02
2025-06-01 77.921352 105.355706 145.014674 209.454855 317.934994 507.364431 9.037141e+02
2025-06-08 69.021576 96.002532 136.640993 206.158153 331.330221 570.167438 1.137966e+03
2025-06-15 64.559110 92.378328 136.060017 214.883093 367.417504 688.742671 1.577960e+03
2025-06-22 57.450091 83.669276 125.929583 204.845487 364.981673 725.918350 1.841014e+03
2025-06-29 53.033859 78.686020 121.196356 203.568406 379.700561 808.462644 2.320602e+03
2025-07-06 49.415520 74.572464 117.341594 203.132696 396.003322 902.702541 2.956812e+03
2025-07-13 48.074629 74.089393 119.751543 215.465133 445.176054 1114.401032 4.441181e+03
2025-07-20 47.257736 74.383613 123.562786 231.451379 509.070553 1417.045084 7.226932e+03
2025-07-27 44.845272 71.588362 121.142507 233.300573 536.408819 1615.729051 1.009658e+04
2025-08-03 42.500075 68.927974 119.122113 236.878957 574.017536 1906.453187 1.575995e+04
2025-08-10 39.605978 65.017337 114.207232 232.889435 588.714573 2122.690342 2.286149e+04
2025-08-17 37.603893 62.585964 112.007175 235.184495 625.219871 2497.297890 3.919371e+04
2025-08-24 35.580795 59.915835 108.960729 234.694663 652.601304 2868.764729 6.807353e+04
2025-08-31 33.505504 56.958455 104.946868 230.862632 666.769336 3189.118716 1.162802e+05
2025-09-07 32.645838 56.323071 105.935102 241.007519 740.660230 4098.030555 3.903875e+05
2025-09-14 30.366116 52.642880 99.685215 229.337998 719.804055 4194.037949 6.222501e+05
2025-09-21 28.955478 50.632173 97.052081 227.855287 743.442401 4780.331221 2.143244e+06
2025-09-28 27.723770 48.895539 94.871501 227.349526 772.051579 5521.070812 1.862656e+07
2025-10-05 27.441683 49.110506 97.306745 241.685016 881.775414 7734.099647 NaN
2025-10-12 27.348732 49.714026 100.759228 260.328781 1030.980980 11702.548071 NaN