Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 209.880718 243.742626 282.580715 330.699963 389.099700 458.165278 546.746073
2025-09-07 164.809583 207.413471 261.369558 335.780111 437.426971 573.952483 775.618489
2025-09-14 133.433424 176.751414 235.247036 321.901481 450.339162 639.287787 949.416076
2025-09-21 116.108278 160.264353 223.083490 321.845800 478.769381 728.786821 1180.297121
2025-09-28 103.940263 148.534707 214.856920 324.648405 510.181923 827.984878 1455.674292
2025-10-05 98.521086 145.614865 218.766761 346.257179 575.631830 999.317789 1920.663690
2025-10-12 93.308200 142.082981 220.843139 364.666112 638.866563 1182.861638 2482.523430
2025-10-19 85.320287 132.981964 212.331677 362.733399 663.295232 1295.984200 2933.941276
2025-10-26 80.561036 128.574774 211.049417 373.533283 714.738331 1480.161604 3645.518183
2025-11-02 75.535632 123.084055 207.043145 378.258552 754.320438 1649.036245 4402.926685
2025-11-09 71.315200 118.507707 204.049236 384.369161 798.144886 1841.748777 5342.702047
2025-11-16 66.898339 113.097161 198.794685 384.860302 829.038969 2011.095366 6312.740730
2025-11-23 62.273981 107.309998 193.033320 385.463546 866.081033 2227.625105 7690.529947
2025-11-30 58.599762 102.987662 189.768097 391.503883 920.210990 2523.313264 9701.655401
2025-12-07 53.222055 94.803073 177.601985 374.803446 909.392109 2611.053595 10873.432653
2025-12-14 49.945449 90.404735 172.760871 374.736472 945.369718 2874.988549 13269.196481
2025-12-21 47.296027 86.981237 169.551017 378.106290 992.689837 3205.788307 16536.884317
2025-12-28 46.582392 87.421511 174.810497 404.126391 1118.410940 3917.785847 23650.675436
2026-01-04 45.567349 87.111951 178.331390 426.344819 1240.449696 4704.384011 33375.180005
2026-01-11 43.041826 83.317159 173.309695 424.009993 1277.471479 5127.303865 41030.565940
2026-01-18 41.647225 81.850785 173.623223 437.063241 1375.654009 5936.998426 55809.553743
2026-01-25 39.938514 79.523480 171.566699 442.779269 1448.705607 6677.678456 73160.307209
2026-02-01 38.443091 77.539423 170.126941 450.175415 1532.104165 7562.462398 97917.940473