Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 155.936069 178.594794 203.915059 234.400945 270.234585 311.165951 361.672538
2025-11-09 125.271581 154.748809 190.688315 238.100650 299.548865 377.240721 484.088899
2025-11-16 106.178185 138.177406 179.630619 237.983783 319.162095 429.820183 595.076695
2025-11-23 92.747366 125.765437 170.651581 237.237466 335.409947 477.903848 706.161756
2025-11-30 83.508831 117.289647 165.158149 239.487251 354.845881 531.973384 834.442898
2025-12-07 73.315611 105.965912 153.832508 231.025213 356.090984 557.511351 920.943478
2025-12-14 66.372781 98.497143 147.098694 228.298389 365.305758 596.246977 1035.773479
2025-12-21 61.814261 94.067529 144.355950 231.292167 383.898247 652.948493 1193.026425
2025-12-28 59.299374 92.506298 145.850077 241.270510 415.593479 737.343739 1419.813047
2026-01-04 56.248359 89.717507 144.945402 246.842943 439.929892 811.748990 1642.268680
2026-01-11 52.267116 84.972301 140.202739 244.881833 449.690158 859.141687 1817.031592
2026-01-18 50.082728 83.058713 140.113449 251.363149 476.566258 945.281586 2098.386361
2026-01-25 47.100892 79.806923 137.898054 254.725787 500.236994 1034.568041 2425.645826
2026-02-01 44.426806 76.887975 136.063713 258.809798 526.682259 1136.861407 2821.222533
2026-02-08 41.524329 73.241006 132.427396 258.681738 543.877449 1221.425613 3197.191898
2026-02-15 38.861409 69.769807 128.726513 257.860497 559.294990 1304.972827 3598.775463
2026-02-22 36.827412 67.296453 126.703877 260.336319 582.839666 1414.397442 4118.440632
2026-03-01 33.811995 62.631782 119.782937 251.025846 576.123841 1442.236143 4386.401687
2026-03-08 31.695320 59.569455 115.856802 248.026642 584.799387 1514.657816 4834.421263
2026-03-15 30.333145 57.909290 114.698596 251.319493 610.382687 1641.767758 5532.092818
2026-03-22 29.711846 57.712363 116.642856 262.298975 658.662781 1849.441159 6634.576456
2026-03-29 28.731668 56.671103 116.622161 268.433331 694.735124 2028.977327 7714.512137
2026-04-05 27.210118 54.343606 113.491636 266.274236 706.583537 2132.486658 8517.144124