Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 152.033859 174.038247 198.613702 228.185938 262.924803 302.581326 351.483414
2025-11-09 122.248280 150.893997 185.788695 231.779638 291.325805 366.533802 469.849254
2025-11-16 103.643665 134.748780 175.000015 231.595429 310.228844 417.273850 576.899160
2025-11-23 90.575983 122.687333 166.287198 230.878943 325.971521 463.776937 684.135794
2025-11-30 81.537554 114.380960 160.856550 232.913237 344.555642 515.660573 807.235509
2025-12-07 71.604732 103.357278 149.838108 224.672342 345.691620 540.196140 890.326686
2025-12-14 64.841470 96.090629 143.292741 222.014606 354.573759 577.516797 1000.719311
2025-12-21 60.411093 91.797999 140.653623 224.954309 372.615779 632.319933 1152.158899
2025-12-28 57.968123 90.291164 142.123562 234.655933 403.314112 713.797498 1370.327168
2026-01-04 54.976607 87.546855 141.190715 239.954603 426.638905 785.107301 1583.066882
2026-01-11 51.102982 82.941254 136.603829 238.086484 436.126396 830.863254 1750.970661
2026-01-18 48.880883 80.913598 136.215054 243.774001 460.856320 911.098856 2014.008565
2026-01-25 45.965071 77.732905 134.030869 246.956936 483.531053 996.528071 2325.962339
2026-02-01 43.365703 74.906796 132.275182 250.957745 509.140246 1095.030644 2704.631501
2026-02-08 40.527081 71.341582 128.711553 250.758716 525.545371 1175.796019 3062.402710
2026-02-15 37.932950 67.968141 125.125676 249.973907 540.427035 1256.029599 3445.757761
2026-02-22 35.932825 65.527505 123.090707 252.202616 562.698821 1359.859958 3937.436027
2026-03-01 32.992452 60.987812 116.368688 243.175823 556.158757 1386.322495 4191.801982
2026-03-08 30.929386 58.009151 112.557627 240.265578 564.476947 1455.597680 4617.733174
2026-03-15 29.605764 56.402622 111.450174 243.484608 589.199548 1577.627470 5282.397254
2026-03-22 29.001955 56.214447 113.342321 254.112065 635.711428 1776.609978 6330.886388
2026-03-29 28.037566 55.181944 113.275888 259.918929 670.061301 1947.212546 7350.909104
2026-04-05 26.558256 52.926373 110.256433 257.871438 681.566829 2046.573101 8113.961826