Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 197.708102 227.914872 262.025814 303.562650 352.995058 410.210685 481.836890
2025-10-19 153.796634 191.589882 238.349999 301.073297 383.941007 490.988894 641.888475
2025-10-26 132.064119 173.878366 229.142302 308.776251 422.669677 582.947482 831.514488
2025-11-02 115.754516 159.138734 219.540062 311.732008 452.437932 665.157756 1023.233431
2025-11-09 103.935856 148.203697 212.625590 315.967841 482.957525 752.131937 1240.531572
2025-11-16 93.777903 137.962501 204.763450 316.677193 506.896723 831.740411 1463.208731
2025-11-23 85.098023 128.673030 196.809106 315.474589 526.614242 906.822957 1695.174152
2025-11-30 79.164980 122.851619 193.389509 320.913627 558.164387 1008.387776 2004.557268
2025-12-07 71.085055 112.604538 181.376551 309.495187 556.641931 1046.307209 2190.220198
2025-12-14 65.446813 105.791419 174.324260 305.872207 569.050949 1113.872486 2460.143081
2025-12-21 61.645490 101.688231 171.458125 309.509934 596.218054 1217.411499 2846.057917
2025-12-28 60.193455 101.502861 175.501308 326.895472 654.655194 1402.180750 3499.746443
2026-01-04 58.017674 100.164307 177.944254 342.953587 716.871215 1619.840981 4356.913259
2026-01-11 53.722033 94.534826 171.702150 340.367575 737.348896 1743.343081 5001.974618
2026-01-18 51.158430 91.878092 170.900077 349.288355 786.953510 1956.940622 6042.265536
2026-01-25 48.298974 88.334230 167.861170 352.704989 823.730516 2146.760178 7105.913879
2026-02-01 45.861527 85.364147 165.630404 357.598892 865.465109 2364.460976 8405.369506
2026-02-08 43.305529 81.895988 161.934760 358.418586 896.509123 2559.941783 9742.190314
2026-02-15 40.814773 78.322884 157.607837 357.028990 921.194058 2743.715177 11156.736312
2026-02-22 39.124745 76.265837 156.394730 363.314778 969.850824 3027.046717 13267.063878
2026-03-01 36.201066 71.319157 148.141277 350.121776 956.829922 3085.569514 14263.070770
2026-03-08 34.144019 68.082341 143.506027 345.938206 971.397976 3254.345553 16023.911527
2026-03-15 32.789483 66.272998 142.023172 350.138808 1014.231679 3551.451162 18840.588502