Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 171.815278 199.518810 231.577021 271.728347 321.108146 380.426229 4.579483e+02
2025-07-13 141.068621 177.512033 224.340796 290.195469 382.534100 510.771970 7.086651e+02
2025-07-20 125.474294 166.841139 224.046214 311.599288 447.308325 659.123023 1.036046e+03
2025-07-27 110.241619 152.597262 214.439669 315.403285 484.794390 775.857325 1.362033e+03
2025-08-03 100.038261 143.304878 209.513056 323.964938 530.362156 918.750298 1.803191e+03
2025-08-10 90.426998 133.190556 201.195769 324.519446 561.148065 1043.843921 2.276202e+03
2025-08-17 83.389168 125.983388 196.163842 329.283016 600.394574 1199.466344 2.921560e+03
2025-08-24 76.488582 118.031338 188.550747 327.553827 625.778919 1333.885539 3.609690e+03
2025-08-31 70.877950 111.522164 182.446571 327.387572 654.253632 1487.271121 4.490143e+03
2025-09-07 66.726258 107.013845 179.260008 332.346023 695.638687 1692.959475 5.772553e+03
2025-09-14 60.683290 98.531132 167.616863 317.536251 685.655604 1749.029887 6.509909e+03
2025-09-21 57.045673 94.025019 163.004376 317.162793 712.214610 1930.313705 8.082152e+03
2025-09-28 53.198208 89.151278 157.854019 316.571481 743.733706 2166.059675 1.050773e+04
2025-10-05 51.865743 88.900783 162.047536 339.006821 849.638625 2753.874097 1.691345e+04
2025-10-12 50.855627 89.120249 167.208085 365.114080 978.943908 3566.921825 2.912713e+04
2025-10-19 48.202399 85.778861 164.237258 369.764359 1041.617997 4150.375128 4.308014e+04
2025-10-26 46.226566 83.587047 163.483941 380.241896 1130.260950 4982.932927 6.973584e+04
2025-11-02 43.785379 80.181430 159.515435 380.921017 1183.735704 5692.467360 1.058731e+05
2025-11-09 41.888407 77.733125 157.454214 386.757709 1261.611377 6694.409896 1.783717e+05
2025-11-16 39.704079 74.465464 153.036997 384.638433 1306.187447 7542.738550 2.845537e+05
2025-11-23 37.816420 71.675943 149.452499 384.434705 1360.514234 8594.807310 4.926242e+05
2025-11-30 36.400718 69.800697 147.907958 390.513206 1448.984671 10186.654620 1.046329e+06
2025-12-07 33.939821 65.395774 139.505388 372.373191 1409.719226 10385.029544 1.429407e+06