Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 181.100593 210.036434 243.316462 284.697657 335.151200 395.154451 472.645201
2025-08-10 141.001022 176.770948 222.178621 285.063716 371.532381 488.752404 664.155120
2025-08-17 119.757911 158.314505 210.724710 289.146017 407.092269 584.124660 882.946170
2025-08-24 103.900517 142.964810 198.918825 287.888730 431.762010 666.904205 1107.785297
2025-08-31 92.463340 131.524219 189.982623 287.898355 456.632383 754.439189 1370.597554
2025-09-07 84.377494 123.607692 184.669373 291.910772 487.988130 860.452936 1710.108335
2025-09-14 74.660472 111.793796 171.317375 279.699737 487.176504 904.981999 1937.516134
2025-09-21 68.769593 105.292029 165.627402 279.683395 508.868363 1000.372407 2328.163067
2025-09-28 64.157749 100.301771 161.733442 282.098268 535.634677 1114.464571 2827.898228
2025-10-05 62.570204 100.174968 166.210348 301.111237 601.610962 1341.864092 3801.127611
2025-10-12 60.678477 99.264157 169.072690 317.308066 665.426287 1588.615175 5035.139691
2025-10-19 57.070216 94.888316 164.869926 317.946615 692.543604 1746.130113 6078.685680
2025-10-26 54.049853 91.676089 163.273104 325.807034 744.936927 2017.643747 7984.768886
2025-11-02 50.507897 87.175406 158.683436 326.479297 780.241030 2259.988469 10144.337816
2025-11-09 47.760611 83.882464 156.087685 331.324255 829.099395 2580.092409 13337.998942
2025-11-16 44.771925 79.793990 151.278339 329.837245 859.206212 2851.353765 16835.959899
2025-11-23 42.222887 76.322759 147.349556 329.848691 894.412874 3170.245183 21593.835840
2025-11-30 40.276403 73.879905 145.367146 334.598108 947.245555 3610.405257 29036.927392
2025-12-07 37.185037 68.787902 136.845463 320.152556 929.792682 3703.254614 33094.127300
2025-12-14 35.339451 66.158143 133.686259 320.133241 964.773398 4100.786853 43132.818315
2025-12-21 33.830563 64.110934 131.650865 322.988015 1012.116331 4615.607308 58516.315538
2025-12-28 33.554892 64.701554 135.964420 345.498520 1146.929716 5823.516310 100543.371094
2026-01-04 33.053798 64.742645 138.943550 364.721102 1278.494865 7213.152348 174183.327440