Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-22 86.938666 98.301820 110.773934 125.509213 142.481081 161.460960 184.356328
2026-03-29 72.285924 87.644883 105.873647 129.224808 158.515793 194.265847 241.545254
2026-04-05 61.846774 78.734760 99.911711 128.654403 167.011656 216.945996 287.706651
2026-04-12 55.076444 72.921482 96.317274 129.611522 176.382419 240.655148 337.249237
2026-04-19 49.087608 67.154094 91.740600 128.160171 181.615222 258.587713 380.369823
2026-04-26 44.119945 62.100068 87.379279 126.170137 185.367144 274.254101 421.592229
2026-05-03 40.104578 57.905938 83.677994 124.510465 189.079489 289.845467 464.269252
2026-05-10 37.490699 55.455405 82.198776 125.887967 197.385603 313.227244 522.455387
2026-05-17 35.035879 52.979894 80.382957 126.432028 204.230146 334.778385 580.222598
2026-05-24 32.167518 49.591564 76.804133 123.689113 205.175495 346.275457 621.348952
2026-05-31 29.753615 46.709881 73.757016 121.471263 206.665572 358.691782 665.619937
2026-06-07 28.041994 44.816936 72.139016 121.483030 211.992499 378.461404 726.672161
2026-06-14 27.063149 44.206880 72.852187 126.103284 227.094271 419.983115 841.864473
2026-06-21 25.938864 43.271552 72.957353 129.717941 240.944477 461.449022 965.674766
2026-06-28 24.275411 41.244206 70.939898 129.138309 246.522886 487.073587 1059.540509
2026-07-05 23.007168 39.798711 69.815167 130.099086 255.240676 520.357655 1177.312488
2026-07-12 21.534681 37.855268 67.590808 128.641587 258.723868 542.792849 1273.372023
2026-07-19 20.135180 35.931129 65.229113 126.643166 260.770012 562.252687 1365.783705
2026-07-26 18.905221 34.227436 63.139975 124.976512 263.309534 583.160428 1466.185789
2026-08-02 18.129822 33.329222 62.538011 126.359808 272.852951 622.039422 1623.593645
2026-08-09 17.323485 32.306623 61.597749 126.906159 280.514704 657.457930 1779.122408
2026-08-16 16.243066 30.662554 59.265973 124.151709 279.995916 672.136579 1876.930436
2026-08-23 15.300677 29.229277 57.256671 121.924556 280.491720 689.541200 1987.093676