Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000005 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009 0.000010
2025-05-04 0.000005 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000010 0.000012
2025-05-11 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000011 0.000014
2025-05-18 0.000004 0.000004 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012 0.000017
2025-05-25 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020
2025-06-01 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023
2025-06-08 0.000003 0.000004 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000016 0.000027
2025-06-15 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000018 0.000031
2025-06-22 0.000002 0.000003 0.000005 0.000007 0.000011 0.000019 0.000035
2025-06-29 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000020 0.000039
2025-07-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000021 0.000043
2025-07-13 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000012 0.000023 0.000049
2025-07-20 0.000002 0.000003 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000025 0.000058
2025-07-27 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000013 0.000027 0.000067
2025-08-03 0.000002 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000030 0.000079
2025-08-10 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000091
2025-08-17 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000035 0.000107
2025-08-24 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000036 0.000119
2025-08-31 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000015 0.000039 0.000137
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.000002 0.000004 0.000007 0.000016 0.000042 0.000160
2025-09-14 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000044 0.000176
2025-09-21 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000047 0.000201
2025-09-28 0.000001 0.000002 0.000003 0.000007 0.000016 0.000048 0.000219