Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 4.686050e-06 0.000005 0.000006 0.000006 0.000007 0.000008 0.000009
2025-06-15 4.020341e-06 0.000005 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000010
2025-06-22 3.458615e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000007 0.000009 0.000012
2025-06-29 3.066880e-06 0.000004 0.000005 0.000006 0.000008 0.000010 0.000013
2025-07-06 2.717087e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015
2025-07-13 2.481552e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000008 0.000012 0.000017
2025-07-20 2.309138e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020
2025-07-27 2.143949e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000014 0.000023
2025-08-03 2.019764e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000009 0.000015 0.000027
2025-08-10 1.887317e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000031
2025-08-17 1.785972e-06 0.000003 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000018 0.000035
2025-08-24 1.659441e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000018 0.000039
2025-08-31 1.564767e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000010 0.000020 0.000044
2025-09-07 1.486637e-06 0.000002 0.000004 0.000006 0.000011 0.000021 0.000051
2025-09-14 1.389781e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000022 0.000056
2025-09-21 1.315956e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000024 0.000064
2025-09-28 1.234991e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000024 0.000070
2025-10-05 1.180613e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000011 0.000026 0.000080
2025-10-12 1.140594e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000029 0.000094
2025-10-19 1.095511e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000012 0.000031 0.000108
2025-10-26 1.061658e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000033 0.000128
2025-11-02 1.018913e-06 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000013 0.000035 0.000145
2025-11-09 9.861502e-07 0.000002 0.000003 0.000006 0.000014 0.000038 0.000170