Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000194 0.000217 0.000242 0.000270 0.000302 0.000336 0.000376
2024-12-29 0.000160 0.000191 0.000226 0.000269 0.000320 0.000379 0.000453
2025-01-05 0.000133 0.000168 0.000210 0.000264 0.000333 0.000416 0.000525
2025-01-12 0.000115 0.000152 0.000200 0.000264 0.000348 0.000457 0.000606
2025-01-19 0.000102 0.000141 0.000192 0.000265 0.000366 0.000501 0.000695
2025-01-26 0.000089 0.000128 0.000182 0.000261 0.000375 0.000534 0.000773
2025-02-02 0.000083 0.000125 0.000183 0.000273 0.000407 0.000600 0.000901
2025-02-09 0.000077 0.000118 0.000180 0.000277 0.000427 0.000651 0.001013
2025-02-16 0.000070 0.000112 0.000176 0.000280 0.000445 0.000701 0.001126
2025-02-23 0.000064 0.000106 0.000170 0.000279 0.000458 0.000742 0.001229
2025-03-02 0.000058 0.000098 0.000163 0.000274 0.000462 0.000770 0.001313
2025-03-09 0.000053 0.000093 0.000158 0.000273 0.000472 0.000808 0.001416
2025-03-16 0.000049 0.000088 0.000153 0.000273 0.000487 0.000856 0.001545
2025-03-23 0.000045 0.000083 0.000150 0.000273 0.000501 0.000905 0.001681
2025-03-30 0.000042 0.000078 0.000144 0.000270 0.000508 0.000942 0.001798
2025-04-06 0.000038 0.000074 0.000140 0.000270 0.000521 0.000990 0.001942
2025-04-13 0.000036 0.000071 0.000137 0.000271 0.000537 0.001047 0.002107
2025-04-20 0.000033 0.000067 0.000132 0.000268 0.000543 0.001084 0.002236
2025-04-27 0.000032 0.000067 0.000135 0.000280 0.000581 0.001187 0.002509
2025-05-04 0.000031 0.000065 0.000134 0.000284 0.000604 0.001260 0.002727
2025-05-11 0.000029 0.000063 0.000133 0.000287 0.000623 0.001330 0.002946
2025-05-18 0.000027 0.000060 0.000130 0.000286 0.000636 0.001385 0.003137
2025-05-25 0.000025 0.000057 0.000125 0.000281 0.000637 0.001417 0.003280