Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-22 0.000091 0.000100 0.000111 0.000122 0.000136 0.000150 0.000166
2026-03-29 0.000077 0.000091 0.000106 0.000124 0.000145 0.000170 0.000200
2026-04-05 0.000067 0.000082 0.000100 0.000123 0.000152 0.000187 0.000231
2026-04-12 0.000059 0.000075 0.000096 0.000123 0.000158 0.000203 0.000263
2026-04-19 0.000052 0.000069 0.000091 0.000122 0.000163 0.000218 0.000295
2026-04-26 0.000047 0.000065 0.000089 0.000122 0.000170 0.000235 0.000330
2026-05-03 0.000043 0.000060 0.000085 0.000121 0.000174 0.000248 0.000361
2026-05-10 0.000039 0.000057 0.000082 0.000121 0.000178 0.000262 0.000395
2026-05-17 0.000036 0.000054 0.000080 0.000121 0.000184 0.000278 0.000433
2026-05-24 0.000033 0.000051 0.000077 0.000119 0.000186 0.000289 0.000463
2026-05-31 0.000031 0.000049 0.000076 0.000120 0.000193 0.000307 0.000505
2026-06-07 0.000029 0.000047 0.000074 0.000120 0.000197 0.000323 0.000545
2026-06-14 0.000027 0.000044 0.000072 0.000119 0.000201 0.000337 0.000585
2026-06-21 0.000026 0.000043 0.000071 0.000121 0.000209 0.000359 0.000641
2026-06-28 0.000024 0.000041 0.000070 0.000121 0.000214 0.000376 0.000689
2026-07-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000068 0.000121 0.000218 0.000392 0.000736
2026-07-12 0.000021 0.000038 0.000066 0.000120 0.000222 0.000407 0.000783
2026-07-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000065 0.000121 0.000227 0.000427 0.000840
2026-07-26 0.000019 0.000035 0.000063 0.000119 0.000229 0.000440 0.000885
2026-08-02 0.000018 0.000033 0.000062 0.000119 0.000233 0.000456 0.000938
2026-08-09 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000119 0.000238 0.000475 0.000998
2026-08-16 0.000016 0.000031 0.000059 0.000117 0.000239 0.000485 0.001042
2026-08-23 0.000015 0.000030 0.000058 0.000118 0.000245 0.000508 0.001115