Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000206 0.000230 0.000256 0.000286 0.000320 0.000356 0.000398
2025-03-02 0.000167 0.000199 0.000236 0.000281 0.000334 0.000395 0.000471
2025-03-09 0.000142 0.000178 0.000222 0.000279 0.000350 0.000437 0.000551
2025-03-16 0.000123 0.000162 0.000212 0.000279 0.000368 0.000481 0.000637
2025-03-23 0.000109 0.000150 0.000204 0.000280 0.000385 0.000526 0.000727
2025-03-30 0.000096 0.000138 0.000195 0.000278 0.000398 0.000564 0.000812
2025-04-06 0.000087 0.000129 0.000189 0.000280 0.000415 0.000609 0.000909
2025-04-13 0.000079 0.000121 0.000183 0.000280 0.000430 0.000651 0.001006
2025-04-20 0.000071 0.000113 0.000175 0.000276 0.000437 0.000682 0.001088
2025-04-27 0.000067 0.000110 0.000176 0.000286 0.000465 0.000748 0.001229
2025-05-04 0.000063 0.000106 0.000174 0.000291 0.000487 0.000804 0.001359
2025-05-11 0.000059 0.000102 0.000172 0.000294 0.000505 0.000855 0.001485
2025-05-18 0.000054 0.000096 0.000167 0.000293 0.000518 0.000901 0.001610
2025-05-25 0.000049 0.000090 0.000159 0.000288 0.000522 0.000933 0.001713
2025-06-01 0.000045 0.000085 0.000154 0.000286 0.000533 0.000977 0.001842
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000081 0.000151 0.000287 0.000547 0.001027 0.001989
2025-06-15 0.000040 0.000077 0.000148 0.000288 0.000563 0.001083 0.002150
2025-06-22 0.000037 0.000073 0.000143 0.000286 0.000573 0.001127 0.002293
2025-06-29 0.000034 0.000071 0.000141 0.000288 0.000589 0.001186 0.002470
2025-07-06 0.000032 0.000068 0.000138 0.000288 0.000604 0.001242 0.002645
2025-07-13 0.000030 0.000064 0.000133 0.000284 0.000608 0.001277 0.002783
2025-07-20 0.000029 0.000064 0.000135 0.000294 0.000642 0.001378 0.003067
2025-07-27 0.000028 0.000062 0.000135 0.000299 0.000668 0.001461 0.003323