Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000119 0.000133 0.000147 0.000163 0.000181 0.000201 0.000223
2025-10-26 0.000099 0.000116 0.000136 0.000161 0.000190 0.000223 0.000264
2025-11-02 0.000084 0.000104 0.000128 0.000158 0.000197 0.000243 0.000304
2025-11-09 0.000073 0.000095 0.000122 0.000158 0.000205 0.000265 0.000347
2025-11-16 0.000064 0.000086 0.000115 0.000156 0.000211 0.000284 0.000388
2025-11-23 0.000057 0.000080 0.000111 0.000155 0.000218 0.000304 0.000432
2025-11-30 0.000052 0.000075 0.000107 0.000155 0.000226 0.000326 0.000481
2025-12-07 0.000047 0.000070 0.000103 0.000153 0.000230 0.000343 0.000524
2025-12-14 0.000044 0.000067 0.000101 0.000156 0.000241 0.000370 0.000582
2025-12-21 0.000041 0.000064 0.000099 0.000156 0.000249 0.000393 0.000637
2025-12-28 0.000038 0.000060 0.000096 0.000155 0.000253 0.000411 0.000686
2026-01-04 0.000036 0.000058 0.000095 0.000158 0.000264 0.000439 0.000753
2026-01-11 0.000033 0.000056 0.000093 0.000158 0.000271 0.000463 0.000816
2026-01-18 0.000031 0.000053 0.000090 0.000158 0.000277 0.000485 0.000879
2026-01-25 0.000029 0.000051 0.000088 0.000156 0.000282 0.000505 0.000940
2026-02-01 0.000027 0.000048 0.000086 0.000156 0.000289 0.000529 0.001010
2026-02-08 0.000025 0.000046 0.000083 0.000155 0.000292 0.000548 0.001071
2026-02-15 0.000024 0.000044 0.000081 0.000154 0.000297 0.000570 0.001141
2026-02-22 0.000022 0.000042 0.000080 0.000155 0.000304 0.000596 0.001221
2026-03-01 0.000021 0.000040 0.000077 0.000153 0.000307 0.000614 0.001287
2026-03-08 0.000020 0.000040 0.000077 0.000155 0.000318 0.000649 0.001392
2026-03-15 0.000019 0.000038 0.000076 0.000156 0.000326 0.000678 0.001485
2026-03-22 0.000018 0.000037 0.000074 0.000155 0.000330 0.000700 0.001565