Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000093 0.000103 0.000114 0.000126 0.000140 0.000154 0.000171
2025-12-28 0.000077 0.000091 0.000106 0.000124 0.000145 0.000170 0.000201
2026-01-04 0.000067 0.000083 0.000101 0.000125 0.000154 0.000190 0.000236
2026-01-11 0.000059 0.000076 0.000097 0.000125 0.000161 0.000207 0.000270
2026-01-18 0.000052 0.000070 0.000093 0.000124 0.000167 0.000223 0.000304
2026-01-25 0.000047 0.000065 0.000089 0.000123 0.000172 0.000239 0.000338
2026-02-01 0.000043 0.000061 0.000086 0.000123 0.000178 0.000255 0.000375
2026-02-08 0.000039 0.000057 0.000082 0.000121 0.000181 0.000268 0.000407
2026-02-15 0.000035 0.000053 0.000079 0.000121 0.000185 0.000282 0.000443
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000051 0.000077 0.000121 0.000190 0.000298 0.000483
2026-03-01 0.000030 0.000048 0.000075 0.000119 0.000193 0.000311 0.000518
2026-03-08 0.000029 0.000046 0.000074 0.000121 0.000200 0.000330 0.000565
2026-03-15 0.000027 0.000044 0.000072 0.000121 0.000205 0.000349 0.000614
2026-03-22 0.000025 0.000042 0.000070 0.000120 0.000209 0.000363 0.000658
2026-03-29 0.000024 0.000041 0.000069 0.000122 0.000217 0.000387 0.000720
2026-04-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000068 0.000122 0.000223 0.000407 0.000777
2026-04-12 0.000021 0.000037 0.000066 0.000121 0.000227 0.000423 0.000830
2026-04-19 0.000020 0.000036 0.000065 0.000121 0.000230 0.000440 0.000884
2026-04-26 0.000019 0.000034 0.000063 0.000121 0.000235 0.000459 0.000945
2026-05-03 0.000017 0.000033 0.000061 0.000119 0.000237 0.000472 0.000993
2026-05-10 0.000016 0.000031 0.000060 0.000118 0.000240 0.000488 0.001051
2026-05-17 0.000016 0.000030 0.000059 0.000118 0.000245 0.000508 0.001120
2026-05-24 0.000015 0.000029 0.000057 0.000117 0.000247 0.000522 0.001175