Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000163 0.000182 0.000203 0.000226 0.000252 0.000281 0.000314
2025-07-13 0.000133 0.000158 0.000187 0.000223 0.000264 0.000312 0.000372
2025-07-20 0.000115 0.000145 0.000181 0.000227 0.000285 0.000354 0.000444
2025-07-27 0.000101 0.000133 0.000174 0.000228 0.000300 0.000390 0.000512
2025-08-03 0.000089 0.000123 0.000167 0.000229 0.000313 0.000423 0.000580
2025-08-10 0.000078 0.000112 0.000159 0.000226 0.000321 0.000450 0.000641
2025-08-17 0.000071 0.000106 0.000154 0.000227 0.000334 0.000485 0.000714
2025-08-24 0.000064 0.000098 0.000147 0.000225 0.000341 0.000510 0.000774
2025-08-31 0.000058 0.000092 0.000142 0.000223 0.000349 0.000538 0.000841
2025-09-07 0.000053 0.000087 0.000138 0.000223 0.000359 0.000568 0.000913
2025-09-14 0.000048 0.000081 0.000133 0.000221 0.000366 0.000593 0.000978
2025-09-21 0.000045 0.000079 0.000132 0.000225 0.000380 0.000632 0.001068
2025-09-28 0.000042 0.000075 0.000129 0.000226 0.000392 0.000668 0.001157
2025-10-05 0.000039 0.000071 0.000125 0.000224 0.000399 0.000695 0.001234
2025-10-12 0.000037 0.000069 0.000125 0.000230 0.000419 0.000746 0.001357
2025-10-19 0.000035 0.000066 0.000123 0.000231 0.000432 0.000786 0.001462
2025-10-26 0.000032 0.000064 0.000121 0.000232 0.000442 0.000823 0.001564
2025-11-02 0.000030 0.000060 0.000117 0.000229 0.000447 0.000849 0.001648
2025-11-09 0.000028 0.000058 0.000115 0.000231 0.000459 0.000890 0.001764
2025-11-16 0.000026 0.000055 0.000111 0.000228 0.000463 0.000916 0.001850
2025-11-23 0.000024 0.000053 0.000109 0.000227 0.000470 0.000947 0.001950
2025-11-30 0.000023 0.000051 0.000106 0.000227 0.000480 0.000983 0.002063
2025-12-07 0.000022 0.000048 0.000103 0.000225 0.000484 0.001010 0.002159