Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000135 0.000151 0.000167 0.000185 0.000206 0.000228 0.000254
2025-10-19 0.000113 0.000134 0.000157 0.000185 0.000218 0.000257 0.000304
2025-10-26 0.000097 0.000120 0.000148 0.000184 0.000229 0.000283 0.000354
2025-11-02 0.000084 0.000109 0.000140 0.000182 0.000237 0.000307 0.000403
2025-11-09 0.000074 0.000101 0.000135 0.000182 0.000247 0.000333 0.000456
2025-11-16 0.000066 0.000093 0.000128 0.000180 0.000254 0.000355 0.000505
2025-11-23 0.000060 0.000086 0.000124 0.000179 0.000262 0.000379 0.000559
2025-11-30 0.000055 0.000081 0.000120 0.000180 0.000271 0.000404 0.000618
2025-12-07 0.000050 0.000076 0.000115 0.000178 0.000276 0.000425 0.000670
2025-12-14 0.000047 0.000073 0.000114 0.000180 0.000288 0.000455 0.000740
2025-12-21 0.000043 0.000070 0.000111 0.000181 0.000297 0.000482 0.000807
2025-12-28 0.000040 0.000066 0.000108 0.000180 0.000303 0.000504 0.000867
2026-01-04 0.000038 0.000064 0.000107 0.000184 0.000316 0.000541 0.000957
2026-01-11 0.000036 0.000062 0.000105 0.000184 0.000325 0.000571 0.001037
2026-01-18 0.000033 0.000059 0.000103 0.000184 0.000333 0.000598 0.001115
2026-01-25 0.000031 0.000056 0.000100 0.000183 0.000338 0.000622 0.001190
2026-02-01 0.000029 0.000054 0.000097 0.000183 0.000346 0.000651 0.001276
2026-02-08 0.000027 0.000051 0.000094 0.000181 0.000350 0.000673 0.001350
2026-02-15 0.000025 0.000049 0.000092 0.000180 0.000356 0.000700 0.001437
2026-02-22 0.000024 0.000047 0.000091 0.000180 0.000364 0.000731 0.001536
2026-03-01 0.000023 0.000045 0.000088 0.000179 0.000368 0.000753 0.001617
2026-03-08 0.000022 0.000044 0.000088 0.000181 0.000381 0.000795 0.001744
2026-03-15 0.000021 0.000043 0.000086 0.000182 0.000389 0.000829 0.001859