Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000141 0.000157 0.000174 0.000193 0.000215 0.000239 0.000266
2025-09-28 0.000118 0.000139 0.000164 0.000194 0.000229 0.000270 0.000320
2025-10-05 0.000100 0.000125 0.000155 0.000193 0.000240 0.000298 0.000373
2025-10-12 0.000089 0.000117 0.000151 0.000197 0.000257 0.000333 0.000437
2025-10-19 0.000079 0.000108 0.000145 0.000197 0.000268 0.000362 0.000497
2025-10-26 0.000071 0.000100 0.000139 0.000196 0.000277 0.000389 0.000554
2025-11-02 0.000064 0.000093 0.000134 0.000195 0.000286 0.000415 0.000613
2025-11-09 0.000058 0.000087 0.000130 0.000195 0.000295 0.000441 0.000675
2025-11-16 0.000053 0.000082 0.000124 0.000193 0.000300 0.000462 0.000729
2025-11-23 0.000048 0.000077 0.000121 0.000192 0.000308 0.000487 0.000791
2025-11-30 0.000045 0.000073 0.000118 0.000193 0.000317 0.000515 0.000860
2025-12-07 0.000041 0.000069 0.000114 0.000190 0.000321 0.000535 0.000917
2025-12-14 0.000039 0.000067 0.000112 0.000193 0.000333 0.000570 0.001005
2025-12-21 0.000036 0.000064 0.000110 0.000193 0.000343 0.000603 0.001091
2025-12-28 0.000034 0.000060 0.000107 0.000193 0.000350 0.000630 0.001171
2026-01-04 0.000032 0.000059 0.000106 0.000196 0.000366 0.000674 0.001285
2026-01-11 0.000030 0.000057 0.000104 0.000197 0.000376 0.000708 0.001383
2026-01-18 0.000028 0.000054 0.000101 0.000196 0.000382 0.000737 0.001474
2026-01-25 0.000026 0.000052 0.000099 0.000195 0.000389 0.000766 0.001568
2026-02-01 0.000025 0.000050 0.000097 0.000195 0.000397 0.000798 0.001671
2026-02-08 0.000023 0.000047 0.000094 0.000193 0.000400 0.000821 0.001755
2026-02-15 0.000022 0.000045 0.000092 0.000192 0.000407 0.000851 0.001860
2026-02-22 0.000021 0.000044 0.000090 0.000193 0.000416 0.000887 0.001979