Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000143 0.000160 0.000178 0.000199 0.000222 0.000246 0.000275
2025-08-17 0.000119 0.000142 0.000168 0.000199 0.000236 0.000279 0.000332
2025-08-24 0.000100 0.000126 0.000157 0.000196 0.000245 0.000304 0.000382
2025-08-31 0.000087 0.000114 0.000149 0.000195 0.000255 0.000331 0.000435
2025-09-07 0.000077 0.000105 0.000143 0.000194 0.000265 0.000358 0.000490
2025-09-14 0.000068 0.000097 0.000136 0.000193 0.000272 0.000382 0.000542
2025-09-21 0.000063 0.000092 0.000133 0.000195 0.000285 0.000413 0.000607
2025-09-28 0.000057 0.000087 0.000130 0.000196 0.000296 0.000441 0.000669
2025-10-05 0.000052 0.000082 0.000125 0.000195 0.000302 0.000464 0.000724
2025-10-12 0.000049 0.000079 0.000125 0.000199 0.000318 0.000500 0.000803
2025-10-19 0.000046 0.000075 0.000122 0.000199 0.000326 0.000527 0.000868
2025-10-26 0.000042 0.000072 0.000119 0.000199 0.000334 0.000553 0.000934
2025-11-02 0.000039 0.000067 0.000114 0.000197 0.000340 0.000575 0.000997
2025-11-09 0.000036 0.000065 0.000112 0.000198 0.000350 0.000608 0.001080
2025-11-16 0.000033 0.000061 0.000108 0.000196 0.000354 0.000628 0.001144
2025-11-23 0.000031 0.000058 0.000105 0.000195 0.000360 0.000654 0.001219
2025-11-30 0.000029 0.000055 0.000103 0.000195 0.000368 0.000684 0.001302
2025-12-07 0.000027 0.000053 0.000100 0.000193 0.000373 0.000707 0.001375
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000051 0.000099 0.000196 0.000386 0.000745 0.001482
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000049 0.000098 0.000197 0.000396 0.000780 0.001582
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000047 0.000095 0.000195 0.000401 0.000805 0.001664
2026-01-04 0.000022 0.000046 0.000095 0.000200 0.000417 0.000854 0.001801
2026-01-11 0.000021 0.000045 0.000094 0.000200 0.000426 0.000887 0.001906