Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000135 0.000151 0.000167 0.000186 0.000208 0.000231 0.000258
2025-09-07 0.000112 0.000133 0.000157 0.000185 0.000220 0.000259 0.000308
2025-09-14 0.000095 0.000119 0.000147 0.000183 0.000229 0.000284 0.000356
2025-09-21 0.000084 0.000110 0.000142 0.000185 0.000242 0.000314 0.000413
2025-09-28 0.000075 0.000102 0.000137 0.000186 0.000253 0.000342 0.000468
2025-10-05 0.000067 0.000094 0.000131 0.000185 0.000261 0.000365 0.000518
2025-10-12 0.000062 0.000090 0.000130 0.000189 0.000276 0.000398 0.000586
2025-10-19 0.000056 0.000085 0.000126 0.000189 0.000285 0.000424 0.000643
2025-10-26 0.000052 0.000080 0.000122 0.000189 0.000292 0.000448 0.000701
2025-11-02 0.000047 0.000075 0.000118 0.000187 0.000298 0.000469 0.000753
2025-11-09 0.000044 0.000072 0.000116 0.000189 0.000308 0.000497 0.000820
2025-11-16 0.000040 0.000068 0.000111 0.000186 0.000310 0.000513 0.000868
2025-11-23 0.000037 0.000064 0.000108 0.000185 0.000317 0.000536 0.000932
2025-11-30 0.000035 0.000061 0.000105 0.000185 0.000324 0.000563 0.001003
2025-12-07 0.000032 0.000058 0.000102 0.000183 0.000329 0.000584 0.001067
2025-12-14 0.000030 0.000056 0.000101 0.000185 0.000341 0.000619 0.001158
2025-12-21 0.000029 0.000054 0.000099 0.000186 0.000350 0.000650 0.001244
2025-12-28 0.000027 0.000051 0.000096 0.000185 0.000355 0.000673 0.001317
2026-01-04 0.000026 0.000050 0.000096 0.000189 0.000371 0.000717 0.001434
2026-01-11 0.000024 0.000049 0.000095 0.000189 0.000379 0.000748 0.001526
2026-01-18 0.000023 0.000047 0.000093 0.000189 0.000386 0.000776 0.001617
2026-01-25 0.000022 0.000045 0.000090 0.000187 0.000390 0.000799 0.001698
2026-02-01 0.000021 0.000043 0.000089 0.000189 0.000400 0.000835 0.001809