Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.552673 0.628534 0.709760 0.803056 0.907104 1.019424 1.149696
2025-07-27 0.449293 0.556616 0.680236 0.832532 1.014435 1.224031 1.483071
2025-08-03 0.365268 0.490361 0.644567 0.847109 1.104407 1.418480 1.828756
2025-08-10 0.298220 0.432053 0.607898 0.852968 1.182287 1.605664 2.186591
2025-08-17 0.247283 0.385031 0.577165 0.860015 1.260070 1.798934 2.571364
2025-08-24 0.208678 0.347808 0.553034 0.870840 1.341825 2.003467 2.989622
2025-08-31 0.174310 0.310343 0.522078 0.866100 1.398765 2.176819 3.378834
2025-09-07 0.151422 0.286612 0.507700 0.882963 1.487353 2.401393 3.858952
2025-09-14 0.127909 0.257386 0.479774 0.873773 1.533089 2.564094 4.258673
2025-09-21 0.112144 0.238864 0.466579 0.886100 1.612814 2.783762 4.760845
2025-09-28 0.095002 0.214511 0.439379 0.870309 1.643009 2.925557 5.149202
2025-10-05 0.086799 0.206168 0.439852 0.902997 1.758082 3.213203 5.792466
2025-10-12 0.079447 0.198463 0.440769 0.937108 1.879900 3.523405 6.499193
2025-10-19 0.070589 0.185849 0.430214 0.947994 1.960387 3.768752 7.113822
2025-10-26 0.062105 0.172415 0.415973 0.949676 2.023382 3.987566 7.697322
2025-11-02 0.054438 0.159357 0.400537 0.946790 2.076773 4.192315 8.269089
2025-11-09 0.048162 0.148452 0.388145 0.948507 2.138790 4.416541 8.889737
2025-11-16 0.043110 0.139673 0.379236 0.956431 2.213539 4.669141 9.577677
2025-11-23 0.037796 0.129005 0.364222 0.948804 2.254996 4.860370 10.162362
2025-11-30 0.034443 0.123203 0.360157 0.965478 2.348828 5.159085 10.968021
2025-12-07 0.030163 0.113641 0.345129 0.954503 2.381551 5.338398 11.553729
2025-12-14 0.027431 0.108280 0.340208 0.967172 2.467306 5.629776 12.375253
2025-12-21 0.023843 0.099236 0.323933 0.949681 2.483117 5.778227 12.920846