Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-08 0.170841 0.197915 0.227180 0.261075 0.299161 0.340541 0.388805
2026-02-15 0.121434 0.156106 0.196851 0.247899 0.309746 0.381833 0.471757
2026-02-22 0.092485 0.131283 0.180594 0.246962 0.332930 0.439419 0.580040
2026-03-01 0.069506 0.108835 0.162785 0.240503 0.347605 0.487789 0.682505
2026-03-08 0.053994 0.092931 0.150347 0.238428 0.366804 0.543249 0.799368
2026-03-15 0.041612 0.078683 0.137357 0.232948 0.379776 0.590857 0.909726
2026-03-22 0.035117 0.072228 0.134743 0.242007 0.414245 0.671293 1.072533
2026-03-29 0.029925 0.066737 0.132523 0.250980 0.449074 0.754859 1.246334
2026-04-05 0.024652 0.059766 0.126400 0.252303 0.471419 0.820908 1.398595
2026-04-12 0.020170 0.053182 0.119665 0.251298 0.489304 0.880849 1.545252
2026-04-19 0.016471 0.047246 0.112973 0.249156 0.504550 0.937161 1.689493
2026-04-26 0.013466 0.042028 0.106666 0.246625 0.518424 0.991721 1.833951
2026-05-03 0.010994 0.037443 0.100934 0.244597 0.533365 1.049945 1.989874
2026-05-10 0.008884 0.033120 0.094902 0.241007 0.544849 1.102908 2.140447
2026-05-17 0.007616 0.030777 0.093005 0.245868 0.573103 1.187619 2.350912
2026-05-24 0.006202 0.027454 0.088005 0.243088 0.585658 1.244495 2.515908
2026-05-31 0.005163 0.024959 0.084577 0.243327 0.604277 1.313727 2.706870
2026-06-07 0.004162 0.022150 0.079656 0.239216 0.613136 1.364829 2.867628
2026-06-14 0.003749 0.021439 0.080530 0.249449 0.653969 1.480321 3.153464
2026-06-21 0.003371 0.020717 0.081221 0.259290 0.694756 1.598144 3.449596
2026-06-28 0.002856 0.019143 0.078946 0.261057 0.717376 1.680997 3.683573
2026-07-05 0.002373 0.017455 0.075901 0.260281 0.733957 1.752494 3.899239
2026-07-12 0.001950 0.015813 0.072591 0.258239 0.747256 1.817892 4.106158