Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.482452 0.552436 0.628160 0.716071 0.815211 0.923441 1.050426
2025-04-06 0.378043 0.473315 0.584921 0.724854 0.895119 1.095046 1.347043
2025-04-13 0.289546 0.394298 0.526460 0.704363 0.936351 1.227232 1.618029
2025-04-20 0.240487 0.353897 0.507046 0.726905 1.031952 1.437341 2.013355
2025-04-27 0.204262 0.323144 0.494117 0.754492 1.136689 1.671868 2.471232
2025-05-04 0.170645 0.289245 0.470297 0.761734 1.212521 1.874894 2.910454
2025-05-11 0.142574 0.258084 0.444663 0.761031 1.274804 2.064028 3.350599
2025-05-18 0.120223 0.231676 0.421581 0.759687 1.334214 2.253726 3.811305
2025-05-25 0.103011 0.210652 0.403540 0.763010 1.400099 2.459063 4.317077
2025-06-01 0.089695 0.194063 0.390200 0.771718 1.474897 2.685336 4.878940
2025-06-08 0.076821 0.175710 0.370424 0.765296 1.521180 2.866829 5.382044
2025-06-15 0.068793 0.165621 0.364604 0.783749 1.614071 3.137628 6.065322
2025-06-22 0.059140 0.150288 0.346193 0.775518 1.656747 3.324899 6.622780
2025-06-29 0.052716 0.140936 0.338656 0.788168 1.741540 3.598584 7.366334
2025-07-06 0.044767 0.126271 0.317152 0.768064 1.757443 3.742304 7.878099
2025-07-13 0.041051 0.121346 0.316730 0.793845 1.871754 4.089513 8.816761
2025-07-20 0.038037 0.117617 0.318480 0.824687 2.000386 4.477568 9.871583
2025-07-27 0.034137 0.110624 0.311138 0.833155 2.080427 4.772992 10.764532
2025-08-03 0.030307 0.102960 0.300793 0.832787 2.140126 5.030817 11.601940
2025-08-10 0.026937 0.095879 0.290740 0.831584 2.197478 5.288518 12.461168
2025-08-17 0.024186 0.090066 0.283093 0.835365 2.266988 5.579051 13.415989
2025-08-24 0.021963 0.085434 0.277941 0.844942 2.351684 5.911182 14.490263
2025-08-31 0.019471 0.079277 0.267309 0.838031 2.393982 6.149529 15.373594