Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.582480 0.661010 0.744799 0.840695 0.947246 1.061840 1.194240
2025-09-07 0.462891 0.571912 0.696841 0.849919 1.031713 1.239957 1.495761
2025-09-14 0.364417 0.488071 0.639588 0.837293 1.086655 1.388775 1.780327
2025-09-21 0.299355 0.432406 0.605882 0.845592 1.164699 1.570932 2.122556
2025-09-28 0.241126 0.374781 0.559747 0.829556 1.207226 1.710340 2.423013
2025-10-05 0.210285 0.349169 0.551872 0.861983 1.315398 1.943373 2.865355
2025-10-12 0.185114 0.327165 0.545074 0.893453 1.423473 2.183767 3.336327
2025-10-19 0.158838 0.298602 0.523729 0.899316 1.492893 2.373141 3.748266
2025-10-26 0.136609 0.272636 0.502257 0.901150 1.554467 2.553701 4.158553
2025-11-02 0.118060 0.249683 0.482107 0.901685 1.612345 2.731031 4.574368
2025-11-09 0.102567 0.229493 0.463570 0.901902 1.668235 2.907512 4.998778
2025-11-16 0.090141 0.212943 0.449002 0.906627 1.730794 3.097397 5.454793
2025-11-23 0.077678 0.194263 0.428258 0.898363 1.771059 3.255316 5.872972
2025-11-30 0.069517 0.183244 0.420703 0.913447 1.853420 3.488680 6.429797
2025-12-07 0.060048 0.167448 0.401295 0.903317 1.888540 3.643106 6.863137
2025-12-14 0.053720 0.157772 0.393171 0.914306 1.963400 3.871093 7.435338
2025-12-21 0.046188 0.143552 0.373139 0.898449 1.984975 4.004774 7.850118
2025-12-28 0.043189 0.140455 0.377483 0.934080 2.109936 4.333543 8.628887
2026-01-04 0.040363 0.137261 0.381125 0.968400 2.234668 4.668946 9.437078
2026-01-11 0.036222 0.129487 0.372744 0.975049 2.303053 4.902082 10.070157
2026-01-18 0.032342 0.121610 0.362947 0.977243 2.361932 5.119984 10.685739
2026-01-25 0.028856 0.114135 0.353047 0.977959 2.417350 5.333853 11.304076
2026-02-01 0.025766 0.107188 0.343480 0.978282 2.471595 5.548017 11.933155