Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-29 0.174132 0.201413 0.230872 0.264962 0.303233 0.344783 0.393212
2026-04-05 0.130785 0.167317 0.210105 0.263552 0.328126 0.403206 0.496656
2026-04-12 0.099752 0.140473 0.191942 0.260881 0.349796 0.459527 0.603950
2026-04-19 0.077172 0.119173 0.176224 0.257727 0.369229 0.514269 0.714636
2026-04-26 0.060543 0.102175 0.162723 0.254546 0.387070 0.567729 0.828120
2026-05-03 0.048376 0.088911 0.151802 0.252608 0.405347 0.622470 0.947338
2026-05-10 0.038798 0.077507 0.141428 0.249384 0.420504 0.673246 1.064367
2026-05-17 0.032789 0.070722 0.136998 0.254263 0.447626 0.742815 1.212957
2026-05-24 0.026754 0.062471 0.128579 0.251137 0.461272 0.792578 1.335111
2026-05-31 0.022388 0.056391 0.122838 0.251463 0.479998 0.850943 1.473645
2026-06-07 0.018379 0.050050 0.115445 0.247621 0.490852 0.896994 1.595308
2026-06-14 0.016435 0.047784 0.115541 0.257404 0.525951 0.984619 1.788350
2026-06-21 0.014674 0.045603 0.115587 0.267319 0.562623 1.078191 1.998312
2026-06-28 0.012518 0.041880 0.111737 0.269008 0.584279 1.147634 2.172545
2026-07-05 0.010538 0.038060 0.106983 0.268153 0.600894 1.209247 2.337050
2026-07-12 0.008815 0.034431 0.101985 0.266035 0.614672 1.266480 2.497056
2026-07-19 0.007356 0.031114 0.097100 0.263428 0.627037 1.321679 2.656287
2026-07-26 0.006182 0.028303 0.092938 0.261826 0.641125 1.380706 2.825242
2026-08-02 0.005145 0.025571 0.088430 0.258737 0.651644 1.433404 2.985230
2026-08-09 0.004540 0.024205 0.087416 0.263913 0.680208 1.522291 3.215969
2026-08-16 0.003782 0.021922 0.083299 0.260771 0.690152 1.575233 3.382165
2026-08-23 0.003231 0.020266 0.080709 0.261159 0.707923 1.644582 3.582522
2026-08-30 0.002671 0.018297 0.076703 0.257222 0.715340 1.693312 3.745568