Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.458840 0.522018 0.589408 0.666493 0.752074 0.844021 0.950121
2025-11-09 0.357784 0.444398 0.543674 0.665255 0.809469 0.974369 1.176452
2025-11-16 0.286216 0.386041 0.508345 0.667695 0.868141 1.110111 1.422278
2025-11-23 0.228900 0.334093 0.471358 0.660773 0.912114 1.230583 1.660438
2025-11-30 0.192127 0.301709 0.453203 0.673333 0.979555 1.384266 1.952126
2025-12-07 0.157676 0.266050 0.424507 0.666386 1.018113 1.501455 2.204114
2025-12-14 0.133765 0.241415 0.407200 0.671892 1.072429 1.642217 2.496692
2025-12-21 0.111090 0.214451 0.382016 0.661518 1.100966 1.746975 2.744472
2025-12-28 0.099331 0.203425 0.379878 0.685456 1.181715 1.931574 3.117830
2026-01-04 0.089118 0.193207 0.377328 0.707656 1.260554 2.117470 3.503523
2026-01-11 0.077701 0.178634 0.365096 0.711756 1.309713 2.259993 3.830884
2026-01-18 0.067814 0.165179 0.352830 0.713883 1.354785 2.397734 4.157384
2026-01-25 0.058891 0.152207 0.339961 0.713872 1.396785 2.534340 4.492336
2026-02-01 0.051233 0.140474 0.327813 0.713635 1.437947 2.671708 4.836012
2026-02-08 0.044999 0.130714 0.318189 0.716889 1.485119 2.821434 5.207576
2026-02-15 0.038779 0.119661 0.304250 0.709935 1.512544 2.938461 5.530171
2026-02-22 0.034987 0.113898 0.300827 0.723543 1.579054 3.126608 5.982079
2026-03-01 0.030253 0.104581 0.288097 0.716306 1.604637 3.243214 6.316026
2026-03-08 0.026965 0.098513 0.281955 0.722258 1.656100 3.408715 6.742756
2026-03-15 0.023177 0.090055 0.268803 0.711276 1.672447 3.510248 7.060266
2026-03-22 0.021666 0.088225 0.271792 0.736784 1.764946 3.757998 7.651381
2026-03-29 0.020190 0.086176 0.273922 0.760424 1.855002 4.005359 8.252083
2026-04-05 0.018055 0.081386 0.268151 0.764799 1.904393 4.177148 8.720800