Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.623892 0.706067 0.793403 0.892964 1.003140 1.121152 1.256940
2025-10-19 0.496060 0.610258 0.740292 0.898596 1.085334 1.297806 1.557005
2025-10-26 0.399763 0.532038 0.692649 0.900267 1.159601 1.470757 1.870021
2025-11-02 0.326282 0.467970 0.650721 0.900417 1.228920 1.642177 2.196535
2025-11-09 0.269465 0.415032 0.613780 0.899638 1.293930 1.811491 2.533637
2025-11-16 0.226179 0.372778 0.583936 0.902423 1.361080 1.986595 2.890447
2025-11-23 0.188765 0.332334 0.550076 0.893654 1.408839 2.136745 3.222777
2025-11-30 0.164571 0.307907 0.535774 0.910229 1.492230 2.340498 3.641878
2025-12-07 0.139449 0.277472 0.507495 0.900997 1.534440 2.485873 3.985070
2025-12-14 0.121568 0.256297 0.490912 0.907366 1.599473 2.667530 4.391131
2025-12-21 0.103581 0.231682 0.464899 0.894457 1.631229 2.798793 4.727247
2025-12-28 0.095293 0.224117 0.467591 0.930040 1.744117 3.062465 5.281393
2026-01-04 0.087392 0.216242 0.469083 0.964213 1.858416 3.337538 5.873068
2026-01-11 0.077230 0.201824 0.456292 0.970921 1.925546 3.539723 6.359520
2026-01-18 0.067983 0.187678 0.442075 0.973145 1.984335 3.730977 6.838174
2026-01-25 0.059829 0.174461 0.427879 0.973580 2.039276 3.918203 7.319414
2026-02-01 0.052683 0.162236 0.414026 0.972920 2.091494 4.102956 7.805234
2026-02-08 0.046755 0.151870 0.402731 0.976010 2.150476 4.302208 8.325172
2026-02-15 0.040769 0.140054 0.386463 0.966695 2.184084 4.457054 8.774386
2026-02-22 0.037178 0.134128 0.383050 0.984476 2.272235 4.715437 9.418356
2026-03-01 0.032491 0.123946 0.367925 0.974623 2.303300 4.869116 9.880874
2026-03-08 0.029210 0.117285 0.360576 0.981456 2.368900 5.090672 10.476383
2026-03-15 0.025404 0.108000 0.345111 0.967652 2.389649 5.227030 10.920330