Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.935775 1.094575 1.265546 1.462545 1.682485 1.919704 2.194110
2025-04-06 0.658585 0.874954 1.130291 1.450028 1.835676 2.281763 2.832468
2025-04-13 0.493974 0.739430 1.054327 1.478192 2.023350 2.690217 3.555908
2025-04-20 0.374657 0.628934 0.981623 1.488087 2.176587 3.059057 4.252351
2025-04-27 0.290010 0.543597 0.921997 1.497985 2.319730 3.415518 4.948221
2025-05-04 0.223891 0.468501 0.860370 1.490348 2.429479 3.726610 5.595148
2025-05-11 0.169406 0.397524 0.790217 1.456138 2.491176 3.968271 6.154046
2025-05-18 0.135096 0.352873 0.753114 1.464496 2.610525 4.291607 6.835271
2025-05-25 0.102616 0.301955 0.695150 1.429246 2.655960 4.505718 7.366958
2025-06-01 0.083218 0.272707 0.670408 1.444675 2.778548 4.835818 8.075219
2025-06-08 0.065436 0.241152 0.635025 1.435639 2.857951 5.101387 8.696265
2025-06-15 0.057614 0.232328 0.643668 1.506447 3.073240 5.583993 9.656706
2025-06-22 0.049060 0.219227 0.642361 1.560707 3.268107 6.050433 10.622006
2025-06-29 0.037317 0.191685 0.604130 1.539271 3.330077 6.309655 11.283247
2025-07-06 0.030298 0.176132 0.590549 1.565064 3.477015 6.712106 12.180942
2025-07-13 0.023886 0.159246 0.570123 1.573765 3.592342 7.066535 13.014673
2025-07-20 0.018779 0.144334 0.551432 1.583371 3.708790 7.426352 13.867582
2025-07-27 0.014222 0.128421 0.526252 1.575078 3.789432 7.727431 14.634319
2025-08-03 0.010096 0.110683 0.491189 1.539229 3.812723 7.929207 15.244215
2025-08-10 0.007736 0.100458 0.476067 1.547891 3.923603 8.286334 16.118406
2025-08-17 0.005291 0.086257 0.444121 1.511066 3.938814 8.473568 16.714350
2025-08-24 0.004037 0.079135 0.433992 1.527162 4.062950 8.858414 17.650011
2025-08-31 0.002849 0.070280 0.415010 1.517724 4.132115 9.145346 18.426925