Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.666317 0.788828 0.921933 1.076606 1.250690 1.439862 1.660252
2025-04-13 0.454418 0.618010 0.814399 1.064090 1.369451 1.727048 2.173527
2025-04-20 0.320626 0.498673 0.733368 1.056636 1.480871 2.008884 2.704968
2025-04-27 0.234367 0.414692 0.674029 1.057593 1.592193 2.291836 3.255194
2025-05-04 0.172353 0.346522 0.618865 1.048926 1.681229 2.545318 3.779420
2025-05-11 0.124664 0.286000 0.560315 1.021616 1.734368 2.747281 4.241560
2025-05-18 0.095618 0.248418 0.528867 1.027288 1.830703 3.010306 4.797218
2025-05-25 0.069685 0.207744 0.482752 1.000186 1.870438 3.189759 5.240144
2025-06-01 0.054557 0.184415 0.462484 1.011757 1.968748 3.457949 5.820441
2025-06-08 0.041306 0.160142 0.434798 1.004962 2.033956 3.676719 6.335229
2025-06-15 0.035265 0.152300 0.439010 1.056503 2.199749 4.058628 7.109535
2025-06-22 0.028945 0.140923 0.433019 1.086924 2.329951 4.389154 7.817283
2025-06-29 0.020962 0.120458 0.402647 1.066765 2.372106 4.585537 8.335809
2025-07-06 0.016322 0.108922 0.391285 1.084276 2.484269 4.903425 9.060447
2025-07-13 0.012278 0.096846 0.375539 1.090051 2.574551 5.188999 9.745308
2025-07-20 0.009189 0.086378 0.361358 1.096959 2.666730 5.481392 10.451597
2025-07-27 0.006565 0.075477 0.342749 1.090649 2.731669 5.728739 11.092362
2025-08-03 0.004322 0.063608 0.317252 1.063624 2.751905 5.897201 11.607324
2025-08-10 0.003100 0.056793 0.306068 1.069976 2.840071 6.189463 12.338068
2025-08-17 0.001923 0.047606 0.283118 1.042218 2.853653 6.346124 12.843157
2025-08-24 0.001356 0.043014 0.275687 1.054260 2.952405 6.661823 13.628352
2025-08-31 0.000860 0.037451 0.262159 1.047287 3.008525 6.899847 14.285942
2025-09-07 0.000707 0.036771 0.269447 1.100513 3.202047 7.403420 15.420118