Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 1.073977 1.248957 1.436712 1.652394 1.892523 2.150876 2.449054
2025-05-18 0.795042 1.042402 1.332046 1.692369 2.124515 2.622016 3.233686
2025-05-25 0.579176 0.852798 1.200658 1.665602 2.260254 2.984529 3.921558
2025-06-01 0.449400 0.736488 1.129482 1.688348 2.442483 3.403815 4.698407
2025-06-08 0.347574 0.632533 1.051147 1.681414 2.573574 3.756791 5.405445
2025-06-15 0.293544 0.585458 1.040941 1.759875 2.817514 4.264638 6.334895
2025-06-22 0.243346 0.532180 1.010397 1.800057 3.004290 4.699767 7.183744
2025-06-29 0.191399 0.462920 0.941870 1.770641 3.081458 4.980271 7.827900
2025-07-06 0.159668 0.423053 0.914427 1.799649 3.243418 5.384709 8.657914
2025-07-13 0.132877 0.386061 0.885292 1.820250 3.390039 5.769905 9.472352
2025-07-20 0.111776 0.355593 0.862657 1.847525 3.545965 6.172811 10.324739
2025-07-27 0.091885 0.322162 0.828533 1.849371 3.657802 6.510693 11.090576
2025-08-03 0.071473 0.281618 0.774836 1.812221 3.705993 6.759438 11.745174
2025-08-10 0.058242 0.255900 0.748058 1.822725 3.836328 7.144198 12.623612
2025-08-17 0.044356 0.222383 0.697535 1.780493 3.869861 7.374014 13.270975
2025-08-24 0.036286 0.203978 0.678421 1.798353 4.010475 7.782021 14.208376
2025-08-31 0.028531 0.182715 0.647948 1.788418 4.097967 8.104088 15.018960
2025-09-07 0.025405 0.178146 0.659540 1.869526 4.360076 8.728614 16.331966
2025-09-14 0.021422 0.167810 0.653681 1.911109 4.548374 9.233669 17.465789
2025-09-21 0.016218 0.148172 0.617636 1.880055 4.592858 9.491746 18.203259
2025-09-28 0.013386 0.138540 0.608648 1.910347 4.759164 9.966744 19.310045
2025-10-05 0.010867 0.128631 0.596664 1.931883 4.908352 10.415897 20.385182
2025-10-12 0.008892 0.120346 0.588040 1.960432 5.072753 10.896907 21.525480