Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.752310 0.883003 1.024306 1.187793 1.371077 1.569560 1.800080
2025-08-10 0.520277 0.695897 0.904800 1.168421 1.488820 1.862152 2.326363
2025-08-17 0.360981 0.548359 0.792329 1.125292 1.559213 2.096545 2.802285
2025-08-24 0.270752 0.462676 0.733722 1.129482 1.676002 2.386678 3.360901
2025-08-31 0.204361 0.391780 0.677729 1.121865 1.767473 2.643127 3.887560
2025-09-07 0.167314 0.355424 0.662386 1.164582 1.925846 2.993701 4.554764
2025-09-14 0.136365 0.320675 0.641634 1.192944 2.061335 3.316793 5.198472
2025-09-21 0.104603 0.275310 0.594197 1.170615 2.114867 3.521983 5.683643
2025-09-28 0.086562 0.251707 0.579457 1.197764 2.243708 3.840860 6.343057
2025-10-05 0.071685 0.230380 0.564571 1.221273 2.366075 4.153958 7.005504
2025-10-12 0.059220 0.210674 0.548914 1.240279 2.480360 4.458224 7.665427
2025-10-19 0.047411 0.188477 0.523849 1.237960 2.556590 4.704702 8.245843
2025-10-26 0.035451 0.161452 0.484091 1.204277 2.578549 4.870751 8.718767
2025-11-02 0.027923 0.144410 0.463408 1.205629 2.662648 5.142107 9.368677
2025-11-09 0.020342 0.122982 0.427343 1.170153 2.675718 5.295672 9.837754
2025-11-16 0.016071 0.111253 0.412899 1.178213 2.769453 5.587616 10.538062
2025-11-23 0.012249 0.098739 0.393309 1.171924 2.834238 5.831871 11.168593
2025-11-30 0.010453 0.094490 0.396086 1.216817 3.001812 6.261174 12.117608
2025-12-07 0.008608 0.088601 0.392668 1.246470 3.140334 6.644385 13.001633
2025-12-14 0.006212 0.077098 0.368847 1.223483 3.169527 6.833187 13.564574
2025-12-21 0.005060 0.072363 0.365817 1.251641 3.305964 7.220216 14.474793
2025-12-28 0.004066 0.067619 0.361564 1.275998 3.435496 7.599050 15.381553
2026-01-04 0.003212 0.062819 0.355848 1.295678 3.555833 7.964901 16.275841