Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.697099 0.823802 0.961276 1.120827 1.300188 1.494880 1.721465
2025-04-13 0.480295 0.650687 0.854666 1.113363 1.429028 1.797952 2.257734
2025-04-20 0.341387 0.527731 0.772308 1.107966 1.547072 2.092116 2.808933
2025-04-27 0.251000 0.440401 0.711228 1.109926 1.663453 2.385519 3.376966
2025-05-04 0.185552 0.369033 0.653882 1.101187 1.755858 2.647231 3.916339
2025-05-11 0.135009 0.305536 0.592950 1.073125 1.811216 2.855865 4.391739
2025-05-18 0.104088 0.266023 0.560221 1.079234 1.911111 3.127151 4.962646
2025-05-25 0.076345 0.223137 0.512082 1.051245 1.952431 3.312219 5.417470
2025-06-01 0.060091 0.198506 0.490958 1.063432 2.054265 3.588513 6.012883
2025-06-08 0.045770 0.172775 0.461937 1.056336 2.121547 3.813352 6.540081
2025-06-15 0.039214 0.164445 0.466325 1.109825 2.292611 4.205658 7.332543
2025-06-22 0.032460 0.152774 0.461015 1.143368 2.430451 4.550786 8.065475
2025-06-29 0.023738 0.131081 0.429413 1.122991 2.475007 4.754198 8.598592
2025-07-06 0.018635 0.118843 0.417690 1.141652 2.591615 5.082005 9.341793
2025-07-13 0.014144 0.105940 0.401200 1.147794 2.685029 5.375541 10.042443
2025-07-20 0.010686 0.094717 0.386289 1.154986 2.780131 5.675546 10.763996
2025-07-27 0.007720 0.082980 0.366632 1.148251 2.846743 5.928582 11.417235
2025-08-03 0.005164 0.070205 0.339816 1.120248 2.867794 6.101623 11.943413
2025-08-10 0.003756 0.062862 0.328087 1.127002 2.958999 6.401749 12.690016
2025-08-17 0.002380 0.052921 0.303917 1.098244 2.973239 6.562728 13.206015
2025-08-24 0.001708 0.047950 0.296131 1.110935 3.075387 6.886840 14.007926
2025-08-31 0.001109 0.041889 0.281823 1.103632 3.133109 7.130424 14.677970
2025-09-07 0.000923 0.041147 0.289520 1.158975 3.332452 7.645973 15.833742