Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.713157 0.837232 0.971482 1.126934 1.301356 1.490404 1.710158
2025-09-07 0.521405 0.694903 0.900981 1.160762 1.476262 1.843721 2.300523
2025-09-14 0.391959 0.587918 0.841214 1.184938 1.630836 2.181024 2.901581
2025-09-21 0.287792 0.484680 0.760576 1.161144 1.711999 2.426189 3.403145
2025-09-28 0.228569 0.427512 0.726885 1.187294 1.851683 2.748064 4.016970
2025-10-05 0.184187 0.380973 0.697554 1.210530 1.982949 3.061561 4.633464
2025-10-12 0.149603 0.341380 0.670201 1.229403 2.104434 3.364169 5.247191
2025-10-19 0.118964 0.300540 0.632595 1.224786 2.186314 3.610999 5.791452
2025-10-26 0.091786 0.258579 0.584836 1.195436 2.223875 3.791083 6.244773
2025-11-02 0.074595 0.232429 0.560483 1.200981 2.314293 4.051595 6.823699
2025-11-09 0.056772 0.198962 0.515600 1.163405 2.328497 4.193239 7.228856
2025-11-16 0.046251 0.179969 0.496066 1.168784 2.413310 4.446764 7.810934
2025-11-23 0.036445 0.159681 0.470848 1.161781 2.478690 4.677263 8.375791
2025-11-30 0.031345 0.151500 0.471420 1.205891 2.638436 5.069761 9.211856
2025-12-07 0.026240 0.141188 0.465037 1.234846 2.772299 5.425713 10.004178
2025-12-14 0.019896 0.123199 0.435895 1.211932 2.807208 5.616477 10.538277
2025-12-21 0.016597 0.115125 0.430586 1.239688 2.939407 5.977789 11.361127
2025-12-28 0.013747 0.107288 0.424234 1.264029 3.065929 6.333917 12.186813
2026-01-04 0.011264 0.099527 0.416380 1.283684 3.183824 6.679074 13.004858
2026-01-11 0.008727 0.089452 0.399243 1.278960 3.251591 6.937262 13.684652
2026-01-18 0.006309 0.077542 0.373149 1.248612 3.263697 7.094694 14.197662
2026-01-25 0.004927 0.070756 0.362063 1.254359 3.351040 7.391714 14.957623
2026-02-01 0.003376 0.060375 0.335313 1.215472 3.339448 7.504389 15.401053