Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.306133 3.672698 4.069987 4.533688 5.061445 5.645029 6.341408
2025-05-04 2.821693 3.322262 3.903697 4.633357 5.530673 6.605981 8.003948
2025-05-11 2.494340 3.064281 3.760994 4.684372 5.889529 7.427871 9.570646
2025-05-18 2.253721 2.863867 3.640919 4.717601 6.193802 8.181078 11.118330
2025-05-25 2.005560 2.618023 3.424050 4.581908 6.235025 8.561465 12.177552
2025-06-01 1.832510 2.449827 3.286339 4.527659 6.366530 9.062516 13.455297
2025-06-08 1.695815 2.316044 3.178925 4.497773 6.518870 9.597009 14.840561
2025-06-15 1.633270 2.278953 3.201406 4.654333 6.959858 10.612945 17.134710
2025-06-22 1.531229 2.175033 3.115438 4.634669 7.117994 11.189145 18.760789
2025-06-29 1.434094 2.070120 3.018024 4.585214 7.217841 11.672563 20.282679
2025-07-06 1.303833 1.905695 2.816796 4.350638 6.983237 11.551298 20.657443
2025-07-13 1.245120 1.847003 2.775233 4.372141 7.184996 12.217338 22.637159
2025-07-20 1.203631 1.813862 2.773881 4.464523 7.527604 13.194482 25.433401
2025-07-27 1.163616 1.780239 2.769030 4.550131 7.867002 14.209357 28.495267
2025-08-03 1.119671 1.736965 2.744446 4.597719 8.138954 15.124967 31.506874
2025-08-10 1.076597 1.692052 2.713348 4.629774 8.382712 16.012188 34.618580
2025-08-17 1.009152 1.601975 2.598352 4.496984 8.286775 16.174797 36.018901
2025-08-24 0.960263 1.540539 2.529100 4.443910 8.344936 16.673291 38.346096
2025-08-31 0.918833 1.489515 2.474829 4.414675 8.448415 17.283454 41.081131
2025-09-07 0.907371 1.490015 2.512824 4.567796 8.952169 18.871708 46.797364
2025-09-14 0.871967 1.445945 2.466344 4.548566 9.079849 19.593148 50.235686
2025-09-21 0.834999 1.397056 2.407871 4.500198 9.137507 20.151918 53.320080
2025-09-28 0.776682 1.306610 2.266430 4.270751 8.763561 19.591496 52.872444