Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.463387 3.863571 4.297774 4.804938 5.382382 6.020888 6.782442
2025-03-02 2.798547 3.315413 3.916472 4.670948 5.598063 6.706979 8.144020
2025-03-09 2.407015 2.981004 3.683831 4.615497 5.829636 7.374130 9.513066
2025-03-16 2.124157 2.725252 3.492314 4.555142 6.008805 7.955537 10.807788
2025-03-23 1.992472 2.638246 3.493490 4.727137 6.491124 8.969256 12.798640
2025-03-30 1.825650 2.481832 3.378333 4.716299 6.703613 9.613548 14.325114
2025-04-06 1.677699 2.334226 3.256250 4.674798 6.855239 10.170575 15.774352
2025-04-13 1.493514 2.117516 3.013782 4.427603 6.663340 10.171507 16.320457
2025-04-20 1.402856 2.028446 2.948358 4.438178 6.866090 10.806262 17.988574
2025-04-27 1.343306 1.979900 2.937767 4.529801 7.202970 11.689855 20.199594
2025-05-04 1.288638 1.933708 2.925529 4.614942 7.533554 12.593668 22.567299
2025-05-11 1.231308 1.878465 2.893565 4.662530 7.801146 13.411558 24.883154
2025-05-18 1.174905 1.822269 2.858230 4.705577 8.073219 14.284270 27.474823
2025-05-25 1.091227 1.715996 2.732711 4.581233 8.029248 14.560628 28.892210
2025-06-01 1.028662 1.640125 2.652092 4.528356 8.110639 15.084144 30.910279
2025-06-08 0.970757 1.568069 2.572464 4.469592 8.173143 15.574208 32.927966
2025-06-15 0.954800 1.566293 2.614177 4.637919 8.695801 17.066819 37.494894
2025-06-22 0.912012 1.514915 2.564069 4.627330 8.856336 17.812624 40.410000
2025-06-29 0.868146 1.458816 2.501425 4.586732 8.949756 18.421507 43.088815
2025-07-06 0.799220 1.353947 2.342979 4.344878 8.594996 17.986097 43.006680
2025-07-13 0.769755 1.318876 2.311717 4.355226 8.783782 18.816908 46.429855
2025-07-20 0.752513 1.305080 2.319303 4.444874 9.155209 20.122257 51.404924
2025-07-27 0.735344 1.290305 2.323837 4.528175 9.520562 21.460382 56.747192