Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.444022 1.562387 1.687483 1.829824 1.987633 2.157612 2.355052
2025-12-28 1.263087 1.426466 1.608765 1.828334 2.087048 2.383946 2.752966
2026-01-04 1.155551 1.346339 1.567875 1.846334 2.190103 2.604694 3.148804
2026-01-11 1.078598 1.288413 1.539999 1.867479 2.287788 2.816501 3.543862
2026-01-18 1.016408 1.239908 1.515310 1.884726 2.375199 3.015625 3.934923
2026-01-25 0.959189 1.191401 1.484350 1.887748 2.439624 3.184730 4.296514
2026-02-01 0.893921 1.127035 1.426933 1.849108 2.441549 3.264747 4.535242
2026-02-08 0.841993 1.076171 1.382906 1.823620 2.456978 3.361291 4.802902
2026-02-15 0.801220 1.037285 1.351782 1.812514 2.489933 3.482987 5.117191
2026-02-22 0.780822 1.024447 1.354811 1.848777 2.592875 3.714945 5.626356
2026-03-01 0.747151 0.991131 1.326868 1.837512 2.622605 3.835327 5.963616
2026-03-08 0.712066 0.953879 1.291014 1.811700 2.627144 3.914687 6.237204
2026-03-15 0.668095 0.902492 1.232973 1.750163 2.573209 3.897928 6.346195
2026-03-22 0.646465 0.882248 1.219282 1.755386 2.625666 4.060463 6.794874
2026-03-29 0.630004 0.868600 1.214381 1.773498 2.699652 4.264626 7.343714
2026-04-05 0.615288 0.856695 1.211238 1.793751 2.777963 4.482078 7.943780
2026-04-12 0.600615 0.844066 1.206146 1.810168 2.850311 4.694303 8.559410
2026-04-19 0.583657 0.827147 1.193446 1.813043 2.898799 4.866209 9.112916
2026-04-26 0.558612 0.796786 1.158261 1.776315 2.874219 4.898134 9.369905
2026-05-03 0.537975 0.772413 1.131429 1.752084 2.870175 4.968345 9.718673
2026-05-10 0.521564 0.753979 1.113243 1.741523 2.890153 5.086649 10.190957
2026-05-17 0.515612 0.751709 1.120935 1.776001 2.995998 5.385383 11.126738
2026-05-24 0.500688 0.734578 1.103550 1.765291 3.015124 5.507968 11.654480