Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.302753 3.647100 4.020154 4.455680 4.951863 5.501502 6.159121
2025-09-07 2.868555 3.342144 3.891191 4.579973 5.428264 6.448402 7.782604
2025-09-14 2.529101 3.059134 3.703781 4.555777 5.667702 7.091617 9.089562
2025-09-21 2.275465 2.833715 3.538704 4.510124 5.839299 7.633008 10.305898
2025-09-28 2.020046 2.572548 3.290876 4.313610 5.766792 7.813112 11.018542
2025-10-05 1.893889 2.464782 3.228397 4.351366 6.008466 8.445359 12.465914
2025-10-12 1.801529 2.391706 3.202077 4.430385 6.309042 9.189515 14.190360
2025-10-19 1.720469 2.325707 3.176870 4.503518 6.601697 9.948783 16.053480
2025-10-26 1.646267 2.262361 3.148000 4.564547 6.876412 10.706079 18.033017
2025-11-02 1.572075 2.192683 3.102688 4.593004 7.096890 11.393701 19.997757
2025-11-09 1.466282 2.068616 2.965479 4.461575 7.033252 11.572238 21.002650
2025-11-16 1.386834 1.979034 2.874508 4.396397 7.074133 11.939414 22.445529
2025-11-23 1.321053 1.907911 2.809826 4.373272 7.193638 12.481466 24.394742
2025-11-30 1.291525 1.891210 2.830301 4.496160 7.590915 13.614545 27.902805
2025-12-07 1.234849 1.827846 2.770242 4.472735 7.710677 14.206755 30.283059
2025-12-14 1.178881 1.762244 2.701894 4.428151 7.783583 14.709269 32.555174
2025-12-21 1.100249 1.655654 2.558459 4.236075 7.545986 14.513122 32.980796
2025-12-28 1.068222 1.623967 2.540117 4.272983 7.772592 15.370710 36.443061
2026-01-04 1.045152 1.605747 2.543459 4.350222 8.089780 16.481101 40.923255
2026-01-11 1.022472 1.586810 2.544063 4.421700 8.401996 17.628570 45.860054
2026-01-18 0.999240 1.565593 2.539068 4.481344 8.694541 18.775130 51.163956
2026-01-25 0.972634 1.537109 2.519105 4.509153 8.918569 19.784644 56.353988
2026-02-01 0.925398 1.470383 2.425665 4.380707 8.771332 19.797619 58.041254