Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.299406 3.640496 4.010048 4.441562 4.933322 5.478296 6.130710
2025-09-28 2.687924 3.120356 3.620226 4.245502 5.013345 5.934141 7.135073
2025-10-05 2.405968 2.898138 3.494843 4.281055 5.304048 6.610419 8.438667
2025-10-12 2.221987 2.757037 3.431274 4.358600 5.625562 7.333698 9.878404
2025-10-19 2.077901 2.643428 3.379832 4.430885 5.929811 8.051406 11.398818
2025-10-26 1.956943 2.544140 3.331021 4.491662 6.212130 8.758504 12.998602
2025-11-02 1.845103 2.444663 3.268655 4.520165 6.441297 9.403738 14.592464
2025-11-09 1.701874 2.288850 3.111848 4.391524 6.412327 9.635396 15.524860
2025-11-16 1.595668 2.176873 3.007578 4.328929 6.474222 10.012277 16.759498
2025-11-23 1.512406 2.091601 2.934816 4.305890 6.593101 10.492315 18.255267
2025-11-30 1.475307 2.071070 2.956210 4.431141 6.967904 11.459279 20.859914
2025-12-07 1.404960 1.995554 2.887136 4.401934 7.071788 11.946183 22.579115
2025-12-14 1.334534 1.917138 2.810410 4.357212 7.150190 12.408343 24.370599
2025-12-21 1.239157 1.794824 2.656467 4.169426 6.950503 12.307522 24.888438
2025-12-28 1.198053 1.755248 2.632980 4.204640 7.167590 13.065085 27.570287
2026-01-04 1.168114 1.731397 2.633099 4.280499 7.468871 14.037650 31.014125
2026-01-11 1.139269 1.707402 2.630925 4.351159 7.766478 15.045529 34.815460
2026-01-18 1.110342 1.681458 2.623391 4.410559 8.046848 16.057078 38.912361
2026-01-25 1.077990 1.647940 2.600434 4.438414 8.263815 16.955048 42.946482
2026-02-01 1.022933 1.573491 2.501608 4.312689 8.139515 17.016791 44.431554
2026-02-08 0.981759 1.520726 2.438252 4.251506 8.149547 17.411033 47.104008
2026-02-15 0.949096 1.481029 2.396051 4.228985 8.242991 18.030751 50.732324
2026-02-22 0.939538 1.480765 2.424954 4.351410 8.678688 19.616952 58.356259