Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.501870 2.737966 2.991438 3.284631 3.615449 3.978345 4.408151
2025-10-26 2.169453 2.491247 2.858802 3.312820 3.862871 4.513225 5.348617
2025-11-02 1.953059 2.320863 2.760131 3.329677 4.057859 4.970531 6.221808
2025-11-09 1.749132 2.132307 2.605555 3.242390 4.091605 5.206731 6.819380
2025-11-16 1.606433 2.001034 2.502507 3.199316 4.163441 5.483214 7.487013
2025-11-23 1.499667 1.903816 2.430570 3.183864 4.261729 5.795021 8.232335
2025-11-30 1.444462 1.868094 2.434151 3.267187 4.500264 6.324914 9.368033
2025-12-07 1.362591 1.788983 2.370423 3.246587 4.580794 6.622265 10.171234
2025-12-14 1.285072 1.709871 2.299700 3.207586 4.626117 6.864385 10.909284
2025-12-21 1.192401 1.603324 2.182096 3.088166 4.533450 6.871672 11.234559
2025-12-28 1.146115 1.560080 2.152966 3.099845 4.647863 7.228777 12.236280
2026-01-04 1.110658 1.530099 2.140803 3.135676 4.802824 7.668573 13.457367
2026-01-11 1.077980 1.503289 2.133007 3.179955 4.979870 8.174662 14.911878
2026-01-18 1.046237 1.476009 2.122593 3.218837 5.150965 8.690320 16.482670
2026-01-25 1.012216 1.443150 2.101036 3.236753 5.285316 9.151104 18.020689
2026-02-01 0.958633 1.377215 2.023058 3.152772 5.225501 9.224218 18.688859
2026-02-08 0.918137 1.329718 1.971947 3.111238 5.240126 9.446675 19.749538
2026-02-15 0.885978 1.293800 1.937572 3.096330 5.303273 9.775294 21.135519
2026-02-22 0.874546 1.290306 1.956155 3.176735 5.558243 10.542228 23.819519
2026-03-01 0.844967 1.255974 1.921145 3.156859 5.611160 10.872391 25.402178
2026-03-08 0.814058 1.218100 1.878168 3.119224 5.624203 11.113413 26.787757
2026-03-15 0.771376 1.159143 1.796439 3.003959 5.466757 10.941219 26.920584
2026-03-22 0.752824 1.139581 1.781856 3.015234 5.576936 11.416341 29.141338