Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 3.773629 4.199064 4.661625 5.203356 5.822233 6.509299 7.332711
2025-05-25 3.078029 3.626270 4.264754 5.068487 6.060527 7.254356 8.814068
2025-06-01 2.667775 3.275845 4.020584 5.010123 6.305941 7.966888 10.292589
2025-06-08 2.384266 3.025587 3.843356 4.978756 6.540166 8.650806 11.787802
2025-06-15 2.242793 2.930934 3.840816 5.155800 7.048011 9.736994 13.968840
2025-06-22 2.061555 2.759619 3.710582 5.131618 7.256124 10.407267 15.619773
2025-06-29 1.900876 2.598531 3.574176 5.075957 7.399552 10.982722 17.188819
2025-07-06 1.704397 2.368838 3.317524 4.812798 7.191237 10.977200 17.788577
2025-07-13 1.611481 2.280395 3.257364 4.837887 7.430406 11.706729 19.740176
2025-07-20 1.546857 2.227636 3.244201 4.931578 7.785306 12.664110 22.242472
2025-07-27 1.492054 2.184696 3.241015 5.038142 8.168839 13.712161 25.082170
2025-08-03 1.434543 2.132755 3.218460 5.108363 8.493309 14.689114 27.942816
2025-08-10 1.372313 2.070757 3.177649 5.148371 8.776689 15.642880 30.971865
2025-08-17 1.278330 1.951718 3.035104 4.999017 8.695856 15.883498 32.503867
2025-08-24 1.209750 1.869467 2.947501 4.938600 8.774537 16.448431 34.870958
2025-08-31 1.152332 1.801886 2.879620 4.907204 8.904400 17.132643 37.650892
2025-09-07 1.133974 1.798403 2.921179 5.081083 9.460191 18.796862 43.207987
2025-09-14 1.085163 1.739751 2.861600 5.057299 9.607500 19.581369 46.663949
2025-09-21 1.035371 1.676442 2.789399 5.002598 9.683049 20.211307 49.839992
2025-09-28 0.959375 1.563246 2.620317 4.743963 9.294259 19.703350 49.692147
2025-10-05 0.928895 1.529085 2.593825 4.768622 9.529153 20.724063 54.256259
2025-10-12 0.909433 1.513455 2.600439 4.860706 9.924446 22.198042 60.582823
2025-10-19 0.892543 1.501436 2.612842 4.965435 10.360219 23.843155 67.921952