Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 3.485027 3.860687 4.268384 4.745129 5.289087 5.892445 6.615164
2025-07-27 2.997526 3.510040 4.105883 4.855225 5.780070 6.894106 8.352746
2025-08-03 2.670925 3.255335 3.969771 4.918504 6.162092 7.760542 10.010117
2025-08-10 2.422896 3.047529 3.842213 4.944990 6.464058 8.526325 11.615335
2025-08-17 2.165553 2.791681 3.613662 4.795109 6.489403 8.895753 12.694669
2025-08-24 1.984105 2.613985 3.464292 4.725730 6.602425 9.381655 13.992413
2025-08-31 1.845608 2.479695 3.357633 4.698420 6.762422 9.941896 15.473748
2025-09-07 1.774688 2.431789 3.365123 4.833315 7.174437 10.932594 17.811228
2025-09-14 1.669944 2.325688 3.277014 4.811026 7.331100 11.522158 19.540023
2025-09-21 1.570947 2.219924 3.179571 4.762255 7.434464 12.027083 21.187844
2025-09-28 1.443171 2.062166 2.990960 4.549623 7.237955 11.979279 21.756668
2025-10-05 1.384992 2.006174 2.955154 4.582342 7.464519 12.716147 24.016451
2025-10-12 1.340637 1.970184 2.950530 4.670795 7.806976 13.729427 27.091901
2025-10-19 1.302157 1.940803 2.954144 4.773376 8.186798 14.869898 30.701503
2025-10-26 1.258643 1.900189 2.935744 4.834400 8.493532 15.905661 34.303394
2025-11-02 1.212210 1.851646 2.900130 4.860166 8.732883 16.832883 37.855923
2025-11-09 1.139559 1.755438 2.776835 4.713403 8.610306 16.956414 39.356555
2025-11-16 1.085922 1.688089 2.699061 4.645468 8.641089 17.424955 41.897784
2025-11-23 1.042917 1.636368 2.645307 4.618727 8.754557 18.098691 45.186428
2025-11-30 1.027251 1.630507 2.672309 4.750803 9.222450 19.684736 51.618755
2025-12-07 0.989789 1.584642 2.624054 4.728982 9.348470 20.450550 55.727948
2025-12-14 0.951130 1.534705 2.565351 4.681231 9.410556 21.063359 59.519602
2025-12-21 0.892975 1.447535 2.433137 4.473017 9.082550 20.611458 59.543661