Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.463105 3.856665 4.283741 4.782761 5.351281 5.980461 6.731753
2025-04-06 2.857083 3.375371 3.978179 4.735391 5.667124 6.783812 8.235002
2025-04-13 2.375949 2.925899 3.597764 4.487007 5.645013 7.118445 9.161760
2025-04-20 2.134905 2.720782 3.466424 4.497834 5.907797 7.797665 10.573756
2025-04-27 1.980108 2.599439 3.416209 4.590767 6.267472 8.623175 12.271522
2025-05-04 1.853513 2.497382 3.373590 4.678056 6.614384 9.454353 14.073794
2025-05-11 1.736288 2.393886 3.314095 4.727339 6.900753 10.216628 15.861795
2025-05-18 1.631970 2.297331 3.252282 4.761241 7.159063 10.954515 17.701006
2025-05-25 1.495989 2.142493 3.090127 4.623679 7.128910 11.220883 18.770304
2025-06-01 1.397742 2.035403 2.989369 4.569581 7.222274 11.692336 20.253251
2025-06-08 1.315984 1.946724 2.908783 4.538235 7.346080 12.222730 21.910400
2025-06-15 1.286371 1.935950 2.948035 4.704883 7.821769 13.422125 25.019874
2025-06-22 1.217941 1.860601 2.880656 4.689995 7.983865 14.084392 27.201387
2025-06-29 1.150216 1.781829 2.801896 4.648405 8.093088 14.660376 29.302229
2025-07-06 1.051511 1.645956 2.618530 4.406157 7.803156 14.423845 29.601517
2025-07-13 1.006619 1.596578 2.577836 4.416909 7.995473 15.171476 32.230390
2025-07-20 0.978844 1.574020 2.581174 4.507912 8.352445 16.299998 35.948749
2025-07-27 0.952037 1.551185 2.581972 4.593361 8.705976 17.464971 39.977644
2025-08-03 0.921362 1.519541 2.564542 4.641600 8.986708 18.505010 43.893281
2025-08-10 0.890606 1.485782 2.540748 4.674782 9.238071 19.509924 47.918188
2025-08-17 0.838839 1.411414 2.437355 4.540136 9.111366 19.615107 49.479102
2025-08-24 0.801676 1.361501 2.376529 4.487180 9.159733 20.144294 52.356328
2025-08-31 0.769843 1.319644 2.328358 4.456495 9.255043 20.800490 55.747398