Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000274 0.000307 0.000343 0.000384 0.000431 0.000483 0.000544
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000209 0.000255 0.000309 0.000377 0.000463 0.000566 0.000701
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000175 0.000227 0.000293 0.000382 0.000502 0.000658 0.000878
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000152 0.000207 0.000280 0.000385 0.000535 0.000743 0.001055
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000128 0.000181 0.000256 0.000368 0.000536 0.000780 0.001169
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000115 0.000169 0.000247 0.000370 0.000562 0.000856 0.001347
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000108 0.000164 0.000248 0.000386 0.000611 0.000970 0.001601
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000096 0.000151 0.000235 0.000378 0.000620 0.001021 0.001757
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000136 0.000217 0.000360 0.000609 0.001037 0.001853
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000079 0.000130 0.000214 0.000364 0.000637 0.001121 0.002084
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000129 0.000217 0.000382 0.000689 0.001256 0.002427
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000121 0.000209 0.000376 0.000698 0.001312 0.002626
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000114 0.000203 0.000375 0.000718 0.001392 0.002893
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000059 0.000107 0.000194 0.000368 0.000724 0.001448 0.003119
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000103 0.000191 0.000373 0.000755 0.001560 0.003487
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000099 0.000188 0.000376 0.000783 0.001668 0.003867
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000091 0.000176 0.000359 0.000766 0.001676 0.004008
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000088 0.000172 0.000361 0.000791 0.001780 0.004404
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000087 0.000176 0.000377 0.000849 0.001970 0.005058
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000082 0.000169 0.000369 0.000850 0.002025 0.005363
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000037 0.000076 0.000158 0.000351 0.000826 0.002012 0.005478
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000074 0.000156 0.000355 0.000856 0.002142 0.006025
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000074 0.000160 0.000372 0.000920 0.002371 0.006911