Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000137 0.000151 0.000167 0.000184 0.000204 0.000225 0.000251
2025-06-15 0.000111 0.000131 0.000156 0.000186 0.000222 0.000266 0.000322
2025-06-22 0.000096 0.000120 0.000150 0.000189 0.000241 0.000307 0.000398
2025-06-29 0.000083 0.000108 0.000140 0.000185 0.000247 0.000331 0.000454
2025-07-06 0.000071 0.000096 0.000129 0.000177 0.000247 0.000344 0.000496
2025-07-13 0.000065 0.000090 0.000125 0.000178 0.000257 0.000374 0.000563
2025-07-20 0.000060 0.000086 0.000123 0.000181 0.000270 0.000408 0.000642
2025-07-27 0.000055 0.000081 0.000119 0.000179 0.000277 0.000432 0.000708
2025-08-03 0.000052 0.000078 0.000117 0.000182 0.000289 0.000467 0.000796
2025-08-10 0.000048 0.000074 0.000113 0.000179 0.000294 0.000488 0.000863
2025-08-17 0.000045 0.000070 0.000109 0.000178 0.000299 0.000512 0.000936
2025-08-24 0.000042 0.000066 0.000105 0.000175 0.000301 0.000529 0.001000
2025-08-31 0.000038 0.000061 0.000099 0.000168 0.000297 0.000538 0.001050
2025-09-07 0.000036 0.000059 0.000098 0.000170 0.000309 0.000577 0.001172
2025-09-14 0.000034 0.000058 0.000097 0.000174 0.000324 0.000625 0.001320
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000054 0.000093 0.000170 0.000325 0.000644 0.001408
2025-09-28 0.000029 0.000050 0.000088 0.000163 0.000318 0.000645 0.001453
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000049 0.000086 0.000164 0.000327 0.000682 0.001592
2025-10-12 0.000027 0.000048 0.000086 0.000166 0.000340 0.000730 0.001765
2025-10-19 0.000025 0.000046 0.000084 0.000165 0.000345 0.000759 0.001898
2025-10-26 0.000024 0.000045 0.000083 0.000167 0.000358 0.000810 0.002099
2025-11-02 0.000023 0.000043 0.000081 0.000165 0.000360 0.000835 0.002232
2025-11-09 0.000022 0.000041 0.000079 0.000163 0.000365 0.000865 0.002386