Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000157 0.000174 0.000192 0.000212 0.000236 0.000261 0.000290
2025-09-07 0.000126 0.000150 0.000178 0.000213 0.000256 0.000307 0.000372
2025-09-14 0.000109 0.000137 0.000172 0.000218 0.000278 0.000354 0.000459
2025-09-21 0.000094 0.000123 0.000161 0.000214 0.000286 0.000384 0.000526
2025-09-28 0.000081 0.000110 0.000149 0.000206 0.000287 0.000401 0.000577
2025-10-05 0.000074 0.000104 0.000146 0.000208 0.000302 0.000440 0.000662
2025-10-12 0.000070 0.000100 0.000144 0.000213 0.000321 0.000485 0.000762
2025-10-19 0.000063 0.000094 0.000138 0.000210 0.000326 0.000509 0.000831
2025-10-26 0.000060 0.000090 0.000136 0.000213 0.000340 0.000550 0.000932
2025-11-02 0.000055 0.000085 0.000131 0.000210 0.000346 0.000576 0.001010
2025-11-09 0.000051 0.000081 0.000128 0.000210 0.000355 0.000608 0.001105
2025-11-16 0.000048 0.000077 0.000124 0.000208 0.000360 0.000633 0.001188
2025-11-23 0.000044 0.000071 0.000117 0.000201 0.000357 0.000645 0.001249
2025-11-30 0.000041 0.000068 0.000115 0.000201 0.000367 0.000684 0.001372
2025-12-07 0.000039 0.000067 0.000114 0.000205 0.000385 0.000739 0.001538
2025-12-14 0.000036 0.000063 0.000110 0.000202 0.000387 0.000762 0.001639
2025-12-21 0.000033 0.000058 0.000104 0.000194 0.000380 0.000767 0.001697
2025-12-28 0.000032 0.000057 0.000103 0.000197 0.000394 0.000818 0.001873
2026-01-04 0.000031 0.000056 0.000103 0.000201 0.000414 0.000884 0.002094
2026-01-11 0.000029 0.000054 0.000100 0.000198 0.000417 0.000910 0.002222
2026-01-18 0.000028 0.000052 0.000099 0.000201 0.000431 0.000967 0.002439
2026-01-25 0.000027 0.000050 0.000096 0.000199 0.000435 0.000999 0.002592
2026-02-01 0.000025 0.000049 0.000095 0.000198 0.000444 0.001043 0.002789