Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.000108 0.000119 0.000130 0.000143 0.000158 0.000174 0.000192
2026-01-04 0.000088 0.000104 0.000122 0.000145 0.000173 0.000206 0.000247
2026-01-11 0.000074 0.000092 0.000114 0.000143 0.000181 0.000228 0.000292
2026-01-18 0.000065 0.000085 0.000110 0.000144 0.000191 0.000252 0.000340
2026-01-25 0.000058 0.000078 0.000104 0.000142 0.000196 0.000270 0.000381
2026-02-01 0.000052 0.000073 0.000100 0.000142 0.000203 0.000290 0.000428
2026-02-08 0.000047 0.000067 0.000096 0.000139 0.000206 0.000305 0.000467
2026-02-15 0.000043 0.000062 0.000091 0.000136 0.000207 0.000317 0.000502
2026-02-22 0.000040 0.000060 0.000089 0.000137 0.000215 0.000339 0.000557
2026-03-01 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000140 0.000225 0.000365 0.000621
2026-03-08 0.000035 0.000054 0.000085 0.000136 0.000225 0.000375 0.000658
2026-03-15 0.000032 0.000050 0.000080 0.000132 0.000222 0.000380 0.000685
2026-03-22 0.000030 0.000049 0.000079 0.000133 0.000230 0.000404 0.000752
2026-03-29 0.000028 0.000047 0.000078 0.000134 0.000238 0.000430 0.000829
2026-04-05 0.000026 0.000044 0.000075 0.000132 0.000241 0.000446 0.000887
2026-04-12 0.000025 0.000043 0.000074 0.000133 0.000248 0.000472 0.000967
2026-04-19 0.000023 0.000041 0.000071 0.000131 0.000249 0.000487 0.001028
2026-04-26 0.000022 0.000039 0.000070 0.000130 0.000255 0.000510 0.001108
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000037 0.000067 0.000128 0.000255 0.000523 0.001169
2026-05-10 0.000019 0.000035 0.000064 0.000125 0.000255 0.000533 0.001224
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000034 0.000064 0.000126 0.000263 0.000563 0.001329
2026-05-24 0.000018 0.000034 0.000064 0.000129 0.000273 0.000599 0.001457
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000126 0.000271 0.000607 0.001514