Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000139 0.000154 0.000170 0.000187 0.000208 0.000230 0.000255
2025-06-15 0.000113 0.000134 0.000158 0.000189 0.000227 0.000271 0.000329
2025-06-22 0.000098 0.000122 0.000152 0.000193 0.000245 0.000313 0.000406
2025-06-29 0.000084 0.000110 0.000143 0.000189 0.000252 0.000338 0.000464
2025-07-06 0.000072 0.000098 0.000131 0.000181 0.000251 0.000351 0.000506
2025-07-13 0.000066 0.000092 0.000127 0.000181 0.000262 0.000381 0.000575
2025-07-20 0.000061 0.000088 0.000125 0.000184 0.000276 0.000416 0.000656
2025-07-27 0.000056 0.000082 0.000121 0.000183 0.000282 0.000441 0.000723
2025-08-03 0.000053 0.000079 0.000119 0.000185 0.000295 0.000477 0.000814
2025-08-10 0.000049 0.000075 0.000115 0.000183 0.000299 0.000499 0.000882
2025-08-17 0.000046 0.000071 0.000111 0.000181 0.000305 0.000523 0.000957
2025-08-24 0.000042 0.000067 0.000107 0.000178 0.000307 0.000541 0.001024
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000062 0.000101 0.000172 0.000304 0.000550 0.001076
2025-09-07 0.000037 0.000060 0.000100 0.000174 0.000316 0.000591 0.001201
2025-09-14 0.000035 0.000059 0.000099 0.000177 0.000331 0.000640 0.001354
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000055 0.000095 0.000174 0.000332 0.000659 0.001444
2025-09-28 0.000030 0.000051 0.000090 0.000166 0.000325 0.000660 0.001490
2025-10-05 0.000028 0.000050 0.000088 0.000167 0.000334 0.000698 0.001633
2025-10-12 0.000027 0.000048 0.000088 0.000169 0.000347 0.000747 0.001812
2025-10-19 0.000026 0.000046 0.000085 0.000168 0.000352 0.000777 0.001948
2025-10-26 0.000025 0.000046 0.000085 0.000170 0.000366 0.000830 0.002155
2025-11-02 0.000024 0.000044 0.000082 0.000168 0.000368 0.000855 0.002292
2025-11-09 0.000022 0.000042 0.000080 0.000167 0.000373 0.000886 0.002451