Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-22 0.000103 0.000114 0.000125 0.000138 0.000153 0.000169 0.000187
2026-03-29 0.000084 0.000099 0.000118 0.000140 0.000168 0.000200 0.000240
2026-04-05 0.000070 0.000088 0.000109 0.000138 0.000175 0.000221 0.000282
2026-04-12 0.000061 0.000080 0.000104 0.000138 0.000183 0.000242 0.000326
2026-04-19 0.000053 0.000073 0.000099 0.000136 0.000187 0.000259 0.000364
2026-04-26 0.000048 0.000068 0.000095 0.000135 0.000194 0.000278 0.000408
2026-05-03 0.000043 0.000063 0.000091 0.000133 0.000198 0.000293 0.000445
2026-05-10 0.000039 0.000058 0.000086 0.000130 0.000199 0.000304 0.000479
2026-05-17 0.000036 0.000056 0.000085 0.000132 0.000207 0.000326 0.000529
2026-05-24 0.000034 0.000054 0.000084 0.000134 0.000217 0.000350 0.000587
2026-05-31 0.000031 0.000050 0.000080 0.000131 0.000217 0.000361 0.000622
2026-06-07 0.000029 0.000047 0.000076 0.000127 0.000215 0.000366 0.000648
2026-06-14 0.000027 0.000045 0.000075 0.000128 0.000223 0.000390 0.000712
2026-06-21 0.000026 0.000044 0.000074 0.000130 0.000232 0.000416 0.000783
2026-06-28 0.000024 0.000041 0.000071 0.000128 0.000234 0.000430 0.000833
2026-07-05 0.000022 0.000039 0.000070 0.000128 0.000239 0.000451 0.000897
2026-07-12 0.000021 0.000037 0.000067 0.000125 0.000240 0.000464 0.000948
2026-07-19 0.000019 0.000036 0.000066 0.000125 0.000246 0.000485 0.001018
2026-07-26 0.000018 0.000034 0.000063 0.000123 0.000247 0.000499 0.001073
2026-08-02 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000121 0.000247 0.000508 0.001120
2026-08-09 0.000016 0.000031 0.000060 0.000122 0.000254 0.000535 0.001209
2026-08-16 0.000016 0.000031 0.000060 0.000124 0.000264 0.000568 0.001315
2026-08-23 0.000015 0.000029 0.000058 0.000121 0.000263 0.000577 0.001367