Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000179 0.000199 0.000220 0.000244 0.000272 0.000302 0.000338
2025-03-02 0.000141 0.000169 0.000202 0.000244 0.000295 0.000357 0.000437
2025-03-09 0.000118 0.000150 0.000189 0.000242 0.000313 0.000404 0.000532
2025-03-16 0.000099 0.000131 0.000173 0.000232 0.000315 0.000430 0.000601
2025-03-23 0.000089 0.000121 0.000166 0.000233 0.000332 0.000474 0.000700
2025-03-30 0.000082 0.000117 0.000166 0.000242 0.000358 0.000536 0.000833
2025-04-06 0.000074 0.000108 0.000157 0.000236 0.000363 0.000565 0.000918
2025-04-13 0.000065 0.000097 0.000145 0.000225 0.000356 0.000572 0.000969
2025-04-20 0.000060 0.000092 0.000142 0.000226 0.000369 0.000615 0.001086
2025-04-27 0.000057 0.000090 0.000141 0.000231 0.000390 0.000673 0.001238
2025-05-04 0.000053 0.000085 0.000136 0.000229 0.000398 0.000708 0.001353
2025-05-11 0.000050 0.000082 0.000134 0.000230 0.000412 0.000756 0.001499
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000077 0.000129 0.000228 0.000419 0.000793 0.001637
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000074 0.000126 0.000228 0.000433 0.000847 0.001819
2025-06-01 0.000041 0.000070 0.000123 0.000228 0.000443 0.000895 0.001999
2025-06-08 0.000037 0.000065 0.000115 0.000218 0.000434 0.000901 0.002083
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000063 0.000114 0.000219 0.000448 0.000959 0.002304
2025-06-22 0.000034 0.000062 0.000115 0.000227 0.000478 0.001056 0.002648
2025-06-29 0.000032 0.000059 0.000110 0.000222 0.000478 0.001085 0.002813
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000054 0.000103 0.000211 0.000463 0.001073 0.002865
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000053 0.000102 0.000212 0.000476 0.001135 0.003142
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000052 0.000102 0.000217 0.000499 0.001227 0.003534
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000050 0.000099 0.000215 0.000505 0.001275 0.003797