Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000131 0.000145 0.000160 0.000177 0.000196 0.000217 0.000242
2025-07-20 0.000107 0.000127 0.000151 0.000181 0.000217 0.000260 0.000315
2025-07-27 0.000090 0.000113 0.000142 0.000179 0.000229 0.000291 0.000377
2025-08-03 0.000080 0.000105 0.000137 0.000182 0.000244 0.000327 0.000448
2025-08-10 0.000070 0.000096 0.000130 0.000180 0.000251 0.000351 0.000505
2025-08-17 0.000063 0.000089 0.000124 0.000178 0.000258 0.000376 0.000565
2025-08-24 0.000057 0.000082 0.000118 0.000175 0.000262 0.000395 0.000619
2025-08-31 0.000051 0.000075 0.000111 0.000169 0.000262 0.000408 0.000662
2025-09-07 0.000047 0.000072 0.000108 0.000169 0.000270 0.000434 0.000731
2025-09-14 0.000045 0.000069 0.000107 0.000172 0.000282 0.000468 0.000816
2025-09-21 0.000041 0.000065 0.000103 0.000169 0.000284 0.000484 0.000872
2025-09-28 0.000037 0.000060 0.000097 0.000162 0.000280 0.000489 0.000907
2025-10-05 0.000035 0.000058 0.000095 0.000163 0.000289 0.000521 0.001002
2025-10-12 0.000033 0.000056 0.000094 0.000166 0.000302 0.000562 0.001120
2025-10-19 0.000031 0.000053 0.000091 0.000165 0.000308 0.000589 0.001215
2025-10-26 0.000030 0.000052 0.000091 0.000167 0.000321 0.000632 0.001351
2025-11-02 0.000028 0.000049 0.000087 0.000165 0.000324 0.000655 0.001446
2025-11-09 0.000026 0.000047 0.000085 0.000163 0.000329 0.000682 0.001553
2025-11-16 0.000024 0.000044 0.000082 0.000160 0.000330 0.000701 0.001644
2025-11-23 0.000022 0.000042 0.000078 0.000155 0.000326 0.000708 0.001707
2025-11-30 0.000021 0.000040 0.000076 0.000155 0.000333 0.000742 0.001847
2025-12-07 0.000021 0.000039 0.000076 0.000158 0.000346 0.000790 0.002029
2025-12-14 0.000019 0.000037 0.000073 0.000155 0.000346 0.000808 0.002132