Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000188 0.000208 0.000229 0.000254 0.000281 0.000312 0.000347
2025-09-28 0.000145 0.000172 0.000205 0.000245 0.000294 0.000353 0.000429
2025-10-05 0.000125 0.000157 0.000197 0.000250 0.000319 0.000409 0.000532
2025-10-12 0.000111 0.000146 0.000191 0.000254 0.000342 0.000461 0.000636
2025-10-19 0.000098 0.000134 0.000182 0.000252 0.000354 0.000500 0.000726
2025-10-26 0.000090 0.000126 0.000177 0.000255 0.000372 0.000547 0.000834
2025-11-02 0.000081 0.000117 0.000169 0.000251 0.000380 0.000580 0.000924
2025-11-09 0.000075 0.000111 0.000164 0.000250 0.000391 0.000618 0.001025
2025-11-16 0.000068 0.000103 0.000157 0.000246 0.000396 0.000646 0.001112
2025-11-23 0.000062 0.000096 0.000149 0.000240 0.000397 0.000667 0.001189
2025-11-30 0.000059 0.000093 0.000148 0.000243 0.000415 0.000719 0.001331
2025-12-07 0.000056 0.000090 0.000146 0.000246 0.000431 0.000770 0.001478
2025-12-14 0.000052 0.000084 0.000139 0.000241 0.000433 0.000797 0.001585
2025-12-21 0.000047 0.000078 0.000131 0.000233 0.000428 0.000811 0.001671
2025-12-28 0.000045 0.000076 0.000131 0.000237 0.000450 0.000880 0.001885
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000074 0.000130 0.000241 0.000470 0.000948 0.002112
2026-01-11 0.000040 0.000071 0.000126 0.000239 0.000478 0.000993 0.002292
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000069 0.000125 0.000242 0.000495 0.001059 0.002537
2026-01-25 0.000036 0.000065 0.000121 0.000239 0.000500 0.001099 0.002720
2026-02-01 0.000034 0.000063 0.000118 0.000238 0.000510 0.001149 0.002943
2026-02-08 0.000032 0.000060 0.000114 0.000233 0.000511 0.001181 0.003122
2026-02-15 0.000030 0.000057 0.000109 0.000228 0.000508 0.001201 0.003271
2026-02-22 0.000029 0.000056 0.000109 0.000231 0.000528 0.001283 0.003621