Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000191 0.000212 0.000234 0.000261 0.000290 0.000323 0.000361
2025-04-06 0.000149 0.000178 0.000212 0.000256 0.000310 0.000375 0.000459
2025-04-13 0.000119 0.000151 0.000190 0.000243 0.000313 0.000404 0.000531
2025-04-20 0.000104 0.000138 0.000182 0.000244 0.000331 0.000451 0.000631
2025-04-27 0.000095 0.000130 0.000178 0.000249 0.000354 0.000507 0.000749
2025-05-04 0.000085 0.000120 0.000170 0.000248 0.000367 0.000547 0.000850
2025-05-11 0.000078 0.000114 0.000166 0.000250 0.000384 0.000597 0.000972
2025-05-18 0.000071 0.000107 0.000160 0.000248 0.000394 0.000635 0.001081
2025-05-25 0.000066 0.000101 0.000155 0.000246 0.000405 0.000675 0.001197
2025-06-01 0.000061 0.000095 0.000149 0.000243 0.000411 0.000710 0.001308
2025-06-08 0.000055 0.000087 0.000140 0.000235 0.000407 0.000723 0.001380
2025-06-15 0.000052 0.000085 0.000138 0.000237 0.000424 0.000777 0.001542
2025-06-22 0.000050 0.000083 0.000139 0.000246 0.000453 0.000861 0.001787
2025-06-29 0.000046 0.000078 0.000133 0.000241 0.000456 0.000893 0.001926
2025-07-06 0.000042 0.000071 0.000124 0.000228 0.000443 0.000892 0.001990
2025-07-13 0.000039 0.000068 0.000121 0.000229 0.000456 0.000949 0.002205
2025-07-20 0.000038 0.000067 0.000121 0.000234 0.000480 0.001031 0.002498
2025-07-27 0.000035 0.000064 0.000118 0.000232 0.000489 0.001081 0.002721
2025-08-03 0.000034 0.000062 0.000116 0.000234 0.000506 0.001153 0.003018
2025-08-10 0.000032 0.000059 0.000113 0.000233 0.000514 0.001205 0.003270
2025-08-17 0.000030 0.000057 0.000110 0.000231 0.000523 0.001260 0.003545
2025-08-24 0.000029 0.000055 0.000107 0.000228 0.000527 0.001305 0.003800
2025-08-31 0.000027 0.000051 0.000102 0.000220 0.000518 0.001310 0.003931