Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000182 0.000202 0.000223 0.000248 0.000275 0.000306 0.000341
2025-05-25 0.000145 0.000173 0.000206 0.000248 0.000299 0.000361 0.000441
2025-06-01 0.000121 0.000153 0.000192 0.000245 0.000314 0.000404 0.000530
2025-06-08 0.000103 0.000135 0.000177 0.000236 0.000319 0.000432 0.000600
2025-06-15 0.000093 0.000126 0.000172 0.000239 0.000338 0.000479 0.000703
2025-06-22 0.000086 0.000120 0.000169 0.000244 0.000359 0.000532 0.000820
2025-06-29 0.000077 0.000111 0.000160 0.000239 0.000363 0.000559 0.000901
2025-07-06 0.000068 0.000101 0.000149 0.000228 0.000358 0.000570 0.000955
2025-07-13 0.000063 0.000096 0.000145 0.000229 0.000371 0.000611 0.001066
2025-07-20 0.000060 0.000092 0.000144 0.000232 0.000388 0.000660 0.001200
2025-07-27 0.000056 0.000088 0.000139 0.000231 0.000396 0.000694 0.001309
2025-08-03 0.000053 0.000085 0.000138 0.000235 0.000414 0.000750 0.001469
2025-08-10 0.000050 0.000081 0.000134 0.000234 0.000425 0.000794 0.001618
2025-08-17 0.000046 0.000077 0.000130 0.000232 0.000434 0.000837 0.001776
2025-08-24 0.000043 0.000073 0.000126 0.000229 0.000439 0.000874 0.001927
2025-08-31 0.000039 0.000068 0.000119 0.000221 0.000434 0.000888 0.002027
2025-09-07 0.000038 0.000066 0.000118 0.000224 0.000452 0.000954 0.002265
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000065 0.000117 0.000228 0.000473 0.001032 0.002553
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000061 0.000113 0.000223 0.000474 0.001060 0.002714
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000057 0.000106 0.000214 0.000461 0.001056 0.002786
2025-10-05 0.000030 0.000055 0.000104 0.000214 0.000474 0.001116 0.003054
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000054 0.000104 0.000218 0.000493 0.001194 0.003394
2025-10-19 0.000027 0.000052 0.000101 0.000216 0.000499 0.001241 0.003652