Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000133 0.000146 0.000160 0.000176 0.000195 0.000214 0.000237
2025-11-02 0.000105 0.000124 0.000146 0.000174 0.000207 0.000246 0.000296
2025-11-09 0.000090 0.000111 0.000138 0.000173 0.000219 0.000276 0.000355
2025-11-16 0.000078 0.000101 0.000130 0.000170 0.000226 0.000300 0.000407
2025-11-23 0.000068 0.000091 0.000122 0.000166 0.000229 0.000317 0.000453
2025-11-30 0.000063 0.000087 0.000120 0.000168 0.000241 0.000348 0.000519
2025-12-07 0.000059 0.000083 0.000118 0.000172 0.000255 0.000381 0.000594
2025-12-14 0.000054 0.000078 0.000113 0.000168 0.000257 0.000398 0.000644
2025-12-21 0.000048 0.000071 0.000106 0.000162 0.000255 0.000405 0.000680
2025-12-28 0.000045 0.000069 0.000104 0.000163 0.000263 0.000432 0.000750
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000066 0.000102 0.000164 0.000272 0.000459 0.000827
2026-01-11 0.000040 0.000063 0.000098 0.000162 0.000275 0.000477 0.000887
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000060 0.000097 0.000163 0.000284 0.000508 0.000979
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000057 0.000093 0.000161 0.000288 0.000530 0.001058
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000055 0.000091 0.000160 0.000294 0.000558 0.001156
2026-02-08 0.000031 0.000052 0.000088 0.000158 0.000297 0.000578 0.001237
2026-02-15 0.000029 0.000049 0.000084 0.000154 0.000296 0.000590 0.001304
2026-02-22 0.000028 0.000048 0.000084 0.000156 0.000307 0.000631 0.001446
2026-03-01 0.000027 0.000047 0.000084 0.000159 0.000321 0.000678 0.001609
2026-03-08 0.000025 0.000045 0.000081 0.000156 0.000321 0.000694 0.001698
2026-03-15 0.000023 0.000042 0.000077 0.000150 0.000315 0.000695 0.001746
2026-03-22 0.000022 0.000041 0.000076 0.000151 0.000323 0.000730 0.001897
2026-03-29 0.000022 0.000040 0.000075 0.000152 0.000332 0.000770 0.002065