Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000101 0.000111 0.000122 0.000134 0.000147 0.000162 0.000179
2025-12-28 0.000082 0.000096 0.000113 0.000134 0.000159 0.000189 0.000226
2026-01-04 0.000070 0.000087 0.000108 0.000135 0.000170 0.000213 0.000272
2026-01-11 0.000061 0.000079 0.000102 0.000133 0.000176 0.000231 0.000311
2026-01-18 0.000055 0.000074 0.000098 0.000134 0.000184 0.000252 0.000356
2026-01-25 0.000049 0.000068 0.000094 0.000132 0.000187 0.000267 0.000393
2026-02-01 0.000045 0.000064 0.000091 0.000131 0.000193 0.000286 0.000436
2026-02-08 0.000041 0.000060 0.000087 0.000129 0.000196 0.000298 0.000472
2026-02-15 0.000038 0.000056 0.000083 0.000126 0.000197 0.000309 0.000505
2026-02-22 0.000035 0.000054 0.000081 0.000127 0.000204 0.000329 0.000558
2026-03-01 0.000034 0.000052 0.000081 0.000130 0.000213 0.000354 0.000619
2026-03-08 0.000031 0.000049 0.000077 0.000127 0.000213 0.000363 0.000654
2026-03-15 0.000028 0.000045 0.000073 0.000122 0.000210 0.000367 0.000680
2026-03-22 0.000027 0.000044 0.000072 0.000122 0.000216 0.000389 0.000745
2026-03-29 0.000025 0.000042 0.000070 0.000123 0.000224 0.000413 0.000818
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000040 0.000068 0.000122 0.000226 0.000427 0.000873
2026-04-12 0.000022 0.000039 0.000067 0.000122 0.000232 0.000451 0.000950
2026-04-19 0.000021 0.000037 0.000065 0.000120 0.000233 0.000465 0.001007
2026-04-26 0.000020 0.000035 0.000063 0.000120 0.000238 0.000485 0.001084
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000034 0.000061 0.000118 0.000239 0.000497 0.001141
2026-05-10 0.000018 0.000032 0.000059 0.000116 0.000238 0.000507 0.001192
2026-05-17 0.000017 0.000031 0.000058 0.000117 0.000245 0.000534 0.001293
2026-05-24 0.000016 0.000031 0.000058 0.000119 0.000254 0.000568 0.001415