Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000287 0.000321 0.000358 0.000401 0.000450 0.000503 0.000567
2025-01-12 0.000218 0.000265 0.000321 0.000392 0.000480 0.000588 0.000729
2025-01-19 0.000173 0.000223 0.000286 0.000372 0.000488 0.000640 0.000855
2025-01-26 0.000150 0.000203 0.000274 0.000376 0.000522 0.000725 0.001033
2025-02-02 0.000138 0.000195 0.000274 0.000394 0.000574 0.000840 0.001269
2025-02-09 0.000122 0.000179 0.000260 0.000390 0.000593 0.000906 0.001441
2025-02-16 0.000112 0.000168 0.000253 0.000393 0.000622 0.000993 0.001656
2025-02-23 0.000101 0.000157 0.000243 0.000389 0.000639 0.001059 0.001846
2025-03-02 0.000094 0.000149 0.000237 0.000392 0.000665 0.001144 0.002083
2025-03-09 0.000086 0.000140 0.000229 0.000391 0.000685 0.001219 0.002311
2025-03-16 0.000077 0.000128 0.000214 0.000373 0.000672 0.001233 0.002423
2025-03-23 0.000072 0.000122 0.000209 0.000374 0.000694 0.001315 0.002685
2025-03-30 0.000069 0.000121 0.000211 0.000389 0.000747 0.001468 0.003129
2025-04-06 0.000063 0.000113 0.000202 0.000381 0.000752 0.001527 0.003383
2025-04-13 0.000057 0.000103 0.000187 0.000363 0.000734 0.001534 0.003519
2025-04-20 0.000054 0.000099 0.000185 0.000366 0.000764 0.001649 0.003938
2025-04-27 0.000052 0.000099 0.000188 0.000384 0.000825 0.001843 0.004595
2025-05-04 0.000049 0.000094 0.000182 0.000379 0.000837 0.001925 0.004978
2025-05-11 0.000047 0.000091 0.000180 0.000383 0.000867 0.002056 0.005522
2025-05-18 0.000044 0.000086 0.000174 0.000379 0.000880 0.002146 0.005968
2025-05-25 0.000042 0.000084 0.000172 0.000381 0.000908 0.002278 0.006571
2025-06-01 0.000039 0.000080 0.000168 0.000380 0.000927 0.002390 0.007138
2025-06-08 0.000036 0.000075 0.000158 0.000363 0.000902 0.002377 0.007302