Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000104 0.000115 0.000126 0.000138 0.000152 0.000167 0.000185
2025-12-28 0.000084 0.000100 0.000117 0.000139 0.000165 0.000195 0.000234
2026-01-04 0.000072 0.000090 0.000112 0.000140 0.000176 0.000221 0.000282
2026-01-11 0.000063 0.000082 0.000105 0.000138 0.000182 0.000240 0.000323
2026-01-18 0.000057 0.000076 0.000102 0.000138 0.000190 0.000262 0.000369
2026-01-25 0.000051 0.000070 0.000097 0.000136 0.000194 0.000277 0.000408
2026-02-01 0.000047 0.000066 0.000094 0.000136 0.000200 0.000296 0.000453
2026-02-08 0.000042 0.000062 0.000090 0.000134 0.000203 0.000309 0.000490
2026-02-15 0.000039 0.000058 0.000085 0.000131 0.000204 0.000320 0.000525
2026-02-22 0.000036 0.000055 0.000084 0.000132 0.000211 0.000342 0.000579
2026-03-01 0.000035 0.000054 0.000084 0.000134 0.000221 0.000367 0.000643
2026-03-08 0.000032 0.000051 0.000080 0.000131 0.000221 0.000377 0.000681
2026-03-15 0.000029 0.000047 0.000075 0.000126 0.000218 0.000381 0.000709
2026-03-22 0.000028 0.000045 0.000074 0.000127 0.000225 0.000404 0.000777
2026-03-29 0.000026 0.000044 0.000073 0.000128 0.000232 0.000430 0.000854
2026-04-05 0.000024 0.000041 0.000071 0.000126 0.000234 0.000445 0.000911
2026-04-12 0.000023 0.000040 0.000069 0.000127 0.000241 0.000469 0.000992
2026-04-19 0.000022 0.000038 0.000067 0.000125 0.000242 0.000484 0.001052
2026-04-26 0.000021 0.000037 0.000066 0.000125 0.000247 0.000505 0.001132
2026-05-03 0.000019 0.000035 0.000063 0.000122 0.000248 0.000518 0.001192
2026-05-10 0.000018 0.000033 0.000061 0.000120 0.000247 0.000528 0.001246
2026-05-17 0.000017 0.000032 0.000061 0.000121 0.000255 0.000556 0.001352
2026-05-24 0.000017 0.000032 0.000060 0.000123 0.000264 0.000591 0.001481