Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000177 0.000196 0.000216 0.000238 0.000264 0.000291 0.000324
2025-10-19 0.000140 0.000166 0.000197 0.000235 0.000282 0.000337 0.000409
2025-10-26 0.000120 0.000150 0.000187 0.000237 0.000302 0.000384 0.000499
2025-11-02 0.000104 0.000136 0.000177 0.000234 0.000313 0.000420 0.000577
2025-11-09 0.000093 0.000126 0.000169 0.000233 0.000326 0.000457 0.000662
2025-11-16 0.000083 0.000116 0.000161 0.000230 0.000333 0.000486 0.000737
2025-11-23 0.000075 0.000107 0.000152 0.000224 0.000335 0.000507 0.000802
2025-11-30 0.000070 0.000102 0.000150 0.000227 0.000352 0.000552 0.000909
2025-12-07 0.000066 0.000099 0.000149 0.000232 0.000370 0.000601 0.001032
2025-12-14 0.000061 0.000093 0.000142 0.000227 0.000373 0.000623 0.001109
2025-12-21 0.000055 0.000086 0.000134 0.000218 0.000367 0.000631 0.001160
2025-12-28 0.000053 0.000083 0.000133 0.000221 0.000382 0.000677 0.001290
2026-01-04 0.000050 0.000081 0.000131 0.000224 0.000399 0.000729 0.001446
2026-01-11 0.000047 0.000077 0.000127 0.000222 0.000406 0.000765 0.001576
2026-01-18 0.000044 0.000074 0.000125 0.000224 0.000421 0.000818 0.001752
2026-01-25 0.000041 0.000070 0.000121 0.000221 0.000426 0.000852 0.001891
2026-02-01 0.000039 0.000068 0.000118 0.000221 0.000436 0.000897 0.002063
2026-02-08 0.000037 0.000064 0.000114 0.000217 0.000438 0.000926 0.002204
2026-02-15 0.000034 0.000061 0.000109 0.000212 0.000436 0.000944 0.002317
2026-02-22 0.000033 0.000059 0.000109 0.000215 0.000453 0.001010 0.002573
2026-03-01 0.000032 0.000058 0.000109 0.000219 0.000474 0.001085 0.002871
2026-03-08 0.000030 0.000056 0.000105 0.000215 0.000473 0.001110 0.003028
2026-03-15 0.000028 0.000052 0.000100 0.000207 0.000463 0.001108 0.003104