Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000120 0.000133 0.000147 0.000162 0.000180 0.000199 0.000221
2025-07-13 0.000097 0.000115 0.000137 0.000163 0.000196 0.000234 0.000283
2025-07-20 0.000084 0.000105 0.000131 0.000166 0.000211 0.000268 0.000346
2025-07-27 0.000073 0.000095 0.000124 0.000165 0.000220 0.000294 0.000401
2025-08-03 0.000066 0.000090 0.000121 0.000167 0.000233 0.000325 0.000466
2025-08-10 0.000059 0.000083 0.000116 0.000165 0.000238 0.000346 0.000518
2025-08-17 0.000054 0.000077 0.000111 0.000163 0.000244 0.000367 0.000573
2025-08-24 0.000049 0.000072 0.000106 0.000160 0.000247 0.000384 0.000622
2025-08-31 0.000044 0.000066 0.000100 0.000155 0.000246 0.000394 0.000660
2025-09-07 0.000041 0.000063 0.000098 0.000155 0.000253 0.000418 0.000725
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000061 0.000097 0.000158 0.000264 0.000448 0.000806
2025-09-21 0.000036 0.000058 0.000093 0.000155 0.000265 0.000463 0.000857
2025-09-28 0.000033 0.000053 0.000087 0.000148 0.000261 0.000467 0.000892
2025-10-05 0.000031 0.000051 0.000085 0.000149 0.000269 0.000496 0.000983
2025-10-12 0.000029 0.000050 0.000084 0.000151 0.000280 0.000533 0.001095
2025-10-19 0.000027 0.000047 0.000082 0.000150 0.000285 0.000558 0.001185
2025-10-26 0.000026 0.000046 0.000081 0.000152 0.000297 0.000598 0.001314
2025-11-02 0.000025 0.000044 0.000079 0.000150 0.000300 0.000618 0.001402
2025-11-09 0.000023 0.000042 0.000076 0.000149 0.000304 0.000642 0.001502
2025-11-16 0.000022 0.000040 0.000074 0.000146 0.000304 0.000659 0.001586
2025-11-23 0.000020 0.000037 0.000070 0.000141 0.000301 0.000665 0.001644
2025-11-30 0.000019 0.000036 0.000069 0.000142 0.000307 0.000696 0.001776
2025-12-07 0.000019 0.000035 0.000069 0.000144 0.000318 0.000740 0.001947