Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.005055 0.005569 0.006125 0.006772 0.007507 0.008319 0.009288
2025-09-28 0.004138 0.004829 0.005633 0.006645 0.007896 0.009407 0.011392
2025-10-05 0.003661 0.004438 0.005386 0.006645 0.008295 0.010421 0.013424
2025-10-12 0.003373 0.004215 0.005284 0.006767 0.008812 0.011596 0.015790
2025-10-19 0.003078 0.003940 0.005070 0.006694 0.009028 0.012360 0.017665
2025-10-26 0.002845 0.003719 0.004897 0.006644 0.009250 0.013132 0.019642
2025-11-02 0.002632 0.003503 0.004705 0.006538 0.009363 0.013736 0.021427
2025-11-09 0.002490 0.003372 0.004618 0.006569 0.009675 0.014675 0.023904
2025-11-16 0.002339 0.003215 0.004476 0.006498 0.009813 0.015335 0.025991
2025-11-23 0.002183 0.003039 0.004293 0.006345 0.009793 0.015717 0.027612
2025-11-30 0.002098 0.002962 0.004251 0.006409 0.010139 0.016774 0.030725
2025-12-07 0.002051 0.002938 0.004287 0.006601 0.010723 0.018337 0.035178
2025-12-14 0.001929 0.002794 0.004132 0.006469 0.010735 0.018862 0.037605
2025-12-21 0.001819 0.002663 0.003989 0.006351 0.010764 0.019432 0.040299
2025-12-28 0.001742 0.002581 0.003919 0.006350 0.011012 0.020479 0.044375
2026-01-04 0.001694 0.002541 0.003915 0.006466 0.011496 0.022097 0.050317
2026-01-11 0.001616 0.002448 0.003816 0.006397 0.011601 0.022899 0.054307
2026-01-18 0.001549 0.002368 0.003732 0.006349 0.011744 0.023805 0.058852
2026-01-25 0.001478 0.002278 0.003626 0.006249 0.011764 0.024424 0.062723
2026-02-01 0.001432 0.002228 0.003588 0.006278 0.012064 0.025770 0.069295
2026-02-08 0.001375 0.002157 0.003505 0.006212 0.012145 0.026580 0.074385
2026-02-15 0.001311 0.002069 0.003388 0.006067 0.012032 0.026873 0.077790
2026-02-22 0.001279 0.002037 0.003372 0.006127 0.012401 0.028513 0.086703