Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.003712 0.004057 0.004425 0.004850 0.005327 0.005849 0.006464
2025-11-09 0.003136 0.003620 0.004174 0.004861 0.005698 0.006691 0.007972
2025-11-16 0.002770 0.003312 0.003962 0.004810 0.005900 0.007272 0.009164
2025-11-23 0.002484 0.003052 0.003757 0.004712 0.005994 0.007689 0.010157
2025-11-30 0.002320 0.002918 0.003685 0.004761 0.006265 0.008343 0.011532
2025-12-07 0.002221 0.002855 0.003692 0.004905 0.006664 0.009206 0.013312
2025-12-14 0.002067 0.002703 0.003562 0.004840 0.006753 0.009617 0.014450
2025-12-21 0.001922 0.002552 0.003419 0.004739 0.006770 0.009910 0.015427
2025-12-28 0.001811 0.002439 0.003319 0.004689 0.006855 0.010311 0.016630
2026-01-04 0.001736 0.002370 0.003277 0.004720 0.007063 0.010928 0.018294
2026-01-11 0.001643 0.002270 0.003180 0.004657 0.007111 0.011275 0.019509
2026-01-18 0.001566 0.002188 0.003105 0.004621 0.007197 0.011693 0.020915
2026-01-25 0.001482 0.002094 0.003011 0.004553 0.007237 0.012057 0.022331
2026-02-01 0.001422 0.002034 0.002965 0.004564 0.007417 0.012707 0.024482
2026-02-08 0.001355 0.001958 0.002890 0.004517 0.007486 0.013151 0.026266
2026-02-15 0.001285 0.001873 0.002793 0.004426 0.007465 0.013411 0.027676
2026-02-22 0.001247 0.001838 0.002777 0.004472 0.007704 0.014228 0.030589
2026-03-01 0.001229 0.001833 0.002807 0.004604 0.008122 0.015480 0.034894
2026-03-08 0.001177 0.001769 0.002736 0.004544 0.008152 0.015888 0.037063
2026-03-15 0.001122 0.001699 0.002650 0.004451 0.008103 0.016111 0.038769
2026-03-22 0.001080 0.001647 0.002592 0.004405 0.008150 0.016561 0.041247
2026-03-29 0.001052 0.001618 0.002573 0.004433 0.008355 0.017415 0.045183
2026-04-05 0.001012 0.001568 0.002512 0.004375 0.008367 0.017798 0.047730