Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.003678 0.004021 0.004387 0.004810 0.005284 0.005802 0.006413
2025-11-16 0.003069 0.003543 0.004086 0.004759 0.005576 0.006545 0.007791
2025-11-23 0.002685 0.003211 0.003841 0.004661 0.005712 0.007031 0.008842
2025-11-30 0.002472 0.003042 0.003750 0.004710 0.005997 0.007696 0.010165
2025-12-07 0.002344 0.002958 0.003746 0.004852 0.006399 0.008538 0.011819
2025-12-14 0.002165 0.002786 0.003604 0.004788 0.006500 0.008961 0.012911
2025-12-21 0.002001 0.002619 0.003452 0.004687 0.006529 0.009269 0.013854
2025-12-28 0.001876 0.002495 0.003346 0.004638 0.006621 0.009671 0.014987
2026-01-04 0.001791 0.002418 0.003299 0.004669 0.006831 0.010271 0.016523
2026-01-11 0.001689 0.002311 0.003198 0.004607 0.006886 0.010620 0.017663
2026-01-18 0.001604 0.002221 0.003117 0.004567 0.006968 0.011017 0.018940
2026-01-25 0.001521 0.002129 0.003024 0.004500 0.006998 0.011322 0.020082
2026-02-01 0.001457 0.002066 0.002978 0.004511 0.007173 0.011927 0.021965
2026-02-08 0.001384 0.001985 0.002899 0.004464 0.007245 0.012360 0.023587
2026-02-15 0.001309 0.001895 0.002799 0.004374 0.007230 0.012621 0.024882
2026-02-22 0.001268 0.001857 0.002781 0.004419 0.007465 0.013396 0.027480
2026-03-01 0.001248 0.001850 0.002810 0.004550 0.007873 0.014573 0.031277
2026-03-08 0.001192 0.001784 0.002737 0.004491 0.007906 0.014969 0.033225
2026-03-15 0.001135 0.001711 0.002649 0.004398 0.007863 0.015193 0.034771
2026-03-22 0.001090 0.001656 0.002589 0.004353 0.007911 0.015626 0.036979
2026-03-29 0.001061 0.001626 0.002570 0.004381 0.008114 0.016436 0.040448
2026-04-05 0.001019 0.001574 0.002508 0.004324 0.008130 0.016809 0.042719
2026-04-12 0.000983 0.001529 0.002458 0.004287 0.008184 0.017283 0.045422