Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.003988 0.004373 0.004786 0.005264 0.005802 0.006391 0.007088
2025-09-07 0.003338 0.003871 0.004484 0.005247 0.006179 0.007288 0.008723
2025-09-14 0.003050 0.003672 0.004423 0.005407 0.006678 0.008288 0.010516
2025-09-21 0.002733 0.003384 0.004197 0.005306 0.006803 0.008793 0.011705
2025-09-28 0.002485 0.003148 0.004003 0.005206 0.006894 0.009234 0.012831
2025-10-05 0.002317 0.002996 0.003895 0.005201 0.007098 0.009835 0.014244
2025-10-12 0.002210 0.002914 0.003870 0.005299 0.007446 0.010670 0.016115
2025-10-19 0.002065 0.002767 0.003740 0.005230 0.007535 0.011112 0.017408
2025-10-26 0.001954 0.002658 0.003653 0.005213 0.007693 0.011670 0.018959
2025-11-02 0.001839 0.002534 0.003535 0.005135 0.007743 0.012051 0.020246
2025-11-09 0.001766 0.002467 0.003494 0.005171 0.007978 0.012761 0.022233
2025-11-16 0.001679 0.002374 0.003406 0.005125 0.008067 0.013223 0.023809
2025-11-23 0.001571 0.002243 0.003258 0.004976 0.007978 0.013378 0.024848
2025-11-30 0.001501 0.002169 0.003193 0.004961 0.008126 0.013992 0.026961
2025-12-07 0.001472 0.002156 0.003225 0.005110 0.008581 0.015244 0.030700
2025-12-14 0.001396 0.002065 0.003122 0.005016 0.008574 0.015582 0.032417
2025-12-21 0.001326 0.001979 0.003023 0.004923 0.008559 0.015899 0.034142
2025-12-28 0.001279 0.001926 0.002976 0.004918 0.008715 0.016590 0.036940
2026-01-04 0.001251 0.001906 0.002982 0.005009 0.009068 0.017756 0.041232
2026-01-11 0.001199 0.001841 0.002908 0.004946 0.009099 0.018202 0.043669
2026-01-18 0.001159 0.001793 0.002861 0.004929 0.009226 0.018884 0.046938
2026-01-25 0.001112 0.001733 0.002788 0.004856 0.009225 0.019265 0.049401
2026-02-01 0.001084 0.001704 0.002770 0.004890 0.009460 0.020248 0.053986