Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.003316 0.003641 0.003989 0.004388 0.004834 0.005320 0.005888
2026-01-18 0.002743 0.003195 0.003711 0.004348 0.005116 0.006019 0.007166
2026-01-25 0.002396 0.002902 0.003506 0.004290 0.005285 0.006521 0.008187
2026-02-01 0.002178 0.002721 0.003395 0.004303 0.005509 0.007076 0.009298
2026-02-08 0.001980 0.002538 0.003253 0.004248 0.005620 0.007473 0.010220
2026-02-15 0.001805 0.002366 0.003103 0.004160 0.005664 0.007768 0.011012
2026-02-22 0.001696 0.002269 0.003042 0.004181 0.005852 0.008270 0.012144
2026-03-01 0.001630 0.002225 0.003046 0.004289 0.006169 0.008981 0.013662
2026-03-08 0.001519 0.002107 0.002937 0.004219 0.006209 0.009272 0.014540
2026-03-15 0.001418 0.001997 0.002827 0.004139 0.006222 0.009515 0.015357
2026-03-22 0.001342 0.001917 0.002758 0.004112 0.006313 0.009885 0.016422
2026-03-29 0.001290 0.001871 0.002734 0.004153 0.006513 0.010449 0.017886
2026-04-05 0.001215 0.001787 0.002650 0.004099 0.006563 0.010782 0.019009
2026-04-12 0.001150 0.001713 0.002580 0.004062 0.006642 0.011175 0.020306
2026-04-19 0.001087 0.001640 0.002504 0.004008 0.006683 0.011502 0.021509
2026-04-26 0.001043 0.001594 0.002469 0.004020 0.006842 0.012058 0.023243
2026-05-03 0.000990 0.001531 0.002401 0.003970 0.006879 0.012386 0.024541
2026-05-10 0.000936 0.001462 0.002319 0.003888 0.006852 0.012582 0.025576
2026-05-17 0.000904 0.001428 0.002295 0.003907 0.007015 0.013172 0.027570
2026-05-24 0.000888 0.001420 0.002314 0.004008 0.007344 0.014133 0.030560
2026-05-31 0.000846 0.001365 0.002248 0.003943 0.007339 0.014391 0.031910
2026-06-07 0.000805 0.001311 0.002179 0.003869 0.007308 0.014589 0.033138
2026-06-14 0.000775 0.001273 0.002138 0.003844 0.007376 0.015011 0.034996