Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.003125 0.003440 0.003775 0.004160 0.004590 0.005055 0.005598
2026-04-12 0.002568 0.003005 0.003503 0.004116 0.004851 0.005709 0.006792
2026-04-19 0.002233 0.002722 0.003307 0.004060 0.005012 0.006183 0.007744
2026-04-26 0.002033 0.002561 0.003217 0.004097 0.005256 0.006746 0.008829
2026-05-03 0.001842 0.002387 0.003083 0.004049 0.005369 0.007131 0.009695
2026-05-10 0.001675 0.002223 0.002943 0.003972 0.005422 0.007424 0.010447
2026-05-17 0.001568 0.002128 0.002883 0.003991 0.005601 0.007894 0.011482
2026-05-24 0.001502 0.002082 0.002883 0.004089 0.005893 0.008544 0.012835
2026-05-31 0.001397 0.001971 0.002781 0.004030 0.005945 0.008835 0.013657
2026-06-07 0.001296 0.001859 0.002669 0.003943 0.005943 0.009038 0.014350
2026-06-14 0.001222 0.001782 0.002602 0.003918 0.006031 0.009384 0.015301
2026-06-21 0.001171 0.001734 0.002575 0.003951 0.006211 0.009888 0.016560
2026-06-28 0.001095 0.001647 0.002486 0.003886 0.006236 0.010154 0.017467
2026-07-05 0.001031 0.001574 0.002414 0.003844 0.006299 0.010493 0.018546
2026-07-12 0.000971 0.001504 0.002340 0.003793 0.006338 0.010790 0.019574
2026-07-19 0.000934 0.001467 0.002319 0.003827 0.006527 0.011367 0.021191
2026-07-26 0.000884 0.001407 0.002256 0.003783 0.006572 0.011681 0.022324
2026-08-02 0.000833 0.001342 0.002180 0.003711 0.006559 0.011885 0.023252
2026-08-09 0.000803 0.001309 0.002156 0.003728 0.006712 0.012417 0.024915
2026-08-16 0.000787 0.001300 0.002171 0.003820 0.007011 0.013258 0.027334
2026-08-23 0.000748 0.001249 0.002111 0.003765 0.007022 0.013522 0.028514
2026-08-30 0.000707 0.001194 0.002039 0.003684 0.006975 0.013662 0.029427
2026-09-06 0.000679 0.001157 0.001999 0.003661 0.007041 0.014043 0.030938