Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.006685 0.007465 0.008315 0.009313 0.010455 0.011725 0.013249
2025-05-25 0.005482 0.006551 0.007814 0.009427 0.011447 0.013914 0.017187
2025-06-01 0.004734 0.005911 0.007376 0.009354 0.011989 0.015426 0.020326
2025-06-08 0.004105 0.005300 0.006847 0.009031 0.012086 0.016285 0.022636
2025-06-15 0.003740 0.004971 0.006624 0.009050 0.012596 0.017712 0.025888
2025-06-22 0.003545 0.004842 0.006642 0.009383 0.013561 0.019881 0.030545
2025-06-29 0.003230 0.004509 0.006332 0.009192 0.013706 0.020804 0.033346
2025-07-06 0.002961 0.004214 0.006044 0.008994 0.013799 0.021634 0.036087
2025-07-13 0.002775 0.004025 0.005892 0.008984 0.014181 0.022966 0.039888
2025-07-20 0.002669 0.003945 0.005897 0.009218 0.014982 0.025098 0.045500
2025-07-27 0.002505 0.003761 0.005720 0.009132 0.015218 0.026246 0.049390
2025-08-03 0.002376 0.003623 0.005606 0.009135 0.015605 0.027710 0.054155
2025-08-10 0.002228 0.003448 0.005425 0.009026 0.015804 0.028907 0.058731
2025-08-17 0.002129 0.003349 0.005365 0.009126 0.016419 0.031025 0.065827
2025-08-24 0.002011 0.003207 0.005221 0.009057 0.016691 0.032474 0.071666
2025-08-31 0.001865 0.003009 0.004962 0.008746 0.016442 0.032777 0.074777
2025-09-07 0.001783 0.002915 0.004879 0.008764 0.016866 0.034612 0.082181
2025-09-14 0.001752 0.002906 0.004949 0.009085 0.017965 0.038139 0.094955
2025-09-21 0.001652 0.002770 0.004775 0.008901 0.017944 0.039036 0.100600
2025-09-28 0.001560 0.002642 0.004606 0.008710 0.017887 0.039834 0.106156
2025-10-05 0.001498 0.002564 0.004527 0.008701 0.018242 0.041718 0.115521
2025-10-12 0.001468 0.002544 0.004558 0.008926 0.019171 0.045231 0.131101
2025-10-19 0.001405 0.002457 0.004451 0.008843 0.019351 0.046782 0.140580