Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.004483 0.004929 0.005410 0.005968 0.006600 0.007296 0.008123
2025-08-17 0.003770 0.004392 0.005112 0.006014 0.007125 0.008459 0.010202
2025-08-24 0.003316 0.004007 0.004846 0.005953 0.007394 0.009234 0.011809
2025-08-31 0.002939 0.003651 0.004547 0.005776 0.007450 0.009696 0.013020
2025-09-07 0.002706 0.003443 0.004400 0.005760 0.007687 0.010393 0.014617
2025-09-14 0.002584 0.003363 0.004404 0.005935 0.008192 0.011506 0.016964
2025-09-21 0.002388 0.003163 0.004224 0.005826 0.008262 0.011974 0.018366
2025-09-28 0.002219 0.002986 0.004058 0.005714 0.008308 0.012397 0.019739
2025-10-05 0.002102 0.002871 0.003969 0.005707 0.008507 0.013075 0.021639
2025-10-12 0.002028 0.002814 0.003958 0.005813 0.008892 0.014098 0.024318
2025-10-19 0.001917 0.002692 0.003840 0.005739 0.008968 0.014593 0.026072
2025-10-26 0.001831 0.002604 0.003765 0.005725 0.009142 0.015277 0.028306
2025-11-02 0.001735 0.002497 0.003660 0.005662 0.009239 0.015858 0.030504
2025-11-09 0.001669 0.002432 0.003619 0.005704 0.009530 0.016856 0.033830
2025-11-16 0.001588 0.002340 0.003525 0.005646 0.009629 0.017484 0.036445
2025-11-23 0.001493 0.002219 0.003378 0.005481 0.009506 0.017639 0.037956
2025-11-30 0.001435 0.002154 0.003317 0.005466 0.009670 0.018418 0.041197
2025-12-07 0.001413 0.002146 0.003353 0.005630 0.010208 0.020084 0.047184
2025-12-14 0.001346 0.002062 0.003252 0.005527 0.010189 0.020492 0.049804
2025-12-21 0.001284 0.001981 0.003153 0.005423 0.010154 0.020860 0.052402
2025-12-28 0.001242 0.001932 0.003107 0.005416 0.010326 0.021747 0.056817
2026-01-04 0.001219 0.001915 0.003114 0.005515 0.010742 0.023295 0.063813
2026-01-11 0.001172 0.001854 0.003041 0.005446 0.010771 0.023865 0.067714