Dec 31, 2020Dec 31, 2021Dec 31, 2022Dec 31, 2023Dec 31, 20240.0050.010.02
ActualForecastBear 68.0%Bull 68.0%Bear 95.0%Bull 95.0%Bear 99.7%Bull 99.7%AVAX /ETH ForecastTimeAverage Price in ETH

Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.008082 0.009094 0.010201 0.011504 0.012999 0.014665 0.016668
2025-01-12 0.006236 0.007549 0.009110 0.011113 0.013630 0.016711 0.020800
2025-01-19 0.005239 0.006650 0.008419 0.010823 0.014036 0.018231 0.024199
2025-01-26 0.004644 0.006124 0.008063 0.010825 0.014712 0.020071 0.028164
2025-02-02 0.004350 0.005935 0.008096 0.011306 0.016040 0.022905 0.033869
2025-02-09 0.003948 0.005540 0.007783 0.011238 0.016541 0.024571 0.038036
2025-02-16 0.003663 0.005276 0.007617 0.011345 0.017286 0.026659 0.043127
2025-02-23 0.003354 0.004940 0.007305 0.011182 0.017569 0.028022 0.047180
2025-03-02 0.003162 0.004760 0.007206 0.011334 0.018361 0.030292 0.053113
2025-03-09 0.002942 0.004518 0.006983 0.011253 0.018741 0.031887 0.058034
2025-03-16 0.002670 0.004166 0.006555 0.010783 0.018388 0.032125 0.060389
2025-03-23 0.002507 0.003980 0.006378 0.010722 0.018749 0.033698 0.065596
2025-03-30 0.002448 0.003967 0.006500 0.011219 0.020227 0.037641 0.076509
2025-04-06 0.002243 0.003691 0.006151 0.010834 0.020000 0.038244 0.080432
2025-04-13 0.002076 0.003467 0.005875 0.010553 0.019938 0.039159 0.085195
2025-04-20 0.001967 0.003338 0.005755 0.010555 0.020439 0.041311 0.093222
2025-04-27 0.001934 0.003339 0.005870 0.011022 0.021950 0.045848 0.107939
2025-05-04 0.001831 0.003206 0.005726 0.010956 0.022320 0.047885 0.116732
2025-05-11 0.001759 0.003124 0.005668 0.011061 0.023070 0.050903 0.128744
2025-05-18 0.001661 0.002986 0.005494 0.010902 0.023207 0.052473 0.137072
2025-05-25 0.001605 0.002925 0.005464 0.011049 0.024066 0.055937 0.151595
2025-06-01 0.001529 0.002819 0.005337 0.010971 0.024380 0.058068 0.162623
2025-06-08 0.001420 0.002641 0.005051 0.010514 0.023730 0.057599 0.165489