Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.005235 0.005789 0.006390 0.007092 0.007890 0.008774 0.009829
2025-07-20 0.004416 0.005195 0.006106 0.007258 0.008690 0.010428 0.012721
2025-07-27 0.003859 0.004721 0.005780 0.007193 0.009056 0.011467 0.014883
2025-08-03 0.003485 0.004398 0.005563 0.007189 0.009439 0.012512 0.017147
2025-08-10 0.003168 0.004099 0.005329 0.007107 0.009673 0.013346 0.019196
2025-08-17 0.002953 0.003910 0.005210 0.007154 0.010071 0.014434 0.021761
2025-08-24 0.002734 0.003691 0.005023 0.007073 0.010256 0.015207 0.023927
2025-08-31 0.002507 0.003439 0.004766 0.006856 0.010197 0.015575 0.025452
2025-09-07 0.002363 0.003295 0.004649 0.006837 0.010440 0.016449 0.027986
2025-09-14 0.002296 0.003257 0.004684 0.007053 0.011082 0.018069 0.032164
2025-09-21 0.002153 0.003093 0.004515 0.006921 0.011118 0.018618 0.034354
2025-09-28 0.002023 0.002942 0.004352 0.006785 0.011127 0.019113 0.036511
2025-10-05 0.001926 0.002839 0.004265 0.006781 0.011394 0.020170 0.040173
2025-10-12 0.001868 0.002794 0.004271 0.006939 0.011982 0.021953 0.045888
2025-10-19 0.001774 0.002684 0.004160 0.006877 0.012142 0.022884 0.049814
2025-10-26 0.001698 0.002600 0.004085 0.006873 0.012412 0.024084 0.054695
2025-11-02 0.001616 0.002501 0.003977 0.006795 0.012523 0.024948 0.058909
2025-11-09 0.001561 0.002443 0.003935 0.006840 0.012889 0.026442 0.065257
2025-11-16 0.001491 0.002355 0.003836 0.006764 0.012989 0.027328 0.070091
2025-11-23 0.001407 0.002238 0.003677 0.006558 0.012785 0.027449 0.072641
2025-11-30 0.001357 0.002177 0.003615 0.006540 0.012997 0.028636 0.078928
2025-12-07 0.001340 0.002174 0.003661 0.006745 0.013737 0.031306 0.091070
2025-12-14 0.001280 0.002092 0.003552 0.006620 0.013693 0.031885 0.096052