Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.004812 0.005287 0.005799 0.006395 0.007072 0.007818 0.008707
2025-10-19 0.003987 0.004635 0.005387 0.006331 0.007497 0.008903 0.010751
2025-10-26 0.003516 0.004239 0.005119 0.006284 0.007808 0.009769 0.012537
2025-11-02 0.003157 0.003914 0.004869 0.006186 0.007992 0.010441 0.014116
2025-11-09 0.002924 0.003712 0.004739 0.006208 0.008310 0.011299 0.016048
2025-11-16 0.002702 0.003500 0.004567 0.006141 0.008477 0.011941 0.017738
2025-11-23 0.002494 0.003284 0.004367 0.006005 0.008514 0.012378 0.019150
2025-11-30 0.002375 0.003182 0.004311 0.006069 0.008849 0.013305 0.021513
2025-12-07 0.002308 0.003145 0.004345 0.006263 0.009404 0.014649 0.024846
2025-12-14 0.002173 0.002999 0.004204 0.006171 0.009478 0.015182 0.026757
2025-12-21 0.002042 0.002849 0.004045 0.006035 0.009460 0.015543 0.028386
2025-12-28 0.001947 0.002748 0.003953 0.005999 0.009605 0.016213 0.030769
2026-01-04 0.001882 0.002693 0.003936 0.006093 0.010012 0.017472 0.034796
2026-01-11 0.001788 0.002586 0.003830 0.006031 0.010131 0.018194 0.037813
2026-01-18 0.001706 0.002494 0.003740 0.005987 0.010275 0.018986 0.041192
2026-01-25 0.001622 0.002394 0.003629 0.005895 0.010314 0.019557 0.044154
2026-02-01 0.001566 0.002335 0.003584 0.005916 0.010578 0.020658 0.048855
2026-02-08 0.001499 0.002255 0.003497 0.005853 0.010663 0.021367 0.052652
2026-02-15 0.001427 0.002161 0.003381 0.005725 0.010597 0.021709 0.055462
2026-02-22 0.001390 0.002125 0.003363 0.005784 0.010938 0.023092 0.062015
2026-03-01 0.001374 0.002124 0.003407 0.005967 0.011572 0.025326 0.072312
2026-03-08 0.001319 0.002053 0.003320 0.005881 0.011586 0.025946 0.077098
2026-03-15 0.001262 0.001975 0.003217 0.005753 0.011491 0.026258 0.080853