Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.005241 0.005793 0.006391 0.007089 0.007883 0.008763 0.009813
2025-07-27 0.004301 0.005049 0.005922 0.007025 0.008394 0.010052 0.012238
2025-08-03 0.003793 0.004629 0.005654 0.007021 0.008821 0.011147 0.014440
2025-08-10 0.003399 0.004275 0.005391 0.006942 0.009086 0.012006 0.016401
2025-08-17 0.003140 0.004052 0.005254 0.006989 0.009490 0.013067 0.018763
2025-08-24 0.002888 0.003808 0.005054 0.006911 0.009690 0.013835 0.020779
2025-08-31 0.002634 0.003537 0.004787 0.006701 0.009656 0.014229 0.022239
2025-09-07 0.002474 0.003379 0.004664 0.006682 0.009900 0.015068 0.024549
2025-09-14 0.002396 0.003333 0.004693 0.006892 0.010516 0.016578 0.028274
2025-09-21 0.002240 0.003160 0.004519 0.006763 0.010562 0.017118 0.030293
2025-09-28 0.002101 0.003000 0.004352 0.006628 0.010577 0.017599 0.032265
2025-10-05 0.002004 0.002898 0.004267 0.006619 0.010804 0.018485 0.035209
2025-10-12 0.001942 0.002851 0.004271 0.006770 0.011354 0.020095 0.040121
2025-10-19 0.001840 0.002736 0.004156 0.006709 0.011513 0.020975 0.043637
2025-10-26 0.001759 0.002647 0.004079 0.006705 0.011776 0.022099 0.047979
2025-11-02 0.001673 0.002544 0.003970 0.006631 0.011889 0.022918 0.051757
2025-11-09 0.001614 0.002483 0.003927 0.006675 0.012243 0.024313 0.057395
2025-11-16 0.001541 0.002393 0.003827 0.006601 0.012345 0.025153 0.061732
2025-11-23 0.001453 0.002273 0.003668 0.006402 0.012160 0.025295 0.064089
2025-11-30 0.001399 0.002210 0.003605 0.006385 0.012365 0.026402 0.069685
2025-12-07 0.001381 0.002206 0.003649 0.006583 0.013068 0.028864 0.080387
2025-12-14 0.001318 0.002122 0.003541 0.006461 0.013031 0.029419 0.084871
2025-12-21 0.001259 0.002040 0.003433 0.006334 0.012966 0.029892 0.089235