Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.006168 0.006897 0.007689 0.008616 0.009676 0.010851 0.012256
2025-03-02 0.005049 0.006052 0.007234 0.008741 0.010620 0.012906 0.015920
2025-03-09 0.004351 0.005456 0.006829 0.008678 0.011130 0.014306 0.018794
2025-03-16 0.003744 0.004860 0.006303 0.008334 0.011159 0.015010 0.020766
2025-03-23 0.003383 0.004525 0.006056 0.008294 0.011543 0.016184 0.023489
2025-03-30 0.003220 0.004431 0.006109 0.008656 0.012508 0.018265 0.027806
2025-04-06 0.002902 0.004083 0.005766 0.008395 0.012507 0.018884 0.029912
2025-04-13 0.002642 0.003793 0.005473 0.008170 0.012522 0.019506 0.032077
2025-04-20 0.002470 0.003616 0.005329 0.008153 0.012851 0.020654 0.035278
2025-04-27 0.002384 0.003562 0.005364 0.008417 0.013660 0.022687 0.040340
2025-05-04 0.002243 0.003408 0.005228 0.008383 0.013952 0.023846 0.043935
2025-05-11 0.002132 0.003294 0.005144 0.008427 0.014378 0.025285 0.048278
2025-05-18 0.001989 0.003122 0.004960 0.008296 0.014502 0.026229 0.051890
2025-05-25 0.001901 0.003034 0.004911 0.008400 0.015079 0.028128 0.057886
2025-06-01 0.001793 0.002905 0.004781 0.008341 0.015334 0.029413 0.062751
2025-06-08 0.001652 0.002709 0.004518 0.008012 0.015020 0.029483 0.064820
2025-06-15 0.001569 0.002607 0.004414 0.007974 0.015283 0.030805 0.070122
2025-06-22 0.001548 0.002614 0.004506 0.008320 0.016378 0.034087 0.080969
2025-06-29 0.001446 0.002468 0.004306 0.008070 0.016177 0.034418 0.084200
2025-07-06 0.001358 0.002340 0.004131 0.007856 0.016031 0.034856 0.087808
2025-07-13 0.001301 0.002268 0.004056 0.007839 0.016323 0.036376 0.094769
2025-07-20 0.001280 0.002261 0.004107 0.008092 0.017254 0.039599 0.107425
2025-07-27 0.001227 0.002192 0.004029 0.008059 0.017515 0.041163 0.115411