Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009153 0.010295 0.011548 0.013031 0.014743 0.016663 0.018988
2025-05-04 0.007330 0.008855 0.010677 0.013031 0.016018 0.019717 0.024696
2025-05-11 0.006370 0.008063 0.010201 0.013135 0.017111 0.022390 0.030066
2025-05-18 0.005606 0.007358 0.009670 0.012996 0.017748 0.024432 0.034800
2025-05-25 0.005108 0.006917 0.009395 0.013114 0.018684 0.026939 0.040530
2025-06-01 0.004638 0.006449 0.009011 0.012996 0.019217 0.028871 0.045641
2025-06-08 0.004158 0.005910 0.008458 0.012543 0.019150 0.029820 0.049253
2025-06-15 0.003877 0.005632 0.008253 0.012587 0.019849 0.032067 0.055435
2025-06-22 0.003733 0.005543 0.008321 0.013059 0.021296 0.035756 0.064880
2025-06-29 0.003449 0.005212 0.007973 0.012803 0.021450 0.037164 0.070192
2025-07-06 0.003193 0.004900 0.007630 0.012512 0.021497 0.038364 0.075276
2025-07-13 0.003015 0.004702 0.007452 0.012487 0.022020 0.040527 0.082785
2025-07-20 0.002918 0.004637 0.007507 0.012913 0.023503 0.044932 0.096518
2025-07-27 0.002755 0.004450 0.007340 0.012918 0.024184 0.047835 0.107570
2025-08-03 0.002623 0.004306 0.007233 0.013021 0.025067 0.051310 0.120895
2025-08-10 0.002470 0.004111 0.007015 0.012883 0.025421 0.053653 0.131874
2025-08-17 0.002366 0.003995 0.006932 0.013000 0.026339 0.057456 0.147897
2025-08-24 0.002240 0.003831 0.006744 0.012884 0.026719 0.060027 0.161104
2025-08-31 0.002085 0.003601 0.006414 0.012435 0.026281 0.060481 0.168025
2025-09-07 0.002000 0.003497 0.006319 0.012478 0.027001 0.064049 0.185927
2025-09-14 0.001968 0.003491 0.006415 0.012946 0.028809 0.070870 0.217038
2025-09-21 0.001862 0.003334 0.006197 0.012692 0.028792 0.072632 0.230930
2025-09-28 0.001760 0.003180 0.005973 0.012404 0.028653 0.074025 0.243973