Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.005614 0.006237 0.006915 0.007706 0.008609 0.009609 0.010805
2025-06-15 0.004608 0.005461 0.006462 0.007730 0.009310 0.011226 0.013754
2025-06-22 0.004155 0.005142 0.006361 0.007998 0.010166 0.012979 0.016971
2025-06-29 0.003671 0.004693 0.006007 0.007849 0.010410 0.013914 0.019193
2025-07-06 0.003292 0.004322 0.005693 0.007686 0.010575 0.014714 0.021289
2025-07-13 0.003035 0.004082 0.005517 0.007675 0.010926 0.015789 0.023915
2025-07-20 0.002880 0.003963 0.005490 0.007862 0.011571 0.017362 0.027538
2025-07-27 0.002678 0.003755 0.005312 0.007797 0.011810 0.018312 0.030259
2025-08-03 0.002518 0.003595 0.005185 0.007792 0.012134 0.019424 0.033420
2025-08-10 0.002356 0.003418 0.005018 0.007701 0.012297 0.020270 0.036214
2025-08-17 0.002243 0.003306 0.004938 0.007742 0.012682 0.021544 0.040028
2025-08-24 0.002114 0.003157 0.004789 0.007651 0.012819 0.022375 0.043079
2025-08-31 0.001954 0.002956 0.004550 0.007399 0.012668 0.022696 0.045244
2025-09-07 0.001860 0.002856 0.004469 0.007418 0.013027 0.024071 0.050031
2025-09-14 0.001817 0.002835 0.004519 0.007673 0.013862 0.026523 0.057828
2025-09-21 0.001710 0.002700 0.004361 0.007531 0.013895 0.027295 0.061730
2025-09-28 0.001611 0.002570 0.004204 0.007376 0.013883 0.027963 0.065514
2025-10-05 0.001542 0.002489 0.004127 0.007366 0.014169 0.029338 0.071499
2025-10-12 0.001506 0.002463 0.004145 0.007543 0.014874 0.031793 0.081128
2025-10-19 0.001439 0.002377 0.004049 0.007482 0.015047 0.032994 0.087414
2025-10-26 0.001385 0.002311 0.003984 0.007477 0.015347 0.034557 0.095245
2025-11-02 0.001324 0.002229 0.003884 0.007390 0.015446 0.035621 0.101768
2025-11-09 0.001282 0.002181 0.003844 0.007430 0.015847 0.037546 0.111777