Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.005206 0.005761 0.006362 0.007063 0.007861 0.008744 0.009798
2025-07-13 0.004294 0.005052 0.005937 0.007056 0.008445 0.010126 0.012340
2025-07-20 0.003858 0.004728 0.005796 0.007223 0.009104 0.011537 0.014983
2025-07-27 0.003457 0.004369 0.005535 0.007159 0.009408 0.012475 0.017091
2025-08-03 0.003168 0.004110 0.005355 0.007155 0.009755 0.013475 0.019394
2025-08-10 0.002908 0.003857 0.005147 0.007074 0.009962 0.014272 0.021482
2025-08-17 0.002729 0.003695 0.005043 0.007118 0.010341 0.015352 0.024160
2025-08-24 0.002540 0.003501 0.004871 0.007037 0.010508 0.016105 0.026393
2025-08-31 0.002340 0.003272 0.004629 0.006821 0.010430 0.016437 0.027925
2025-09-07 0.002214 0.003143 0.004522 0.006803 0.010665 0.017314 0.030583
2025-09-14 0.002156 0.003112 0.004560 0.007018 0.011309 0.018979 0.035040
2025-09-21 0.002027 0.002961 0.004400 0.006888 0.011335 0.019518 0.037311
2025-09-28 0.001900 0.002810 0.004236 0.006750 0.011356 0.020094 0.039872
2025-10-05 0.001810 0.002712 0.004151 0.006744 0.011624 0.021196 0.043864
2025-10-12 0.001758 0.002674 0.004160 0.006901 0.012215 0.023033 0.049983
2025-10-19 0.001673 0.002572 0.004055 0.006841 0.012372 0.023979 0.054141
2025-10-26 0.001604 0.002494 0.003984 0.006837 0.012639 0.025202 0.059311
2025-11-02 0.001528 0.002401 0.003880 0.006760 0.012744 0.026072 0.063742
2025-11-09 0.001478 0.002346 0.003840 0.006802 0.013106 0.027591 0.070438
2025-11-16 0.001413 0.002263 0.003744 0.006726 0.013198 0.028477 0.075489
2025-11-23 0.001334 0.002153 0.003591 0.006522 0.012986 0.028575 0.078093
2025-11-30 0.001287 0.002095 0.003532 0.006504 0.013196 0.029786 0.084717
2025-12-07 0.001272 0.002093 0.003577 0.006707 0.013942 0.032532 0.097577