Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.005608 0.006231 0.006907 0.007698 0.008599 0.009598 0.010792
2025-06-15 0.004604 0.005455 0.006455 0.007722 0.009299 0.011213 0.013738
2025-06-22 0.004151 0.005136 0.006354 0.007989 0.010155 0.012963 0.016950
2025-06-29 0.003668 0.004688 0.006000 0.007840 0.010398 0.013898 0.019169
2025-07-06 0.003289 0.004318 0.005687 0.007678 0.010563 0.014696 0.021261
2025-07-13 0.003032 0.004078 0.005511 0.007667 0.010914 0.015770 0.023883
2025-07-20 0.002877 0.003959 0.005484 0.007853 0.011557 0.017340 0.027500
2025-07-27 0.002675 0.003752 0.005306 0.007788 0.011796 0.018289 0.030218
2025-08-03 0.002515 0.003591 0.005180 0.007784 0.012119 0.019399 0.033373
2025-08-10 0.002354 0.003415 0.005013 0.007693 0.012282 0.020244 0.036162
2025-08-17 0.002241 0.003302 0.004933 0.007734 0.012667 0.021516 0.039969
2025-08-24 0.002112 0.003154 0.004784 0.007642 0.012803 0.022343 0.043011
2025-08-31 0.001952 0.002954 0.004545 0.007390 0.012652 0.022663 0.045171
2025-09-07 0.001858 0.002853 0.004464 0.007410 0.013011 0.024037 0.049951
2025-09-14 0.001816 0.002832 0.004514 0.007664 0.013844 0.026484 0.057732
2025-09-21 0.001709 0.002697 0.004356 0.007522 0.013878 0.027256 0.061629
2025-09-28 0.001610 0.002568 0.004199 0.007368 0.013865 0.027923 0.065406
2025-10-05 0.001541 0.002487 0.004122 0.007357 0.014151 0.029295 0.071378
2025-10-12 0.001505 0.002461 0.004141 0.007534 0.014855 0.031746 0.080988
2025-10-19 0.001438 0.002375 0.004045 0.007473 0.015027 0.032945 0.087263
2025-10-26 0.001384 0.002309 0.003980 0.007468 0.015327 0.034506 0.095078
2025-11-02 0.001323 0.002227 0.003880 0.007382 0.015426 0.035568 0.101588
2025-11-09 0.001281 0.002179 0.003840 0.007421 0.015826 0.037489 0.111575