Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.005286 0.005852 0.006465 0.007180 0.007995 0.008897 0.009974
2025-07-13 0.004356 0.005128 0.006030 0.007171 0.008588 0.010306 0.012570
2025-07-20 0.003912 0.004797 0.005885 0.007340 0.009260 0.011747 0.015273
2025-07-27 0.003505 0.004433 0.005620 0.007277 0.009573 0.012709 0.017437
2025-08-03 0.003211 0.004169 0.005437 0.007273 0.009928 0.013733 0.019799
2025-08-10 0.002947 0.003912 0.005226 0.007190 0.010140 0.014549 0.021943
2025-08-17 0.002764 0.003746 0.005118 0.007233 0.010523 0.015649 0.024680
2025-08-24 0.002572 0.003548 0.004942 0.007149 0.010691 0.016416 0.026967
2025-08-31 0.002369 0.003317 0.004697 0.006931 0.010615 0.016761 0.028550
2025-09-07 0.002241 0.003185 0.004588 0.006913 0.010856 0.017662 0.031286
2025-09-14 0.002182 0.003153 0.004626 0.007130 0.011511 0.019363 0.035861
2025-09-21 0.002053 0.003002 0.004467 0.007005 0.011552 0.019943 0.038259
2025-09-28 0.001924 0.002850 0.004301 0.006866 0.011578 0.020544 0.040926
2025-10-05 0.001832 0.002750 0.004214 0.006859 0.011851 0.021675 0.045046
2025-10-12 0.001780 0.002710 0.004223 0.007019 0.012455 0.023562 0.051370
2025-10-19 0.001693 0.002607 0.004116 0.006959 0.012619 0.024545 0.055703
2025-10-26 0.001623 0.002527 0.004044 0.006955 0.012894 0.025806 0.061071
2025-11-02 0.001546 0.002433 0.003938 0.006877 0.013003 0.026706 0.065683
2025-11-09 0.001494 0.002376 0.003896 0.006917 0.013368 0.028258 0.072597
2025-11-16 0.001428 0.002292 0.003798 0.006838 0.013460 0.029166 0.077830
2025-11-23 0.001349 0.002180 0.003643 0.006631 0.013247 0.029279 0.080579
2025-11-30 0.001301 0.002121 0.003583 0.006614 0.013464 0.030532 0.087491
2025-12-07 0.001286 0.002119 0.003628 0.006820 0.014225 0.033357 0.100856