Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.008022 0.008997 0.010064 0.011322 0.012769 0.014386 0.016336
2025-04-06 0.006258 0.007524 0.009027 0.010958 0.013393 0.016387 0.020388
2025-04-13 0.005283 0.006640 0.008340 0.010652 0.013755 0.017830 0.023687
2025-04-20 0.004696 0.006118 0.007976 0.010625 0.014368 0.019571 0.027533
2025-04-27 0.004376 0.005884 0.007933 0.010978 0.015490 0.022099 0.032834
2025-05-04 0.004000 0.005521 0.007655 0.010941 0.016014 0.023787 0.037095
2025-05-11 0.003718 0.005256 0.007476 0.011011 0.016679 0.025743 0.042064
2025-05-18 0.003428 0.004948 0.007199 0.010887 0.017002 0.027167 0.046328
2025-05-25 0.003241 0.004773 0.007100 0.011024 0.017752 0.029379 0.052351
2025-06-01 0.003028 0.004539 0.006885 0.010941 0.018108 0.030935 0.057388
2025-06-08 0.002775 0.004221 0.006507 0.010544 0.017862 0.031353 0.060225
2025-06-15 0.002630 0.004064 0.006376 0.010556 0.018345 0.033189 0.066299
2025-06-22 0.002573 0.004054 0.006499 0.011045 0.019814 0.037230 0.078170
2025-06-29 0.002375 0.003794 0.006178 0.010704 0.019657 0.037990 0.082822
2025-07-06 0.002205 0.003568 0.005897 0.010405 0.019543 0.038817 0.087799
2025-07-13 0.002093 0.003434 0.005767 0.010379 0.019976 0.040886 0.096345
2025-07-20 0.002044 0.003407 0.005824 0.010722 0.021224 0.044981 0.111225
2025-07-27 0.001947 0.003286 0.005700 0.010687 0.021648 0.047221 0.121583
2025-08-03 0.001871 0.003198 0.005630 0.010755 0.022308 0.050139 0.134696
2025-08-10 0.001778 0.003072 0.005477 0.010633 0.022516 0.051956 0.144946
2025-08-17 0.001721 0.003011 0.005445 0.010767 0.023339 0.055502 0.161771
2025-08-24 0.001645 0.002907 0.005321 0.010686 0.023634 0.057690 0.174721
2025-08-31 0.001541 0.002745 0.005069 0.010300 0.023129 0.057587 0.179620