Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-12 0.003131 0.003448 0.003785 0.004172 0.004603 0.005071 0.005616
2026-04-19 0.002566 0.003003 0.003502 0.004115 0.004851 0.005710 0.006792
2026-04-26 0.002277 0.002779 0.003379 0.004153 0.005131 0.006333 0.007937
2026-05-03 0.002033 0.002563 0.003222 0.004104 0.005267 0.006761 0.008846
2026-05-10 0.001828 0.002370 0.003064 0.004025 0.005337 0.007086 0.009629
2026-05-17 0.001699 0.002258 0.002993 0.004044 0.005527 0.007572 0.010660
2026-05-24 0.001618 0.002201 0.002988 0.004145 0.005828 0.008227 0.011981
2026-05-31 0.001496 0.002076 0.002878 0.004084 0.005887 0.008534 0.012808
2026-06-07 0.001382 0.001952 0.002757 0.003996 0.005893 0.008753 0.013511
2026-06-14 0.001299 0.001867 0.002684 0.003970 0.005987 0.009108 0.014452
2026-06-21 0.001241 0.001814 0.002654 0.004005 0.006174 0.009616 0.015685
2026-06-28 0.001164 0.001726 0.002566 0.003941 0.006196 0.009858 0.016485
2026-07-05 0.001094 0.001649 0.002491 0.003899 0.006261 0.010193 0.017512
2026-07-12 0.001027 0.001571 0.002413 0.003847 0.006306 0.010499 0.018526
2026-07-19 0.000985 0.001531 0.002390 0.003882 0.006499 0.011075 0.020091
2026-07-26 0.000931 0.001466 0.002322 0.003837 0.006547 0.011396 0.021204
2026-08-02 0.000876 0.001397 0.002242 0.003763 0.006538 0.011607 0.022119
2026-08-09 0.000842 0.001361 0.002216 0.003781 0.006694 0.012138 0.023731
2026-08-16 0.000824 0.001350 0.002231 0.003874 0.006997 0.012972 0.026059
2026-08-23 0.000782 0.001295 0.002168 0.003818 0.007010 0.013241 0.027214
2026-08-30 0.000738 0.001236 0.002093 0.003736 0.006966 0.013390 0.028119
2026-09-06 0.000707 0.001197 0.002051 0.003712 0.007035 0.013773 0.029590
2026-09-13 0.000686 0.001176 0.002038 0.003744 0.007218 0.014408 0.031711