Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 14.801733 17.218044 19.847231 22.913127 26.382326 30.178199 34.637698
2025-07-27 10.992867 14.357257 18.385599 23.527328 29.874859 37.410796 46.986766
2025-08-03 8.570921 12.286864 17.086596 23.656503 32.318555 43.241250 57.931540
2025-08-10 6.757290 10.508345 15.680946 23.192573 33.651919 47.505513 67.006801
2025-08-17 5.414550 9.069409 14.415654 22.597408 34.545524 51.054065 75.209436
2025-08-24 4.379084 7.866464 13.255966 21.910350 35.104686 54.035719 82.697994
2025-08-31 3.511494 6.754634 12.040502 20.926947 35.035243 56.000063 88.755388
2025-09-07 3.093534 6.311158 11.798353 21.385762 37.127527 61.203351 99.794806
2025-09-14 2.730376 5.895535 11.532071 21.745746 39.051536 66.235450 110.847023
2025-09-21 2.319901 5.314965 10.892876 21.383882 39.734390 69.341668 119.083085
2025-09-28 1.952302 4.748161 10.193286 20.818175 39.989940 71.735216 126.285237
2025-10-05 1.863374 4.740180 10.533025 22.147535 43.587466 79.763843 142.948944
2025-10-12 1.722520 4.620262 10.687429 23.240774 47.028015 88.038141 161.003060
2025-10-19 1.540999 4.380255 10.582069 23.855042 49.716173 95.327183 178.070264
2025-10-26 1.342694 4.056925 10.253167 23.984436 51.510583 101.190315 193.096569
2025-11-02 1.130636 3.647864 9.670421 23.514683 52.101578 104.939079 204.671851
2025-11-09 0.944664 3.259308 9.066191 22.912292 52.353290 108.056587 215.281155
2025-11-16 0.784002 2.897242 8.459526 22.216902 52.330813 110.631587 225.027007
2025-11-23 0.635490 2.527028 7.764291 21.221522 51.574177 111.736095 232.107905
2025-11-30 0.573823 2.412793 7.702367 21.685934 53.931375 118.957713 250.926885
2025-12-07 0.515324 2.292833 7.604886 22.050298 56.095862 125.924637 269.623400
2025-12-14 0.438704 2.085681 7.230849 21.684030 56.606093 129.619753 282.245814
2025-12-21 0.367213 1.872716 6.799305 21.111421 56.587251 132.223926 292.867593