Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 16.105669 18.743704 21.612762 24.956437 28.737393 32.871283 37.723852
2025-05-25 11.352578 14.884881 19.120885 24.533639 31.220549 39.162245 49.254306
2025-06-01 8.509875 12.294314 17.202070 23.940124 32.843693 44.087810 59.224246
2025-06-08 6.423602 10.116629 15.246120 22.736540 33.210600 47.125900 66.755535
2025-06-15 5.550669 9.391031 15.034032 23.693915 36.358306 53.862060 79.459138
2025-06-22 4.742498 8.584530 14.534346 24.091274 38.646277 59.486734 90.949389
2025-06-29 3.921415 7.592402 13.579255 23.631282 39.547167 63.111680 99.764846
2025-07-06 3.177209 6.582260 12.428750 22.680943 39.536166 65.303565 106.533764
2025-07-13 2.951826 6.448852 12.698269 24.028406 43.195125 73.209720 122.259589
2025-07-20 2.726185 6.271665 12.856852 25.181499 46.600619 80.907577 138.084276
2025-07-27 2.465486 5.977313 12.758194 25.857453 49.236839 87.519773 152.554165
2025-08-03 2.185209 5.590697 12.431052 26.073122 51.076134 92.922284 165.358664
2025-08-10 1.845206 5.038949 11.765177 25.696375 52.037458 97.259438 177.260279
2025-08-17 1.532149 4.486365 11.027763 25.121476 52.641236 101.133378 188.835757
2025-08-24 1.267943 3.985591 10.313675 24.491657 53.063060 104.698339 200.096876
2025-08-31 1.009152 3.427646 9.373164 23.260093 52.189104 105.868038 207.254290
2025-09-07 0.928037 3.331665 9.471633 24.235688 55.705793 115.166309 229.174800
2025-09-14 0.824588 3.144491 9.320884 24.640738 58.098824 122.530860 248.032590
2025-09-21 0.693315 2.835091 8.813426 24.171673 58.639434 126.437096 260.815612
2025-09-28 0.562492 2.484452 8.132965 23.202552 58.018242 128.051943 269.428637
2025-10-05 0.538463 2.492379 8.415442 24.576608 62.558960 139.972892 297.927409
2025-10-12 0.508227 2.469949 8.609775 25.752294 66.749137 151.426303 326.074643
2025-10-19 0.464736 2.385044 8.611688 26.441427 69.900057 160.968017 351.002050