Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 11.999317 14.037240 16.263315 18.868494 21.826418 25.073004 28.898404
2025-06-15 8.897610 11.750273 15.191785 19.613978 25.106286 31.661453 40.030733
2025-06-22 6.939711 10.103060 14.231466 19.932520 27.506805 37.119631 50.120275
2025-06-29 5.413358 8.588482 13.025439 19.540121 28.695863 40.915122 58.225181
2025-07-06 4.210498 7.237770 11.742933 18.734668 29.063629 43.467872 64.705182
2025-07-13 3.774176 6.928013 11.866878 19.877635 32.184636 49.941436 76.935242
2025-07-20 3.387385 6.612895 11.908662 20.852621 35.088540 56.263090 89.337287
2025-07-27 2.995366 6.209772 11.734177 21.431127 37.389610 61.810336 100.924594
2025-08-03 2.596419 5.716623 11.327864 21.556397 38.942980 66.284187 111.134950
2025-08-10 2.186298 5.122537 10.653640 21.128307 39.517993 69.227459 119.120449
2025-08-17 1.829415 4.563061 9.955880 20.559123 39.768743 71.620209 126.324616
2025-08-24 1.522917 4.046316 9.259469 19.896208 39.767023 73.554472 132.849392
2025-08-31 1.203778 3.452474 8.361665 18.825617 39.085966 74.552143 138.352095
2025-09-07 1.090726 3.323367 8.412523 19.632407 41.958541 81.910844 155.130046
2025-09-14 0.955674 3.106771 8.239457 19.962336 43.960198 87.887893 169.938447
2025-09-21 0.794551 2.777551 7.754965 19.571340 44.514753 91.297680 180.473011
2025-09-28 0.638477 2.415007 7.122753 18.765094 44.142669 92.955180 187.963450
2025-10-05 0.603975 2.405916 7.352214 19.909717 47.846804 102.445046 210.118348
2025-10-12 0.563818 2.368436 7.502598 20.886067 51.274861 111.612472 232.160415
2025-10-19 0.510913 2.273933 7.487051 21.465375 53.899417 119.381975 252.005169
2025-10-26 0.447750 2.124296 7.295286 21.590818 55.541016 125.316918 268.697829
2025-11-02 0.375816 1.917432 6.903028 21.162137 55.904534 128.715124 280.711803
2025-11-09 0.311281 1.714212 6.479762 20.592165 55.883219 131.312827 291.289376