Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 14.853051 17.330169 20.028419 23.177483 26.743036 30.645983 35.232367
2025-04-06 10.366470 13.669672 17.645205 22.740951 29.053441 36.567872 46.136187
2025-04-13 7.466199 10.905162 15.397541 21.603665 29.848441 40.307564 54.441835
2025-04-20 6.316568 10.020418 15.185064 22.748578 33.346944 47.446875 67.353587
2025-04-27 5.567892 9.491678 15.278986 24.182779 37.224460 55.263945 81.649171
2025-05-04 4.754977 8.685883 14.801221 24.653423 39.685242 61.226627 93.751172
2025-05-11 3.992983 7.803213 14.044054 24.549006 41.202144 65.862913 104.198994
2025-05-18 3.319470 6.934120 13.160002 24.091450 42.062458 69.507733 113.345980
2025-05-25 2.777363 6.191428 12.364203 23.646346 42.838554 73.000803 122.398888
2025-06-01 2.329418 5.536908 11.617466 23.169127 43.469290 76.245893 131.195118
2025-06-08 1.870306 4.764335 10.535055 21.953444 42.709769 77.168065 136.333173
2025-06-15 1.727640 4.634169 10.650117 22.912322 45.753434 84.435030 151.988729
2025-06-22 1.580458 4.487962 10.756408 23.950041 49.177671 92.815097 170.404280
2025-06-29 1.306632 3.989166 10.076777 23.410707 49.739493 96.471624 181.388241
2025-07-06 1.033554 3.418587 9.142333 22.228185 48.964919 97.727027 188.365935
2025-07-13 0.960394 3.357421 9.333865 23.398124 52.796652 107.385738 210.382075
2025-07-20 0.911113 3.351379 9.650841 24.866646 57.327675 118.574415 235.668807
2025-07-27 0.812509 3.175063 9.528656 25.348564 59.903948 126.310762 255.203177
2025-08-03 0.699172 2.920786 9.168084 25.241597 61.247813 131.805658 270.958358
2025-08-10 0.587887 2.637940 8.681524 24.772948 61.773435 135.748568 284.041518
2025-08-17 0.494426 2.384948 8.227146 24.317029 62.270436 139.641369 297.202956
2025-08-24 0.414432 2.152460 7.784823 23.828183 62.637793 143.277825 310.037959
2025-08-31 0.326805 1.853705 7.085848 22.582724 61.170831 143.112345 315.537859