Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 15.177577 17.693299 20.433258 23.630875 27.251548 31.215273 35.873917
2025-05-04 11.176470 14.676179 18.878606 24.255097 30.905102 38.811744 48.869982
2025-05-11 8.572409 12.398408 17.365041 24.190354 33.217362 44.626960 59.998556
2025-05-18 6.721561 10.577160 15.929739 23.742760 34.664357 49.170567 69.629740
2025-05-25 5.376575 9.137534 14.684283 23.224499 35.751395 53.111485 78.561131
2025-06-01 4.357346 7.960829 13.582461 22.670397 36.590718 56.622684 87.002627
2025-06-08 3.441389 6.759208 12.230914 21.506439 36.317051 58.405103 92.986077
2025-06-15 3.093189 6.445230 12.227284 22.406797 39.201315 64.954235 106.274680
2025-06-22 2.725599 6.024135 11.971958 22.837036 41.337505 70.470533 118.315460
2025-06-29 2.294750 5.399314 11.264462 22.396883 41.976841 73.654645 126.915907
2025-07-06 1.880198 4.722893 10.358534 21.482016 41.696916 75.298433 133.127607
2025-07-13 1.778159 4.685032 10.652365 22.764693 45.292752 83.457657 150.219236
2025-07-20 1.666487 4.630627 10.954350 24.188840 49.430548 93.076920 170.771025
2025-07-27 1.476480 4.363288 10.800055 24.746899 52.109436 100.515747 188.366267
2025-08-03 1.262553 3.987206 10.355237 24.667032 53.585210 105.966432 202.940405
2025-08-10 1.057193 3.579333 9.768697 24.209372 54.271881 110.033474 215.334947
2025-08-17 0.881874 3.204422 9.189774 23.681888 54.747283 113.714147 227.224579
2025-08-24 0.733780 2.864618 8.631956 23.118288 55.074682 117.109031 238.757708
2025-08-31 0.582859 2.466965 7.852158 21.934420 53.981725 117.713588 245.193493
2025-09-07 0.540288 2.412889 7.960114 22.850179 57.421103 127.240538 268.667164
2025-09-14 0.484357 2.295722 7.876335 23.287747 59.850712 134.926066 289.059569
2025-09-21 0.407261 2.074767 7.459617 22.840095 60.269015 138.624197 302.029422
2025-09-28 0.329100 1.818660 6.887066 21.909575 59.492458 139.832093 310.217797