Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 20.206388 23.303220 26.642711 30.502599 34.831666 39.527639 44.997300
2025-10-19 14.924921 19.218277 24.282630 30.652817 38.403103 47.475592 58.844035
2025-10-26 11.774806 16.560874 22.620194 30.753963 41.272741 54.292745 71.486099
2025-11-02 9.463092 14.372019 20.976190 30.340076 43.075374 59.568545 82.279071
2025-11-09 7.731539 12.593464 19.502272 29.784158 44.394642 64.064572 92.125485
2025-11-16 6.376798 11.093562 18.146092 29.117688 45.337097 67.940150 101.206090
2025-11-23 5.189061 9.631966 16.612793 27.944968 45.336426 70.368215 108.286941
2025-11-30 4.683415 9.177666 16.535140 28.901197 48.461363 77.349935 122.121670
2025-12-07 4.262245 8.793043 16.502255 29.884826 51.649050 84.557003 136.622214
2025-12-14 3.636903 7.940077 15.576969 29.303905 52.299823 87.945191 145.577873
2025-12-21 3.081290 7.121940 14.600660 28.512759 52.502325 90.591934 153.471283
2025-12-28 2.946362 7.105722 15.046839 30.194464 56.867135 99.954468 172.149387
2026-01-04 2.756664 6.977429 15.322979 31.694866 61.200280 109.778767 192.510592
2026-01-11 2.440098 6.532414 14.956429 32.018047 63.581745 116.666781 208.725863
2026-01-18 2.146967 6.082966 14.518441 32.151463 65.619978 123.086049 224.503076
2026-01-25 1.845547 5.551494 13.835537 31.726241 66.586940 127.714707 237.516906
2026-02-01 1.576750 5.041321 13.121731 31.149400 67.198975 131.726183 249.645671
2026-02-08 1.339726 4.558847 12.395749 30.456944 67.510666 135.188598 260.958387
2026-02-15 1.105853 4.026924 11.473758 29.238072 66.678163 136.519075 268.587875
2026-02-22 1.029253 3.931121 11.570382 30.231975 70.294176 146.103887 291.155317
2026-03-01 0.960672 3.844681 11.677328 31.254165 74.027887 156.078461 314.829900
2026-03-08 0.823109 3.505902 11.098162 30.650494 74.358277 159.686808 327.160064
2026-03-15 0.695852 3.164926 10.458213 29.828258 74.150656 162.234665 337.630410