Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 13.728680 15.981286 18.433355 21.293769 24.531545 28.075255 32.239614
2025-08-17 9.605339 12.590308 16.173669 20.758192 26.430101 33.176968 41.765492
2025-08-24 7.174246 10.355412 14.485235 20.163540 27.680408 37.192826 50.027602
2025-08-31 5.450560 8.566074 12.895957 19.226646 28.094968 39.902769 56.601963
2025-09-07 4.609599 7.788394 12.466856 19.663577 30.219593 44.858409 66.345807
2025-09-14 3.957351 7.147165 12.093447 20.056869 32.222547 49.704405 76.203238
2025-09-21 3.285270 6.339609 11.325358 19.714995 33.040880 52.845454 83.783419
2025-09-28 2.710452 5.582284 10.510306 19.162153 33.421513 55.293112 90.430656
2025-10-05 2.559757 5.547259 10.876099 20.540471 36.920437 62.647148 104.849453
2025-10-12 2.382291 5.428164 11.070543 21.630115 40.013708 69.545553 118.954679
2025-10-19 2.118104 5.091157 10.823264 21.909187 41.753172 74.378959 130.076395
2025-10-26 1.859292 4.717298 10.452930 21.913377 42.996191 78.452042 140.176028
2025-11-02 1.562077 4.226246 9.831194 21.463827 43.548328 81.662218 149.503707
2025-11-09 1.299754 3.762426 9.204154 20.947365 43.967607 84.746223 158.962767
2025-11-16 1.075357 3.335003 8.581485 20.351864 44.165267 87.437318 167.908866
2025-11-23 0.866028 2.890390 7.841883 19.408003 43.579748 88.658012 174.338341
2025-11-30 0.776526 2.745828 7.761939 19.848614 45.740548 94.984064 190.129596
2025-12-07 0.695834 2.605957 7.669410 20.245130 47.836298 101.310279 206.262226
2025-12-14 0.589717 2.360280 7.273135 19.900474 48.358591 104.685036 217.175530
2025-12-21 0.491064 2.108089 6.813638 19.343116 48.365213 107.045686 226.310815
2025-12-28 0.480561 2.150616 7.148376 20.732665 52.700641 118.134658 252.467961
2026-01-04 0.458700 2.147664 7.356797 21.831117 56.473252 128.308455 277.356091
2026-01-11 0.411513 2.038296 7.246035 22.112435 58.431255 134.938166 295.724243