Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 12.349396 14.437522 16.717182 19.383668 22.409638 25.729281 29.638891
2025-06-15 9.181755 12.110664 15.640520 20.171860 25.794557 32.499617 41.053308
2025-06-22 7.174603 10.426708 14.664781 20.509488 28.264966 38.096586 51.378978
2025-06-29 5.603852 8.870875 13.427924 20.107948 29.481894 41.975409 59.651757
2025-07-06 4.364055 7.481531 12.110841 19.281403 29.856065 44.580145 66.258256
2025-07-13 3.914322 7.163273 12.238623 20.453133 33.048975 51.191964 78.730717
2025-07-20 3.516283 6.840942 12.284631 21.456788 36.025516 57.655849 91.386804
2025-07-27 3.110760 6.424680 12.103247 22.045583 38.371617 63.307036 103.177295
2025-08-03 2.698246 5.916293 11.684903 22.171766 39.955474 67.864857 113.565628
2025-08-10 2.274187 5.304332 10.992415 21.732982 40.542261 70.865060 121.692463
2025-08-17 1.905394 4.728914 10.277887 21.153961 40.805292 73.316031 129.042674
2025-08-24 1.593151 4.208247 9.587131 20.522747 40.890356 75.435559 135.927561
2025-08-31 1.262720 3.597514 8.669576 19.437892 40.218887 76.497550 141.605557
2025-09-07 1.145252 3.464527 8.723344 20.268729 43.163234 84.016630 158.704820
2025-09-14 1.005071 3.241830 8.548610 20.614954 45.225730 90.141475 173.824236
2025-09-21 0.836839 2.900511 8.048807 20.212861 45.791622 93.617433 184.540242
2025-09-28 0.673562 2.524100 7.395774 19.382790 45.406233 95.299202 192.145036
2025-10-05 0.637562 2.514990 7.633291 20.559853 49.198960 104.984476 214.693434
2025-10-12 0.595790 2.477022 7.790890 21.568020 52.717194 114.355239 237.151628
2025-10-19 0.540213 2.378426 7.773539 22.159446 55.393576 122.260457 257.297638
2025-10-26 0.473899 2.222754 7.574924 22.286191 57.067088 128.298792 274.242561
2025-11-02 0.398354 2.007726 7.169899 21.845450 57.436775 131.756856 286.440003
2025-11-09 0.330603 1.796845 6.734304 21.263838 57.423003 134.419605 297.216913