Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 15.091165 17.522098 20.161834 23.233863 26.702983 30.491274 34.933065
2025-09-07 11.214692 14.602577 18.645416 23.788515 30.116569 37.604969 47.089666
2025-09-14 8.928210 12.734030 17.623701 24.282029 33.015610 43.974155 58.640909
2025-09-21 7.088900 10.952040 16.243317 23.877219 34.438791 48.342324 67.796708
2025-09-28 5.683354 9.448378 14.913218 23.214168 35.248027 51.759889 75.756677
2025-10-05 5.205097 9.187913 15.246749 24.835862 39.257765 59.693880 90.272473
2025-10-12 4.740883 8.853885 15.390621 26.134689 42.843232 67.216136 104.647003
2025-10-19 4.155903 8.215405 14.955477 26.455098 44.932401 72.652073 116.299292
2025-10-26 3.640107 7.604458 14.469646 26.606399 46.716674 77.686290 127.591985
2025-11-02 3.127782 6.910194 13.743145 26.256503 47.626994 81.387090 137.019896
2025-11-09 2.670627 6.240119 12.964598 25.712746 48.132655 84.430761 145.538956
2025-11-16 2.274747 5.621273 12.193154 25.081505 48.402721 87.062657 153.491390
2025-11-23 1.853855 4.895705 11.167784 23.961360 47.880321 88.611706 160.235901
2025-11-30 1.656471 4.630771 11.022732 24.497951 50.384528 95.453432 176.217150
2025-12-07 1.481206 4.381035 10.871193 24.998456 52.855551 102.391337 192.766670
2025-12-14 1.258366 3.964469 10.299777 24.582364 53.555655 106.263597 204.292595
2025-12-21 1.052594 3.541368 9.644064 23.902208 53.664085 109.054026 214.057475
2025-12-28 1.021055 3.586350 10.068638 25.565200 58.506785 120.705801 240.045682
2026-01-04 0.970242 3.565462 10.332073 26.896853 62.774678 131.525061 265.062747
2026-01-11 0.870749 3.376931 10.157765 27.225326 65.006075 138.649715 283.727220
2026-01-18 0.775028 3.176179 9.921388 27.380431 66.876705 145.179258 301.601757
2026-01-25 0.669914 2.916454 9.489594 27.021733 67.612662 149.542375 315.636367
2026-02-01 0.571902 2.652284 9.001221 26.464268 67.858173 152.936571 327.983307