Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 14.505412 16.853983 19.402396 22.365536 25.708256 29.354383 33.624119
2025-10-26 10.439132 13.636622 17.452926 22.306097 28.272453 35.324207 44.241662
2025-11-02 7.940709 11.409525 15.877449 21.969811 29.964397 39.991826 53.397982
2025-11-09 6.240510 9.743088 14.559921 21.525048 31.169504 43.861554 61.597781
2025-11-16 4.993168 8.411782 13.400044 20.998637 32.024846 47.145745 69.082234
2025-11-23 3.966112 7.189860 12.166743 20.126654 32.186435 49.355411 75.114102
2025-11-30 3.516228 6.780195 12.061459 20.852572 34.644536 54.875410 86.044923
2025-12-07 3.146581 6.431390 11.984776 21.575787 37.108542 60.515421 97.444727
2025-12-14 2.639776 5.746539 11.251602 21.136657 37.685959 63.329701 104.785597
2025-12-21 2.201831 5.105609 10.496285 20.551617 37.934788 65.598776 111.366388
2025-12-28 2.042494 4.980059 10.637187 21.506926 40.768115 72.051624 124.722648
2026-01-04 1.885918 4.831416 10.710615 22.335213 43.427365 78.354701 138.143291
2026-01-11 1.647712 4.485206 10.400685 22.506504 45.099411 83.377687 150.189349
2026-01-18 1.428616 4.142620 10.060181 22.602093 46.682895 88.425487 162.704075
2026-01-25 1.207989 3.745571 9.544566 22.288749 47.479250 92.170223 173.257890
2026-02-01 1.013344 3.365108 9.000971 21.843030 47.966128 95.376837 183.043509
2026-02-08 0.844923 3.009737 8.452639 21.310730 48.217830 98.149501 192.193044
2026-02-15 0.684833 2.631794 7.784245 20.427751 47.678334 99.422893 198.740330
2026-02-22 0.630603 2.557621 7.844018 21.162965 50.457844 106.963704 216.820428
2026-03-01 0.581459 2.487042 7.901424 21.895375 53.280523 114.731642 235.668668
2026-03-08 0.489941 2.248191 7.478579 21.450670 53.580015 117.700818 245.859446
2026-03-15 0.407270 2.012323 7.020050 20.858176 53.498341 119.905769 254.711873
2026-03-22 0.385561 1.998116 7.184417 21.825642 56.913973 129.163714 277.248133