Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 14.414726 16.817795 19.436983 22.495826 25.961785 29.758677 34.224167
2025-05-18 10.125090 13.333568 17.195629 22.147893 28.286499 35.599870 44.921387
2025-05-25 7.563697 10.994116 15.465679 21.633973 29.820996 40.202428 54.231382
2025-06-01 5.860152 9.283861 14.063068 21.073753 30.918487 44.047953 62.635679
2025-06-08 4.502330 7.733406 12.539376 19.994811 31.004983 46.354940 68.981417
2025-06-15 3.950191 7.257431 12.440531 20.853362 33.786557 52.457981 80.858120
2025-06-22 3.404289 6.676100 12.067148 21.200150 35.776638 57.509078 91.527005
2025-06-29 2.827211 5.925634 11.295629 20.788614 36.507727 60.688510 99.598675
2025-07-06 2.293681 5.145311 10.346510 19.939528 36.410245 62.530950 105.698201
2025-07-13 2.142915 5.063806 10.601673 21.145423 39.741051 69.898807 120.715569
2025-07-20 1.986375 4.940085 10.755476 22.172149 42.830542 77.052107 135.782476
2025-07-27 1.800583 4.719186 10.690260 22.779919 45.223457 83.192149 149.539602
2025-08-03 1.543895 4.317190 10.263554 22.760786 46.683193 88.177111 162.245103
2025-08-10 1.284317 3.855595 9.656364 22.343971 47.431566 92.101292 173.626109
2025-08-17 1.060620 3.424173 9.037714 21.814771 47.901270 95.554960 184.419054
2025-08-24 0.873858 3.036824 8.445091 21.248534 48.218838 98.723644 194.873898
2025-08-31 0.691307 2.605273 7.665841 20.161506 47.369544 99.663021 201.390096
2025-09-07 0.636238 2.536797 7.758513 21.026157 50.565511 108.334536 222.333678
2025-09-14 0.564044 2.393640 7.636016 21.375410 52.705941 115.125278 240.189857
2025-09-21 0.471998 2.154739 7.216399 20.960932 53.165236 118.679798 252.202412
2025-09-28 0.380295 1.883085 6.651126 20.105754 52.562573 120.076891 260.181810
2025-10-05 0.364503 1.892834 6.893908 21.320291 56.702049 131.231483 287.471526
2025-10-12 0.343954 1.877664 7.060249 22.354321 60.507389 141.914175 314.345927