Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.004218 0.004437 0.004662 0.004911 0.005179 0.005458 0.005773
2025-09-07 0.003791 0.004110 0.004451 0.004846 0.005291 0.005779 0.006357
2025-09-14 0.003512 0.003883 0.004291 0.004777 0.005342 0.005984 0.006775
2025-09-21 0.003342 0.003754 0.004218 0.004784 0.005461 0.006252 0.007259
2025-09-28 0.003115 0.003541 0.004029 0.004635 0.005375 0.006261 0.007418
2025-10-05 0.002997 0.003447 0.003970 0.004632 0.005457 0.006467 0.007822
2025-10-12 0.002937 0.003415 0.003980 0.004708 0.005635 0.006796 0.008396
2025-10-19 0.002828 0.003318 0.003905 0.004672 0.005665 0.006934 0.008722
2025-10-26 0.002735 0.003235 0.003842 0.004646 0.005703 0.007080 0.009062
2025-11-02 0.002647 0.003154 0.003777 0.004612 0.005727 0.007203 0.009374
2025-11-09 0.002614 0.003141 0.003796 0.004687 0.005896 0.007529 0.009988
2025-11-16 0.002544 0.003078 0.003747 0.004668 0.005936 0.007676 0.010349
2025-11-23 0.002471 0.003009 0.003690 0.004637 0.005958 0.007800 0.010686
2025-11-30 0.002391 0.002928 0.003614 0.004577 0.005936 0.007859 0.010929
2025-12-07 0.002315 0.002849 0.003537 0.004513 0.005905 0.007902 0.011144
2025-12-14 0.002270 0.002811 0.003513 0.004519 0.005975 0.008094 0.011606
2025-12-21 0.002174 0.002701 0.003389 0.004381 0.005828 0.007953 0.011519
2025-12-28 0.002132 0.002663 0.003362 0.004378 0.005878 0.008113 0.011935
2026-01-04 0.002119 0.002663 0.003386 0.004449 0.006039 0.008451 0.012672
2026-01-11 0.002070 0.002614 0.003339 0.004416 0.006042 0.008540 0.012983
2026-01-18 0.002027 0.002570 0.003300 0.004391 0.006057 0.008647 0.013334
2026-01-25 0.001983 0.002525 0.003257 0.004360 0.006059 0.008733 0.013650
2026-02-01 0.001975 0.002528 0.003282 0.004429 0.006220 0.009087 0.014481