Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.005587 0.005901 0.006226 0.006589 0.006984 0.007401 0.007877
2026-04-12 0.005055 0.005510 0.006005 0.006585 0.007252 0.007998 0.008902
2026-04-19 0.004690 0.005219 0.005812 0.006531 0.007388 0.008388 0.009658
2026-04-26 0.004528 0.005127 0.005816 0.006678 0.007739 0.009025 0.010729
2026-05-03 0.004316 0.004954 0.005703 0.006662 0.007877 0.009393 0.011479
2026-05-10 0.004148 0.004819 0.005621 0.006669 0.008030 0.009778 0.012268
2026-05-17 0.003945 0.004626 0.005453 0.006552 0.008008 0.009923 0.012731
2026-05-24 0.003773 0.004462 0.005310 0.006454 0.007998 0.010075 0.013207
2026-05-31 0.003658 0.004363 0.005242 0.006447 0.008105 0.010388 0.013932
2026-06-07 0.003478 0.004173 0.005047 0.006259 0.007950 0.010316 0.014070
2026-06-14 0.003401 0.004112 0.005017 0.006290 0.008097 0.010683 0.014907
2026-06-21 0.003345 0.004074 0.005015 0.006356 0.008296 0.011137 0.015919
2026-06-28 0.003241 0.003971 0.004922 0.006294 0.008307 0.011309 0.016493
2026-07-05 0.003165 0.003903 0.004873 0.006291 0.008404 0.011620 0.017330
2026-07-12 0.003078 0.003816 0.004795 0.006240 0.008424 0.011808 0.017968
2026-07-19 0.003061 0.003823 0.004845 0.006377 0.008737 0.012486 0.019561
2026-07-26 0.002994 0.003759 0.004795 0.006362 0.008811 0.012775 0.020459
2026-08-02 0.002938 0.003709 0.004760 0.006369 0.008918 0.013124 0.021509
2026-08-09 0.002849 0.003609 0.004652 0.006259 0.008831 0.013131 0.021874
2026-08-16 0.002770 0.003521 0.004558 0.006168 0.008769 0.013175 0.022319
2026-08-23 0.002721 0.003474 0.004521 0.006161 0.008846 0.013472 0.023330
2026-08-30 0.002623 0.003356 0.004378 0.005985 0.008631 0.013225 0.023130
2026-09-06 0.002590 0.003328 0.004365 0.006014 0.008761 0.013621 0.024406