Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.003949 0.004152 0.004362 0.004592 0.004840 0.005099 0.005389
2025-07-20 0.003644 0.003952 0.004281 0.004662 0.005090 0.005559 0.006115
2025-07-27 0.003388 0.003748 0.004145 0.004617 0.005166 0.005788 0.006553
2025-08-03 0.003199 0.003596 0.004042 0.004585 0.005234 0.005992 0.006952
2025-08-10 0.003041 0.003464 0.003948 0.004549 0.005284 0.006162 0.007309
2025-08-17 0.002968 0.003423 0.003953 0.004625 0.005464 0.006493 0.007874
2025-08-24 0.002858 0.003330 0.003888 0.004608 0.005524 0.006670 0.008247
2025-08-31 0.002752 0.003236 0.003817 0.004576 0.005559 0.006813 0.008578
2025-09-07 0.002644 0.003134 0.003729 0.004516 0.005551 0.006896 0.008827
2025-09-14 0.002543 0.003037 0.003642 0.004453 0.005534 0.006961 0.009051
2025-09-21 0.002482 0.002986 0.003611 0.004459 0.005607 0.007148 0.009452
2025-09-28 0.002364 0.002859 0.003477 0.004323 0.005480 0.007053 0.009440
2025-10-05 0.002310 0.002813 0.003448 0.004328 0.005547 0.007232 0.009842
2025-10-12 0.002284 0.002803 0.003464 0.004392 0.005698 0.007537 0.010453
2025-10-19 0.002218 0.002737 0.003405 0.004350 0.005698 0.007622 0.010727
2025-10-26 0.002161 0.002682 0.003356 0.004321 0.005713 0.007728 0.011039
2025-11-02 0.002106 0.002626 0.003306 0.004288 0.005719 0.007819 0.011331
2025-11-09 0.002091 0.002625 0.003330 0.004358 0.005878 0.008149 0.012032
2025-11-16 0.002047 0.002582 0.003294 0.004342 0.005909 0.008280 0.012409
2025-11-23 0.002000 0.002535 0.003251 0.004313 0.005917 0.008376 0.012729
2025-11-30 0.001947 0.002477 0.003191 0.004258 0.005883 0.008402 0.012927
2025-12-07 0.001895 0.002420 0.003130 0.004199 0.005841 0.008413 0.013098
2025-12-14 0.001867 0.002395 0.003114 0.004205 0.005899 0.008587 0.013574