Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.002863 0.002994 0.003128 0.003274 0.003430 0.003592 0.003771
2025-03-02 0.002657 0.002857 0.003068 0.003308 0.003574 0.003862 0.004197
2025-03-09 0.002499 0.002737 0.002995 0.003296 0.003640 0.004023 0.004484
2025-03-16 0.002372 0.002635 0.002926 0.003274 0.003681 0.004145 0.004719
2025-03-23 0.002252 0.002531 0.002846 0.003228 0.003684 0.004215 0.004888
2025-03-30 0.002152 0.002444 0.002777 0.003189 0.003688 0.004282 0.005049
2025-04-06 0.002086 0.002392 0.002746 0.003189 0.003737 0.004400 0.005275
2025-04-13 0.001974 0.002280 0.002638 0.003092 0.003659 0.004355 0.005290
2025-04-20 0.001925 0.002241 0.002615 0.003095 0.003704 0.004464 0.005504
2025-04-27 0.001900 0.002230 0.002625 0.003139 0.003800 0.004639 0.005809
2025-05-04 0.001842 0.002176 0.002579 0.003109 0.003800 0.004688 0.005946
2025-05-11 0.001793 0.002132 0.002544 0.003091 0.003813 0.004753 0.006107
2025-05-18 0.001742 0.002084 0.002503 0.003065 0.003814 0.004803 0.006251
2025-05-25 0.001720 0.002071 0.002506 0.003096 0.003892 0.004960 0.006552
2025-06-01 0.001681 0.002036 0.002479 0.003085 0.003913 0.005038 0.006741
2025-06-08 0.001641 0.001997 0.002446 0.003065 0.003920 0.005095 0.006902
2025-06-15 0.001593 0.001948 0.002397 0.003023 0.003894 0.005104 0.006989
2025-06-22 0.001551 0.001904 0.002355 0.002987 0.003874 0.005121 0.007087
2025-06-29 0.001525 0.001882 0.002340 0.002988 0.003907 0.005213 0.007305
2025-07-06 0.001465 0.001813 0.002261 0.002898 0.003807 0.005107 0.007208
2025-07-13 0.001444 0.001794 0.002250 0.002901 0.003840 0.005199 0.007428
2025-07-20 0.001437 0.001795 0.002264 0.002941 0.003928 0.005374 0.007788
2025-07-27 0.001405 0.001763 0.002232 0.002914 0.003915 0.005398 0.007901