Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.005358 0.005660 0.005972 0.006320 0.006697 0.007095 0.007548
2025-12-21 0.004706 0.005127 0.005582 0.006114 0.006720 0.007395 0.008207
2025-12-28 0.004413 0.004910 0.005464 0.006133 0.006925 0.007841 0.008993
2026-01-04 0.004224 0.004780 0.005416 0.006205 0.007169 0.008322 0.009829
2026-01-11 0.004010 0.004599 0.005287 0.006159 0.007251 0.008596 0.010413
2026-01-18 0.003846 0.004464 0.005197 0.006147 0.007364 0.008902 0.011046
2026-01-25 0.003683 0.004318 0.005084 0.006093 0.007412 0.009119 0.011567
2026-02-01 0.003620 0.004290 0.005112 0.006214 0.007688 0.009645 0.012543
2026-02-08 0.003499 0.004183 0.005032 0.006188 0.007762 0.009899 0.013147
2026-02-15 0.003399 0.004096 0.004972 0.006183 0.007860 0.010185 0.013814
2026-02-22 0.003274 0.003972 0.004857 0.006096 0.007838 0.010295 0.014219
2026-03-01 0.003162 0.003860 0.004754 0.006018 0.007822 0.010409 0.014634
2026-03-08 0.003081 0.003786 0.004700 0.006007 0.007901 0.010672 0.015310
2026-03-15 0.002937 0.003625 0.004521 0.005815 0.007708 0.010512 0.015285
2026-03-22 0.002878 0.003576 0.004493 0.005833 0.007824 0.010828 0.016074
2026-03-29 0.002841 0.003553 0.004500 0.005901 0.008015 0.011271 0.017120
2026-04-05 0.002769 0.003480 0.004434 0.005857 0.008033 0.011440 0.017692
2026-04-12 0.002711 0.003425 0.004390 0.005846 0.008099 0.011686 0.018427
2026-04-19 0.002644 0.003355 0.004323 0.005796 0.008101 0.011825 0.018970
2026-04-26 0.002632 0.003361 0.004364 0.005909 0.008367 0.012423 0.020452
2026-05-03 0.002578 0.003307 0.004316 0.005884 0.008409 0.012639 0.021200
2026-05-10 0.002533 0.003264 0.004282 0.005880 0.008481 0.012910 0.022087
2026-05-17 0.002467 0.003190 0.004202 0.005799 0.008423 0.012943 0.022476