Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.003415 0.003585 0.003758 0.003949 0.004153 0.004365 0.004602
2025-05-04 0.003091 0.003340 0.003604 0.003908 0.004248 0.004618 0.005052
2025-05-11 0.002889 0.003183 0.003504 0.003883 0.004320 0.004811 0.005408
2025-05-18 0.002732 0.003056 0.003418 0.003854 0.004370 0.004966 0.005712
2025-05-25 0.002656 0.003012 0.003417 0.003916 0.004520 0.005234 0.006155
2025-06-01 0.002552 0.002927 0.003360 0.003904 0.004574 0.005384 0.006454
2025-06-08 0.002451 0.002839 0.003293 0.003872 0.004598 0.005494 0.006703
2025-06-15 0.002344 0.002739 0.003206 0.003809 0.004578 0.005542 0.006870
2025-06-22 0.002253 0.002653 0.003131 0.003757 0.004566 0.005596 0.007043
2025-06-29 0.002196 0.002605 0.003102 0.003759 0.004621 0.005738 0.007337
2025-07-06 0.002090 0.002494 0.002988 0.003648 0.004522 0.005670 0.007337
2025-07-13 0.002045 0.002457 0.002965 0.003652 0.004575 0.005805 0.007625
2025-07-20 0.002022 0.002447 0.002979 0.003706 0.004697 0.006041 0.008072
2025-07-27 0.001961 0.002388 0.002926 0.003668 0.004693 0.006101 0.008265
2025-08-03 0.001910 0.002340 0.002885 0.003645 0.004707 0.006185 0.008496
2025-08-10 0.001861 0.002292 0.002843 0.003619 0.004714 0.006259 0.008714
2025-08-17 0.001848 0.002291 0.002862 0.003676 0.004840 0.006509 0.009216
2025-08-24 0.001809 0.002254 0.002833 0.003664 0.004866 0.006613 0.009493
2025-08-31 0.001766 0.002210 0.002792 0.003635 0.004865 0.006675 0.009703
2025-09-07 0.001714 0.002154 0.002733 0.003577 0.004820 0.006666 0.009796
2025-09-14 0.001669 0.002105 0.002682 0.003529 0.004787 0.006674 0.009916
2025-09-21 0.001642 0.002081 0.002666 0.003531 0.004829 0.006799 0.010239
2025-09-28 0.001581 0.002009 0.002580 0.003429 0.004709 0.006665 0.010108