Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.003933 0.004137 0.004345 0.004576 0.004823 0.005081 0.005371
2025-07-13 0.003582 0.003884 0.004207 0.004579 0.004998 0.005457 0.006000
2025-07-20 0.003405 0.003770 0.004171 0.004649 0.005204 0.005835 0.006611
2025-07-27 0.003207 0.003606 0.004056 0.004604 0.005259 0.006023 0.006993
2025-08-03 0.003051 0.003477 0.003965 0.004573 0.005315 0.006203 0.007364
2025-08-10 0.002916 0.003361 0.003880 0.004536 0.005355 0.006358 0.007701
2025-08-17 0.002855 0.003329 0.003890 0.004612 0.005532 0.006684 0.008270
2025-08-24 0.002757 0.003245 0.003830 0.004595 0.005587 0.006854 0.008637
2025-08-31 0.002662 0.003159 0.003763 0.004563 0.005617 0.006989 0.008962
2025-09-07 0.002562 0.003063 0.003678 0.004503 0.005606 0.007064 0.009203
2025-09-14 0.002469 0.002972 0.003595 0.004440 0.005585 0.007122 0.009420
2025-09-21 0.002413 0.002925 0.003567 0.004448 0.005657 0.007309 0.009829
2025-09-28 0.002298 0.002800 0.003433 0.004311 0.005527 0.007209 0.009814
2025-10-05 0.002248 0.002757 0.003406 0.004315 0.005593 0.007388 0.010226
2025-10-12 0.002224 0.002748 0.003422 0.004379 0.005744 0.007696 0.010853
2025-10-19 0.002162 0.002686 0.003365 0.004338 0.005742 0.007777 0.011127
2025-10-26 0.002108 0.002632 0.003318 0.004309 0.005755 0.007880 0.011440
2025-11-02 0.002056 0.002579 0.003269 0.004275 0.005759 0.007969 0.011733
2025-11-09 0.002043 0.002579 0.003293 0.004345 0.005919 0.008303 0.012457
2025-11-16 0.002001 0.002538 0.003259 0.004329 0.005948 0.008433 0.012840
2025-11-23 0.001956 0.002493 0.003216 0.004300 0.005955 0.008527 0.013164
2025-11-30 0.001905 0.002437 0.003158 0.004245 0.005919 0.008549 0.013359
2025-12-07 0.001856 0.002382 0.003099 0.004187 0.005876 0.008557 0.013527