Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.003288 0.003447 0.003610 0.003789 0.003980 0.004178 0.004400
2025-06-15 0.002966 0.003199 0.003446 0.003728 0.004043 0.004385 0.004785
2025-06-22 0.002760 0.003032 0.003329 0.003677 0.004078 0.004526 0.005068
2025-06-29 0.002632 0.002936 0.003274 0.003680 0.004157 0.004706 0.005390
2025-07-06 0.002462 0.002778 0.003135 0.003572 0.004095 0.004710 0.005493
2025-07-13 0.002378 0.002713 0.003097 0.003575 0.004159 0.004859 0.005773
2025-07-20 0.002330 0.002686 0.003100 0.003625 0.004278 0.005076 0.006142
2025-07-27 0.002245 0.002610 0.003041 0.003592 0.004291 0.005158 0.006341
2025-08-03 0.002172 0.002546 0.002992 0.003570 0.004312 0.005249 0.006552
2025-08-10 0.002105 0.002485 0.002942 0.003543 0.004325 0.005328 0.006747
2025-08-17 0.002081 0.002476 0.002957 0.003598 0.004443 0.005547 0.007140
2025-08-24 0.002028 0.002429 0.002923 0.003586 0.004472 0.005646 0.007371
2025-08-31 0.001970 0.002374 0.002876 0.003557 0.004479 0.005717 0.007566
2025-09-07 0.001904 0.002307 0.002811 0.003501 0.004446 0.005731 0.007679
2025-09-14 0.001845 0.002247 0.002754 0.003455 0.004423 0.005756 0.007809
2025-09-21 0.001810 0.002217 0.002735 0.003457 0.004467 0.005876 0.008082
2025-09-28 0.001736 0.002134 0.002643 0.003358 0.004364 0.005781 0.008025
2025-10-05 0.001706 0.002108 0.002627 0.003360 0.004405 0.005896 0.008294
2025-10-12 0.001694 0.002106 0.002641 0.003406 0.004509 0.006106 0.008723
2025-10-19 0.001655 0.002066 0.002603 0.003377 0.004503 0.006149 0.008887
2025-10-26 0.001620 0.002031 0.002571 0.003356 0.004507 0.006209 0.009080
2025-11-02 0.001586 0.001996 0.002539 0.003332 0.004506 0.006260 0.009258
2025-11-09 0.001580 0.001999 0.002557 0.003382 0.004616 0.006487 0.009745