Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.004166 0.004384 0.004609 0.004857 0.005124 0.005403 0.005717
2025-08-10 0.003758 0.004077 0.004420 0.004816 0.005262 0.005752 0.006333
2025-08-17 0.003577 0.003963 0.004390 0.004898 0.005491 0.006165 0.006998
2025-08-24 0.003385 0.003811 0.004292 0.004879 0.005583 0.006408 0.007460
2025-08-31 0.003220 0.003673 0.004195 0.004845 0.005643 0.006602 0.007860
2025-09-07 0.003062 0.003533 0.004083 0.004781 0.005654 0.006728 0.008173
2025-09-14 0.002922 0.003405 0.003976 0.004712 0.005651 0.006828 0.008451
2025-09-21 0.002835 0.003334 0.003934 0.004719 0.005738 0.007043 0.008884
2025-09-28 0.002682 0.003177 0.003777 0.004571 0.005617 0.006975 0.008928
2025-10-05 0.002609 0.003114 0.003735 0.004568 0.005680 0.007152 0.009314
2025-10-12 0.002577 0.003102 0.003755 0.004644 0.005850 0.007479 0.009928
2025-10-19 0.002500 0.003030 0.003694 0.004609 0.005867 0.007592 0.010236
2025-10-26 0.002429 0.002962 0.003639 0.004579 0.005892 0.007719 0.010577
2025-11-02 0.002359 0.002895 0.003580 0.004543 0.005904 0.007828 0.010896
2025-11-09 0.002337 0.002889 0.003603 0.004619 0.006077 0.008176 0.011604
2025-11-16 0.002282 0.002837 0.003561 0.004602 0.006114 0.008324 0.012004
2025-11-23 0.002225 0.002781 0.003511 0.004570 0.006127 0.008436 0.012349
2025-11-30 0.002160 0.002713 0.003443 0.004511 0.006096 0.008475 0.012575
2025-12-07 0.002098 0.002646 0.003374 0.004448 0.006056 0.008499 0.012773
2025-12-14 0.002063 0.002615 0.003354 0.004454 0.006121 0.008689 0.013267
2025-12-21 0.001982 0.002518 0.003239 0.004318 0.005961 0.008512 0.013107
2025-12-28 0.001948 0.002486 0.003215 0.004314 0.006007 0.008669 0.013549
2026-01-04 0.001940 0.002490 0.003241 0.004384 0.006169 0.009023 0.014375