Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.003278 0.003436 0.003598 0.003777 0.003967 0.004164 0.004385
2025-06-15 0.002957 0.003189 0.003435 0.003716 0.004030 0.004370 0.004769
2025-06-22 0.002752 0.003023 0.003319 0.003666 0.004064 0.004510 0.005050
2025-06-29 0.002625 0.002928 0.003264 0.003668 0.004143 0.004689 0.005370
2025-07-06 0.002456 0.002770 0.003126 0.003560 0.004082 0.004693 0.005473
2025-07-13 0.002371 0.002705 0.003087 0.003563 0.004145 0.004842 0.005751
2025-07-20 0.002323 0.002678 0.003091 0.003613 0.004263 0.005057 0.006119
2025-07-27 0.002239 0.002603 0.003032 0.003581 0.004276 0.005140 0.006317
2025-08-03 0.002167 0.002539 0.002983 0.003558 0.004297 0.005230 0.006526
2025-08-10 0.002099 0.002478 0.002934 0.003532 0.004310 0.005309 0.006720
2025-08-17 0.002075 0.002469 0.002949 0.003586 0.004428 0.005526 0.007111
2025-08-24 0.002023 0.002422 0.002914 0.003574 0.004457 0.005625 0.007340
2025-08-31 0.001965 0.002368 0.002867 0.003546 0.004463 0.005695 0.007534
2025-09-07 0.001899 0.002300 0.002802 0.003490 0.004431 0.005709 0.007647
2025-09-14 0.001840 0.002241 0.002746 0.003444 0.004408 0.005734 0.007775
2025-09-21 0.001805 0.002211 0.002727 0.003446 0.004451 0.005853 0.008047
2025-09-28 0.001731 0.002129 0.002636 0.003347 0.004349 0.005759 0.007990
2025-10-05 0.001702 0.002103 0.002619 0.003350 0.004390 0.005873 0.008258
2025-10-12 0.001690 0.002101 0.002633 0.003395 0.004494 0.006082 0.008684
2025-10-19 0.001651 0.002060 0.002595 0.003366 0.004487 0.006125 0.008847
2025-10-26 0.001616 0.002026 0.002564 0.003345 0.004491 0.006184 0.009038
2025-11-02 0.001582 0.001991 0.002531 0.003321 0.004489 0.006234 0.009215
2025-11-09 0.001576 0.001994 0.002550 0.003371 0.004599 0.006460 0.009699