Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.004324 0.004551 0.004783 0.005041 0.005318 0.005607 0.005934
2025-09-21 0.003933 0.004267 0.004625 0.005039 0.005508 0.006022 0.006633
2025-09-28 0.003588 0.003967 0.004385 0.004882 0.005462 0.006122 0.006934
2025-10-05 0.003423 0.003845 0.004322 0.004903 0.005599 0.006414 0.007452
2025-10-12 0.003312 0.003773 0.004303 0.004963 0.005774 0.006749 0.008031
2025-10-19 0.003170 0.003651 0.004215 0.004930 0.005826 0.006928 0.008417
2025-10-26 0.003049 0.003548 0.004140 0.004904 0.005879 0.007106 0.008803
2025-11-02 0.002937 0.003448 0.004062 0.004867 0.005913 0.007253 0.009151
2025-11-09 0.002892 0.003429 0.004082 0.004951 0.006102 0.007609 0.009800
2025-11-16 0.002797 0.003340 0.004009 0.004912 0.006124 0.007740 0.010139
2025-11-23 0.002723 0.003276 0.003964 0.004903 0.006185 0.007923 0.010560
2025-11-30 0.002627 0.003179 0.003874 0.004831 0.006153 0.007973 0.010785
2025-12-07 0.002539 0.003092 0.003792 0.004768 0.006133 0.008040 0.011044
2025-12-14 0.002481 0.003040 0.003756 0.004765 0.006196 0.008229 0.011498
2025-12-21 0.002371 0.002917 0.003621 0.004620 0.006049 0.008102 0.011450
2025-12-28 0.002330 0.002884 0.003605 0.004639 0.006138 0.008327 0.011972
2026-01-04 0.002305 0.002872 0.003615 0.004694 0.006281 0.008640 0.012658
2026-01-11 0.002250 0.002817 0.003566 0.004663 0.006295 0.008752 0.013015
2026-01-18 0.002201 0.002769 0.003524 0.004640 0.006317 0.008877 0.013401
2026-01-25 0.002150 0.002717 0.003476 0.004606 0.006321 0.008974 0.013741
2026-02-01 0.002140 0.002720 0.003504 0.004683 0.006499 0.009358 0.014620
2026-02-08 0.002093 0.002671 0.003456 0.004647 0.006498 0.009446 0.014966
2026-02-15 0.002057 0.002636 0.003428 0.004639 0.006541 0.009610 0.015462