Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.004120 0.004329 0.004544 0.004781 0.005036 0.005302 0.005601
2025-10-19 0.003738 0.004045 0.004372 0.004750 0.005176 0.005642 0.006193
2025-10-26 0.003498 0.003859 0.004255 0.004727 0.005274 0.005896 0.006659
2025-11-02 0.003307 0.003704 0.004150 0.004692 0.005339 0.006094 0.007052
2025-11-09 0.003216 0.003652 0.004151 0.004771 0.005530 0.006439 0.007629
2025-11-16 0.003078 0.003533 0.004063 0.004734 0.005571 0.006597 0.007975
2025-11-23 0.002972 0.003446 0.004006 0.004727 0.005643 0.006790 0.008369
2025-11-30 0.002848 0.003330 0.003907 0.004658 0.005630 0.006869 0.008613
2025-12-07 0.002741 0.003230 0.003822 0.004603 0.005627 0.006957 0.008868
2025-12-14 0.002667 0.003166 0.003777 0.004594 0.005684 0.007122 0.009234
2025-12-21 0.002541 0.003033 0.003640 0.004460 0.005565 0.007042 0.009247
2025-12-28 0.002489 0.002992 0.003618 0.004475 0.005644 0.007236 0.009660
2026-01-04 0.002454 0.002972 0.003623 0.004525 0.005777 0.007511 0.010214
2026-01-11 0.002389 0.002909 0.003571 0.004496 0.005796 0.007626 0.010533
2026-01-18 0.002330 0.002854 0.003526 0.004474 0.005824 0.007751 0.010873
2026-01-25 0.002271 0.002797 0.003475 0.004442 0.005834 0.007851 0.011176
2026-02-01 0.002256 0.002796 0.003500 0.004516 0.005999 0.008187 0.011881
2026-02-08 0.002201 0.002741 0.003450 0.004481 0.006003 0.008278 0.012185
2026-02-15 0.002160 0.002702 0.003420 0.004474 0.006047 0.008431 0.012604
2026-02-22 0.002101 0.002638 0.003354 0.004411 0.006003 0.008443 0.012777
2026-03-01 0.002048 0.002582 0.003296 0.004359 0.005974 0.008476 0.012988
2026-03-08 0.002013 0.002548 0.003270 0.004352 0.006012 0.008618 0.013402
2026-03-15 0.001940 0.002462 0.003166 0.004227 0.005864 0.008449 0.013237