Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-15 0.005325 0.005618 0.005922 0.006261 0.006629 0.007017 0.007458
2026-03-22 0.004843 0.005273 0.005739 0.006285 0.006909 0.007605 0.008446
2026-03-29 0.004575 0.005088 0.005662 0.006357 0.007184 0.008146 0.009364
2026-04-05 0.004301 0.004859 0.005500 0.006296 0.007272 0.008446 0.009989
2026-04-12 0.004108 0.004705 0.005404 0.006292 0.007411 0.008798 0.010688
2026-04-19 0.003922 0.004543 0.005282 0.006241 0.007476 0.009049 0.011261
2026-04-26 0.003850 0.004513 0.005315 0.006378 0.007782 0.009620 0.012300
2026-05-03 0.003720 0.004400 0.005237 0.006364 0.007882 0.009919 0.012978
2026-05-10 0.003612 0.004310 0.005179 0.006370 0.008005 0.010251 0.013723
2026-05-17 0.003465 0.004163 0.005042 0.006260 0.007959 0.010337 0.014104
2026-05-24 0.003338 0.004036 0.004923 0.006168 0.007930 0.010441 0.014514
2026-05-31 0.003255 0.003962 0.004870 0.006162 0.008019 0.010719 0.015216
2026-06-07 0.003106 0.003798 0.004694 0.005977 0.007844 0.010595 0.015262
2026-06-14 0.003043 0.003746 0.004665 0.005999 0.007971 0.010936 0.016111
2026-06-21 0.003002 0.003720 0.004670 0.006067 0.008168 0.011397 0.017206
2026-06-28 0.002919 0.003636 0.004591 0.006010 0.008170 0.011547 0.017764
2026-07-05 0.002860 0.003581 0.004551 0.006007 0.008254 0.011832 0.018592
2026-07-12 0.002789 0.003509 0.004483 0.005958 0.008264 0.011993 0.019202
2026-07-19 0.002779 0.003519 0.004532 0.006087 0.008560 0.012655 0.020855
2026-07-26 0.002725 0.003467 0.004489 0.006073 0.008625 0.012922 0.021747
2026-08-02 0.002680 0.003425 0.004460 0.006079 0.008720 0.013248 0.022797
2026-08-09 0.002605 0.003339 0.004363 0.005976 0.008629 0.013230 0.023107
2026-08-16 0.002538 0.003263 0.004280 0.005891 0.008563 0.013252 0.023508