Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.003218 0.003374 0.003533 0.003707 0.003894 0.004088 0.004304
2025-04-06 0.002946 0.003179 0.003426 0.003709 0.004024 0.004367 0.004768
2025-04-13 0.002692 0.002958 0.003248 0.003588 0.003979 0.004417 0.004947
2025-04-20 0.002569 0.002866 0.003196 0.003593 0.004060 0.004597 0.005266
2025-04-27 0.002497 0.002823 0.003193 0.003646 0.004192 0.004834 0.005657
2025-05-04 0.002387 0.002728 0.003120 0.003610 0.004210 0.004931 0.005875
2025-05-11 0.002298 0.002652 0.003065 0.003587 0.004239 0.005037 0.006107
2025-05-18 0.002217 0.002581 0.003010 0.003562 0.004261 0.005131 0.006321
2025-05-25 0.002184 0.002566 0.003022 0.003617 0.004383 0.005356 0.006715
2025-06-01 0.002123 0.002513 0.002984 0.003606 0.004418 0.005466 0.006958
2025-06-08 0.002058 0.002453 0.002935 0.003577 0.004428 0.005541 0.007154
2025-06-15 0.001986 0.002381 0.002867 0.003521 0.004398 0.005560 0.007271
2025-06-22 0.001921 0.002317 0.002808 0.003476 0.004381 0.005598 0.007417
2025-06-29 0.001880 0.002282 0.002786 0.003477 0.004426 0.005721 0.007693
2025-07-06 0.001795 0.002187 0.002682 0.003367 0.004314 0.005619 0.007630
2025-07-13 0.001761 0.002159 0.002665 0.003371 0.004360 0.005741 0.007906
2025-07-20 0.001748 0.002156 0.002680 0.003420 0.004469 0.005957 0.008337
2025-07-27 0.001703 0.002111 0.002637 0.003387 0.004460 0.005999 0.008498
2025-08-03 0.001665 0.002073 0.002604 0.003366 0.004467 0.006066 0.008700
2025-08-10 0.001628 0.002036 0.002571 0.003343 0.004469 0.006124 0.008888
2025-08-17 0.001620 0.002038 0.002589 0.003393 0.004582 0.006353 0.009369
2025-08-24 0.001591 0.002009 0.002565 0.003383 0.004602 0.006440 0.009617
2025-08-31 0.001557 0.001974 0.002532 0.003357 0.004597 0.006487 0.009799