Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.003358 0.003522 0.003691 0.003876 0.004075 0.004281 0.004511
2025-05-25 0.003116 0.003366 0.003633 0.003939 0.004281 0.004653 0.005090
2025-06-01 0.002923 0.003219 0.003544 0.003926 0.004367 0.004863 0.005466
2025-06-08 0.002763 0.003090 0.003454 0.003894 0.004414 0.005014 0.005766
2025-06-15 0.002612 0.002958 0.003349 0.003831 0.004412 0.005098 0.005979
2025-06-22 0.002489 0.002848 0.003261 0.003778 0.004414 0.005179 0.006185
2025-06-29 0.002409 0.002785 0.003224 0.003781 0.004478 0.005334 0.006484
2025-07-06 0.002279 0.002655 0.003098 0.003668 0.004392 0.005294 0.006528
2025-07-13 0.002218 0.002606 0.003069 0.003671 0.004448 0.005434 0.006810
2025-07-20 0.002187 0.002590 0.003079 0.003723 0.004567 0.005657 0.007211
2025-07-27 0.002118 0.002526 0.003025 0.003690 0.004572 0.005728 0.007406
2025-08-03 0.002060 0.002472 0.002981 0.003667 0.004588 0.005813 0.007622
2025-08-10 0.002001 0.002417 0.002935 0.003640 0.004599 0.005892 0.007835
2025-08-17 0.001982 0.002412 0.002952 0.003697 0.004725 0.006135 0.008298
2025-08-24 0.001936 0.002369 0.002920 0.003686 0.004755 0.006243 0.008565
2025-08-31 0.001885 0.002320 0.002875 0.003656 0.004758 0.006311 0.008774
2025-09-07 0.001826 0.002258 0.002812 0.003598 0.004718 0.006313 0.008879
2025-09-14 0.001774 0.002203 0.002758 0.003550 0.004689 0.006329 0.009006
2025-09-21 0.001744 0.002176 0.002740 0.003552 0.004732 0.006454 0.009310
2025-09-28 0.001676 0.002097 0.002650 0.003449 0.004617 0.006336 0.009215
2025-10-05 0.001649 0.002074 0.002634 0.003452 0.004659 0.006456 0.009515
2025-10-12 0.001640 0.002074 0.002650 0.003499 0.004768 0.006685 0.010010
2025-10-19 0.001604 0.002036 0.002613 0.003469 0.004758 0.006726 0.010185