Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.004045 0.004249 0.004457 0.004688 0.004935 0.005193 0.005483
2025-10-26 0.003679 0.003978 0.004297 0.004664 0.005077 0.005530 0.006064
2025-11-02 0.003437 0.003788 0.004173 0.004630 0.005161 0.005761 0.006498
2025-11-09 0.003320 0.003718 0.004165 0.004708 0.005357 0.006113 0.007073
2025-11-16 0.003162 0.003585 0.004070 0.004671 0.005405 0.006283 0.007429
2025-11-23 0.003043 0.003489 0.004008 0.004664 0.005481 0.006481 0.007821
2025-11-30 0.002908 0.003366 0.003905 0.004597 0.005475 0.006570 0.008072
2025-12-07 0.002793 0.003260 0.003818 0.004543 0.005477 0.006664 0.008329
2025-12-14 0.002712 0.003192 0.003771 0.004535 0.005535 0.006830 0.008686
2025-12-21 0.002581 0.003055 0.003633 0.004403 0.005424 0.006763 0.008716
2025-12-28 0.002524 0.003010 0.003608 0.004415 0.005500 0.006949 0.009107
2026-01-04 0.002489 0.002990 0.003613 0.004465 0.005628 0.007210 0.009617
2026-01-11 0.002421 0.002926 0.003561 0.004437 0.005649 0.007323 0.009921
2026-01-18 0.002359 0.002869 0.003514 0.004415 0.005678 0.007448 0.010249
2026-01-25 0.002298 0.002809 0.003463 0.004384 0.005690 0.007548 0.010542
2026-02-01 0.002281 0.002807 0.003487 0.004456 0.005851 0.007871 0.011205
2026-02-08 0.002224 0.002751 0.003436 0.004422 0.005856 0.007962 0.011498
2026-02-15 0.002181 0.002712 0.003407 0.004415 0.005900 0.008112 0.011896
2026-02-22 0.002121 0.002646 0.003340 0.004353 0.005859 0.008127 0.012067
2026-03-01 0.002067 0.002589 0.003282 0.004303 0.005832 0.008163 0.012273
2026-03-08 0.002030 0.002555 0.003255 0.004295 0.005870 0.008301 0.012666
2026-03-15 0.001957 0.002468 0.003152 0.004173 0.005728 0.008144 0.012523
2026-03-22 0.001930 0.002445 0.003140 0.004184 0.005791 0.008321 0.012993