Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.156561 0.167477 0.178872 0.191675 0.205683 0.220570 0.237624
2025-12-14 0.137398 0.153350 0.170942 0.191876 0.216233 0.243826 0.277664
2025-12-21 0.124159 0.142355 0.163140 0.188822 0.219958 0.256810 0.304219
2025-12-28 0.115060 0.134764 0.157911 0.187397 0.224374 0.269773 0.330614
2026-01-04 0.109788 0.131026 0.156604 0.190092 0.233401 0.288405 0.365010
2026-01-11 0.103656 0.125648 0.152690 0.188920 0.237024 0.299931 0.390555
2026-01-18 0.097887 0.120268 0.148290 0.186603 0.238674 0.308587 0.412455
2026-01-25 0.092442 0.114931 0.143540 0.183366 0.238640 0.314645 0.430802
2026-02-01 0.090231 0.113619 0.143886 0.186855 0.247878 0.334037 0.469966
2026-02-08 0.086251 0.109728 0.140535 0.184977 0.249297 0.342134 0.492570
2026-02-15 0.083238 0.106962 0.138520 0.184771 0.252983 0.353636 0.521235
2026-02-22 0.079349 0.102813 0.134380 0.181258 0.251496 0.357098 0.537083
2026-03-01 0.076669 0.100249 0.132368 0.180766 0.254573 0.367902 0.566236
2026-03-08 0.074458 0.098240 0.131038 0.181188 0.259040 0.381170 0.600812
2026-03-15 0.071411 0.094916 0.127663 0.178340 0.258181 0.385696 0.620362
2026-03-22 0.069029 0.092439 0.125390 0.177017 0.259598 0.393961 0.647265
2026-03-29 0.067904 0.091713 0.125627 0.179520 0.267264 0.413167 0.696203
2026-04-05 0.065854 0.089556 0.123640 0.178432 0.268927 0.422119 0.726422
2026-04-12 0.063642 0.087079 0.121070 0.176278 0.268653 0.427587 0.750245
2026-04-19 0.061333 0.084380 0.118059 0.173270 0.266737 0.429939 0.767935
2026-04-26 0.060743 0.084219 0.118900 0.176513 0.275706 0.452654 0.830001
2026-05-03 0.058952 0.082184 0.116769 0.174768 0.275836 0.458933 0.857794
2026-05-10 0.057626 0.080812 0.115614 0.174576 0.278684 0.470506 0.898348