Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.173684 0.186461 0.199772 0.214693 0.230969 0.248208 0.267873
2025-05-04 0.150649 0.169186 0.189568 0.213719 0.241654 0.273069 0.311233
2025-05-11 0.136191 0.157529 0.181841 0.211742 0.247735 0.289926 0.343505
2025-05-18 0.124938 0.147918 0.174849 0.208979 0.251414 0.302882 0.370700
2025-05-25 0.120162 0.145283 0.175484 0.214819 0.265211 0.328305 0.414392
2025-06-01 0.112252 0.138073 0.169775 0.212012 0.267493 0.338849 0.439152
2025-06-08 0.105761 0.132115 0.165089 0.209936 0.270208 0.349673 0.464513
2025-06-15 0.098613 0.124832 0.158180 0.204353 0.267661 0.352971 0.479330
2025-06-22 0.093608 0.120021 0.154147 0.202225 0.269445 0.361989 0.502448
2025-06-29 0.090787 0.117904 0.153498 0.204533 0.277317 0.379746 0.539173
2025-07-06 0.086422 0.113464 0.149444 0.201814 0.277794 0.386780 0.560192
2025-07-13 0.083060 0.110214 0.146824 0.200902 0.280700 0.397350 0.587092
2025-07-20 0.081797 0.109883 0.148333 0.206121 0.293104 0.423139 0.640282
2025-07-27 0.078610 0.106715 0.145700 0.205166 0.296226 0.435032 0.672224
2025-08-03 0.075396 0.103347 0.142592 0.203285 0.297726 0.444345 0.700409
2025-08-10 0.072201 0.099859 0.139132 0.200654 0.297834 0.451330 0.725006
2025-08-17 0.071544 0.100020 0.141006 0.206215 0.311117 0.480335 0.789817
2025-08-24 0.068686 0.096809 0.137704 0.203542 0.310944 0.487026 0.815478
2025-08-31 0.066196 0.094044 0.134946 0.201565 0.311748 0.495314 0.844531
2025-09-07 0.063008 0.090106 0.130241 0.196247 0.306683 0.493176 0.853920
2025-09-14 0.060823 0.087613 0.127657 0.194220 0.307018 0.500381 0.881445
2025-09-21 0.059781 0.086825 0.127676 0.196418 0.314637 0.520852 0.936168
2025-09-28 0.057674 0.084313 0.124886 0.193829 0.313790 0.525984 0.960885