Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.171107 0.183346 0.196171 0.210641 0.226544 0.243526 0.263078
2026-04-12 0.148536 0.166077 0.185520 0.208793 0.236052 0.267163 0.305638
2026-04-19 0.134156 0.154186 0.177222 0.205910 0.241013 0.283002 0.337695
2026-04-26 0.127752 0.150251 0.176943 0.211338 0.255065 0.309610 0.384110
2026-05-03 0.119473 0.143080 0.171783 0.209793 0.259646 0.324030 0.415569
2026-05-10 0.113495 0.138131 0.168752 0.210320 0.266425 0.341271 0.451821
2026-05-17 0.106116 0.130830 0.162096 0.205407 0.265260 0.347297 0.472449
2026-05-24 0.101029 0.126112 0.158392 0.203994 0.268490 0.359303 0.502442
2026-05-31 0.097464 0.123132 0.156719 0.205091 0.275099 0.376372 0.541399
2026-06-07 0.092724 0.118301 0.152229 0.201880 0.275134 0.383553 0.565337
2026-06-14 0.089160 0.114861 0.149418 0.200801 0.278091 0.395165 0.597309
2026-06-21 0.087079 0.113329 0.149132 0.203276 0.286425 0.415583 0.645904
2026-06-28 0.083618 0.109764 0.145858 0.201236 0.287811 0.425261 0.677435
2026-07-05 0.080472 0.106510 0.142875 0.199457 0.289470 0.435494 0.711115
2026-07-12 0.077291 0.103061 0.139430 0.196742 0.289377 0.442667 0.739769
2026-07-19 0.076545 0.103068 0.141024 0.201854 0.302299 0.473050 0.816270
2026-07-26 0.074065 0.100435 0.138553 0.200399 0.304140 0.484056 0.855764
2026-08-02 0.072258 0.098714 0.137362 0.200895 0.309267 0.501308 0.910127
2026-08-09 0.069264 0.095114 0.133156 0.196269 0.305204 0.501226 0.927609
2026-08-16 0.067261 0.092927 0.131031 0.194937 0.306813 0.511875 0.969769
2026-08-23 0.065939 0.091718 0.130363 0.195971 0.312667 0.531089 1.033730
2026-08-30 0.063741 0.089097 0.127377 0.192945 0.310942 0.535254 1.063233
2026-09-06 0.062116 0.087301 0.125626 0.191929 0.312833 0.546762 1.111854