Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.169010 0.181015 0.193580 0.207736 0.223271 0.239835 0.258873
2026-02-08 0.146626 0.163834 0.182872 0.205610 0.232174 0.262407 0.299675
2026-02-15 0.134234 0.154180 0.177067 0.205496 0.240173 0.281504 0.335110
2026-02-22 0.123040 0.144301 0.169387 0.201510 0.242048 0.292188 0.359990
2026-03-01 0.115500 0.137907 0.164989 0.200605 0.246931 0.306179 0.389425
2026-03-08 0.110073 0.133549 0.162544 0.201611 0.253858 0.322801 0.423259
2026-03-15 0.103714 0.127513 0.157441 0.198595 0.254949 0.331337 0.446246
2026-03-22 0.098767 0.122929 0.153828 0.197137 0.257788 0.342146 0.473032
2026-03-29 0.096010 0.120992 0.153487 0.199936 0.266509 0.361641 0.514176
2026-04-05 0.091857 0.116947 0.150044 0.198132 0.268412 0.371170 0.540664
2026-04-12 0.088064 0.113179 0.146742 0.196254 0.269953 0.380081 0.566734
2026-04-19 0.084223 0.109154 0.142860 0.193269 0.269557 0.385843 0.587953
2026-04-26 0.082783 0.108415 0.143578 0.197078 0.279770 0.409076 0.641275
2026-05-03 0.079618 0.105123 0.140512 0.195092 0.280876 0.417788 0.670256
2026-05-10 0.077256 0.102855 0.138789 0.194986 0.284856 0.431385 0.709271
2026-05-17 0.074019 0.099195 0.134860 0.191262 0.282723 0.434446 0.728864
2026-05-24 0.071806 0.096924 0.132869 0.190417 0.285192 0.445488 0.764740
2026-05-31 0.070218 0.095496 0.132058 0.191357 0.290631 0.462060 0.813249
2026-06-07 0.067739 0.092660 0.129001 0.188538 0.289497 0.466705 0.837963
2026-06-14 0.065776 0.090522 0.126917 0.187177 0.290755 0.475750 0.872786
2026-06-21 0.064910 0.089990 0.127267 0.189792 0.299078 0.498546 0.939861
2026-06-28 0.063053 0.087892 0.125097 0.188106 0.299626 0.506520 0.975002
2026-07-05 0.061276 0.085858 0.122951 0.186351 0.299924 0.513987 1.009825