Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 346.433440 393.500238 446.052110 509.342137 583.844900 669.183054 774.935264
2025-07-27 278.064776 339.534577 414.541840 513.866700 643.535743 809.315896 1040.974760
2025-08-03 234.505023 299.313304 382.875165 500.431216 664.682854 890.883910 1234.746654
2025-08-10 204.874708 270.788301 359.586931 490.797117 684.728411 969.162271 1434.429010
2025-08-17 189.788953 258.901287 355.810699 505.675169 739.248656 1103.245759 1743.348140
2025-08-24 173.030983 242.223224 342.498254 503.584640 766.226413 1197.582705 2006.361172
2025-08-31 157.652246 225.632361 326.989063 495.307007 780.894777 1272.581968 2250.303976
2025-09-07 147.054658 214.953380 318.984418 497.394301 812.188675 1380.257684 2579.508502
2025-09-14 135.281062 201.257471 304.680280 486.952236 819.539699 1444.779678 2836.620128
2025-09-21 126.831357 191.981660 296.440704 485.613049 842.665152 1542.528773 3188.814343
2025-09-28 115.885538 177.749898 278.673871 465.331053 827.071406 1559.942052 3362.043250
2025-10-05 112.844824 176.210557 282.044559 483.505207 888.473203 1747.791976 3998.809962
2025-10-12 110.166159 175.205616 286.494984 504.775999 960.746384 1977.295580 4830.479177
2025-10-19 104.842564 169.247045 281.656312 507.659213 995.182799 2128.629984 5506.143860
2025-10-26 97.813243 159.747208 269.533730 494.611303 992.712993 2190.520735 5939.312453
2025-11-02 91.923799 151.845187 259.691481 485.089169 996.752987 2269.680982 6458.548720
2025-11-09 89.610112 150.203641 261.421571 499.760205 1059.180028 2515.209949 7643.894701
2025-11-16 85.461202 144.885441 255.639376 497.698878 1081.106745 2655.684331 8520.126867
2025-11-23 80.959646 138.605583 247.478139 489.538152 1086.678075 2751.073769 9270.403663
2025-11-30 77.920306 134.878239 244.068785 491.596010 1118.666902 2932.737692 10472.115440
2025-12-07 73.828591 128.879340 235.632889 481.300910 1116.695898 3009.553633 11259.370738
2025-12-14 70.924726 125.001735 231.245879 479.980523 1138.847628 3169.748751 12533.357687
2025-12-21 66.441374 117.781110 219.450268 459.981917 1106.519194 3141.943381 12863.965839