Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 272.778599 308.094458 347.319738 394.309935 449.322889 511.991715 589.215247
2025-06-15 219.566549 265.691719 321.498578 394.756659 489.528821 609.580727 775.735411
2025-06-22 186.287588 235.448792 298.276451 385.868282 507.114823 672.535399 921.600366
2025-06-29 165.511378 216.563643 284.744078 384.609375 530.906617 743.628643 1088.638623
2025-07-06 144.921973 194.746505 263.598510 368.449392 529.194374 775.424808 1200.474122
2025-07-13 137.300700 189.619929 264.515303 383.317388 574.485785 884.349062 1457.594853
2025-07-20 131.333137 185.958916 266.731548 399.818759 624.017857 1007.788703 1768.063804
2025-07-27 122.866618 177.587986 260.708584 402.110780 649.814264 1094.367374 2030.235620
2025-08-03 112.961802 166.033155 248.444207 392.396971 652.966450 1139.816749 2220.215913
2025-08-10 104.836945 156.517056 238.440329 385.160478 659.175932 1191.478198 2435.731711
2025-08-17 101.167757 153.743053 239.070945 396.351176 700.993231 1320.674625 2862.850000
2025-08-24 95.580944 147.355872 233.010661 394.671375 717.425797 1399.924276 3192.477449
2025-08-31 89.282493 139.460334 223.941279 386.902128 721.559704 1455.608390 3486.005570
2025-09-07 84.857361 134.415506 219.436850 387.352762 742.970542 1555.215877 3936.941437
2025-09-14 79.512464 127.382108 210.769941 378.666700 743.401800 1605.147785 4260.835895
2025-09-21 75.715265 122.776318 206.110679 377.436527 760.093554 1698.612406 4757.236204
2025-09-28 70.300419 114.944166 194.892700 361.642937 741.345167 1697.431887 4940.476225
2025-10-05 69.216615 114.809389 198.071934 376.173959 795.814553 1903.382884 5944.730016
2025-10-12 68.340893 114.975045 201.808554 392.297941 856.903140 2143.924951 7215.883105
2025-10-19 65.918653 112.097324 199.361646 394.537268 883.482426 2290.403505 8189.206883
2025-10-26 62.408029 106.954304 192.039635 385.046325 878.159448 2337.716748 8751.006425
2025-11-02 59.401950 102.603532 186.019311 377.975072 878.379550 2403.407208 9442.945044
2025-11-09 58.389846 102.026399 187.641716 388.909953 929.674908 2652.392563 11236.122186