Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 328.994446 373.250815 422.623515 482.037061 551.921982 631.912177 730.968401
2025-07-13 271.526047 331.463434 404.650636 501.656077 628.456112 790.826528 1018.184324
2025-07-20 241.988305 310.221411 398.797984 524.391092 701.508042 948.050924 1327.660325
2025-07-27 214.953789 286.009845 382.693497 527.232969 743.881801 1066.913388 1606.077722
2025-08-03 189.500280 259.634184 358.692780 513.245700 756.808848 1141.547736 1829.929903
2025-08-10 170.247001 239.238052 339.903234 503.003079 771.859022 1219.555909 2074.398872
2025-08-17 160.665060 231.577074 338.496270 518.544061 829.521190 1377.045882 2498.675884
2025-08-24 148.697545 218.868738 327.596196 516.732093 856.686674 1484.918040 2854.844692
2025-08-31 137.095975 205.495950 314.029979 508.310986 870.154058 1568.812768 3182.916692
2025-09-07 129.044857 196.951784 307.290962 510.582245 903.185078 1696.420736 3644.258522
2025-09-14 119.632430 185.324359 294.183267 499.640927 908.772252 1768.169601 3993.937868
2025-09-21 112.853159 177.484124 286.752714 498.158722 932.746556 1883.730870 4491.455891
2025-09-28 103.257380 164.304042 269.133075 475.925354 911.858774 1897.524522 4729.001543
2025-10-05 100.691588 163.052933 272.677432 495.389782 983.333622 2144.127053 5733.710551
2025-10-12 98.665897 162.535504 277.428271 517.771252 1065.165293 2436.904398 7019.886307
2025-10-19 94.276872 157.400746 273.025279 520.569857 1102.164456 2622.615143 8040.622625
2025-10-26 88.298637 148.918855 261.490024 506.796613 1097.088552 2692.018671 8674.020519
2025-11-02 83.264325 141.843963 252.118836 496.709942 1099.651290 2784.450337 9448.165463
2025-11-09 81.390430 140.564225 254.058639 512.014042 1169.641111 3096.571503 11324.913059
2025-11-16 77.877953 135.904195 248.793701 510.229772 1194.327053 3274.995734 12724.500493
2025-11-23 73.995987 130.276610 241.107583 501.937117 1199.998187 3393.521910 13918.085693
2025-11-30 71.387020 126.972289 237.983177 504.173776 1235.670793 3625.008613 15877.881203
2025-12-07 67.792567 121.494090 229.868712 493.398834 1232.143844 3717.330123 17137.244861