Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 367.950141 418.487734 475.022119 543.247031 623.737598 716.152219 830.968706
2025-07-20 303.656316 372.081857 455.981423 567.678402 714.385897 903.207321 1169.078432
2025-07-27 260.950209 335.483699 432.521669 570.538107 765.826362 1038.622262 1460.269275
2025-08-03 225.117412 299.994500 401.996742 554.657160 783.716967 1125.561741 1696.542248
2025-08-10 199.266382 273.587383 378.748830 543.119378 802.623784 1213.255350 1949.183864
2025-08-17 186.311061 263.232363 376.142964 560.308359 866.213453 1379.988082 2370.968747
2025-08-24 171.150301 247.595952 363.284091 558.875432 898.184627 1498.423643 2734.595134
2025-08-31 156.728790 231.390766 347.402051 549.800697 914.717257 1591.185865 3071.038887
2025-09-07 146.769272 221.024149 339.426632 552.527779 951.886177 1728.348043 3537.004978
2025-09-14 135.355511 207.202301 324.253414 540.495152 959.255626 1807.550622 3895.535168
2025-09-21 127.048836 197.682708 315.256519 538.260210 984.806193 1928.579120 4390.467327
2025-09-28 116.216184 183.043775 296.089285 514.817316 964.132241 1945.401774 4624.712725
2025-10-05 113.077043 181.380881 299.761145 535.842696 1040.184974 2199.229885 5601.683761
2025-10-12 110.534685 180.531776 304.807201 560.284925 1128.250388 2504.158803 6865.623405
2025-10-19 105.302579 174.445257 299.565241 563.083975 1168.070165 2698.363298 7872.055646
2025-10-26 98.270576 164.562696 286.281585 547.454309 1162.201845 2770.862183 8497.517579
2025-11-02 92.392164 156.377044 275.564693 536.097702 1164.912658 2868.126264 9263.737757
2025-11-09 90.189688 154.854417 277.675257 553.016446 1240.862010 3195.588344 11114.315996
2025-11-16 86.185286 149.623285 271.941356 551.606114 1269.454829 3389.124610 12524.957177
2025-11-23 81.739528 143.243407 263.362801 542.674193 1276.615979 3517.638844 13725.033385
2025-11-30 78.755739 139.502535 259.899906 545.358410 1316.169694 3764.365099 15679.556494
2025-12-07 74.649244 133.290207 250.798458 533.514576 1312.849722 3864.021438 16940.541546
2025-12-14 71.687914 129.179164 245.845541 531.314604 1337.344967 4071.142407 18979.436808