Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 257.151190 290.179349 326.858292 370.796368 422.240304 480.855983 553.111667
2025-05-04 207.733719 250.939030 303.183838 371.744548 460.438301 572.828511 728.500954
2025-05-11 176.577095 222.435449 280.914337 362.283148 474.722888 627.925232 858.398031
2025-05-18 155.085526 201.875881 264.100849 354.864058 487.281365 679.079605 989.036692
2025-05-25 144.434010 193.716688 261.834397 365.673475 525.206714 770.446011 1196.158581
2025-06-01 132.433012 182.000151 252.715527 364.549567 544.059223 834.559482 1371.812230
2025-06-08 120.931894 169.637981 241.014923 357.511268 551.771586 880.775914 1525.126044
2025-06-15 113.009628 161.665583 234.833972 357.975358 571.182729 949.114597 1733.976873
2025-06-22 104.267386 151.606699 224.344448 349.967328 574.557284 988.683943 1894.397036
2025-06-29 98.064056 144.905297 218.437476 348.776295 589.517020 1051.846217 2119.483037
2025-07-06 89.976646 134.579442 205.742112 334.405721 578.092996 1061.159050 2225.874734
2025-07-13 87.874067 133.680722 208.443593 347.456975 620.359103 1186.754656 2642.177661
2025-07-20 85.963679 133.054612 211.725290 362.313146 669.272856 1338.327544 3181.378021
2025-07-27 81.876093 128.479447 207.796561 363.213934 689.885228 1431.358918 3597.828528
2025-08-03 76.654513 121.581054 199.165892 354.020585 687.560738 1469.794413 3868.789527
2025-08-10 72.201788 115.712864 191.924212 346.808624 688.551895 1516.603644 4184.081783
2025-08-17 70.566198 114.666771 193.387688 357.315627 731.084480 1678.449356 4949.235585
2025-08-24 67.531810 110.909271 189.479789 356.223258 746.347299 1771.288611 5515.390170
2025-08-31 64.026182 106.077490 183.172132 349.381981 746.762813 1823.031615 5951.149596
2025-09-07 61.656485 103.179725 180.368397 349.833107 765.317231 1931.620135 6674.326535
2025-09-14 58.521470 98.678247 174.115622 342.048237 761.817125 1973.387697 7133.513175
2025-09-21 56.332418 95.828340 170.939996 340.890296 775.524391 2072.372886 7915.346906
2025-09-28 52.938204 90.517227 162.496125 326.916951 753.110385 2050.136892 8095.886654