Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 410.390078 466.955020 529.980316 605.679186 694.483831 795.784212 920.688857
2025-10-19 328.189311 402.175906 492.228418 610.992075 765.118147 960.601885 1230.891538
2025-10-26 275.932154 354.134925 454.772807 595.759434 791.367273 1057.996483 1457.437929
2025-11-02 240.654407 320.411702 427.735070 585.671350 817.279202 1152.806541 1691.573210
2025-11-09 221.857722 305.231926 422.017908 601.772557 879.263824 1305.018755 2035.863903
2025-11-16 201.441320 284.785291 405.508116 598.512892 909.863714 1412.053047 2326.708650
2025-11-23 183.452731 265.582670 388.096895 590.673657 930.632561 1504.479527 2608.556770
2025-11-30 170.738471 252.769985 378.595482 593.463575 968.103776 1629.332955 2973.001328
2025-12-07 156.858621 236.700258 362.129062 582.379887 979.461199 1708.509534 3264.583668
2025-12-14 146.245906 224.755498 350.956417 578.634184 1002.746152 1812.411757 3627.876357
2025-12-21 133.363194 208.004059 330.240426 555.687624 987.106235 1837.903660 3826.578655
2025-12-28 129.629503 206.003161 334.079027 577.086094 1058.610590 2049.454667 4496.936907
2026-01-04 126.520646 204.965722 339.771945 603.200347 1144.672033 2310.411483 5367.175347
2026-01-11 120.166114 197.807666 333.984966 606.776835 1185.229097 2479.966689 6057.033767
2026-01-18 111.861466 186.530502 319.680066 591.863162 1184.003760 2552.919764 6505.198585
2026-01-25 105.007498 177.334333 308.425903 581.830308 1192.025512 2649.336184 7050.117753
2026-02-01 102.027981 174.949565 309.744732 597.809302 1261.172948 2910.576306 8180.599374
2026-02-08 96.990342 168.361789 302.401167 594.574645 1284.864025 3059.341909 9004.088187
2026-02-15 91.859261 161.234547 293.416334 586.796262 1296.469868 3178.062540 9769.040614
2026-02-22 88.267801 156.792891 289.402184 589.564548 1334.601474 3378.506111 10904.181715
2026-03-01 83.539925 149.834094 279.753691 578.566669 1336.094559 3473.743789 11680.652568
2026-03-08 79.874772 144.727575 273.529268 574.849899 1356.203564 3629.240446 12763.870722
2026-03-15 74.684164 136.282713 259.761523 552.079839 1322.221497 3611.412651 13116.665776