Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 222.665499 250.352967 280.962306 317.455655 359.965520 408.144037 467.195165
2025-04-06 179.722379 215.921669 259.394071 316.016303 388.656878 479.875127 604.947499
2025-04-13 150.279366 188.093094 235.918294 301.856695 392.028782 513.473402 693.740770
2025-04-20 138.430932 179.477865 233.783321 312.531617 426.639441 590.639174 853.241304
2025-04-27 130.114472 173.897729 234.136280 325.477778 464.930192 677.736519 1043.865321
2025-05-04 119.847982 164.167837 227.125477 326.190385 484.242317 738.184776 1203.630557
2025-05-11 108.935995 152.247275 215.408355 317.899539 487.602364 772.579295 1324.682741
2025-05-18 100.141299 142.517550 205.805784 311.446312 492.505392 809.493983 1457.268433
2025-05-25 96.151072 139.563613 206.110995 320.714502 524.869555 899.633898 1714.382796
2025-06-01 90.516403 133.535566 200.917792 320.029856 539.271883 958.467110 1920.723572
2025-06-08 84.513007 126.421224 193.290223 314.199767 543.215029 997.212986 2091.833988
2025-06-15 80.408613 122.019698 189.703512 315.020048 559.681954 1063.850110 2346.386216
2025-06-22 75.239549 115.609352 182.386036 308.628631 561.826330 1102.101092 2545.756717
2025-06-29 71.344115 111.054925 177.902619 307.081741 573.683877 1164.293253 2829.735975
2025-07-06 65.909331 103.525032 167.625160 293.418897 558.348938 1161.236144 2929.307682
2025-07-13 64.576083 102.922195 169.577633 303.725653 595.860923 1291.186215 3471.193156
2025-07-20 63.610910 102.871831 172.490182 316.222027 640.134280 1447.950606 4167.498511
2025-07-27 61.119163 99.934692 169.809579 316.909754 657.292117 1537.791876 4675.900797
2025-08-03 57.721454 95.156107 163.310121 308.907593 652.638024 1567.090520 4974.582072
2025-08-10 54.798374 91.076302 157.871397 302.677890 651.527006 1606.489829 5332.704596
2025-08-17 53.853399 90.578739 159.322916 311.624729 689.757530 1770.456026 6297.237437
2025-08-24 51.888615 88.055419 156.597907 310.963895 703.132338 1861.880331 6995.318648
2025-08-31 49.526537 84.651348 151.887094 305.336099 702.557155 1908.900369 7510.664109