Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 322.337529 364.696689 411.555309 467.412889 532.412920 605.937082 695.781320
2025-11-02 254.568869 309.110221 374.714263 460.131264 569.418491 705.927273 891.497759
2025-11-09 225.281602 286.543447 364.444793 472.139462 619.322239 816.626420 1106.628456
2025-11-16 199.310510 262.856441 347.274402 469.707145 646.248343 897.173297 1291.193192
2025-11-23 178.318247 242.348749 330.577576 463.839682 665.055993 966.041059 1467.284281
2025-11-30 163.804651 228.698682 321.111010 465.953858 694.155009 1052.219187 1682.840276
2025-12-07 149.013278 212.861267 306.377545 457.706909 705.139882 1110.135917 1860.170335
2025-12-14 137.823368 201.095802 296.228649 454.865173 723.547334 1181.543319 2072.318299
2025-12-21 124.892433 185.444226 278.483795 437.569153 715.133793 1204.919193 2198.682607
2025-12-28 120.491740 182.567252 280.383064 452.619319 763.863385 1336.239149 2558.613504
2026-01-04 117.007159 180.761587 283.692279 470.180298 818.984209 1487.272987 2990.069199
2026-01-11 110.933406 174.189311 278.423944 471.900876 844.600426 1584.449217 3325.235418
2026-01-18 102.954795 164.002866 266.439912 460.735040 845.072292 1633.008730 3565.832705
2026-01-25 96.334989 155.645971 256.966630 453.318481 852.181020 1696.961917 3859.484870
2026-02-01 93.303180 153.204026 257.653616 465.149148 899.872532 1856.496357 4432.807082
2026-02-08 88.474605 147.226576 251.428671 462.755314 917.150231 1950.046235 4855.928179
2026-02-15 83.615855 140.841914 243.925247 456.990291 926.259148 2025.766425 5249.328065
2026-02-22 80.184773 136.797273 240.456830 459.067693 953.049855 2148.816153 5815.828397
2026-03-01 75.774665 130.650286 232.506864 450.963815 955.372611 2210.670810 6212.014931
2026-03-08 72.334089 126.090880 227.288190 448.171272 969.851201 2306.667551 6747.564462
2026-03-15 67.554596 118.709825 216.014678 431.173489 947.951894 2301.527433 6940.840079
2026-03-22 66.550681 118.489788 218.978101 445.964257 1006.532088 2529.424083 8031.833597
2026-03-29 65.812385 118.725905 222.862933 463.220647 1073.894653 2796.531901 9373.925612