Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 375.698448 427.412731 485.204230 554.859546 636.913507 730.957182 847.553931
2025-08-17 305.865463 374.842790 459.245077 571.311002 717.995040 905.982315 1169.264350
2025-08-24 261.838068 336.185873 432.549141 568.830441 760.273816 1025.328524 1430.420835
2025-08-31 228.462712 304.123795 406.709757 559.286292 786.323734 1121.559895 1673.693336
2025-09-07 206.699504 283.838167 392.595812 561.692013 826.639855 1241.568824 1974.527572
2025-09-14 185.482927 261.293124 371.691184 549.849557 841.542431 1322.261771 2225.781057
2025-09-21 170.557370 245.991134 359.185842 548.354668 871.303953 1430.433265 2547.634626
2025-09-28 153.028239 224.856365 335.241281 524.966885 860.069071 1464.308999 2735.312056
2025-10-05 147.365466 221.369985 338.379176 546.408332 929.387825 1655.555424 3285.221295
2025-10-12 143.040349 219.460603 343.640124 571.802406 1009.358576 1881.825405 3973.885617
2025-10-19 135.298339 211.200955 337.344718 575.536092 1048.274010 2032.210666 4531.482290
2025-10-26 125.451200 198.573591 322.326981 561.268068 1049.082388 2101.354678 4908.009761
2025-11-02 116.847145 187.596970 309.584233 550.586924 1057.285607 2192.197757 5381.642881
2025-11-09 113.041626 184.630514 310.888806 567.451664 1126.861384 2440.412375 6387.070393
2025-11-16 106.941400 177.081240 303.051288 564.929693 1153.186183 2589.609676 7156.438014
2025-11-23 100.533200 168.479110 292.468439 555.470742 1162.134591 2696.702706 7835.194086
2025-11-30 96.150832 163.236681 287.789139 557.855984 1199.281364 2886.812746 8879.653807
2025-12-07 90.513741 155.259522 277.136511 546.110701 1200.242136 2977.517234 9606.066917
2025-12-14 86.472575 150.005741 271.418345 544.628030 1226.738529 3148.163078 10726.144752
2025-12-21 80.473557 140.634669 256.751668 521.430641 1193.913996 3134.808530 11087.432820
2025-12-28 79.397301 140.686817 261.210374 542.697603 1282.130663 3518.448607 13393.475961
2026-01-04 78.682829 141.382161 267.033475 567.883226 1385.864073 3984.061997 16417.548929
2026-01-11 76.045734 138.064966 264.114177 571.586103 1429.610484 4259.298542 18681.061187