Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 367.517273 417.556739 473.329635 540.358093 619.063270 708.953829 819.969075
2025-09-07 293.418437 358.617998 437.995977 542.781049 679.007837 852.253281 1092.713554
2025-09-14 248.153551 317.412924 406.565161 531.626945 705.600187 943.728825 1302.676132
2025-09-21 219.422621 291.110088 387.650915 530.044432 739.737428 1045.482271 1541.128436
2025-09-28 191.068109 260.816551 358.136886 507.534690 737.924868 1091.807011 1701.736177
2025-10-05 180.296270 253.290877 358.877235 527.774407 801.086595 1244.769496 2061.980093
2025-10-12 172.272367 248.493825 362.482039 551.983672 872.995074 1422.707168 2503.766973
2025-10-19 160.643435 236.865981 354.077693 555.400413 910.082920 1546.373944 2872.662017
2025-10-26 147.122295 220.909278 337.036954 542.038555 915.437970 1612.660705 3141.899042
2025-11-02 136.190821 208.009013 323.531567 532.839103 926.456193 1690.534532 3452.727399
2025-11-09 130.921570 203.740060 323.727309 547.513985 983.761700 1868.909615 4032.701616
2025-11-16 123.184424 194.682432 314.868105 544.515923 1005.975430 1978.357325 4478.779386
2025-11-23 114.952332 184.332716 303.179073 535.562588 1016.329744 2067.315165 4908.322256
2025-11-30 109.189415 177.794741 297.681829 537.931597 1050.805778 2217.728561 5551.444539
2025-12-07 102.116487 168.385379 286.111979 526.899473 1054.613871 2296.710625 6018.301105
2025-12-14 96.978583 162.031457 279.609843 525.333427 1079.143006 2431.068166 6698.062830
2025-12-21 89.682285 151.253450 263.921253 503.061850 1053.072570 2432.025253 6955.654055
2025-12-28 88.111942 150.872918 268.037209 523.087542 1129.560694 2718.961360 8284.098088
2026-01-04 87.017663 151.277120 273.675915 547.038703 1219.622333 3065.281039 9990.085065
2026-01-11 83.757838 147.318051 270.278079 550.418837 1258.375071 3273.392002 11268.678562
2026-01-18 79.061744 140.277964 260.091399 537.199888 1251.892760 3343.964182 12015.226477
2026-01-25 75.115245 134.464398 252.011400 528.098429 1255.251121 3446.787324 12957.842253
2026-02-01 73.635184 133.428282 253.803255 542.616839 1325.837673 3785.261126 15185.532527