Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 271.202187 306.275348 345.225178 391.878008 446.486744 508.684138 585.312327
2025-06-15 218.505923 264.308064 319.698177 392.372315 486.336212 605.291999 769.818209
2025-06-22 186.079328 234.834280 297.025591 383.549265 503.033418 665.620857 909.679597
2025-06-29 165.637749 216.279105 283.732356 382.238016 526.045656 734.329772 1070.581367
2025-07-06 145.252292 194.702109 262.817494 366.166062 523.924838 764.378772 1176.963953
2025-07-13 137.764132 189.711812 263.799046 380.811715 568.129638 869.910158 1424.015880
2025-07-20 131.922067 186.196808 266.117929 397.159466 616.606041 989.579516 1721.834331
2025-07-27 123.529893 177.932267 260.197025 399.394129 641.631308 1072.895950 1971.399825
2025-08-03 113.651153 166.436954 248.012287 389.685158 644.294995 1115.818477 2150.069326
2025-08-10 105.546901 156.973663 238.084030 382.459271 650.024822 1164.813012 2352.668590
2025-08-17 101.934391 154.288044 238.805770 393.580728 690.897337 1289.352701 2757.388946
2025-08-24 96.368344 147.954027 232.825306 391.916440 706.766433 1365.082544 3067.096892
2025-08-31 90.074630 140.096848 223.835638 384.218560 710.556154 1417.808940 3340.967137
2025-09-07 85.670696 135.107915 219.422484 384.712194 731.385842 1513.127041 3763.229722
2025-09-14 80.321289 128.097900 210.819076 376.097750 731.518638 1559.963801 4062.543369
2025-09-21 76.520022 123.506283 206.187666 374.817746 747.463561 1648.377646 4521.654430
2025-09-28 71.076173 115.663791 195.001471 359.125061 728.755549 1645.632777 4685.443920
2025-10-05 70.006743 115.554691 198.184878 373.425235 781.549595 1841.533228 5613.291790
2025-10-12 69.156928 115.767349 201.965322 389.383877 840.948585 2070.549147 6784.665416
2025-10-19 66.732757 112.904512 199.547724 391.565072 866.531525 2208.763148 7672.409522
2025-10-26 63.195474 107.744222 192.230449 382.087920 860.855172 2251.586935 8174.617887
2025-11-02 60.169249 103.384198 186.223699 375.033740 860.662583 2312.072616 8794.517841
2025-11-09 59.173575 102.845542 187.900151 385.890628 910.480539 2547.715995 10420.267819