Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 104063.288568 109613.448971 115154.856026 121099.036354 127290.982538 133547.207222 140342.389025
2025-07-27 95280.267748 103808.596773 112553.034347 122178.175785 132463.927257 143114.973603 154966.634696
2025-08-03 88376.918129 98916.593729 109953.837488 122351.265432 135865.131057 150125.897008 166289.087064
2025-08-10 83194.349214 95250.836241 108101.633038 122780.939143 139045.849450 156476.736348 176530.137281
2025-08-17 78724.727517 91955.343537 106278.478672 122881.604870 141540.607339 161804.754408 185417.393043
2025-08-24 75724.939256 90039.291574 105750.465219 124199.507439 145191.577245 168254.575399 195427.183847
2025-08-31 72209.360245 87312.816646 104106.121301 124065.653520 147039.682665 172551.513963 202916.646478
2025-09-07 70130.211087 86095.253722 104054.825602 125632.992089 150726.681334 178858.001313 212643.254169
2025-09-14 67958.486981 84643.006658 103620.934188 126657.171531 153706.604341 184301.001318 221353.621172
2025-09-21 65494.559789 82726.344713 102538.060110 126824.746292 155608.121176 188441.243742 228523.714189
2025-09-28 63257.013389 80979.425586 101564.756250 127037.333711 157492.097498 192510.732873 235582.710924
2025-10-05 62187.168765 80583.002380 102148.911301 129060.717996 161490.046596 199046.360113 245548.567389
2025-10-12 60950.651374 79953.433751 102438.759275 130735.639405 165102.329364 205185.796183 255146.083417
2025-10-19 59419.973485 78903.696739 102172.307130 131701.003738 167842.598236 210291.925123 263545.355349
2025-10-26 57569.703105 77387.676148 101275.124804 131842.624429 169544.052919 214132.362909 270427.783609
2025-11-02 55982.841599 76144.988819 100663.605957 132289.442584 171582.470546 218358.775187 277774.939200
2025-11-09 54323.615425 74752.752510 99814.226449 132394.144325 173163.558439 222009.164406 284420.339146
2025-11-16 53367.796486 74226.505315 100020.872951 133794.019609 176333.137577 227596.103068 293446.262159
2025-11-23 51754.470815 72796.206197 99036.694757 133651.671673 177548.573579 230768.357243 299511.275525
2025-11-30 51037.852074 72510.962948 99490.482850 135316.897908 181023.904218 236734.089283 309044.545717
2025-12-07 50104.761632 71907.816090 99508.853315 136404.929111 183760.328799 241787.078392 317469.752938
2025-12-14 48823.527679 70802.709909 98843.113882 136582.941429 185320.008214 245364.359799 324065.347983
2025-12-21 47620.739401 69767.365794 98236.395264 136808.767905 186919.728591 248982.195566 330717.202936