Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 93423.682125 98516.899961 103607.770476 109074.683456 114775.781047 120542.300346 126812.366679
2025-11-02 84916.282374 92688.354979 100672.027308 109475.625374 118900.420718 128677.047875 139574.688915
2025-11-09 78603.387246 88170.297665 98211.094218 109513.769580 121861.004973 134918.049981 149747.803667
2025-11-16 74525.689801 85514.908495 97255.474527 110697.239126 125624.939504 141658.185954 160144.221004
2025-11-23 70417.412696 82448.962677 95507.398549 110682.469104 127779.264452 146391.843164 168132.179781
2025-11-30 67895.517055 80928.139692 95270.939703 112157.468739 131422.118703 152641.174688 177704.437813
2025-12-07 65418.276749 79276.629760 94725.193084 113132.995856 134374.805137 158021.432811 186235.890312
2025-12-14 62647.076612 77125.603282 93463.588954 113153.131842 136119.864452 161942.199516 193044.406121
2025-12-21 60318.147006 75366.621403 92542.795097 113462.249171 138108.335884 166074.383233 200051.804964
2025-12-28 58946.367398 74658.188591 92779.463062 115062.866059 141554.039240 171863.457686 208975.660673
2026-01-04 57460.526181 73735.257001 92695.166752 116225.404704 144441.145519 176978.823824 217114.487920
2026-01-11 55848.163947 72585.466416 92275.328139 116929.997930 146740.766788 181378.582978 224407.593553
2026-01-18 54036.516453 71142.290389 91464.625041 117139.981468 148444.284762 185092.799046 230940.531719
2026-01-25 52471.568956 69947.703477 90907.848906 117617.439583 150442.842687 189149.281457 237895.714979
2026-02-01 50792.488826 68548.458557 90044.372696 117668.882726 151884.217288 192513.552061 244015.005959
2026-02-08 49805.458741 67983.304789 90179.972908 118926.357437 154785.261796 197638.806631 252280.606009
2026-02-15 48272.259323 66667.163189 89328.778686 118911.180754 156082.448170 200794.490994 258148.863074
2026-02-22 47559.991464 66379.880298 89750.289610 120475.456723 159334.104673 206347.346416 266975.280188
2026-03-01 46648.295713 65799.160073 89770.576280 121509.864138 161910.919723 211071.650158 274803.358912
2026-03-08 45333.296252 64647.112981 89021.884175 121531.218616 163187.222255 214173.501592 280627.617838
2026-03-15 44215.874811 63721.656472 88534.002739 121858.967387 164831.119586 217723.665370 287015.305702
2026-03-22 43736.286845 63629.286615 89113.889251 123555.904393 168219.351687 223467.659806 296173.712964
2026-03-29 43086.660060 63285.075999 89346.010971 124788.245768 171008.793403 228468.010004 304425.593001