Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 88477.405732 93338.100347 98196.281593 103412.935231 108852.556910 114354.017138 120335.147401
2025-06-15 81051.797399 88537.983752 96227.860120 104706.936775 113783.291416 123197.023899 133688.107210
2025-06-22 75470.396393 84753.868120 94498.017623 105466.739579 117448.157988 130116.378633 144501.262050
2025-06-29 70740.041806 81324.558154 92638.214616 105595.594333 119988.422434 135448.607343 153273.633902
2025-07-06 66812.756001 78412.504737 91010.884363 105658.462831 122166.242626 140140.460970 161135.581065
2025-07-13 64618.175832 77224.620884 91108.920738 107464.110959 126128.455762 146688.846053 170973.061405
2025-07-20 62567.684086 76034.924419 91058.869672 108969.282641 129642.101358 152655.895001 180110.750110
2025-07-27 60390.770011 74558.220050 90555.545159 109841.054537 132338.132332 157628.355135 188078.464751
2025-08-03 57965.190764 72661.796689 89450.529222 109907.902894 134013.708950 161363.957912 194582.027422
2025-08-10 55928.453908 71124.282431 88674.242367 110274.746248 135967.933146 165370.451459 201369.545274
2025-08-17 53886.357586 69487.939672 87697.767148 110327.438219 137487.889042 168824.624747 207485.966049
2025-08-24 52580.455635 68682.029026 87659.261161 111452.104670 140244.268497 173711.826180 215289.163482
2025-08-31 50550.092070 66937.687349 86452.032418 111147.392427 141290.601635 176602.399505 220788.842843
2025-09-07 49601.477146 66498.080269 86806.503813 112722.959948 144601.858566 182207.163367 229566.668588
2025-09-14 48359.061110 65638.648731 86600.975779 113575.553824 147010.684797 186722.949605 237052.916712
2025-09-21 46853.287005 64389.327199 85861.480335 113722.689564 148520.405754 190132.727121 243201.086253
2025-09-28 45399.441451 63154.692705 85093.661407 113791.766990 149900.014643 193363.895942 249128.120355
2025-10-05 44883.660826 63108.174822 85807.103177 115709.900419 153576.295497 199417.013827 258538.013329
2025-10-12 44256.930078 62889.216151 86279.471445 117308.251305 156849.042400 204984.671114 267382.246300
2025-10-19 43368.530864 62293.287178 86241.119844 118233.837095 159262.811317 209490.951664 274934.048695
2025-10-26 42155.796484 61227.756123 85561.219898 118304.812517 160570.717789 212610.151657 280766.405489
2025-11-02 41135.371232 60388.047525 85146.961993 118694.263920 162267.202641 216208.971754 287206.082430
2025-11-09 40024.227836 59392.106673 84497.437539 118750.202147 163515.573563 219234.537966 292930.508854