Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 99990.992156 105359.958547 110721.721415 116474.513370 122468.446458 128525.915246 135106.618980
2025-07-20 92150.891304 100444.176110 108950.124829 118315.381630 128326.128656 138695.051992 150235.624804
2025-07-27 86041.226686 96344.992622 107138.107591 119264.360990 132485.767073 146440.949269 162261.026318
2025-08-03 80792.285795 92555.094839 105097.459262 119429.267787 135314.152031 152342.654331 171938.362565
2025-08-10 76658.779217 89595.459111 103605.367563 119850.616823 138112.814413 157951.243213 181073.368931
2025-08-17 72939.289933 86814.359781 102053.420880 119958.804745 140343.614982 162750.691082 189162.747743
2025-08-24 70459.951857 85253.101560 101707.506969 121270.619391 143794.897978 168813.568200 198598.294005
2025-08-31 67403.817497 82853.427969 100247.678837 121162.270490 145500.959336 172802.556706 205609.613063
2025-09-07 65628.068557 81836.022334 100285.576639 122695.180289 149024.441245 178819.810096 214921.646512
2025-09-14 63728.746358 80570.186985 99943.615622 123704.107919 151875.394463 184021.493129 223277.098411
2025-09-21 61513.425973 78826.454894 98948.196761 123859.769295 153656.990628 187932.370784 230103.781470
2025-09-28 59475.148784 77210.659244 98027.759115 124032.933798 155399.865351 191756.338820 236806.830290
2025-10-05 58434.086592 76789.656706 98534.512813 125927.381492 159226.271889 198094.784212 246574.526304
2025-10-12 57305.282646 76213.518378 98816.792432 127525.058164 162688.111548 204013.739102 255885.510165
2025-10-19 55913.241224 75252.939458 98580.552601 128449.418771 165307.731552 208916.938474 263995.217638
2025-10-26 54229.050250 73863.253911 97759.914062 128605.137112 166951.180502 212622.634274 270659.478522
2025-11-02 52781.123822 72722.626374 97203.735350 129048.162571 168916.953437 216702.529418 277779.095448
2025-11-09 51259.207546 71435.710219 96417.785463 129162.027135 170442.805068 220227.408554 284220.569254
2025-11-16 50406.423159 70984.510849 96663.409587 130554.922905 173551.969000 225697.150809 293068.302961
2025-11-23 48921.361462 69658.887764 95750.943133 130439.808034 174740.262373 228781.534562 298976.302076
2025-11-30 48275.271799 69417.063944 96212.831269 132067.535578 178124.212190 234597.479013 308295.336963
2025-12-07 47422.482677 68870.950505 96256.549145 133138.752822 180792.764518 239526.009271 316532.168230
2025-12-14 46227.129273 67829.244426 95622.183600 133304.015650 182284.469468 242971.959630 322921.858430