Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 89341.390129 94239.727392 99135.136268 104391.350880 109871.795590 115414.124032 121439.236046
2025-06-15 81896.801308 89444.273749 97195.983889 105742.052994 114888.871379 124374.452317 134944.263992
2025-06-22 76277.989385 85639.558107 95463.811418 106520.701579 118596.302033 131361.979229 145855.192346
2025-06-29 71506.672296 82181.454437 93589.005621 106651.122191 121157.292035 136736.205195 154694.779152
2025-07-06 67543.505196 79243.105148 91946.640429 106712.891925 123350.546466 141462.254248 162613.599882
2025-07-13 65321.410485 78035.778272 92034.964760 108521.126185 127330.199539 148045.194088 172506.605128
2025-07-20 63247.942220 76830.276306 91977.959392 110030.740623 130862.271165 154046.995009 181699.283215
2025-07-27 61049.146637 75337.893842 91466.844826 110905.110383 133573.879620 159050.413936 189717.268308
2025-08-03 58604.779150 73428.614873 90356.650528 110977.028709 135267.476336 162819.528177 196273.953511
2025-08-10 56550.649205 71878.974612 89575.229132 111348.244879 137238.264805 166857.343133 203111.663198
2025-08-17 54491.800521 70230.622997 88593.216091 111404.369501 138773.328653 170340.923840 209275.958013
2025-08-24 53189.341679 69436.778664 88577.599677 112566.116684 141584.529856 175304.043097 217181.699841
2025-08-31 51147.758228 67686.474459 87371.571940 112272.548157 142654.976755 178234.657040 222742.044361
2025-09-07 50190.628716 67243.259727 87729.141726 113860.547722 145990.872497 183879.083259 231579.026935
2025-09-14 48938.197934 66378.183214 87524.141421 114722.451178 148420.680090 188430.391929 239119.851679
2025-09-21 47417.566496 65116.838267 86777.104610 114868.851776 149939.115025 191861.022003 245305.155453
2025-09-28 45949.105208 63870.060839 86001.230343 114936.231187 151325.991647 195111.104897 251266.859728
2025-10-05 45422.935684 63815.802372 86711.097549 116857.115712 155013.820812 201187.099177 260714.863374
2025-10-12 44787.059146 63590.534264 87181.575867 118460.261907 158300.646496 206780.784859 269601.197557
2025-10-19 43888.580345 62987.012552 87139.704794 119388.661049 160726.182714 211310.504782 277192.291335
2025-10-26 42666.668488 61915.159254 86458.084184 119465.022687 162049.493879 214458.153586 283070.807122
2025-11-02 41637.379706 61069.165361 86041.807147 119859.141963 163760.167648 218083.648237 289554.205735
2025-11-09 40517.033660 60066.368267 85389.465747 119918.728135 165021.516851 221134.545012 295320.951175