Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 92310.473071 97339.240349 102364.067185 107758.281195 113381.640282 119067.567147 125247.809469
2025-07-13 84914.031230 92670.603538 100633.441963 109408.510890 118796.559428 128528.566185 139369.000447
2025-07-20 79602.280646 89269.980156 99408.185208 110810.770690 123255.991755 136404.691224 151324.496317
2025-07-27 75162.531551 86248.558396 98083.672329 111622.798318 126645.585807 142766.439086 161335.846672
2025-08-03 71101.623166 83264.729675 96455.936504 111772.496564 129012.844818 147763.548022 169642.639363
2025-08-10 67807.207760 80877.249219 95254.287375 112170.958554 131456.177562 152680.946871 177728.732309
2025-08-17 64752.458581 78560.405275 93949.494058 112279.535872 133420.501507 156939.777645 184981.055265
2025-08-24 62742.128945 77312.071012 93744.873888 113535.312554 136600.518127 162509.065921 193681.969908
2025-08-31 60151.432792 75250.177475 92477.647994 113447.836502 138135.247402 166123.362064 200092.756768
2025-09-07 58677.584104 74424.726026 92581.772184 114897.708249 141408.302581 171713.056235 208780.887705
2025-09-14 57066.575326 73353.261092 92323.889728 115856.958166 144056.755506 176547.787080 216584.115656
2025-09-21 55133.370379 71808.639659 91427.074903 115986.233796 145665.912670 180125.746329 222893.242721
2025-09-28 53224.357187 70244.736986 90470.487140 116020.464609 147158.078566 183586.228826 229116.636486
2025-10-05 52302.393095 69863.957101 90923.286768 117745.345207 150681.716456 189477.937399 238275.373629
2025-10-12 51325.179197 69369.647273 91200.522586 119227.530959 153896.597020 195003.237306 247021.663662
2025-10-19 50109.331166 68525.154082 91002.433296 120087.925717 156327.584688 199575.557865 254631.020611
2025-10-26 48631.257465 67293.546159 90274.059185 120246.466468 157861.603633 203040.887830 260895.885039
2025-11-02 47358.719502 66282.575423 89784.287761 120669.265049 159697.642514 206862.461495 267599.960225
2025-11-09 46014.300179 65133.712855 89079.566898 120784.474293 161121.883678 210162.948059 273664.856786
2025-11-16 45280.789693 64760.093025 89344.785413 122117.063889 164069.135120 215350.779514 282083.135770
2025-11-23 43964.296648 63572.823174 88523.698012 122024.241189 165187.753818 218253.025525 287666.566468
2025-11-30 43405.015290 63377.467554 88975.312231 123562.614731 168380.610340 223756.295732 296521.550480
2025-12-07 42655.798150 62900.820843 89038.046675 124580.301558 170900.146045 228419.657383 304346.372877