Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 108673.816811 114437.241783 120191.577190 126364.230081 132794.312038 139291.349678 146348.383888
2025-10-19 99474.287515 108315.195243 117379.403703 127356.040085 138017.209132 149057.108531 161341.898158
2025-10-26 92361.363039 103277.527435 114706.168684 127540.790644 141529.303584 156289.706690 173018.565511
2025-11-02 87066.165063 99552.055462 112854.820310 128045.276545 144872.195700 162902.145389 183642.442132
2025-11-09 82372.664592 96060.223061 110869.606667 128028.764954 147306.115617 168236.895062 192622.779425
2025-11-16 79187.854276 93980.509474 110205.699502 129248.440135 150907.618718 174697.317228 202721.827979
2025-11-23 75574.544559 91184.693242 108527.282394 129126.843343 152826.565580 179136.067399 210444.912502
2025-11-30 73481.778309 89991.142451 108545.561720 130822.457557 156714.948545 185731.491472 220572.717596
2025-12-07 71258.318519 88515.812391 108124.702487 131907.809021 159817.835785 191373.437834 229581.822987
2025-12-14 68633.800745 86442.714114 106894.682455 131945.043922 161615.460873 195447.413335 236740.990386
2025-12-21 66453.907571 84800.699755 106083.337367 132393.013229 163826.316391 199953.595209 244378.008359
2025-12-28 65401.492518 84458.199278 106767.050805 134576.568257 168062.214790 206823.028981 254804.111620
2026-01-04 64112.706987 83797.112755 107053.868099 136289.223283 171767.935841 213128.271519 264667.376916
2026-01-11 62480.729902 82653.293428 106706.606999 137196.366160 174484.794222 218260.357667 273165.638721
2026-01-18 60574.154152 81098.263699 105795.112035 137360.095383 176259.423693 222241.818407 280284.746897
2026-01-25 58964.625548 79857.464460 105218.645235 137888.971730 178443.840177 226697.241989 287975.820819
2026-02-01 57183.056119 78337.656212 104240.515903 137869.837204 179915.311310 230264.677256 294585.064387
2026-02-08 56123.071393 77702.518569 104337.492859 139165.409062 182995.514356 235790.138594 303598.629188
2026-02-15 54461.296619 76236.226936 103336.480677 139036.139009 184268.083530 239080.646872 309871.566791
2026-02-22 53758.594626 75993.769111 103871.717212 140837.532923 187954.263037 245354.826515 319849.593452
2026-03-01 52805.931419 75389.422157 103915.343800 141990.467345 190812.376409 250606.784225 328585.575577
2026-03-08 51415.192236 74162.509461 103117.704883 142030.018257 192234.136997 254057.860177 335085.317174
2026-03-15 50272.832182 73234.031898 102678.139960 142505.851788 194193.810134 258175.699546 342428.248924