Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.041148 0.048118 0.055792 0.064851 0.075235 0.086750 0.100467
2025-04-13 0.029605 0.038381 0.048959 0.062580 0.079585 0.100036 0.126411
2025-04-20 0.023952 0.033982 0.047057 0.065192 0.089516 0.120804 0.163858
2025-04-27 0.019738 0.030373 0.045240 0.067258 0.098689 0.141527 0.203813
2025-05-04 0.015552 0.025839 0.041193 0.065352 0.101864 0.154299 0.234399
2025-05-11 0.012717 0.022671 0.038445 0.064659 0.106349 0.169054 0.269083
2025-05-18 0.010286 0.019618 0.035268 0.062653 0.108321 0.180008 0.298995
2025-05-25 0.008493 0.017262 0.032773 0.061243 0.110840 0.191789 0.331068
2025-06-01 0.007313 0.015765 0.031463 0.061554 0.116084 0.208243 0.371967
2025-06-08 0.006108 0.013965 0.029285 0.059943 0.117685 0.218646 0.403648
2025-06-15 0.005633 0.013544 0.029622 0.062982 0.127881 0.244607 0.464055
2025-06-22 0.004930 0.012495 0.028543 0.063110 0.132619 0.261291 0.509566
2025-06-29 0.004158 0.011152 0.026683 0.061488 0.133962 0.272227 0.546333
2025-07-06 0.003545 0.010049 0.025152 0.060320 0.136046 0.284735 0.587185
2025-07-13 0.003310 0.009835 0.025566 0.063384 0.147114 0.315467 0.665228
2025-07-20 0.003050 0.009498 0.025636 0.065685 0.156820 0.344383 0.742196
2025-07-27 0.002599 0.008540 0.024056 0.063964 0.157615 0.355434 0.784746
2025-08-03 0.002270 0.007850 0.023017 0.063359 0.160779 0.371579 0.838862
2025-08-10 0.001931 0.007043 0.021530 0.061427 0.160652 0.380720 0.879204
2025-08-17 0.001664 0.006392 0.020342 0.060061 0.161659 0.392331 0.925615
2025-08-24 0.001492 0.006009 0.019830 0.060377 0.166728 0.413272 0.993661
2025-08-31 0.001283 0.005441 0.018680 0.058798 0.166915 0.423215 1.038367
2025-09-07 0.001228 0.005417 0.019152 0.061787 0.179005 0.461482 1.149148