Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.046052 0.053726 0.062160 0.072102 0.083482 0.096084 0.111077
2025-05-18 0.033311 0.043021 0.054693 0.069689 0.088373 0.110801 0.139680
2025-05-25 0.025260 0.035687 0.049242 0.068004 0.093122 0.125387 0.169736
2025-06-01 0.020318 0.031083 0.046078 0.068218 0.099747 0.142639 0.204918
2025-06-08 0.016164 0.026618 0.042129 0.066416 0.102975 0.155311 0.235060
2025-06-15 0.014249 0.025022 0.041909 0.069719 0.113600 0.179178 0.283220
2025-06-22 0.012047 0.022510 0.039798 0.069665 0.118934 0.195582 0.321833
2025-06-29 0.009981 0.019808 0.036889 0.067783 0.120943 0.206828 0.353343
2025-07-06 0.008478 0.017808 0.034811 0.066901 0.124301 0.220299 0.389364
2025-07-13 0.007857 0.017337 0.035338 0.070577 0.135731 0.247936 0.450926
2025-07-20 0.007171 0.016606 0.035254 0.073073 0.145258 0.273104 0.510382
2025-07-27 0.006108 0.014893 0.033011 0.071153 0.146429 0.283709 0.545356
2025-08-03 0.005301 0.013608 0.031476 0.070500 0.150072 0.299371 0.591336
2025-08-10 0.004491 0.012155 0.029367 0.068392 0.150636 0.309420 0.628025
2025-08-17 0.003850 0.010974 0.027653 0.066855 0.152123 0.321282 0.669073
2025-08-24 0.003426 0.010243 0.026830 0.067123 0.157321 0.340722 0.726174
2025-08-31 0.002939 0.009244 0.025217 0.065375 0.157996 0.351171 0.766449
2025-09-07 0.002788 0.009132 0.025737 0.068644 0.169975 0.385604 0.857474
2025-09-14 0.002487 0.008527 0.024920 0.068597 0.174488 0.404877 0.919011
2025-09-21 0.002145 0.007723 0.023456 0.066745 0.174621 0.414815 0.961843
2025-09-28 0.001889 0.007124 0.022439 0.065876 0.176947 0.429652 1.016168
2025-10-05 0.001823 0.007133 0.023110 0.069502 0.190511 0.470430 1.129590
2025-10-12 0.001720 0.006993 0.023335 0.071963 0.201442 0.506126 1.234389