Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.053930 0.062846 0.072630 0.084144 0.097301 0.111847 0.129125
2025-04-06 0.040115 0.051682 0.065544 0.083298 0.105344 0.131722 0.165572
2025-04-13 0.030855 0.043484 0.059844 0.082406 0.112494 0.150992 0.203692
2025-04-20 0.026135 0.039855 0.058878 0.086835 0.126451 0.180072 0.257518
2025-04-27 0.022265 0.036487 0.057458 0.090084 0.138864 0.208224 0.313178
2025-05-04 0.018005 0.031624 0.052923 0.087893 0.142873 0.224704 0.353946
2025-05-11 0.015024 0.028141 0.049794 0.087139 0.148580 0.243845 0.400141
2025-05-18 0.012358 0.024635 0.045988 0.084581 0.150860 0.257647 0.439168
2025-05-25 0.010346 0.021880 0.042954 0.082752 0.153879 0.272596 0.481053
2025-06-01 0.009010 0.020129 0.041384 0.083164 0.160578 0.293963 0.535073
2025-06-08 0.007604 0.017957 0.038670 0.081046 0.162421 0.307091 0.576141
2025-06-15 0.007082 0.017529 0.039245 0.085184 0.176061 0.341851 0.657465
2025-06-22 0.006258 0.016309 0.038096 0.085885 0.183498 0.366581 0.723910
2025-06-29 0.005327 0.014656 0.035780 0.083892 0.185458 0.381436 0.773775
2025-07-06 0.004580 0.013284 0.033850 0.082421 0.188246 0.398041 0.828287
2025-07-13 0.004303 0.013048 0.034452 0.086542 0.203023 0.439108 0.932869
2025-07-20 0.003987 0.012642 0.034587 0.089616 0.215878 0.477430 1.035114
2025-07-27 0.003422 0.011422 0.032548 0.087352 0.216815 0.491669 1.090537
2025-08-03 0.003008 0.010541 0.031209 0.086560 0.220911 0.512710 1.161330
2025-08-10 0.002575 0.009499 0.029269 0.083995 0.220606 0.524339 1.213443
2025-08-17 0.002232 0.008654 0.027711 0.082168 0.221791 0.539206 1.273439
2025-08-24 0.002011 0.008158 0.027043 0.082571 0.228381 0.566473 1.362065
2025-08-31 0.001739 0.007414 0.025528 0.080464 0.228496 0.579133 1.419591