Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-29 0.008261 0.009600 0.011079 0.012832 0.014853 0.017108 0.019816
2026-04-05 0.006054 0.007728 0.009748 0.012360 0.015645 0.019636 0.024850
2026-04-12 0.004691 0.006496 0.008849 0.012127 0.016571 0.022374 0.030519
2026-04-19 0.003672 0.005469 0.007972 0.011702 0.017099 0.024607 0.035827
2026-04-26 0.002962 0.004708 0.007294 0.011380 0.017649 0.026872 0.041438
2026-05-03 0.002468 0.004161 0.006811 0.011228 0.018369 0.029416 0.047743
2026-05-10 0.002055 0.003660 0.006303 0.010929 0.018778 0.031489 0.053549
2026-05-17 0.001854 0.003469 0.006255 0.011352 0.020383 0.035624 0.063164
2026-05-24 0.001618 0.003175 0.005979 0.011330 0.021208 0.038540 0.071068
2026-05-31 0.001370 0.002814 0.005525 0.010913 0.021257 0.040088 0.076732
2026-06-07 0.001206 0.002585 0.005279 0.010836 0.021902 0.042755 0.084712
2026-06-14 0.001134 0.002529 0.005353 0.011386 0.023806 0.047959 0.098063
2026-06-21 0.001040 0.002414 0.005300 0.011683 0.025275 0.052556 0.110918
2026-06-28 0.000903 0.002180 0.004966 0.011349 0.025408 0.054537 0.118794
2026-07-05 0.000798 0.002004 0.004728 0.011185 0.025874 0.057244 0.128501
2026-07-12 0.000694 0.001810 0.004420 0.010816 0.025839 0.058884 0.136128
2026-07-19 0.000609 0.001649 0.004165 0.010531 0.025946 0.060836 0.144662
2026-07-26 0.000544 0.001528 0.003986 0.010396 0.026382 0.063558 0.155242
2026-08-02 0.000481 0.001398 0.003763 0.010123 0.026444 0.065425 0.164062
2026-08-09 0.000457 0.001372 0.003802 0.010517 0.028205 0.071483 0.183558
2026-08-16 0.000417 0.001292 0.003689 0.010497 0.028915 0.075093 0.197514
2026-08-23 0.000366 0.001174 0.003452 0.010111 0.028615 0.076175 0.205293
2026-08-30 0.000333 0.001102 0.003335 0.010040 0.029147 0.079418 0.218977