Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.034359 0.040190 0.046617 0.054212 0.062929 0.072606 0.084151
2025-06-15 0.026490 0.034307 0.043731 0.055877 0.071055 0.089331 0.112933
2025-06-22 0.020287 0.028781 0.039873 0.055293 0.076029 0.102783 0.139719
2025-06-29 0.015575 0.024015 0.035864 0.053494 0.078792 0.113459 0.164161
2025-07-06 0.012440 0.020695 0.033065 0.052624 0.082346 0.125283 0.191298
2025-07-13 0.010935 0.019449 0.032957 0.055467 0.091397 0.145681 0.232731
2025-07-20 0.009569 0.018119 0.032425 0.057448 0.099226 0.164965 0.274459
2025-07-27 0.007903 0.015927 0.030080 0.056042 0.101326 0.175435 0.303452
2025-08-03 0.006696 0.014309 0.028415 0.055458 0.104567 0.187871 0.336610
2025-08-10 0.005559 0.012590 0.026264 0.053633 0.105312 0.196058 0.363301
2025-08-17 0.004686 0.011221 0.024531 0.052283 0.106643 0.205227 0.392348
2025-08-24 0.004101 0.010343 0.023611 0.052332 0.110509 0.219153 0.430924
2025-08-31 0.003457 0.009217 0.022030 0.050888 0.111435 0.228016 0.461626
2025-09-07 0.003219 0.008998 0.022357 0.053465 0.120682 0.253440 0.525623
2025-09-14 0.002825 0.008310 0.021526 0.053420 0.124525 0.268792 0.571791
2025-09-21 0.002401 0.007449 0.020147 0.051936 0.125112 0.277705 0.606125
2025-09-28 0.002083 0.006803 0.019168 0.051220 0.127256 0.289933 0.648123
2025-10-05 0.001981 0.006745 0.019651 0.054064 0.137711 0.320404 0.730084
2025-10-12 0.001846 0.006561 0.019776 0.056036 0.146367 0.347796 0.807841
2025-10-19 0.001592 0.005949 0.018653 0.054680 0.146996 0.357786 0.849352
2025-10-26 0.001402 0.005494 0.017881 0.054119 0.149463 0.372037 0.901251
2025-11-02 0.001198 0.004940 0.016723 0.052339 0.148671 0.378790 0.937063
2025-11-09 0.001036 0.004489 0.015785 0.051021 0.148880 0.387835 0.978730