Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.031531 0.036652 0.042286 0.048936 0.056565 0.065035 0.075143
2025-10-19 0.023199 0.029691 0.037489 0.047516 0.060036 0.075120 0.094636
2025-10-26 0.018052 0.025133 0.034312 0.047016 0.064070 0.086085 0.116564
2025-11-02 0.014121 0.021204 0.031032 0.045553 0.066325 0.094805 0.136614
2025-11-09 0.011365 0.018274 0.028468 0.044434 0.068599 0.103536 0.157525
2025-11-16 0.009549 0.016336 0.026919 0.044387 0.072188 0.114315 0.182421
2025-11-23 0.007904 0.014334 0.024896 0.043201 0.073721 0.122013 0.203388
2025-11-30 0.007155 0.013669 0.024874 0.045147 0.080361 0.138225 0.239305
2025-12-07 0.006231 0.012521 0.023835 0.045174 0.083723 0.149394 0.268111
2025-12-14 0.005264 0.011116 0.022112 0.043708 0.084232 0.155711 0.289251
2025-12-21 0.004588 0.010153 0.021044 0.043254 0.086427 0.165064 0.316494
2025-12-28 0.004336 0.010001 0.021496 0.045729 0.094314 0.185329 0.365282
2026-01-04 0.004002 0.009632 0.021488 0.047347 0.100853 0.203986 0.413419
2026-01-11 0.003448 0.008682 0.020145 0.046057 0.101469 0.211502 0.441239
2026-01-18 0.003042 0.007999 0.019267 0.045615 0.103744 0.222448 0.476834
2026-01-25 0.002625 0.007211 0.018034 0.044214 0.103800 0.228910 0.504045
2026-02-01 0.002289 0.006560 0.017012 0.043136 0.104397 0.236495 0.534251
2026-02-08 0.002059 0.006140 0.016471 0.043096 0.107289 0.249166 0.576333
2026-02-15 0.001800 0.005590 0.015527 0.041945 0.107463 0.255939 0.606303
2026-02-22 0.001717 0.005522 0.015796 0.043839 0.115063 0.279894 0.676437
2026-03-01 0.001558 0.005203 0.015357 0.043866 0.118126 0.293854 0.725332
2026-03-08 0.001361 0.004725 0.014417 0.042440 0.117396 0.298941 0.754281
2026-03-15 0.001223 0.004407 0.013870 0.041999 0.119115 0.309967 0.798175