Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.032618 0.037947 0.043811 0.050733 0.058671 0.067480 0.077991
2025-09-28 0.024402 0.031285 0.039555 0.050188 0.063461 0.079443 0.100105
2025-10-05 0.020328 0.028339 0.038718 0.053069 0.072304 0.097087 0.131322
2025-10-12 0.017055 0.025618 0.037477 0.054952 0.079869 0.113904 0.163658
2025-10-19 0.013682 0.022018 0.034293 0.053465 0.082376 0.123993 0.187985
2025-10-26 0.011382 0.019505 0.032150 0.052961 0.085954 0.135714 0.215715
2025-11-02 0.009371 0.017037 0.029612 0.051342 0.087428 0.144233 0.239368
2025-11-09 0.007851 0.015088 0.027552 0.050088 0.089145 0.153093 0.264257
2025-11-16 0.006815 0.013790 0.026354 0.050038 0.092719 0.165141 0.295353
2025-11-23 0.005785 0.012311 0.024593 0.048699 0.093807 0.173014 0.320091
2025-11-30 0.005359 0.011924 0.024767 0.050880 0.101378 0.192729 0.367153
2025-12-07 0.004749 0.011053 0.023875 0.050887 0.104866 0.205445 0.402871
2025-12-14 0.004070 0.009932 0.022350 0.049495 0.105615 0.213425 0.431142
2025-12-21 0.003567 0.009109 0.021315 0.048955 0.107971 0.224664 0.466709
2025-12-28 0.003393 0.009018 0.021837 0.051766 0.117481 0.250698 0.533456
2026-01-04 0.003161 0.008746 0.021911 0.053603 0.125146 0.273790 0.596540
2026-01-11 0.002743 0.007926 0.020605 0.052149 0.125513 0.282015 0.630169
2026-01-18 0.002438 0.007343 0.019768 0.051656 0.127928 0.294702 0.674203
2026-01-25 0.002116 0.006650 0.018551 0.050075 0.127646 0.301543 0.706374
2026-02-01 0.001855 0.006073 0.017538 0.048849 0.128030 0.309832 0.742393
2026-02-08 0.001677 0.005708 0.017020 0.048800 0.131222 0.324676 0.794265
2026-02-15 0.001471 0.005213 0.016072 0.047492 0.131136 0.331971 0.829625
2026-02-22 0.001412 0.005171 0.016386 0.049623 0.140003 0.361043 0.917973