Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.014023 0.016307 0.018829 0.021820 0.025267 0.029113 0.033729
2026-01-04 0.010890 0.013910 0.017554 0.022265 0.028186 0.035374 0.044756
2026-01-11 0.008334 0.011552 0.015743 0.021582 0.029487 0.039798 0.054250
2026-01-18 0.006694 0.009974 0.014542 0.021336 0.031150 0.044773 0.065077
2026-01-25 0.005402 0.008590 0.013306 0.020743 0.032125 0.048822 0.075097
2026-02-01 0.004470 0.007542 0.012340 0.020320 0.033183 0.053010 0.085764
2026-02-08 0.003786 0.006743 0.011602 0.020081 0.034411 0.057513 0.097389
2026-02-15 0.003189 0.005977 0.010777 0.019542 0.035018 0.061027 0.107782
2026-02-22 0.002909 0.005711 0.010746 0.020321 0.037913 0.068604 0.125823
2026-03-01 0.002558 0.005251 0.010293 0.020265 0.039294 0.073703 0.140119
2026-03-08 0.002176 0.004667 0.009518 0.019487 0.039222 0.076156 0.149872
2026-03-15 0.001920 0.004290 0.009082 0.019287 0.040194 0.080600 0.163793
2026-03-22 0.001814 0.004216 0.009250 0.020341 0.043820 0.090604 0.189816
2026-03-29 0.001669 0.004034 0.009170 0.020871 0.046453 0.098982 0.213650
2026-04-05 0.001453 0.003654 0.008608 0.020286 0.046662 0.102483 0.227935
2026-04-12 0.001295 0.003381 0.008243 0.020083 0.047662 0.107729 0.246498
2026-04-19 0.001135 0.003078 0.007762 0.019538 0.047818 0.111169 0.261532
2026-04-26 0.001006 0.002829 0.007370 0.019146 0.048264 0.115282 0.278525
2026-05-03 0.000903 0.002629 0.007068 0.018924 0.049077 0.120299 0.298133
2026-05-10 0.000798 0.002407 0.006675 0.018416 0.049120 0.123521 0.313892
2026-05-17 0.000761 0.002369 0.006758 0.019153 0.052385 0.134775 0.350236
2026-05-24 0.000695 0.002233 0.006555 0.019100 0.053605 0.141181 0.375376
2026-05-31 0.000609 0.002026 0.006127 0.018366 0.052925 0.142767 0.388570