Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.032759 0.038281 0.044368 0.051562 0.059823 0.068998 0.079949
2025-07-13 0.026156 0.033769 0.042938 0.054747 0.069498 0.087260 0.110206
2025-07-20 0.021226 0.029914 0.041219 0.056893 0.077928 0.105032 0.142422
2025-07-27 0.016593 0.025337 0.037542 0.055624 0.081486 0.116850 0.168502
2025-08-03 0.013446 0.022080 0.034920 0.055101 0.085634 0.129616 0.197119
2025-08-10 0.010797 0.018982 0.031893 0.053326 0.087466 0.139019 0.221754
2025-08-17 0.008859 0.016599 0.029494 0.052003 0.089579 0.148796 0.247718
2025-08-24 0.007572 0.015043 0.028132 0.052045 0.093694 0.161887 0.279950
2025-08-31 0.006324 0.013307 0.026151 0.050677 0.095162 0.170708 0.306003
2025-09-07 0.005778 0.012787 0.026238 0.052928 0.103062 0.190900 0.352820
2025-09-14 0.005053 0.011768 0.025221 0.052957 0.106905 0.204397 0.389302
2025-09-21 0.004300 0.010544 0.023602 0.051572 0.107886 0.212802 0.417420
2025-09-28 0.003712 0.009582 0.022393 0.050892 0.110248 0.224176 0.452482
2025-10-05 0.003491 0.009423 0.022858 0.053732 0.119929 0.250250 0.517493
2025-10-12 0.003222 0.009097 0.022905 0.055681 0.128006 0.273999 0.580239
2025-10-19 0.002771 0.008220 0.021559 0.054358 0.129027 0.283876 0.616702
2025-10-26 0.002431 0.007562 0.020616 0.053807 0.131619 0.297127 0.661052
2025-11-02 0.002077 0.006784 0.019251 0.052051 0.131289 0.304225 0.693344
2025-11-09 0.001795 0.006152 0.018142 0.050748 0.131811 0.313123 0.730112
2025-11-16 0.001608 0.005761 0.017601 0.050784 0.135466 0.329125 0.783395
2025-11-23 0.001393 0.005230 0.016587 0.049444 0.135616 0.337307 0.820234
2025-11-30 0.001326 0.005168 0.016884 0.051643 0.144794 0.366827 0.907094
2025-12-07 0.001195 0.004859 0.016413 0.051671 0.148457 0.383869 0.966998