Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.037007 0.043164 0.049939 0.057937 0.067106 0.077279 0.089405
2025-07-20 0.029217 0.037609 0.047694 0.060653 0.076810 0.096230 0.121276
2025-07-27 0.022368 0.031442 0.043230 0.059549 0.081420 0.109570 0.148367
2025-08-03 0.017807 0.027088 0.040011 0.059112 0.086379 0.123605 0.177903
2025-08-10 0.014104 0.023078 0.036392 0.057280 0.088836 0.134239 0.203867
2025-08-17 0.011446 0.020031 0.033533 0.055894 0.091444 0.145050 0.230990
2025-08-24 0.009689 0.018034 0.031874 0.055943 0.095999 0.158973 0.263973
2025-08-31 0.008038 0.015878 0.029560 0.054488 0.097811 0.168641 0.291148
2025-09-07 0.007291 0.015180 0.029576 0.056893 0.106178 0.189519 0.338258
2025-09-14 0.006345 0.013920 0.028375 0.056923 0.110358 0.203740 0.375556
2025-09-21 0.005377 0.012431 0.026498 0.055402 0.111491 0.212706 0.404526
2025-09-28 0.004669 0.011342 0.025216 0.054802 0.114177 0.224555 0.439534
2025-10-05 0.004382 0.011137 0.025721 0.057879 0.124390 0.251360 0.504728
2025-10-12 0.004034 0.010731 0.025746 0.059977 0.132923 0.275875 0.568026
2025-10-19 0.003467 0.009690 0.024226 0.058578 0.134165 0.286495 0.605811
2025-10-26 0.003038 0.008904 0.023153 0.057994 0.137011 0.300489 0.651409
2025-11-02 0.002594 0.007985 0.021613 0.056119 0.136810 0.308243 0.685135
2025-11-09 0.002242 0.007236 0.020360 0.054721 0.137469 0.317771 0.723259
2025-11-16 0.002006 0.006768 0.019737 0.054750 0.141359 0.334462 0.777761
2025-11-23 0.001738 0.006142 0.018597 0.053315 0.141623 0.343255 0.816058
2025-11-30 0.001651 0.006059 0.018909 0.055667 0.151273 0.373757 0.904341
2025-12-07 0.001488 0.005693 0.018373 0.055693 0.155178 0.391562 0.965807
2025-12-14 0.001295 0.005183 0.017335 0.054202 0.155064 0.400041 1.006817