Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.050244 0.058578 0.067732 0.078515 0.090850 0.104501 0.120733
2025-05-04 0.037230 0.047996 0.060914 0.077486 0.098098 0.122804 0.154565
2025-05-11 0.028914 0.040741 0.056080 0.077262 0.105555 0.141821 0.191563
2025-05-18 0.022475 0.034342 0.050849 0.075194 0.109822 0.156876 0.225119
2025-05-25 0.017975 0.029575 0.046772 0.073674 0.114131 0.171995 0.260084
2025-06-01 0.015065 0.026511 0.044479 0.074107 0.120912 0.190924 0.302091
2025-06-08 0.012345 0.023173 0.041126 0.072239 0.123707 0.203966 0.336448
2025-06-15 0.011155 0.022153 0.041273 0.075859 0.135368 0.231498 0.395451
2025-06-22 0.009606 0.020183 0.039460 0.075835 0.140882 0.249625 0.441045
2025-06-29 0.008069 0.017933 0.036767 0.073812 0.142588 0.261448 0.477139
2025-07-06 0.006931 0.016245 0.034831 0.072836 0.145902 0.276111 0.519101
2025-07-13 0.006482 0.015906 0.035435 0.076711 0.158444 0.307911 0.593453
2025-07-20 0.005943 0.015297 0.035453 0.079533 0.169498 0.338403 0.668843
2025-07-27 0.005062 0.013737 0.033249 0.077539 0.170955 0.351393 0.713534
2025-08-03 0.004413 0.012595 0.031768 0.076844 0.174892 0.369367 0.769063
2025-08-10 0.003754 0.011289 0.029698 0.074557 0.175228 0.380310 0.811966
2025-08-17 0.003235 0.010233 0.028036 0.072936 0.176742 0.393635 0.860542
2025-08-24 0.002896 0.009596 0.027284 0.073309 0.182617 0.416274 0.929514
2025-08-31 0.002494 0.008688 0.025694 0.071432 0.183180 0.427829 0.976653
2025-09-07 0.002378 0.008613 0.026270 0.075000 0.196702 0.468104 1.086894
2025-09-14 0.002128 0.008064 0.025479 0.074970 0.201686 0.490215 1.160161
2025-09-21 0.001840 0.007320 0.024015 0.072964 0.201641 0.501142 1.210022
2025-09-28 0.001623 0.006763 0.022992 0.071996 0.204043 0.517754 1.273631