Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.032217 0.037582 0.043490 0.050472 0.058484 0.067382 0.078002
2025-08-17 0.023458 0.030240 0.038411 0.048940 0.062106 0.077978 0.098514
2025-08-24 0.018260 0.025696 0.035380 0.048828 0.066912 0.090271 0.122590
2025-08-31 0.014218 0.021659 0.032055 0.047481 0.069600 0.099941 0.144425
2025-09-07 0.012227 0.019972 0.031474 0.049555 0.076945 0.116488 0.177371
2025-09-14 0.010215 0.017811 0.029755 0.049555 0.081101 0.128810 0.205584
2025-09-21 0.008387 0.015559 0.027461 0.048201 0.082830 0.137500 0.229120
2025-09-28 0.007091 0.013938 0.025881 0.047669 0.085640 0.147967 0.256315
2025-10-05 0.006537 0.013521 0.026249 0.050418 0.094134 0.168345 0.301475
2025-10-12 0.005934 0.012893 0.026124 0.052229 0.101145 0.186870 0.345278
2025-10-19 0.005037 0.011518 0.024386 0.050794 0.102092 0.194940 0.371720
2025-10-26 0.004384 0.010521 0.023216 0.050245 0.104544 0.205807 0.404012
2025-11-02 0.003708 0.009364 0.021575 0.048588 0.104777 0.212844 0.430450
2025-11-09 0.003175 0.008423 0.020239 0.047365 0.105703 0.221261 0.460321
2025-11-16 0.002813 0.007820 0.019539 0.047384 0.109148 0.234856 0.501437
2025-11-23 0.002419 0.007056 0.018348 0.046137 0.109742 0.242793 0.532068
2025-11-30 0.002275 0.006911 0.018588 0.048189 0.117744 0.266612 0.597058
2025-12-07 0.002035 0.006456 0.018003 0.048206 0.121177 0.281167 0.644132
2025-12-14 0.001761 0.005850 0.016937 0.046894 0.121378 0.288787 0.677157
2025-12-21 0.001560 0.005411 0.016231 0.046380 0.123385 0.300516 0.720084
2025-12-28 0.001508 0.005421 0.016737 0.049062 0.133442 0.331197 0.807517
2026-01-04 0.001424 0.005310 0.016890 0.050829 0.141420 0.357823 0.888028
2026-01-11 0.001242 0.004837 0.015930 0.049430 0.141202 0.365332 0.925406