Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.052251 0.060974 0.070555 0.081841 0.094748 0.109028 0.126002
2025-03-02 0.038390 0.049619 0.063106 0.080417 0.101954 0.127768 0.160946
2025-03-09 0.030204 0.042732 0.059005 0.081499 0.111558 0.150087 0.202908
2025-03-16 0.023277 0.035796 0.053265 0.079080 0.115845 0.165826 0.238299
2025-03-23 0.020002 0.033091 0.052527 0.082948 0.128674 0.193987 0.293208
2025-03-30 0.016725 0.029647 0.049989 0.083572 0.136616 0.215865 0.341425
2025-04-06 0.013670 0.025899 0.046255 0.081601 0.140086 0.231189 0.381233
2025-04-13 0.011368 0.022935 0.043224 0.080147 0.143913 0.247104 0.423136
2025-04-20 0.010332 0.022023 0.043483 0.084147 0.156990 0.278743 0.492682
2025-04-27 0.009320 0.020948 0.043245 0.087153 0.168574 0.308863 0.562286
2025-05-04 0.007854 0.018673 0.040394 0.084921 0.170503 0.322647 0.605386
2025-05-11 0.006795 0.017037 0.038506 0.084198 0.174981 0.341086 0.657883
2025-05-18 0.005724 0.015184 0.035938 0.081877 0.176356 0.354446 0.703285
2025-05-25 0.004867 0.013649 0.033789 0.080100 0.178563 0.369519 0.753184
2025-06-01 0.004332 0.012782 0.032964 0.080997 0.186214 0.395527 0.825682
2025-06-08 0.003660 0.011411 0.030749 0.078502 0.186481 0.407148 0.871555
2025-06-15 0.003438 0.011205 0.031271 0.082295 0.200601 0.447535 0.976985
2025-06-22 0.003073 0.010514 0.030482 0.082890 0.207724 0.474249 1.057163
2025-06-29 0.002640 0.009518 0.028741 0.080921 0.208811 0.488440 1.112877
2025-07-06 0.002290 0.008690 0.027297 0.079472 0.210897 0.504863 1.174436
2025-07-13 0.002182 0.008620 0.027924 0.083438 0.226262 0.551363 1.303178
2025-07-20 0.002047 0.008426 0.028168 0.086420 0.239532 0.594266 1.427240
2025-07-27 0.001766 0.007650 0.026578 0.084204 0.239656 0.607569 1.487517