Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.020769 0.024208 0.028003 0.032498 0.037671 0.043433 0.050334
2025-11-02 0.014956 0.019228 0.024385 0.031053 0.039425 0.049567 0.062765
2025-11-09 0.011324 0.015866 0.021798 0.030071 0.041263 0.055826 0.076152
2025-11-16 0.009077 0.013725 0.020232 0.029928 0.043927 0.063299 0.092010
2025-11-23 0.007245 0.011745 0.018452 0.029065 0.045304 0.069041 0.106141
2025-11-30 0.006368 0.010981 0.018248 0.030370 0.049881 0.079787 0.128724
2025-12-07 0.005415 0.009898 0.017336 0.030370 0.052361 0.087581 0.147695
2025-12-14 0.004486 0.008668 0.015962 0.029353 0.052972 0.092393 0.162381
2025-12-21 0.003846 0.007829 0.015101 0.029040 0.054650 0.099035 0.180719
2025-12-28 0.003570 0.007614 0.015307 0.030631 0.059824 0.112132 0.211489
2026-01-04 0.003243 0.007235 0.015141 0.031483 0.063720 0.123352 0.240094
2026-01-11 0.002777 0.006489 0.014144 0.030569 0.064127 0.128219 0.257536
2026-01-18 0.002428 0.005937 0.013470 0.030242 0.065703 0.135578 0.280764
2026-01-25 0.002077 0.005318 0.012559 0.029284 0.065877 0.140244 0.299311
2026-02-01 0.001796 0.004809 0.011807 0.028552 0.066411 0.145659 0.319925
2026-02-08 0.001603 0.004476 0.011397 0.028518 0.068429 0.154306 0.348058
2026-02-15 0.001391 0.004055 0.010712 0.027744 0.068686 0.159245 0.368872
2026-02-22 0.001319 0.003988 0.010877 0.029019 0.073802 0.175226 0.415222
2026-03-01 0.001190 0.003741 0.010550 0.029033 0.075936 0.184808 0.448367
2026-03-08 0.001033 0.003382 0.009876 0.028065 0.075557 0.188625 0.468823
2026-03-15 0.000923 0.003143 0.009482 0.027768 0.076805 0.196341 0.499090
2026-03-22 0.000893 0.003143 0.009751 0.029295 0.082907 0.216234 0.560188
2026-03-29 0.000840 0.003057 0.009762 0.030113 0.087249 0.232286 0.613557