Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.032015 0.037303 0.043125 0.050001 0.057891 0.066651 0.077105
2025-09-07 0.025099 0.032252 0.040854 0.051922 0.065742 0.082385 0.103901
2025-09-14 0.019619 0.027473 0.037672 0.051800 0.070763 0.095220 0.129021
2025-09-21 0.015340 0.023207 0.034151 0.050333 0.073472 0.105144 0.151510
2025-09-28 0.012496 0.020267 0.031763 0.049778 0.077011 0.116274 0.176691
2025-10-05 0.011157 0.019239 0.031855 0.052650 0.085631 0.135344 0.215158
2025-10-12 0.009873 0.018025 0.031403 0.054502 0.092784 0.152870 0.253114
2025-10-19 0.008245 0.015920 0.029148 0.053043 0.094360 0.161779 0.278455
2025-10-26 0.007087 0.014421 0.027647 0.052560 0.097351 0.173076 0.308575
2025-11-02 0.005984 0.012816 0.025696 0.050957 0.098113 0.180593 0.332948
2025-11-09 0.005113 0.011503 0.024067 0.049675 0.099201 0.188637 0.358830
2025-11-16 0.004512 0.010630 0.023141 0.049566 0.102373 0.200576 0.392615
2025-11-23 0.003863 0.009551 0.021674 0.048248 0.103188 0.208499 0.420296
2025-11-30 0.003600 0.009291 0.021867 0.050346 0.110995 0.230345 0.476264
2025-12-07 0.003201 0.008639 0.021118 0.050346 0.114517 0.244255 0.518294
2025-12-14 0.002762 0.007803 0.019828 0.048974 0.114974 0.252093 0.549040
2025-12-21 0.002439 0.007199 0.018975 0.048460 0.117193 0.263682 0.588393
2025-12-28 0.002345 0.007181 0.019522 0.051274 0.127119 0.292240 0.665418
2026-01-04 0.002202 0.007003 0.019647 0.053088 0.134953 0.317040 0.736645
2026-01-11 0.001920 0.006374 0.018524 0.051668 0.135057 0.325002 0.772249
2026-01-18 0.001716 0.005930 0.017818 0.051198 0.137366 0.338046 0.820140
2026-01-25 0.001494 0.005387 0.016751 0.049635 0.136791 0.344448 0.853635
2026-02-01 0.001312 0.004929 0.015850 0.048384 0.136840 0.352265 0.891004