Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.039830 0.046595 0.054045 0.062842 0.072931 0.084121 0.097457
2025-04-13 0.028518 0.037001 0.047233 0.060418 0.076890 0.096713 0.122294
2025-04-20 0.023002 0.032676 0.045302 0.062833 0.086370 0.116678 0.158422
2025-04-27 0.018908 0.029149 0.043489 0.064756 0.095160 0.136654 0.197062
2025-05-04 0.014871 0.024766 0.039564 0.062893 0.098215 0.149026 0.226766
2025-05-11 0.012141 0.021707 0.036902 0.062213 0.102553 0.163347 0.260506
2025-05-18 0.009806 0.018764 0.033834 0.060272 0.104470 0.174005 0.289662
2025-05-25 0.008083 0.016493 0.031420 0.058898 0.106902 0.185445 0.320899
2025-06-01 0.006950 0.015047 0.030143 0.059179 0.111955 0.201396 0.360692
2025-06-08 0.005796 0.013317 0.028043 0.057620 0.113511 0.211524 0.391613
2025-06-15 0.005340 0.012910 0.028360 0.060546 0.123380 0.236751 0.450500
2025-06-22 0.004663 0.011889 0.027290 0.060606 0.127859 0.252772 0.494534
2025-06-29 0.003927 0.010599 0.025494 0.059028 0.129141 0.263383 0.530378
2025-07-06 0.003343 0.009542 0.024019 0.057896 0.131160 0.275557 0.570283
2025-07-13 0.003119 0.009336 0.024413 0.060849 0.141885 0.305462 0.646509
2025-07-20 0.002871 0.009010 0.024472 0.063055 0.151272 0.333573 0.721649
2025-07-27 0.002444 0.008097 0.022960 0.061409 0.152083 0.344432 0.763464
2025-08-03 0.002132 0.007439 0.021964 0.060831 0.155176 0.360223 0.816542
2025-08-10 0.001811 0.006669 0.020539 0.058974 0.155079 0.369204 0.856193
2025-08-17 0.001559 0.006048 0.019396 0.057650 0.156051 0.380520 0.901639
2025-08-24 0.001396 0.005680 0.018898 0.057937 0.160932 0.400860 0.968110
2025-08-31 0.001198 0.005139 0.017794 0.056414 0.161118 0.410580 1.011971
2025-09-07 0.001147 0.005115 0.018242 0.059287 0.172828 0.447853 1.120399