Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.035463 0.041463 0.048074 0.055883 0.064842 0.074785 0.086642
2025-06-15 0.027484 0.035564 0.045299 0.057836 0.073490 0.092327 0.116638
2025-06-22 0.021160 0.029963 0.041440 0.057371 0.078762 0.106322 0.144317
2025-06-29 0.016330 0.025099 0.037374 0.055589 0.081659 0.117301 0.169311
2025-07-06 0.013110 0.021705 0.034532 0.054735 0.085323 0.129365 0.196863
2025-07-13 0.011576 0.020458 0.034474 0.057714 0.094634 0.150177 0.238887
2025-07-20 0.010171 0.019106 0.033959 0.059779 0.102644 0.169746 0.280975
2025-07-27 0.008436 0.016842 0.031551 0.058338 0.104753 0.180260 0.309969
2025-08-03 0.007176 0.015169 0.029842 0.057743 0.108028 0.192756 0.343104
2025-08-10 0.005980 0.013378 0.027616 0.055854 0.108728 0.200886 0.369579
2025-08-17 0.005059 0.011948 0.025819 0.054447 0.110016 0.209984 0.398337
2025-08-24 0.004445 0.011041 0.024888 0.054534 0.113993 0.224073 0.436958
2025-08-31 0.003761 0.009862 0.023249 0.053045 0.114902 0.232911 0.467412
2025-09-07 0.003511 0.009642 0.023610 0.055728 0.124356 0.258594 0.531415
2025-09-14 0.003091 0.008920 0.022751 0.055684 0.128245 0.273979 0.577274
2025-09-21 0.002635 0.008012 0.021313 0.054145 0.128790 0.282801 0.611128
2025-09-28 0.002294 0.007330 0.020296 0.053406 0.130941 0.294997 0.652669
2025-10-05 0.002187 0.007278 0.020819 0.056368 0.141623 0.325707 0.734325
2025-10-12 0.002042 0.007087 0.020960 0.058414 0.150431 0.353208 0.811511
2025-10-19 0.001767 0.006439 0.019789 0.057016 0.151035 0.363109 0.852360
2025-10-26 0.001561 0.005957 0.018985 0.056438 0.153514 0.377298 0.903522
2025-11-02 0.001338 0.005366 0.017771 0.054592 0.152651 0.383879 0.938492
2025-11-09 0.001161 0.004883 0.016785 0.053216 0.152791 0.392720 0.979151