Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.084921 0.098422 0.113167 0.130441 0.150092 0.171723 0.197307
2025-01-19 0.063526 0.081196 0.102227 0.128991 0.162017 0.201303 0.251429
2025-01-26 0.052761 0.073428 0.099917 0.136084 0.183858 0.244447 0.326690
2025-02-02 0.044671 0.067077 0.097744 0.142275 0.204663 0.288236 0.407766
2025-02-09 0.035576 0.057401 0.089170 0.138015 0.210249 0.311942 0.464402
2025-02-16 0.029510 0.050846 0.083690 0.136850 0.219333 0.340657 0.530191
2025-02-23 0.024276 0.044528 0.077394 0.133214 0.223777 0.362467 0.587434
2025-03-02 0.020304 0.039506 0.072252 0.130412 0.228733 0.384958 0.647180
2025-03-09 0.017779 0.036516 0.069945 0.131768 0.240208 0.418263 0.726304
2025-03-16 0.014940 0.032414 0.065039 0.127863 0.242163 0.436011 0.781464
2025-03-23 0.013831 0.031449 0.065639 0.133767 0.261580 0.484281 0.891040
2025-03-30 0.012377 0.029517 0.064107 0.135435 0.273421 0.520377 0.982547
2025-04-06 0.010573 0.026561 0.060223 0.132254 0.276248 0.541417 1.050631
2025-04-13 0.009176 0.024245 0.057301 0.130588 0.281747 0.567745 1.130478
2025-04-20 0.008676 0.023928 0.058559 0.137656 0.305110 0.629121 1.279580
2025-04-27 0.008148 0.023443 0.059373 0.143858 0.327312 0.690079 1.432591
2025-05-04 0.006975 0.021092 0.055599 0.139529 0.327201 0.707703 1.504008
2025-05-11 0.006156 0.019505 0.053364 0.138339 0.333545 0.738490 1.603302
2025-05-18 0.005315 0.017674 0.050247 0.134661 0.333995 0.757232 1.679839
2025-05-25 0.004631 0.016145 0.047639 0.131828 0.335960 0.779130 1.764241
2025-06-01 0.004218 0.015342 0.046789 0.133195 0.347647 0.822387 1.895851
2025-06-08 0.003644 0.013902 0.043995 0.129251 0.346388 0.837536 1.969165
2025-06-15 0.003493 0.013816 0.044955 0.135213 0.369550 0.908127 2.166379