Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.037568 0.043791 0.050637 0.058716 0.067975 0.078244 0.090483
2025-07-27 0.027641 0.035588 0.045143 0.057429 0.072756 0.091190 0.114980
2025-08-03 0.021364 0.030031 0.041295 0.056898 0.077824 0.104776 0.141952
2025-08-10 0.016545 0.025190 0.037240 0.055078 0.080580 0.115449 0.166395
2025-08-17 0.013197 0.021607 0.034101 0.053729 0.083429 0.126232 0.191990
2025-08-24 0.011019 0.019275 0.032262 0.053784 0.088030 0.139725 0.222705
2025-08-31 0.009044 0.016846 0.029805 0.052382 0.090034 0.149354 0.248493
2025-09-07 0.008127 0.016004 0.029729 0.054707 0.098091 0.169011 0.291700
2025-09-14 0.007019 0.014602 0.028445 0.054735 0.102229 0.182668 0.326495
2025-09-21 0.005913 0.012985 0.026503 0.053265 0.103492 0.191516 0.353975
2025-09-28 0.005107 0.011803 0.025169 0.052680 0.106173 0.202930 0.386790
2025-10-05 0.004790 0.011577 0.025643 0.055582 0.115600 0.227130 0.444390
2025-10-12 0.004396 0.011128 0.025634 0.057591 0.123681 0.249918 0.502094
2025-10-19 0.003766 0.010024 0.024084 0.056225 0.124938 0.260065 0.537274
2025-10-26 0.003290 0.009190 0.022986 0.055653 0.127713 0.273365 0.579703
2025-11-02 0.002803 0.008226 0.021434 0.053844 0.127641 0.280970 0.611602
2025-11-09 0.002418 0.007443 0.020176 0.052511 0.128399 0.290265 0.647663
2025-11-16 0.002160 0.006953 0.019549 0.052558 0.132206 0.306202 0.698727
2025-11-23 0.001869 0.006303 0.018407 0.051183 0.132568 0.314786 0.735022
2025-11-30 0.001771 0.006209 0.018705 0.053457 0.141775 0.343484 0.817003
2025-12-07 0.001593 0.005827 0.018162 0.053484 0.145550 0.360407 0.874580
2025-12-14 0.001385 0.005299 0.017124 0.052044 0.145519 0.368646 0.913438
2025-12-21 0.001231 0.004917 0.016441 0.051471 0.147602 0.381956 0.964932