Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOGE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.000030 0.000034 0.000038 0.000043 0.000049 0.000055 0.000062
2024-10-27 0.000024 0.000029 0.000036 0.000043 0.000053 0.000063 0.000077
2024-11-03 0.000019 0.000026 0.000033 0.000043 0.000055 0.000070 0.000089
2024-11-10 0.000017 0.000024 0.000032 0.000044 0.000059 0.000078 0.000103
2024-11-17 0.000015 0.000022 0.000032 0.000045 0.000062 0.000085 0.000116
2024-11-24 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000045 0.000065 0.000092 0.000130
2024-12-01 0.000012 0.000019 0.000029 0.000045 0.000066 0.000096 0.000139
2024-12-08 0.000011 0.000018 0.000028 0.000044 0.000067 0.000100 0.000149
2024-12-15 0.000010 0.000017 0.000027 0.000044 0.000070 0.000106 0.000162
2024-12-22 0.000009 0.000016 0.000028 0.000046 0.000074 0.000115 0.000178
2024-12-29 0.000008 0.000016 0.000027 0.000046 0.000076 0.000121 0.000191
2025-01-05 0.000008 0.000015 0.000027 0.000047 0.000080 0.000129 0.000208
2025-01-12 0.000007 0.000014 0.000026 0.000046 0.000080 0.000131 0.000216
2025-01-19 0.000007 0.000013 0.000025 0.000046 0.000082 0.000138 0.000231
2025-01-26 0.000006 0.000013 0.000024 0.000046 0.000083 0.000142 0.000241
2025-02-02 0.000006 0.000012 0.000024 0.000047 0.000087 0.000151 0.000260
2025-02-09 0.000005 0.000012 0.000024 0.000048 0.000090 0.000159 0.000277
2025-02-16 0.000005 0.000012 0.000024 0.000049 0.000093 0.000167 0.000295
2025-02-23 0.000005 0.000011 0.000023 0.000048 0.000093 0.000170 0.000306
2025-03-02 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000047 0.000093 0.000173 0.000317
2025-03-09 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000047 0.000096 0.000180 0.000333
2025-03-16 0.000004 0.000010 0.000022 0.000049 0.000100 0.000191 0.000357
2025-03-23 0.000004 0.000009 0.000022 0.000049 0.000103 0.000198 0.000375