Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.234318e-05 1.505657e-05 0.000018 0.000022 0.000026 0.000030 0.000035
2026-02-01 8.503039e-06 1.183092e-05 0.000016 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000043
2026-02-08 5.907249e-06 9.346243e-06 0.000014 0.000020 0.000028 0.000038 0.000050
2026-02-15 4.243765e-06 7.619039e-06 0.000012 0.000019 0.000029 0.000041 0.000057
2026-02-22 3.111133e-06 6.338682e-06 0.000011 0.000019 0.000030 0.000044 0.000063
2026-03-01 2.208306e-06 5.161113e-06 0.000010 0.000018 0.000030 0.000046 0.000069
2026-03-08 1.489780e-06 4.071854e-06 0.000009 0.000017 0.000029 0.000047 0.000073
2026-03-15 1.043410e-06 3.341066e-06 0.000008 0.000016 0.000029 0.000049 0.000077
2026-03-22 7.935035e-07 2.934903e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000031 0.000052 0.000084
2026-03-29 5.760018e-07 2.512273e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000031 0.000054 0.000090
2026-04-05 4.207347e-07 2.178250e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000032 0.000057 0.000096
2026-04-12 3.270248e-07 1.979797e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000033 0.000061 0.000104
2026-04-19 2.119991e-07 1.672146e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000035 0.000065 0.000115
2026-04-26 1.157537e-07 1.317466e-06 0.000005 0.000016 0.000036 0.000069 0.000123
2026-05-03 5.249223e-08 9.856986e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000036 0.000071 0.000130
2026-05-10 2.162692e-08 7.492886e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000074 0.000139
2026-05-17 7.519444e-09 5.733687e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000077 0.000147
2026-05-24 1.433165e-09 4.100405e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000036 0.000079 0.000154
2026-05-31 4.168908e-11 2.675683e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000036 0.000080 0.000159
2026-06-07 NaN 1.834993e-07 0.000002 0.000012 0.000036 0.000082 0.000165
2026-06-14 NaN 1.424387e-07 0.000002 0.000012 0.000037 0.000086 0.000176
2026-06-21 NaN 1.023149e-07 0.000002 0.000012 0.000037 0.000089 0.000185
2026-06-28 NaN 7.403701e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000038 0.000093 0.000195