Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.784874e-05 2.185755e-05 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000044 0.000051
2025-08-17 1.166008e-05 1.634189e-05 0.000022 0.000029 0.000038 0.000048 0.000060
2025-08-24 8.036800e-06 1.281664e-05 0.000019 0.000027 0.000038 0.000051 0.000068
2025-08-31 6.026336e-06 1.083426e-05 0.000018 0.000027 0.000040 0.000056 0.000077
2025-09-07 4.378625e-06 8.944974e-06 0.000016 0.000026 0.000040 0.000059 0.000084
2025-09-14 3.029319e-06 7.150605e-06 0.000014 0.000025 0.000040 0.000061 0.000089
2025-09-21 2.136501e-06 5.860613e-06 0.000012 0.000023 0.000040 0.000063 0.000095
2025-09-28 1.456741e-06 4.737663e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000040 0.000064 0.000100
2025-10-05 1.114799e-06 4.197922e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000041 0.000068 0.000108
2025-10-12 8.334265e-07 3.686558e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000042 0.000072 0.000116
2025-10-19 5.798266e-07 3.121613e-06 0.000009 0.000022 0.000043 0.000074 0.000122
2025-10-26 5.185786e-07 3.103881e-06 0.000010 0.000023 0.000046 0.000082 0.000135
2025-11-02 3.153260e-07 2.557245e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000048 0.000087 0.000147
2025-11-09 1.310929e-07 1.803856e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000047 0.000087 0.000152
2025-11-16 4.732644e-08 1.294358e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000046 0.000089 0.000159
2025-11-23 1.779435e-08 1.025619e-06 0.000006 0.000020 0.000047 0.000094 0.000170
2025-11-30 3.465284e-09 7.499572e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000047 0.000097 0.000179
2025-12-07 6.531815e-11 4.958686e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000047 0.000098 0.000184
2025-12-14 NaN 3.336201e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000046 0.000100 0.000192
2025-12-21 NaN 2.090743e-07 0.000003 0.000016 0.000046 0.000101 0.000198
2025-12-28 NaN 1.587531e-07 0.000003 0.000016 0.000047 0.000106 0.000210
2026-01-04 NaN 1.150299e-07 0.000003 0.000016 0.000048 0.000111 0.000222
2026-01-11 NaN 7.287130e-08 0.000003 0.000015 0.000049 0.000114 0.000231