Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 1.658941e-05 2.012647e-05 0.000024 0.000029 0.000034 0.000039 0.000046
2025-10-26 1.287821e-05 1.755211e-05 0.000023 0.000030 0.000038 0.000048 0.000060
2025-11-02 9.795994e-06 1.489802e-05 0.000021 0.000030 0.000041 0.000054 0.000071
2025-11-09 7.040084e-06 1.201480e-05 0.000019 0.000028 0.000041 0.000057 0.000078
2025-11-16 5.235685e-06 1.001032e-05 0.000017 0.000027 0.000042 0.000060 0.000085
2025-11-23 4.107363e-06 8.744077e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000043 0.000065 0.000094
2025-11-30 3.212601e-06 7.638280e-06 0.000015 0.000027 0.000045 0.000069 0.000103
2025-12-07 2.378562e-06 6.419850e-06 0.000014 0.000026 0.000045 0.000071 0.000109
2025-12-14 1.693971e-06 5.279940e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000044 0.000072 0.000113
2025-12-21 1.233196e-06 4.452702e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000044 0.000074 0.000119
2025-12-28 9.126272e-07 3.830339e-06 0.000010 0.000023 0.000044 0.000076 0.000125
2026-01-04 6.477909e-07 3.233123e-06 0.000009 0.000022 0.000044 0.000078 0.000130
2026-01-11 4.318971e-07 2.728230e-06 0.000009 0.000022 0.000046 0.000083 0.000142
2026-01-18 3.357289e-07 2.562019e-06 0.000009 0.000023 0.000050 0.000093 0.000160
2026-01-25 2.135312e-07 2.172350e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000052 0.000099 0.000173
2026-02-01 1.013452e-07 1.632070e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000051 0.000100 0.000181
2026-02-08 4.590644e-08 1.262848e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000052 0.000103 0.000190
2026-02-15 2.153636e-08 1.040924e-06 0.000006 0.000021 0.000053 0.000108 0.000202
2026-02-22 8.272252e-09 8.449694e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000054 0.000113 0.000214
2026-03-01 1.610256e-09 6.294510e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000054 0.000116 0.000223
2026-03-08 5.589780e-11 4.414944e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000053 0.000117 0.000229
2026-03-15 NaN 3.186473e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000053 0.000119 0.000237
2026-03-22 NaN 2.351089e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000054 0.000122 0.000247