Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.675593e-05 2.055780e-05 0.000025 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000048
2025-07-13 1.166109e-05 1.631147e-05 0.000022 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059
2025-07-20 8.610364e-06 1.358344e-05 0.000020 0.000029 0.000040 0.000053 0.000070
2025-07-27 6.721584e-06 1.185264e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000042 0.000059 0.000081
2025-08-03 5.926395e-06 1.143307e-05 0.000019 0.000031 0.000047 0.000068 0.000096
2025-08-10 4.639163e-06 9.983129e-06 0.000018 0.000031 0.000049 0.000073 0.000105
2025-08-17 3.247457e-06 8.018988e-06 0.000016 0.000029 0.000048 0.000073 0.000109
2025-08-24 2.317468e-06 6.601716e-06 0.000014 0.000027 0.000047 0.000075 0.000114
2025-08-31 1.780538e-06 5.784560e-06 0.000013 0.000027 0.000048 0.000079 0.000123
2025-09-07 1.291978e-06 4.903550e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000049 0.000081 0.000129
2025-09-14 8.652107e-07 3.984797e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000048 0.000082 0.000132
2025-09-21 5.734674e-07 3.268289e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000047 0.000083 0.000137
2025-09-28 2.917112e-07 2.411512e-06 0.000008 0.000022 0.000046 0.000084 0.000142
2025-10-05 1.557269e-07 1.910078e-06 0.000008 0.000021 0.000047 0.000087 0.000151
2025-10-12 8.115593e-08 1.556087e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000048 0.000092 0.000162
2025-10-19 4.354023e-08 1.331630e-06 0.000007 0.000021 0.000050 0.000097 0.000175
2025-10-26 3.433300e-08 1.339669e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000055 0.000108 0.000195
2025-11-02 1.377439e-08 1.099589e-06 0.000007 0.000023 0.000056 0.000113 0.000206
2025-11-09 1.697658e-09 7.546841e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000055 0.000113 0.000210
2025-11-16 2.086950e-11 5.300682e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000054 0.000114 0.000216
2025-11-23 NaN 4.150993e-07 0.000005 0.000020 0.000055 0.000118 0.000227
2025-11-30 NaN 2.973676e-07 0.000004 0.000019 0.000055 0.000120 0.000235
2025-12-07 NaN 1.881438e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000054 0.000121 0.000239