Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.505738e-05 1.824232e-05 0.000022 0.000026 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041
2025-12-07 1.047456e-05 1.434006e-05 0.000019 0.000025 0.000032 0.000040 0.000050
2025-12-14 7.397270e-06 1.138554e-05 0.000017 0.000023 0.000032 0.000043 0.000056
2025-12-21 5.421647e-06 9.349076e-06 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000046 0.000063
2025-12-28 4.108997e-06 7.915515e-06 0.000014 0.000022 0.000034 0.000049 0.000069
2026-01-04 3.047104e-06 6.601582e-06 0.000012 0.000021 0.000034 0.000051 0.000075
2026-01-11 2.415656e-06 5.833023e-06 0.000012 0.000021 0.000035 0.000055 0.000082
2026-01-18 2.075034e-06 5.496711e-06 0.000012 0.000022 0.000038 0.000060 0.000092
2026-01-25 1.684259e-06 4.963528e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000039 0.000064 0.000100
2026-02-01 1.277692e-06 4.278635e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000039 0.000066 0.000105
2026-02-08 9.259238e-07 3.594481e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000067 0.000109
2026-02-15 6.928244e-07 3.112809e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000069 0.000115
2026-02-22 4.714112e-07 2.615541e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000040 0.000073 0.000124
2026-03-01 2.824534e-07 2.072365e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000041 0.000075 0.000131
2026-03-08 1.504112e-07 1.580436e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000040 0.000077 0.000136
2026-03-15 7.779873e-08 1.232085e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000040 0.000079 0.000143
2026-03-22 3.928024e-08 9.873173e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000041 0.000082 0.000151
2026-03-29 1.571671e-08 7.554000e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000040 0.000084 0.000158
2026-04-05 6.846468e-09 6.302733e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000042 0.000088 0.000168
2026-04-12 3.773995e-09 5.843178e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000044 0.000094 0.000182
2026-04-19 1.264694e-09 4.969105e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000046 0.000099 0.000193
2026-04-26 1.392150e-10 3.837142e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000046 0.000102 0.000201
2026-05-03 4.288531e-14 2.780224e-07 0.000003 0.000015 0.000046 0.000103 0.000207