Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1.502265e-05 1.813654e-05 0.000022 0.000026 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041
2025-12-07 1.063149e-05 1.446457e-05 0.000019 0.000025 0.000032 0.000039 0.000049
2025-12-14 7.607765e-06 1.160537e-05 0.000017 0.000024 0.000032 0.000043 0.000056
2025-12-21 5.548290e-06 9.475786e-06 0.000015 0.000022 0.000033 0.000045 0.000062
2025-12-28 4.211410e-06 8.024638e-06 0.000014 0.000022 0.000033 0.000048 0.000069
2026-01-04 3.192094e-06 6.805530e-06 0.000012 0.000021 0.000034 0.000051 0.000075
2026-01-11 2.539361e-06 6.020907e-06 0.000012 0.000021 0.000035 0.000055 0.000082
2026-01-18 2.187756e-06 5.679740e-06 0.000012 0.000022 0.000038 0.000060 0.000092
2026-01-25 1.727173e-06 5.015071e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000039 0.000063 0.000098
2026-02-01 1.297965e-06 4.288644e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000039 0.000065 0.000103
2026-02-08 9.606854e-07 3.652723e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000066 0.000108
2026-02-15 7.293159e-07 3.189374e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000069 0.000113
2026-02-22 5.258575e-07 2.746931e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000040 0.000072 0.000121
2026-03-01 3.508066e-07 2.282206e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000040 0.000074 0.000128
2026-03-08 2.117347e-07 1.819896e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000040 0.000075 0.000132
2026-03-15 1.214986e-07 1.447092e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000040 0.000077 0.000137
2026-03-22 7.127062e-08 1.194948e-06 0.000006 0.000017 0.000040 0.000079 0.000144
2026-03-29 3.812673e-08 9.724740e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000040 0.000081 0.000150
2026-04-05 2.185173e-08 8.384999e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000041 0.000085 0.000158
2026-04-12 1.555920e-08 7.978414e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000044 0.000091 0.000171
2026-04-19 7.352740e-09 6.734249e-07 0.000005 0.000017 0.000044 0.000094 0.000179
2026-04-26 2.306362e-09 5.334599e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000044 0.000095 0.000184
2026-05-03 4.296670e-10 4.155829e-07 0.000004 0.000016 0.000044 0.000096 0.000189