Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 3.131729e-05 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000059 0.000068 0.000078
2025-03-02 2.232086e-05 0.000029 0.000038 0.000048 0.000059 0.000073 0.000089
2025-03-09 1.688226e-05 0.000024 0.000034 0.000046 0.000061 0.000078 0.000100
2025-03-16 1.317822e-05 0.000021 0.000031 0.000045 0.000062 0.000084 0.000111
2025-03-23 1.060482e-05 0.000018 0.000029 0.000044 0.000064 0.000089 0.000122
2025-03-30 8.483999e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000043 0.000065 0.000094 0.000132
2025-04-06 6.589906e-06 0.000014 0.000025 0.000041 0.000065 0.000096 0.000139
2025-04-13 4.829102e-06 0.000011 0.000022 0.000038 0.000063 0.000096 0.000143
2025-04-20 3.734577e-06 0.000010 0.000020 0.000037 0.000063 0.000098 0.000149
2025-04-27 3.071530e-06 0.000009 0.000019 0.000037 0.000064 0.000103 0.000159
2025-05-04 2.590235e-06 0.000008 0.000018 0.000037 0.000066 0.000108 0.000170
2025-05-11 2.442651e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000039 0.000072 0.000118 0.000187
2025-05-18 1.903131e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000039 0.000074 0.000125 0.000201
2025-05-25 1.252704e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000037 0.000072 0.000126 0.000207
2025-06-01 8.476570e-07 0.000005 0.000015 0.000035 0.000072 0.000128 0.000216
2025-06-08 5.747484e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000034 0.000072 0.000132 0.000226
2025-06-15 3.962744e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000034 0.000074 0.000137 0.000238
2025-06-22 2.562003e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000033 0.000074 0.000141 0.000249
2025-06-29 1.444954e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000032 0.000073 0.000143 0.000256
2025-07-06 6.244434e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000029 0.000071 0.000141 0.000258
2025-07-13 2.808837e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000028 0.000070 0.000143 0.000265
2025-07-20 1.410120e-08 0.000001 0.000008 0.000028 0.000071 0.000148 0.000278
2025-07-27 7.043501e-09 0.000001 0.000008 0.000028 0.000074 0.000154 0.000292