Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 2.258923e-05 2.715416e-05 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000051 0.000060
2025-06-15 1.666103e-05 2.239518e-05 0.000029 0.000037 0.000047 0.000059 0.000072
2025-06-22 1.255920e-05 1.867646e-05 0.000026 0.000036 0.000049 0.000064 0.000082
2025-06-29 9.392266e-06 1.543702e-05 0.000023 0.000035 0.000049 0.000067 0.000089
2025-07-06 6.911311e-06 1.261037e-05 0.000021 0.000032 0.000048 0.000068 0.000095
2025-07-13 5.389598e-06 1.085482e-05 0.000019 0.000031 0.000049 0.000071 0.000102
2025-07-20 4.367404e-06 9.664926e-06 0.000018 0.000031 0.000050 0.000075 0.000110
2025-07-27 3.630369e-06 8.797381e-06 0.000017 0.000031 0.000052 0.000080 0.000119
2025-08-03 3.395361e-06 8.777326e-06 0.000018 0.000033 0.000057 0.000088 0.000134
2025-08-10 2.748327e-06 7.843775e-06 0.000017 0.000033 0.000057 0.000092 0.000141
2025-08-17 2.003708e-06 6.522221e-06 0.000015 0.000031 0.000056 0.000092 0.000144
2025-08-24 1.500315e-06 5.573116e-06 0.000014 0.000030 0.000055 0.000093 0.000148
2025-08-31 1.116739e-06 4.853387e-06 0.000013 0.000029 0.000057 0.000097 0.000158
2025-09-07 8.115947e-07 4.204463e-06 0.000012 0.000029 0.000058 0.000101 0.000168
2025-09-14 5.457566e-07 3.512279e-06 0.000011 0.000028 0.000058 0.000104 0.000176
2025-09-21 3.294495e-07 2.806157e-06 0.000010 0.000027 0.000057 0.000105 0.000181
2025-09-28 1.749672e-07 2.153644e-06 0.000009 0.000025 0.000055 0.000105 0.000184
2025-10-05 1.002320e-07 1.772128e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000056 0.000107 0.000191
2025-10-12 5.992651e-08 1.524596e-06 0.000008 0.000024 0.000057 0.000111 0.000201
2025-10-19 3.641816e-08 1.349148e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000058 0.000116 0.000212
2025-10-26 3.234860e-08 1.384313e-06 0.000008 0.000026 0.000063 0.000126 0.000231
2025-11-02 1.580895e-08 1.173675e-06 0.000007 0.000025 0.000064 0.000130 0.000240
2025-11-09 3.817889e-09 8.722044e-07 0.000006 0.000024 0.000062 0.000129 0.000243