Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1.816607e-05 2.218218e-05 0.000027 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000051
2025-07-20 1.301098e-05 1.805260e-05 0.000024 0.000032 0.000041 0.000051 0.000064
2025-07-27 9.929875e-06 1.544496e-05 0.000022 0.000032 0.000044 0.000058 0.000076
2025-08-03 8.533606e-06 1.458622e-05 0.000023 0.000034 0.000049 0.000068 0.000092
2025-08-10 6.645556e-06 1.262870e-05 0.000021 0.000034 0.000051 0.000073 0.000102
2025-08-17 4.749120e-06 1.022557e-05 0.000019 0.000032 0.000050 0.000074 0.000107
2025-08-24 3.472956e-06 8.497072e-06 0.000017 0.000030 0.000050 0.000076 0.000113
2025-08-31 2.701967e-06 7.451165e-06 0.000016 0.000030 0.000051 0.000080 0.000122
2025-09-07 2.018489e-06 6.377238e-06 0.000015 0.000029 0.000052 0.000083 0.000129
2025-09-14 1.418219e-06 5.273016e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000051 0.000084 0.000134
2025-09-21 9.865697e-07 4.383197e-06 0.000012 0.000026 0.000051 0.000086 0.000139
2025-09-28 6.458910e-07 3.555636e-06 0.000011 0.000025 0.000050 0.000086 0.000142
2025-10-05 3.990551e-07 2.900358e-06 0.000010 0.000024 0.000050 0.000090 0.000151
2025-10-12 2.474537e-07 2.432937e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000052 0.000095 0.000162
2025-10-19 1.561684e-07 2.106057e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000054 0.000101 0.000175
2025-10-26 1.293990e-07 2.095775e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000059 0.000111 0.000195
2025-11-02 6.944516e-08 1.748318e-06 0.000009 0.000026 0.000060 0.000116 0.000206
2025-11-09 2.198707e-08 1.268850e-06 0.000007 0.000024 0.000059 0.000116 0.000210
2025-11-16 5.201530e-09 9.459477e-07 0.000007 0.000023 0.000058 0.000118 0.000217
2025-11-23 1.011235e-09 7.681928e-07 0.000006 0.000023 0.000059 0.000122 0.000227
2025-11-30 1.839879e-11 5.870634e-07 0.000006 0.000022 0.000059 0.000124 0.000236
2025-12-07 NaN 4.111320e-07 0.000005 0.000021 0.000058 0.000125 0.000241
2025-12-14 NaN 2.844505e-07 0.000004 0.000020 0.000057 0.000127 0.000247