Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 3.207383e-05 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069 0.000079
2025-04-06 2.367498e-05 0.000031 0.000039 0.000050 0.000062 0.000076 0.000092
2025-04-13 1.730925e-05 0.000025 0.000034 0.000046 0.000061 0.000079 0.000101
2025-04-20 1.338397e-05 0.000021 0.000031 0.000045 0.000062 0.000083 0.000111
2025-04-27 1.095119e-05 0.000019 0.000030 0.000045 0.000065 0.000090 0.000123
2025-05-04 9.202603e-06 0.000017 0.000028 0.000045 0.000068 0.000096 0.000135
2025-05-11 8.444778e-06 0.000017 0.000029 0.000048 0.000073 0.000107 0.000153
2025-05-18 7.254589e-06 0.000015 0.000028 0.000048 0.000076 0.000114 0.000166
2025-05-25 5.556419e-06 0.000013 0.000025 0.000045 0.000075 0.000115 0.000170
2025-06-01 4.397986e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000044 0.000074 0.000117 0.000177
2025-06-08 3.652776e-06 0.000010 0.000022 0.000043 0.000076 0.000121 0.000187
2025-06-15 3.016582e-06 0.000009 0.000021 0.000043 0.000077 0.000125 0.000196
2025-06-22 2.280086e-06 0.000008 0.000020 0.000042 0.000078 0.000130 0.000208
2025-06-29 1.612772e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000040 0.000077 0.000133 0.000217
2025-07-06 1.022066e-06 0.000005 0.000016 0.000037 0.000075 0.000132 0.000221
2025-07-13 6.859043e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000075 0.000135 0.000230
2025-07-20 4.982881e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000036 0.000077 0.000141 0.000243
2025-07-27 3.709308e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000036 0.000079 0.000148 0.000258
2025-08-03 3.319580e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000038 0.000085 0.000161 0.000282
2025-08-10 2.470873e-07 0.000003 0.000014 0.000039 0.000088 0.000168 0.000298
2025-08-17 1.309737e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000036 0.000086 0.000168 0.000302
2025-08-24 7.056121e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000035 0.000085 0.000170 0.000310
2025-08-31 4.115104e-08 0.000002 0.000010 0.000035 0.000086 0.000175 0.000323