Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-22 1.146933e-05 1.393694e-05 0.000017 0.000020 0.000023 0.000027 0.000032
2026-03-01 8.171971e-06 1.121539e-05 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025 0.000031 0.000039
2026-03-08 5.780827e-06 8.947132e-06 0.000013 0.000019 0.000026 0.000034 0.000045
2026-03-15 4.125919e-06 7.216331e-06 0.000012 0.000018 0.000026 0.000037 0.000051
2026-03-22 3.106136e-06 6.116194e-06 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027 0.000040 0.000057
2026-03-29 2.334165e-06 5.193941e-06 0.000010 0.000017 0.000028 0.000043 0.000063
2026-04-05 1.790802e-06 4.503393e-06 0.000009 0.000017 0.000029 0.000046 0.000070
2026-04-12 1.475382e-06 4.139504e-06 0.000009 0.000018 0.000031 0.000050 0.000078
2026-04-19 1.096797e-06 3.531790e-06 0.000008 0.000017 0.000031 0.000052 0.000083
2026-04-26 7.938046e-07 2.977062e-06 0.000008 0.000017 0.000032 0.000054 0.000088
2026-05-03 5.689810e-07 2.514959e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000032 0.000056 0.000093
2026-05-10 4.191064e-07 2.183319e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000032 0.000058 0.000099
2026-05-17 2.879049e-07 1.851391e-06 0.000006 0.000016 0.000033 0.000061 0.000106
2026-05-24 1.852306e-07 1.533270e-06 0.000006 0.000015 0.000034 0.000063 0.000112
2026-05-31 1.037428e-07 1.201701e-06 0.000005 0.000014 0.000033 0.000065 0.000116
2026-06-07 5.376619e-08 9.353347e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000033 0.000066 0.000120
2026-06-14 2.981078e-08 7.770317e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000034 0.000068 0.000127
2026-06-21 1.483153e-08 6.375915e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000034 0.000071 0.000134
2026-06-28 7.070700e-09 5.352388e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000035 0.000074 0.000141
2026-07-05 4.090603e-09 4.923034e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000078 0.000152
2026-07-12 1.202627e-09 3.935831e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000080 0.000158
2026-07-19 1.752630e-10 3.046326e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000082 0.000163
2026-07-26 3.801908e-12 2.340674e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000037 0.000083 0.000168