Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.165148e-05 1.411908e-05 0.000017 0.000020 0.000024 0.000027 0.000032
2026-02-08 8.081500e-06 1.106790e-05 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025 0.000031 0.000038
2026-02-15 5.931908e-06 9.094953e-06 0.000013 0.000019 0.000026 0.000034 0.000045
2026-02-22 4.467010e-06 7.636854e-06 0.000012 0.000018 0.000026 0.000037 0.000050
2026-03-01 3.298771e-06 6.314300e-06 0.000011 0.000017 0.000027 0.000039 0.000055
2026-03-08 2.348678e-06 5.087092e-06 0.000009 0.000016 0.000026 0.000040 0.000058
2026-03-15 1.720028e-06 4.220341e-06 0.000008 0.000016 0.000026 0.000041 0.000062
2026-03-22 1.354461e-06 3.725061e-06 0.000008 0.000015 0.000027 0.000043 0.000067
2026-03-29 1.042514e-06 3.244057e-06 0.000008 0.000015 0.000028 0.000045 0.000072
2026-04-05 8.167682e-07 2.875869e-06 0.000007 0.000015 0.000028 0.000048 0.000077
2026-04-12 6.845983e-07 2.684256e-06 0.000007 0.000016 0.000030 0.000051 0.000084
2026-04-19 5.298751e-07 2.378617e-06 0.000007 0.000015 0.000030 0.000053 0.000089
2026-04-26 3.473822e-07 1.941388e-06 0.000006 0.000015 0.000031 0.000055 0.000094
2026-05-03 2.113966e-07 1.544474e-06 0.000005 0.000014 0.000031 0.000057 0.000099
2026-05-10 1.290241e-07 1.259793e-06 0.000005 0.000014 0.000031 0.000059 0.000105
2026-05-17 7.579558e-08 1.030775e-06 0.000005 0.000013 0.000031 0.000061 0.000111
2026-05-24 3.769347e-08 8.020419e-07 0.000004 0.000013 0.000031 0.000062 0.000115
2026-05-31 1.422144e-08 5.843740e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000030 0.000063 0.000118
2026-06-07 4.751520e-09 4.399984e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000030 0.000064 0.000122
2026-06-14 1.729948e-09 3.654236e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000031 0.000066 0.000129
2026-06-21 3.797068e-10 2.926762e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000031 0.000068 0.000135
2026-06-28 4.360689e-11 2.398187e-07 0.000003 0.000011 0.000032 0.000071 0.000142
2026-07-05 2.864099e-12 2.152556e-07 0.000002 0.000011 0.000033 0.000075 0.000151