Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.001887 0.002005 0.002127 0.002263 0.002411 0.002566 0.002742
2025-04-06 0.001690 0.001853 0.002029 0.002233 0.002464 0.002718 0.003021
2025-04-13 0.001544 0.001733 0.001943 0.002195 0.002490 0.002827 0.003244
2025-04-20 0.001405 0.001606 0.001834 0.002115 0.002453 0.002851 0.003359
2025-04-27 0.001346 0.001564 0.001817 0.002136 0.002531 0.003008 0.003636
2025-05-04 0.001309 0.001545 0.001824 0.002182 0.002636 0.003201 0.003967
2025-05-11 0.001288 0.001540 0.001846 0.002246 0.002766 0.003428 0.004353
2025-05-18 0.001248 0.001511 0.001833 0.002264 0.002835 0.003578 0.004643
2025-05-25 0.001185 0.001449 0.001777 0.002222 0.002820 0.003614 0.004778
2025-06-01 0.001137 0.001404 0.001739 0.002200 0.002830 0.003682 0.004958
2025-06-08 0.001109 0.001382 0.001730 0.002215 0.002890 0.003820 0.005246
2025-06-15 0.001069 0.001342 0.001695 0.002194 0.002898 0.003884 0.005426
2025-06-22 0.001030 0.001307 0.001667 0.002185 0.002929 0.003992 0.005696
2025-06-29 0.000985 0.001261 0.001625 0.002153 0.002926 0.004051 0.005897
2025-07-06 0.000942 0.001215 0.001580 0.002117 0.002912 0.004093 0.006072
2025-07-13 0.000888 0.001153 0.001510 0.002040 0.002836 0.004033 0.006076
2025-07-20 0.000870 0.001140 0.001507 0.002061 0.002905 0.004202 0.006471
2025-07-27 0.000861 0.001138 0.001520 0.002104 0.003012 0.004436 0.006994
2025-08-03 0.000858 0.001144 0.001544 0.002166 0.003149 0.004726 0.007643
2025-08-10 0.000842 0.001131 0.001540 0.002183 0.003216 0.004904 0.008106
2025-08-17 0.000810 0.001094 0.001499 0.002142 0.003187 0.004919 0.008263
2025-08-24 0.000785 0.001067 0.001472 0.002121 0.003188 0.004985 0.008523
2025-08-31 0.000772 0.001056 0.001468 0.002136 0.003250 0.005158 0.009007