Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.001380 0.001469 0.001560 0.001661 0.001771 0.001885 0.002013
2024-10-27 0.001255 0.001377 0.001506 0.001656 0.001823 0.002004 0.002217
2024-11-03 0.001131 0.001269 0.001421 0.001600 0.001807 0.002039 0.002321
2024-11-10 0.001073 0.001228 0.001402 0.001614 0.001865 0.002153 0.002514
2024-11-17 0.001008 0.001174 0.001364 0.001599 0.001883 0.002219 0.002649
2024-11-24 0.000970 0.001147 0.001353 0.001613 0.001935 0.002324 0.002833
2024-12-01 0.000915 0.001095 0.001310 0.001585 0.001931 0.002358 0.002928
2024-12-08 0.000872 0.001057 0.001280 0.001570 0.001942 0.002408 0.003043
2024-12-15 0.000836 0.001025 0.001255 0.001559 0.001956 0.002460 0.003162
2024-12-22 0.000808 0.001001 0.001239 0.001559 0.001981 0.002528 0.003302
2024-12-29 0.000776 0.000971 0.001214 0.001545 0.001988 0.002570 0.003408
2025-01-05 0.000753 0.000951 0.001201 0.001545 0.002012 0.002636 0.003548
2025-01-12 0.000715 0.000911 0.001163 0.001514 0.001998 0.002653 0.003631
2025-01-19 0.000689 0.000888 0.001145 0.001509 0.002018 0.002721 0.003788
2025-01-26 0.000649 0.000843 0.001097 0.001460 0.001974 0.002694 0.003805
2025-02-02 0.000634 0.000831 0.001093 0.001472 0.002018 0.002794 0.004014
2025-02-09 0.000611 0.000808 0.001072 0.001459 0.002023 0.002837 0.004139
2025-02-16 0.000598 0.000798 0.001070 0.001472 0.002066 0.002938 0.004358
2025-02-23 0.000574 0.000771 0.001042 0.001446 0.002052 0.002951 0.004438
2025-03-02 0.000555 0.000751 0.001023 0.001433 0.002055 0.002990 0.004561
2025-03-09 0.000538 0.000734 0.001006 0.001423 0.002062 0.003035 0.004695
2025-03-16 0.000525 0.000721 0.000997 0.001422 0.002083 0.003102 0.004869
2025-03-23 0.000509 0.000704 0.000980 0.001410 0.002084 0.003139 0.004992