Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002022 0.002147 0.002277 0.002421 0.002578 0.002743 0.002930
2025-05-04 0.001879 0.002060 0.002256 0.002484 0.002743 0.003030 0.003373
2025-05-11 0.001792 0.002014 0.002263 0.002562 0.002916 0.003323 0.003831
2025-05-18 0.001696 0.001945 0.002229 0.002583 0.003013 0.003526 0.004190
2025-05-25 0.001582 0.001842 0.002147 0.002534 0.003017 0.003609 0.004401
2025-06-01 0.001497 0.001768 0.002090 0.002508 0.003043 0.003714 0.004639
2025-06-08 0.001445 0.001728 0.002072 0.002526 0.003120 0.003886 0.004970
2025-06-15 0.001379 0.001667 0.002023 0.002501 0.003138 0.003977 0.005196
2025-06-22 0.001324 0.001617 0.001984 0.002484 0.003163 0.004076 0.005437
2025-06-29 0.001271 0.001567 0.001941 0.002460 0.003176 0.004157 0.005653
2025-07-06 0.001218 0.001514 0.001893 0.002424 0.003170 0.004209 0.005827
2025-07-13 0.001156 0.001447 0.001822 0.002354 0.003111 0.004181 0.005878
2025-07-20 0.001130 0.001428 0.001819 0.002383 0.003200 0.004383 0.006313
2025-07-27 0.001113 0.001422 0.001833 0.002436 0.003327 0.004651 0.006878
2025-08-03 0.001104 0.001426 0.001861 0.002509 0.003489 0.004982 0.007578
2025-08-10 0.001079 0.001405 0.001852 0.002529 0.003570 0.005191 0.008091
2025-08-17 0.001033 0.001356 0.001800 0.002481 0.003543 0.005226 0.008303
2025-08-24 0.000998 0.001319 0.001764 0.002456 0.003550 0.005314 0.008617
2025-08-31 0.000978 0.001302 0.001757 0.002473 0.003625 0.005520 0.009165
2025-09-07 0.000947 0.001268 0.001724 0.002448 0.003629 0.005605 0.009493
2025-09-14 0.000920 0.001240 0.001698 0.002432 0.003646 0.005712 0.009871
2025-09-21 0.000893 0.001210 0.001667 0.002409 0.003649 0.005794 0.010207
2025-09-28 0.000864 0.001177 0.001631 0.002374 0.003632 0.005837 0.010466