Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.001346 0.001417 0.001489 0.001569 0.001655 0.001744 0.001844
2025-06-15 0.001221 0.001322 0.001428 0.001550 0.001686 0.001834 0.002008
2025-06-22 0.001137 0.001257 0.001387 0.001541 0.001719 0.001919 0.002163
2025-06-29 0.001068 0.001200 0.001348 0.001527 0.001739 0.001984 0.002292
2025-07-06 0.001009 0.001150 0.001311 0.001509 0.001750 0.002035 0.002404
2025-07-13 0.000948 0.001093 0.001261 0.001472 0.001733 0.002050 0.002467
2025-07-20 0.000917 0.001069 0.001248 0.001477 0.001766 0.002123 0.002606
2025-07-27 0.000891 0.001050 0.001240 0.001486 0.001803 0.002202 0.002756
2025-08-03 0.000873 0.001039 0.001239 0.001504 0.001850 0.002295 0.002926
2025-08-10 0.000847 0.001016 0.001224 0.001501 0.001870 0.002352 0.003051
2025-08-17 0.000809 0.000978 0.001186 0.001468 0.001847 0.002350 0.003092
2025-08-24 0.000780 0.000949 0.001160 0.001448 0.001840 0.002369 0.003162
2025-08-31 0.000761 0.000933 0.001151 0.001453 0.001871 0.002445 0.003325
2025-09-07 0.000735 0.000909 0.001131 0.001441 0.001877 0.002487 0.003442
2025-09-14 0.000714 0.000889 0.001115 0.001435 0.001892 0.002540 0.003578
2025-09-21 0.000691 0.000867 0.001095 0.001423 0.001895 0.002578 0.003691
2025-09-28 0.000669 0.000844 0.001074 0.001407 0.001893 0.002606 0.003791
2025-10-05 0.000642 0.000814 0.001041 0.001373 0.001863 0.002591 0.003819
2025-10-12 0.000630 0.000803 0.001035 0.001377 0.001889 0.002662 0.003992
2025-10-19 0.000620 0.000795 0.001032 0.001386 0.001922 0.002744 0.004189
2025-10-26 0.000612 0.000791 0.001035 0.001402 0.001966 0.002846 0.004429
2025-11-02 0.000600 0.000779 0.001025 0.001400 0.001982 0.002903 0.004591
2025-11-09 0.000579 0.000755 0.000997 0.001369 0.001952 0.002884 0.004615