Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001176 0.001236 0.001297 0.001364 0.001436 0.001511 0.001595
2025-07-13 0.001057 0.001141 0.001230 0.001331 0.001444 0.001565 0.001707
2025-07-20 0.000993 0.001095 0.001205 0.001335 0.001484 0.001650 0.001851
2025-07-27 0.000947 0.001062 0.001190 0.001344 0.001525 0.001733 0.001993
2025-08-03 0.000913 0.001039 0.001183 0.001359 0.001572 0.001822 0.002143
2025-08-10 0.000876 0.001009 0.001164 0.001357 0.001595 0.001882 0.002260
2025-08-17 0.000828 0.000964 0.001124 0.001327 0.001582 0.001895 0.002314
2025-08-24 0.000792 0.000931 0.001096 0.001309 0.001581 0.001920 0.002386
2025-08-31 0.000768 0.000911 0.001084 0.001310 0.001602 0.001974 0.002495
2025-09-07 0.000739 0.000884 0.001061 0.001295 0.001602 0.001999 0.002565
2025-09-14 0.000715 0.000861 0.001042 0.001284 0.001606 0.002029 0.002642
2025-09-21 0.000692 0.000840 0.001024 0.001273 0.001608 0.002056 0.002716
2025-09-28 0.000667 0.000816 0.001002 0.001258 0.001609 0.002083 0.002797
2025-10-05 0.000636 0.000784 0.000970 0.001229 0.001587 0.002080 0.002834
2025-10-12 0.000622 0.000772 0.000963 0.001233 0.001612 0.002141 0.002969
2025-10-19 0.000609 0.000762 0.000960 0.001241 0.001641 0.002211 0.003120
2025-10-26 0.000600 0.000756 0.000961 0.001254 0.001680 0.002295 0.003299
2025-11-02 0.000586 0.000743 0.000951 0.001253 0.001695 0.002346 0.003428
2025-11-09 0.000564 0.000719 0.000924 0.001226 0.001672 0.002337 0.003458
2025-11-16 0.000546 0.000700 0.000906 0.001210 0.001665 0.002350 0.003526
2025-11-23 0.000535 0.000690 0.000899 0.001210 0.001682 0.002402 0.003661
2025-11-30 0.000521 0.000674 0.000883 0.001197 0.001677 0.002419 0.003737
2025-12-07 0.000508 0.000660 0.000869 0.001187 0.001677 0.002443 0.003826