Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.001493 0.001585 0.001679 0.001783 0.001896 0.002014 0.002147
2025-03-02 0.001323 0.001447 0.001580 0.001733 0.001905 0.002093 0.002315
2025-03-09 0.001211 0.001355 0.001513 0.001701 0.001920 0.002167 0.002469
2025-03-16 0.001139 0.001299 0.001479 0.001698 0.001960 0.002264 0.002647
2025-03-23 0.001073 0.001242 0.001437 0.001680 0.001976 0.002329 0.002786
2025-03-30 0.001022 0.001200 0.001409 0.001673 0.002002 0.002404 0.002937
2025-04-06 0.000970 0.001153 0.001370 0.001650 0.002005 0.002447 0.003047
2025-04-13 0.000922 0.001107 0.001331 0.001623 0.002001 0.002479 0.003142
2025-04-20 0.000865 0.001048 0.001272 0.001568 0.001956 0.002455 0.003158
2025-04-27 0.000845 0.001034 0.001268 0.001582 0.002001 0.002549 0.003338
2025-05-04 0.000834 0.001031 0.001278 0.001614 0.002069 0.002676 0.003567
2025-05-11 0.000829 0.001035 0.001296 0.001657 0.002153 0.002828 0.003840
2025-05-18 0.000799 0.001008 0.001275 0.001650 0.002174 0.002899 0.004011
2025-05-25 0.000758 0.000964 0.001230 0.001609 0.002146 0.002900 0.004079
2025-06-01 0.000725 0.000929 0.001196 0.001581 0.002134 0.002924 0.004183
2025-06-08 0.000703 0.000909 0.001181 0.001578 0.002158 0.002999 0.004368
2025-06-15 0.000678 0.000883 0.001157 0.001562 0.002160 0.003042 0.004504
2025-06-22 0.000658 0.000864 0.001141 0.001555 0.002176 0.003106 0.004678
2025-06-29 0.000635 0.000838 0.001116 0.001534 0.002169 0.003134 0.004791
2025-07-06 0.000612 0.000813 0.001090 0.001510 0.002155 0.003150 0.004886
2025-07-13 0.000582 0.000777 0.001046 0.001459 0.002099 0.003094 0.004856
2025-07-20 0.000573 0.000770 0.001046 0.001473 0.002143 0.003201 0.005112
2025-07-27 0.000569 0.000771 0.001055 0.001502 0.002211 0.003353 0.005457