Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 2.868948 3.016234 3.171041 3.346588 3.541010 3.750778 3.995625
2025-07-13 2.716543 2.930974 3.167809 3.451597 3.786315 4.173754 4.664249
2025-07-20 2.564497 2.823279 3.120586 3.493545 3.958323 4.532526 5.320621
2025-07-27 2.492469 2.796432 3.159068 3.635230 4.263717 5.098216 6.359451
2025-08-03 2.405024 2.740351 3.153135 3.716886 4.500552 5.615330 7.477406
2025-08-10 2.282190 2.628816 3.065145 3.678510 4.565490 5.898943 8.327931
2025-08-17 2.136568 2.477515 2.912659 3.535598 4.459753 5.901703 8.696145
2025-08-24 2.030493 2.370120 2.809601 3.450484 4.426808 6.011937 9.306276
2025-08-31 1.959166 2.303352 2.755516 3.428607 4.485456 6.283750 10.364707
2025-09-07 1.877715 2.218471 2.670812 3.353924 4.449893 6.380415 11.075040
2025-09-14 1.801901 2.137381 2.586506 3.272830 4.393970 6.428278 11.694341
2025-09-21 1.731630 2.060691 2.504280 3.188793 4.323945 6.436559 12.220591
2025-09-28 1.666154 1.992685 2.437601 3.134714 4.318745 6.615318 13.545083
2025-10-05 1.647417 1.988239 2.461840 3.225346 4.583130 7.445942 18.246738
2025-10-12 1.613808 1.961414 2.451912 3.260858 4.755083 8.145345 24.357392
2025-10-19 1.604817 1.968683 2.492752 3.384308 5.121955 9.530420 43.745779
2025-10-26 1.582833 1.955947 2.502147 3.455092 5.398650 10.863869 99.867691
2025-11-02 1.538521 1.908524 2.454872 3.421136 5.442139 11.482423 246.241984
2025-11-09 1.476988 1.833499 2.360768 3.295662 5.260383 11.202529 317.978236
2025-11-16 1.430288 1.778857 2.296559 3.220683 5.187545 11.330550 1599.859968
2025-11-23 1.398543 1.745204 2.263981 3.201325 5.243178 12.022332 NaN
2025-11-30 1.358974 1.698536 2.208531 3.135413 5.177512 12.170974 NaN
2025-12-07 1.320368 1.652172 2.151809 3.063700 5.089393 12.188131 NaN