Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 3.219627 3.399637 3.590606 3.809378 4.054463 4.322232 4.639240
2025-09-07 2.904353 3.143192 3.408980 3.730264 4.113205 4.561965 5.138741
2025-09-14 2.667878 2.937952 3.249041 3.640584 4.130649 4.739517 5.581651
2025-09-21 2.479764 2.766207 3.104812 3.544550 4.117044 4.864270 5.967946
2025-09-28 2.373247 2.679630 3.050847 3.547935 4.221373 5.147275 6.619200
2025-10-05 2.356190 2.697968 3.124244 3.716618 4.560302 5.802767 7.995815
2025-10-12 2.291497 2.649995 3.106478 3.758339 4.722805 6.223577 9.124933
2025-10-19 2.230799 2.601964 3.083194 3.787296 4.866207 6.636352 10.397309
2025-10-26 2.200150 2.590188 3.106020 3.881612 5.119259 7.284647 12.500044
2025-11-02 2.139640 2.534625 3.064020 3.875038 5.206803 7.650155 14.164806
2025-11-09 2.046013 2.429883 2.947219 3.745964 5.073575 7.560179 14.509570
2025-11-16 1.971249 2.347818 2.858484 3.653966 4.994757 7.567691 15.184881
2025-11-23 1.911234 2.288750 2.806807 3.627729 5.049771 7.915400 17.530901
2025-11-30 1.841289 2.213576 2.728829 3.555535 5.016952 8.074662 19.479832
2025-12-07 1.773597 2.138944 2.648122 3.473505 4.957566 8.164664 21.373455
2025-12-14 1.709152 2.066419 2.567111 3.385474 4.877431 8.189847 23.110625
2025-12-21 1.673817 2.033405 2.542732 3.388587 4.973125 8.689012 29.238356
2025-12-28 1.679286 2.058239 2.605762 3.543119 5.395572 10.271271 59.567298
2026-01-04 1.655739 2.039985 2.601726 3.581259 5.583005 11.279930 129.417715
2026-01-11 1.631023 2.018854 2.591821 3.607710 5.749447 12.335368 1367.398750
2026-01-18 1.620707 2.018296 2.613888 3.693756 6.070588 14.276327 NaN
2026-01-25 1.591663 1.988651 2.587853 3.687764 6.168651 15.363219 NaN
2026-02-01 1.541399 1.925705 2.505665 3.569952 5.969120 14.845718 NaN