Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.107276 4.400193 4.719454 5.096326 5.533168 6.028894 6.641938
2025-05-25 3.624454 3.995730 4.423716 4.962797 5.638028 6.477529 7.639334
2025-06-01 3.314281 3.736247 4.244935 4.921641 5.830219 7.064054 8.989494
2025-06-08 3.085443 3.543157 4.116222 4.916282 6.062523 7.763589 10.799829
2025-06-15 2.920133 3.408778 4.041863 4.966798 6.380099 8.686362 13.528068
2025-06-22 2.718076 3.206604 3.853852 4.828921 6.388128 9.121598 15.713067
2025-06-29 2.524028 2.998824 3.637464 4.620180 6.243427 9.246488 17.373183
2025-07-06 2.389766 2.861179 3.505848 4.521556 6.262855 9.699542 20.555038
2025-07-13 2.353638 2.853726 3.556702 4.709919 6.822390 11.543178 33.057050
2025-07-20 2.290060 2.802415 3.537487 4.781126 7.183415 13.171724 56.040392
2025-07-27 2.278306 2.823022 3.626649 5.046714 8.015006 16.895189 398.163683
2025-08-03 2.246624 2.811592 3.664133 5.226393 8.728627 21.370736 NaN
2025-08-10 2.167205 2.733188 3.602502 5.242794 9.144691 26.095047 NaN
2025-08-17 2.051367 2.593914 3.432316 5.030526 8.914557 27.089546 NaN
2025-08-24 1.967445 2.499065 3.329243 4.940254 9.008045 31.021949 NaN
2025-08-31 1.899829 2.425518 3.256273 4.901919 9.251172 38.001713 NaN
2025-09-07 1.848695 2.374501 3.217308 4.929004 9.721371 53.039747 NaN
2025-09-14 1.773905 2.282628 3.101603 4.777832 9.558349 58.307938 NaN
2025-09-21 1.694707 2.180618 2.962785 4.563369 9.126036 55.506426 NaN
2025-09-28 1.637961 2.111866 2.878374 4.460467 9.065324 63.575062 NaN
2025-10-05 1.626783 2.114564 2.918967 4.639181 10.115738 199.254770 NaN
2025-10-12 1.600002 2.090713 2.910264 4.704919 10.794945 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 1.598427 2.107409 2.976173 4.959841 12.559288 NaN NaN