Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 3.297930 3.489414 3.693348 3.927975 4.192091 4.482185 4.827690
2025-06-15 3.016896 3.273637 3.560830 3.910070 4.329298 4.824683 5.467878
2025-06-22 2.750839 3.037801 3.370190 3.791338 4.322830 4.989918 5.924880
2025-06-29 2.520834 2.819665 3.174852 3.639237 4.249052 5.053845 6.260821
2025-07-06 2.364584 2.675285 3.053294 3.562125 4.256252 5.219468 6.771609
2025-07-13 2.311833 2.651748 3.077210 3.671191 4.522576 5.787756 8.053375
2025-07-20 2.238827 2.595897 3.053063 3.710695 4.693911 6.247788 9.333687
2025-07-27 2.216627 2.602436 3.109663 3.866075 5.058270 7.102837 11.831969
2025-08-03 2.174034 2.578103 3.120892 3.955062 5.331556 7.877919 14.794106
2025-08-10 2.094608 2.498845 3.048964 3.910237 5.373549 8.221279 16.948273
2025-08-17 1.988047 2.377178 2.909404 3.748713 5.191299 8.057358 17.317600
2025-08-24 1.909402 2.290544 2.815548 3.652035 5.113908 8.107881 18.609564
2025-08-31 1.842033 2.222543 2.753384 3.615146 5.168376 8.540537 22.635216
2025-09-07 1.790880 2.174998 2.718691 3.620657 5.307165 9.246833 30.686495
2025-09-14 1.718987 2.094895 2.631072 3.531003 5.248068 9.432107 36.798908
2025-09-21 1.643525 2.006738 2.527011 3.405935 5.102145 9.337695 40.614283
2025-09-28 1.588871 1.946314 2.462064 3.343173 5.077854 9.604258 52.776141
2025-10-05 1.576961 1.946824 2.489963 3.443756 5.418498 11.219767 209.109320
2025-10-12 1.551361 1.925943 2.483049 3.481434 5.629609 12.596885 NaN
2025-10-19 1.548525 1.938308 2.529088 3.620972 6.117691 15.762023 NaN
2025-10-26 1.533276 1.931142 2.542894 3.700946 6.483072 19.133324 NaN
2025-11-02 1.496674 1.889984 2.498438 3.662209 6.520082 20.598598 NaN
2025-11-09 1.442978 1.821064 2.405128 3.519547 6.242078 19.395997 NaN