Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.651245 2.783901 2.923015 3.080380 3.254192 3.441174 3.658713
2025-11-09 2.378607 2.553452 2.744714 2.971407 3.235406 3.536574 3.911321
2025-11-16 2.185517 2.385221 2.610800 2.888196 3.225614 3.630517 4.166197
2025-11-23 2.067777 2.289239 2.546554 2.873725 3.288310 3.811134 4.548137
2025-11-30 1.979568 2.218712 2.503488 2.876570 3.367587 4.017162 4.993967
2025-12-07 1.883408 2.130512 2.430305 2.832286 3.377583 4.128136 5.322146
2025-12-14 1.777210 2.022908 2.324790 2.736107 3.306088 4.113488 5.453721
2025-12-21 1.739467 1.997737 2.320945 2.771853 3.417118 4.372927 6.073241
2025-12-28 1.705758 1.975021 2.317708 2.806479 3.527857 4.645009 6.782960
2026-01-04 1.627022 1.890301 2.227766 2.713670 3.440535 4.588824 6.862760
2026-01-11 1.589491 1.857367 2.204890 2.713461 3.492259 4.766945 7.455959
2026-01-18 1.574629 1.853149 2.219948 2.767854 3.632659 5.116686 8.541735
2026-01-25 1.531590 1.814226 2.191608 2.766215 3.699770 5.378785 9.645113
2026-02-01 1.465382 1.741894 2.113877 2.686259 3.631389 5.377927 10.086259
2026-02-08 1.408778 1.680618 2.049135 2.622402 3.585220 5.416948 10.695989
2026-02-15 1.373011 1.646384 2.021106 2.613360 3.633450 5.662223 12.185651
2026-02-22 1.343789 1.619830 2.002541 2.617528 3.705569 5.978276 14.330208
2026-03-01 1.305374 1.578856 1.960824 2.581311 3.698886 6.113520 15.933078
2026-03-08 1.257270 1.522644 1.894340 2.500675 3.600407 6.008635 16.229891
2026-03-15 1.242180 1.512432 1.895426 2.531232 3.719056 6.477332 20.870745
2026-03-22 1.227696 1.502379 1.896024 2.560665 3.839240 6.994499 28.346936
2026-03-29 1.187041 1.453436 1.835675 2.482273 3.730247 6.831753 28.548338
2026-04-05 1.167906 1.434975 1.821143 2.482157 3.784927 7.173774 37.592141