Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 1.013997 1.080769 1.150024 1.227312 1.311266 1.399824 1.500461
2026-04-12 0.894530 0.989849 1.093497 1.214986 1.354001 1.508714 1.694767
2026-04-19 0.797343 0.908247 1.033372 1.185865 1.367864 1.579578 1.846637
2026-04-26 0.708060 0.824931 0.960652 1.131265 1.341928 1.596042 1.929624
2026-05-03 0.642361 0.762625 0.905718 1.090407 1.325226 1.617595 2.015212
2026-05-10 0.599447 0.723816 0.875068 1.075041 1.336243 1.671217 2.142272
2026-05-17 0.576558 0.707525 0.870190 1.090325 1.385570 1.775460 2.342490
2026-05-24 0.544946 0.677787 0.845706 1.077461 1.395363 1.825887 2.470620
2026-05-31 0.507949 0.638809 0.806645 1.042110 1.371260 1.826636 2.525910
2026-06-07 0.488234 0.621251 0.794506 1.041861 1.394738 1.894389 2.683073
2026-06-14 0.472751 0.608342 0.787588 1.047868 1.426628 1.975312 2.865460
2026-06-21 0.453997 0.589976 0.772091 1.040524 1.438108 2.025983 3.003715
2026-06-28 0.438129 0.576026 0.763591 1.045059 1.470927 2.116522 3.223607
2026-07-05 0.420990 0.559662 0.751090 1.043349 1.494778 2.196028 3.435557
2026-07-12 0.399309 0.535870 0.726782 1.022603 1.487781 2.225961 3.566177
2026-07-19 0.372468 0.503514 0.688518 0.978517 1.440989 2.187351 3.571699
2026-07-26 0.350635 0.477453 0.658248 0.944948 1.408671 2.169947 3.613150
2026-08-02 0.336173 0.461493 0.642119 0.932309 1.409257 2.207654 3.759795
2026-08-09 0.329514 0.456666 0.642300 0.945156 1.452476 2.321758 4.063938
2026-08-16 0.317265 0.442964 0.628332 0.934441 1.455005 2.363769 4.230448
2026-08-23 0.301122 0.422788 0.603579 0.904892 1.423235 2.341191 4.263064
2026-08-30 0.293059 0.414554 0.596939 0.904688 1.442403 2.413388 4.500141
2026-09-06 0.286692 0.408640 0.593616 0.909717 1.470946 2.505098 4.789427