Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 3.528168 3.748529 3.984672 4.258185 4.568381 4.911864 5.324692
2025-05-04 3.324479 3.644987 4.009892 4.462737 5.019609 5.696514 6.606408
2025-05-11 3.113574 3.499128 3.960061 4.566742 5.369802 6.439755 8.063935
2025-05-18 2.901925 3.324784 3.850406 4.577104 5.603821 7.096773 9.674073
2025-05-25 2.670654 3.100980 3.650774 4.438695 5.608883 7.436447 10.979854
2025-06-01 2.509408 2.950433 3.528775 4.387239 5.728680 7.991919 13.035496
2025-06-08 2.379130 2.828263 3.431094 4.355231 5.871150 8.637679 15.869808
2025-06-15 2.285247 2.746314 3.379680 4.383233 6.116918 9.577142 20.749584
2025-06-22 2.167583 2.622773 3.257351 4.284651 6.122313 10.032618 25.100045
2025-06-29 2.048628 2.489854 3.110917 4.130752 5.998720 10.158007 28.643087
2025-07-06 1.959399 2.393509 3.011355 4.042857 5.986038 10.562535 35.485810
2025-07-13 1.934938 2.387158 3.044973 4.180439 6.448367 12.504053 74.908686
2025-07-20 1.891465 2.356074 3.046549 4.279186 6.898560 15.009402 767.940335
2025-07-27 1.860306 2.341396 3.073269 4.430136 7.533085 19.288334 NaN
2025-08-03 1.813025 2.299699 3.053320 4.492310 7.987836 24.074868 NaN
2025-08-10 1.754883 2.238123 2.995869 4.473862 8.231056 28.724688 NaN
2025-08-17 1.678559 2.144809 2.879100 4.322063 8.050568 29.803216 NaN
2025-08-24 1.623246 2.081526 2.809248 4.259890 8.129666 34.184540 NaN
2025-08-31 1.575914 2.028409 2.753235 4.220356 8.273520 40.937236 NaN
2025-09-07 1.541404 1.993681 2.726481 4.240166 8.627887 56.414209 NaN
2025-09-14 1.491715 1.932721 2.650148 4.142864 8.546723 63.317814 NaN
2025-09-21 1.437584 1.862800 2.554724 3.995075 8.249487 61.666428 NaN
2025-09-28 1.395874 1.811334 2.489660 3.910321 8.169946 68.895606 NaN