Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 3.246640 3.436180 3.638065 3.870355 4.131857 4.419092 4.761191
2025-08-10 2.914490 3.162335 3.439348 3.775868 4.179310 4.655283 5.272003
2025-08-17 2.607196 2.875616 3.185489 3.576500 4.067394 4.679488 5.529876
2025-08-24 2.399442 2.682024 3.017086 3.453801 4.024905 4.774431 5.889582
2025-08-31 2.271938 2.571488 2.935811 3.425934 4.093877 5.019250 6.506181
2025-09-07 2.131751 2.433846 2.807867 3.322597 4.045799 5.090327 6.877454
2025-09-14 2.013646 2.315460 2.694691 3.226688 3.994110 5.144461 7.232077
2025-09-21 1.912689 2.212535 2.594007 3.137992 3.940968 5.185472 7.572809
2025-09-28 1.866415 2.176771 2.578470 3.164669 4.059096 5.516013 8.566788
2025-10-05 1.871875 2.207963 2.653534 3.325535 4.402279 6.297116 10.907192
2025-10-12 1.829500 2.172495 2.633810 3.343739 4.517012 6.690891 12.602440
2025-10-19 1.796619 2.147795 2.627003 3.379876 4.665275 7.185528 15.030234
2025-10-26 1.760214 2.122962 2.627600 3.443018 4.900200 8.007395 20.213573
2025-11-02 1.695753 2.056365 2.564064 3.399126 4.936439 8.409806 24.930379
2025-11-09 1.609167 1.955075 2.444118 3.253571 4.759780 8.236888 26.146470
2025-11-16 1.542972 1.880162 2.359989 3.162029 4.679876 8.307713 29.822373
2025-11-23 1.500877 1.837748 2.322318 3.145726 4.749617 8.826783 41.482999
2025-11-30 1.445499 1.773931 2.248745 3.061866 4.667789 8.877339 49.410917
2025-12-07 1.394878 1.715157 2.180218 2.982067 4.585237 8.905994 59.528409
2025-12-14 1.348639 1.661170 2.116745 2.907012 4.504519 8.921383 73.087762
2025-12-21 1.328302 1.644134 2.109622 2.931218 4.646247 9.770663 238.806224
2025-12-28 1.334164 1.665624 2.163773 3.071035 5.082415 12.135829 NaN
2026-01-04 1.313570 1.646721 2.152188 3.087213 5.225362 13.439822 NaN