Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 10.590607 11.709755 12.910293 14.296099 15.854359 17.555437 19.557125
2025-10-19 8.880678 10.418389 12.182952 14.366630 17.008715 20.117469 24.074886
2025-10-26 7.537496 9.294215 11.428605 14.233197 17.851444 22.402786 28.625485
2025-11-02 6.496760 8.360722 10.740001 14.035126 18.535855 24.549052 33.327824
2025-11-09 5.674293 7.578197 10.115494 13.796658 19.088291 26.555870 38.137912
2025-11-16 5.040504 6.956280 9.609186 13.622428 19.666000 28.635732 43.357183
2025-11-23 4.550850 6.468754 9.218338 13.539847 20.333146 30.901765 49.201850
2025-11-30 4.245051 6.205365 9.110133 13.846377 21.608568 34.255846 57.353797
2025-12-07 3.886270 5.820532 8.770387 13.737970 22.185967 36.532788 64.032762
2025-12-14 3.531900 5.404552 8.334332 13.412633 22.341676 38.087877 69.643894
2025-12-21 3.277249 5.119766 8.074551 13.342392 22.913033 40.432969 77.144742
2025-12-28 3.150256 5.027875 8.117234 13.789497 24.456736 44.775204 89.442777
2026-01-04 3.016182 4.916097 8.122179 14.183186 25.981797 49.374548 103.382962
2026-01-11 2.841837 4.720032 7.962411 14.256427 26.901000 52.914476 115.780330
2026-01-18 2.654446 4.484772 7.710614 14.126118 27.394852 55.646174 126.914572
2026-01-25 2.476942 4.251998 7.441524 13.930883 27.726406 58.076717 137.871224
2026-02-01 2.311621 4.027713 7.167745 13.695093 27.938156 60.269288 148.733267
2026-02-08 2.169929 3.835687 6.937758 13.522710 28.264070 62.777624 161.051196
2026-02-15 2.051742 3.678456 6.760811 13.441043 28.781903 65.831013 175.668281
2026-02-22 1.986252 3.616472 6.764673 13.745153 30.234596 71.460562 199.369940
2026-03-01 1.882300 3.471595 6.589837 13.637730 30.688385 74.592505 216.246814
2026-03-08 1.765362 3.292660 6.331091 13.315143 30.570774 76.180819 228.589766
2026-03-15 1.682014 3.175029 6.189658 13.245512 31.079597 79.579265 247.998660