Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 13.295238 14.928675 16.699891 18.765705 21.112151 23.698154 26.769121
2025-04-06 10.532026 12.674332 15.177248 18.327553 22.201120 26.826538 32.795376
2025-04-13 8.662976 11.052221 14.025883 18.021550 23.284536 30.027297 39.396043
2025-04-20 7.586249 10.188186 13.612513 18.490062 25.325542 34.662296 48.549450
2025-04-27 6.787920 9.538720 13.342785 19.051707 27.513165 39.766102 59.171419
2025-05-04 6.066808 8.873288 12.928477 19.304958 29.244783 44.422783 69.885634
2025-05-11 5.329510 8.072648 12.192108 18.942713 29.949636 47.577292 78.734343
2025-05-18 4.739598 7.410914 11.565871 18.637335 30.655805 50.774704 88.117444
2025-05-25 4.255898 6.851284 11.020589 18.369348 31.350698 54.001431 98.030036
2025-06-01 3.871311 6.403698 10.596438 18.233832 32.226540 57.624101 109.225219
2025-06-08 3.556109 6.034057 10.254797 18.186304 33.230928 61.587221 121.707571
2025-06-15 3.386140 5.893523 10.287414 18.806853 35.543481 68.321653 140.915818
2025-06-22 3.137883 5.595021 10.019045 18.858140 36.819420 73.326975 157.696049
2025-06-29 2.855634 5.205410 9.542354 18.450004 37.124971 76.416513 170.909382
2025-07-06 2.621177 4.880400 9.150938 18.159469 37.627805 79.992729 185.943780
2025-07-13 2.500255 4.759823 9.139452 18.642000 39.849276 87.685974 212.451500
2025-07-20 2.398823 4.666329 9.169956 19.214482 42.351338 96.425947 243.476801
2025-07-27 2.274576 4.513835 9.063183 19.473365 44.172302 103.856705 272.709111
2025-08-03 2.104714 4.250692 8.698353 19.109474 44.468213 107.599645 292.659404
2025-08-10 1.956279 4.018423 8.375595 18.802151 44.857258 111.641614 314.374461
2025-08-17 1.824742 3.810043 8.083873 18.532123 45.301140 115.901502 337.720097
2025-08-24 1.715185 3.639486 7.859045 18.395598 46.069154 121.165153 365.403950
2025-08-31 1.621298 3.495127 7.679148 18.347774 47.065414 127.235206 397.144471