Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 12.001204 13.365333 14.836474 16.543434 18.472621 20.588910 23.091052
2025-07-27 10.159460 12.056528 14.251950 16.990866 20.330740 24.289237 29.363139
2025-08-03 8.557835 10.724567 13.389552 16.932429 21.554603 27.428992 35.537826
2025-08-10 7.290503 9.583263 12.558895 16.745895 22.552802 30.420850 42.057841
2025-08-17 6.290928 8.626087 11.805084 16.512776 23.415514 33.336806 48.988717
2025-08-24 5.523861 7.866766 11.196746 16.363097 24.336729 36.444615 56.745777
2025-08-31 4.931150 7.268418 10.723561 16.319018 25.376534 39.859294 65.591866
2025-09-07 4.546560 6.922604 10.568401 16.719845 27.146181 44.678629 77.664287
2025-09-14 4.112481 6.443086 10.138865 16.606791 28.032343 48.143100 88.019876
2025-09-21 3.697322 5.942781 9.610556 16.245612 28.417372 50.762204 97.288776
2025-09-28 3.381970 5.569326 9.244236 16.106407 29.161663 54.129298 108.674877
2025-10-05 3.217471 5.431236 9.259392 16.645453 31.239329 60.371866 127.335829
2025-10-12 3.056289 5.287039 9.256661 17.170284 33.413907 67.282436 149.303874
2025-10-19 2.870483 5.078926 9.114334 17.407779 35.050259 73.380925 170.955665
2025-10-26 2.648777 4.781763 8.772616 17.202025 35.722916 77.500679 188.849040
2025-11-02 2.442779 4.493545 8.416697 16.919826 36.184933 81.228813 206.723776
2025-11-09 2.257728 4.227602 8.076180 16.625509 36.573741 84.858699 225.320874
2025-11-16 2.102671 4.005805 7.801011 16.437365 37.180989 89.144926 246.981620
2025-11-23 1.974263 3.825322 7.591783 16.369051 38.066374 94.316948 272.781665
2025-11-30 1.897904 3.743959 7.581626 16.755319 40.145427 103.081545 312.501396
2025-12-07 1.784980 3.575657 7.367258 16.631780 40.895623 108.335332 342.356929
2025-12-14 1.662857 3.377089 7.067172 16.263553 40.941029 111.587482 366.369217
2025-12-21 1.568402 3.230168 6.868075 16.120051 41.576041 116.718500 398.854494