Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 11.182565 12.518611 13.963399 15.643918 17.547477 19.639695 22.117496
2025-05-04 9.229708 11.081479 13.241411 15.955832 19.288567 23.262879 28.385202
2025-05-11 7.630192 9.700336 12.269980 15.714093 20.239734 26.025171 34.047571
2025-05-18 6.482804 8.647855 11.480418 15.491614 21.080311 28.671144 39.898650
2025-05-25 5.621737 7.815807 10.819644 15.282161 21.827962 31.209619 45.912013
2025-06-01 4.978493 7.178389 10.313620 15.174660 22.642458 33.879486 52.446057
2025-06-08 4.478917 6.672713 9.914377 15.139011 23.511529 36.686942 59.551597
2025-06-15 4.188962 6.436156 9.872295 15.618548 25.207287 40.963151 69.644133
2025-06-22 3.814261 6.021394 9.499593 15.509662 25.907322 43.668465 77.428346
2025-06-29 3.442927 5.569379 9.012905 15.142422 26.101906 45.501630 83.879884
2025-07-06 3.151967 5.217314 8.649058 14.932395 26.525890 47.761811 91.427356
2025-07-13 3.004577 5.090552 8.648331 15.352720 28.128701 52.370608 104.257145
2025-07-20 2.867777 4.974480 8.663988 15.823437 29.924494 57.669471 119.574174
2025-07-27 2.704009 4.794909 8.548870 16.037643 31.256275 62.254270 134.232770
2025-08-03 2.488669 4.500703 8.194263 15.747943 31.538431 64.727025 144.652927
2025-08-10 2.302109 4.242480 7.881308 15.503483 31.879083 67.364987 155.927423
2025-08-17 2.137754 4.011231 7.597226 15.283955 32.240791 70.092599 167.910730
2025-08-24 2.001507 3.822102 7.377179 15.171838 32.820180 73.388203 181.924245
2025-08-31 1.885684 3.662961 7.201691 15.134044 33.559375 77.157550 197.885583
2025-09-07 1.830059 3.620173 7.259307 15.612366 35.556178 84.247563 224.222607
2025-09-14 1.724150 3.464329 7.065735 15.503042 36.134115 87.894513 241.651451
2025-09-21 1.604911 3.270572 6.773999 15.135752 36.031498 89.780019 254.334488
2025-09-28 1.509001 3.118651 6.559384 14.925723 36.294512 92.659744 270.584856