Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 9.918050 10.970330 12.099010 13.401648 14.866052 16.464208 18.344112
2025-09-28 8.171176 9.588341 11.213554 13.223198 15.652328 18.507197 22.136382
2025-10-05 7.184984 8.874746 10.929310 13.630480 17.116436 21.501680 27.495980
2025-10-12 6.407275 8.276968 10.670424 13.994199 18.545760 24.640995 33.558105
2025-10-19 5.684443 7.634385 10.245325 14.050909 19.546519 27.335848 39.467899
2025-10-26 5.044767 7.009598 9.746518 13.911135 20.219459 29.635033 45.173727
2025-11-02 4.507550 6.455151 9.265471 13.710940 20.744140 31.753625 50.931731
2025-11-09 4.053753 5.964642 8.811021 13.475171 21.154969 33.719377 56.745635
2025-11-16 3.687179 5.561605 8.436540 13.304230 21.624433 35.816785 63.120524
2025-11-23 3.393279 5.237885 8.145458 13.222475 22.213915 38.177002 70.366871
2025-11-30 3.213791 5.075703 8.091446 13.522558 23.492241 41.928797 80.955417
2025-12-07 2.978806 4.798695 7.816800 13.401003 23.980741 44.267592 89.125410
2025-12-14 2.735476 4.490502 7.467354 13.119990 24.161615 46.095608 96.724469
2025-12-21 2.546424 4.258352 7.227399 13.012369 24.663066 48.646137 106.480655
2025-12-28 2.457043 4.192231 7.275267 13.454132 26.324321 53.887650 123.706120
2026-01-04 2.366275 4.114804 7.293685 13.838662 27.920705 59.261644 142.578749
2026-01-11 2.243117 3.966815 7.165107 13.910579 28.853721 63.291912 158.991800
2026-01-18 2.107387 3.783712 6.951956 13.781921 29.321375 66.303672 173.401194
2026-01-25 1.976999 3.600161 6.721269 13.589510 29.615337 68.940644 187.430406
2026-02-01 1.854274 3.421836 6.485368 13.359475 29.788735 71.303637 201.279788
2026-02-08 1.748483 3.268767 6.287525 13.192207 30.091155 74.057993 217.116880
2026-02-15 1.659793 3.143183 6.135632 13.112439 30.600143 77.461834 236.052514
2026-02-22 1.612188 3.097227 6.146487 13.410428 32.115644 83.953316 267.495771