Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 7.088031 7.806036 8.572220 9.451841 10.435252 11.502479 12.750542
2025-11-09 5.817043 6.790494 7.899829 9.262518 10.898039 12.806140 15.212849
2025-11-16 4.941676 6.053524 7.391935 9.132897 11.353815 14.113758 17.836720
2025-11-23 4.318431 5.510923 7.015168 9.071201 11.838025 15.474724 20.686763
2025-11-30 3.932983 5.203947 6.875304 9.263857 12.638335 17.308915 24.392519
2025-12-07 3.535880 4.825516 6.583174 9.194136 13.043545 18.621215 27.521751
2025-12-14 3.168767 4.442406 6.233327 8.985934 13.200980 19.564823 30.199748
2025-12-21 2.907753 4.178971 6.018984 8.938537 13.571754 20.845738 33.552982
2025-12-28 2.755363 4.056248 5.992890 9.163020 14.374250 22.880094 38.417130
2026-01-04 2.609986 3.927982 5.941628 9.334592 15.099032 24.859520 43.462984
2026-01-11 2.451060 3.762968 5.814886 9.364699 15.580755 26.469165 48.063130
2026-01-18 2.287600 3.575954 5.634470 9.282610 15.851153 27.724726 52.163876
2026-01-25 2.127082 3.384167 5.435143 9.157334 16.046762 28.897824 56.357778
2026-02-01 1.977729 3.199364 5.232348 9.006332 16.178787 29.969394 60.529926
2026-02-08 1.850253 3.041520 5.062226 8.896752 16.374879 31.187933 65.221186
2026-02-15 1.744291 2.912373 4.931017 8.844989 16.674744 32.649370 70.701178
2026-02-22 1.684400 2.859001 4.929323 9.036460 17.479315 35.261714 79.314993
2026-03-01 1.592848 2.742021 4.802167 8.970838 17.745401 36.748390 85.485215
2026-03-08 1.491017 2.599093 4.615788 8.769432 17.700314 37.535000 90.036254
2026-03-15 1.417908 2.503922 4.511671 8.723876 17.984593 39.104288 96.910571
2026-03-22 1.382423 2.476554 4.534768 8.942533 18.877949 42.223580 108.601456
2026-03-29 1.342924 2.438602 4.533886 9.109575 19.672281 45.215454 120.573534
2026-04-05 1.290796 2.372609 4.472196 9.138937 20.147515 47.476996 130.894604