Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 10.587017 11.761785 13.026058 14.489946 16.140949 17.948354 20.080891
2025-08-10 8.436241 9.985824 11.775744 14.004780 16.718214 19.929098 24.038539
2025-08-17 6.986244 8.713791 10.830186 13.632833 17.275159 21.887062 28.230012
2025-08-24 5.982927 7.800750 10.142291 13.412120 17.911828 23.961660 32.839053
2025-08-31 5.263997 7.132285 9.646343 13.325187 18.652550 26.213320 37.984649
2025-09-07 4.812942 6.751557 9.465861 13.611824 19.906009 29.303177 44.778936
2025-09-14 4.333354 6.263967 9.061813 13.499013 20.522530 31.493725 50.502098
2025-09-21 3.891894 5.776874 8.593303 13.212483 20.804259 33.160703 55.590603
2025-09-28 3.559939 5.415629 8.268270 13.096493 21.318882 35.236146 61.658219
2025-10-05 3.397025 5.296738 8.301823 13.552975 22.825948 39.166867 71.671023
2025-10-12 3.240311 5.169427 8.303551 13.946747 24.259806 43.145354 82.436107
2025-10-19 3.047240 4.962287 8.149154 14.045097 25.162273 46.251398 91.991292
2025-10-26 2.817949 4.678924 7.847169 13.862387 25.550200 48.491422 100.310907
2025-11-02 2.604513 4.404626 7.536107 13.629964 25.816223 50.536390 108.625687
2025-11-09 2.411611 4.149772 7.235979 13.384556 26.024079 52.491204 117.124593
2025-11-16 2.250631 3.938395 6.995258 13.226712 26.388137 54.826674 126.987040
2025-11-23 2.118659 3.768846 6.816410 13.170865 26.956717 57.690648 138.736475
2025-11-30 2.041759 3.695311 6.812423 13.469379 28.329999 62.590089 156.777581
2025-12-07 1.924909 3.535847 6.626745 13.365803 28.788008 65.401733 169.828899
2025-12-14 1.799324 3.349595 6.371924 13.086391 28.804090 67.136775 180.242341
2025-12-21 1.701935 3.211318 6.201834 12.973643 29.196209 69.868152 194.165520
2025-12-28 1.667105 3.195404 6.281028 13.426378 31.016595 76.586073 221.824785
2026-01-04 1.627714 3.166889 6.330871 13.816580 32.734980 83.327750 251.343574