Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 11.651647 13.068595 14.665376 16.613718 18.948323 21.683680 25.172942
2025-05-04 9.507809 11.218584 13.295210 16.049667 19.683599 24.430071 31.307381
2025-05-11 8.616713 10.533766 12.987400 16.450176 21.373830 28.405171 39.798520
2025-05-18 7.769236 9.740418 12.361824 16.236346 22.073323 31.030707 46.998087
2025-05-25 7.120259 9.111869 11.845227 16.045597 22.698699 33.590651 54.839618
2025-06-01 6.633051 8.642155 11.477367 15.989927 23.476721 36.515732 64.365526
2025-06-08 6.132129 8.100536 10.938913 15.583336 23.582397 38.248132 72.138618
2025-06-15 5.799718 7.769550 10.673387 15.563587 24.326435 41.318410 84.273923
2025-06-22 5.360161 7.245314 10.064062 14.900773 23.798492 41.721461 90.003596
2025-06-29 4.957525 6.749303 9.459198 14.180403 23.055194 41.510725 94.032737
2025-07-06 4.650916 6.379812 9.026321 13.712394 22.728483 42.144385 100.938028
2025-07-13 4.749160 6.636024 9.611544 15.098407 26.303037 52.768244 148.213386
2025-07-20 4.633905 6.558360 9.656904 15.538181 28.083052 59.879303 192.462062
2025-07-27 4.360971 6.212088 9.224183 15.026918 27.689420 61.024420 212.034848
2025-08-03 4.258004 6.133850 9.242941 15.391600 29.368615 68.830813 279.260298
2025-08-10 4.075856 5.913723 8.996156 15.196886 29.678708 72.565478 330.374882
2025-08-17 3.911847 5.714366 8.771686 15.023102 30.011789 76.559238 394.337449
2025-08-24 3.778304 5.558718 8.614546 14.972369 30.654368 81.985703 489.750458
2025-08-31 3.610362 5.336088 8.320866 14.601632 30.386256 83.923243 558.459336
2025-09-07 3.501465 5.209233 8.195646 14.583615 31.083244 90.103192 714.262461
2025-09-14 3.323502 4.955220 7.819076 13.978444 30.034928 88.527271 748.292849
2025-09-21 3.148738 4.700622 7.430191 13.319602 28.755995 85.602061 752.511802
2025-09-28 3.012743 4.508977 7.151886 12.890926 28.097837 85.338558 814.235337