Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 14.349211 16.226984 18.347762 20.938809 24.044123 27.678307 32.301058
2025-07-20 12.191598 14.636247 17.635016 21.650242 26.990200 34.005401 44.197712
2025-07-27 10.478593 13.047351 16.364461 21.076546 27.797732 37.377174 52.746586
2025-08-03 9.680428 12.439227 16.165490 21.747935 30.245118 43.345131 66.580393
2025-08-10 8.774854 11.542617 15.409403 21.444196 31.113736 47.008512 77.721365
2025-08-17 8.046763 10.796616 14.750792 21.145465 31.870382 50.565749 89.759194
2025-08-24 7.479700 10.215267 14.252606 20.998332 32.806139 54.583885 104.113684
2025-08-31 6.910123 9.572990 13.586796 20.475545 32.972991 57.165219 116.318242
2025-09-07 6.487791 9.113635 13.154268 20.276151 33.671489 60.929054 132.938873
2025-09-14 5.971828 8.469318 12.367699 19.367805 32.875119 61.369762 141.117920
2025-09-21 5.501662 7.864592 11.597073 18.404784 31.829225 61.043457 147.084982
2025-09-28 5.143627 7.414508 11.047056 17.783858 31.383165 62.002251 157.494581
2025-10-05 5.268228 7.758274 11.872773 19.843069 36.968090 79.296851 235.035670
2025-10-12 5.140294 7.677637 11.961956 20.510020 39.689961 90.395356 302.312912
2025-10-19 4.843677 7.292798 11.479430 19.975947 39.529908 93.350893 337.067142
2025-10-26 4.738278 7.224970 11.559814 20.600598 42.284628 106.122700 438.895632
2025-11-02 4.519025 6.945708 11.228574 20.318069 42.710974 111.654365 508.425356
2025-11-09 4.318307 6.686786 10.915731 20.040105 43.103172 117.284310 589.671090
2025-11-16 4.150545 6.476296 10.678906 19.903165 43.855961 124.599401 700.883412
2025-11-23 3.953841 6.203431 10.303726 19.416408 43.553766 127.832247 785.703019
2025-11-30 3.805509 6.010119 10.070297 19.230678 44.088271 134.752089 929.825072
2025-12-07 3.593683 5.691492 9.572098 18.384025 42.547227 132.379855 963.052035
2025-12-14 3.388624 5.377309 9.067527 17.485393 40.739653 128.381752 970.732821