Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 15.533791 17.672326 20.124547 23.173326 26.902968 31.371441 37.214736
2025-05-25 12.594104 15.187185 18.422277 22.847781 28.898583 37.129795 49.647511
2025-06-01 10.992590 13.763407 17.417806 22.756941 30.668746 42.532919 62.970130
2025-06-08 9.685679 12.455398 16.257877 22.092255 31.292237 46.217666 74.831053
2025-06-15 8.862631 11.666618 15.655419 22.054101 32.748477 51.480784 91.578328
2025-06-22 7.936997 10.615496 14.519869 20.981270 32.241322 53.120293 101.834387
2025-06-29 7.146139 9.678112 13.440997 19.826361 31.342110 53.744802 110.123094
2025-07-06 6.564378 8.997060 12.680190 19.084575 31.033438 55.437959 121.960468
2025-07-13 6.691460 9.392275 13.637160 21.397262 36.948947 72.284524 188.431553
2025-07-20 6.496443 9.263860 13.723921 22.162187 39.950241 83.687617 250.906239
2025-07-27 6.085069 8.755859 13.122650 21.551336 39.861390 87.116766 286.547379
2025-08-03 5.933718 8.656914 13.209429 22.275563 42.936760 100.683414 390.742705
2025-08-10 5.612804 8.268555 12.778557 21.963388 43.641399 107.999115 480.907071
2025-08-17 5.322980 7.913563 12.378754 21.669358 44.358196 115.923429 599.887574
2025-08-24 5.090003 7.638074 12.097446 21.584591 45.603309 126.531775 783.850050
2025-08-31 4.809761 7.262673 11.599684 20.966718 45.276940 131.106207 933.522378
2025-09-07 4.625762 7.043398 11.377307 20.931233 46.588328 143.372350 1268.317413
2025-09-14 4.342281 6.632878 10.760782 19.932785 44.895231 141.584280 1376.256341
2025-09-21 4.069673 6.229300 10.134511 18.856386 42.801733 137.187086 1422.880563
2025-09-28 3.859548 5.928031 9.689850 18.164146 41.774571 137.658204 1603.224572
2025-10-05 3.973545 6.214179 10.413714 20.320099 50.236529 194.494600 5235.215306
2025-10-12 3.924919 6.199505 10.534734 21.031749 54.262053 232.723935 13458.763498
2025-10-19 3.757474 5.955338 10.168624 20.463498 53.601671 238.740200 19825.351658