Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 15.175678 17.157502 19.369338 22.033658 25.172865 28.774695 33.249770
2025-09-28 12.163068 14.611245 17.562925 21.426869 26.415921 32.730512 41.474426
2025-10-05 11.760493 14.801040 18.694286 24.142874 31.732520 42.182859 58.126192
2025-10-12 10.852193 14.139151 18.542846 25.031204 34.627613 48.778048 72.202471
2025-10-19 9.652232 12.902564 17.407090 24.309037 35.003459 51.654974 81.122211
2025-10-26 9.116123 12.502813 17.359260 25.104914 37.703281 58.489336 98.058784
2025-11-02 8.377255 11.722805 16.651160 24.767763 38.500707 62.273929 110.430874
2025-11-09 7.724743 11.001766 15.945046 24.322459 39.011335 65.588125 122.665925
2025-11-16 7.197207 10.418961 15.387379 24.037119 39.727970 69.359135 136.790772
2025-11-23 6.657294 9.770167 14.660911 23.372844 39.646248 71.549391 148.003737
2025-11-30 6.280513 9.347807 14.260519 23.223131 40.489533 75.720776 165.049733
2025-12-07 5.781477 8.692098 13.418715 22.192238 39.480069 75.815489 171.949490
2025-12-14 5.290031 8.031964 12.545447 21.067780 38.242557 75.433852 178.215477
2025-12-21 4.936639 7.578460 11.993880 20.493744 38.068323 77.459094 192.039166
2025-12-28 5.108417 8.016500 13.027734 23.060374 44.928907 97.618912 268.843779
2026-01-04 5.001546 7.965230 13.178546 23.898925 48.138595 109.616755 326.373450
2026-01-11 4.696782 7.545342 12.617838 23.217258 47.721079 111.860954 349.927999
2026-01-18 4.601764 7.491817 12.735736 23.968485 50.852436 124.832517 423.361496
2026-01-25 4.382572 7.199139 12.374901 23.650292 51.287357 130.044200 467.487832
2026-02-01 4.168405 6.902857 11.985666 23.229931 51.400442 134.326693 510.455176
2026-02-08 3.987023 6.656787 11.677564 22.960514 51.873231 139.918853 564.287160
2026-02-15 3.779874 6.351225 11.231069 22.333134 51.293627 141.902802 600.786037
2026-02-22 3.637606 6.160657 11.003293 22.191702 52.040035 148.702539 670.818326