Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 14.303011 16.188627 18.327968 20.955751 24.125414 27.862759 32.659395
2025-06-15 11.786534 14.134988 17.026524 20.918475 26.132227 33.048099 43.229043
2025-06-22 9.973105 12.378500 15.490513 19.927512 26.295734 35.458948 50.377553
2025-06-29 8.644571 10.998596 14.156229 18.856673 25.971732 36.898190 56.255011
2025-07-06 7.733135 10.043344 13.237545 18.171196 25.996029 38.740799 63.187947
2025-07-13 7.778820 10.393639 14.165283 20.306240 30.737048 49.319291 89.811750
2025-07-20 7.447674 10.156072 14.184569 21.005809 33.216143 56.576052 113.256721
2025-07-27 6.880762 9.510726 13.503764 20.447500 33.338440 59.291093 127.545412
2025-08-03 6.642970 9.338519 13.538374 21.094747 35.805971 67.522201 160.947843
2025-08-10 6.249696 8.889742 13.078475 20.799841 36.360375 71.669210 185.362504
2025-08-17 5.903106 8.487216 12.655887 20.514775 36.875399 75.876708 213.234066
2025-08-24 5.625516 8.174472 12.355068 20.416793 37.767144 81.323196 250.577363
2025-08-31 5.272605 7.728990 11.813355 19.840007 37.609478 84.267552 282.537574
2025-09-07 5.035078 7.459417 11.558286 19.803112 38.710295 91.292515 343.313736
2025-09-14 4.689998 6.986905 10.904587 18.883031 37.529784 91.052824 365.988926
2025-09-21 4.363541 6.528190 10.245185 17.887280 36.012623 89.347322 379.132309
2025-09-28 4.113472 6.186908 9.777507 17.249107 35.305601 90.170856 411.445078
2025-10-05 4.229508 6.481911 10.501218 19.234853 41.846494 119.488896 741.049378
2025-10-12 4.163891 6.452504 10.610074 19.884276 44.947457 138.162635 1079.935364
2025-10-19 3.968211 6.179377 10.228137 19.366035 44.545444 141.743605 1246.626464
2025-10-26 3.909256 6.149583 10.319887 19.966796 47.673919 163.729746 1916.476498
2025-11-02 3.761733 5.949785 10.059100 19.693133 48.004150 172.233385 2419.223628
2025-11-09 3.624736 5.762766 9.812210 19.428501 48.320909 181.072081 3098.068422