Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 12.646639 14.230372 16.007865 18.164945 20.731171 23.710899 27.468485
2025-07-13 11.533871 13.801760 16.573534 20.270038 25.164256 31.562633 40.807506
2025-07-20 10.432751 12.982910 16.276975 20.959106 27.644356 37.187473 52.535368
2025-07-27 9.231095 11.805388 15.263107 20.410458 28.187187 40.073090 60.931590
2025-08-03 8.669161 11.380362 15.162381 21.056372 30.487998 45.976414 75.891480
2025-08-10 7.958029 10.653195 14.521878 20.767580 31.226046 49.434381 87.585308
2025-08-17 7.367175 10.030968 13.951375 20.482250 31.877522 52.825707 100.310498
2025-08-24 6.897822 9.538875 13.516404 20.339750 32.721446 56.725336 115.658346
2025-08-31 6.412837 8.979491 12.917628 19.837679 32.811530 59.127890 128.453415
2025-09-07 6.051384 8.579421 12.531436 19.647265 33.444532 62.796744 146.288582
2025-09-14 5.597910 8.002597 11.809116 18.776968 32.602442 63.009715 154.419856
2025-09-21 5.179822 7.455810 11.096165 17.852265 31.520734 62.450329 160.046377
2025-09-28 4.833379 7.016059 10.552198 17.228355 31.069301 63.547297 172.744235
2025-10-05 4.952513 7.339267 11.330384 19.196295 36.555353 81.377950 261.228055
2025-10-12 4.844736 7.275516 11.424375 19.835686 39.197126 92.651447 337.648926
2025-10-19 4.579621 6.927445 10.980032 19.326063 38.998515 95.450371 375.918521
2025-10-26 4.489210 6.872560 11.063997 19.926072 41.675614 108.435316 493.116045
2025-11-02 4.292163 6.619406 10.759567 19.657860 42.061140 113.897704 572.230905
2025-11-09 4.110766 6.383509 10.470738 19.392771 42.412526 119.446498 665.065052
2025-11-16 3.958648 6.191262 10.251697 19.260346 43.113238 126.700439 793.330897
2025-11-23 3.778647 5.939649 9.901345 18.793585 42.782782 129.747141 889.855403
2025-11-30 3.643200 5.762137 9.684867 18.616487 43.278988 136.604637 1057.899504
2025-12-07 3.447481 5.465875 9.216961 17.806508 41.746632 133.932522 1092.028639