Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 8.937080 9.951332 11.061119 12.370244 13.878231 15.567853 17.614044
2025-11-16 7.451504 8.767564 10.311309 12.272360 14.720798 17.708350 21.678351
2025-11-23 6.481564 7.904041 9.650566 11.982588 15.060657 19.050716 24.725867
2025-11-30 5.863903 7.359634 9.265449 11.917168 15.585020 20.593626 28.157666
2025-12-07 5.239378 6.724819 8.673339 11.474789 15.499205 21.235077 30.345005
2025-12-14 4.689913 6.131225 8.067740 10.929131 15.173312 21.448736 31.864123
2025-12-21 4.329590 5.759667 7.725503 10.707757 15.271294 22.268190 34.405958
2025-12-28 4.379298 5.956522 8.189039 11.693478 17.280198 26.270506 42.833269
2026-01-04 4.212835 5.827300 8.164103 11.930117 18.129089 28.495457 48.547894
2026-01-11 3.928920 5.504251 7.823454 11.637422 18.073107 29.165096 51.473302
2026-01-18 3.816638 5.427772 7.847798 11.924699 19.012908 31.687619 58.440206
2026-01-25 3.595848 5.171133 7.573047 11.693523 19.022136 32.502879 62.050886
2026-02-01 3.390277 4.932737 7.321916 11.499962 19.113278 33.551625 66.532616
2026-02-08 3.218877 4.737926 7.128035 11.388991 19.346301 34.915961 72.042033
2026-02-15 3.033409 4.509009 6.861945 11.126422 19.260947 35.617488 76.133377
2026-02-22 2.902334 4.359740 6.717184 11.066663 19.557073 37.149303 82.618832
2026-03-01 2.719647 4.116087 6.398203 10.663118 19.129089 37.060561 84.893855
2026-03-08 2.534169 3.858866 6.041927 10.164870 18.462747 36.361736 85.390098
2026-03-15 2.412575 3.702314 5.850518 9.962575 18.386719 36.992684 89.757936
2026-03-22 2.477894 3.863192 6.221440 10.862655 20.729184 43.636530 113.648582
2026-03-29 2.430956 3.828780 6.242118 11.078478 21.613553 46.903743 128.262559
2026-04-05 2.316147 3.670848 6.030138 10.811516 21.386536 47.312792 133.500004
2026-04-12 2.283171 3.654692 6.076523 11.073537 22.399909 51.136462 151.994645