Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 11.005903 12.326638 13.781203 15.508648 17.512756 19.774816 22.535590
2025-11-09 9.030500 10.713667 12.706369 15.262668 18.488332 22.468524 27.822262
2025-11-16 7.898076 9.734224 12.015957 15.102397 19.234893 24.674796 32.545542
2025-11-23 6.994228 8.876170 11.304233 14.728858 19.538072 26.214422 36.486646
2025-11-30 6.391189 8.317730 10.885554 14.643119 20.149898 28.174212 41.248730
2025-12-07 5.741068 7.621696 10.193985 14.071258 19.954789 28.879591 44.143696
2025-12-14 5.153779 6.956018 9.474913 13.367827 19.453333 29.011174 46.070743
2025-12-21 4.768758 6.541641 9.072872 13.083487 19.543435 30.055498 49.666530
2025-12-28 4.843956 6.792550 9.656650 14.353143 22.240593 35.737168 62.579218
2026-01-04 4.668617 6.654620 9.637808 14.658243 23.364084 38.855689 71.273742
2026-01-11 4.355446 6.283966 9.228051 14.280234 23.256554 39.716927 75.558649
2026-01-18 4.242673 6.213460 9.282931 14.680055 24.567391 43.407279 86.601010
2026-01-25 4.005051 5.939530 9.003746 14.504267 24.849487 45.230535 94.140315
2026-02-01 3.777106 5.667087 8.708261 14.274442 25.007064 46.837924 101.608686
2026-02-08 3.585954 5.441263 8.472593 14.127146 25.301400 48.767267 110.356748
2026-02-15 3.377410 5.173733 8.146838 13.783175 25.158780 49.717494 116.787830
2026-02-22 3.230781 5.000556 7.971328 13.704203 25.548053 51.921600 127.275420
2026-03-01 3.023972 4.714130 7.579213 13.177239 24.934236 51.696727 130.691651
2026-03-08 2.813530 4.411290 7.141116 12.528464 23.994544 50.566961 131.132273
2026-03-15 2.676477 4.228370 6.907616 12.266033 23.875592 51.439288 138.125112
2026-03-22 2.754431 4.423235 7.370006 13.437044 27.107858 61.366133 178.486232
2026-03-29 2.702655 4.384972 7.398245 13.718134 28.323713 66.242738 203.359629
2026-04-05 2.572416 4.199215 7.137858 13.369856 27.993599 66.786129 212.015821