Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 19.336279 22.121062 25.302862 29.237268 34.013131 39.676453 46.981598
2025-08-10 15.460718 18.847568 23.064304 28.799285 36.555379 46.924785 62.277414
2025-08-17 13.246198 16.820566 21.527950 28.357767 38.328216 52.896714 76.927451
2025-08-24 11.762048 15.416989 20.448142 28.139387 40.106213 58.988094 93.336192
2025-08-31 10.476708 14.073995 19.200424 27.372287 40.770042 63.331124 108.075306
2025-09-07 9.568437 13.137419 18.383881 27.072509 42.029743 68.837705 126.780937
2025-09-14 8.579693 11.969742 17.068699 25.758132 41.284509 70.503462 138.212726
2025-09-21 7.725036 10.920558 15.819255 24.370503 40.143114 71.111440 147.491178
2025-09-28 7.125918 10.209334 15.028768 23.652714 40.096479 73.874617 163.077419
2025-10-05 7.342425 10.786402 16.370107 26.847889 48.168953 96.142899 242.510965
2025-10-12 7.143944 10.673152 16.538938 27.913351 52.148684 110.438388 309.298610
2025-10-19 6.671737 10.068693 15.799715 27.137230 51.991620 114.347946 343.346803
2025-10-26 6.472373 9.924412 15.888115 28.070544 56.046085 131.359472 445.879725
2025-11-02 6.098612 9.453864 15.345965 27.654792 56.867965 139.659808 521.168689
2025-11-09 5.762524 9.023007 14.835957 27.236082 57.598716 148.031837 608.267276
2025-11-16 5.484672 8.674488 14.448415 27.028932 58.835758 158.637936 725.018122
2025-11-23 5.170139 8.239043 13.858255 26.301075 58.547325 163.966916 818.265490
2025-11-30 4.932794 7.928103 13.484326 26.016544 59.434495 174.086215 968.342484
2025-12-07 4.609257 7.440617 12.728017 24.768417 57.357862 172.072359 1016.398479
2025-12-14 4.301504 6.967191 11.970906 23.449635 54.880874 167.764754 1039.985026
2025-12-21 4.081755 6.646551 11.500402 22.767004 54.196215 170.814389 1147.948134
2025-12-28 4.241971 7.046247 12.518941 25.803316 65.633096 234.104810 2250.864065
2026-01-04 4.194380 7.045856 12.708728 26.814493 70.950825 273.400296 3387.865791