Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 8.266554 9.134490 10.081183 11.194968 12.475227 13.907607 15.640992
2026-01-18 7.202124 8.368318 9.728230 11.447501 13.586523 16.191658 19.653844
2026-01-25 6.365978 7.640095 9.192133 11.251449 13.957787 17.460023 22.449681
2026-02-01 5.773137 7.106397 8.787498 11.106743 14.295524 18.639273 25.214305
2026-02-08 5.291184 6.649757 8.412297 10.924821 14.515420 19.630654 27.805597
2026-02-15 4.877390 6.237629 8.045423 10.695901 14.613428 20.421010 30.172272
2026-02-22 4.582660 5.956420 7.823793 10.635360 14.927493 21.542425 33.210234
2026-03-01 4.232153 5.570309 7.421488 10.267600 14.725876 21.816330 34.842306
2026-03-08 3.879569 5.157392 6.950026 9.752907 14.236364 21.553728 35.462045
2026-03-15 3.658831 4.917750 6.711468 9.569274 14.249820 22.117753 37.674950
2026-03-22 3.725848 5.095671 7.096120 10.381065 15.972136 25.841713 46.708396
2026-03-29 3.646432 5.050779 7.139115 10.646251 16.791137 28.053567 53.156541
2026-04-05 3.443319 4.814223 6.880298 10.408645 16.727357 28.645918 56.329719
2026-04-12 3.363361 4.760805 6.904584 10.648559 17.554636 31.104859 64.452098
2026-04-19 3.201151 4.570262 6.696780 10.469698 17.577312 31.926020 68.779649
2026-04-26 3.061900 4.408084 6.524435 10.337989 17.673710 32.912337 73.798975
2026-05-03 2.926847 4.245553 6.341568 10.172309 17.684085 33.709490 78.526605
2026-05-10 2.793647 4.079555 6.143492 9.963718 17.585946 34.246831 82.668791
2026-05-17 2.697869 3.969529 6.033249 9.908533 17.795903 35.528724 89.460948
2026-05-24 2.558886 3.782852 5.782969 9.573113 17.385207 35.268788 91.293675
2026-05-31 2.404898 3.565850 5.471342 9.103117 16.649430 34.126339 89.940814
2026-06-07 2.311219 3.445382 5.321659 8.935268 16.554498 34.578404 94.222935
2026-06-14 2.370915 3.582947 5.628893 9.676635 18.542760 40.727406 121.607211