Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 13.817796 15.615307 17.650455 20.144624 23.145584 26.674405 31.189660
2025-06-15 11.414686 13.660264 16.417174 20.115779 25.051592 31.570109 41.115837
2025-06-22 9.673890 11.979417 14.952709 19.176125 25.210584 33.847126 47.813911
2025-06-29 8.396711 10.657236 13.679167 18.159423 24.907347 35.206581 53.306363
2025-07-06 7.519025 9.740467 12.800996 17.507765 24.932120 36.941651 59.764136
2025-07-13 7.561857 10.075163 13.685821 19.535302 29.406475 46.841714 84.367853
2025-07-20 7.242334 9.846520 13.703426 20.198710 31.741584 53.608159 105.877904
2025-07-27 6.696057 9.227293 13.053637 19.670222 31.860637 56.144556 118.953038
2025-08-03 6.466542 9.061726 13.086670 20.285110 34.183767 63.793887 149.307062
2025-08-10 6.087148 8.630735 12.647590 20.006610 34.708898 67.648331 171.397057
2025-08-17 5.752424 8.243694 12.243530 19.736536 35.195196 71.550037 196.486096
2025-08-24 5.476855 7.930686 11.934611 19.602342 35.939821 76.324319 228.726398
2025-08-31 5.134841 7.500411 11.413229 19.048247 35.775087 78.981063 256.728853
2025-09-07 4.905523 7.241437 11.169823 19.014151 36.807750 85.430712 310.072239
2025-09-14 4.572271 6.787358 10.545596 18.143772 35.708302 85.230343 329.978346
2025-09-21 4.256701 6.346061 9.915129 17.200306 34.291406 83.683360 341.540260
2025-09-28 4.014717 6.017357 9.467411 16.594861 33.630832 84.447739 369.688535
2025-10-05 4.126559 6.300780 10.159050 18.476726 39.744967 111.180057 650.593258
2025-10-12 4.062863 6.272148 10.262694 19.091290 42.636775 128.103467 931.943932
2025-10-19 3.873579 6.009332 9.897773 18.601759 42.267456 131.370317 1068.717080
2025-10-26 3.816439 5.980569 9.985570 19.171287 45.184632 151.206419 1605.243411
2025-11-02 3.673652 5.788228 9.736404 18.913392 45.497634 158.883901 1999.048239
2025-11-09 3.540924 5.607975 9.500134 18.663204 45.795594 166.838135 2519.796845