Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 15.245715 17.226893 19.431122 22.076783 25.181019 28.726008 33.106645
2025-10-19 12.240364 14.698901 17.650592 21.494200 26.424141 32.613939 41.100142
2025-10-26 10.998603 13.780380 17.304706 22.173545 28.847578 37.860915 51.283972
2025-11-02 9.765578 12.632466 16.416103 21.888223 29.794199 41.120924 59.193079
2025-11-09 8.780764 11.661099 15.593585 21.504940 30.439514 43.918589 66.795258
2025-11-16 8.025870 10.905840 14.956685 21.258985 31.180763 46.877655 75.111525
2025-11-23 7.307177 10.122244 14.182633 20.688133 31.297766 48.799359 81.963743
2025-11-30 6.807891 9.605881 13.740432 20.556679 32.066013 51.860984 91.415070
2025-12-07 6.199480 8.873476 12.900116 19.689566 31.475329 52.440383 96.198863
2025-12-14 5.620439 8.141437 11.998285 18.626347 30.406719 51.979916 98.758281
2025-12-21 5.243282 7.693814 11.507777 18.199719 30.406840 53.496347 105.766891
2025-12-28 5.410544 8.111028 12.435985 20.294580 35.279110 65.253485 138.480850
2026-01-04 5.262582 8.021060 12.538423 20.975876 37.643490 72.536385 163.366926
2026-01-11 4.907011 7.565123 11.985845 20.403288 37.452029 74.324143 174.859995
2026-01-18 4.783541 7.486977 12.076059 21.041883 39.824494 82.297957 205.847303
2026-01-25 4.530622 7.169866 11.717838 20.774279 40.231627 85.743014 224.926262
2026-02-01 4.286479 6.851831 11.333402 20.414863 40.386477 88.599952 243.239005
2026-02-08 4.080714 6.588005 11.028136 20.184168 40.798967 92.193658 265.382076
2026-02-15 3.850541 6.267159 10.594802 19.648583 40.436113 93.683705 280.851568
2026-02-22 3.690978 6.063852 10.368231 19.525219 41.035735 97.923084 308.264642
2026-03-01 3.457434 5.713656 9.839806 18.711180 39.856812 96.940548 315.103177
2026-03-08 3.217234 5.340204 9.246424 17.712322 38.115455 94.064129 313.400675
2026-03-15 3.063128 5.118632 8.936060 17.311292 37.841373 95.519539 330.829609