Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.016923 0.018818 0.020723 0.022776 0.024921 0.027091 0.029448
2025-04-06 0.013077 0.016020 0.019104 0.022550 0.026267 0.030132 0.034435
2025-04-13 0.010096 0.013502 0.017204 0.021460 0.026160 0.031146 0.036788
2025-04-20 0.008720 0.012536 0.016805 0.021818 0.027449 0.033502 0.040428
2025-04-27 0.007368 0.011435 0.016120 0.021736 0.028145 0.035115 0.043169
2025-05-04 0.006089 0.010285 0.015270 0.021372 0.028441 0.036217 0.045279
2025-05-11 0.005242 0.009577 0.014873 0.021472 0.029211 0.037799 0.047879
2025-05-18 0.004462 0.008876 0.014426 0.021463 0.029813 0.039159 0.050196
2025-05-25 0.003667 0.008068 0.013788 0.021178 0.030057 0.040078 0.051989
2025-06-01 0.003094 0.007506 0.013420 0.021185 0.030614 0.041331 0.054136
2025-06-08 0.002507 0.006851 0.012885 0.020954 0.030861 0.042205 0.055831
2025-06-15 0.002082 0.006390 0.012575 0.020977 0.031391 0.043389 0.057866
2025-06-22 0.001583 0.005760 0.012033 0.020731 0.031641 0.044305 0.059666
2025-06-29 0.001153 0.005169 0.011516 0.020506 0.031916 0.045260 0.061530
2025-07-06 0.000633 0.004229 0.010416 0.019465 0.031148 0.044955 0.061909
2025-07-13 0.000476 0.004013 0.010370 0.019807 0.032083 0.046657 0.064607
2025-07-20 0.000287 0.003626 0.010029 0.019729 0.032478 0.047702 0.066529
2025-07-27 0.000123 0.003154 0.009510 0.019381 0.032513 0.048303 0.067918
2025-08-03 0.000050 0.002899 0.009320 0.019476 0.033099 0.049558 0.070067
2025-08-10 0.000007 0.002622 0.009068 0.019468 0.033542 0.050632 0.071995
2025-08-17 NaN 0.002269 0.008646 0.019196 0.033633 0.051267 0.073396
2025-08-24 NaN 0.002042 0.008425 0.019203 0.034075 0.052323 0.075288
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001757 0.008061 0.018982 0.034207 0.052992 0.076714