Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.014192 0.015885 0.017597 0.019452 0.021399 0.023379 0.025538
2025-05-18 0.010892 0.013500 0.016261 0.019372 0.022754 0.026298 0.030270
2025-05-25 0.008793 0.011833 0.015168 0.019034 0.023338 0.027935 0.033173
2025-06-01 0.007340 0.010677 0.014457 0.018948 0.024044 0.029570 0.035947
2025-06-08 0.006071 0.009578 0.013683 0.018673 0.024435 0.030769 0.038157
2025-06-15 0.005174 0.008824 0.013229 0.018692 0.025095 0.032212 0.040584
2025-06-22 0.004254 0.007941 0.012543 0.018374 0.025313 0.033109 0.042360
2025-06-29 0.003397 0.007043 0.011767 0.017889 0.025287 0.033688 0.043739
2025-07-06 0.002511 0.005988 0.010711 0.016999 0.024730 0.033615 0.044338
2025-07-13 0.002178 0.005698 0.010624 0.017286 0.025558 0.035129 0.046736
2025-07-20 0.001763 0.005224 0.010254 0.017190 0.025902 0.036061 0.048450
2025-07-27 0.001352 0.004686 0.009758 0.016900 0.025988 0.036671 0.049775
2025-08-03 0.001065 0.004339 0.009543 0.017016 0.026629 0.038010 0.052039
2025-08-10 0.000768 0.003911 0.009190 0.016945 0.027048 0.039102 0.054042
2025-08-17 0.000488 0.003412 0.008681 0.016629 0.027131 0.039770 0.055527
2025-08-24 0.000308 0.003059 0.008362 0.016548 0.027495 0.040762 0.057383
2025-08-31 0.000155 0.002664 0.007934 0.016291 0.027614 0.041445 0.058859
2025-09-07 0.000074 0.002409 0.007714 0.016309 0.028077 0.042536 0.060814
2025-09-14 0.000013 0.002061 0.007290 0.016012 0.028113 0.043092 0.062119
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001693 0.006781 0.015559 0.027924 0.043356 0.063063
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001253 0.006048 0.014730 0.027204 0.042940 0.063170
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001169 0.006037 0.014997 0.027956 0.044359 0.065494
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000997 0.005805 0.014907 0.028215 0.045153 0.067053