Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.016889 0.018617 0.020362 0.022251 0.024235 0.026252 0.028454
2025-07-13 0.014046 0.016684 0.019453 0.022556 0.025919 0.029437 0.033378
2025-07-20 0.011975 0.015104 0.018488 0.022380 0.026692 0.031290 0.036531
2025-07-27 0.010402 0.013860 0.017702 0.022218 0.027317 0.032838 0.039214
2025-08-03 0.009629 0.013423 0.017732 0.022883 0.028782 0.035242 0.042777
2025-08-10 0.008474 0.012432 0.017036 0.022642 0.029156 0.036376 0.044879
2025-08-17 0.007449 0.011510 0.016349 0.022346 0.029412 0.037328 0.046734
2025-08-24 0.006613 0.010755 0.015806 0.022171 0.029764 0.038354 0.048641
2025-08-31 0.005841 0.010020 0.015239 0.021923 0.029996 0.039213 0.050331
2025-09-07 0.005222 0.009438 0.014824 0.021827 0.030379 0.040223 0.052176
2025-09-14 0.004517 0.008683 0.014145 0.021369 0.030300 0.040671 0.053352
2025-09-21 0.003862 0.007942 0.013443 0.020848 0.030114 0.040970 0.054333
2025-09-28 0.003078 0.006978 0.012444 0.019978 0.029555 0.040904 0.054993
2025-10-05 0.002754 0.006689 0.012351 0.020275 0.030452 0.042597 0.057754
2025-10-12 0.002329 0.006185 0.011925 0.020108 0.030748 0.043550 0.059626
2025-10-19 0.001959 0.005726 0.011529 0.019956 0.031042 0.044487 0.061467
2025-10-26 0.001832 0.005675 0.011716 0.020583 0.032323 0.046623 0.064742
2025-11-02 0.001513 0.005229 0.011291 0.020356 0.032494 0.047391 0.066367
2025-11-09 0.001224 0.004790 0.010846 0.020077 0.032581 0.048042 0.067841
2025-11-16 0.000996 0.004430 0.010496 0.019912 0.032802 0.048847 0.069493
2025-11-23 0.000786 0.004064 0.010111 0.019679 0.032919 0.049514 0.070970
2025-11-30 0.000629 0.003779 0.009836 0.019588 0.033214 0.050395 0.072702
2025-12-07 0.000451 0.003382 0.009344 0.019158 0.033039 0.050673 0.073686