Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.030393 0.032697 0.035005 0.037486 0.040074 0.042692 0.045535
2025-10-19 0.025941 0.029567 0.033325 0.037493 0.041975 0.046633 0.051827
2025-10-26 0.023895 0.028346 0.033067 0.038415 0.044275 0.050471 0.057489
2025-11-02 0.021847 0.026862 0.032291 0.038551 0.045522 0.052998 0.061576
2025-11-09 0.020052 0.025486 0.031479 0.038503 0.046434 0.055045 0.065033
2025-11-16 0.018465 0.024220 0.030681 0.038364 0.047153 0.056799 0.068094
2025-11-23 0.017004 0.023000 0.029846 0.038103 0.047660 0.058255 0.070770
2025-11-30 0.015797 0.022002 0.029202 0.037999 0.048292 0.059807 0.073515
2025-12-07 0.014429 0.020733 0.028171 0.037381 0.048278 0.060578 0.075336
2025-12-14 0.013111 0.019453 0.027065 0.036617 0.048043 0.061056 0.076784
2025-12-21 0.011927 0.018278 0.026031 0.035890 0.047807 0.061494 0.078154
2025-12-28 0.011677 0.018282 0.026437 0.036894 0.049619 0.064313 0.082278
2026-01-04 0.010871 0.017572 0.025983 0.036903 0.050321 0.065932 0.085141
2026-01-11 0.010082 0.016858 0.025512 0.036889 0.051008 0.067562 0.088057
2026-01-18 0.009760 0.016751 0.025797 0.037803 0.052812 0.070509 0.092518
2026-01-25 0.009146 0.016203 0.025482 0.037938 0.053643 0.072282 0.095588
2026-02-01 0.008507 0.015584 0.025044 0.037890 0.054228 0.073746 0.098280
2026-02-08 0.007884 0.014950 0.024556 0.037753 0.054682 0.075038 0.100756
2026-02-15 0.007264 0.014282 0.023994 0.037494 0.054964 0.076105 0.102952
2026-02-22 0.006742 0.013732 0.023566 0.037391 0.055425 0.077380 0.105390
2026-03-01 0.006092 0.012943 0.022776 0.036779 0.055216 0.077814 0.106797
2026-03-08 0.005448 0.012119 0.021902 0.036023 0.054796 0.077967 0.107847
2026-03-15 0.004865 0.011353 0.021075 0.035303 0.054399 0.078129 0.108890