Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.025859 0.027991 0.030127 0.032424 0.034822 0.037247 0.039882
2025-08-10 0.021499 0.024859 0.028350 0.032233 0.036412 0.040760 0.045610
2025-08-17 0.018696 0.022726 0.027030 0.031929 0.037316 0.043026 0.049504
2025-08-24 0.016667 0.021174 0.026099 0.031818 0.038216 0.045099 0.053011
2025-08-31 0.014918 0.019760 0.025169 0.031563 0.038826 0.046741 0.055941
2025-09-07 0.013529 0.018641 0.024468 0.031469 0.039529 0.048412 0.058835
2025-09-14 0.012092 0.017358 0.023486 0.030968 0.039698 0.049421 0.060935
2025-09-21 0.010826 0.016194 0.022569 0.030475 0.039816 0.050323 0.062869
2025-09-28 0.009515 0.014886 0.021407 0.029626 0.039461 0.050636 0.064091
2025-10-05 0.009100 0.014686 0.021569 0.030340 0.040924 0.053028 0.067678
2025-10-12 0.008532 0.014249 0.021408 0.030636 0.041871 0.054807 0.070550
2025-10-19 0.007827 0.013584 0.020926 0.030511 0.042290 0.055951 0.072673
2025-10-26 0.007411 0.013331 0.021005 0.031137 0.043694 0.058349 0.076376
2025-11-02 0.006662 0.012581 0.020426 0.030938 0.044107 0.059600 0.078778
2025-11-09 0.005950 0.011829 0.019800 0.030642 0.044371 0.060648 0.080922
2025-11-16 0.005373 0.011228 0.019343 0.030534 0.044843 0.061929 0.083327
2025-11-23 0.004801 0.010590 0.018799 0.030285 0.045118 0.062956 0.085417
2025-11-30 0.004331 0.010071 0.018393 0.030193 0.045572 0.064187 0.087740
2025-12-07 0.003784 0.009380 0.017709 0.029704 0.045500 0.064759 0.089260
2025-12-14 0.003291 0.008732 0.017053 0.029224 0.045416 0.065299 0.090727
2025-12-21 0.002757 0.007955 0.016166 0.028395 0.044855 0.065228 0.091437
2025-12-28 0.002644 0.007924 0.016388 0.029092 0.046278 0.067620 0.095145
2026-01-04 0.002443 0.007711 0.016322 0.029381 0.047161 0.069338 0.098030