Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.018164 0.020021 0.021891 0.023910 0.026023 0.028167 0.030500
2025-06-15 0.014646 0.017539 0.020571 0.023964 0.027634 0.031463 0.035743
2025-06-22 0.012251 0.015655 0.019335 0.023558 0.028228 0.033193 0.038834
2025-06-29 0.010209 0.013910 0.018030 0.022872 0.028329 0.034225 0.041013
2025-07-06 0.008363 0.012199 0.016602 0.021897 0.027975 0.034638 0.042405
2025-07-13 0.007530 0.011596 0.016375 0.022220 0.029020 0.036551 0.045403
2025-07-20 0.006557 0.010733 0.015768 0.022040 0.029436 0.037713 0.047522
2025-07-27 0.005719 0.009964 0.015217 0.021874 0.029825 0.038807 0.049532
2025-08-03 0.005371 0.009800 0.015383 0.022545 0.031174 0.040984 0.052755
2025-08-10 0.004661 0.009090 0.014821 0.022296 0.031407 0.041852 0.054466
2025-08-17 0.004009 0.008402 0.014245 0.021995 0.031549 0.042591 0.056009
2025-08-24 0.003490 0.007856 0.013820 0.021854 0.031861 0.043510 0.057743
2025-08-31 0.002861 0.007126 0.013166 0.021468 0.031947 0.044257 0.059397
2025-09-07 0.002417 0.006642 0.012832 0.021495 0.032556 0.045649 0.061843
2025-09-14 0.001918 0.005992 0.012216 0.021115 0.032627 0.046373 0.063483
2025-09-21 0.001426 0.005262 0.011430 0.020467 0.032331 0.046631 0.064551
2025-09-28 0.000963 0.004466 0.010479 0.019549 0.031652 0.046396 0.065009
2025-10-05 0.000807 0.004272 0.010430 0.019853 0.032531 0.048052 0.067714
2025-10-12 0.000596 0.003891 0.010056 0.019684 0.032782 0.048928 0.069478
2025-10-19 0.000424 0.003542 0.009705 0.019527 0.033036 0.049797 0.071224
2025-10-26 0.000376 0.003526 0.009905 0.020159 0.034325 0.051947 0.074517
2025-11-02 0.000243 0.003181 0.009518 0.019925 0.034456 0.052651 0.076054
2025-11-09 0.000138 0.002843 0.009112 0.019641 0.034509 0.053245 0.077449