Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.015704 0.017539 0.019389 0.021387 0.023479 0.025600 0.027909
2025-04-13 0.011376 0.014144 0.017068 0.020354 0.023919 0.027645 0.031810
2025-04-20 0.009551 0.012891 0.016542 0.020757 0.025432 0.030407 0.036055
2025-04-27 0.007794 0.011451 0.015585 0.020480 0.026017 0.032000 0.038879
2025-05-04 0.006276 0.010100 0.014576 0.020006 0.026260 0.033111 0.041075
2025-05-11 0.005363 0.009368 0.014199 0.020177 0.027160 0.034890 0.043949
2025-05-18 0.004441 0.008519 0.013605 0.020028 0.027637 0.036147 0.046197
2025-05-25 0.003522 0.007565 0.012804 0.019570 0.027705 0.036896 0.047836
2025-06-01 0.002829 0.006836 0.012227 0.019334 0.027992 0.037863 0.049689
2025-06-08 0.002191 0.006096 0.011578 0.018965 0.028087 0.038579 0.051231
2025-06-15 0.001774 0.005634 0.011264 0.018986 0.028624 0.039789 0.053319
2025-06-22 0.001306 0.005004 0.010669 0.018616 0.028663 0.040396 0.054695
2025-06-29 0.000850 0.004315 0.009998 0.018191 0.028708 0.041107 0.056318
2025-07-06 0.000392 0.003418 0.008947 0.017234 0.028090 0.041045 0.057070
2025-07-13 0.000255 0.003197 0.008899 0.017606 0.029120 0.042936 0.060089
2025-07-20 0.000095 0.002735 0.008416 0.017351 0.029332 0.043827 0.061919
2025-07-27 0.000008 0.002251 0.007831 0.016913 0.029286 0.044384 0.063338
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002030 0.007675 0.017071 0.029995 0.045852 0.065827
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001728 0.007331 0.016933 0.030304 0.046819 0.067709
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001371 0.006816 0.016511 0.030219 0.047286 0.068984
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001113 0.006453 0.016293 0.030390 0.048057 0.070611
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000856 0.006029 0.015954 0.030380 0.048591 0.071944
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000712 0.005841 0.015973 0.030845 0.049713 0.073980