Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-15 0.023386 0.025137 0.026905 0.028822 0.030839 0.032898 0.035154
2026-03-22 0.020443 0.023199 0.026091 0.029344 0.032892 0.036636 0.040875
2026-03-29 0.018358 0.021696 0.025301 0.029465 0.034124 0.039155 0.044978
2026-04-05 0.016656 0.020379 0.024500 0.029367 0.034925 0.041042 0.048250
2026-04-12 0.015536 0.019593 0.024178 0.029696 0.036109 0.043278 0.051847
2026-04-19 0.014427 0.018717 0.023663 0.029721 0.036873 0.044981 0.054798
2026-04-26 0.013359 0.017811 0.023039 0.029548 0.037347 0.046304 0.057279
2026-05-03 0.012529 0.017133 0.022634 0.029586 0.038028 0.047838 0.059984
2026-05-10 0.011738 0.016452 0.022179 0.029522 0.038552 0.049160 0.062424
2026-05-17 0.011046 0.015854 0.021790 0.029503 0.039101 0.050492 0.064865
2026-05-24 0.010291 0.015132 0.021204 0.029204 0.039277 0.051353 0.066726
2026-05-31 0.009533 0.014364 0.020525 0.028750 0.039230 0.051918 0.068211
2026-06-07 0.008670 0.013435 0.019623 0.028012 0.038839 0.052092 0.069273
2026-06-14 0.008358 0.013243 0.019681 0.028514 0.040030 0.054246 0.072809
2026-06-21 0.007924 0.012857 0.019460 0.028632 0.040717 0.055766 0.075566
2026-06-28 0.007446 0.012381 0.019093 0.028536 0.041110 0.056907 0.077846
2026-07-05 0.007151 0.012152 0.019048 0.028859 0.042043 0.058731 0.080995
2026-07-12 0.006776 0.011784 0.018793 0.028882 0.042572 0.060035 0.083488
2026-07-19 0.006364 0.011340 0.018411 0.028714 0.042830 0.060982 0.085524
2026-07-26 0.006045 0.011019 0.018188 0.028751 0.043355 0.062269 0.088000
2026-08-02 0.005717 0.010665 0.017904 0.028688 0.043734 0.063362 0.090225
2026-08-09 0.005422 0.010349 0.017659 0.028669 0.044163 0.064517 0.092534
2026-08-16 0.005071 0.009923 0.017235 0.028377 0.044203 0.065148 0.094156