Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.029739 0.031997 0.034258 0.036690 0.039228 0.041797 0.044588
2025-10-26 0.026218 0.029784 0.033474 0.037564 0.041957 0.046519 0.051602
2025-11-02 0.023684 0.027988 0.032546 0.037703 0.043350 0.049316 0.056071
2025-11-09 0.021597 0.026426 0.031644 0.037653 0.044338 0.051502 0.059717
2025-11-16 0.019816 0.025037 0.030785 0.037510 0.045095 0.053324 0.062863
2025-11-23 0.018216 0.023733 0.029912 0.037249 0.045631 0.054823 0.065582
2025-11-30 0.016907 0.022676 0.029242 0.037144 0.046276 0.056389 0.068326
2025-12-07 0.015448 0.021355 0.028191 0.036530 0.046280 0.057180 0.070154
2025-12-14 0.014049 0.020028 0.027066 0.035767 0.046055 0.057664 0.071592
2025-12-21 0.012807 0.018827 0.026033 0.035059 0.045847 0.058127 0.072970
2025-12-28 0.012431 0.018687 0.026263 0.035844 0.047380 0.060592 0.076642
2026-01-04 0.011740 0.018108 0.025927 0.035917 0.048048 0.062036 0.079124
2026-01-11 0.010974 0.017446 0.025522 0.035964 0.048765 0.063637 0.081919
2026-01-18 0.010626 0.017329 0.025804 0.036872 0.050546 0.066528 0.086274
2026-01-25 0.009975 0.016765 0.025486 0.037005 0.051363 0.068261 0.089256
2026-02-01 0.009299 0.016130 0.025044 0.036956 0.051936 0.069688 0.091866
2026-02-08 0.008639 0.015478 0.024550 0.036814 0.052373 0.070936 0.094253
2026-02-15 0.007983 0.014796 0.023986 0.036557 0.052645 0.071969 0.096371
2026-02-22 0.007433 0.014234 0.023557 0.036453 0.053093 0.073202 0.098722
2026-03-01 0.006746 0.013429 0.022766 0.035846 0.052883 0.073615 0.100069
2026-03-08 0.006062 0.012586 0.021887 0.035093 0.052459 0.073744 0.101056
2026-03-15 0.005447 0.011811 0.021071 0.034393 0.052081 0.073909 0.102071
2026-03-22 0.005322 0.011808 0.021348 0.035168 0.053608 0.076444 0.105986