Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.025484 0.027338 0.029209 0.031238 0.033373 0.035552 0.037940
2026-04-12 0.022294 0.025203 0.028255 0.031688 0.035432 0.039384 0.043861
2026-04-19 0.019961 0.023445 0.027204 0.031542 0.036394 0.041634 0.047701
2026-04-26 0.018063 0.021922 0.026186 0.031215 0.036955 0.043272 0.050718
2026-05-03 0.016643 0.020795 0.025479 0.031109 0.037650 0.044964 0.053715
2026-05-10 0.015423 0.019796 0.024825 0.030975 0.038233 0.046466 0.056446
2026-05-17 0.014431 0.018992 0.024330 0.030962 0.038902 0.048024 0.059212
2026-05-24 0.013393 0.018064 0.023625 0.030641 0.039157 0.049059 0.061339
2026-05-31 0.012326 0.017037 0.022742 0.030048 0.039036 0.049610 0.062862
2026-06-07 0.011455 0.016207 0.022056 0.029652 0.039113 0.050365 0.064606
2026-06-14 0.011081 0.015989 0.022114 0.030162 0.040289 0.052442 0.067944
2026-06-21 0.010579 0.015578 0.021902 0.030311 0.041002 0.053947 0.070592
2026-06-28 0.009979 0.015040 0.021546 0.030312 0.041589 0.055380 0.073270
2026-07-05 0.009585 0.014768 0.021531 0.030759 0.042760 0.057571 0.076941
2026-07-12 0.008995 0.014192 0.021085 0.030616 0.043155 0.058781 0.079389
2026-07-19 0.008386 0.013556 0.020527 0.030296 0.043297 0.059653 0.081406
2026-07-26 0.007901 0.013071 0.020148 0.030193 0.043702 0.060849 0.083829
2026-08-02 0.007443 0.012599 0.019765 0.030062 0.044054 0.061968 0.086152
2026-08-09 0.007057 0.012211 0.019481 0.030049 0.044551 0.063267 0.088709
2026-08-16 0.006602 0.011697 0.018995 0.029736 0.044626 0.064005 0.090537
2026-08-23 0.006099 0.011081 0.018337 0.029156 0.044317 0.064221 0.091674
2026-08-30 0.005686 0.010584 0.017830 0.028769 0.044251 0.064745 0.093206
2026-09-06 0.005546 0.010512 0.017945 0.029267 0.045411 0.066908 0.096912