Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.033363 0.035853 0.038341 0.041010 0.043788 0.046591 0.049629
2025-09-07 0.028316 0.032250 0.036314 0.040807 0.045622 0.050610 0.056153
2025-09-14 0.024769 0.029479 0.034465 0.040099 0.046257 0.052752 0.060089
2025-09-21 0.021940 0.027167 0.032821 0.039332 0.046568 0.054312 0.063174
2025-09-28 0.019520 0.025099 0.031257 0.038473 0.046612 0.055435 0.065647
2025-10-05 0.018605 0.024646 0.031422 0.039466 0.048643 0.058685 0.070404
2025-10-12 0.017481 0.023863 0.031134 0.039878 0.049960 0.061092 0.074184
2025-10-19 0.016131 0.022724 0.030361 0.039664 0.050509 0.062589 0.076903
2025-10-26 0.015771 0.022744 0.030920 0.040976 0.052789 0.066030 0.081803
2025-11-02 0.014889 0.022072 0.030612 0.041230 0.053813 0.068016 0.085036
2025-11-09 0.013893 0.021203 0.030023 0.041111 0.054368 0.069439 0.087604
2025-11-16 0.013024 0.020448 0.029535 0.041080 0.055000 0.070928 0.090230
2025-11-23 0.011933 0.019432 0.028777 0.040807 0.055460 0.072361 0.092976
2025-11-30 0.010923 0.018489 0.028098 0.040636 0.056067 0.074006 0.096030
2025-12-07 0.009779 0.017290 0.027030 0.039928 0.055977 0.074793 0.098047
2025-12-14 0.008715 0.016131 0.025957 0.039163 0.055775 0.075412 0.099840
2025-12-21 0.007713 0.014988 0.024851 0.038306 0.055420 0.075814 0.101348
2025-12-28 0.007469 0.014935 0.025188 0.039297 0.057352 0.078967 0.106122
2026-01-04 0.007039 0.014576 0.025090 0.039707 0.058548 0.081222 0.109825
2026-01-11 0.006432 0.013906 0.024536 0.039494 0.058941 0.082488 0.112335
2026-01-18 0.006360 0.014066 0.025133 0.040802 0.061262 0.086113 0.117687
2026-01-25 0.005963 0.013682 0.024947 0.041056 0.062232 0.088076 0.121034
2026-02-01 0.005483 0.013130 0.024499 0.040937 0.062710 0.089426 0.123634