Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.027715 0.030342 0.032943 0.035708 0.038556 0.041402 0.044454
2025-01-12 0.022093 0.026285 0.030558 0.035213 0.040116 0.045108 0.050554
2025-01-19 0.017443 0.022548 0.027897 0.033851 0.040237 0.046834 0.054122
2025-01-26 0.015387 0.021274 0.027575 0.034700 0.042437 0.050507 0.059494
2025-02-02 0.013227 0.019653 0.026685 0.034759 0.043627 0.052958 0.063419
2025-02-09 0.010836 0.017562 0.025112 0.033926 0.043722 0.054119 0.065856
2025-02-16 0.009423 0.016485 0.024585 0.034167 0.044912 0.056389 0.069408
2025-02-23 0.008004 0.015281 0.023827 0.034073 0.045667 0.058129 0.072332
2025-03-02 0.006644 0.014035 0.022941 0.033770 0.046135 0.059506 0.074812
2025-03-09 0.005526 0.012997 0.022240 0.033629 0.046739 0.060992 0.077373
2025-03-16 0.004260 0.011632 0.021069 0.032885 0.046618 0.061640 0.078979
2025-03-23 0.003484 0.010870 0.020596 0.032926 0.047357 0.063214 0.081575
2025-03-30 0.002486 0.009742 0.019735 0.032630 0.047871 0.064720 0.084312
2025-04-06 0.001529 0.008503 0.018694 0.032126 0.048176 0.066038 0.086901
2025-04-13 0.000592 0.006896 0.017045 0.030807 0.047487 0.066201 0.088180
2025-04-20 0.000342 0.006587 0.017141 0.031626 0.049280 0.069152 0.092538
2025-04-27 0.000071 0.005907 0.016658 0.031683 0.050146 0.071025 0.095670
2025-05-04 NaN 0.004853 0.015536 0.030879 0.049954 0.071662 0.097389
2025-05-11 NaN 0.004378 0.015241 0.031111 0.050979 0.073672 0.100631
2025-05-18 NaN 0.003795 0.014720 0.031020 0.051594 0.075194 0.103303
2025-05-25 NaN 0.003175 0.014071 0.030729 0.051944 0.076390 0.105590
2025-06-01 NaN 0.002672 0.013558 0.030592 0.052462 0.077765 0.108064
2025-06-08 NaN 0.002005 0.012646 0.029876 0.052245 0.078268 0.109531