Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.017960 0.019798 0.021649 0.023648 0.025741 0.027864 0.030174
2025-06-15 0.014515 0.017368 0.020357 0.023701 0.027316 0.031088 0.035303
2025-06-22 0.012162 0.015528 0.019166 0.023340 0.027954 0.032859 0.038430
2025-06-29 0.010216 0.013892 0.017982 0.022783 0.028193 0.034034 0.040757
2025-07-06 0.008367 0.012179 0.016549 0.021800 0.027825 0.034427 0.042119
2025-07-13 0.007535 0.011576 0.016319 0.022117 0.028858 0.036320 0.045087
2025-07-20 0.006598 0.010759 0.015768 0.021999 0.029342 0.037554 0.047281
2025-07-27 0.005760 0.009991 0.015217 0.021833 0.029727 0.038639 0.049274
2025-08-03 0.005359 0.009755 0.015290 0.022387 0.030933 0.040645 0.052296
2025-08-10 0.004681 0.009089 0.014784 0.022204 0.031240 0.041595 0.054094
2025-08-17 0.004048 0.008430 0.014245 0.021947 0.031433 0.042388 0.055693
2025-08-24 0.003547 0.007915 0.013862 0.021857 0.031804 0.043374 0.057499
2025-08-31 0.002949 0.007231 0.013263 0.021529 0.031942 0.044158 0.059168
2025-09-07 0.002516 0.006765 0.012942 0.021554 0.032523 0.045484 0.061497
2025-09-14 0.002032 0.006147 0.012367 0.021214 0.032622 0.046215 0.063109
2025-09-21 0.001566 0.005481 0.011676 0.020685 0.032458 0.046608 0.064304
2025-09-28 0.001085 0.004677 0.010718 0.019751 0.031747 0.046313 0.064660
2025-10-05 0.000926 0.004488 0.010675 0.020052 0.032601 0.047913 0.067267
2025-10-12 0.000714 0.004133 0.010346 0.019940 0.032911 0.048839 0.069059
2025-10-19 0.000529 0.003783 0.009998 0.019782 0.033148 0.049665 0.070724
2025-10-26 0.000464 0.003731 0.010134 0.020308 0.034277 0.051592 0.073713
2025-11-02 0.000324 0.003408 0.009792 0.020134 0.034476 0.052357 0.075295
2025-11-09 0.000207 0.003081 0.009415 0.019890 0.034569 0.052983 0.076700