Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.031394 0.033799 0.036206 0.038792 0.041489 0.044213 0.047171
2025-09-21 0.025710 0.029558 0.033558 0.038006 0.042799 0.047789 0.053361
2025-09-28 0.021950 0.026621 0.031623 0.037338 0.043643 0.050351 0.057988
2025-10-05 0.020417 0.025822 0.031746 0.038649 0.046401 0.054773 0.064434
2025-10-12 0.018439 0.024303 0.030876 0.038680 0.047585 0.057335 0.068723
2025-10-19 0.016800 0.023021 0.030142 0.038739 0.048692 0.059720 0.072733
2025-10-26 0.016115 0.022791 0.030561 0.040067 0.051195 0.063636 0.078430
2025-11-02 0.014940 0.021876 0.030096 0.040298 0.052379 0.066012 0.082353
2025-11-09 0.013749 0.020859 0.029442 0.040242 0.053176 0.067904 0.085689
2025-11-16 0.012570 0.019780 0.028647 0.039961 0.053660 0.069395 0.088535
2025-11-23 0.011468 0.018730 0.027830 0.039602 0.054008 0.070694 0.091129
2025-11-30 0.010538 0.017851 0.027179 0.039405 0.054515 0.072152 0.093886
2025-12-07 0.009292 0.016544 0.026021 0.038657 0.054476 0.073122 0.096281
2025-12-14 0.008076 0.015218 0.024808 0.037833 0.054366 0.074054 0.098708
2025-12-21 0.007044 0.014067 0.023759 0.037162 0.054399 0.075127 0.101280
2025-12-28 0.006798 0.014059 0.024241 0.038470 0.056906 0.079197 0.107443
2026-01-04 0.006155 0.013392 0.023775 0.038500 0.057777 0.081258 0.111184
2026-01-11 0.005581 0.012783 0.023354 0.038559 0.058661 0.083321 0.114919
2026-01-18 0.005430 0.012842 0.023876 0.039884 0.061172 0.087397 0.121107
2026-01-25 0.004982 0.012372 0.023607 0.040114 0.062255 0.089695 0.125130
2026-02-01 0.004496 0.011794 0.023148 0.040058 0.062947 0.091495 0.128536
2026-02-08 0.003998 0.011145 0.022548 0.039778 0.063323 0.092884 0.131429
2026-02-15 0.003527 0.010496 0.021912 0.039420 0.063575 0.094101 0.134099