Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.028479 0.030619 0.032769 0.035087 0.037513 0.039974 0.042657
2025-12-21 0.023794 0.027089 0.030520 0.034349 0.038489 0.042818 0.047674
2025-12-28 0.021719 0.025778 0.030117 0.035076 0.040556 0.046403 0.053084
2026-01-04 0.019781 0.024349 0.029345 0.035169 0.041724 0.048832 0.057077
2026-01-11 0.018089 0.023024 0.028534 0.035072 0.042551 0.050774 0.060433
2026-01-18 0.017137 0.022452 0.028491 0.035767 0.044200 0.053579 0.064709
2026-01-25 0.015875 0.021422 0.027837 0.035682 0.044893 0.055252 0.067666
2026-02-01 0.014785 0.020522 0.027270 0.035639 0.045584 0.056881 0.070540
2026-02-08 0.013778 0.019661 0.026696 0.035535 0.046161 0.058346 0.073199
2026-02-15 0.012852 0.018847 0.026129 0.035399 0.046661 0.059693 0.075700
2026-02-22 0.012052 0.018146 0.025663 0.035349 0.047236 0.061105 0.078261
2026-03-01 0.011175 0.017298 0.024973 0.034986 0.047402 0.062008 0.080205
2026-03-08 0.010178 0.016281 0.024076 0.034394 0.047340 0.062713 0.082018
2026-03-15 0.009172 0.015207 0.023073 0.033645 0.047074 0.063178 0.083566
2026-03-22 0.008838 0.015035 0.023228 0.034361 0.048621 0.065838 0.087755
2026-03-29 0.008293 0.014532 0.022918 0.034452 0.049368 0.067511 0.090749
2026-04-05 0.007721 0.013959 0.022484 0.034357 0.049859 0.068857 0.093339
2026-04-12 0.007469 0.013833 0.022649 0.035043 0.051343 0.071432 0.097439
2026-04-19 0.006972 0.013317 0.022250 0.034959 0.051823 0.072749 0.099990
2026-04-26 0.006526 0.012848 0.021897 0.034916 0.052342 0.074107 0.102588
2026-05-03 0.006091 0.012374 0.021513 0.034814 0.052770 0.075341 0.105029
2026-05-10 0.005677 0.011905 0.021118 0.034679 0.053140 0.076493 0.107364
2026-05-17 0.005316 0.011500 0.020796 0.034630 0.053613 0.077769 0.109851