Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.017330 0.019070 0.020824 0.022722 0.024713 0.026736 0.028944
2025-07-13 0.014484 0.017153 0.019950 0.023081 0.026469 0.030010 0.033974
2025-07-20 0.012287 0.015486 0.018945 0.022921 0.027327 0.032023 0.037376
2025-07-27 0.010621 0.014170 0.018117 0.022758 0.028000 0.033678 0.040240
2025-08-03 0.009767 0.013662 0.018094 0.023399 0.029480 0.036148 0.043929
2025-08-10 0.008571 0.012639 0.017383 0.023171 0.029906 0.037380 0.046190
2025-08-17 0.007512 0.011688 0.016680 0.022882 0.030202 0.038415 0.048185
2025-08-24 0.006655 0.010917 0.016134 0.022726 0.030607 0.039537 0.050245
2025-08-31 0.005862 0.010161 0.015554 0.022484 0.030873 0.040468 0.052060
2025-09-07 0.005224 0.009559 0.015127 0.022392 0.031288 0.041548 0.054025
2025-09-14 0.004507 0.008790 0.014439 0.021942 0.031242 0.042065 0.055318
2025-09-21 0.003864 0.008068 0.013772 0.021480 0.031151 0.042505 0.056502
2025-09-28 0.003075 0.007092 0.012762 0.020606 0.030606 0.042479 0.057241
2025-10-05 0.002747 0.006796 0.012666 0.020914 0.031537 0.044238 0.060112
2025-10-12 0.002318 0.006286 0.012238 0.020760 0.031871 0.045265 0.062110
2025-10-19 0.001942 0.005814 0.011829 0.020606 0.032183 0.046251 0.064046
2025-10-26 0.001801 0.005739 0.011990 0.021213 0.033462 0.048415 0.067391
2025-11-02 0.001483 0.005289 0.011564 0.020997 0.033668 0.049251 0.069133
2025-11-09 0.001195 0.004845 0.011114 0.020723 0.033782 0.049961 0.070713
2025-11-16 0.000969 0.004484 0.010768 0.020576 0.034045 0.050845 0.072496
2025-11-23 0.000761 0.004113 0.010378 0.020347 0.034187 0.051568 0.074074
2025-11-30 0.000604 0.003822 0.010098 0.020260 0.034506 0.052505 0.075908
2025-12-07 0.000429 0.003423 0.009602 0.019834 0.034355 0.052837 0.076991