Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.303364e-02 0.014679 0.016345 0.018153 0.020055 0.021990 0.024103
2025-05-04 9.717460e-03 0.012203 0.014845 0.017832 0.021087 0.024504 0.028339
2025-05-11 8.008564e-03 0.010946 0.014182 0.017944 0.022140 0.026627 0.031745
2025-05-18 6.615239e-03 0.009832 0.013497 0.017867 0.022838 0.028235 0.034469
2025-05-25 5.364534e-03 0.008725 0.012692 0.017538 0.023151 0.029330 0.036545
2025-06-01 4.457875e-03 0.007928 0.012163 0.017451 0.023672 0.030600 0.038761
2025-06-08 3.613252e-03 0.007109 0.011534 0.017182 0.023931 0.031529 0.040556
2025-06-15 3.020679e-03 0.006554 0.011180 0.017201 0.024488 0.032768 0.042670
2025-06-22 2.387946e-03 0.005861 0.010594 0.016893 0.024624 0.033494 0.044176
2025-06-29 1.796131e-03 0.005138 0.009913 0.016421 0.024530 0.033924 0.045320
2025-07-06 1.191273e-03 0.004274 0.008969 0.015564 0.023927 0.033728 0.045712
2025-07-13 9.861347e-04 0.004059 0.008911 0.015834 0.024691 0.035128 0.047942
2025-07-20 6.733876e-04 0.003589 0.008488 0.015656 0.024953 0.036003 0.049650
2025-07-27 3.910786e-04 0.003073 0.007958 0.015320 0.025019 0.036656 0.051118
2025-08-03 2.450531e-04 0.002799 0.007771 0.015427 0.025627 0.037943 0.053317
2025-08-10 1.197319e-04 0.002477 0.007471 0.015356 0.025991 0.038924 0.055145
2025-08-17 2.871163e-05 0.002094 0.007023 0.015050 0.026034 0.039500 0.056480
2025-08-24 6.285524e-07 0.001829 0.006746 0.014970 0.026355 0.040406 0.058198
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001533 0.006371 0.014721 0.026440 0.041009 0.059546
2025-09-07 NaN 0.001348 0.006183 0.014738 0.026867 0.042029 0.061386
2025-09-14 NaN 0.001094 0.005810 0.014452 0.026876 0.042519 0.062581
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000832 0.005358 0.014016 0.026665 0.042721 0.063417
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000531 0.004708 0.013224 0.025939 0.042258 0.063432