Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 3354.128037 3594.433421 3834.838668 4093.070062 4362.281035 4634.354965 4929.790454
2025-11-09 2927.442062 3289.467506 3662.315858 4073.821192 4514.082946 4969.870937 5476.269486
2025-11-16 2680.215961 3119.695851 3582.050723 4102.317429 4669.073992 5265.510380 5938.367858
2025-11-23 2452.119963 2944.723548 3472.718275 4076.796581 4744.924417 5457.637312 6271.729083
2025-11-30 2321.902282 2863.771461 3453.806105 4138.251395 4904.735082 5731.358870 6684.962708
2025-12-07 2181.824216 2760.774581 3400.709029 4152.692609 5004.523755 5932.396010 7012.403905
2025-12-14 2040.926618 2647.787868 3328.368872 4138.022279 5065.126640 6084.396442 7280.582867
2025-12-21 1881.764106 2504.963979 3214.300400 4068.689906 5057.569910 6154.715115 7452.651664
2025-12-28 1849.427089 2509.114866 3268.169328 4190.671932 5266.604799 6468.067476 7897.437111
2026-01-04 1783.134376 2468.507056 3266.196718 4244.766982 5395.182923 6688.363417 8235.706787
2026-01-11 1696.656744 2399.114497 3226.508152 4251.354096 5465.969752 6840.514995 8494.740544
2026-01-18 1616.738498 2334.113049 3188.950801 4257.659892 5534.074464 6987.754551 8746.732259
2026-01-25 1554.212632 2289.454055 3175.424507 4292.870980 5637.237772 7177.425416 9050.500289
2026-02-01 1468.052898 2211.509244 3118.502740 4273.541855 5674.116689 7288.966700 9263.441702
2026-02-08 1411.418084 2168.915300 3103.150390 4302.921768 5767.670054 7465.780305 9551.614257
2026-02-15 1332.317587 2093.771808 3044.388549 4276.600450 5792.220575 7559.811624 9741.813839
2026-02-22 1299.266040 2077.838787 3059.034229 4339.980319 5924.509091 7780.806138 10080.892613
2026-03-01 1246.708632 2033.638741 3035.939975 4354.872419 5996.661921 7929.589417 10334.444462
2026-03-08 1184.197298 1973.493791 2990.332180 4339.744045 6030.634194 8031.733418 10532.053033
2026-03-15 1101.636736 1882.584761 2902.089386 4268.239063 5993.067496 8046.360625 10624.247507
2026-03-22 1103.885790 1909.740274 2968.557091 4394.034884 6200.273523 8356.498027 11069.779683
2026-03-29 1078.308063 1896.521039 2980.869882 4449.808548 6320.005395 8560.801225 11388.924039
2026-04-05 1034.936587 1856.320383 2956.007283 4456.599544 6377.725793 8689.367428 11616.965395