Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1361.149665 1495.153494 1631.841362 1781.420560 1940.224157 2103.520684 2283.854746
2025-05-04 1136.140192 1332.384217 1541.276121 1779.048631 2041.055876 2319.863116 2637.869827
2025-05-11 985.684733 1215.863562 1468.931586 1765.446894 2100.979491 2466.622196 2892.903592
2025-05-18 887.085060 1142.516362 1431.101624 1777.367227 2177.645950 2622.089989 3149.085435
2025-05-25 795.236926 1066.756425 1381.390568 1767.172894 2221.712556 2734.773691 3352.107812
2025-06-01 734.722030 1022.027920 1362.479070 1787.806393 2297.127777 2880.003939 3589.896942
2025-06-08 664.591961 959.542714 1317.061056 1772.114374 2325.758680 2967.865038 3759.017948
2025-06-15 630.545287 939.236312 1320.504400 1813.220385 2420.396431 3132.092726 4017.030625
2025-06-22 584.905339 900.472549 1297.973894 1819.783824 2471.233112 3243.023757 4211.474669
2025-06-29 539.265659 858.417559 1268.438563 1815.076708 2506.232369 3333.545328 4380.759739
2025-07-06 477.209128 789.980130 1201.092331 1758.940849 2474.406315 3340.696072 4447.848479
2025-07-13 467.699711 793.368148 1227.511783 1822.967998 2593.247988 3532.303059 4739.302042
2025-07-20 445.513100 778.014294 1228.707630 1854.651543 2672.442130 3677.267294 4977.215364
2025-07-27 412.817592 745.494752 1205.086034 1852.460132 2707.658048 3767.600433 5148.671117
2025-08-03 378.979583 708.960950 1173.945192 1838.467683 2726.226037 3836.163214 5292.714143
2025-08-10 356.396150 687.839993 1163.050072 1850.726600 2778.264366 3946.536324 5488.858092
2025-08-17 328.636183 656.833696 1136.524229 1840.242821 2799.323983 4016.957538 5634.774202
2025-08-24 312.274699 642.706807 1133.435430 1861.461626 2862.068018 4140.576378 5848.014524
2025-08-31 286.710787 611.956301 1104.544523 1845.324667 2873.812631 4198.007039 5977.248104
2025-09-07 278.590507 609.447524 1117.162881 1887.593654 2964.378001 4357.670565 6237.161989
2025-09-14 261.865873 591.296473 1105.365365 1894.342025 3006.254140 4453.936561 6416.375486
2025-09-21 243.458846 568.966135 1086.140989 1889.502302 3031.631080 4528.306743 6567.505740
2025-09-28 214.239965 525.283457 1031.883328 1831.776667 2982.395843 4503.239385 6589.361940