Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 2428.101068 2635.429866 2846.230216 3076.297149 3320.013599 3570.193797 3846.112733
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 2103.685429 2411.385275 2736.654689 3104.931641 3509.118964 3938.031508 4426.391012
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1878.335319 2243.328828 2640.490761 3102.339716 3622.171021 4186.742436 4843.769609
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1744.080166 2155.247637 2613.429853 3157.876306 3783.107196 4474.619154 5293.114137
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1590.675139 2029.636773 2529.751830 3135.927830 3844.822733 4641.733265 5599.213303
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1511.082855 1981.972175 2528.717243 3202.590014 4002.691526 4914.289437 6023.050585
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1417.561202 1909.905804 2492.127097 3221.292983 4099.552634 5112.872180 6359.457391
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1327.225536 1835.215185 2446.592626 3223.989006 4173.053823 5280.985352 6658.379617
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1199.088813 1705.488101 2326.630586 3129.352292 4123.404647 5298.204551 6774.802093
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1175.024482 1706.322651 2367.112720 3231.152158 4312.137335 5600.905950 7233.338688
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1137.232385 1686.594165 2379.484713 3296.197671 4454.790835 5848.065794 7626.333951
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 1072.588501 1627.732637 2338.642293 3291.154422 4508.124306 5985.074102 7885.315564
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 997.546343 1552.239840 2274.353931 3255.070106 4522.610465 6075.890886 8091.232175
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 953.862417 1517.433543 2261.767185 3284.627925 4619.852328 6269.692824 8425.723392
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 901.298590 1467.357588 2226.282330 3281.927955 4674.049181 6408.758212 8692.207954
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 874.814979 1452.632513 2237.253563 3339.849171 4806.313471 6646.514269 9083.414915
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 821.673699 1396.762632 2189.518104 3316.959545 4831.394896 6747.270044 9301.992386
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 803.676753 1391.198543 2210.531050 3386.475067 4977.982748 7003.730129 9719.045373
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 770.338218 1361.106319 2195.759997 3405.975849 5057.579232 7174.077313 10027.298707
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 733.775659 1324.309670 2169.887746 3408.786779 5113.906172 7313.953902 10296.911352
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 668.637371 1240.401930 2073.355904 3310.101722 5030.616492 7269.710467 10327.585160
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 667.714784 1256.594412 2122.197968 3416.255113 5226.411476 7592.512352 10835.683550
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 655.829439 1254.717719 2144.086834 3484.064020 5370.136031 7847.680216 11257.606062