Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.438550 0.513804 0.595947 0.691986 0.800899 0.920278 1.060719
2025-01-26 0.324754 0.427233 0.550048 0.706770 0.900005 1.128944 1.419029
2025-02-02 0.251268 0.365244 0.513075 0.715802 0.983074 1.319554 1.770749
2025-02-09 0.200094 0.317813 0.481428 0.720032 1.052698 1.492839 2.110519
2025-02-16 0.167602 0.288011 0.465816 0.739166 1.138653 1.689397 2.491537
2025-02-23 0.139899 0.259003 0.445122 0.745446 1.203404 1.858276 2.843689
2025-03-02 0.111597 0.222946 0.407169 0.719042 1.214738 1.948968 3.088615
2025-03-09 0.097543 0.208053 0.399971 0.738169 1.294384 2.142209 3.491505
2025-03-16 0.084624 0.192521 0.388958 0.748708 1.359838 2.316746 3.875477
2025-03-23 0.077870 0.187372 0.394996 0.787869 1.473659 2.571744 4.395108
2025-03-30 0.066420 0.170425 0.376919 0.782215 1.511302 2.707701 4.736282
2025-04-06 0.056307 0.154158 0.357570 0.771463 1.538146 2.826355 5.054766
2025-04-13 0.047808 0.139918 0.340547 0.763793 1.570907 2.958938 5.407368
2025-04-20 0.042533 0.132214 0.335868 0.779399 1.646900 3.169090 5.899613
2025-04-27 0.037497 0.123952 0.328717 0.789062 1.712268 3.364449 6.377001
2025-05-04 0.032804 0.115456 0.319693 0.793609 1.767787 3.545149 6.837930
2025-05-11 0.029725 0.110703 0.318518 0.814376 1.855885 3.788177 7.417481
2025-05-18 0.026246 0.103895 0.311365 0.821190 1.916482 3.984226 7.923480
2025-05-25 0.021547 0.091949 0.289521 0.792512 1.902550 4.041676 8.185485
2025-06-01 0.019659 0.088657 0.289311 0.813286 1.991949 4.296552 8.813564
2025-06-08 0.017609 0.084227 0.285370 0.824730 2.062254 4.518411 9.390682
2025-06-15 0.016866 0.084359 0.293971 0.867239 2.201955 4.880323 10.240402
2025-06-22 0.014603 0.078029 0.283324 0.861104 2.235017 5.035909 10.712186