Dec 31, 2018Dec 31, 2019Dec 31, 2020Dec 31, 2021Dec 31, 2022Dec 31, 2023Dec 31, 20240.0050.010.020.050.10.20.512
ActualForecastBear 68.0%Bull 68.0%Bear 95.0%Bull 95.0%Bear 99.7%Bull 99.7%FTM Price ForecastTimeAverage Price in $

Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.438487 0.513745 0.595892 0.691940 0.800865 0.920258 1.060720
2025-01-26 0.324832 0.427349 0.550211 0.706998 0.900317 1.129358 1.419580
2025-02-02 0.251476 0.365552 0.513512 0.716419 0.983931 1.320715 1.772320
2025-02-09 0.200286 0.318120 0.481898 0.720741 1.053744 1.494331 2.112642
2025-02-16 0.167807 0.288362 0.466383 0.740063 1.140031 1.691439 2.494543
2025-02-23 0.140054 0.259291 0.445620 0.746285 1.204765 1.860387 2.846932
2025-03-02 0.111715 0.223187 0.407614 0.719836 1.216091 1.951155 3.092103
2025-03-09 0.097592 0.208174 0.400228 0.738683 1.295343 2.143874 3.494334
2025-03-16 0.084611 0.192522 0.389009 0.748886 1.360279 2.317664 3.877260
2025-03-23 0.077826 0.187308 0.394928 0.787846 1.473786 2.572209 4.396271
2025-03-30 0.066371 0.170346 0.376818 0.782131 1.511335 2.708044 4.737320
2025-04-06 0.056257 0.154068 0.357440 0.771321 1.538085 2.826570 5.055661
2025-04-13 0.047749 0.139805 0.340373 0.763587 1.570780 2.959146 5.408457
2025-04-20 0.042496 0.132155 0.335821 0.779482 1.647394 3.170525 5.903061
2025-04-27 0.037486 0.123966 0.328852 0.789564 1.713663 3.367656 6.383840
2025-05-04 0.032793 0.115474 0.319852 0.794210 1.769482 3.549104 6.846475
2025-05-11 0.029720 0.110743 0.318744 0.815176 1.858099 3.793311 7.428557
2025-05-18 0.026233 0.103908 0.311541 0.821926 1.918683 3.989575 7.935415
2025-05-25 0.021530 0.091948 0.289665 0.793204 1.904759 4.047252 8.198282
2025-06-01 0.019625 0.088598 0.289307 0.813671 1.993617 4.301338 8.825421
2025-06-08 0.017561 0.084109 0.285204 0.824748 2.063226 4.522074 9.400949
2025-06-15 0.016810 0.084202 0.293699 0.867031 2.202546 4.883499 10.250319
2025-06-22 0.014548 0.077866 0.283023 0.860830 2.235530 5.039124 10.722649