Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000038 0.000040 0.000043 0.000045 0.000048 0.000051 0.000055
2025-09-07 0.000034 0.000038 0.000041 0.000045 0.000050 0.000055 0.000062
2025-09-14 0.000031 0.000035 0.000039 0.000044 0.000050 0.000057 0.000065
2025-09-21 0.000028 0.000032 0.000037 0.000043 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067
2025-09-28 0.000026 0.000030 0.000035 0.000041 0.000049 0.000058 0.000069
2025-10-05 0.000024 0.000029 0.000034 0.000040 0.000048 0.000058 0.000071
2025-10-12 0.000023 0.000027 0.000033 0.000039 0.000048 0.000059 0.000073
2025-10-19 0.000022 0.000027 0.000032 0.000039 0.000049 0.000060 0.000076
2025-10-26 0.000022 0.000026 0.000032 0.000040 0.000050 0.000063 0.000081
2025-11-02 0.000021 0.000026 0.000032 0.000040 0.000051 0.000065 0.000086
2025-11-09 0.000020 0.000025 0.000031 0.000039 0.000051 0.000065 0.000087
2025-11-16 0.000019 0.000024 0.000030 0.000038 0.000050 0.000065 0.000088
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000024 0.000030 0.000039 0.000051 0.000068 0.000094
2025-11-30 0.000018 0.000023 0.000030 0.000039 0.000052 0.000070 0.000098
2025-12-07 0.000017 0.000022 0.000029 0.000038 0.000051 0.000070 0.000099
2025-12-14 0.000016 0.000021 0.000027 0.000037 0.000050 0.000069 0.000100
2025-12-21 0.000015 0.000020 0.000026 0.000035 0.000049 0.000068 0.000100
2025-12-28 0.000015 0.000019 0.000025 0.000034 0.000048 0.000067 0.000100
2026-01-04 0.000014 0.000019 0.000025 0.000034 0.000048 0.000068 0.000102
2026-01-11 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024 0.000034 0.000048 0.000069 0.000105
2026-01-18 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024 0.000034 0.000049 0.000072 0.000111
2026-01-25 0.000013 0.000018 0.000025 0.000035 0.000050 0.000074 0.000117
2026-02-01 0.000013 0.000017 0.000024 0.000034 0.000049 0.000074 0.000118