Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000090 0.000095 0.000100 0.000105 0.000111 0.000118 0.000125
2025-01-12 0.000080 0.000086 0.000093 0.000102 0.000111 0.000122 0.000135
2025-01-19 0.000074 0.000081 0.000089 0.000099 0.000111 0.000125 0.000143
2025-01-26 0.000068 0.000075 0.000084 0.000095 0.000108 0.000124 0.000145
2025-02-02 0.000066 0.000074 0.000083 0.000096 0.000111 0.000130 0.000156
2025-02-09 0.000064 0.000073 0.000084 0.000097 0.000115 0.000138 0.000170
2025-02-16 0.000063 0.000072 0.000084 0.000099 0.000119 0.000145 0.000185
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000073 0.000086 0.000103 0.000127 0.000159 0.000209
2025-03-02 0.000060 0.000071 0.000083 0.000101 0.000125 0.000158 0.000213
2025-03-09 0.000058 0.000068 0.000080 0.000097 0.000122 0.000156 0.000213
2025-03-16 0.000056 0.000066 0.000079 0.000097 0.000123 0.000160 0.000224
2025-03-23 0.000055 0.000066 0.000079 0.000098 0.000126 0.000167 0.000240
2025-03-30 0.000053 0.000064 0.000077 0.000096 0.000124 0.000168 0.000246
2025-04-06 0.000051 0.000061 0.000074 0.000093 0.000122 0.000166 0.000248
2025-04-13 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072 0.000091 0.000120 0.000165 0.000253
2025-04-20 0.000046 0.000056 0.000069 0.000087 0.000116 0.000161 0.000249
2025-04-27 0.000046 0.000055 0.000068 0.000088 0.000118 0.000167 0.000267
2025-05-04 0.000045 0.000055 0.000069 0.000089 0.000121 0.000176 0.000293
2025-05-11 0.000045 0.000055 0.000069 0.000090 0.000125 0.000185 0.000321
2025-05-18 0.000045 0.000056 0.000071 0.000094 0.000133 0.000204 0.000377
2025-05-25 0.000044 0.000054 0.000069 0.000092 0.000131 0.000202 0.000380
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000053 0.000067 0.000089 0.000127 0.000198 0.000376
2025-06-08 0.000042 0.000052 0.000066 0.000089 0.000128 0.000203 0.000398