Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000033 0.000035 0.000037 0.000040 0.000042 0.000045 0.000048
2025-09-28 0.000029 0.000032 0.000035 0.000038 0.000042 0.000047 0.000052
2025-10-05 0.000026 0.000030 0.000033 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055
2025-10-12 0.000024 0.000028 0.000032 0.000037 0.000043 0.000049 0.000058
2025-10-19 0.000023 0.000027 0.000031 0.000037 0.000043 0.000051 0.000061
2025-10-26 0.000022 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000045 0.000054 0.000066
2025-11-02 0.000022 0.000026 0.000031 0.000038 0.000046 0.000056 0.000070
2025-11-09 0.000020 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000045 0.000056 0.000071
2025-11-16 0.000019 0.000024 0.000029 0.000036 0.000045 0.000056 0.000073
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000046 0.000059 0.000077
2025-11-30 0.000018 0.000023 0.000028 0.000036 0.000046 0.000060 0.000080
2025-12-07 0.000017 0.000022 0.000027 0.000035 0.000045 0.000059 0.000080
2025-12-14 0.000016 0.000021 0.000026 0.000034 0.000044 0.000059 0.000080
2025-12-21 0.000015 0.000020 0.000025 0.000033 0.000043 0.000058 0.000081
2025-12-28 0.000015 0.000019 0.000024 0.000032 0.000043 0.000058 0.000082
2026-01-04 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024 0.000031 0.000043 0.000059 0.000084
2026-01-11 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000043 0.000060 0.000087
2026-01-18 0.000013 0.000018 0.000023 0.000032 0.000044 0.000062 0.000092
2026-01-25 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000032 0.000045 0.000065 0.000097
2026-02-01 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000031 0.000044 0.000064 0.000097
2026-02-08 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031 0.000044 0.000064 0.000098
2026-02-15 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031 0.000045 0.000066 0.000103
2026-02-22 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031 0.000045 0.000067 0.000107