Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000032 0.000034 0.000037 0.000039 0.000041 0.000044 0.000047
2025-09-28 0.000028 0.000031 0.000034 0.000038 0.000041 0.000046 0.000051
2025-10-05 0.000026 0.000029 0.000032 0.000037 0.000041 0.000047 0.000054
2025-10-12 0.000024 0.000027 0.000031 0.000036 0.000042 0.000048 0.000056
2025-10-19 0.000023 0.000026 0.000031 0.000036 0.000042 0.000050 0.000060
2025-10-26 0.000022 0.000026 0.000031 0.000036 0.000044 0.000052 0.000064
2025-11-02 0.000021 0.000026 0.000030 0.000037 0.000045 0.000055 0.000068
2025-11-09 0.000020 0.000024 0.000029 0.000036 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070
2025-11-16 0.000019 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000044 0.000055 0.000071
2025-11-23 0.000019 0.000023 0.000028 0.000035 0.000045 0.000057 0.000075
2025-11-30 0.000018 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000045 0.000059 0.000078
2025-12-07 0.000017 0.000021 0.000027 0.000034 0.000044 0.000058 0.000077
2025-12-14 0.000016 0.000020 0.000026 0.000033 0.000043 0.000057 0.000078
2025-12-21 0.000015 0.000019 0.000024 0.000032 0.000042 0.000057 0.000079
2025-12-28 0.000014 0.000018 0.000024 0.000031 0.000042 0.000057 0.000080
2026-01-04 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000057 0.000082
2026-01-11 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000031 0.000042 0.000059 0.000085
2026-01-18 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000031 0.000043 0.000061 0.000089
2026-01-25 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000031 0.000044 0.000063 0.000094
2026-02-01 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031 0.000043 0.000063 0.000095
2026-02-08 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000030 0.000043 0.000062 0.000096
2026-02-15 0.000012 0.000016 0.000021 0.000030 0.000044 0.000064 0.000101
2026-02-22 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000030 0.000044 0.000066 0.000104