Dec 31, 2021Dec 31, 2022Dec 31, 2023Dec 31, 20240.0010.005
ActualForecastBear 68.0%Bull 68.0%Bear 95.0%Bull 95.0%Bear 99.7%Bull 99.7%ICP /BTC ForecastTimeAverage Price in BTC

Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000058 0.000061 0.000064 0.000068 0.000071 0.000075 0.000079
2025-04-06 0.000052 0.000056 0.000060 0.000065 0.000071 0.000077 0.000084
2025-04-13 0.000047 0.000052 0.000057 0.000063 0.000069 0.000077 0.000086
2025-04-20 0.000044 0.000048 0.000054 0.000060 0.000068 0.000077 0.000088
2025-04-27 0.000041 0.000046 0.000052 0.000059 0.000067 0.000077 0.000090
2025-05-04 0.000040 0.000046 0.000052 0.000060 0.000069 0.000081 0.000097
2025-05-11 0.000039 0.000045 0.000052 0.000060 0.000071 0.000084 0.000103
2025-05-18 0.000039 0.000045 0.000053 0.000062 0.000075 0.000091 0.000113
2025-05-25 0.000037 0.000044 0.000051 0.000061 0.000074 0.000090 0.000114
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000042 0.000049 0.000059 0.000072 0.000089 0.000114
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000041 0.000049 0.000059 0.000073 0.000091 0.000119
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000041 0.000049 0.000060 0.000074 0.000095 0.000125
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000040 0.000048 0.000059 0.000074 0.000096 0.000129
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000038 0.000046 0.000057 0.000073 0.000094 0.000129
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000036 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000092 0.000128
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000034 0.000042 0.000053 0.000068 0.000090 0.000127
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000052 0.000067 0.000090 0.000128
2025-07-27 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000052 0.000069 0.000094 0.000137
2025-08-03 0.000027 0.000033 0.000041 0.000053 0.000070 0.000097 0.000144
2025-08-10 0.000027 0.000033 0.000042 0.000055 0.000074 0.000104 0.000160
2025-08-17 0.000026 0.000032 0.000041 0.000053 0.000073 0.000103 0.000160
2025-08-24 0.000025 0.000031 0.000039 0.000052 0.000071 0.000101 0.000158
2025-08-31 0.000024 0.000031 0.000039 0.000052 0.000071 0.000103 0.000165