Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000023 0.000024 0.000026 0.000027 0.000029 0.000031 0.000033
2025-11-09 0.000020 0.000022 0.000024 0.000027 0.000030 0.000033 0.000037
2025-11-16 0.000018 0.000020 0.000023 0.000026 0.000030 0.000034 0.000039
2025-11-23 0.000017 0.000020 0.000023 0.000026 0.000031 0.000036 0.000042
2025-11-30 0.000016 0.000019 0.000022 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000045
2025-12-07 0.000015 0.000018 0.000021 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000046
2025-12-14 0.000014 0.000017 0.000020 0.000025 0.000030 0.000037 0.000047
2025-12-21 0.000013 0.000016 0.000019 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000048
2025-12-28 0.000012 0.000015 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000037 0.000048
2026-01-04 0.000011 0.000014 0.000018 0.000022 0.000029 0.000037 0.000048
2026-01-11 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000022 0.000029 0.000038 0.000050
2026-01-18 0.000011 0.000014 0.000017 0.000022 0.000029 0.000039 0.000052
2026-01-25 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000023 0.000030 0.000040 0.000055
2026-02-01 0.000010 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000030 0.000040 0.000056
2026-02-08 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000029 0.000040 0.000057
2026-02-15 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000030 0.000042 0.000061
2026-02-22 0.000009 0.000012 0.000016 0.000022 0.000030 0.000043 0.000063
2026-03-01 0.000008 0.000011 0.000015 0.000021 0.000030 0.000042 0.000063
2026-03-08 0.000008 0.000011 0.000014 0.000020 0.000029 0.000042 0.000063
2026-03-15 0.000007 0.000010 0.000014 0.000020 0.000028 0.000041 0.000063
2026-03-22 0.000007 0.000010 0.000013 0.000019 0.000028 0.000041 0.000062
2026-03-29 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000027 0.000040 0.000063
2026-04-05 0.000007 0.000009 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027 0.000041 0.000065