Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000047 0.000050 0.000052 0.000055 0.000057 0.000060 0.000064
2025-05-04 0.000044 0.000047 0.000051 0.000055 0.000060 0.000065 0.000071
2025-05-11 0.000042 0.000046 0.000050 0.000056 0.000062 0.000069 0.000078
2025-05-18 0.000041 0.000046 0.000051 0.000058 0.000066 0.000075 0.000087
2025-05-25 0.000038 0.000044 0.000049 0.000057 0.000065 0.000076 0.000089
2025-06-01 0.000036 0.000041 0.000047 0.000055 0.000064 0.000075 0.000090
2025-06-08 0.000035 0.000040 0.000047 0.000055 0.000065 0.000078 0.000095
2025-06-15 0.000034 0.000040 0.000047 0.000055 0.000067 0.000081 0.000101
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000038 0.000045 0.000054 0.000066 0.000081 0.000102
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000064 0.000079 0.000101
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000034 0.000041 0.000050 0.000062 0.000077 0.000100
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000033 0.000039 0.000048 0.000060 0.000076 0.000099
2025-07-20 0.000026 0.000032 0.000038 0.000047 0.000059 0.000076 0.000101
2025-07-27 0.000026 0.000031 0.000038 0.000048 0.000061 0.000079 0.000108
2025-08-03 0.000026 0.000031 0.000038 0.000048 0.000062 0.000082 0.000114
2025-08-10 0.000026 0.000032 0.000039 0.000050 0.000066 0.000088 0.000125
2025-08-17 0.000025 0.000030 0.000038 0.000049 0.000065 0.000088 0.000126
2025-08-24 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000047 0.000063 0.000086 0.000126
2025-08-31 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000047 0.000064 0.000088 0.000131
2025-09-07 0.000023 0.000029 0.000036 0.000048 0.000065 0.000092 0.000139
2025-09-14 0.000022 0.000028 0.000035 0.000047 0.000064 0.000091 0.000139
2025-09-21 0.000021 0.000026 0.000034 0.000045 0.000062 0.000089 0.000138
2025-09-28 0.000020 0.000025 0.000033 0.000043 0.000060 0.000086 0.000135