Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000065 0.000068 0.000072 0.000075 0.000079 0.000083 0.000088
2025-03-02 0.000059 0.000063 0.000068 0.000073 0.000080 0.000086 0.000095
2025-03-09 0.000054 0.000059 0.000065 0.000071 0.000079 0.000088 0.000099
2025-03-16 0.000051 0.000057 0.000063 0.000071 0.000080 0.000091 0.000105
2025-03-23 0.000050 0.000056 0.000063 0.000072 0.000083 0.000096 0.000114
2025-03-30 0.000048 0.000054 0.000062 0.000071 0.000083 0.000098 0.000118
2025-04-06 0.000045 0.000052 0.000059 0.000069 0.000081 0.000097 0.000119
2025-04-13 0.000042 0.000049 0.000056 0.000066 0.000079 0.000095 0.000118
2025-04-20 0.000040 0.000046 0.000054 0.000063 0.000076 0.000093 0.000117
2025-04-27 0.000039 0.000045 0.000052 0.000062 0.000075 0.000092 0.000117
2025-05-04 0.000038 0.000045 0.000052 0.000063 0.000077 0.000096 0.000125
2025-05-11 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000063 0.000079 0.000099 0.000131
2025-05-18 0.000038 0.000045 0.000054 0.000066 0.000083 0.000107 0.000147
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000043 0.000052 0.000064 0.000082 0.000107 0.000149
2025-06-01 0.000035 0.000042 0.000050 0.000063 0.000080 0.000106 0.000150
2025-06-08 0.000034 0.000041 0.000050 0.000062 0.000081 0.000109 0.000157
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000041 0.000050 0.000063 0.000083 0.000114 0.000169
2025-06-22 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000063 0.000083 0.000115 0.000174
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000061 0.000081 0.000113 0.000172
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000036 0.000045 0.000058 0.000078 0.000109 0.000168
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000035 0.000044 0.000056 0.000076 0.000106 0.000165
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000034 0.000042 0.000055 0.000074 0.000105 0.000165
2025-07-27 0.000028 0.000034 0.000043 0.000056 0.000076 0.000110 0.000176