Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001895 0.001983 0.002075 0.002179 0.002293 0.002415 0.002556
2025-05-25 0.001737 0.001858 0.001991 0.002148 0.002330 0.002538 0.002795
2025-06-01 0.001618 0.001759 0.001917 0.002112 0.002347 0.002629 0.003001
2025-06-08 0.001564 0.001724 0.001909 0.002145 0.002443 0.002817 0.003344
2025-06-15 0.001512 0.001686 0.001892 0.002162 0.002514 0.002979 0.003675
2025-06-22 0.001451 0.001631 0.001849 0.002138 0.002529 0.003063 0.003905
2025-06-29 0.001393 0.001576 0.001801 0.002105 0.002524 0.003115 0.004094
2025-07-06 0.001350 0.001537 0.001769 0.002089 0.002540 0.003198 0.004340
2025-07-13 0.001284 0.001466 0.001693 0.002009 0.002459 0.003125 0.004310
2025-07-20 0.001253 0.001438 0.001672 0.002000 0.002479 0.003208 0.004568
2025-07-27 0.001234 0.001424 0.001667 0.002015 0.002533 0.003349 0.004966
2025-08-03 0.001206 0.001397 0.001644 0.002001 0.002542 0.003416 0.005230
2025-08-10 0.001191 0.001388 0.001645 0.002023 0.002610 0.003597 0.005800
2025-08-17 0.001166 0.001365 0.001625 0.002015 0.002630 0.003695 0.006218
2025-08-24 0.001137 0.001335 0.001596 0.001989 0.002620 0.003736 0.006511
2025-08-31 0.001129 0.001332 0.001605 0.002022 0.002708 0.003976 0.007455
2025-09-07 0.001116 0.001323 0.001603 0.002037 0.002768 0.004174 0.008404
2025-09-14 0.001093 0.001299 0.001579 0.002017 0.002764 0.004234 0.008928
2025-09-21 0.001068 0.001272 0.001549 0.001987 0.002740 0.004247 0.009291
2025-09-28 0.001049 0.001252 0.001531 0.001973 0.002743 0.004322 0.009970
2025-10-05 0.001014 0.001210 0.001477 0.001901 0.002637 0.004135 0.009390
2025-10-12 0.001000 0.001195 0.001464 0.001894 0.002649 0.004224 0.010158
2025-10-19 0.000992 0.001189 0.001464 0.001907 0.002700 0.004416 0.011650