Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.002587 0.002758 0.002942 0.003157 0.003400 0.003672 0.003999
2024-12-29 0.002352 0.002590 0.002861 0.003198 0.003614 0.004121 0.004805
2025-01-05 0.002144 0.002410 0.002726 0.003139 0.003679 0.004386 0.005434
2025-01-12 0.001968 0.002244 0.002580 0.003035 0.003656 0.004518 0.005899
2025-01-19 0.001867 0.002156 0.002519 0.003025 0.003747 0.004809 0.006669
2025-01-26 0.001712 0.001989 0.002339 0.002834 0.003555 0.004646 0.006641
2025-02-02 0.001659 0.001946 0.002317 0.002857 0.003672 0.004973 0.007575
2025-02-09 0.001635 0.001939 0.002340 0.002942 0.003891 0.005508 0.009147
2025-02-16 0.001589 0.001900 0.002317 0.002955 0.003995 0.005864 0.010520
2025-02-23 0.001577 0.001904 0.002353 0.003059 0.004264 0.006594 0.013423
2025-03-02 0.001523 0.001847 0.002296 0.003014 0.004266 0.006784 0.014884
2025-03-09 0.001465 0.001783 0.002226 0.002942 0.004209 0.006831 0.015902
2025-03-16 0.001440 0.001767 0.002230 0.002997 0.004409 0.007558 0.021049
2025-03-23 0.001416 0.001750 0.002232 0.003048 0.004614 0.008396 0.029776
2025-03-30 0.001368 0.001698 0.002176 0.002998 0.004608 0.008672 0.036328
2025-04-06 0.001313 0.001633 0.002099 0.002903 0.004497 0.008611 0.039777
2025-04-13 0.001283 0.001602 0.002071 0.002894 0.004567 0.009138 0.056615
2025-04-20 0.001215 0.001515 0.001954 0.002718 0.004254 0.008345 0.044884
2025-04-27 0.001197 0.001499 0.001947 0.002739 0.004379 0.009047 0.073955
2025-05-04 0.001192 0.001503 0.001971 0.002818 0.004648 0.010421 0.326907
2025-05-11 0.001173 0.001485 0.001959 0.002830 0.004763 0.011304 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001172 0.001494 0.001991 0.002926 0.005106 0.013542 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001144 0.001462 0.001953 0.002885 0.005086 0.013953 NaN