Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.000887 0.000954 0.001024 0.001105 0.001194 0.001290 0.001401
2026-04-12 0.000789 0.000879 0.000979 0.001098 0.001238 0.001398 0.001596
2026-04-19 0.000780 0.000894 0.001024 0.001188 0.001388 0.001629 0.001944
2026-04-26 0.000720 0.000841 0.000984 0.001168 0.001401 0.001692 0.002089
2026-05-03 0.000669 0.000794 0.000945 0.001143 0.001403 0.001737 0.002210
2026-05-10 0.000635 0.000764 0.000924 0.001139 0.001427 0.001809 0.002371
2026-05-17 0.000605 0.000737 0.000903 0.001132 0.001446 0.001874 0.002525
2026-05-24 0.000570 0.000702 0.000870 0.001105 0.001435 0.001895 0.002616
2026-05-31 0.000544 0.000676 0.000848 0.001091 0.001440 0.001938 0.002741
2026-06-07 0.000517 0.000648 0.000820 0.001068 0.001428 0.001955 0.002826
2026-06-14 0.000481 0.000607 0.000773 0.001015 0.001371 0.001899 0.002788
2026-06-21 0.000461 0.000586 0.000753 0.000999 0.001367 0.001921 0.002880
2026-06-28 0.000449 0.000577 0.000749 0.001008 0.001403 0.002015 0.003111
2026-07-05 0.000433 0.000561 0.000735 0.001002 0.001417 0.002076 0.003292
2026-07-12 0.000444 0.000583 0.000777 0.001081 0.001569 0.002375 0.003946
2026-07-19 0.000426 0.000563 0.000757 0.001063 0.001564 0.002408 0.004101
2026-07-26 0.000408 0.000543 0.000735 0.001042 0.001551 0.002426 0.004227
2026-08-02 0.000396 0.000530 0.000724 0.001038 0.001566 0.002495 0.004466
2026-08-09 0.000384 0.000518 0.000712 0.001031 0.001578 0.002557 0.004700
2026-08-16 0.000369 0.000499 0.000691 0.001008 0.001557 0.002558 0.004799
2026-08-23 0.000357 0.000486 0.000677 0.000996 0.001556 0.002594 0.004983
2026-08-30 0.000344 0.000470 0.000658 0.000975 0.001538 0.002596 0.005087
2026-09-06 0.000325 0.000445 0.000625 0.000928 0.001470 0.002495 0.004929