Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001736 0.001811 0.001888 0.001974 0.002068 0.002168 0.002282
2025-07-13 0.001570 0.001670 0.001777 0.001903 0.002046 0.002206 0.002401
2025-07-20 0.001485 0.001604 0.001736 0.001896 0.002085 0.002307 0.002592
2025-07-27 0.001431 0.001565 0.001718 0.001908 0.002143 0.002429 0.002816
2025-08-03 0.001373 0.001516 0.001683 0.001894 0.002163 0.002503 0.002984
2025-08-10 0.001339 0.001492 0.001673 0.001909 0.002218 0.002622 0.003224
2025-08-17 0.001297 0.001456 0.001646 0.001899 0.002237 0.002693 0.003403
2025-08-24 0.001256 0.001418 0.001614 0.001879 0.002239 0.002740 0.003550
2025-08-31 0.001244 0.001415 0.001626 0.001915 0.002321 0.002905 0.003905
2025-09-07 0.001222 0.001397 0.001617 0.001923 0.002361 0.003013 0.004183
2025-09-14 0.001190 0.001366 0.001589 0.001903 0.002359 0.003053 0.004347
2025-09-21 0.001158 0.001334 0.001557 0.001875 0.002344 0.003072 0.004473
2025-09-28 0.001132 0.001309 0.001537 0.001864 0.002353 0.003132 0.004697
2025-10-05 0.001088 0.001260 0.001481 0.001799 0.002279 0.003047 0.004610
2025-10-12 0.001068 0.001241 0.001466 0.001793 0.002293 0.003113 0.004859
2025-10-19 0.001056 0.001233 0.001463 0.001804 0.002335 0.003232 0.005255
2025-10-26 0.001036 0.001213 0.001445 0.001792 0.002339 0.003282 0.005499
2025-11-02 0.001026 0.001206 0.001445 0.001805 0.002385 0.003415 0.005996
2025-11-09 0.001009 0.001190 0.001430 0.001796 0.002392 0.003474 0.006316
2025-11-16 0.000990 0.001170 0.001410 0.001778 0.002383 0.003500 0.006549
2025-11-23 0.000989 0.001173 0.001423 0.001810 0.002463 0.003718 0.007485
2025-11-30 0.000979 0.001165 0.001419 0.001817 0.002499 0.003846 0.008202
2025-12-07 0.000962 0.001147 0.001400 0.001799 0.002487 0.003871 0.008534