Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.000678 0.000708 0.000739 0.000772 0.000807 0.000844 0.000884
2025-11-09 0.000619 0.000662 0.000708 0.000759 0.000816 0.000877 0.000948
2025-11-16 0.000575 0.000627 0.000683 0.000749 0.000823 0.000906 0.001005
2025-11-23 0.000554 0.000614 0.000681 0.000760 0.000853 0.000960 0.001091
2025-11-30 0.000531 0.000597 0.000671 0.000762 0.000871 0.000998 0.001159
2025-12-07 0.000504 0.000574 0.000653 0.000751 0.000872 0.001015 0.001202
2025-12-14 0.000481 0.000552 0.000635 0.000740 0.000870 0.001028 0.001239
2025-12-21 0.000462 0.000535 0.000621 0.000732 0.000871 0.001044 0.001279
2025-12-28 0.000433 0.000505 0.000590 0.000701 0.000842 0.001019 0.001265
2026-01-04 0.000416 0.000489 0.000577 0.000691 0.000839 0.001027 0.001293
2026-01-11 0.000404 0.000478 0.000568 0.000687 0.000842 0.001044 0.001333
2026-01-18 0.000391 0.000466 0.000557 0.000679 0.000840 0.001053 0.001362
2026-01-25 0.000383 0.000460 0.000554 0.000681 0.000853 0.001083 0.001425
2026-02-01 0.000370 0.000447 0.000542 0.000672 0.000850 0.001090 0.001455
2026-02-08 0.000358 0.000435 0.000531 0.000664 0.000847 0.001099 0.001486
2026-02-15 0.000355 0.000434 0.000534 0.000674 0.000869 0.001144 0.001575
2026-02-22 0.000348 0.000428 0.000531 0.000675 0.000880 0.001172 0.001640
2026-03-01 0.000338 0.000417 0.000520 0.000666 0.000876 0.001177 0.001668
2026-03-08 0.000328 0.000407 0.000509 0.000657 0.000869 0.001179 0.001692
2026-03-15 0.000319 0.000398 0.000501 0.000650 0.000867 0.001187 0.001724
2026-03-22 0.000304 0.000380 0.000479 0.000623 0.000835 0.001148 0.001678
2026-03-29 0.000296 0.000371 0.000470 0.000615 0.000829 0.001149 0.001699
2026-04-05 0.000290 0.000365 0.000465 0.000611 0.000830 0.001162 0.001739