Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001244 0.001287 0.001330 0.001378 0.001430 0.001483 0.001542
2025-08-10 0.001167 0.001230 0.001296 0.001372 0.001456 0.001546 0.001652
2025-08-17 0.001105 0.001181 0.001263 0.001359 0.001469 0.001592 0.001743
2025-08-24 0.001053 0.001138 0.001232 0.001344 0.001476 0.001629 0.001822
2025-08-31 0.001031 0.001126 0.001232 0.001363 0.001521 0.001710 0.001958
2025-09-07 0.001004 0.001106 0.001222 0.001367 0.001547 0.001767 0.002067
2025-09-14 0.000972 0.001078 0.001200 0.001355 0.001551 0.001797 0.002141
2025-09-21 0.000941 0.001049 0.001176 0.001339 0.001547 0.001815 0.002199
2025-09-28 0.000917 0.001028 0.001159 0.001329 0.001551 0.001841 0.002269
2025-10-05 0.000880 0.000989 0.001119 0.001289 0.001514 0.001810 0.002254
2025-10-12 0.000860 0.000971 0.001104 0.001280 0.001515 0.001830 0.002315
2025-10-19 0.000846 0.000959 0.001096 0.001280 0.001528 0.001869 0.002405
2025-10-26 0.000828 0.000942 0.001082 0.001271 0.001529 0.001890 0.002472
2025-11-02 0.000818 0.000935 0.001080 0.001278 0.001554 0.001946 0.002599
2025-11-09 0.000803 0.000922 0.001069 0.001272 0.001559 0.001973 0.002683
2025-11-16 0.000787 0.000906 0.001054 0.001261 0.001556 0.001989 0.002747
2025-11-23 0.000783 0.000906 0.001061 0.001279 0.001596 0.002072 0.002939
2025-11-30 0.000775 0.000899 0.001058 0.001284 0.001615 0.002124 0.003079
2025-12-07 0.000761 0.000885 0.001045 0.001273 0.001612 0.002139 0.003152
2025-12-14 0.000746 0.000870 0.001029 0.001259 0.001602 0.002142 0.003200
2025-12-21 0.000734 0.000858 0.001018 0.001250 0.001600 0.002158 0.003278
2025-12-28 0.000713 0.000833 0.000989 0.001215 0.001555 0.002100 0.003195
2026-01-04 0.000702 0.000822 0.000978 0.001206 0.001552 0.002113 0.003263