Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.001790 0.001868 0.001950 0.002042 0.002142 0.002249 0.002372
2025-06-15 0.001677 0.001791 0.001914 0.002060 0.002228 0.002418 0.002651
2025-06-22 0.001572 0.001706 0.001856 0.002040 0.002261 0.002523 0.002866
2025-06-29 0.001485 0.001630 0.001798 0.002008 0.002271 0.002596 0.003044
2025-07-06 0.001422 0.001578 0.001760 0.001995 0.002297 0.002686 0.003251
2025-07-13 0.001340 0.001496 0.001681 0.001922 0.002239 0.002658 0.003287
2025-07-20 0.001299 0.001461 0.001655 0.001915 0.002264 0.002740 0.003489
2025-07-27 0.001272 0.001441 0.001647 0.001928 0.002314 0.002861 0.003766
2025-08-03 0.001237 0.001408 0.001621 0.001913 0.002326 0.002924 0.003959
2025-08-10 0.001217 0.001394 0.001617 0.001929 0.002378 0.003054 0.004286
2025-08-17 0.001189 0.001368 0.001596 0.001918 0.002392 0.003122 0.004516
2025-08-24 0.001159 0.001339 0.001568 0.001897 0.002388 0.003162 0.004697
2025-08-31 0.001149 0.001335 0.001576 0.001928 0.002466 0.003348 0.005227
2025-09-07 0.001133 0.001324 0.001573 0.001942 0.002519 0.003500 0.005737
2025-09-14 0.001107 0.001298 0.001548 0.001924 0.002519 0.003555 0.006034
2025-09-21 0.001080 0.001268 0.001518 0.001895 0.002500 0.003573 0.006245
2025-09-28 0.001059 0.001248 0.001500 0.001883 0.002507 0.003640 0.006614
2025-10-05 0.001022 0.001204 0.001448 0.001818 0.002420 0.003515 0.006390
2025-10-12 0.001006 0.001189 0.001434 0.001811 0.002433 0.003590 0.006798
2025-10-19 0.000996 0.001182 0.001433 0.001822 0.002478 0.003736 0.007501
2025-10-26 0.000980 0.001165 0.001416 0.001810 0.002479 0.003790 0.007921
2025-11-02 0.000972 0.001160 0.001417 0.001824 0.002528 0.003955 0.008877
2025-11-09 0.000958 0.001145 0.001403 0.001814 0.002534 0.004024 0.009485