Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-08 0.000925 0.000997 0.001073 0.001159 0.001255 0.001358 0.001479
2026-02-15 0.000826 0.000923 0.001031 0.001160 0.001313 0.001488 0.001707
2026-02-22 0.000752 0.000861 0.000987 0.001145 0.001338 0.001570 0.001874
2026-03-01 0.000687 0.000802 0.000937 0.001112 0.001333 0.001609 0.001985
2026-03-08 0.000641 0.000760 0.000904 0.001093 0.001341 0.001659 0.002112
2026-03-15 0.000602 0.000724 0.000874 0.001076 0.001347 0.001706 0.002233
2026-03-22 0.000553 0.000671 0.000819 0.001022 0.001298 0.001673 0.002238
2026-03-29 0.000525 0.000644 0.000795 0.001005 0.001299 0.001706 0.002339
2026-04-05 0.000509 0.000632 0.000790 0.001014 0.001334 0.001789 0.002521
2026-04-12 0.000490 0.000614 0.000776 0.001009 0.001347 0.001841 0.002658
2026-04-19 0.000504 0.000640 0.000822 0.001090 0.001491 0.002099 0.003151
2026-04-26 0.000482 0.000616 0.000798 0.001069 0.001482 0.002119 0.003251
2026-05-03 0.000458 0.000591 0.000772 0.001047 0.001473 0.002144 0.003373
2026-05-10 0.000443 0.000577 0.000762 0.001047 0.001498 0.002229 0.003615
2026-05-17 0.000425 0.000558 0.000744 0.001034 0.001501 0.002274 0.003787
2026-05-24 0.000404 0.000534 0.000716 0.001005 0.001476 0.002271 0.003865
2026-05-31 0.000388 0.000516 0.000698 0.000989 0.001471 0.002300 0.004011
2026-06-07 0.000374 0.000500 0.000681 0.000974 0.001466 0.002330 0.004162
2026-06-14 0.000352 0.000472 0.000645 0.000926 0.001403 0.002248 0.004065
2026-06-21 0.000339 0.000458 0.000629 0.000912 0.001397 0.002270 0.004196
2026-06-28 0.000334 0.000453 0.000628 0.000920 0.001429 0.002369 0.004514
2026-07-05 0.000325 0.000443 0.000619 0.000915 0.001439 0.002423 0.004737
2026-07-12 0.000335 0.000462 0.000655 0.000986 0.001591 0.002778 0.005753