Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001724 0.001797 0.001873 0.001958 0.002051 0.002149 0.002262
2025-07-13 0.001559 0.001657 0.001763 0.001887 0.002028 0.002186 0.002377
2025-07-20 0.001475 0.001592 0.001723 0.001880 0.002066 0.002284 0.002564
2025-07-27 0.001421 0.001554 0.001705 0.001892 0.002123 0.002404 0.002783
2025-08-03 0.001364 0.001505 0.001670 0.001878 0.002143 0.002476 0.002948
2025-08-10 0.001330 0.001481 0.001660 0.001893 0.002196 0.002593 0.003182
2025-08-17 0.001289 0.001446 0.001634 0.001883 0.002215 0.002663 0.003356
2025-08-24 0.001248 0.001408 0.001602 0.001863 0.002218 0.002709 0.003499
2025-08-31 0.001237 0.001405 0.001614 0.001899 0.002297 0.002870 0.003845
2025-09-07 0.001214 0.001388 0.001605 0.001906 0.002337 0.002975 0.004115
2025-09-14 0.001183 0.001357 0.001577 0.001886 0.002335 0.003015 0.004274
2025-09-21 0.001150 0.001325 0.001545 0.001859 0.002320 0.003032 0.004393
2025-09-28 0.001125 0.001301 0.001525 0.001847 0.002328 0.003090 0.004610
2025-10-05 0.001082 0.001252 0.001470 0.001784 0.002255 0.003007 0.004526
2025-10-12 0.001062 0.001233 0.001455 0.001777 0.002269 0.003072 0.004765
2025-10-19 0.001050 0.001224 0.001452 0.001788 0.002311 0.003188 0.005147
2025-10-26 0.001030 0.001205 0.001435 0.001776 0.002314 0.003236 0.005381
2025-11-02 0.001020 0.001198 0.001434 0.001790 0.002359 0.003366 0.005859
2025-11-09 0.001004 0.001182 0.001420 0.001780 0.002366 0.003424 0.006165
2025-11-16 0.000985 0.001162 0.001400 0.001762 0.002357 0.003449 0.006387
2025-11-23 0.000983 0.001166 0.001412 0.001795 0.002436 0.003661 0.007278
2025-11-30 0.000974 0.001158 0.001409 0.001802 0.002471 0.003785 0.007957
2025-12-07 0.000957 0.001140 0.001390 0.001783 0.002460 0.003809 0.008271