Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.001768 0.001845 0.001925 0.002015 0.002113 0.002216 0.002336
2025-06-15 0.001656 0.001768 0.001888 0.002030 0.002193 0.002377 0.002603
2025-06-22 0.001554 0.001684 0.001831 0.002009 0.002224 0.002478 0.002809
2025-06-29 0.001467 0.001610 0.001774 0.001979 0.002234 0.002549 0.002981
2025-07-06 0.001406 0.001558 0.001737 0.001965 0.002259 0.002636 0.003179
2025-07-13 0.001325 0.001478 0.001659 0.001894 0.002203 0.002609 0.003215
2025-07-20 0.001285 0.001443 0.001634 0.001887 0.002227 0.002688 0.003408
2025-07-27 0.001259 0.001424 0.001626 0.001900 0.002276 0.002805 0.003674
2025-08-03 0.001224 0.001392 0.001600 0.001886 0.002287 0.002866 0.003859
2025-08-10 0.001204 0.001378 0.001596 0.001901 0.002338 0.002991 0.004171
2025-08-17 0.001176 0.001353 0.001575 0.001891 0.002351 0.003057 0.004390
2025-08-24 0.001146 0.001323 0.001548 0.001869 0.002346 0.003093 0.004557
2025-08-31 0.001136 0.001319 0.001555 0.001899 0.002421 0.003271 0.005055
2025-09-07 0.001121 0.001308 0.001552 0.001912 0.002473 0.003416 0.005532
2025-09-14 0.001096 0.001283 0.001528 0.001894 0.002472 0.003469 0.005810
2025-09-21 0.001068 0.001254 0.001499 0.001867 0.002455 0.003487 0.006008
2025-09-28 0.001048 0.001234 0.001481 0.001855 0.002461 0.003551 0.006352
2025-10-05 0.001012 0.001191 0.001430 0.001791 0.002377 0.003432 0.006145
2025-10-12 0.000996 0.001176 0.001416 0.001785 0.002390 0.003504 0.006524
2025-10-19 0.000987 0.001169 0.001415 0.001796 0.002433 0.003643 0.007175
2025-10-26 0.000970 0.001152 0.001399 0.001784 0.002434 0.003695 0.007561
2025-11-02 0.000963 0.001147 0.001400 0.001797 0.002482 0.003853 0.008436
2025-11-09 0.000949 0.001133 0.001386 0.001788 0.002487 0.003918 0.008988