Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.002443 0.002589 0.002745 0.002925 0.003128 0.003352 0.003620
2025-04-06 0.002174 0.002365 0.002579 0.002841 0.003158 0.003535 0.004029
2025-04-13 0.002010 0.002227 0.002481 0.002805 0.003219 0.003746 0.004497
2025-04-20 0.001828 0.002048 0.002310 0.002654 0.003108 0.003711 0.004624
2025-04-27 0.001747 0.001981 0.002266 0.002651 0.003180 0.003922 0.005132
2025-05-04 0.001709 0.001961 0.002276 0.002715 0.003346 0.004285 0.005967
2025-05-11 0.001651 0.001910 0.002240 0.002713 0.003414 0.004508 0.006635
2025-05-18 0.001629 0.001904 0.002262 0.002789 0.003603 0.004958 0.007911
2025-05-25 0.001577 0.001854 0.002221 0.002770 0.003643 0.005159 0.008755
2025-06-01 0.001520 0.001795 0.002162 0.002720 0.003625 0.005248 0.009377
2025-06-08 0.001501 0.001787 0.002174 0.002776 0.003786 0.005714 0.011345
2025-06-15 0.001479 0.001771 0.002173 0.002810 0.003915 0.006149 0.013693
2025-06-22 0.001434 0.001726 0.002130 0.002780 0.003934 0.006367 0.015660
2025-06-29 0.001381 0.001665 0.002062 0.002705 0.003863 0.006367 0.016715
2025-07-06 0.001342 0.001625 0.002022 0.002673 0.003869 0.006558 0.019245
2025-07-13 0.001277 0.001545 0.001920 0.002534 0.003656 0.006156 0.017564
2025-07-20 0.001253 0.001521 0.001901 0.002532 0.003710 0.006460 0.021380
2025-07-27 0.001246 0.001522 0.001919 0.002591 0.003894 0.007183 0.032872
2025-08-03 0.001224 0.001501 0.001902 0.002589 0.003952 0.007566 0.046062
2025-08-10 0.001220 0.001505 0.001924 0.002658 0.004172 0.008584 0.138016
2025-08-17 0.001197 0.001481 0.001900 0.002641 0.004198 0.008944 0.517697
2025-08-24 0.001168 0.001448 0.001861 0.002595 0.004153 0.009014 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001162 0.001447 0.001874 0.002646 0.004342 0.010162 NaN