Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.001340 0.001433 0.001531 0.001642 0.001764 0.001895 0.002047
2025-11-16 0.001209 0.001348 0.001504 0.001691 0.001912 0.002167 0.002487
2025-11-23 0.001127 0.001297 0.001494 0.001745 0.002057 0.002439 0.002952
2025-11-30 0.001045 0.001231 0.001455 0.001750 0.002134 0.002629 0.003332
2025-12-07 0.000962 0.001153 0.001390 0.001712 0.002146 0.002727 0.003597
2025-12-14 0.000898 0.001094 0.001342 0.001686 0.002167 0.002835 0.003881
2025-12-21 0.000839 0.001035 0.001288 0.001647 0.002162 0.002903 0.004110
2025-12-28 0.000763 0.000950 0.001193 0.001544 0.002055 0.002808 0.004070
2026-01-04 0.000714 0.000896 0.001136 0.001489 0.002015 0.002806 0.004177
2026-01-11 0.000681 0.000863 0.001107 0.001471 0.002024 0.002880 0.004417
2026-01-18 0.000655 0.000837 0.001085 0.001462 0.002046 0.002974 0.004705
2026-01-25 0.000679 0.000883 0.001167 0.001610 0.002325 0.003522 0.005914
2026-02-01 0.000655 0.000861 0.001151 0.001615 0.002383 0.003712 0.006508
2026-02-08 0.000626 0.000830 0.001122 0.001597 0.002403 0.003845 0.007022
2026-02-15 0.000612 0.000821 0.001125 0.001631 0.002515 0.004162 0.008026
2026-02-22 0.000591 0.000800 0.001109 0.001632 0.002569 0.004374 0.008847
2026-03-01 0.000564 0.000768 0.001073 0.001596 0.002551 0.004441 0.009323
2026-03-08 0.000541 0.000742 0.001046 0.001573 0.002555 0.004551 0.009944
2026-03-15 0.000518 0.000714 0.001013 0.001538 0.002531 0.004598 0.010408
2026-03-22 0.000483 0.000667 0.000948 0.001443 0.002385 0.004358 0.009967
2026-03-29 0.000460 0.000637 0.000910 0.001394 0.002324 0.004305 0.010091
2026-04-05 0.000444 0.000619 0.000890 0.001377 0.002326 0.004396 0.010696
2026-04-12 0.000432 0.000605 0.000876 0.001368 0.002345 0.004529 0.011487