Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 0.000934 0.001004 0.001078 0.001163 0.001257 0.001359 0.001478
2025-12-14 0.000827 0.000920 0.001024 0.001149 0.001296 0.001465 0.001676
2025-12-21 0.000748 0.000853 0.000973 0.001123 0.001307 0.001528 0.001818
2025-12-28 0.000669 0.000775 0.000899 0.001059 0.001261 0.001512 0.001854
2026-01-04 0.000614 0.000721 0.000850 0.001019 0.001237 0.001518 0.001914
2026-01-11 0.000580 0.000690 0.000824 0.001004 0.001244 0.001560 0.002022
2026-01-18 0.000554 0.000667 0.000808 0.000999 0.001261 0.001615 0.002152
2026-01-25 0.000602 0.000740 0.000917 0.001168 0.001524 0.002033 0.002856
2026-02-01 0.000564 0.000699 0.000874 0.001124 0.001487 0.002016 0.002895
2026-02-08 0.000534 0.000666 0.000840 0.001093 0.001465 0.002018 0.002962
2026-02-15 0.000512 0.000645 0.000820 0.001079 0.001467 0.002056 0.003092
2026-02-22 0.000489 0.000619 0.000794 0.001054 0.001451 0.002064 0.003170
2026-03-01 0.000464 0.000592 0.000766 0.001030 0.001440 0.002091 0.003303
2026-03-08 0.000444 0.000572 0.000748 0.001019 0.001450 0.002153 0.003514
2026-03-15 0.000422 0.000548 0.000723 0.000997 0.001439 0.002179 0.003661
2026-03-22 0.000393 0.000513 0.000680 0.000943 0.001372 0.002101 0.003589
2026-03-29 0.000372 0.000487 0.000650 0.000909 0.001336 0.002073 0.003617
2026-04-05 0.000358 0.000472 0.000635 0.000896 0.001336 0.002110 0.003784
2026-04-12 0.000348 0.000461 0.000625 0.000892 0.001348 0.002171 0.004014
2026-04-19 0.000375 0.000507 0.000703 0.001035 0.001632 0.002790 0.005688
2026-04-26 0.000357 0.000484 0.000674 0.000998 0.001587 0.002743 0.005704
2026-05-03 0.000342 0.000466 0.000652 0.000972 0.001559 0.002730 0.005807
2026-05-10 0.000332 0.000454 0.000639 0.000960 0.001557 0.002775 0.006079