Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.001580 0.001642 0.001707 0.001779 0.001856 0.001938 0.002030
2025-07-27 0.001488 0.001579 0.001676 0.001789 0.001917 0.002059 0.002230
2025-08-03 0.001406 0.001514 0.001633 0.001776 0.001944 0.002139 0.002385
2025-08-10 0.001357 0.001480 0.001619 0.001789 0.001998 0.002248 0.002581
2025-08-17 0.001305 0.001437 0.001589 0.001780 0.002020 0.002318 0.002731
2025-08-24 0.001257 0.001394 0.001555 0.001762 0.002027 0.002366 0.002855
2025-08-31 0.001240 0.001388 0.001564 0.001794 0.002098 0.002502 0.003112
2025-09-07 0.001214 0.001368 0.001553 0.001801 0.002136 0.002593 0.003315
2025-09-14 0.001179 0.001335 0.001525 0.001783 0.002137 0.002632 0.003442
2025-09-21 0.001143 0.001300 0.001493 0.001757 0.002125 0.002650 0.003536
2025-09-28 0.001116 0.001274 0.001471 0.001743 0.002127 0.002689 0.003667
2025-10-05 0.001072 0.001226 0.001418 0.001685 0.002065 0.002625 0.003613
2025-10-12 0.001051 0.001207 0.001404 0.001679 0.002078 0.002678 0.003779
2025-10-19 0.001038 0.001198 0.001400 0.001689 0.002115 0.002773 0.004035
2025-10-26 0.001017 0.001178 0.001383 0.001678 0.002119 0.002814 0.004196
2025-11-02 0.001006 0.001170 0.001382 0.001690 0.002158 0.002919 0.004505
2025-11-09 0.000989 0.001153 0.001367 0.001682 0.002166 0.002967 0.004704
2025-11-16 0.000969 0.001134 0.001348 0.001665 0.002159 0.002991 0.004851
2025-11-23 0.000967 0.001136 0.001359 0.001694 0.002227 0.003156 0.005379
2025-11-30 0.000957 0.001128 0.001356 0.001701 0.002258 0.003254 0.005770
2025-12-07 0.000940 0.001110 0.001338 0.001684 0.002250 0.003276 0.005957
2025-12-14 0.000921 0.001090 0.001315 0.001661 0.002228 0.003270 0.006062
2025-12-21 0.000907 0.001075 0.001300 0.001648 0.002224 0.003297 0.006276