Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-08 0.000958 0.001033 0.001112 0.001203 0.001304 0.001414 0.001542
2026-02-15 0.000854 0.000956 0.001069 0.001205 0.001366 0.001551 0.001783
2026-02-22 0.000778 0.000892 0.001024 0.001190 0.001393 0.001638 0.001961
2026-03-01 0.000710 0.000830 0.000972 0.001155 0.001388 0.001680 0.002080
2026-03-08 0.000662 0.000786 0.000937 0.001135 0.001396 0.001733 0.002213
2026-03-15 0.000622 0.000749 0.000906 0.001118 0.001403 0.001782 0.002343
2026-03-22 0.000570 0.000694 0.000848 0.001061 0.001352 0.001748 0.002348
2026-03-29 0.000541 0.000665 0.000823 0.001044 0.001352 0.001783 0.002456
2026-04-05 0.000525 0.000653 0.000818 0.001053 0.001389 0.001871 0.002650
2026-04-12 0.000505 0.000634 0.000803 0.001047 0.001403 0.001926 0.002796
2026-04-19 0.000519 0.000661 0.000850 0.001131 0.001553 0.002195 0.003317
2026-04-26 0.000497 0.000638 0.000828 0.001113 0.001549 0.002227 0.003442
2026-05-03 0.000473 0.000612 0.000801 0.001090 0.001540 0.002255 0.003576
2026-05-10 0.000458 0.000597 0.000791 0.001091 0.001568 0.002347 0.003839
2026-05-17 0.000439 0.000578 0.000772 0.001077 0.001571 0.002396 0.004027
2026-05-24 0.000418 0.000553 0.000744 0.001047 0.001546 0.002393 0.004113
2026-05-31 0.000401 0.000534 0.000724 0.001030 0.001540 0.002423 0.004269
2026-06-07 0.000386 0.000517 0.000707 0.001014 0.001535 0.002456 0.004433
2026-06-14 0.000363 0.000488 0.000669 0.000964 0.001468 0.002368 0.004326
2026-06-21 0.000350 0.000473 0.000653 0.000949 0.001461 0.002392 0.004470
2026-06-28 0.000344 0.000468 0.000651 0.000958 0.001496 0.002497 0.004813
2026-07-05 0.000335 0.000459 0.000642 0.000952 0.001505 0.002554 0.005053
2026-07-12 0.000345 0.000478 0.000678 0.001026 0.001665 0.002929 0.006148