Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000989 0.001024 0.001059 0.001098 0.001139 0.001181 0.001228
2025-09-07 0.000925 0.000976 0.001030 0.001091 0.001158 0.001229 0.001312
2025-09-14 0.000869 0.000931 0.000998 0.001076 0.001164 0.001262 0.001379
2025-09-21 0.000822 0.000892 0.000969 0.001059 0.001165 0.001286 0.001435
2025-09-28 0.000788 0.000864 0.000949 0.001051 0.001173 0.001316 0.001499
2025-10-05 0.000744 0.000822 0.000910 0.001019 0.001150 0.001307 0.001513
2025-10-12 0.000719 0.000801 0.000894 0.001011 0.001155 0.001331 0.001566
2025-10-19 0.000702 0.000787 0.000886 0.001011 0.001169 0.001365 0.001636
2025-10-26 0.000681 0.000769 0.000871 0.001003 0.001171 0.001384 0.001684
2025-11-02 0.000668 0.000758 0.000865 0.001004 0.001185 0.001418 0.001755
2025-11-09 0.000651 0.000743 0.000853 0.000997 0.001187 0.001436 0.001804
2025-11-16 0.000633 0.000726 0.000837 0.000985 0.001182 0.001444 0.001838
2025-11-23 0.000628 0.000724 0.000841 0.000998 0.001211 0.001500 0.001947
2025-11-30 0.000618 0.000716 0.000837 0.001001 0.001227 0.001539 0.002034
2025-12-07 0.000604 0.000702 0.000825 0.000993 0.001226 0.001554 0.002084
2025-12-14 0.000589 0.000687 0.000811 0.000981 0.001220 0.001559 0.002120
2025-12-21 0.000577 0.000676 0.000801 0.000975 0.001221 0.001576 0.002174
2025-12-28 0.000557 0.000654 0.000776 0.000947 0.001190 0.001543 0.002144
2026-01-04 0.000547 0.000644 0.000767 0.000940 0.001189 0.001556 0.002191
2026-01-11 0.000540 0.000638 0.000763 0.000941 0.001199 0.001585 0.002268
2026-01-18 0.000530 0.000628 0.000753 0.000933 0.001197 0.001595 0.002312
2026-01-25 0.000524 0.000623 0.000750 0.000934 0.001207 0.001625 0.002395
2026-02-01 0.000515 0.000614 0.000742 0.000928 0.001206 0.001637 0.002445