Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.002212 0.002335 0.002467 0.002616 0.002784 0.002967 0.003182
2025-03-02 0.002002 0.002170 0.002356 0.002580 0.002848 0.003161 0.003563
2025-03-09 0.001842 0.002032 0.002250 0.002524 0.002867 0.003292 0.003878
2025-03-16 0.001770 0.001983 0.002237 0.002568 0.003003 0.003575 0.004429
2025-03-23 0.001708 0.001939 0.002220 0.002600 0.003121 0.003845 0.005014
2025-03-30 0.001631 0.001869 0.002165 0.002574 0.003153 0.003994 0.005447
2025-04-06 0.001550 0.001788 0.002087 0.002509 0.003119 0.004037 0.005711
2025-04-13 0.001493 0.001733 0.002040 0.002480 0.003133 0.004152 0.006126
2025-04-20 0.001406 0.001636 0.001931 0.002357 0.002995 0.004004 0.006003
2025-04-27 0.001371 0.001605 0.001909 0.002355 0.003038 0.004160 0.006531
2025-05-04 0.001359 0.001603 0.001925 0.002408 0.003172 0.004491 0.007556
2025-05-11 0.001329 0.001576 0.001905 0.002405 0.003215 0.004664 0.008287
2025-05-18 0.001316 0.001572 0.001919 0.002459 0.003365 0.005083 0.009972
2025-05-25 0.001279 0.001534 0.001883 0.002434 0.003376 0.005226 0.010964
2025-06-01 0.001238 0.001489 0.001835 0.002385 0.003341 0.005269 0.011655
2025-06-08 0.001225 0.001483 0.001843 0.002426 0.003473 0.005711 0.014460
2025-06-15 0.001209 0.001472 0.001843 0.002456 0.003586 0.006146 0.018166
2025-06-22 0.001181 0.001442 0.001814 0.002432 0.003594 0.006316 0.020816
2025-06-29 0.001146 0.001401 0.001764 0.002373 0.003526 0.006266 0.021783
2025-07-06 0.001120 0.001373 0.001736 0.002347 0.003521 0.006396 0.024849
2025-07-13 0.001075 0.001315 0.001659 0.002236 0.003334 0.005975 0.021626
2025-07-20 0.001059 0.001299 0.001646 0.002234 0.003372 0.006216 0.026211
2025-07-27 0.001055 0.001302 0.001661 0.002282 0.003521 0.006836 0.041344