Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.000903 0.000937 0.000972 0.001010 0.001051 0.001092 0.001139
2025-09-28 0.000836 0.000886 0.000938 0.000997 0.001062 0.001132 0.001213
2025-10-05 0.000767 0.000826 0.000888 0.000961 0.001043 0.001134 0.001242
2025-10-12 0.000731 0.000798 0.000870 0.000956 0.001056 0.001170 0.001310
2025-10-19 0.000702 0.000775 0.000855 0.000953 0.001069 0.001205 0.001376
2025-10-26 0.000675 0.000751 0.000838 0.000945 0.001075 0.001229 0.001431
2025-11-02 0.000656 0.000737 0.000830 0.000946 0.001091 0.001266 0.001501
2025-11-09 0.000633 0.000716 0.000814 0.000937 0.001092 0.001284 0.001546
2025-11-16 0.000613 0.000698 0.000798 0.000927 0.001091 0.001299 0.001588
2025-11-23 0.000606 0.000695 0.000802 0.000940 0.001120 0.001352 0.001684
2025-11-30 0.000594 0.000686 0.000797 0.000943 0.001135 0.001387 0.001756
2025-12-07 0.000577 0.000669 0.000782 0.000931 0.001131 0.001396 0.001791
2025-12-14 0.000559 0.000651 0.000765 0.000917 0.001123 0.001399 0.001820
2025-12-21 0.000545 0.000639 0.000755 0.000911 0.001125 0.001418 0.001871
2025-12-28 0.000523 0.000614 0.000727 0.000882 0.001094 0.001387 0.001847
2026-01-04 0.000512 0.000605 0.000720 0.000879 0.001100 0.001409 0.001904
2026-01-11 0.000503 0.000596 0.000714 0.000877 0.001106 0.001431 0.001962
2026-01-18 0.000492 0.000586 0.000704 0.000870 0.001105 0.001444 0.002006
2026-01-25 0.000485 0.000580 0.000701 0.000871 0.001116 0.001473 0.002079
2026-02-01 0.000475 0.000570 0.000691 0.000863 0.001112 0.001480 0.002114
2026-02-08 0.000465 0.000559 0.000681 0.000854 0.001108 0.001486 0.002148
2026-02-15 0.000463 0.000560 0.000685 0.000866 0.001134 0.001540 0.002269
2026-02-22 0.000458 0.000556 0.000683 0.000868 0.001145 0.001572 0.002353