Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.002495 0.002646 0.002807 0.002994 0.003206 0.003440 0.003722
2025-05-04 0.002327 0.002542 0.002785 0.003086 0.003456 0.003903 0.004504
2025-05-11 0.002166 0.002414 0.002707 0.003089 0.003586 0.004236 0.005202
2025-05-18 0.002088 0.002369 0.002714 0.003184 0.003835 0.004761 0.006308
2025-05-25 0.001979 0.002272 0.002642 0.003162 0.003917 0.005060 0.007175
2025-06-01 0.001873 0.002170 0.002550 0.003099 0.003924 0.005241 0.007908
2025-06-08 0.001831 0.002145 0.002557 0.003171 0.004138 0.005803 0.009691
2025-06-15 0.001786 0.002111 0.002547 0.003215 0.004314 0.006343 0.011869
2025-06-22 0.001718 0.002042 0.002481 0.003166 0.004325 0.006570 0.013426
2025-06-29 0.001653 0.001973 0.002411 0.003105 0.004305 0.006725 0.014956
2025-07-06 0.001599 0.001917 0.002356 0.003062 0.004309 0.006937 0.017053
2025-07-13 0.001515 0.001815 0.002231 0.002896 0.004073 0.006542 0.015962
2025-07-20 0.001479 0.001782 0.002205 0.002897 0.004155 0.006955 0.019877
2025-07-27 0.001465 0.001779 0.002225 0.002973 0.004396 0.007873 0.031598
2025-08-03 0.001432 0.001747 0.002200 0.002970 0.004482 0.008416 0.047474
2025-08-10 0.001423 0.001748 0.002225 0.003057 0.004770 0.009771 0.203600
2025-08-17 0.001389 0.001713 0.002191 0.003036 0.004817 0.010345 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001350 0.001668 0.002139 0.002978 0.004770 0.010536 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001340 0.001665 0.002154 0.003044 0.005030 0.012262 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001325 0.001655 0.002155 0.003085 0.005238 0.014065 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001294 0.001619 0.002114 0.003040 0.005215 0.014564 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001263 0.001581 0.002068 0.002983 0.005153 0.014789 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001236 0.001550 0.002032 0.002943 0.005131 0.015301 NaN