Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-05-10 0.000816 0.000876 0.000939 0.001010 0.001088 0.001172 0.001269
2026-05-17 0.000730 0.000810 0.000899 0.001005 0.001128 0.001268 0.001439
2026-05-24 0.000663 0.000753 0.000856 0.000984 0.001137 0.001319 0.001552
2026-05-31 0.000615 0.000713 0.000826 0.000970 0.001150 0.001369 0.001663
2026-06-07 0.000574 0.000675 0.000796 0.000952 0.001152 0.001404 0.001752
2026-06-14 0.000527 0.000626 0.000747 0.000907 0.001115 0.001384 0.001767
2026-06-21 0.000499 0.000601 0.000726 0.000894 0.001119 0.001415 0.001849
2026-06-28 0.000484 0.000589 0.000721 0.000901 0.001147 0.001480 0.001982
2026-07-05 0.000464 0.000570 0.000705 0.000893 0.001154 0.001515 0.002075
2026-07-12 0.000469 0.000585 0.000733 0.000945 0.001246 0.001676 0.002367
2026-07-19 0.000450 0.000565 0.000714 0.000930 0.001243 0.001699 0.002448
2026-07-26 0.000430 0.000544 0.000694 0.000912 0.001234 0.001710 0.002510
2026-08-02 0.000416 0.000531 0.000685 0.000912 0.001252 0.001767 0.002660
2026-08-09 0.000402 0.000518 0.000674 0.000908 0.001265 0.001818 0.002804
2026-08-16 0.000385 0.000498 0.000653 0.000889 0.001254 0.001829 0.002879
2026-08-23 0.000370 0.000483 0.000638 0.000877 0.001253 0.001856 0.002985
2026-08-30 0.000356 0.000467 0.000621 0.000861 0.001244 0.001869 0.003065
2026-09-06 0.000335 0.000441 0.000590 0.000822 0.001195 0.001810 0.003003
2026-09-13 0.000324 0.000429 0.000577 0.000811 0.001191 0.001829 0.003094
2026-09-20 0.000318 0.000424 0.000575 0.000817 0.001216 0.001898 0.003291
2026-09-27 0.000309 0.000415 0.000566 0.000810 0.001218 0.001928 0.003411
2026-10-04 0.000315 0.000426 0.000588 0.000855 0.001312 0.002132 0.003923
2026-10-11 0.000305 0.000415 0.000576 0.000842 0.001305 0.002146 0.004023