Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.002474 0.002635 0.002806 0.003005 0.003230 0.003477 0.003773
2024-10-27 0.002219 0.002436 0.002682 0.002983 0.003350 0.003788 0.004364
2024-11-03 0.001952 0.002182 0.002452 0.002796 0.003234 0.003789 0.004573
2024-11-10 0.001849 0.002105 0.002413 0.002824 0.003375 0.004119 0.005263
2024-11-17 0.001777 0.002054 0.002399 0.002875 0.003544 0.004506 0.006126
2024-11-24 0.001689 0.001974 0.002336 0.002851 0.003602 0.004738 0.006806
2024-12-01 0.001644 0.001944 0.002335 0.002906 0.003776 0.005175 0.007985
2024-12-08 0.001582 0.001887 0.002290 0.002895 0.003845 0.005449 0.008959
2024-12-15 0.001515 0.001818 0.002225 0.002845 0.003846 0.005601 0.009733
2024-12-22 0.001489 0.001804 0.002234 0.002906 0.004031 0.006129 0.011707
2024-12-29 0.001462 0.001785 0.002234 0.002952 0.004197 0.006660 0.014124
2025-01-05 0.001413 0.001734 0.002184 0.002913 0.004206 0.006863 0.015680
2025-01-12 0.001345 0.001655 0.002092 0.002805 0.004088 0.006786 0.016279
2025-01-19 0.001307 0.001618 0.002061 0.002798 0.004159 0.007172 0.019361
2025-01-26 0.001232 0.001525 0.001942 0.002635 0.003913 0.006735 0.018073
2025-02-02 0.001211 0.001508 0.001937 0.002662 0.004044 0.007282 0.022916
2025-02-09 0.001196 0.001499 0.001942 0.002708 0.004219 0.008015 0.031596
2025-02-16 0.001166 0.001467 0.001911 0.002687 0.004251 0.008355 0.039112
2025-02-23 0.001153 0.001460 0.001919 0.002737 0.004444 0.009280 0.064185
2025-03-02 0.001129 0.001435 0.001895 0.002727 0.004500 0.009784 0.096604
2025-03-09 0.001099 0.001400 0.001855 0.002683 0.004471 0.009972 0.132094
2025-03-16 0.001091 0.001397 0.001866 0.002737 0.004686 0.011232 0.817687
2025-03-23 0.001080 0.001391 0.001871 0.002778 0.004878 0.012566 NaN