Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 4.226320 4.543421 4.883513 5.277250 5.722899 6.214482 6.801669
2025-06-15 3.755090 4.203754 4.717419 5.356760 6.142483 7.092261 8.352700
2025-06-22 3.336290 3.825665 4.408496 5.167775 6.152949 7.422027 9.242679
2025-06-29 3.056081 3.567797 4.195732 5.043352 6.192252 7.753119 10.151105
2025-07-06 2.845548 3.370203 4.029823 4.946844 6.236936 8.073678 11.078999
2025-07-13 2.699724 3.239321 3.932883 4.923840 6.368154 8.521076 12.278088
2025-07-20 2.616011 3.180110 3.921574 5.011330 6.660168 9.244135 14.097207
2025-07-27 2.552464 3.141154 3.931543 5.125348 6.999724 10.091431 16.375326
2025-08-03 2.463188 3.060432 3.875797 5.134482 7.171374 10.679089 18.323758
2025-08-10 2.358831 2.952331 3.773070 5.061812 7.198033 11.008225 19.819115
2025-08-17 2.245481 2.825680 3.635700 4.923907 7.098458 11.083697 20.746920
2025-08-24 2.159807 2.733840 3.543604 4.849553 7.099149 11.350685 22.248591
2025-08-31 2.099305 2.678000 3.505713 4.866037 7.275184 12.028842 25.247087
2025-09-07 2.054766 2.643341 3.497963 4.932070 7.552324 12.987233 29.687808
2025-09-14 1.956516 2.525743 3.357470 4.765429 7.372335 12.898598 30.673444
2025-09-21 1.879098 2.435632 3.254765 4.655680 7.290588 13.023973 32.538660
2025-09-28 1.813043 2.359597 3.169984 4.570445 7.247296 13.232921 34.895510
2025-10-05 1.766247 2.310350 3.124543 4.550112 7.331370 13.774266 39.119009
2025-10-12 1.743922 2.296754 3.134360 4.627409 7.624466 14.926719 47.553065
2025-10-19 1.727564 2.291286 3.156486 4.728006 7.980237 16.359641 60.046227
2025-10-26 1.693325 2.256878 3.129642 4.736059 8.133942 17.257738 71.146758
2025-11-02 1.646935 2.201997 3.066645 4.671969 8.116926 17.628777 79.120947
2025-11-09 1.591876 2.131974 2.975940 4.550171 7.954880 17.500428 82.493244