Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.509940 4.868876 5.255983 5.706814 6.220397 6.790823 7.477336
2025-05-25 3.838836 4.314995 4.862729 5.548007 6.395070 7.425504 8.802874
2025-06-01 3.439981 3.967950 4.601432 5.433640 6.524018 7.944413 10.009756
2025-06-08 3.205469 3.774237 4.480280 5.446236 6.776969 8.620448 11.523851
2025-06-15 3.052441 3.658550 4.433697 5.533608 7.121056 9.454559 13.440569
2025-06-22 2.820545 3.418630 4.198121 5.330653 7.016475 9.597461 14.270677
2025-06-29 2.645466 3.238872 4.025644 5.193897 6.984043 9.834155 15.303961
2025-07-06 2.500838 3.089141 3.881126 5.080395 6.967572 10.084689 16.416093
2025-07-13 2.404082 2.997555 3.809508 5.065173 7.099356 10.600587 18.198215
2025-07-20 2.347753 2.957376 3.806358 5.150469 7.401080 11.466001 21.031195
2025-07-27 2.309801 2.939795 3.833157 5.282317 7.795115 12.578613 24.937547
2025-08-03 2.247735 2.883790 3.798554 5.311218 8.009111 13.374450 28.423589
2025-08-10 2.168172 2.802576 3.727124 5.284143 8.137885 14.065129 32.185334
2025-08-17 2.063497 2.680512 3.587674 5.134285 8.022141 14.204845 34.334961
2025-08-24 1.978526 2.583527 3.481322 5.032059 7.986089 14.524292 37.403616
2025-08-31 1.926014 2.532174 3.442773 5.043183 8.175325 15.434493 43.667200
2025-09-07 1.891779 2.506337 3.442432 5.120714 8.510417 16.814409 53.864466
2025-09-14 1.806307 2.398813 3.305225 4.940487 8.276621 16.598393 55.532226
2025-09-21 1.738166 2.315447 3.203524 4.818802 8.157818 16.689061 59.296692
2025-09-28 1.678422 2.242851 3.116100 4.717658 8.073433 16.865138 64.015409
2025-10-05 1.639417 2.200928 3.077059 4.704083 8.184035 17.662066 74.808337
2025-10-12 1.619602 2.188029 3.085221 4.780119 8.510520 19.252404 97.153851
2025-10-19 1.608057 2.187497 3.113793 4.897501 8.953649 21.429578 137.697540