Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 4.125810 4.430919 4.757627 5.135217 5.561778 6.031338 6.590946
2025-06-15 3.670183 4.102357 4.595898 5.208436 5.958706 6.862163 8.055675
2025-06-22 3.265847 3.738212 4.299123 5.027321 5.968214 7.174196 8.893489
2025-06-29 2.994855 3.489542 4.094610 4.908182 6.005588 7.487558 9.746427
2025-07-06 2.790987 3.298813 3.935066 4.815855 6.048280 7.790842 10.615226
2025-07-13 2.649509 3.172217 3.841603 4.793637 6.172928 8.212801 11.732742
2025-07-20 2.568334 3.115039 3.830828 4.877609 6.450894 8.894245 13.421465
2025-07-27 2.506587 3.077291 3.840342 4.986644 6.773177 9.689608 15.521311
2025-08-03 2.419808 2.999098 3.786538 4.995224 6.935746 10.239538 17.305620
2025-08-10 2.318209 2.894202 3.687222 4.925152 6.960151 10.545627 18.665138
2025-08-17 2.207945 2.771479 3.554758 4.793069 6.865689 10.616044 19.507934
2025-08-24 2.122528 2.679523 3.461565 4.714802 6.853737 10.839500 20.796604
2025-08-31 2.063115 2.624599 3.423766 4.728388 7.016074 11.460376 23.454790
2025-09-07 2.019766 2.590974 3.416183 4.791215 7.277018 12.345294 27.382457
2025-09-14 1.924168 2.477038 3.280811 4.631921 7.106998 12.262714 28.246081
2025-09-21 1.848805 2.389696 3.181815 4.526991 7.029775 12.378108 29.879073
2025-09-28 1.784491 2.315992 3.100107 4.445559 6.989050 12.571062 31.935005
2025-10-05 1.738857 2.268158 3.056182 4.425948 7.068026 13.068677 35.586274
2025-10-12 1.717138 2.255026 3.065750 4.500037 7.344668 14.127825 42.795282
2025-10-19 1.701175 2.249694 3.087052 4.596108 7.679368 15.437452 53.252870
2025-10-26 1.667760 2.216252 3.061083 4.603662 7.823557 16.254499 62.350214
2025-11-02 1.622416 2.162817 3.000048 4.541945 7.806462 16.588196 68.757585
2025-11-09 1.568677 2.094780 2.912455 4.425446 7.653979 16.471085 71.450449