Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 4.235047 4.549523 4.887363 5.279281 5.723969 6.215924 6.805630
2025-08-10 3.706415 4.133767 4.622239 5.229425 5.974950 6.875841 8.071975
2025-08-17 3.336284 3.804493 4.360084 5.081368 6.014235 7.212731 8.928946
2025-08-24 3.091188 3.585336 4.188968 5.000224 6.095321 7.578006 9.850713
2025-08-31 2.956576 3.483239 4.144219 5.062392 6.355027 8.201227 11.244861
2025-09-07 2.821146 3.365675 4.064232 5.061543 6.516723 8.695185 12.536432
2025-09-14 2.642882 3.178928 3.876586 4.890994 6.407648 8.754169 13.099523
2025-09-21 2.508389 3.040842 3.743483 4.783476 6.376319 8.924164 13.890437
2025-09-28 2.404635 2.937232 3.649610 4.722682 6.406395 9.193152 14.929178
2025-10-05 2.339364 2.881448 3.617439 4.748138 6.571932 9.713671 16.624424
2025-10-12 2.295866 2.852496 3.620145 4.824388 6.825658 10.429844 18.996694
2025-10-19 2.257649 2.828296 3.627177 4.906171 7.095604 11.222118 21.886541
2025-10-26 2.194390 2.769391 3.585283 4.915908 7.257174 11.865629 24.825621
2025-11-02 2.119785 2.691464 3.511699 4.870217 7.316931 12.318607 27.521315
2025-11-09 2.029223 2.586357 3.391383 4.737969 7.200165 12.361264 28.916056
2025-11-16 1.960195 2.509671 3.310286 4.665374 7.188692 12.643125 31.384914
2025-11-23 1.926975 2.483814 3.305380 4.720999 7.432021 13.583945 37.311795
2025-11-30 1.882982 2.439943 3.269824 4.720239 7.561648 14.275716 42.997437
2025-12-07 1.807731 2.346662 3.152395 4.567532 7.361849 14.060183 43.841151
2025-12-14 1.749135 2.276597 3.069098 4.471086 7.272085 14.132623 46.512717
2025-12-21 1.702994 2.223789 3.011095 4.416492 7.266011 14.440206 51.121675
2025-12-28 1.675805 2.198734 2.996407 4.439358 7.430153 15.283490 61.066312
2026-01-04 1.659293 2.189266 3.006293 4.507802 7.703921 16.548246 78.375683