Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 3.911258 4.189586 4.486794 4.829296 5.215026 5.638283 6.140991
2025-07-13 3.452059 3.834818 4.268504 4.802116 5.449355 6.220353 7.226297
2025-07-20 3.224352 3.673659 4.204596 4.890232 5.770902 6.892404 8.479506
2025-07-27 3.067276 3.564973 4.173164 4.990483 6.092936 7.582974 9.859209
2025-08-03 2.904067 3.427194 4.083324 4.993453 6.271319 8.088119 11.059811
2025-08-10 2.732905 3.262632 3.940372 4.903945 6.300788 8.371117 11.961974
2025-08-17 2.572772 3.099707 3.784668 4.778193 6.257056 8.527752 12.674874
2025-08-24 2.453320 2.981791 3.679330 4.711056 6.287652 8.796920 13.635960
2025-08-31 2.385041 2.927080 3.654841 4.755331 6.488723 9.367297 15.303293
2025-09-07 2.313355 2.862907 3.611733 4.766276 6.634775 9.861287 16.956841
2025-09-14 2.198553 2.733503 3.468478 4.614165 6.497350 9.824318 17.431097
2025-09-21 2.110993 2.638025 3.368724 4.521671 6.450031 9.946452 18.312933
2025-09-28 2.031581 2.552884 3.282848 4.450166 6.440813 10.158246 19.541628
2025-10-05 1.970260 2.491027 3.228314 4.425176 6.511687 10.543775 21.398236
2025-10-12 1.940939 2.473185 3.237440 4.502481 6.772906 11.368437 24.928410
2025-10-19 1.916222 2.460458 3.252898 4.590390 7.063039 12.317604 29.500341
2025-10-26 1.872392 2.417623 3.219652 4.592992 7.189199 12.918298 33.307076
2025-11-02 1.812429 2.348570 3.142418 4.514509 7.146581 13.103212 35.598228
2025-11-09 1.748711 2.271800 3.049974 4.404066 7.029388 13.082291 37.000203
2025-11-16 1.700206 2.216248 2.988729 4.345015 7.012362 13.319706 39.886225
2025-11-23 1.676010 2.196352 2.982976 4.383964 7.203364 14.154175 46.883590
2025-11-30 1.646847 2.167804 2.961928 4.393588 7.332545 14.850755 54.212670
2025-12-07 1.589332 2.094262 2.865440 4.259686 7.135242 14.556390 54.451003