Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.972991 3.141280 3.317709 3.517100 3.736960 3.972883 4.246383
2025-10-26 2.701141 2.941144 3.205809 3.521895 3.892611 4.318113 4.850188
2025-11-02 2.502180 2.777003 3.090126 3.478149 3.953177 4.525702 5.284197
2025-11-09 2.336428 2.629063 2.970539 3.405567 3.956028 4.645749 5.604228
2025-11-16 2.215999 2.522368 2.887120 3.362950 3.982724 4.786929 5.955341
2025-11-23 2.143601 2.466741 2.858930 3.382513 4.084419 5.028290 6.465521
2025-11-30 2.076602 2.412303 2.826622 3.391187 4.167976 5.247615 6.967074
2025-12-07 1.976894 2.310981 2.727971 3.304133 4.111244 5.259422 7.148464
2025-12-14 1.895043 2.228252 2.648520 3.236852 4.075213 5.294970 7.367387
2025-12-21 1.840067 2.177265 2.607417 3.218265 4.105363 5.429186 7.763640
2025-12-28 1.789389 2.129449 2.567772 3.198501 4.130841 5.556161 8.162539
2026-01-04 1.759451 2.107326 2.561000 3.223732 4.223653 5.796343 8.801546
2026-01-11 1.730826 2.087000 2.557236 3.255236 4.331861 6.078944 9.588578
2026-01-18 1.695124 2.055885 2.537308 3.262060 4.402230 6.306000 10.315477
2026-01-25 1.647032 2.006069 2.488968 3.223566 4.396430 6.397842 10.772223
2026-02-01 1.593799 1.947428 2.425869 3.159453 4.343993 6.399635 11.026498
2026-02-08 1.552099 1.903312 2.381672 3.121757 4.332390 6.474858 11.468697
2026-02-15 1.529810 1.885227 2.373770 3.139066 4.413821 6.733374 12.423725
2026-02-22 1.505930 1.864035 2.360372 3.146737 4.478670 6.966464 13.381269
2026-03-01 1.458611 1.808584 2.295225 3.069672 4.390140 6.882539 13.442282
2026-03-08 1.418491 1.762348 2.242278 3.010005 4.329168 6.849997 13.648844
2026-03-15 1.392591 1.735547 2.217028 2.993506 4.344077 6.976233 14.364515
2026-03-22 1.367612 1.709392 2.191871 2.975953 4.355727 7.096499 15.101335