Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 3.832057 4.085577 4.355410 4.665365 5.013311 5.393915 5.844575
2025-10-19 3.465679 3.825741 4.232275 4.730866 5.333890 6.050589 6.984302
2025-10-26 3.217740 3.632302 4.118835 4.742861 5.538983 6.546411 7.963947
2025-11-02 2.995456 3.435187 3.965765 4.669133 5.603795 6.846977 8.712727
2025-11-09 2.798047 3.247009 3.800225 4.552599 5.585289 7.016232 9.285838
2025-11-16 2.652602 3.110424 3.685159 4.485049 5.616263 7.245813 9.975441
2025-11-23 2.566558 3.041617 3.649512 4.516219 5.781702 7.684244 11.077045
2025-11-30 2.485254 2.972552 3.606655 4.530384 5.918919 8.091761 12.211621
2025-12-07 2.358503 2.836344 3.464363 4.391135 5.809220 8.084568 12.573634
2025-12-14 2.255117 2.726192 3.351280 4.285383 5.739882 8.132865 13.051090
2025-12-21 2.186359 2.659165 3.293618 4.255884 5.785905 8.381285 13.997681
2025-12-28 2.133992 2.611740 3.260299 4.259335 5.883490 8.731507 15.263551
2026-01-04 2.102982 2.593905 3.270101 4.332427 6.109745 9.366647 17.466649
2026-01-11 2.068704 2.570049 3.269993 4.390233 6.316864 10.004835 19.990927
2026-01-18 2.023788 2.528940 3.242000 4.400836 6.440505 10.494629 22.358375
2026-01-25 1.961631 2.460724 3.170395 4.335603 6.418956 10.669473 23.830104
2026-02-01 1.893425 2.381476 3.078954 4.232335 6.317399 10.651320 24.640443
2026-02-08 1.840498 2.322539 3.015766 4.172384 6.292589 10.805824 26.199134
2026-02-15 1.812830 2.299183 3.005391 4.200056 6.438308 11.388223 29.915492
2026-02-22 1.783044 2.271570 2.987069 4.212627 6.555044 11.924242 33.981033
2026-03-01 1.722363 2.196675 2.892828 4.088922 6.386418 11.700574 34.073405
2026-03-08 1.671423 2.134969 2.817332 3.994782 6.272300 11.608158 34.882211
2026-03-15 1.638802 2.099514 2.781602 3.968492 6.295953 11.889648 38.142009