Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 3.925134 4.204597 4.503032 4.846971 5.234345 5.659437 6.164363
2025-07-13 3.461555 3.846179 4.282130 4.818740 5.469913 6.246003 7.259215
2025-07-20 3.232665 3.684203 4.218036 4.907807 5.794400 6.924377 8.525122
2025-07-27 3.073908 3.573816 4.185038 5.006964 6.116532 7.617700 9.913989
2025-08-03 2.909456 3.434691 4.093840 5.008798 6.294598 8.124792 11.123175
2025-08-10 2.736432 3.267828 3.948058 4.915806 6.319903 8.403345 12.022838
2025-08-17 2.576078 3.104692 3.792222 4.790187 6.277075 8.563040 12.746070
2025-08-24 2.456472 2.986646 3.686854 4.723330 6.308850 8.835999 13.720489
2025-08-31 2.387708 2.931360 3.661729 4.767040 6.509938 9.408826 15.401827
2025-09-07 2.316018 2.867249 3.618852 4.778675 6.657995 9.908948 17.079624
2025-09-14 2.201009 2.737573 3.475255 4.626178 6.520355 9.872997 17.563267
2025-09-21 2.113533 2.642240 3.375780 4.534307 6.474656 10.000077 18.467013
2025-09-28 2.034458 2.557530 3.290501 4.463783 6.467472 10.217530 19.721889
2025-10-05 1.972869 2.495243 3.235297 4.437748 6.536833 10.601835 21.589698
2025-10-12 1.943707 2.477620 3.244779 4.515804 6.800156 11.434347 25.171801
2025-10-19 1.918673 2.464415 3.259527 4.602667 7.088995 12.384150 29.782356
2025-10-26 1.874604 2.421199 3.225674 4.604272 7.213581 12.983562 33.616714
2025-11-02 1.813981 2.351117 3.146771 4.522810 7.164959 13.154258 35.862509
2025-11-09 1.750375 2.274478 3.054485 4.412585 7.048195 13.135057 37.287694
2025-11-16 1.701972 2.219054 2.993417 4.353833 7.031914 13.375701 40.216500
2025-11-23 1.677653 2.198959 2.987342 4.392250 7.222121 14.210458 47.270464
2025-11-30 1.648622 2.170600 2.966597 4.402472 7.352919 14.914210 54.716217
2025-12-07 1.591103 2.097028 2.870024 4.268352 7.155042 14.618212 54.956306