Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 3.754292 4.001568 4.264413 4.565897 4.903767 5.272656 5.708504
2025-09-28 3.325888 3.666023 4.048576 4.515636 5.077456 5.740911 6.598493
2025-10-05 3.080216 3.471637 3.928991 4.512433 5.251727 6.179352 7.470248
2025-10-12 2.940439 3.374808 3.898620 4.592334 5.512687 6.733822 8.559391
2025-10-19 2.823786 3.289690 3.866497 4.655224 5.744849 7.266356 9.703297
2025-10-26 2.706414 3.191267 3.804566 4.665883 5.897784 7.697651 10.771139
2025-11-02 2.574326 3.063382 3.692214 4.593834 5.919336 7.928871 11.552618
2025-11-09 2.442864 2.927693 3.559143 4.479526 5.863007 8.025515 12.111512
2025-11-16 2.342303 2.826795 3.465829 4.412657 5.868248 8.216503 12.880640
2025-11-23 2.284645 2.779545 3.441991 4.442677 6.023155 8.673930 14.286359
2025-11-30 2.227436 2.729471 3.410385 4.457181 6.152224 9.101841 15.755163
2025-12-07 2.127111 2.615768 3.282873 4.317468 6.014016 9.022870 16.042834
2025-12-14 2.047205 2.529268 3.193074 4.234644 5.971872 9.133916 16.869798
2025-12-21 1.984334 2.464189 3.131277 4.191694 5.994534 9.375374 18.127427
2025-12-28 1.937594 2.419654 3.096846 4.188944 6.086002 9.767510 19.965744
2026-01-04 1.914257 2.407023 3.108253 4.259674 6.315213 10.486797 23.175119
2026-01-11 1.888368 2.389373 3.110793 4.315277 6.521651 11.198110 26.869551
2026-01-18 1.852464 2.355628 3.087021 4.324694 6.640273 11.731161 30.342408
2026-01-25 1.800913 2.297157 3.022741 4.261001 6.608982 11.895099 32.401725
2026-02-01 1.743194 2.227893 2.939248 4.159794 6.494271 11.831984 33.385231
2026-02-08 1.698317 2.176357 2.881535 4.100501 6.460028 11.973472 35.569083
2026-02-15 1.675606 2.156974 2.873235 4.127128 6.604852 12.619918 41.306542
2026-02-22 1.650933 2.133791 2.857860 4.139988 6.721782 13.218200 47.787628