Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 2.500812 2.659918 2.828585 3.021496 3.237021 3.471563 3.747697
2025-12-28 2.248174 2.466247 2.709834 3.004964 3.356888 3.768442 4.294431
2026-01-04 2.052423 2.292709 2.569615 2.917295 3.349629 3.880291 4.599150
2026-01-11 1.942417 2.202683 2.510570 2.909189 3.423596 4.083600 5.028748
2026-01-18 1.881749 2.163436 2.504829 2.959833 3.568536 4.384983 5.624030
2026-01-25 1.966635 2.305678 2.731165 3.323096 4.159758 5.364127 7.379437
2026-02-01 1.841460 2.173234 2.594580 3.189581 4.047305 5.314741 7.517711
2026-02-08 1.723095 2.043266 2.453403 3.038949 3.895452 5.186287 7.496664
2026-02-15 1.658509 1.979932 2.396728 3.001158 3.904140 5.305070 7.925950
2026-02-22 1.588883 1.906540 2.322316 2.932598 3.859520 5.331247 8.186410
2026-03-01 1.516116 1.825968 2.234289 2.838949 3.768619 5.270524 8.266487
2026-03-08 1.441478 1.740300 2.135848 2.725031 3.638312 5.131069 8.166086
2026-03-15 1.398103 1.699971 2.104822 2.718401 3.692970 5.343530 8.905584
2026-03-22 1.353451 1.656647 2.068319 2.702607 3.734122 5.543789 9.697765
2026-03-29 1.295018 1.591596 1.997351 2.628967 3.671530 5.542517 10.017625
2026-04-05 1.261233 1.559129 1.971152 2.622125 3.720348 5.759203 10.957293
2026-04-12 1.244310 1.549251 1.976731 2.664782 3.858211 6.174145 12.621084
2026-04-19 1.297583 1.640909 2.136638 2.968488 4.507116 7.833733 19.608534
2026-04-26 1.241268 1.571949 2.050732 2.857315 4.358522 7.639806 19.567460
2026-05-03 1.184231 1.500383 1.958519 2.731261 4.172267 7.332710 18.918205
2026-05-10 1.153416 1.466286 1.922614 2.699530 4.170051 7.481785 20.465833
2026-05-17 1.118077 1.424460 1.873202 2.641852 4.110996 7.478439 21.309683
2026-05-24 1.079402 1.376704 1.813070 2.562835 4.003049 7.334328 21.357945