Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 4.058416 4.344646 4.650811 5.004352 5.403493 5.842724 6.366197
2025-09-07 3.603625 4.000886 4.452491 5.010502 5.691053 6.507351 7.582000
2025-09-14 3.236718 3.671659 4.184563 4.845807 5.694195 6.774299 8.304388
2025-09-21 2.992804 3.450564 4.005739 4.745796 5.735230 7.059942 9.062694
2025-09-28 2.818035 3.293085 3.882929 4.692025 5.813688 7.385831 9.914470
2025-10-05 2.695174 3.187993 3.813140 4.693769 5.957470 7.810247 10.985857
2025-10-12 2.621470 3.138263 3.807970 4.777230 6.219039 8.437845 12.523460
2025-10-19 2.551764 3.087461 3.795034 4.844600 6.459059 9.062093 14.215692
2025-10-26 2.472246 3.017686 3.749680 4.858346 6.613905 9.564623 15.817006
2025-11-02 2.375037 2.918119 3.655701 4.790679 6.628693 9.821627 16.978452
2025-11-09 2.268902 2.801046 3.530099 4.665141 6.534338 9.864115 17.665973
2025-11-16 2.187472 2.714482 3.443365 4.592753 6.521073 10.054998 18.774321
2025-11-23 2.140406 2.676125 3.427399 4.634775 6.717836 10.706068 21.402729
2025-11-30 2.086208 2.625471 3.390938 4.641954 6.855420 11.268797 24.115524
2025-12-07 1.995610 2.518954 3.265958 4.496300 6.699004 11.176754 24.752554
2025-12-14 1.926044 2.440112 3.178940 4.407629 6.640224 11.292221 26.173699
2025-12-21 1.871720 2.381175 3.119099 4.359897 6.653396 11.573001 28.378295
2025-12-28 1.833065 2.343539 3.089835 4.361447 6.761335 12.098280 31.965216
2026-01-04 1.813983 2.333749 3.102696 4.435514 7.020572 13.056277 38.506387
2026-01-11 1.792545 2.319436 3.107461 4.495234 7.257321 14.020599 46.591029
2026-01-18 1.761786 2.289907 3.086575 4.507411 7.394918 14.750556 54.707672
2026-01-25 1.717290 2.238145 3.027945 4.447441 7.369620 15.001649 59.976634
2026-02-01 1.664148 2.171805 2.943579 4.336019 7.221066 14.852163 61.803735