Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 4.561111 4.938658 5.346560 5.822418 6.365396 6.969373 7.697252
2025-04-06 3.857122 4.357654 4.935504 5.661021 6.560934 7.659184 9.131497
2025-04-13 3.426953 3.975643 4.636382 5.507335 6.651927 8.146423 10.322341
2025-04-20 3.156686 3.737990 4.461562 5.453559 6.821664 8.715948 11.689894
2025-04-27 3.017323 3.641285 4.442355 5.582733 7.232175 9.657420 13.786616
2025-05-04 2.910266 3.571403 4.444004 5.729740 7.674683 10.707188 16.319138
2025-05-11 2.768405 3.441083 4.348063 5.721167 7.874740 11.400799 18.419826
2025-05-18 2.652937 3.336291 4.275921 5.734957 8.103720 12.173250 20.906005
2025-05-25 2.492833 3.158613 4.085795 5.549658 7.981759 12.300093 22.076280
2025-06-01 2.363535 3.016374 3.936697 5.413373 7.923090 12.529016 23.551566
2025-06-08 2.286007 2.942848 3.882634 5.420713 8.109832 13.257530 26.518224
2025-06-15 2.245447 2.919558 3.900701 5.544150 8.516162 14.507474 31.481964
2025-06-22 2.130991 2.788242 3.755313 5.399557 8.439448 14.784316 34.009162
2025-06-29 2.023893 2.663886 3.615323 5.256236 8.355598 15.050749 36.790742
2025-07-06 1.927568 2.550618 3.485485 5.118800 8.264969 15.283281 39.664071
2025-07-13 1.858815 2.475311 3.410679 5.070647 8.346085 15.953225 44.831244
2025-07-20 1.829764 2.458498 3.427550 5.186275 8.780532 17.649011 56.488672
2025-07-27 1.805484 2.447370 3.452265 5.317684 9.270191 19.674051 73.561767
2025-08-03 1.756479 2.395072 3.405401 5.310026 9.448186 20.858709 88.304134
2025-08-10 1.714421 2.351705 3.370768 5.322344 9.674409 22.285069 109.213655
2025-08-17 1.643855 2.260148 3.249755 5.156684 9.453426 22.156906 115.766531
2025-08-24 1.584875 2.185151 3.153889 5.034645 9.326233 22.334006 126.830166
2025-08-31 1.551004 2.149273 3.123593 5.041222 9.519964 23.746144 160.023779