Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-15 2.182816 2.323360 2.471749 2.640673 2.828363 3.031338 3.268563
2026-03-22 1.950613 2.146164 2.363873 2.626465 2.937682 3.298761 3.755439
2026-03-29 1.813670 2.038575 2.297820 2.623015 3.026340 3.519060 4.181310
2026-04-05 1.744717 1.996725 2.295962 2.684441 3.186407 3.829857 4.747351
2026-04-12 1.661000 1.927291 2.250822 2.682384 3.258808 4.027921 5.182096
2026-04-19 1.640392 1.931630 2.294338 2.792812 3.483933 4.449937 5.991546
2026-04-26 1.521812 1.804341 2.160313 2.656536 3.357111 4.359174 6.009500
2026-05-03 1.434557 1.712344 2.066359 2.566863 3.286447 4.340179 6.133452
2026-05-10 1.377187 1.655929 2.015626 2.532150 3.290038 4.429944 6.445407
2026-05-17 1.333500 1.615060 1.982941 2.519572 3.323482 4.566654 6.856021
2026-05-24 1.282153 1.561569 1.930182 2.474516 3.303470 4.614315 7.110634
2026-05-31 1.231987 1.507583 1.874144 2.421165 3.266129 4.628703 7.302600
2026-06-07 1.196550 1.474641 1.849106 2.416913 3.313347 4.803809 7.872798
2026-06-14 1.160659 1.439956 1.820441 2.406212 3.350717 4.969118 8.468503
2026-06-21 1.130120 1.411100 1.798213 2.403130 3.399146 5.158640 9.162650
2026-06-28 1.118587 1.408014 1.812482 2.456656 3.546526 5.551319 10.447171
2026-07-05 1.092212 1.382692 1.792764 2.454865 3.597518 5.763917 11.353044
2026-07-12 1.093975 1.397390 1.832619 2.550856 3.830952 6.383187 13.630805
2026-07-19 1.039659 1.329087 1.744856 2.432353 3.661321 6.123272 13.180240
2026-07-26 0.998437 1.278783 1.682859 2.354123 3.562421 6.009928 13.182111
2026-08-02 0.971583 1.248667 1.650507 2.323787 3.551397 6.090193 13.850897
2026-08-09 0.951005 1.227086 1.630348 2.312787 3.576105 6.254443 14.879420
2026-08-16 0.924573 1.196093 1.594560 2.273349 3.542665 6.279207 15.416180