Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 1.942592 2.062515 2.188432 2.330920 2.488192 2.657062 2.852877
2026-04-12 1.749479 1.918560 2.105335 2.328619 2.590513 2.890789 3.265307
2026-04-19 1.684650 1.890215 2.125725 2.418981 2.779410 3.214929 3.792310
2026-04-26 1.534024 1.745085 1.992318 2.308086 2.707940 3.208045 3.899135
2026-05-03 1.427404 1.642509 1.899212 2.234237 2.669598 3.230993 4.036601
2026-05-10 1.357748 1.579096 1.847890 2.205971 2.683064 3.317046 4.262123
2026-05-17 1.305409 1.533168 1.814242 2.195953 2.716775 3.429350 4.532593
2026-05-24 1.247526 1.476735 1.763293 2.158607 2.708702 3.480022 4.713788
2026-05-31 1.192696 1.421326 1.710364 2.114553 2.686778 3.506833 4.857943
2026-06-07 1.155341 1.386547 1.682299 2.101912 2.707113 3.595379 5.108004
2026-06-14 1.114626 1.345517 1.643771 2.072109 2.699712 3.639977 5.288247
2026-06-21 1.086085 1.319250 1.623614 2.066500 2.726675 3.738460 5.571046
2026-06-28 1.072476 1.314309 1.634754 2.109967 2.836397 3.988077 6.181106
2026-07-05 1.043465 1.287703 1.615196 2.108286 2.877616 4.131988 6.624688
2026-07-12 1.042439 1.298819 1.648269 2.185702 3.048922 4.514801 7.620446
2026-07-19 0.987785 1.233687 1.570242 2.090642 2.932771 4.378116 7.493298
2026-07-26 0.946095 1.185323 1.514514 2.027136 2.864877 4.323120 7.539491
2026-08-02 0.918716 1.156076 1.485174 2.002785 2.860588 4.384326 7.860555
2026-08-09 0.897622 1.134921 1.466654 1.994149 2.881969 4.495305 8.321399
2026-08-16 0.871036 1.105107 1.434290 1.961928 2.860170 4.520363 8.575576
2026-08-23 0.844236 1.074216 1.399282 1.923863 2.825634 4.516893 8.756384
2026-08-30 0.826272 1.055478 1.381668 1.912930 2.838427 4.609641 9.214779
2026-09-06 0.805225 1.031691 1.355680 1.887133 2.822638 4.641813 9.512995