Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.394494 0.431077 0.470624 0.516738 0.569267 0.627519 0.697387
2025-08-10 0.322785 0.371298 0.427646 0.498674 0.586893 0.694327 0.837381
2025-08-17 0.282399 0.336142 0.401675 0.488924 0.604343 0.755274 0.973750
2025-08-24 0.254553 0.310924 0.382266 0.481415 0.619428 0.810955 1.109055
2025-08-31 0.233178 0.290818 0.366014 0.474320 0.631765 0.861940 1.244593
2025-09-07 0.220068 0.279821 0.360014 0.479511 0.660707 0.939726 1.436200
2025-09-14 0.204737 0.264259 0.345933 0.470968 0.667144 0.982517 1.577278
2025-09-21 0.193757 0.253686 0.337687 0.469707 0.683959 1.043702 1.764485
2025-09-28 0.180735 0.239211 0.322516 0.456120 0.678749 1.065755 1.880623
2025-10-05 0.177147 0.237934 0.326470 0.472498 0.725032 1.186409 2.231853
2025-10-12 0.172621 0.234881 0.327365 0.483799 0.763687 1.299462 2.603276
2025-10-19 0.166417 0.228870 0.323161 0.486059 0.786061 1.384087 2.935712
2025-10-26 0.156835 0.217427 0.310041 0.472635 0.778831 1.408931 3.130627
2025-11-02 0.147708 0.206258 0.296750 0.457963 0.767857 1.424798 3.311092
2025-11-09 0.140618 0.197867 0.287399 0.449432 0.767909 1.465487 3.583839
2025-11-16 0.134484 0.190642 0.279483 0.442756 0.770812 1.513372 3.902667
2025-11-23 0.128903 0.184003 0.272116 0.436429 0.773605 1.561592 4.248216
2025-11-30 0.125721 0.181035 0.270705 0.441060 0.800264 1.675693 4.904534
2025-12-07 0.120637 0.174727 0.263215 0.433437 0.799059 1.716369 5.295325
2025-12-14 0.116990 0.170601 0.259247 0.432312 0.812332 1.799908 5.933562
2025-12-21 0.111800 0.163696 0.250059 0.420176 0.798770 1.804217 6.204527
2025-12-28 0.111149 0.164305 0.254113 0.434804 0.850111 2.013202 7.714454
2026-01-04 0.109803 0.163666 0.255874 0.444884 0.892007 2.206529 9.395782