Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.564406 0.623153 0.687980 0.765302 0.855653 0.958678 1.086190
2025-10-19 0.469040 0.547936 0.642571 0.766453 0.927460 1.134278 1.428185
2025-10-26 0.405831 0.490856 0.598338 0.747919 0.957179 1.250506 1.715243
2025-11-02 0.360316 0.446827 0.560455 0.726045 0.971398 1.340691 1.983364
2025-11-09 0.327199 0.413975 0.531552 0.709591 0.986693 1.431005 2.275138
2025-11-16 0.301105 0.387377 0.507367 0.695136 1.000314 1.518618 2.589259
2025-11-23 0.280064 0.365552 0.487197 0.683199 1.014535 1.608395 2.939882
2025-11-30 0.268961 0.356658 0.484634 0.697719 1.074592 1.794632 3.582875
2025-12-07 0.254939 0.342218 0.472103 0.694053 1.101212 1.921681 4.150951
2025-12-14 0.242459 0.329050 0.460213 0.689735 1.125391 2.049332 4.797764
2025-12-21 0.227882 0.311689 0.440255 0.669141 1.114630 2.096553 5.233519
2025-12-28 0.224375 0.310999 0.446803 0.695911 1.202764 2.401146 6.793715
2026-01-04 0.218831 0.307049 0.448170 0.714432 1.279905 2.714281 8.815452
2026-01-11 0.210580 0.298317 0.440916 0.716096 1.321299 2.950375 10.886841
2026-01-18 0.200000 0.285167 0.425091 0.699310 1.317267 3.052884 12.431330
2026-01-25 0.189827 0.272124 0.408555 0.679428 1.302647 3.118999 13.913137
2026-02-01 0.181235 0.261238 0.395097 0.664455 1.297754 3.217637 15.914835
2026-02-08 0.173571 0.251512 0.383080 0.651289 1.295393 3.326418 18.371073
2026-02-15 0.166799 0.242951 0.372628 0.640408 1.297310 3.453977 21.535060
2026-02-22 0.163882 0.240739 0.373514 0.653642 1.366005 3.875002 30.543378
2026-03-01 0.158912 0.234764 0.367073 0.650302 1.388587 4.121861 39.204109
2026-03-08 0.154183 0.228983 0.360643 0.646367 1.408963 4.373757 51.091086
2026-03-15 0.147878 0.220206 0.348098 0.627586 1.382651 4.394399 57.742069