Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.401545 0.437103 0.475602 0.520596 0.572012 0.629262 0.698287
2025-11-09 0.336256 0.384231 0.440060 0.510699 0.598978 0.707457 0.853779
2025-11-16 0.297278 0.350402 0.415200 0.501729 0.616959 0.769362 0.994033
2025-11-23 0.270077 0.325800 0.396232 0.494316 0.631781 0.825123 1.133265
2025-11-30 0.255116 0.314246 0.391452 0.503269 0.667866 0.913975 1.339415
2025-12-07 0.239169 0.299468 0.380251 0.501016 0.686175 0.977919 1.520278
2025-12-14 0.225621 0.286525 0.369965 0.498256 0.702336 1.039963 1.713461
2025-12-21 0.211024 0.270907 0.354377 0.485570 0.700494 1.070530 1.854178
2025-12-28 0.205277 0.267156 0.355323 0.497882 0.740623 1.181636 2.197398
2026-01-04 0.198668 0.261608 0.353007 0.504518 0.771598 1.281505 2.555219
2026-01-11 0.191199 0.254261 0.347316 0.504892 0.791157 1.362438 2.901641
2026-01-18 0.182245 0.244162 0.336646 0.495835 0.791900 1.403947 3.159599
2026-01-25 0.173008 0.233396 0.324627 0.484098 0.787414 1.436351 3.419187
2026-02-01 0.164988 0.224118 0.314471 0.474887 0.787083 1.479374 3.744298
2026-02-08 0.157879 0.215858 0.305412 0.466787 0.787881 1.525444 4.113146
2026-02-15 0.151631 0.208610 0.297535 0.460104 0.790687 1.577325 4.545649
2026-02-22 0.148698 0.206375 0.297716 0.468172 0.825887 1.722833 5.515090
2026-03-01 0.144110 0.201279 0.292783 0.466143 0.838595 1.810625 6.316601
2026-03-08 0.139761 0.196356 0.287846 0.463655 0.849911 1.897979 7.236783
2026-03-15 0.134169 0.189191 0.278690 0.452216 0.838903 1.914852 7.755681
2026-03-22 0.132691 0.188627 0.280870 0.463318 0.883158 2.121387 9.982001
2026-03-29 0.130455 0.186704 0.280539 0.469297 0.915843 2.302664 12.543739
2026-04-05 0.127477 0.183420 0.277599 0.469634 0.934252 2.440685 15.190680