Description

This analysis provides a forecast of IMX10603 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.094127 0.105973 0.118742 0.133533 0.150198 0.168401 0.189800
2026-04-12 0.070359 0.085919 0.104104 0.126945 0.154893 0.188013 0.230306
2026-04-19 0.055720 0.072347 0.093007 0.120596 0.156534 0.201853 0.263490
2026-04-26 0.046264 0.063146 0.085193 0.116147 0.158587 0.214895 0.295552
2026-05-03 0.039416 0.056154 0.078968 0.112406 0.160317 0.226730 0.326216
2026-05-10 0.034422 0.050940 0.074325 0.109937 0.163008 0.239502 0.358761
2026-05-17 0.031663 0.048513 0.073210 0.112165 0.172341 0.262240 0.407643
2026-05-24 0.028511 0.045097 0.070192 0.111068 0.176335 0.277103 0.445692
2026-05-31 0.025797 0.042032 0.067332 0.109799 0.179727 0.291067 0.483326
2026-06-07 0.023046 0.038602 0.063526 0.106549 0.179469 0.298966 0.511521
2026-06-14 0.021940 0.037738 0.063732 0.109830 0.190162 0.325510 0.573247
2026-06-21 0.020743 0.036591 0.063330 0.111984 0.199037 0.349634 0.632897
2026-06-28 0.019251 0.034838 0.061821 0.112212 0.204828 0.369413 0.687699
2026-07-05 0.017097 0.031712 0.057640 0.107293 0.200944 0.371737 0.711000
2026-07-12 0.015150 0.028771 0.053513 0.102050 0.195902 0.371376 0.729045
2026-07-19 0.013631 0.026482 0.050363 0.098316 0.193293 0.375206 0.755378
2026-07-26 0.012351 0.024527 0.047658 0.095161 0.191457 0.380246 0.784445
2026-08-02 0.011331 0.022985 0.045603 0.093077 0.191512 0.388916 0.821622
2026-08-09 0.010849 0.022478 0.045525 0.094958 0.199773 0.414746 0.897096
2026-08-16 0.010112 0.021376 0.044155 0.094033 0.202075 0.428483 0.947979
2026-08-23 0.009427 0.020318 0.042781 0.092961 0.203940 0.441412 0.998279
2026-08-30 0.008646 0.018988 0.040721 0.090216 0.201889 0.445693 1.029508
2026-09-06 0.008419 0.018841 0.041160 0.092987 0.212300 0.478120 1.128267