Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 16.459308 18.651780 20.975581 23.616597 26.529291 29.637892 33.200795
2024-12-29 13.504744 16.552037 19.989317 24.132349 28.968056 34.410732 40.975665
2025-01-05 10.983901 14.488697 18.676241 23.999079 30.531224 38.229681 47.927559
2025-01-12 8.661269 12.281083 16.854610 22.969352 30.832135 40.497391 53.157858
2025-01-19 6.872017 10.455564 15.233558 21.933654 30.929997 42.420921 58.009502
2025-01-26 6.123094 9.898439 15.167747 22.856910 33.554618 47.649216 67.312607
2025-02-02 5.821512 9.918416 15.865197 24.839610 37.700293 55.082714 79.891879
2025-02-09 5.320549 9.559212 15.958054 25.940501 40.664279 61.060791 90.812744
2025-02-16 4.667963 8.862993 15.457174 26.096893 42.250635 65.181378 99.354123
2025-02-23 3.985368 8.012728 14.611225 25.626798 42.841115 67.874207 105.970743
2025-03-02 3.444350 7.320576 13.929259 25.323421 43.616825 70.820208 113.024706
2025-03-09 3.065140 6.859652 13.570105 25.483359 45.079468 74.804851 121.712760
2025-03-16 2.655051 6.291033 12.983920 25.247813 45.950186 78.021653 129.544709
2025-03-23 2.496320 6.193705 13.220820 26.422490 49.163429 84.972054 143.295726
2025-03-30 2.233131 5.839966 12.947554 26.678316 50.866938 89.644165 153.759877
2025-04-06 1.873217 5.214942 12.086258 25.797542 50.581721 91.133034 159.332017
2025-04-13 1.556273 4.624242 11.214725 24.804682 50.011737 92.099846 164.080786
2025-04-20 1.477641 4.584769 11.453999 25.924100 53.212987 99.371016 179.157786
2025-04-27 1.502591 4.806338 12.258361 28.189871 58.580306 110.442743 200.744204
2025-05-04 1.438495 4.789196 12.547748 29.455215 62.185780 118.680926 217.966868
2025-05-11 1.298580 4.546623 12.317132 29.655845 63.832695 123.648230 229.961643
2025-05-18 1.126623 4.180942 11.765940 29.149337 64.114776 126.263223 238.112011
2025-05-25 0.987415 3.878642 11.322059 28.821817 64.701576 129.407534 247.227216