Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 5.308819 6.200479 7.152969 8.241545 9.446540 10.735014 12.212260
2025-11-09 3.836400 5.003987 6.347959 7.990255 9.923438 12.107652 14.742312
2025-11-16 2.878104 4.176317 5.778989 7.857880 10.436781 13.485307 17.313492
2025-11-23 2.202083 3.548597 5.325859 7.760363 10.922762 14.807335 19.850089
2025-11-30 1.854270 3.277097 5.265821 8.114967 11.954182 16.812403 23.279580
2025-12-07 1.486413 2.898918 4.994307 8.134174 12.518625 18.225549 26.002340
2025-12-14 1.106909 2.418609 4.498599 7.769863 12.511081 18.862613 27.723003
2025-12-21 0.831298 2.042639 4.095868 7.478564 12.554317 19.534541 29.478107
2025-12-28 0.732502 1.960254 4.141621 7.851258 13.547741 21.517066 33.024135
2026-01-04 0.670497 1.934517 4.273272 8.357934 14.750999 23.820489 37.059505
2026-01-11 0.605381 1.887221 4.357779 8.787174 15.848836 26.001392 40.975205
2026-01-18 0.507085 1.743201 4.248516 8.883761 16.436159 27.464376 43.924741
2026-01-25 0.390889 1.527501 3.982878 8.704794 16.602508 28.349532 46.129680
2026-02-01 0.296113 1.331657 3.724275 8.510073 16.725702 29.167981 48.256920
2026-02-08 0.227647 1.180247 3.529778 8.406038 16.979242 30.176405 50.669831
2026-02-15 0.174175 1.049690 3.356866 8.321503 17.252329 31.213593 53.140557
2026-02-22 0.155348 1.029793 3.429143 8.704220 18.321379 33.490177 57.469011
2026-03-01 0.122306 0.939902 3.323065 8.729483 18.777731 34.829008 60.437371
2026-03-08 0.081171 0.785182 3.028164 8.348294 18.504430 35.013089 61.682515
2026-03-15 0.053264 0.662072 2.784770 8.042507 18.337914 35.347770 63.146734
2026-03-22 0.047744 0.659300 2.869412 8.436106 19.442363 37.738510 67.769306
2026-03-29 0.045625 0.677291 3.015482 8.970252 20.818611 40.593560 73.143093
2026-04-05 0.041849 0.681618 3.121923 9.422311 22.056282 43.245861 78.243847