Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 8.978707 10.300647 11.705334 13.304345 15.069248 16.952911 19.110415
2025-05-25 7.020125 8.822486 10.870423 13.350404 16.252174 19.519812 23.456541
2025-06-01 5.656779 7.741936 10.261362 13.484273 17.449217 22.118430 27.979747
2025-06-08 4.570428 6.793344 9.640616 13.471554 18.400904 24.437177 32.285385
2025-06-15 4.004863 6.404142 9.637339 14.177448 20.239929 27.902073 38.145769
2025-06-22 3.351374 5.777961 9.220290 14.262165 21.239852 30.326546 42.794562
2025-06-29 2.674979 4.997614 8.474749 13.791728 21.418051 31.645480 46.035820
2025-07-06 2.120487 4.301939 7.749512 13.248611 21.411455 32.665733 48.874967
2025-07-13 1.920830 4.151366 7.823580 13.866273 23.061691 35.992604 54.925860
2025-07-20 1.820018 4.153291 8.130041 14.845746 25.275920 40.180367 62.294313
2025-07-27 1.699998 4.098243 8.329213 15.658150 27.267703 44.114478 69.427232
2025-08-03 1.495645 3.846116 8.162098 15.858104 28.322977 46.723298 74.757880
2025-08-10 1.233210 3.435918 7.682854 15.522643 28.556821 48.184662 78.573337
2025-08-17 1.017452 3.078358 7.252255 15.224975 28.820745 49.688827 82.493674
2025-08-24 0.862984 2.823492 6.980023 15.170610 29.459501 51.765956 87.304843
2025-08-31 0.724458 2.573462 6.682932 15.039432 29.951835 53.623020 91.832891
2025-09-07 0.676694 2.544911 6.832749 15.737620 31.868756 57.756145 99.901317
2025-09-14 0.582812 2.369013 6.649052 15.788155 32.670574 60.149687 105.379456
2025-09-21 0.463322 2.083994 6.186374 15.255163 32.415651 60.832809 108.230634
2025-09-28 0.361160 1.814658 5.715078 14.654007 31.990485 61.204093 110.582949
2025-10-05 0.339493 1.805924 5.858640 15.314041 33.874593 65.416751 119.074807
2025-10-12 0.337862 1.868256 6.182133 16.367050 36.519337 70.957530 129.788980
2025-10-19 0.326921 1.893787 6.415251 17.240456 38.859996 76.045828 139.882231