Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 6.805748 7.876646 9.023041 10.337270 11.797842 13.366859 15.175330
2025-04-06 4.971110 6.360607 7.962614 9.928899 12.259084 14.914023 18.148291
2025-04-13 3.654201 5.157131 7.017248 9.448560 12.499435 16.156656 20.823777
2025-04-20 3.045073 4.688479 6.851918 9.833540 13.754070 18.647812 25.122844
2025-04-27 2.711454 4.509815 7.007822 10.608375 15.529060 21.875345 30.516683
2025-05-04 2.385059 4.274482 7.036426 11.186370 17.060094 24.859484 35.750276
2025-05-11 1.988243 3.856369 6.736055 11.249335 17.863712 26.900245 39.828520
2025-05-18 1.594103 3.363808 6.247599 10.966115 18.126243 28.186002 42.920825
2025-05-25 1.287963 2.956787 5.828381 10.724352 18.400087 29.466126 46.025719
2025-06-01 1.073365 2.669744 5.559796 10.675471 18.932982 31.111487 49.678887
2025-06-08 0.889219 2.401077 5.281491 10.571516 19.354435 32.591544 53.131007
2025-06-15 0.820444 2.356259 5.394640 11.125601 20.833663 35.690312 59.027900
2025-06-22 0.703192 2.185603 5.260916 11.256167 21.664018 37.888235 63.752373
2025-06-29 0.551189 1.894878 4.852558 10.855436 21.587717 38.687626 66.423496
2025-07-06 0.420566 1.616160 4.421179 10.359956 21.304356 39.134106 68.561381
2025-07-13 0.380310 1.569766 4.474344 10.785665 22.631888 42.189215 74.802911
2025-07-20 0.371521 1.612998 4.730308 11.625786 24.730977 46.562101 83.221239
2025-07-27 0.348766 1.607909 4.874553 12.251121 26.472910 50.408301 90.919254
2025-08-03 0.297322 1.495465 4.751850 12.321271 27.207709 52.617856 96.091742
2025-08-10 0.236253 1.326507 4.464499 12.018355 27.230024 53.631401 99.376300
2025-08-17 0.187986 1.181994 4.211814 11.759253 27.308895 54.729305 102.812807
2025-08-24 0.155388 1.083843 4.062320 11.707149 27.770418 56.483774 107.349250
2025-08-31 0.126331 0.985706 3.894834 11.595612 28.103912 58.020015 111.559742