Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-22 12.852630 14.708992 16.705672 19.008887 21.588191 24.383329 27.637229
2024-09-29 10.201258 12.683639 15.547668 19.080641 23.304753 28.175459 34.198054
2024-10-06 8.786118 11.774969 15.446960 20.252473 26.333419 33.726412 43.343298
2024-10-13 7.275774 10.484811 14.672030 20.466380 28.195828 38.060485 51.495530
2024-10-20 5.814432 9.001921 13.413560 19.856240 28.892815 40.963459 58.118583
2024-10-27 4.635149 7.698480 12.187871 19.090826 29.242717 43.391849 64.307213
2024-11-03 4.116589 7.275113 12.141767 19.965744 31.947215 49.256590 75.698951
2024-11-10 3.896809 7.277654 12.722223 21.822257 36.253203 57.751192 91.521460
2024-11-17 3.539888 6.988993 12.794202 22.877209 39.423289 64.817846 105.796375
2024-11-24 3.064785 6.409772 12.301133 22.941826 41.015230 69.592138 116.952597
2024-12-01 2.572879 5.709356 11.495142 22.365708 41.476362 72.597952 125.547279
2024-12-08 2.217157 5.204574 10.960804 22.180860 42.542912 76.610241 135.971607
2024-12-15 1.945996 4.833001 10.642081 22.382602 44.360432 82.105706 149.404402
2024-12-22 1.688086 4.440001 10.224700 22.346584 45.746186 86.980067 162.167882
2024-12-29 1.586110 4.377921 10.464460 23.606048 49.621297 96.434902 183.363909
2025-01-05 1.402442 4.087053 10.183367 23.789565 51.481272 102.465561 199.030051
2025-01-12 1.176273 3.641701 9.497973 23.050820 51.475401 105.115617 208.885674
2025-01-19 0.975634 3.214611 8.782762 22.149185 51.038957 106.909964 217.282738
2025-01-26 0.913928 3.154061 8.916924 23.126017 54.515094 116.302655 240.212343
2025-02-02 0.916409 3.278980 9.518418 25.222952 60.500589 130.885071 273.656267
2025-02-09 0.869015 3.245507 9.718832 26.410199 64.642306 142.123973 301.380729
2025-02-16 0.774384 3.044262 9.458597 26.475676 66.354522 148.661960 320.454203
2025-02-23 0.662518 2.758424 8.927762 25.816334 66.395235 151.826423 333.126835