Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 6.816917 7.880446 9.014411 10.309035 11.741618 13.273871 15.032061
2025-07-13 5.533447 7.028013 8.732850 10.803201 13.230483 15.967139 19.266140
2025-07-20 4.756656 6.575594 8.777603 11.595803 15.060591 19.134608 24.237362
2025-07-27 4.109824 6.151968 8.763355 12.265622 16.752349 22.218632 29.285209
2025-08-03 3.404581 5.523887 8.385386 12.400126 17.746004 24.474715 33.424590
2025-08-10 2.718637 4.797441 7.764580 12.117955 18.135459 25.946829 36.615682
2025-08-17 2.197027 4.213127 7.250001 11.897409 18.545911 27.419789 39.828027
2025-08-24 1.811327 3.766337 6.866403 11.799638 19.080581 29.042557 43.262924
2025-08-31 1.498969 3.380405 6.518237 11.701954 19.579597 30.607381 46.647999
2025-09-07 1.345347 3.244653 6.544733 12.160706 20.891893 33.331239 51.685519
2025-09-14 1.145317 2.982902 6.326170 12.204421 21.571416 35.169540 55.539313
2025-09-21 0.910463 2.601177 5.848693 11.776937 21.490095 35.888606 57.819659
2025-09-28 0.703450 2.232819 5.352485 11.282559 21.288667 36.447857 59.936989
2025-10-05 0.643306 2.185298 5.452225 11.818963 22.754926 39.540035 65.814355
2025-10-12 0.620043 2.223079 5.721610 12.671920 24.773378 43.531094 73.118388
2025-10-19 0.584680 2.222502 5.911948 13.391183 26.599015 47.281221 80.161615
2025-10-26 0.504610 2.082825 5.797150 13.536568 27.465951 49.575965 85.094091
2025-11-02 0.404396 1.855299 5.462416 13.235599 27.549940 50.641824 88.197351
2025-11-09 0.325646 1.664158 5.177766 13.000089 27.722695 51.838110 91.512548
2025-11-16 0.267393 1.517389 4.971431 12.895725 28.108966 53.372125 95.364343
2025-11-23 0.218606 1.383766 4.775252 12.791318 28.481889 54.885836 99.210115
2025-11-30 0.201138 1.364762 4.862850 13.282413 29.956408 58.238882 105.996575
2025-12-07 0.169126 1.272127 4.746737 13.329243 30.608459 60.245468 110.702516