Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.009978 0.011878 0.014199 0.017298 0.021411 0.026813 0.034677
2025-07-27 0.007577 0.009766 0.012772 0.017381 0.024634 0.036354 0.058653
2025-08-03 0.006308 0.008553 0.011880 0.017502 0.027559 0.046851 0.094129
2025-08-10 0.005337 0.007485 0.010842 0.016918 0.028892 0.055311 0.137062
2025-08-17 0.004558 0.006545 0.009766 0.015896 0.028896 0.060999 0.183526
2025-08-24 0.003996 0.005850 0.008949 0.015106 0.029033 0.067222 0.248315
2025-08-31 0.003709 0.005555 0.008757 0.015460 0.031914 0.083865 0.428094
2025-09-07 0.003370 0.005125 0.008245 0.015016 0.032639 0.094565 0.646648
2025-09-14 0.003062 0.004711 0.007701 0.014377 0.032598 0.102732 0.939836
2025-09-21 0.002867 0.004475 0.007460 0.014367 0.034397 0.121584 1.790954
2025-09-28 0.002764 0.004391 0.007501 0.015032 0.038683 0.161143 6.043641
2025-10-05 0.002723 0.004417 0.007766 0.016327 0.046047 0.241811 139.122562
2025-10-12 0.002599 0.004286 0.007722 0.016920 0.051854 0.345140 NaN
2025-10-19 0.002444 0.004084 0.007497 0.016977 0.055733 0.462388 NaN
2025-10-26 0.002312 0.003911 0.007309 0.017093 0.060185 0.642298 NaN
2025-11-02 0.002153 0.003669 0.006931 0.016527 0.060782 0.771388 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001987 0.003398 0.006454 0.015538 0.058420 0.814200 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001850 0.003176 0.006068 0.014772 0.056982 0.890114 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001785 0.003098 0.006020 0.015116 0.062761 1.412184 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001687 0.002943 0.005762 0.014685 0.063220 1.744742 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001587 0.002778 0.005468 0.014065 0.061982 1.971493 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001525 0.002689 0.005350 0.014055 0.065345 2.991144 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001496 0.002668 0.005405 0.014700 0.074882 7.562982 NaN