Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.006554 0.007565 0.008749 0.010254 0.012143 0.014471 0.017616
2025-11-02 0.005119 0.006317 0.007862 0.010059 0.013208 0.017738 0.025128
2025-11-09 0.004209 0.005404 0.007038 0.009534 0.013446 0.019737 0.031649
2025-11-16 0.003626 0.004791 0.006458 0.009147 0.013674 0.021676 0.039024
2025-11-23 0.003319 0.004508 0.006279 0.009296 0.014758 0.025438 0.052492
2025-11-30 0.003011 0.004172 0.005959 0.009132 0.015222 0.028176 0.065950
2025-12-07 0.002729 0.003842 0.005596 0.008817 0.015300 0.030117 0.079224
2025-12-14 0.002527 0.003613 0.005366 0.008692 0.015721 0.033055 0.099489
2025-12-21 0.002428 0.003534 0.005373 0.009005 0.017168 0.039405 0.144372
2025-12-28 0.002362 0.003502 0.005456 0.009479 0.019138 0.048613 0.230327
2026-01-04 0.002255 0.003390 0.005378 0.009607 0.020303 0.056163 0.340720
2026-01-11 0.002128 0.003231 0.005196 0.009481 0.020761 0.061559 0.468720
2026-01-18 0.002020 0.003107 0.005086 0.009542 0.021925 0.071767 0.794877
2026-01-25 0.001894 0.002943 0.004884 0.009364 0.022368 0.079612 1.289989
2026-02-01 0.001751 0.002737 0.004577 0.008888 0.021724 0.081412 1.732783
2026-02-08 0.001635 0.002571 0.004336 0.008537 0.021395 0.084983 2.577762
2026-02-15 0.001577 0.002507 0.004294 0.008672 0.022797 0.101657 7.807810
2026-02-22 0.001499 0.002399 0.004150 0.008523 0.023135 0.111989 23.126705
2026-03-01 0.001415 0.002276 0.003965 0.008236 0.022865 0.117503 73.428157
2026-03-08 0.001353 0.002190 0.003850 0.008122 0.023254 0.130109 4000.485684
2026-03-15 0.001327 0.002172 0.003878 0.008408 0.025434 0.167355 NaN
2026-03-22 0.001312 0.002174 0.003952 0.008838 0.028539 0.231941 NaN
2026-03-29 0.001276 0.002131 0.003921 0.008954 0.030265 0.289292 NaN