Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-08 0.003851 0.004303 0.004809 0.005423 0.006153 0.007002 0.008076
2026-02-15 0.003264 0.003853 0.004568 0.005517 0.006769 0.008406 0.010780
2026-02-22 0.002843 0.003473 0.004278 0.005412 0.007022 0.009315 0.013019
2026-03-01 0.002525 0.003161 0.004006 0.005252 0.007123 0.009982 0.015049
2026-03-08 0.002296 0.002933 0.003807 0.005144 0.007254 0.010689 0.017338
2026-03-15 0.002180 0.002844 0.003782 0.005277 0.007764 0.012110 0.021435
2026-03-22 0.002098 0.002790 0.003797 0.005466 0.008392 0.013889 0.027088
2026-03-29 0.002035 0.002755 0.003834 0.005691 0.009119 0.016062 0.034931
2026-04-05 0.001918 0.002628 0.003713 0.005629 0.009302 0.017161 0.040688
2026-04-12 0.001815 0.002514 0.003602 0.005569 0.009473 0.018284 0.047374
2026-04-19 0.001700 0.002374 0.003436 0.005392 0.009374 0.018737 0.052189
2026-04-26 0.001583 0.002224 0.003242 0.005139 0.009079 0.018625 0.054857
2026-05-03 0.001478 0.002090 0.003073 0.004937 0.008897 0.018871 0.059879
2026-05-10 0.001430 0.002046 0.003056 0.005021 0.009375 0.021130 0.077478
2026-05-17 0.001359 0.001959 0.002956 0.004930 0.009430 0.022186 0.090822
2026-05-24 0.001286 0.001865 0.002837 0.004789 0.009342 0.022774 0.102694
2026-05-31 0.001226 0.001790 0.002745 0.004695 0.009350 0.023705 0.119637
2026-06-07 0.001202 0.001772 0.002755 0.004811 0.009925 0.026922 0.168123
2026-06-14 0.001185 0.001767 0.002787 0.004977 0.010673 0.031308 0.258920
2026-06-21 0.001173 0.001767 0.002829 0.005174 0.011564 0.037041 0.444996
2026-06-28 0.001131 0.001714 0.002765 0.005120 0.011703 0.039380 0.604464
2026-07-05 0.001092 0.001664 0.002704 0.005067 0.011837 0.041848 0.848569
2026-07-12 0.001045 0.001596 0.002604 0.004912 0.011613 0.042236 1.023128