Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.008225 0.009630 0.011306 0.013486 0.016292 0.019851 0.024823
2025-10-19 0.006314 0.007944 0.010105 0.013283 0.018028 0.025203 0.037692
2025-10-26 0.005357 0.007063 0.009491 0.013384 0.019884 0.031236 0.055394
2025-11-02 0.004635 0.006316 0.008831 0.013133 0.020971 0.036413 0.075970
2025-11-09 0.004002 0.005576 0.008015 0.012383 0.020872 0.039242 0.094323
2025-11-16 0.003541 0.005027 0.007397 0.011815 0.020905 0.042361 0.117721
2025-11-23 0.003295 0.004777 0.007221 0.011990 0.022503 0.050192 0.171264
2025-11-30 0.003027 0.004457 0.006874 0.011760 0.023123 0.055874 0.230796
2025-12-07 0.002771 0.004128 0.006467 0.011324 0.023118 0.059761 0.294842
2025-12-14 0.002585 0.003898 0.006208 0.011148 0.023719 0.066263 0.410192
2025-12-21 0.002498 0.003831 0.006239 0.011598 0.026179 0.082217 0.759509
2025-12-28 0.002464 0.003851 0.006436 0.012469 0.030271 0.111142 2.051215
2026-01-04 0.002359 0.003745 0.006399 0.012852 0.033344 0.142967 7.211249
2026-01-11 0.002209 0.003546 0.006150 0.012669 0.034488 0.166896 30.051630
2026-01-18 0.002100 0.003411 0.006020 0.012764 0.036781 0.207607 4471.722385
2026-01-25 0.001977 0.003238 0.005785 0.012528 0.037671 0.240632 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001831 0.003011 0.005409 0.011825 0.036256 0.245757 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001711 0.002827 0.005109 0.011292 0.035417 0.257898 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001651 0.002754 0.005052 0.011456 0.037956 0.332144 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001571 0.002636 0.004878 0.011240 0.038551 0.382457 NaN
2026-03-01 0.001485 0.002501 0.004654 0.010830 0.037975 0.409770 NaN
2026-03-08 0.001420 0.002406 0.004515 0.010664 0.038677 0.477943 NaN
2026-03-15 0.001395 0.002389 0.004556 0.011088 0.043085 0.723893 NaN