Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.009712 0.011593 0.013898 0.016984 0.021098 0.026523 0.034460
2025-05-04 0.007301 0.009447 0.012406 0.016967 0.024191 0.035954 0.058557
2025-05-11 0.006022 0.008195 0.011429 0.016919 0.026798 0.045889 0.093138
2025-05-18 0.005100 0.007185 0.010458 0.016420 0.028264 0.054672 0.137706
2025-05-25 0.004365 0.006301 0.009459 0.015517 0.028502 0.061050 0.188522
2025-06-01 0.003846 0.005666 0.008735 0.014898 0.029048 0.068746 0.265639
2025-06-08 0.003570 0.005384 0.008559 0.015285 0.032088 0.086655 0.472550
2025-06-15 0.003269 0.005016 0.008158 0.015089 0.033587 0.101500 0.785289
2025-06-22 0.002940 0.004558 0.007518 0.014216 0.032865 0.107215 1.094681
2025-06-29 0.002763 0.004350 0.007327 0.014327 0.035144 0.130158 2.320976
2025-07-06 0.002650 0.004244 0.007322 0.014882 0.039193 0.171126 8.483078
2025-07-13 0.002590 0.004228 0.007494 0.015937 0.045780 0.249738 255.494958
2025-07-20 0.002473 0.004108 0.007466 0.016577 0.051934 0.364235 NaN
2025-07-27 0.002317 0.003898 0.007217 0.016548 0.055489 0.485474 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002179 0.003708 0.006982 0.016501 0.059105 0.657372 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002031 0.003484 0.006637 0.016019 0.060164 0.809852 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001878 0.003235 0.006202 0.015146 0.058440 0.884054 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001755 0.003038 0.005871 0.014547 0.058056 1.026050 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001693 0.002966 0.005831 0.014922 0.064366 1.706615 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001610 0.002839 0.005642 0.014732 0.066807 2.404390 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001504 0.002656 0.005292 0.013887 0.063775 2.495853 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001449 0.002580 0.005205 0.013994 0.068412 4.267875 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001415 0.002549 0.005229 0.014531 0.077621 11.573221 NaN