Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.011567 0.014027 0.017108 0.021339 0.027142 0.035058 0.047118
2025-03-02 0.008210 0.010810 0.014486 0.020324 0.029927 0.046338 0.080051
2025-03-09 0.006610 0.009161 0.013058 0.019895 0.032754 0.059171 0.131127
2025-03-16 0.005744 0.008293 0.012441 0.020363 0.037197 0.078712 0.235314
2025-03-23 0.005059 0.007535 0.011766 0.020418 0.040809 0.100362 0.420928
2025-03-30 0.004417 0.006719 0.010789 0.019530 0.041785 0.116226 0.677987
2025-04-06 0.003960 0.006142 0.010124 0.019081 0.043683 0.138593 1.235890
2025-04-13 0.003690 0.005848 0.009930 0.019615 0.048771 0.184229 3.428916
2025-04-20 0.003541 0.005749 0.010095 0.021065 0.057969 0.278177 27.722307
2025-04-27 0.003363 0.005568 0.010052 0.021978 0.066258 0.405699 158357.754710
2025-05-04 0.003143 0.005275 0.009713 0.021977 0.071056 0.536383 NaN
2025-05-11 0.002950 0.005015 0.009406 0.021984 0.076128 0.722118 NaN
2025-05-18 0.002736 0.004714 0.009017 0.021832 0.081737 1.039918 NaN
2025-05-25 0.002495 0.004334 0.008396 0.020796 0.082010 1.300360 NaN
2025-06-01 0.002316 0.004064 0.007991 0.020353 0.085724 1.861236 NaN
2025-06-08 0.002202 0.003917 0.007865 0.020836 0.096657 3.664584 NaN
2025-06-15 0.002082 0.003743 0.007641 0.020893 0.105151 7.277662 NaN
2025-06-22 0.001935 0.003497 0.007195 0.019977 0.104708 10.460619 NaN
2025-06-29 0.001821 0.003313 0.006887 0.019514 0.108090 19.828107 NaN
2025-07-06 0.001755 0.003229 0.006833 0.020065 0.122928 126.950956 NaN
2025-07-13 0.001724 0.003222 0.006985 0.021561 0.153515 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.001676 0.003169 0.007004 0.022504 0.182305 NaN NaN
2025-07-27 0.001606 0.003057 0.006834 0.022503 0.198124 NaN NaN