Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.008569 0.010120 0.011992 0.014456 0.017672 0.021816 0.027711
2025-06-15 0.006481 0.008260 0.010658 0.014254 0.019754 0.028317 0.043797
2025-06-22 0.005195 0.006918 0.009402 0.013444 0.020319 0.032611 0.059628
2025-06-29 0.004549 0.006283 0.008924 0.013543 0.022204 0.039947 0.088208
2025-07-06 0.004155 0.005926 0.008759 0.014054 0.024973 0.050738 0.140573
2025-07-13 0.003926 0.005772 0.008873 0.015070 0.029191 0.068310 0.256988
2025-07-20 0.003660 0.005511 0.008742 0.015562 0.032494 0.086886 0.460656
2025-07-27 0.003384 0.005192 0.008443 0.015616 0.034757 0.105008 0.811661
2025-08-03 0.003157 0.004927 0.008200 0.015726 0.037269 0.128074 1.615707
2025-08-10 0.002903 0.004582 0.007748 0.015244 0.037807 0.143501 2.903119
2025-08-17 0.002644 0.004204 0.007182 0.014364 0.036712 0.149268 4.491917
2025-08-24 0.002433 0.003897 0.006723 0.013667 0.036005 0.157323 7.841802
2025-08-31 0.002311 0.003760 0.006632 0.013990 0.039549 0.206651 82.627973
2025-09-07 0.002159 0.003553 0.006370 0.013813 0.041244 0.250705 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001981 0.003278 0.005927 0.013037 0.040073 0.265183 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001884 0.003154 0.005798 0.013132 0.042883 0.343176 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001822 0.003093 0.005802 0.013622 0.048075 0.505374 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001792 0.003092 0.005945 0.014594 0.056987 0.909470 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001735 0.003030 0.005933 0.015065 0.063758 1.519394 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001662 0.002927 0.005808 0.015117 0.068022 2.326894 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001597 0.002838 0.005703 0.015222 0.073015 3.912435 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001513 0.002700 0.005462 0.014761 0.073169 5.130393 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001419 0.002535 0.005135 0.013919 0.069505 5.200667 NaN