Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.004598 0.005188 0.005857 0.006680 0.007674 0.008850 0.010365
2026-01-04 0.003818 0.004571 0.005502 0.006765 0.008473 0.010771 0.014220
2026-01-11 0.003315 0.004122 0.005178 0.006708 0.008954 0.012289 0.017963
2026-01-18 0.002989 0.003826 0.004971 0.006723 0.009479 0.013941 0.022494
2026-01-25 0.002693 0.003523 0.004697 0.006571 0.009683 0.015104 0.026649
2026-02-01 0.002422 0.003221 0.004379 0.006288 0.009600 0.015721 0.029991
2026-02-08 0.002196 0.002959 0.004089 0.006001 0.009443 0.016145 0.033115
2026-02-15 0.002085 0.002855 0.004024 0.006070 0.009932 0.017981 0.040842
2026-02-22 0.001949 0.002700 0.003863 0.005950 0.010033 0.019017 0.047107
2026-03-01 0.001820 0.002546 0.003687 0.005779 0.009999 0.019734 0.052962
2026-03-08 0.001712 0.002418 0.003543 0.005647 0.010021 0.020599 0.060176
2026-03-15 0.001672 0.002392 0.003566 0.005827 0.010747 0.023551 0.079350
2026-03-22 0.001635 0.002376 0.003614 0.006086 0.011770 0.028015 0.115660
2026-03-29 0.001570 0.002309 0.003570 0.006158 0.012383 0.031659 0.159069
2026-04-05 0.001495 0.002219 0.003473 0.006108 0.012680 0.034440 0.208074
2026-04-12 0.001436 0.002152 0.003411 0.006122 0.013151 0.038233 0.290915
2026-04-19 0.001363 0.002056 0.003290 0.005988 0.013183 0.040300 0.370825
2026-04-26 0.001282 0.001943 0.003126 0.005739 0.012831 0.040515 0.425694
2026-05-03 0.001208 0.001836 0.002967 0.005486 0.012423 0.040310 0.476902
2026-05-10 0.001175 0.001801 0.002944 0.005547 0.012990 0.045377 0.770823
2026-05-17 0.001126 0.001734 0.002855 0.005441 0.013007 0.047627 1.057865
2026-05-24 0.001075 0.001663 0.002752 0.005290 0.012848 0.048823 1.375577
2026-05-31 0.001032 0.001602 0.002667 0.005174 0.012785 0.050643 1.927352