Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.009147 0.010805 0.012809 0.015450 0.018905 0.023366 0.029731
2025-09-07 0.006854 0.008721 0.011238 0.015009 0.020771 0.029743 0.045970
2025-09-14 0.005565 0.007404 0.010053 0.014368 0.021716 0.034889 0.063996
2025-09-21 0.004854 0.006689 0.009481 0.014356 0.023490 0.042203 0.093220
2025-09-28 0.004462 0.006351 0.009372 0.015018 0.026673 0.054272 0.151508
2025-10-05 0.004263 0.006264 0.009632 0.016385 0.031882 0.075437 0.293754
2025-10-12 0.003982 0.005994 0.009513 0.016973 0.035658 0.096877 0.544860
2025-10-19 0.003643 0.005575 0.009047 0.016704 0.037171 0.112894 0.906881
2025-10-26 0.003403 0.005298 0.008798 0.016845 0.039937 0.138338 1.867468
2025-11-02 0.003150 0.004965 0.008389 0.016515 0.041163 0.159329 3.777429
2025-11-09 0.002864 0.004544 0.007750 0.015492 0.039709 0.164071 5.873486
2025-11-16 0.002637 0.004214 0.007257 0.014741 0.038943 0.173088 10.943462
2025-11-23 0.002507 0.004069 0.007163 0.015097 0.042812 0.228589 205.238280
2025-11-30 0.002325 0.003810 0.006800 0.014667 0.043565 0.264905 NaN
2025-12-07 0.002151 0.003549 0.006399 0.014047 0.043240 0.292498 NaN
2025-12-14 0.002039 0.003400 0.006225 0.014034 0.045686 0.369612 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001981 0.003351 0.006267 0.014676 0.051883 0.564589 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001964 0.003384 0.006503 0.016000 0.063368 1.127371 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001905 0.003323 0.006503 0.016569 0.071379 1.995370 NaN
2026-01-11 0.001810 0.003178 0.006282 0.016308 0.073659 2.780448 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001742 0.003084 0.006176 0.016445 0.079292 4.894981 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001659 0.002952 0.005962 0.016126 0.081082 7.321114 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001554 0.002767 0.005590 0.015135 0.076311 7.081372 NaN