Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.007789 0.009126 0.010723 0.012800 0.015474 0.018866 0.023604
2025-07-20 0.006169 0.007797 0.009968 0.013182 0.018019 0.025403 0.038412
2025-07-27 0.005191 0.006880 0.009301 0.013214 0.019813 0.031487 0.056778
2025-08-03 0.004552 0.006253 0.008826 0.013290 0.021573 0.038309 0.082890
2025-08-10 0.003987 0.005617 0.008183 0.012874 0.022252 0.043393 0.111389
2025-08-17 0.003497 0.005018 0.007481 0.012165 0.022081 0.046510 0.139338
2025-08-24 0.003129 0.004561 0.006940 0.011624 0.022075 0.050093 0.176675
2025-08-31 0.002943 0.004376 0.006833 0.011891 0.023986 0.060460 0.275939
2025-09-07 0.002708 0.004080 0.006482 0.011582 0.024391 0.066544 0.378457
2025-09-14 0.002487 0.003786 0.006098 0.011129 0.024276 0.070853 0.496769
2025-09-21 0.002347 0.003618 0.005930 0.011117 0.025392 0.081283 0.789989
2025-09-28 0.002257 0.003530 0.005902 0.011419 0.027573 0.099347 1.606650
2025-10-05 0.002196 0.003501 0.006010 0.012141 0.031733 0.137297 6.876328
2025-10-12 0.002102 0.003403 0.005970 0.012505 0.035024 0.180681 74.157457
2025-10-19 0.001991 0.003261 0.005817 0.012535 0.037136 0.223879 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001895 0.003139 0.005689 0.012605 0.039535 0.283011 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001777 0.002963 0.005423 0.012219 0.039711 0.318983 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001652 0.002764 0.005084 0.011559 0.038289 0.328093 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001548 0.002600 0.004811 0.011054 0.037454 0.347388 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001500 0.002547 0.004786 0.011303 0.040704 0.475280 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001425 0.002430 0.004601 0.011015 0.040899 0.541568 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001347 0.002306 0.004386 0.010591 0.040127 0.579611 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001298 0.002237 0.004300 0.010580 0.041881 0.740700 NaN