Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.009097 0.010757 0.012764 0.015415 0.018887 0.023378 0.029800
2025-08-10 0.006775 0.008629 0.011132 0.014886 0.020635 0.029605 0.045873
2025-08-17 0.005431 0.007226 0.009812 0.014023 0.021190 0.034028 0.062356
2025-08-24 0.004587 0.006298 0.008883 0.013362 0.021657 0.038364 0.082643
2025-08-31 0.004163 0.005890 0.008627 0.013676 0.023896 0.047380 0.125552
2025-09-07 0.003713 0.005367 0.008075 0.013301 0.024618 0.053508 0.171320
2025-09-14 0.003326 0.004886 0.007508 0.012756 0.024766 0.058346 0.224517
2025-09-21 0.003081 0.004607 0.007245 0.012744 0.026149 0.067953 0.336226
2025-09-28 0.002947 0.004495 0.007260 0.013303 0.029211 0.086321 0.629345
2025-10-05 0.002892 0.004512 0.007515 0.014451 0.034501 0.121192 1.732401
2025-10-12 0.002771 0.004395 0.007489 0.014943 0.038146 0.155848 5.107181
2025-10-19 0.002603 0.004173 0.007219 0.014770 0.039519 0.180969 14.804230
2025-10-26 0.002447 0.003977 0.007012 0.014810 0.042146 0.226651 228.025505
2025-11-02 0.002265 0.003715 0.006636 0.014333 0.042640 0.259786 NaN
2025-11-09 0.002079 0.003428 0.006173 0.013514 0.041329 0.273229 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001927 0.003196 0.005802 0.012886 0.040600 0.294314 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001854 0.003112 0.005752 0.013184 0.044407 0.402351 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001746 0.002950 0.005504 0.012828 0.044825 0.464415 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001638 0.002779 0.005220 0.012309 0.044145 0.505572 NaN
2025-12-14 0.001570 0.002685 0.005102 0.012297 0.046334 0.651059 NaN
2025-12-21 0.001536 0.002660 0.005148 0.012830 0.052300 1.066434 NaN
2025-12-28 0.001531 0.002693 0.005339 0.013920 0.063457 2.517819 NaN
2026-01-04 0.001495 0.002657 0.005351 0.014388 0.071044 5.293209 NaN