Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.008503 0.009987 0.011766 0.014089 0.017097 0.020936 0.026335
2025-09-28 0.006793 0.008622 0.011077 0.014740 0.020310 0.028927 0.044383
2025-10-05 0.006055 0.008116 0.011122 0.016093 0.024737 0.040689 0.077523
2025-10-12 0.005389 0.007509 0.010793 0.016668 0.028058 0.052603 0.125568
2025-10-19 0.004749 0.006801 0.010118 0.016406 0.029672 0.062197 0.184842
2025-10-26 0.004321 0.006343 0.009743 0.016553 0.032168 0.076026 0.296016
2025-11-02 0.003914 0.005855 0.009218 0.016253 0.033519 0.088103 0.452593
2025-11-09 0.003489 0.005282 0.008447 0.015258 0.032745 0.092777 0.595529
2025-11-16 0.003158 0.004832 0.007841 0.014486 0.032299 0.098668 0.814416
2025-11-23 0.002982 0.004634 0.007683 0.014678 0.034698 0.119720 1.605429
2025-11-30 0.002777 0.004364 0.007344 0.014376 0.035495 0.134850 2.923951
2025-12-07 0.002570 0.004070 0.006923 0.013790 0.035160 0.143907 4.938260
2025-12-14 0.002416 0.003875 0.006713 0.013780 0.037188 0.174972 20.368110
2025-12-21 0.002327 0.003797 0.006740 0.014412 0.042140 0.246093 785375.547219
2025-12-28 0.002294 0.003821 0.006985 0.015723 0.051119 0.414637 NaN
2026-01-04 0.002210 0.003732 0.006967 0.016281 0.057412 0.624523 NaN
2026-01-11 0.002084 0.003549 0.006708 0.016027 0.059435 0.793580 NaN
2026-01-18 0.001993 0.003430 0.006581 0.016169 0.064005 1.151976 NaN
2026-01-25 0.001888 0.003271 0.006340 0.015878 0.065801 1.501443 NaN
2026-02-01 0.001758 0.003050 0.005927 0.014914 0.062517 1.519923 NaN
2026-02-08 0.001649 0.002867 0.005592 0.014166 0.060369 1.613694 NaN
2026-02-15 0.001594 0.002796 0.005526 0.014352 0.065127 2.602471 NaN
2026-02-22 0.001521 0.002681 0.005337 0.014059 0.066152 3.458456 NaN