Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.008824 0.010440 0.012396 0.014978 0.018361 0.022737 0.028990
2025-06-15 0.006657 0.008505 0.011006 0.014773 0.020565 0.029648 0.046224
2025-06-22 0.005325 0.007111 0.009695 0.013922 0.021161 0.034224 0.063332
2025-06-29 0.004658 0.006451 0.009196 0.014023 0.023150 0.042068 0.094532
2025-07-06 0.004251 0.006081 0.009023 0.014559 0.026083 0.053680 0.152603
2025-07-13 0.004014 0.005921 0.009141 0.015622 0.030558 0.072715 0.284627
2025-07-20 0.003740 0.005651 0.009005 0.016139 0.034077 0.093025 0.523084
2025-07-27 0.003456 0.005320 0.008693 0.016194 0.036488 0.112956 0.949481
2025-08-03 0.003222 0.005046 0.008438 0.016308 0.039167 0.138498 1.979717
2025-08-10 0.002960 0.004689 0.007968 0.015797 0.039727 0.155593 3.736585
2025-08-17 0.002695 0.004299 0.007379 0.014871 0.038547 0.161980 6.050081
2025-08-24 0.002483 0.003991 0.006921 0.014190 0.037982 0.172503 11.856843
2025-08-31 0.002359 0.003853 0.006834 0.014549 0.041875 0.229610 266.955244
2025-09-07 0.002203 0.003639 0.006560 0.014361 0.043705 0.280678 NaN
2025-09-14 0.002020 0.003356 0.006100 0.013543 0.042431 0.297455 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001920 0.003227 0.005966 0.013641 0.045457 0.389148 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001857 0.003164 0.005970 0.014156 0.051082 0.584234 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001826 0.003163 0.006117 0.015179 0.060764 1.088790 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001767 0.003099 0.006105 0.015675 0.068165 1.890803 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001692 0.002993 0.005974 0.015729 0.072823 3.007557 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001626 0.002901 0.005865 0.015838 0.078288 5.349282 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001540 0.002758 0.005613 0.015347 0.078411 7.241135 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001444 0.002589 0.005275 0.014457 0.074365 7.339146 NaN