Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.007157 0.008386 0.009852 0.011755 0.014201 0.017296 0.021604
2025-04-06 0.005447 0.006867 0.008751 0.011517 0.015638 0.021848 0.032589
2025-04-13 0.004655 0.006165 0.008321 0.011786 0.017582 0.027708 0.049201
2025-04-20 0.004222 0.005821 0.008248 0.012469 0.020318 0.036192 0.078393
2025-04-27 0.003851 0.005482 0.008080 0.012906 0.022754 0.045595 0.122529
2025-05-04 0.003486 0.005082 0.007724 0.012889 0.024268 0.054020 0.180443
2025-05-11 0.003190 0.004747 0.007409 0.012859 0.025735 0.063569 0.270942
2025-05-18 0.002906 0.004393 0.007002 0.012538 0.026390 0.071385 0.387323
2025-05-25 0.002630 0.004021 0.006505 0.011919 0.026059 0.075730 0.508796
2025-06-01 0.002414 0.003731 0.006124 0.011479 0.026075 0.081710 0.706029
2025-06-08 0.002301 0.003611 0.006053 0.011724 0.028202 0.099536 1.376179
2025-06-15 0.002167 0.003440 0.005856 0.011630 0.029264 0.114052 2.567311
2025-06-22 0.001992 0.003192 0.005506 0.011171 0.029224 0.124672 4.904363
2025-06-29 0.001857 0.003008 0.005267 0.010958 0.030057 0.143973 15.184680
2025-07-06 0.001775 0.002916 0.005210 0.011210 0.032827 0.186828 477.933451
2025-07-13 0.001729 0.002888 0.005285 0.011847 0.037695 0.273547 NaN
2025-07-20 0.001670 0.002828 0.005279 0.012255 0.041984 0.388851 NaN
2025-07-27 0.001590 0.002718 0.005144 0.012239 0.044258 0.499748 NaN
2025-08-03 0.001517 0.002615 0.005013 0.012210 0.046540 0.649768 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001435 0.002489 0.004813 0.011911 0.047102 0.773099 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001346 0.002340 0.004545 0.011334 0.045633 0.814336 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001272 0.002220 0.004335 0.010923 0.045054 0.904485 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001236 0.002177 0.004312 0.011152 0.049020 1.385948 NaN