Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.010782 0.012950 0.015630 0.019256 0.024145 0.030685 0.040413
2025-05-25 0.007706 0.010009 0.013204 0.018164 0.026091 0.039148 0.064638
2025-06-01 0.006167 0.008401 0.011732 0.017396 0.027615 0.047429 0.096720
2025-06-08 0.005413 0.007674 0.011258 0.017870 0.031247 0.061904 0.163138
2025-06-15 0.004749 0.006927 0.010539 0.017628 0.033341 0.074918 0.256570
2025-06-22 0.004119 0.006122 0.009545 0.016550 0.033120 0.081983 0.353387
2025-06-29 0.003778 0.005740 0.009212 0.016690 0.035869 0.101194 0.626616
2025-07-06 0.003560 0.005530 0.009148 0.017376 0.040464 0.133933 1.442996
2025-07-13 0.003439 0.005474 0.009361 0.018753 0.048050 0.196336 6.053610
2025-07-20 0.003265 0.005293 0.009288 0.019419 0.053930 0.268624 49.739981
2025-07-27 0.003065 0.005038 0.009019 0.019499 0.057845 0.344532 62897.503844
2025-08-03 0.002900 0.004832 0.008820 0.019721 0.062658 0.458092 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002672 0.004500 0.008343 0.019172 0.064530 0.570459 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002433 0.004125 0.007723 0.018062 0.063166 0.639912 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002243 0.003832 0.007253 0.017298 0.063184 0.756039 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002145 0.003715 0.007177 0.017768 0.070718 1.227505 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002020 0.003529 0.006908 0.017528 0.073958 1.723667 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001868 0.003272 0.006433 0.016459 0.070871 1.847735 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001787 0.003161 0.006308 0.016597 0.076649 3.088342 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001737 0.003111 0.006328 0.017278 0.087887 7.688740 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001716 0.003121 0.006505 0.018644 0.108417 56.245637 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001668 0.003067 0.006504 0.019305 0.124434 2925.836656 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001603 0.002970 0.006374 0.019385 0.134611 NaN NaN