Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.008089 0.009504 0.011201 0.013416 0.016283 0.019940 0.025082
2025-07-13 0.006556 0.008341 0.010743 0.014339 0.019826 0.028351 0.043723
2025-07-20 0.005603 0.007500 0.010258 0.014798 0.022642 0.036981 0.069589
2025-07-27 0.004882 0.006776 0.009687 0.014840 0.024676 0.045375 0.104352
2025-08-03 0.004366 0.006240 0.009255 0.014933 0.026780 0.055293 0.158767
2025-08-10 0.003875 0.005656 0.008617 0.014457 0.027512 0.062608 0.221864
2025-08-17 0.003429 0.005080 0.007893 0.013630 0.027141 0.066791 0.285832
2025-08-24 0.003087 0.004634 0.007328 0.012992 0.026999 0.071768 0.377489
2025-08-31 0.002916 0.004457 0.007221 0.013288 0.029380 0.087935 0.667349
2025-09-07 0.002692 0.004164 0.006853 0.012928 0.029824 0.097307 1.011921
2025-09-14 0.002481 0.003871 0.006450 0.012405 0.029613 0.103877 1.467699
2025-09-21 0.002353 0.003718 0.006301 0.012458 0.031252 0.122452 3.062451
2025-09-28 0.002253 0.003620 0.006278 0.012893 0.034725 0.161396 15.043788
2025-10-05 0.002194 0.003594 0.006405 0.013774 0.040596 0.240190 821903.100239
2025-10-12 0.002105 0.003498 0.006369 0.014209 0.045150 0.335289 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001997 0.003356 0.006209 0.014249 0.048078 0.436768 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001904 0.003233 0.006075 0.014337 0.051438 0.587425 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001788 0.003054 0.005791 0.013887 0.051671 0.684452 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001664 0.002850 0.005424 0.013104 0.049584 0.705859 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001560 0.002681 0.005128 0.012500 0.048295 0.754648 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001513 0.002625 0.005098 0.012780 0.052762 1.141028 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001437 0.002506 0.004899 0.012438 0.052977 1.359219 NaN
2025-12-07 0.001360 0.002377 0.004667 0.011943 0.051857 1.489252 NaN