Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-22 0.004173 0.004667 0.005222 0.005898 0.006705 0.007647 0.008845
2026-03-29 0.003600 0.004258 0.005062 0.006136 0.007565 0.009452 0.012222
2026-04-05 0.003153 0.003862 0.004774 0.006070 0.007929 0.010617 0.015045
2026-04-12 0.002839 0.003569 0.004547 0.006007 0.008234 0.011713 0.018076
2026-04-19 0.002554 0.003273 0.004266 0.005802 0.008263 0.012358 0.020551
2026-04-26 0.002301 0.002992 0.003966 0.005519 0.008103 0.012628 0.022402
2026-05-03 0.002118 0.002790 0.003759 0.005344 0.008081 0.013123 0.024905
2026-05-10 0.002029 0.002715 0.003729 0.005443 0.008539 0.014624 0.030427
2026-05-17 0.001905 0.002578 0.003589 0.005340 0.008609 0.015357 0.034427
2026-05-24 0.001784 0.002436 0.003429 0.005183 0.008549 0.015796 0.037869
2026-05-31 0.001693 0.002332 0.003322 0.005104 0.008627 0.016566 0.042900
2026-06-07 0.001649 0.002298 0.003323 0.005218 0.009116 0.018467 0.053581
2026-06-14 0.001611 0.002276 0.003348 0.005394 0.009805 0.021238 0.071927
2026-06-21 0.001580 0.002262 0.003388 0.005605 0.010628 0.024818 0.101847
2026-06-28 0.001509 0.002178 0.003298 0.005547 0.010806 0.026522 0.125244
2026-07-05 0.001444 0.002102 0.003215 0.005492 0.010980 0.028322 0.155682
2026-07-12 0.001368 0.001999 0.003078 0.005312 0.010800 0.028793 0.176401
2026-07-19 0.001287 0.001887 0.002916 0.005062 0.010397 0.028281 0.185743
2026-07-26 0.001225 0.001804 0.002803 0.004907 0.010229 0.028670 0.209867
2026-08-02 0.001200 0.001782 0.002801 0.004994 0.010749 0.032202 0.307631
2026-08-09 0.001154 0.001721 0.002722 0.004903 0.010741 0.033433 0.379178
2026-08-16 0.001105 0.001653 0.002626 0.004764 0.010571 0.033843 0.439991
2026-08-23 0.001067 0.001603 0.002563 0.004694 0.010599 0.035288 0.564538