Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.004762 0.005382 0.006087 0.006957 0.008013 0.009267 0.010892
2026-02-01 0.003774 0.004508 0.005415 0.006642 0.008299 0.010524 0.013856
2026-02-08 0.003199 0.003955 0.004937 0.006350 0.008405 0.011421 0.016485
2026-02-15 0.002924 0.003722 0.004807 0.006454 0.009020 0.013130 0.020898
2026-02-22 0.002647 0.003441 0.004558 0.006324 0.009228 0.014222 0.024679
2026-03-01 0.002406 0.003182 0.004300 0.006129 0.009275 0.015028 0.028246
2026-03-08 0.002221 0.002981 0.004102 0.005992 0.009381 0.015953 0.032535
2026-03-15 0.002133 0.002912 0.004094 0.006160 0.010059 0.018200 0.041485
2026-03-22 0.002070 0.002875 0.004128 0.006401 0.010919 0.021139 0.054917
2026-03-29 0.002023 0.002856 0.004188 0.006691 0.011944 0.024885 0.075486
2026-04-05 0.001916 0.002732 0.004059 0.006612 0.012163 0.026651 0.090713
2026-04-12 0.001821 0.002622 0.003944 0.006542 0.012385 0.028530 0.109764
2026-04-19 0.001708 0.002480 0.003772 0.006364 0.012377 0.029930 0.130826
2026-04-26 0.001590 0.002323 0.003563 0.006089 0.012091 0.030381 0.147893
2026-05-03 0.001486 0.002183 0.003374 0.005830 0.011798 0.030718 0.166220
2026-05-10 0.001440 0.002138 0.003352 0.005922 0.012440 0.034835 0.239018
2026-05-17 0.001371 0.002049 0.003241 0.005807 0.012494 0.036736 0.301003
2026-05-24 0.001300 0.001953 0.003111 0.005634 0.012353 0.037775 0.361577
2026-05-31 0.001242 0.001875 0.003008 0.005512 0.012338 0.039426 0.456554
2026-06-07 0.001219 0.001859 0.003023 0.005662 0.013179 0.045941 0.824813
2026-06-14 0.001204 0.001856 0.003063 0.005875 0.014294 0.055269 1.961507
2026-06-21 0.001194 0.001860 0.003117 0.006132 0.015653 0.068253 8.086036
2026-06-28 0.001152 0.001804 0.003045 0.006063 0.015842 0.073450 23.779987