Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.039976 0.046422 0.053070 0.060405 0.068237 0.076318 0.085258
2025-11-09 0.029625 0.038901 0.049031 0.060747 0.073779 0.087701 0.103575
2025-11-16 0.021510 0.031997 0.044093 0.058679 0.075448 0.093843 0.115286
2025-11-23 0.015711 0.026668 0.040017 0.056737 0.076518 0.098690 0.124987
2025-11-30 0.012631 0.024125 0.038792 0.057720 0.080593 0.106629 0.137881
2025-12-07 0.010386 0.022281 0.038133 0.059131 0.084962 0.114737 0.150819
2025-12-14 0.008890 0.021222 0.038296 0.061407 0.090242 0.123808 0.164779
2025-12-21 0.007188 0.019554 0.037449 0.062253 0.093670 0.130612 0.176042
2025-12-28 0.006921 0.020113 0.039615 0.066945 0.101797 0.142962 0.193751
2026-01-04 0.004980 0.017494 0.037107 0.065383 0.102059 0.145861 0.200332
2026-01-11 0.004015 0.016399 0.036666 0.066463 0.105552 0.152576 0.211353
2026-01-18 0.003099 0.015170 0.035904 0.067024 0.108328 0.158379 0.221258
2026-01-25 0.002385 0.014232 0.035605 0.068318 0.112205 0.165741 0.233305
2026-02-01 0.001617 0.012874 0.034531 0.068485 0.114623 0.171339 0.243297
2026-02-08 0.000776 0.010707 0.031881 0.066251 0.113788 0.172840 0.248291
2026-02-15 0.000265 0.008830 0.029459 0.064177 0.113041 0.174361 0.253235
2026-02-22 0.000112 0.008197 0.029188 0.065224 0.116418 0.181000 0.264358
2026-03-01 0.000036 0.007764 0.029240 0.066727 0.120391 0.188376 0.276370
2026-03-08 0.000010 0.007655 0.029901 0.069150 0.125604 0.197314 0.290289
2026-03-15 NaN 0.007092 0.029594 0.070050 0.128725 0.203597 0.300957
2026-03-22 NaN 0.007788 0.031904 0.075035 0.137449 0.216992 0.320344
2026-03-29 NaN 0.006515 0.029997 0.073377 0.137025 0.218754 0.325457
2026-04-05 NaN 0.006114 0.029892 0.074523 0.140444 0.225392 0.336546