Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.050761 0.058057 0.065582 0.073891 0.082777 0.091967 0.102159
2025-07-13 0.042543 0.053733 0.065890 0.079932 0.095561 0.112296 0.131447
2025-07-20 0.032630 0.045445 0.060071 0.077648 0.097876 0.120144 0.146239
2025-07-27 0.028443 0.042840 0.059909 0.081025 0.105899 0.133794 0.166995
2025-08-03 0.023938 0.039134 0.057859 0.081683 0.110360 0.143065 0.182527
2025-08-10 0.020312 0.036019 0.056105 0.082324 0.114494 0.151719 0.197156
2025-08-17 0.016827 0.032612 0.053606 0.081728 0.116887 0.158136 0.209031
2025-08-24 0.012907 0.028032 0.049141 0.078288 0.115506 0.159838 0.215181
2025-08-31 0.010025 0.024531 0.045776 0.075963 0.115260 0.162705 0.222542
2025-09-07 0.008274 0.022531 0.044296 0.075951 0.117792 0.168839 0.233722
2025-09-14 0.007123 0.021356 0.043875 0.077268 0.121953 0.176925 0.247223
2025-09-21 0.006664 0.021352 0.045151 0.080888 0.129082 0.188682 0.265185
2025-09-28 0.005303 0.019537 0.043746 0.080993 0.131976 0.195644 0.277949
2025-10-05 0.005349 0.020584 0.046874 0.087610 0.143606 0.213726 0.304551
2025-10-12 0.003779 0.017860 0.043799 0.085239 0.143231 0.216691 0.312621
2025-10-19 0.003391 0.017697 0.044850 0.088807 0.150791 0.229684 0.333057
2025-10-26 0.002657 0.016469 0.043997 0.089501 0.154424 0.237666 0.347294
2025-11-02 0.002046 0.015332 0.043184 0.090176 0.157981 0.245523 0.361369
2025-11-09 0.001421 0.013840 0.041581 0.089549 0.159674 0.250935 0.372363
2025-11-16 0.000732 0.011521 0.038166 0.085920 0.157042 0.250630 0.376093
2025-11-23 0.000340 0.009785 0.035613 0.083466 0.155928 0.252209 0.382118
2025-11-30 0.000172 0.008884 0.034626 0.083454 0.158233 0.258246 0.393776
2025-12-07 0.000093 0.008421 0.034513 0.084844 0.162543 0.266933 0.408816