Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.071988 0.080891 0.090030 0.100082 0.110798 0.121853 0.134093
2025-05-04 0.059131 0.072657 0.087266 0.104075 0.122748 0.142731 0.165608
2025-05-11 0.048047 0.064006 0.082027 0.103554 0.128257 0.155436 0.187320
2025-05-18 0.041747 0.059602 0.080526 0.106276 0.136571 0.170593 0.211214
2025-05-25 0.036568 0.055727 0.078959 0.108311 0.143588 0.183889 0.232704
2025-06-01 0.030360 0.049770 0.074198 0.105927 0.144896 0.190180 0.245806
2025-06-08 0.025246 0.044606 0.069894 0.103623 0.145895 0.195786 0.257844
2025-06-15 0.022782 0.042744 0.069585 0.106110 0.152574 0.208031 0.277629
2025-06-22 0.020202 0.040407 0.068411 0.107298 0.157499 0.218076 0.294756
2025-06-29 0.018976 0.039919 0.069634 0.111528 0.166203 0.232704 0.317406
2025-07-06 0.016792 0.037715 0.068294 0.112226 0.170322 0.241662 0.333195
2025-07-13 0.017060 0.039414 0.072497 0.120399 0.184090 0.262601 0.363634
2025-07-20 0.014342 0.036075 0.069458 0.118895 0.185642 0.268816 0.376736
2025-07-27 0.013135 0.035185 0.069971 0.122301 0.193700 0.283324 0.400254
2025-08-03 0.011077 0.032497 0.067587 0.121519 0.196142 0.290727 0.415020
2025-08-10 0.010071 0.031618 0.067889 0.124480 0.203545 0.304421 0.437628
2025-08-17 0.009030 0.030514 0.067734 0.126714 0.209931 0.316807 0.458625
2025-08-24 0.007249 0.027569 0.064380 0.124084 0.209550 0.320377 0.468469
2025-08-31 0.005744 0.024881 0.061213 0.121543 0.209146 0.323810 0.478065
2025-09-07 0.005191 0.024302 0.061577 0.124286 0.216056 0.336784 0.499781
2025-09-14 0.004507 0.023254 0.061039 0.125595 0.220933 0.347090 0.518127
2025-09-21 0.004299 0.023423 0.062660 0.130254 0.230555 0.363687 0.544572
2025-09-28 0.003664 0.022279 0.061822 0.131022 0.234639 0.372962 0.561660