Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.081728 0.091367 0.101267 0.112169 0.123806 0.135831 0.149167
2025-03-02 0.068476 0.083076 0.098833 0.116974 0.137153 0.158791 0.183626
2025-03-09 0.054885 0.071969 0.091269 0.114378 0.140994 0.170406 0.205084
2025-03-16 0.044201 0.062490 0.084064 0.110828 0.142600 0.178612 0.222021
2025-03-23 0.039515 0.059409 0.083696 0.114661 0.152255 0.195661 0.248808
2025-03-30 0.035141 0.056093 0.082527 0.117088 0.159909 0.210161 0.272533
2025-04-06 0.032237 0.054292 0.082932 0.121190 0.169403 0.226740 0.298694
2025-04-13 0.028074 0.050294 0.080105 0.120879 0.173207 0.236321 0.316439
2025-04-20 0.027153 0.050720 0.083029 0.127903 0.186164 0.257059 0.347696
2025-04-27 0.023291 0.046441 0.079249 0.125871 0.187443 0.263335 0.361357
2025-05-04 0.021687 0.045385 0.079792 0.129488 0.195902 0.278487 0.385897
2025-05-11 0.019106 0.042516 0.077540 0.129137 0.199078 0.286958 0.402190
2025-05-18 0.018315 0.042643 0.079842 0.135415 0.211494 0.307777 0.434731
2025-05-25 0.017177 0.042098 0.081139 0.140362 0.222307 0.326812 0.465424
2025-06-01 0.014273 0.038101 0.076935 0.137288 0.222196 0.331767 0.478412
2025-06-08 0.011565 0.034027 0.072262 0.133240 0.220528 0.334542 0.488533
2025-06-15 0.010802 0.033584 0.073307 0.137542 0.230336 0.352310 0.517832
2025-06-22 0.009827 0.032573 0.073332 0.140268 0.237941 0.367217 0.543547
2025-06-29 0.009262 0.032342 0.074613 0.144877 0.248209 0.385699 0.573968
2025-07-06 0.007974 0.030326 0.072717 0.144528 0.251407 0.394773 0.592258
2025-07-13 0.008010 0.031346 0.076112 0.152409 0.266401 0.419700 0.631263
2025-07-20 0.006645 0.028814 0.073083 0.150131 0.266753 0.424950 0.644649
2025-07-27 0.006224 0.028541 0.074073 0.154185 0.276257 0.442577 0.674291