Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.096441 0.107003 0.117750 0.129475 0.141878 0.154582 0.168550
2025-05-25 0.080178 0.096308 0.113466 0.132944 0.154315 0.176930 0.202556
2025-06-01 0.065642 0.084682 0.105735 0.130437 0.158334 0.188601 0.223664
2025-06-08 0.054673 0.075408 0.099161 0.127842 0.161032 0.197779 0.241100
2025-06-15 0.048914 0.071385 0.097890 0.130636 0.169245 0.212648 0.264478
2025-06-22 0.043526 0.067163 0.095841 0.132035 0.175445 0.224910 0.284651
2025-06-29 0.040642 0.065725 0.096875 0.136868 0.185479 0.241453 0.309635
2025-07-06 0.036380 0.062070 0.094815 0.137649 0.190462 0.251945 0.327505
2025-07-13 0.036202 0.063797 0.099519 0.146757 0.205475 0.274256 0.359204
2025-07-20 0.031416 0.058769 0.095188 0.144280 0.206176 0.279454 0.370722
2025-07-27 0.029699 0.057917 0.096215 0.148506 0.215047 0.294368 0.393696
2025-08-03 0.027058 0.055481 0.094948 0.149640 0.219978 0.304477 0.410929
2025-08-10 0.025254 0.054333 0.095584 0.153531 0.228774 0.319793 0.435072
2025-08-17 0.023118 0.052519 0.095229 0.156120 0.235997 0.333330 0.457299
2025-08-24 0.019577 0.048077 0.090878 0.153132 0.235917 0.337766 0.468434
2025-08-31 0.016484 0.043996 0.086765 0.150233 0.235766 0.341976 0.479190
2025-09-07 0.015221 0.042953 0.087041 0.153304 0.243347 0.355798 0.501690
2025-09-14 0.013718 0.041298 0.086279 0.154843 0.248864 0.367007 0.520987
2025-09-21 0.013185 0.041411 0.088202 0.160160 0.259391 0.384557 0.548143
2025-09-28 0.011761 0.039620 0.087048 0.161020 0.263933 0.394515 0.565920
2025-10-05 0.012280 0.041790 0.092216 0.171019 0.280790 0.420186 0.603269
2025-10-12 0.010318 0.038613 0.088670 0.168303 0.280453 0.423909 0.613319
2025-10-19 0.009852 0.038562 0.090173 0.172937 0.290066 0.440371 0.639279