Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.061856 0.069887 0.078074 0.087016 0.096478 0.106166 0.116810
2025-09-28 0.049220 0.061037 0.073643 0.087958 0.103641 0.120191 0.138870
2025-10-05 0.044880 0.059650 0.075927 0.094903 0.116158 0.139006 0.165209
2025-10-12 0.037297 0.053478 0.071933 0.094026 0.119309 0.146958 0.179126
2025-10-19 0.032665 0.050100 0.070583 0.095643 0.124810 0.157130 0.195142
2025-10-26 0.028259 0.046473 0.068519 0.096060 0.128623 0.165141 0.208505
2025-11-02 0.025002 0.043922 0.067459 0.097409 0.133301 0.173958 0.222619
2025-11-09 0.021593 0.040811 0.065432 0.097363 0.136151 0.180524 0.234041
2025-11-16 0.017498 0.036318 0.061325 0.094494 0.135414 0.182747 0.240317
2025-11-23 0.014091 0.032393 0.057658 0.091927 0.134840 0.184997 0.246481
2025-11-30 0.012393 0.030819 0.056981 0.093033 0.138644 0.192330 0.258485
2025-12-07 0.011065 0.029665 0.056777 0.094668 0.143040 0.200324 0.271225
2025-12-14 0.010319 0.029492 0.058050 0.098417 0.150313 0.212061 0.288751
2025-12-21 0.008874 0.027971 0.057343 0.099537 0.154323 0.219936 0.301812
2025-12-28 0.009245 0.029701 0.061355 0.106964 0.166293 0.237430 0.326275
2026-01-04 0.007487 0.027304 0.059201 0.106032 0.167637 0.242042 0.335451
2026-01-11 0.006552 0.026319 0.059056 0.107756 0.172310 0.250659 0.349360
2026-01-18 0.005459 0.024820 0.058029 0.108200 0.175295 0.257182 0.360745
2026-01-25 0.004685 0.023856 0.057757 0.109638 0.179523 0.265202 0.373902
2026-02-01 0.003754 0.022320 0.056474 0.109589 0.181771 0.270750 0.384062
2026-02-08 0.002537 0.019658 0.053169 0.106531 0.179975 0.271210 0.388011
2026-02-15 0.001613 0.017315 0.050185 0.103794 0.178497 0.271988 0.392279
2026-02-22 0.001257 0.016583 0.049914 0.104973 0.182195 0.279206 0.404348