Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.051708 0.058956 0.066369 0.074488 0.083101 0.091938 0.101664
2025-10-19 0.040686 0.051303 0.062693 0.075684 0.089965 0.105076 0.122168
2025-10-26 0.032968 0.045485 0.059472 0.075950 0.094554 0.114675 0.137861
2025-11-02 0.027894 0.041757 0.057811 0.077233 0.099625 0.124245 0.153004
2025-11-09 0.023340 0.037995 0.055578 0.077384 0.103005 0.131581 0.165349
2025-11-16 0.018422 0.033150 0.051550 0.074995 0.103085 0.134874 0.172869
2025-11-23 0.014433 0.028986 0.047958 0.072781 0.103079 0.137827 0.179783
2025-11-30 0.012398 0.027231 0.047219 0.073892 0.106880 0.145066 0.191497
2025-12-07 0.010837 0.025951 0.046958 0.075484 0.111171 0.152806 0.203728
2025-12-14 0.009818 0.025357 0.047524 0.078056 0.116601 0.161846 0.217435
2025-12-21 0.008426 0.023982 0.046905 0.079015 0.119983 0.168413 0.228222
2025-12-28 0.008684 0.025362 0.050145 0.085009 0.129606 0.182418 0.247719
2026-01-04 0.006828 0.022960 0.048014 0.084032 0.130712 0.186464 0.255825
2026-01-11 0.005816 0.021911 0.047767 0.085527 0.134920 0.194265 0.268408
2026-01-18 0.004671 0.020387 0.046698 0.085837 0.137574 0.200151 0.278699
2026-01-25 0.003901 0.019460 0.046452 0.087208 0.141538 0.207597 0.290819
2026-02-01 0.003025 0.018076 0.045384 0.087370 0.143894 0.213041 0.300518
2026-02-08 0.001910 0.015674 0.042488 0.084822 0.142626 0.213945 0.304699
2026-02-15 0.001089 0.013544 0.039822 0.082459 0.141495 0.214940 0.308922
2026-02-22 0.000790 0.012901 0.039637 0.083645 0.145016 0.221685 0.320067
2026-03-01 0.000585 0.012486 0.039817 0.085344 0.149205 0.229255 0.332207
2026-03-08 0.000483 0.012470 0.040705 0.088086 0.154786 0.238566 0.346462
2026-03-15 0.000302 0.011862 0.040457 0.089108 0.158044 0.244957 0.357162