Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.059974 0.067916 0.076034 0.084920 0.094344 0.104015 0.114660
2025-09-07 0.047590 0.059254 0.071749 0.085993 0.101655 0.118239 0.137016
2025-09-14 0.039970 0.053941 0.069493 0.087781 0.108421 0.130755 0.156521
2025-09-21 0.035491 0.051296 0.069456 0.091335 0.116519 0.144200 0.176558
2025-09-28 0.030731 0.047650 0.067711 0.092446 0.121434 0.153747 0.191955
2025-10-05 0.029946 0.048650 0.071286 0.099603 0.133151 0.170861 0.215750
2025-10-12 0.025522 0.044575 0.068358 0.098743 0.135305 0.176884 0.226837
2025-10-19 0.022858 0.042510 0.067689 0.100410 0.140270 0.186009 0.241347
2025-10-26 0.020034 0.039934 0.066155 0.100837 0.143612 0.193137 0.253469
2025-11-02 0.018005 0.038263 0.065636 0.102401 0.148223 0.201673 0.267156
2025-11-09 0.015707 0.035960 0.064112 0.102563 0.151024 0.207997 0.278206
2025-11-16 0.012727 0.032268 0.060470 0.099813 0.150089 0.209757 0.283808
2025-11-23 0.010083 0.028852 0.057118 0.097459 0.149760 0.212436 0.290777
2025-11-30 0.008686 0.027360 0.056407 0.098552 0.153750 0.220347 0.303994
2025-12-07 0.007657 0.026376 0.056351 0.100467 0.158748 0.229460 0.318637
2025-12-14 0.007182 0.026369 0.057714 0.104290 0.166171 0.241528 0.336812
2025-12-21 0.006184 0.025179 0.057203 0.105484 0.170180 0.249395 0.349945
2025-12-28 0.006622 0.026996 0.061354 0.113165 0.182597 0.267616 0.375538
2026-01-04 0.005323 0.024940 0.059378 0.112244 0.183815 0.272022 0.384501
2026-01-11 0.004667 0.024170 0.059365 0.114031 0.188531 0.280728 0.398633
2026-01-18 0.003867 0.022893 0.058453 0.114489 0.191466 0.287200 0.410048
2026-01-25 0.003342 0.022182 0.058417 0.116164 0.195984 0.295629 0.423828
2026-02-01 0.002679 0.020923 0.057379 0.116337 0.198471 0.301494 0.434472