Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 1.798767e-02 0.022174 0.026625 0.031666 0.037176 0.042978 0.049515
2026-04-12 1.159305e-02 0.017195 0.023677 0.031519 0.040566 0.050522 0.062165
2026-04-19 7.807165e-03 0.013970 0.021688 0.031548 0.043397 0.056844 0.072959
2026-04-26 5.072209e-03 0.011263 0.019690 0.031023 0.045131 0.061550 0.081609
2026-05-03 2.835019e-03 0.008513 0.017096 0.029310 0.045074 0.063873 0.087256
2026-05-10 1.615419e-03 0.006857 0.015659 0.028820 0.046311 0.067567 0.094364
2026-05-17 9.370691e-04 0.005847 0.014962 0.029174 0.048502 0.072332 0.102676
2026-05-24 5.011841e-04 0.005060 0.014459 0.029688 0.050826 0.077208 0.111081
2026-05-31 2.691818e-04 0.004604 0.014414 0.030803 0.053902 0.082992 0.120568
2026-06-07 1.154783e-04 0.004173 0.014329 0.031808 0.056799 0.088535 0.129755
2026-06-14 8.761853e-05 0.004344 0.015364 0.034505 0.061992 0.096984 0.142508
2026-06-21 1.516100e-07 0.003348 0.013990 0.033425 0.061980 0.098797 0.147093
2026-06-28 NaN 0.002856 0.013582 0.033903 0.064234 0.103678 0.155705
2026-07-05 NaN 0.002283 0.012864 0.033834 0.065718 0.107591 0.163166
2026-07-12 NaN 0.001818 0.012256 0.033877 0.067322 0.111639 0.170785
2026-07-19 NaN 0.001318 0.011354 0.033333 0.068029 0.114479 0.176865
2026-07-26 NaN 0.000738 0.009841 0.031554 0.066833 0.114739 0.179633
2026-08-02 NaN 0.000459 0.009085 0.031044 0.067450 0.117364 0.185365
2026-08-09 NaN 0.000325 0.008816 0.031411 0.069364 0.121711 0.193282
2026-08-16 NaN 0.000230 0.008647 0.031947 0.071520 0.126381 0.201611
2026-08-23 NaN 0.000194 0.008794 0.033106 0.074629 0.132342 0.211601
2026-08-30 NaN 0.000155 0.008888 0.034150 0.077562 0.138067 0.221294
2026-09-06 NaN 0.000223 0.009841 0.036948 0.083212 0.147489 0.235746