Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.063637 0.071930 0.080413 0.089710 0.099580 0.109720 0.120896
2025-08-10 0.050110 0.062306 0.075406 0.090380 0.106891 0.124423 0.144330
2025-08-17 0.040942 0.055346 0.071466 0.090520 0.112134 0.135631 0.162862
2025-08-24 0.032459 0.047822 0.065733 0.087580 0.112997 0.141198 0.174442
2025-08-31 0.026102 0.041941 0.061156 0.085281 0.113985 0.146391 0.185135
2025-09-07 0.022353 0.038803 0.059456 0.086009 0.118166 0.154958 0.199420
2025-09-14 0.019641 0.036667 0.058721 0.087668 0.123256 0.164428 0.214617
2025-09-21 0.018157 0.036004 0.059713 0.091341 0.130670 0.176549 0.232834
2025-09-28 0.015918 0.034005 0.058771 0.092434 0.134838 0.184764 0.246447
2025-10-05 0.016164 0.035657 0.062695 0.099731 0.146628 0.202047 0.270709
2025-10-12 0.013665 0.032867 0.060412 0.098890 0.148258 0.207132 0.280576
2025-10-19 0.012374 0.031821 0.060429 0.100967 0.153461 0.216464 0.295433
2025-10-26 0.010426 0.029584 0.058800 0.101014 0.156367 0.223364 0.307860
2025-11-02 0.009002 0.028072 0.058134 0.102329 0.160909 0.232323 0.322864
2025-11-09 0.007501 0.026175 0.056749 0.102560 0.163987 0.239445 0.335638
2025-11-16 0.005530 0.022943 0.053072 0.099416 0.162530 0.240842 0.341390
2025-11-23 0.004027 0.020263 0.050010 0.096948 0.161816 0.243054 0.348041
2025-11-30 0.003274 0.019091 0.049274 0.097730 0.165344 0.250534 0.361091
2025-12-07 0.002763 0.018387 0.049255 0.099512 0.170185 0.259654 0.376148
2025-12-14 0.002582 0.018549 0.050703 0.103453 0.177936 0.272466 0.395763
2025-12-21 0.002097 0.017687 0.050311 0.104625 0.181925 0.280500 0.409495
2025-12-28 0.002389 0.019300 0.054333 0.112438 0.194965 0.300078 0.437513
2026-01-04 0.001742 0.017722 0.052589 0.111539 0.196119 0.304504 0.446807