Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.057365 0.065174 0.073213 0.082078 0.091547 0.101331 0.112174
2025-06-15 0.044776 0.056345 0.068929 0.083486 0.099718 0.117133 0.137102
2025-06-22 0.036280 0.049891 0.065397 0.084020 0.105458 0.129079 0.156796
2025-06-29 0.032317 0.047749 0.065975 0.088487 0.114999 0.144752 0.180209
2025-07-06 0.027256 0.043508 0.063441 0.088760 0.119241 0.154044 0.196113
2025-07-13 0.026300 0.044214 0.066733 0.095846 0.131370 0.172353 0.222308
2025-07-20 0.021430 0.039190 0.062404 0.093234 0.131613 0.176561 0.232009
2025-07-27 0.019866 0.038476 0.063440 0.097169 0.139683 0.189933 0.252369
2025-08-03 0.017408 0.036191 0.062187 0.098020 0.143833 0.198544 0.267070
2025-08-10 0.015178 0.033973 0.060821 0.098564 0.147477 0.206461 0.280889
2025-08-17 0.012789 0.031204 0.058470 0.097630 0.149120 0.211847 0.291611
2025-08-24 0.009884 0.027160 0.053985 0.093572 0.146561 0.211915 0.295786
2025-08-31 0.007537 0.023817 0.050475 0.090966 0.146171 0.215107 0.304385
2025-09-07 0.006394 0.022529 0.050013 0.092620 0.151448 0.225527 0.322052
2025-09-14 0.005211 0.020907 0.048873 0.093207 0.155251 0.234074 0.337433
2025-09-21 0.004898 0.021085 0.050615 0.097956 0.164656 0.249759 0.361700
2025-09-28 0.003925 0.019538 0.049373 0.098246 0.167973 0.257657 0.376296
2025-10-05 0.004105 0.020827 0.052970 0.105764 0.181201 0.278324 0.406892
2025-10-12 0.002906 0.018282 0.049787 0.102995 0.180234 0.280671 0.414553
2025-10-19 0.002690 0.018354 0.051185 0.107166 0.188863 0.295446 0.437845
2025-10-26 0.002158 0.017314 0.050490 0.108068 0.192912 0.304262 0.453645
2025-11-02 0.001679 0.016237 0.049627 0.108643 0.196465 0.312414 0.468606
2025-11-09 0.001170 0.014746 0.047834 0.107654 0.197740 0.317536 0.479700