Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.059643 0.067575 0.075708 0.084639 0.094142 0.103924 0.114725
2025-07-27 0.048417 0.060332 0.073166 0.087878 0.104143 0.121457 0.141162
2025-08-03 0.039610 0.053733 0.069607 0.088443 0.109889 0.133281 0.160476
2025-08-10 0.033381 0.048956 0.067135 0.089344 0.115232 0.144013 0.178009
2025-08-17 0.027925 0.044308 0.064147 0.089050 0.118698 0.152208 0.192329
2025-08-24 0.022093 0.038429 0.059052 0.085704 0.118136 0.155404 0.200622
2025-08-31 0.017690 0.033839 0.055090 0.083318 0.118358 0.159221 0.209374
2025-09-07 0.015016 0.031278 0.053456 0.083591 0.121597 0.166429 0.221940
2025-09-14 0.013164 0.029662 0.052894 0.085080 0.126215 0.175194 0.236276
2025-09-21 0.012317 0.029461 0.054180 0.088905 0.133698 0.187380 0.254653
2025-09-28 0.010738 0.027893 0.053428 0.089953 0.137628 0.195231 0.267856
2025-10-05 0.010988 0.029363 0.057007 0.096783 0.148902 0.212037 0.291793
2025-10-12 0.008509 0.025986 0.053591 0.094362 0.148675 0.215205 0.299935
2025-10-19 0.007742 0.025577 0.054537 0.097918 0.156214 0.228039 0.319897
2025-10-26 0.006422 0.023894 0.053422 0.098537 0.159895 0.236085 0.334076
2025-11-02 0.005353 0.022494 0.052615 0.099498 0.163960 0.244574 0.348776
2025-11-09 0.004220 0.020681 0.050995 0.099185 0.166263 0.250800 0.360676
2025-11-16 0.002821 0.017760 0.047276 0.095626 0.164066 0.251230 0.365350
2025-11-23 0.001851 0.015470 0.044374 0.093085 0.163104 0.253122 0.371746
2025-11-30 0.001359 0.014345 0.043411 0.093377 0.165953 0.259851 0.384119
2025-12-07 0.001060 0.013728 0.043318 0.094962 0.170568 0.268844 0.399320
2025-12-14 0.000983 0.013957 0.044822 0.099032 0.178650 0.282339 0.420178
2025-12-21 0.000722 0.013241 0.044455 0.100146 0.182592 0.290467 0.434322