Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.087834 0.097891 0.108250 0.119692 0.131947 0.144654 0.158798
2024-12-29 0.070497 0.085425 0.101660 0.120504 0.141645 0.164510 0.190985
2025-01-05 0.058617 0.076649 0.097230 0.122148 0.151184 0.183655 0.222406
2025-01-12 0.049654 0.069666 0.093528 0.123499 0.159561 0.201006 0.251676
2025-01-19 0.042279 0.063446 0.089736 0.123876 0.166126 0.215834 0.277852
2025-01-26 0.040144 0.063432 0.093260 0.132949 0.183066 0.243007 0.318847
2025-02-02 0.035587 0.059593 0.091404 0.134859 0.190912 0.259112 0.346649
2025-02-09 0.032125 0.056803 0.090547 0.137744 0.199776 0.276381 0.375924
2025-02-16 0.028147 0.052788 0.087623 0.137557 0.204452 0.288302 0.398598
2025-02-23 0.027068 0.052939 0.090378 0.144955 0.219021 0.312786 0.437125
2025-03-02 0.025661 0.052401 0.092029 0.150777 0.231525 0.334747 0.472700
2025-03-09 0.022314 0.048388 0.088305 0.148831 0.233432 0.342961 0.490833
2025-03-16 0.018652 0.043546 0.083175 0.144878 0.232809 0.348302 0.506008
2025-03-23 0.017354 0.042663 0.084049 0.149641 0.244315 0.369837 0.542500
2025-03-30 0.015893 0.041308 0.084071 0.153104 0.254061 0.389194 0.576462
2025-04-06 0.014337 0.039568 0.083317 0.155308 0.262009 0.406217 0.607553
2025-04-13 0.012682 0.037395 0.081663 0.155998 0.267723 0.420232 0.634788
2025-04-20 0.012871 0.039001 0.086435 0.166732 0.288089 0.454397 0.689067
2025-04-27 0.011682 0.037548 0.085845 0.169007 0.296153 0.471814 0.721210
2025-05-04 0.010773 0.036570 0.085992 0.172397 0.305852 0.491548 0.756608
2025-05-11 0.009460 0.034471 0.083975 0.172184 0.310147 0.503789 0.781996
2025-05-18 0.009401 0.035327 0.087362 0.180824 0.327768 0.534760 0.832946
2025-05-25 0.009112 0.035575 0.089608 0.187607 0.342664 0.562034 0.879072