Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 1.466979e-04 0.000168 0.000190 0.000215 0.000241 0.000269 0.000300
2025-01-12 1.019728e-04 0.000133 0.000168 0.000209 0.000256 0.000307 0.000367
2025-01-19 7.346946e-05 0.000108 0.000148 0.000199 0.000259 0.000327 0.000408
2025-01-26 5.684553e-05 0.000093 0.000137 0.000196 0.000267 0.000351 0.000453
2025-02-02 4.507588e-05 0.000081 0.000130 0.000195 0.000277 0.000374 0.000496
2025-02-09 3.498918e-05 0.000071 0.000121 0.000191 0.000281 0.000391 0.000531
2025-02-16 2.932769e-05 0.000065 0.000118 0.000195 0.000295 0.000419 0.000579
2025-02-23 2.385786e-05 0.000059 0.000114 0.000195 0.000305 0.000442 0.000620
2025-03-02 1.912544e-05 0.000054 0.000110 0.000195 0.000313 0.000462 0.000657
2025-03-09 1.759660e-05 0.000053 0.000113 0.000206 0.000335 0.000500 0.000718
2025-03-16 1.454767e-05 0.000049 0.000110 0.000208 0.000346 0.000523 0.000760
2025-03-23 1.236719e-05 0.000047 0.000110 0.000212 0.000359 0.000550 0.000807
2025-03-30 9.859615e-06 0.000043 0.000107 0.000214 0.000369 0.000574 0.000851
2025-04-06 6.785907e-06 0.000037 0.000099 0.000208 0.000369 0.000584 0.000878
2025-04-13 4.050252e-06 0.000030 0.000090 0.000198 0.000362 0.000585 0.000893
2025-04-20 2.627862e-06 0.000026 0.000085 0.000195 0.000365 0.000599 0.000925
2025-04-27 1.679263e-06 0.000023 0.000081 0.000193 0.000371 0.000616 0.000960
2025-05-04 8.994947e-07 0.000020 0.000077 0.000190 0.000372 0.000628 0.000988
2025-05-11 5.920373e-07 0.000019 0.000076 0.000193 0.000385 0.000654 0.001036
2025-05-18 3.083576e-07 0.000017 0.000074 0.000194 0.000393 0.000675 0.001076
2025-05-25 1.223412e-07 0.000015 0.000071 0.000194 0.000399 0.000692 0.001113
2025-06-01 1.037003e-07 0.000016 0.000075 0.000205 0.000422 0.000735 0.001182
2025-06-08 3.379929e-08 0.000014 0.000074 0.000207 0.000432 0.000758 0.001226