Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.005375 0.005936 0.006516 0.007160 0.007854 0.008578 0.009389
2024-12-29 0.004605 0.005421 0.006308 0.007338 0.008497 0.009759 0.011230
2025-01-05 0.004160 0.005128 0.006216 0.007522 0.009038 0.010733 0.012764
2025-01-12 0.003634 0.004671 0.005872 0.007356 0.009123 0.011148 0.013629
2025-01-19 0.003275 0.004368 0.005670 0.007316 0.009324 0.011670 0.014599
2025-01-26 0.002942 0.004064 0.005435 0.007209 0.009417 0.012047 0.015385
2025-02-02 0.002696 0.003846 0.005285 0.007187 0.009598 0.012517 0.016277
2025-02-09 0.002474 0.003641 0.005135 0.007147 0.009743 0.012935 0.017102
2025-02-16 0.002360 0.003569 0.005147 0.007308 0.010139 0.013663 0.018318
2025-02-23 0.002161 0.003366 0.004973 0.007215 0.010197 0.013960 0.018992
2025-03-02 0.002021 0.003235 0.004886 0.007227 0.010385 0.014421 0.019875
2025-03-09 0.001974 0.003233 0.004972 0.007471 0.010883 0.015285 0.021286
2025-03-16 0.001872 0.003148 0.004942 0.007561 0.011184 0.015910 0.022415
2025-03-23 0.001807 0.003113 0.004982 0.007747 0.011617 0.016717 0.023798
2025-03-30 0.001750 0.003085 0.005028 0.007940 0.012061 0.017543 0.025217
2025-04-06 0.001593 0.002893 0.004823 0.007766 0.011990 0.017672 0.025708
2025-04-13 0.001485 0.002771 0.004715 0.007725 0.012098 0.018042 0.026522
2025-04-20 0.001368 0.002625 0.004565 0.007612 0.012099 0.018261 0.027131
2025-04-27 0.001281 0.002525 0.004478 0.007590 0.012224 0.018649 0.027973
2025-05-04 0.001197 0.002423 0.004382 0.007548 0.012317 0.018992 0.028754
2025-05-11 0.001166 0.002409 0.004424 0.007716 0.012720 0.019773 0.030151
2025-05-18 0.001079 0.002293 0.004297 0.007618 0.012725 0.019990 0.030763
2025-05-25 0.001022 0.002225 0.004243 0.007631 0.012892 0.020438 0.031703