Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.003055 0.003416 0.003793 0.004215 0.004674 0.005157 0.005702
2024-10-27 0.002475 0.002979 0.003536 0.004193 0.004944 0.005771 0.006749
2024-11-03 0.002095 0.002665 0.003321 0.004125 0.005076 0.006160 0.007480
2024-11-10 0.001839 0.002453 0.003186 0.004112 0.005240 0.006559 0.008205
2024-11-17 0.001623 0.002263 0.003049 0.004072 0.005351 0.006880 0.008829
2024-11-24 0.001504 0.002178 0.003030 0.004165 0.005615 0.007382 0.009672
2024-12-01 0.001324 0.001995 0.002869 0.004063 0.005622 0.007558 0.010111
2024-12-08 0.001205 0.001883 0.002789 0.004055 0.005740 0.007869 0.010717
2024-12-15 0.001158 0.001866 0.002833 0.004208 0.006067 0.008448 0.011671
2024-12-22 0.001085 0.001805 0.002809 0.004264 0.006265 0.008862 0.012419
2024-12-29 0.001039 0.001778 0.002831 0.004383 0.006546 0.009386 0.013318
2025-01-05 0.001000 0.001760 0.002862 0.004511 0.006841 0.009933 0.014256
2025-01-12 0.000889 0.001623 0.002716 0.004386 0.006788 0.010022 0.014598
2025-01-19 0.000814 0.001538 0.002642 0.004360 0.006869 0.010292 0.015188
2025-01-26 0.000736 0.001441 0.002542 0.004290 0.006882 0.010464 0.015646
2025-02-02 0.000679 0.001374 0.002484 0.004276 0.006974 0.010744 0.016253
2025-02-09 0.000621 0.001300 0.002410 0.004235 0.007021 0.010961 0.016773
2025-02-16 0.000596 0.001283 0.002426 0.004331 0.007272 0.011469 0.017706
2025-02-23 0.000534 0.001193 0.002317 0.004226 0.007217 0.011536 0.018019
2025-03-02 0.000495 0.001143 0.002271 0.004218 0.007306 0.011812 0.018630
2025-03-09 0.000489 0.001153 0.002327 0.004375 0.007653 0.012466 0.019793
2025-03-16 0.000466 0.001130 0.002324 0.004434 0.007847 0.012901 0.020644
2025-03-23 0.000454 0.001128 0.002358 0.004556 0.008142 0.013488 0.021724