Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-08 6.948073 7.864545 8.821707 9.892896 11.055175 12.275161 13.649481
2024-09-15 5.499810 6.786890 8.212004 9.894208 11.812636 13.919663 16.395871
2024-09-22 4.934401 6.472183 8.245135 10.413763 12.967792 15.853795 19.334290
2024-09-29 4.288151 5.952366 7.943274 10.456792 13.500804 17.024513 21.366608
2024-10-06 4.009015 5.829079 8.072299 10.975905 14.569001 18.805246 24.110129
2024-10-13 3.688685 5.610161 8.046941 11.275835 15.351784 20.238066 26.446144
2024-10-20 3.203929 5.123470 7.635410 11.048955 15.449797 20.818166 27.741321
2024-10-27 2.697371 4.554565 7.067830 10.574507 15.194378 20.930059 28.438138
2024-11-03 2.482594 4.374160 7.001069 10.740225 15.746439 22.042743 30.374628
2024-11-10 2.294257 4.212976 6.944646 10.906911 16.292128 23.146400 32.307070
2024-11-17 2.037048 3.922677 6.684006 10.774381 16.426345 23.714165 33.559097
2024-11-24 1.856574 3.733918 6.553987 10.810017 16.776575 24.557085 35.164701
2024-12-01 1.658272 3.501808 6.350286 10.737396 16.984099 25.228028 36.577119
2024-12-08 1.493677 3.309557 6.193251 10.721580 17.264543 25.996436 38.125823
2024-12-15 1.475341 3.366888 6.421158 11.273395 18.345556 27.845914 41.112323
2024-12-22 1.347939 3.217889 6.314097 11.318854 18.707456 28.728939 42.830681
2024-12-29 1.335517 3.276654 6.539618 11.868389 19.794897 30.606619 45.888245
2025-01-05 1.277627 3.244461 6.613484 12.185706 20.551325 32.040507 48.367693
2025-01-12 1.121617 3.007645 6.334613 11.945687 20.488979 32.344316 49.329146
2025-01-19 0.938658 2.693656 5.902859 11.443510 20.021207 32.069601 49.494726
2025-01-26 0.880559 2.630816 5.899371 11.618952 20.557815 33.199637 51.579894
2025-02-02 0.826953 2.571706 5.898064 11.795377 21.096363 34.336689 53.684338
2025-02-09 0.733933 2.413766 5.708805 11.655107 21.148854 34.782121 54.837630