Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 5.670285 6.726769 7.897597 9.287425 10.888059 12.669397 14.797477
2025-06-15 4.188191 5.565078 7.242865 9.421302 12.156625 15.457610 19.720548
2025-06-22 3.058300 4.490973 6.386833 9.043348 12.627364 17.247272 23.596354
2025-06-29 2.410358 3.863069 5.927437 9.013074 13.432308 19.444227 28.130607
2025-07-06 1.940938 3.369239 5.533675 8.959665 14.129007 21.495038 32.600433
2025-07-13 1.719893 3.197613 5.562806 9.490808 15.678784 24.836592 39.126358
2025-07-20 1.494476 2.968000 5.452522 9.769275 16.847487 27.693600 45.155992
2025-07-27 1.340864 2.828745 5.458832 10.217280 18.301751 31.074091 52.206301
2025-08-03 1.145196 2.571737 5.218520 10.207746 18.991625 33.296853 57.610845
2025-08-10 0.939243 2.251412 4.811022 9.842594 19.025936 34.444018 61.360618
2025-08-17 0.775303 1.981641 4.452504 9.509878 19.062805 35.569502 65.119695
2025-08-24 0.674563 1.827168 4.293465 9.525509 19.710814 37.756657 70.772020
2025-08-31 0.590430 1.695985 4.167612 9.600690 20.495750 40.277240 77.239812
2025-09-07 0.509881 1.555654 4.000302 9.570021 21.074893 42.476527 83.306927
2025-09-14 0.414139 1.352839 3.659738 9.128603 20.798932 43.090402 86.588280
2025-09-21 0.357726 1.241348 3.510155 9.077158 21.293812 45.161305 92.633440
2025-09-28 0.309139 1.139449 3.365772 9.015895 21.756340 47.194943 98.728940
2025-10-05 0.295026 1.137972 3.472506 9.547098 23.521028 51.870210 110.072806
2025-10-12 0.270673 1.098221 3.473545 9.825953 24.760627 55.586555 119.794054
2025-10-19 0.255362 1.084513 3.541901 10.275839 26.415059 60.236877 131.580873
2025-10-26 0.224896 1.010482 3.431810 10.266112 27.030528 62.808679 139.428949
2025-11-02 0.187329 0.899106 3.194936 9.899069 26.785403 63.576282 143.721415
2025-11-09 0.156458 0.802433 2.982336 9.564653 26.578661 64.399173 148.157412