Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 4.075996 4.854543 5.720978 6.753744 7.948124 9.282765 10.883702
2025-09-07 2.912059 3.898516 5.109876 6.694643 8.699571 11.136792 14.307052
2025-09-14 2.109344 3.122174 4.474027 6.384384 8.983641 12.361795 17.042426
2025-09-21 1.663843 2.685451 4.149317 6.355729 9.542622 13.914225 20.283482
2025-09-28 1.344771 2.347502 3.878641 6.321446 10.037636 15.376460 23.492748
2025-10-05 1.200164 2.240338 3.916487 6.720653 11.172916 17.814650 28.263894
2025-10-12 1.046040 2.082938 3.841930 6.919464 12.004518 19.858540 32.608982
2025-10-19 0.935675 1.977667 3.830432 7.206091 12.986470 22.194073 37.560730
2025-10-26 0.802826 1.803518 3.669718 7.210828 13.493250 23.808924 41.495943
2025-11-02 0.661146 1.582656 3.387926 6.958612 13.524721 24.639430 44.215763
2025-11-09 0.546637 1.393168 3.133325 6.716176 13.534703 25.415098 46.877252
2025-11-16 0.476065 1.284165 3.018682 6.719619 13.979028 26.951140 50.907194
2025-11-23 0.415085 1.186470 2.916217 6.741382 14.473361 28.638716 55.369791
2025-11-30 0.355390 1.078719 2.775267 6.666080 14.772834 30.000372 59.361008
2025-12-07 0.289297 0.938361 2.537491 6.352398 14.564027 30.404700 61.652154
2025-12-14 0.250953 0.863006 2.437115 6.322522 14.922486 31.892334 66.019470
2025-12-21 0.217942 0.794388 2.341047 6.288002 15.263720 33.365806 70.449672
2025-12-28 0.209529 0.797699 2.426204 6.685224 16.564160 36.806738 78.835188
2026-01-04 0.192756 0.770734 2.428294 6.883072 17.444375 39.466199 85.864860
2026-01-11 0.180993 0.757339 2.464543 7.168357 18.543486 42.639205 94.082566
2026-01-18 0.160261 0.707828 2.392890 7.173069 19.003006 44.524225 99.848315
2026-01-25 0.134220 0.631451 2.230737 6.922023 18.841704 45.094639 102.992889
2026-02-01 0.112391 0.563622 2.080601 6.680717 18.675763 45.635790 106.099157