Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 2.878564 3.443080 4.074296 4.830227 5.708606 6.694718 7.883131
2025-11-09 1.978274 2.669084 3.524555 4.653070 6.092753 7.857159 10.170989
2025-11-16 1.503109 2.243032 3.239908 4.661875 6.615039 9.177188 12.760496
2025-11-23 1.188165 1.936474 3.020861 4.673835 7.088743 10.438581 15.374144
2025-11-30 0.950090 1.678218 2.805118 4.627353 7.437310 11.527868 17.829065
2025-12-07 0.736750 1.406964 2.511825 4.401024 7.464861 12.127913 19.608641
2025-12-14 0.608277 1.246847 2.360992 4.362808 7.755883 13.123012 22.038723
2025-12-21 0.510451 1.118996 2.238890 4.345744 8.064668 14.157125 24.601028
2025-12-28 0.467271 1.085146 2.275013 4.601966 8.850769 16.016143 28.620712
2026-01-04 0.414315 1.020003 2.240803 4.722072 9.406321 17.533424 32.193335
2026-01-11 0.377038 0.980020 2.247576 4.916291 10.109104 19.351643 36.402510
2026-01-18 0.327337 0.901425 2.163033 4.918977 10.452458 20.563990 39.652495
2026-01-25 0.269200 0.791164 1.996532 4.739187 10.438704 21.156225 41.898984
2026-02-01 0.221614 0.695378 1.844875 4.567774 10.419799 21.734251 44.164814
2026-02-08 0.193072 0.642423 1.781610 4.577298 10.764669 23.019016 47.820959
2026-02-15 0.168831 0.595217 1.723583 4.589334 11.113272 24.334930 51.626465
2026-02-22 0.145336 0.543883 1.645884 4.543685 11.330511 25.404991 55.031265
2026-03-01 0.118092 0.472904 1.503617 4.321039 11.129967 25.611602 56.754173
2026-03-08 0.102119 0.433944 1.440067 4.283450 11.341597 26.678340 60.260589
2026-03-15 0.089089 0.401214 1.387763 4.266665 11.598155 27.856407 64.069545
2026-03-22 0.085581 0.402372 1.434746 4.518745 12.519770 30.525640 71.127430
2026-03-29 0.078541 0.388043 1.432544 4.636918 13.126617 32.551133 76.960154
2026-04-05 0.073935 0.382123 1.455514 4.828022 13.932028 35.070526 83.991655