Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 4.034532 4.799338 5.649875 6.663050 7.834102 9.142023 10.710216
2025-10-19 3.042223 4.056207 5.297813 6.918016 8.963047 11.443974 14.665193
2025-10-26 2.332324 3.425360 4.875983 6.915689 9.678558 13.255418 18.194206
2025-11-02 1.780533 2.851897 4.378955 6.670390 9.967529 14.476147 21.027528
2025-11-09 1.392031 2.413632 3.966853 6.436437 10.183187 15.554822 23.708149
2025-11-16 1.157815 2.155465 3.761718 6.448355 10.715184 17.084460 27.114786
2025-11-23 0.976621 1.943716 3.586044 6.463938 11.228345 18.603085 30.604073
2025-11-30 0.819846 1.740893 3.387264 6.402695 11.593440 19.903893 33.843246
2025-12-07 0.659800 1.497991 3.076925 6.101154 11.514358 20.475894 35.961778
2025-12-14 0.561927 1.355951 2.924194 6.050343 11.842457 21.716549 39.227201
2025-12-21 0.483900 1.238504 2.798047 6.026875 12.206417 23.032888 42.698830
2025-12-28 0.456353 1.225954 2.876453 6.399885 13.320959 25.713500 48.656226
2026-01-04 0.412382 1.168846 2.858511 6.587988 14.122824 27.933791 54.027630
2026-01-11 0.379999 1.133229 2.881296 6.861729 15.115822 30.574472 60.330064
2026-01-18 0.332391 1.048644 2.782254 6.865948 15.575995 32.270282 65.049906
2026-01-25 0.276712 0.929107 2.582686 6.624153 15.509833 32.967904 67.981390
2026-02-01 0.230648 0.824356 2.399719 6.392215 15.434044 33.630380 70.877287
2026-02-08 0.203431 0.768071 2.327234 6.404236 15.874454 35.325936 75.836135
2026-02-15 0.179945 0.717293 2.260292 6.419778 16.321229 37.061420 80.975818
2026-02-22 0.156595 0.660586 2.167574 6.358923 16.588445 38.446128 85.505391
2026-03-01 0.128493 0.579011 1.990530 6.059220 16.274887 38.598346 87.569902
2026-03-08 0.112169 0.534972 1.913454 6.008721 16.538446 39.982717 92.219445
2026-03-15 0.098709 0.497703 1.849830 5.985396 16.863458 41.518682 97.270308