Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 2.607777 3.153574 3.767130 4.505211 5.366082 6.335439 7.506413
2025-04-13 1.789281 2.462061 3.303165 4.420723 5.853918 7.616341 9.931835
2025-04-20 1.404758 2.155557 3.180726 4.656733 6.696313 9.379939 13.135331
2025-04-27 1.122846 1.898919 3.043964 4.810312 7.409189 11.024861 16.350035
2025-05-04 0.941625 1.736407 2.991594 5.046344 8.234290 12.880090 20.015566
2025-05-11 0.754588 1.515080 2.798054 5.020651 8.644939 14.158055 22.956368
2025-05-18 0.586010 1.281429 2.533831 4.826368 8.747227 14.958212 25.231652
2025-05-25 0.451437 1.074908 2.272334 4.584357 8.722489 15.532748 27.179746
2025-06-01 0.373132 0.959410 2.151797 4.564372 9.055707 16.692536 30.127697
2025-06-08 0.315222 0.872125 2.067586 4.593844 9.469691 18.009905 33.422062
2025-06-15 0.263906 0.785966 1.968362 4.575783 9.787416 19.179363 36.544950
2025-06-22 0.207162 0.669970 1.782117 4.351131 9.682998 19.587676 38.377543
2025-06-29 0.173595 0.605798 1.701982 4.341978 10.007511 20.816885 41.788117
2025-07-06 0.144127 0.543862 1.614731 4.303735 10.268742 21.951789 45.119093
2025-07-13 0.132816 0.532928 1.651340 4.551190 11.147912 24.326323 50.890995
2025-07-20 0.118818 0.509030 1.649767 4.708140 11.849167 26.408069 56.252036
2025-07-27 0.109345 0.497373 1.678692 4.942272 12.741022 28.929098 62.605690
2025-08-03 0.092476 0.453315 1.608252 4.917941 13.051840 30.304430 66.834714
2025-08-10 0.073807 0.394527 1.481429 4.727451 12.958673 30.840870 69.447901
2025-08-17 0.057575 0.337708 1.346077 4.489888 12.723414 31.053942 71.418766
2025-08-24 0.048765 0.308996 1.293186 4.470304 13.009161 32.393496 75.751775
2025-08-31 0.042152 0.287452 1.259211 4.499262 13.417247 34.026520 80.786280
2025-09-07 0.035774 0.263771 1.212010 4.481531 13.704167 35.410094 85.378315