Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.051382 0.060633 0.070991 0.083437 0.097976 0.114414 0.134400
2025-06-15 0.037828 0.049966 0.065069 0.085196 0.111269 0.143856 0.187632
2025-06-22 0.029005 0.041826 0.059139 0.084127 0.119161 0.166415 0.234866
2025-06-29 0.022897 0.035529 0.053788 0.081939 0.124066 0.184548 0.277715
2025-07-06 0.018424 0.030486 0.048988 0.079205 0.127050 0.199540 0.317267
2025-07-13 0.016014 0.028049 0.047506 0.080933 0.136546 0.224862 0.375046
2025-07-20 0.013891 0.025642 0.045581 0.081464 0.143923 0.247454 0.431024
2025-07-27 0.012191 0.023632 0.043934 0.082075 0.151296 0.270642 0.490526
2025-08-03 0.010878 0.022073 0.042790 0.083303 0.159733 0.296406 0.557295
2025-08-10 0.009950 0.021074 0.042484 0.085944 0.170948 0.328181 0.638326
2025-08-17 0.008513 0.018820 0.039445 0.082895 0.170969 0.339417 0.682600
2025-08-24 0.007583 0.017451 0.037931 0.082602 0.176214 0.360908 0.748651
2025-08-31 0.006672 0.015993 0.036067 0.081413 0.179681 0.379710 0.812474
2025-09-07 0.006144 0.015304 0.035734 0.083430 0.190098 0.413668 0.911166
2025-09-14 0.005455 0.014124 0.034141 0.082439 0.193889 0.434362 0.984600
2025-09-21 0.004784 0.012865 0.032178 0.080305 0.194818 0.449008 1.046661
2025-09-28 0.004172 0.011645 0.030117 0.077626 0.194106 0.459905 1.101605
2025-10-05 0.003879 0.011206 0.029881 0.079321 0.203892 0.495396 1.216270
2025-10-12 0.003556 0.010629 0.029214 0.079841 0.210886 0.525221 1.321134
2025-10-19 0.003272 0.010108 0.028614 0.080441 0.218144 0.556461 1.432875
2025-10-26 0.003042 0.009703 0.028261 0.081644 0.227094 0.592763 1.561010
2025-11-02 0.002886 0.009494 0.028412 0.084235 0.240008 0.640272 1.722334
2025-11-09 0.002544 0.008648 0.026650 0.081245 0.237555 0.648718 1.785231