Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.052655 0.061814 0.072043 0.084306 0.098604 0.114746 0.134349
2025-08-10 0.039218 0.051326 0.066323 0.086237 0.111965 0.144070 0.187167
2025-08-17 0.029581 0.042119 0.058943 0.083112 0.116899 0.162413 0.228358
2025-08-24 0.024074 0.036748 0.054913 0.082754 0.124267 0.183792 0.275571
2025-08-31 0.019922 0.032308 0.051106 0.081579 0.129621 0.202318 0.320563
2025-09-07 0.017415 0.029805 0.049590 0.083298 0.139125 0.227708 0.378739
2025-09-14 0.014938 0.026867 0.046827 0.082422 0.144098 0.246304 0.428218
2025-09-21 0.012740 0.024000 0.043680 0.080300 0.146470 0.260624 0.472052
2025-09-28 0.010890 0.021430 0.040622 0.077788 0.147637 0.272760 0.513280
2025-10-05 0.009947 0.020383 0.040119 0.079776 0.157060 0.300383 0.585475
2025-10-12 0.008976 0.019119 0.039010 0.080410 0.163931 0.324015 0.652971
2025-10-19 0.008110 0.017926 0.037856 0.080757 0.170207 0.347126 0.722095
2025-10-26 0.007399 0.016971 0.037086 0.081861 0.178325 0.375152 0.805292
2025-11-02 0.006887 0.016371 0.036977 0.084346 0.189672 0.411110 0.909481
2025-11-09 0.006004 0.014792 0.034534 0.081407 0.188961 0.421937 0.961869
2025-11-16 0.005428 0.013838 0.033339 0.081079 0.193944 0.445431 1.044647
2025-11-23 0.004870 0.012835 0.031884 0.079932 0.196870 0.464686 1.120208
2025-11-30 0.004549 0.012371 0.031636 0.081618 0.206643 0.500486 1.238169
2025-12-07 0.004119 0.011560 0.030424 0.080760 0.210138 0.522110 1.325199
2025-12-14 0.003677 0.010643 0.028820 0.078680 0.210310 0.535812 1.394634
2025-12-21 0.003269 0.009755 0.027161 0.076217 0.209167 0.546141 1.456903
2025-12-28 0.003095 0.009501 0.027152 0.078166 0.219831 0.587207 1.602566
2026-01-04 0.002882 0.009100 0.026683 0.078788 0.227014 0.620205 1.731171