Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.044389 0.051700 0.059831 0.069544 0.080832 0.093542 0.108944
2025-11-09 0.031784 0.040979 0.052272 0.067165 0.086299 0.110074 0.141901
2025-11-16 0.025157 0.035070 0.048209 0.066905 0.092846 0.127619 0.177866
2025-11-23 0.020625 0.030657 0.044816 0.066260 0.097959 0.143176 0.212758
2025-11-30 0.017863 0.028063 0.043257 0.067543 0.105457 0.162518 0.255221
2025-12-07 0.015288 0.025232 0.040773 0.066838 0.109554 0.176990 0.291977
2025-12-14 0.013026 0.022485 0.037932 0.064995 0.111354 0.187794 0.324000
2025-12-21 0.011188 0.020131 0.035338 0.063078 0.112581 0.197549 0.355237
2025-12-28 0.010181 0.019043 0.034690 0.064332 0.119287 0.217216 0.405999
2026-01-04 0.009187 0.017822 0.033620 0.064632 0.124230 0.234248 0.454063
2026-01-11 0.008313 0.016694 0.032552 0.064750 0.128770 0.250974 0.503558
2026-01-18 0.007656 0.015889 0.031977 0.065704 0.134979 0.271493 0.562926
2026-01-25 0.007159 0.015353 0.031885 0.067669 0.143583 0.298003 0.638451
2026-02-01 0.006304 0.013960 0.029890 0.065462 0.143335 0.306700 0.678323
2026-02-08 0.005739 0.013104 0.028895 0.065231 0.147221 0.324411 0.739832
2026-02-15 0.005209 0.012251 0.027794 0.064606 0.150134 0.340340 0.799447
2026-02-22 0.004881 0.011814 0.027546 0.065859 0.157420 0.366746 0.886394
2026-03-01 0.004452 0.011077 0.026523 0.065172 0.160087 0.382973 0.951549
2026-03-08 0.003999 0.010223 0.025117 0.063375 0.159855 0.392378 1.001419
2026-03-15 0.003594 0.009430 0.023756 0.061506 0.159190 0.400638 1.049516
2026-03-22 0.003400 0.009153 0.023628 0.062728 0.166476 0.429290 1.153467
2026-03-29 0.003176 0.008763 0.023164 0.063020 0.171390 0.452570 1.246473
2026-04-05 0.002962 0.008375 0.022659 0.063135 0.175850 0.475222 1.340853