Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.011776 0.013563 0.015534 0.017869 0.020564 0.023576 0.027202
2026-04-12 0.008910 0.011261 0.014105 0.017806 0.022501 0.028268 0.035906
2026-04-19 0.007340 0.009963 0.013373 0.018140 0.024648 0.033249 0.045524
2026-04-26 0.005968 0.008586 0.012193 0.017541 0.025297 0.036182 0.052700
2026-05-03 0.005095 0.007706 0.011489 0.017390 0.026406 0.039734 0.061070
2026-05-10 0.004408 0.006969 0.010849 0.017179 0.027311 0.043000 0.069342
2026-05-17 0.003963 0.006524 0.010564 0.017433 0.028903 0.047435 0.079944
2026-05-24 0.003526 0.006024 0.010113 0.017333 0.029869 0.050931 0.089401
2026-05-31 0.003098 0.005477 0.009507 0.016877 0.030147 0.053265 0.097109
2026-06-07 0.002720 0.004965 0.008892 0.016315 0.030140 0.055062 0.104028
2026-06-14 0.002512 0.004728 0.008727 0.016528 0.031539 0.059504 0.116357
2026-06-21 0.002300 0.004457 0.008463 0.016516 0.032501 0.063224 0.127745
2026-06-28 0.002108 0.004204 0.008213 0.016513 0.033505 0.067194 0.140269
2026-07-05 0.001958 0.004015 0.008062 0.016689 0.034888 0.072082 0.155355
2026-07-12 0.001843 0.003884 0.008010 0.017055 0.036703 0.078057 0.173539
2026-07-19 0.001652 0.003570 0.007549 0.016505 0.036499 0.079762 0.182587
2026-07-26 0.001520 0.003367 0.007294 0.016365 0.037167 0.083415 0.196501
2026-08-02 0.001397 0.003169 0.007029 0.016168 0.037676 0.086764 0.210140
2026-08-09 0.001320 0.003066 0.006959 0.016407 0.039215 0.092633 0.230586
2026-08-16 0.001226 0.002912 0.006758 0.016312 0.039951 0.096704 0.247144
2026-08-23 0.001118 0.002714 0.006434 0.015884 0.039822 0.098678 0.258657
2026-08-30 0.001015 0.002514 0.006085 0.015356 0.039377 0.099819 0.268155
2026-09-06 0.000964 0.002440 0.006030 0.015556 0.040813 0.105868 0.291571