Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.045096 0.053111 0.062079 0.072851 0.085431 0.099652 0.116945
2025-07-13 0.033366 0.043922 0.057043 0.074519 0.097158 0.125464 0.163525
2025-07-20 0.026164 0.037554 0.052913 0.075067 0.106139 0.148094 0.208985
2025-07-27 0.021464 0.033100 0.049881 0.075733 0.114432 0.170072 0.256004
2025-08-03 0.018195 0.029864 0.047703 0.076790 0.122843 0.192721 0.306537
2025-08-10 0.015969 0.027710 0.046617 0.079041 0.132993 0.218843 0.365380
2025-08-17 0.013262 0.024242 0.042802 0.076162 0.134293 0.230954 0.403239
2025-08-24 0.011506 0.022065 0.040728 0.075751 0.139410 0.249598 0.453890
2025-08-31 0.009964 0.019994 0.038481 0.074609 0.142929 0.265715 0.501897
2025-09-07 0.009023 0.018883 0.037783 0.076131 0.151356 0.291321 0.569842
2025-09-14 0.007942 0.017315 0.035970 0.075222 0.154983 0.308421 0.623854
2025-09-21 0.006920 0.015694 0.033805 0.073270 0.156231 0.321013 0.670506
2025-09-28 0.005984 0.014125 0.031561 0.070917 0.156526 0.332124 0.716396
2025-10-05 0.005507 0.013499 0.031217 0.072564 0.165433 0.361743 0.804108
2025-10-12 0.005002 0.012722 0.030427 0.073103 0.171994 0.387242 0.886257
2025-10-19 0.004566 0.012035 0.029736 0.073753 0.178862 0.414165 0.974749
2025-10-26 0.004205 0.011470 0.029241 0.074782 0.186717 0.444148 1.073681
2025-11-02 0.003947 0.011128 0.029232 0.076976 0.197602 0.482238 1.195802
2025-11-09 0.003457 0.010087 0.027329 0.074171 0.195926 0.490919 1.249582
2025-11-16 0.003141 0.009468 0.026416 0.073770 0.200198 0.514241 1.341550
2025-11-23 0.002830 0.008809 0.025297 0.072657 0.202480 0.532939 1.424270
2025-11-30 0.002657 0.008521 0.025143 0.074141 0.211804 0.570323 1.558853
2025-12-07 0.002411 0.007975 0.024189 0.073254 0.214594 0.591289 1.653281