Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.052991 0.062058 0.072172 0.084285 0.098396 0.114314 0.133634
2025-09-07 0.039529 0.051502 0.066296 0.085904 0.111200 0.142732 0.185037
2025-09-14 0.030837 0.043594 0.060637 0.085038 0.119058 0.164797 0.230991
2025-09-21 0.024703 0.037354 0.055381 0.082883 0.123744 0.182193 0.272185
2025-09-28 0.020173 0.032340 0.050672 0.080223 0.126611 0.196605 0.310283
2025-10-05 0.017765 0.029998 0.049367 0.082148 0.136173 0.221630 0.367115
2025-10-12 0.015592 0.027612 0.047524 0.082761 0.143470 0.243717 0.421854
2025-10-19 0.013761 0.025470 0.045698 0.083001 0.149965 0.265014 0.477701
2025-10-26 0.012409 0.023933 0.044637 0.084317 0.158322 0.290247 0.543260
2025-11-02 0.011445 0.022945 0.044382 0.086976 0.169312 0.321247 0.622822
2025-11-09 0.009931 0.020672 0.041418 0.084101 0.169513 0.332457 0.666769
2025-11-16 0.008926 0.019252 0.039879 0.083741 0.174428 0.352955 0.730856
2025-11-23 0.007944 0.017754 0.038023 0.082572 0.177733 0.371035 0.793160
2025-11-30 0.007354 0.017007 0.037606 0.084338 0.187333 0.402920 0.887942
2025-12-07 0.006616 0.015820 0.036091 0.083521 0.191290 0.423559 0.961483
2025-12-14 0.005873 0.014509 0.034121 0.081409 0.192085 0.437480 1.022012
2025-12-21 0.005191 0.013236 0.032061 0.078796 0.191369 0.447927 1.075937
2025-12-28 0.004878 0.012817 0.031925 0.080688 0.201374 0.483648 1.192576
2026-01-04 0.004518 0.012225 0.031294 0.081290 0.208352 0.513157 1.298111
2026-01-11 0.004175 0.011623 0.030559 0.081526 0.214447 0.541263 1.403680
2026-01-18 0.003917 0.011214 0.030253 0.082819 0.223373 0.577278 1.533415
2026-01-25 0.003743 0.011005 0.030439 0.085431 0.236056 0.624114 1.696572
2026-02-01 0.003348 0.010116 0.028697 0.082607 0.233923 0.632944 1.761365