Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.065286 0.077223 0.090597 0.106675 0.125460 0.146699 0.172517
2025-05-04 0.047316 0.062819 0.082148 0.107943 0.141383 0.183181 0.239303
2025-05-11 0.037107 0.053920 0.076698 0.109647 0.155891 0.218267 0.308531
2025-05-18 0.031026 0.048589 0.074074 0.113457 0.172431 0.257032 0.387068
2025-05-25 0.024856 0.041615 0.067464 0.109814 0.176946 0.278581 0.443213
2025-06-01 0.020978 0.037284 0.063837 0.109657 0.186030 0.307252 0.512830
2025-06-08 0.017710 0.033268 0.059907 0.108121 0.192267 0.331713 0.578261
2025-06-15 0.015756 0.031132 0.058689 0.110770 0.205519 0.368741 0.668311
2025-06-22 0.013588 0.028191 0.055537 0.109408 0.211377 0.393638 0.740216
2025-06-29 0.011620 0.025266 0.051922 0.106560 0.213962 0.412779 0.803744
2025-07-06 0.009919 0.022568 0.048299 0.103086 0.214748 0.428464 0.862348
2025-07-13 0.009047 0.021456 0.047652 0.105395 0.226999 0.466874 0.968077
2025-07-20 0.008126 0.020104 0.046360 0.106305 0.236799 0.502156 1.072867
2025-07-27 0.007288 0.018796 0.044973 0.106825 0.245889 0.537157 1.181412
2025-08-03 0.006630 0.017796 0.044108 0.108357 0.257319 0.578203 1.307083
2025-08-10 0.006189 0.017252 0.044208 0.112092 0.274089 0.632339 1.466541
2025-08-17 0.005374 0.015592 0.041382 0.108484 0.273547 0.648772 1.545491
2025-08-24 0.004848 0.014605 0.040059 0.108327 0.281070 0.683923 1.670103
2025-08-31 0.004322 0.013516 0.038301 0.106809 0.285062 0.711374 1.779973
2025-09-07 0.004037 0.013066 0.038151 0.109427 0.299667 0.765212 1.957533
2025-09-14 0.003622 0.012152 0.036601 0.108081 0.303949 0.794740 2.079840
2025-09-21 0.003204 0.011142 0.034623 0.105266 0.303996 0.813846 2.178587
2025-09-28 0.002816 0.010152 0.032539 0.101833 0.301915 0.827339 2.264675