Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.129395 0.153186 0.179779 0.211657 0.248783 0.290606 0.341239
2025-01-19 0.089701 0.119479 0.156508 0.205727 0.269203 0.348054 0.453152
2025-01-26 0.070543 0.103103 0.147111 0.210470 0.298798 0.416923 0.586093
2025-02-02 0.057406 0.090730 0.139022 0.213312 0.323719 0.480510 0.718461
2025-02-09 0.047514 0.080467 0.131241 0.213990 0.343963 0.538299 0.848170
2025-02-16 0.040574 0.073126 0.126111 0.217022 0.366962 0.601525 0.992024
2025-02-23 0.036095 0.068828 0.124813 0.225399 0.398679 0.680826 1.168742
2025-03-02 0.030097 0.060680 0.115597 0.218814 0.404314 0.718281 1.281451
2025-03-09 0.026196 0.055606 0.110840 0.219025 0.421092 0.775307 1.431980
2025-03-16 0.022551 0.050325 0.104796 0.215812 0.430958 0.820910 1.566829
2025-03-23 0.020424 0.047717 0.103405 0.221070 0.456833 0.897196 1.763521
2025-03-30 0.017972 0.043958 0.099113 0.219893 0.469999 0.951159 1.924135
2025-04-06 0.015454 0.039643 0.093121 0.214631 0.474887 0.990920 2.064036
2025-04-13 0.013205 0.035526 0.086918 0.208029 0.476209 1.023943 2.194598
2025-04-20 0.012061 0.033867 0.085932 0.212690 0.501788 1.107916 2.435016
2025-04-27 0.010940 0.032044 0.084268 0.215531 0.523659 1.186347 2.671622
2025-05-04 0.009834 0.030040 0.081843 0.216210 0.540680 1.256131 2.896691
2025-05-11 0.008983 0.028566 0.080494 0.219269 0.563480 1.340505 3.160912
2025-05-18 0.008472 0.027961 0.081276 0.227727 0.600003 1.458616 3.509894
2025-05-25 0.007373 0.025386 0.076434 0.221078 0.599056 1.492062 3.672699
2025-06-01 0.006676 0.023899 0.074319 0.221291 0.615140 1.566212 3.935124
2025-06-08 0.005939 0.022126 0.071103 0.218047 0.621975 1.619142 4.152902
2025-06-15 0.005557 0.021450 0.070967 0.223356 0.651743 1.729958 4.517903