Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.052745 0.061984 0.072308 0.084690 0.099133 0.115440 0.135249
2025-07-27 0.038753 0.050817 0.065775 0.085651 0.111344 0.143414 0.186470
2025-08-03 0.030735 0.043881 0.061543 0.086942 0.122468 0.170334 0.239680
2025-08-10 0.025840 0.039578 0.059299 0.089561 0.134710 0.199455 0.299243
2025-08-17 0.020860 0.033986 0.053956 0.086389 0.137578 0.215071 0.341094
2025-08-24 0.017722 0.030508 0.050996 0.085991 0.144048 0.236246 0.393453
2025-08-31 0.015104 0.027352 0.047931 0.084743 0.148657 0.254680 0.443405
2025-09-07 0.013497 0.025605 0.046853 0.086500 0.158258 0.282112 0.511373
2025-09-14 0.011767 0.023330 0.044474 0.085538 0.162831 0.301322 0.567286
2025-09-21 0.010165 0.021021 0.041666 0.083313 0.164674 0.315705 0.616018
2025-09-28 0.008789 0.018920 0.038923 0.080764 0.165448 0.328023 0.662129
2025-10-05 0.008089 0.018078 0.038501 0.082678 0.175075 0.358058 0.745746
2025-10-12 0.007318 0.016989 0.037466 0.083292 0.182357 0.384777 0.826978
2025-10-19 0.006646 0.016008 0.036525 0.083983 0.189919 0.413044 0.915144
2025-10-26 0.006095 0.015216 0.035873 0.085196 0.198739 0.444931 1.014882
2025-11-02 0.005702 0.014728 0.035827 0.087752 0.210845 0.485223 1.137783
2025-11-09 0.004988 0.013338 0.033492 0.084639 0.209548 0.495860 1.195601
2025-11-16 0.004525 0.012506 0.032363 0.084249 0.214576 0.521306 1.290478
2025-11-23 0.004071 0.011623 0.030980 0.083025 0.217401 0.541925 1.376402
2025-11-30 0.003814 0.011226 0.030770 0.084748 0.227771 0.581653 1.513312
2025-12-07 0.003460 0.010503 0.029604 0.083804 0.231189 0.604814 1.611882
2025-12-14 0.003094 0.009683 0.028061 0.081623 0.231062 0.619088 1.689578
2025-12-21 0.002757 0.008892 0.026485 0.079125 0.229743 0.630137 1.760213