Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.054568 0.064388 0.075382 0.088591 0.104021 0.121464 0.142672
2025-06-15 0.040278 0.053205 0.069289 0.090724 0.118491 0.153196 0.199817
2025-06-22 0.030904 0.044568 0.063020 0.089652 0.126992 0.177358 0.250317
2025-06-29 0.024401 0.037866 0.057329 0.087338 0.132247 0.196724 0.296046
2025-07-06 0.019633 0.032489 0.052210 0.084420 0.135420 0.212694 0.338190
2025-07-13 0.017060 0.029884 0.050619 0.086242 0.145509 0.239631 0.399689
2025-07-20 0.014796 0.027317 0.048562 0.086798 0.153356 0.263681 0.459298
2025-07-27 0.012984 0.025171 0.046800 0.087436 0.161188 0.288347 0.522626
2025-08-03 0.011585 0.023512 0.045585 0.088750 0.170189 0.315818 0.593801
2025-08-10 0.010598 0.022451 0.045264 0.091576 0.182160 0.349717 0.680217
2025-08-17 0.009070 0.020054 0.042035 0.088346 0.182221 0.361763 0.727538
2025-08-24 0.008092 0.018625 0.040487 0.088171 0.188097 0.385239 0.799087
2025-08-31 0.007125 0.017080 0.038521 0.086952 0.191903 0.405516 0.867626
2025-09-07 0.006562 0.016347 0.038168 0.089113 0.203039 0.441797 0.973026
2025-09-14 0.005828 0.015089 0.036476 0.088073 0.207124 0.463966 1.051571
2025-09-21 0.005112 0.013747 0.034382 0.085801 0.208133 0.479638 1.117893
2025-09-28 0.004457 0.012443 0.032178 0.082932 0.207353 0.491228 1.176436
2025-10-05 0.004144 0.011970 0.031919 0.084723 0.217755 0.529001 1.298541
2025-10-12 0.003799 0.011353 0.031204 0.085270 0.225197 0.560777 1.410293
2025-10-19 0.003494 0.010795 0.030558 0.085898 0.232911 0.594028 1.529290
2025-10-26 0.003249 0.010364 0.030184 0.087189 0.242479 0.632803 1.666076
2025-11-02 0.003083 0.010142 0.030350 0.089968 0.256297 0.683584 1.838384
2025-11-09 0.002718 0.009241 0.028474 0.086792 0.253726 0.692722 1.905814