Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.065841 0.078066 0.091778 0.108276 0.127566 0.149385 0.175918
2025-04-06 0.045701 0.060980 0.080079 0.105617 0.138773 0.180256 0.235983
2025-04-13 0.033760 0.049469 0.070857 0.101912 0.145627 0.204712 0.290316
2025-04-20 0.027606 0.043718 0.067253 0.103813 0.158771 0.237814 0.359479
2025-04-27 0.022950 0.038911 0.063710 0.104558 0.169550 0.268147 0.427956
2025-05-04 0.019395 0.034978 0.060570 0.105004 0.179365 0.297635 0.498260
2025-05-11 0.016816 0.032091 0.058483 0.106545 0.190736 0.330450 0.577311
2025-05-18 0.015079 0.030314 0.057885 0.110331 0.206091 0.371221 0.673893
2025-05-25 0.012658 0.026795 0.053583 0.106774 0.207924 0.389008 0.732989
2025-06-01 0.011087 0.024624 0.051390 0.106685 0.215838 0.418070 0.814943
2025-06-08 0.009626 0.022400 0.048717 0.105203 0.220776 0.442043 0.889965
2025-06-15 0.008783 0.021336 0.048196 0.107899 0.234116 0.483073 1.001439
2025-06-22 0.007707 0.019584 0.046018 0.106949 0.240201 0.511244 1.092177
2025-06-29 0.006658 0.017699 0.043259 0.104346 0.242500 0.532188 1.171056
2025-07-06 0.005698 0.015837 0.040244 0.100688 0.241965 0.547137 1.239139
2025-07-13 0.005208 0.015073 0.039670 0.102568 0.253991 0.589882 1.370676
2025-07-20 0.004713 0.014199 0.038685 0.103306 0.263447 0.628026 1.496264
2025-07-27 0.004264 0.013359 0.037646 0.103746 0.272228 0.665570 1.624474
2025-08-03 0.003914 0.012736 0.037070 0.105270 0.283823 0.710750 1.774839
2025-08-10 0.003691 0.012442 0.037328 0.109013 0.301438 0.771857 1.968686
2025-08-17 0.003219 0.011287 0.035021 0.105497 0.299962 0.787137 2.054902
2025-08-24 0.002921 0.010625 0.034007 0.105409 0.307484 0.825192 2.200521
2025-08-31 0.002614 0.009867 0.032586 0.103943 0.311088 0.853808 2.325611