Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.084567 0.100332 0.118003 0.139247 0.164061 0.192097 0.226144
2025-03-02 0.058212 0.077801 0.102273 0.134956 0.177317 0.230207 0.301077
2025-03-09 0.044582 0.065468 0.093876 0.135045 0.192841 0.270687 0.383009
2025-03-16 0.035089 0.055802 0.086061 0.133006 0.203404 0.304300 0.458903
2025-03-23 0.029673 0.050556 0.082999 0.136349 0.220956 0.348724 0.554603
2025-03-30 0.024660 0.044766 0.077815 0.135118 0.230708 0.382002 0.637000
2025-04-06 0.020427 0.039350 0.072132 0.131832 0.236166 0.408555 0.711251
2025-04-13 0.016902 0.034448 0.066389 0.127308 0.238505 0.429725 0.778454
2025-04-20 0.014985 0.032143 0.064809 0.129746 0.252980 0.472561 0.886685
2025-04-27 0.013209 0.029760 0.062654 0.130683 0.264640 0.511484 0.991979
2025-05-04 0.011676 0.027580 0.060516 0.131248 0.275497 0.549877 1.100118
2025-05-11 0.010496 0.025932 0.059168 0.133132 0.289020 0.594479 1.224295
2025-05-18 0.009700 0.025040 0.059346 0.138368 0.310287 0.656910 1.390870
2025-05-25 0.008296 0.022452 0.055425 0.134230 0.311577 0.680140 1.482835
2025-06-01 0.007384 0.020887 0.053554 0.134347 0.321940 0.722824 1.618761
2025-06-08 0.006470 0.019130 0.050938 0.132324 0.327225 0.755327 1.736687
2025-06-15 0.005966 0.018364 0.050599 0.135652 0.345083 0.816577 1.922235
2025-06-22 0.005298 0.017004 0.048541 0.134428 0.352046 0.854503 2.060430
2025-06-29 0.004628 0.015497 0.045842 0.131157 0.353602 0.880303 2.173939
2025-07-06 0.004001 0.013978 0.042853 0.126655 0.351469 0.897249 2.268719
2025-07-13 0.003700 0.013422 0.042454 0.129081 0.367310 0.958332 2.473143
2025-07-20 0.003381 0.012734 0.041564 0.130014 0.379351 1.011433 2.663626
2025-07-27 0.003084 0.012058 0.040595 0.130576 0.390469 1.063374 2.856340