Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.054130 0.063171 0.073236 0.085270 0.099269 0.115042 0.134167
2025-10-19 0.040042 0.051779 0.066215 0.085272 0.109774 0.140232 0.181006
2025-10-26 0.032268 0.045136 0.062217 0.086538 0.120292 0.165518 0.230809
2025-11-02 0.027506 0.041042 0.060168 0.089146 0.131966 0.192974 0.286668
2025-11-09 0.022575 0.035623 0.055086 0.086205 0.134749 0.207684 0.325846
2025-11-16 0.019435 0.032237 0.052277 0.085891 0.140924 0.227604 0.374873
2025-11-23 0.016845 0.029242 0.049520 0.085054 0.145844 0.245798 0.423130
2025-11-30 0.015186 0.027491 0.048452 0.086695 0.154824 0.271367 0.486538
2025-12-07 0.013389 0.025211 0.046130 0.085763 0.159100 0.289285 0.538777
2025-12-14 0.011675 0.022817 0.043253 0.083375 0.160325 0.301778 0.582570
2025-12-21 0.010223 0.020696 0.040571 0.080937 0.161027 0.313209 0.625541
2025-12-28 0.009484 0.019855 0.040180 0.082804 0.170139 0.341371 0.704067
2026-01-04 0.008664 0.018755 0.039180 0.083409 0.176990 0.366300 0.780122
2026-01-11 0.007903 0.017674 0.038082 0.083670 0.183188 0.390723 0.858486
2026-01-18 0.007324 0.016900 0.037514 0.084965 0.191708 0.420912 0.952950
2026-01-25 0.006909 0.016432 0.037535 0.087536 0.203313 0.459001 1.069553
2026-02-01 0.006130 0.015016 0.035275 0.084649 0.202248 0.469188 1.124470
2026-02-08 0.005622 0.014168 0.034193 0.084342 0.207083 0.493157 1.214357
2026-02-15 0.005135 0.013306 0.032966 0.083519 0.210564 0.514369 1.300320
2026-02-22 0.004842 0.012886 0.032746 0.085131 0.220178 0.551211 1.429217
2026-03-01 0.004438 0.012125 0.031584 0.084216 0.223328 0.572695 1.522223
2026-03-08 0.004004 0.011222 0.029954 0.081871 0.222493 0.584129 1.590765
2026-03-15 0.003613 0.010384 0.028383 0.079476 0.221215 0.594266 1.657184