Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.074834 0.088289 0.103338 0.121401 0.142476 0.166272 0.195162
2025-05-25 0.052228 0.069021 0.089897 0.117681 0.153616 0.198445 0.258537
2025-06-01 0.040453 0.058407 0.082632 0.117546 0.166405 0.232149 0.327108
2025-06-08 0.032292 0.050206 0.076084 0.115927 0.175420 0.260591 0.391325
2025-06-15 0.027584 0.045719 0.073501 0.118767 0.190202 0.297986 0.472154
2025-06-22 0.023106 0.040597 0.068862 0.117337 0.197747 0.324932 0.540112
2025-06-29 0.019328 0.035846 0.063890 0.114312 0.201864 0.346443 0.601507
2025-07-06 0.016211 0.031632 0.059053 0.110576 0.203930 0.364368 0.658567
2025-07-13 0.014552 0.029744 0.057921 0.113025 0.216785 0.401644 0.752621
2025-07-20 0.012941 0.027653 0.056059 0.113771 0.226486 0.434259 0.841907
2025-07-27 0.011589 0.025837 0.054421 0.114634 0.236367 0.468094 0.937002
2025-08-03 0.010521 0.024421 0.053342 0.116389 0.248086 0.506487 1.044783
2025-08-10 0.009747 0.023546 0.053303 0.120396 0.265104 0.557566 1.184333
2025-08-17 0.008416 0.021193 0.049793 0.116570 0.265443 0.575646 1.260100
2025-08-24 0.007546 0.019762 0.048081 0.116409 0.273533 0.610396 1.374147
2025-08-31 0.006694 0.018221 0.045881 0.114799 0.278156 0.638252 1.476558
2025-09-07 0.006218 0.017543 0.045598 0.117611 0.293138 0.690076 1.636855
2025-09-14 0.005561 0.016271 0.043682 0.116195 0.298006 0.719910 1.751168
2025-09-21 0.004906 0.014889 0.041275 0.113197 0.298646 0.740104 1.845510
2025-09-28 0.004303 0.013539 0.038741 0.109497 0.297034 0.754780 1.928410
2025-10-05 0.004027 0.013089 0.038541 0.111923 0.311292 0.808958 2.112231
2025-10-12 0.003711 0.012462 0.037760 0.112662 0.321239 0.853645 2.277512
2025-10-19 0.003429 0.011892 0.037056 0.113517 0.331604 0.900486 2.453244