Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.056066 0.065529 0.076072 0.088686 0.103366 0.119912 0.139978
2025-09-28 0.039818 0.051691 0.066331 0.085697 0.110641 0.141693 0.183311
2025-10-05 0.032248 0.045359 0.062822 0.087761 0.122455 0.169027 0.236352
2025-10-12 0.026797 0.040263 0.059375 0.088438 0.131508 0.193001 0.287572
2025-10-19 0.022755 0.036199 0.056357 0.088721 0.139370 0.215632 0.339334
2025-10-26 0.019916 0.033340 0.054477 0.090095 0.148609 0.240972 0.398056
2025-11-02 0.017929 0.031439 0.053681 0.092849 0.160090 0.270877 0.467560
2025-11-09 0.015278 0.027979 0.049774 0.089765 0.161298 0.283951 0.510576
2025-11-16 0.013535 0.025809 0.047705 0.089445 0.167015 0.305043 0.569717
2025-11-23 0.011993 0.023760 0.045531 0.088561 0.171458 0.324209 0.627532
2025-11-30 0.011010 0.022613 0.044834 0.090270 0.180826 0.353261 0.707111
2025-12-07 0.009843 0.020929 0.042875 0.089238 0.184696 0.372276 0.769520
2025-12-14 0.008673 0.019092 0.040413 0.086954 0.185947 0.386694 0.825410
2025-12-21 0.007614 0.017338 0.037892 0.084209 0.185901 0.398534 0.877674
2025-12-28 0.007105 0.016711 0.037646 0.086273 0.196300 0.433146 0.982568
2026-01-04 0.006541 0.015873 0.036826 0.086946 0.203705 0.462213 1.078973
2026-01-11 0.006012 0.015036 0.035894 0.087226 0.210228 0.490067 1.176106
2026-01-18 0.005609 0.014447 0.035450 0.088578 0.219394 0.524914 1.293769
2026-01-25 0.005327 0.014115 0.035566 0.091285 0.232131 0.569493 1.440165
2026-02-01 0.004748 0.012938 0.033478 0.088253 0.230378 0.579470 1.503299
2026-02-08 0.004374 0.012248 0.032511 0.087938 0.235420 0.606535 1.612622
2026-02-15 0.004011 0.011534 0.031389 0.087068 0.238906 0.630111 1.715935
2026-02-22 0.003797 0.011203 0.031230 0.088750 0.249359 0.672664 1.874485