Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-15 0.000530 0.000603 0.000680 0.000767 0.000864 0.000967 0.001085
2026-03-22 0.000428 0.000530 0.000646 0.000787 0.000951 0.001135 0.001358
2026-03-29 0.000371 0.000487 0.000625 0.000798 0.001008 0.001253 0.001558
2026-04-05 0.000317 0.000440 0.000592 0.000789 0.001037 0.001334 0.001714
2026-04-12 0.000276 0.000402 0.000563 0.000780 0.001061 0.001406 0.001858
2026-04-19 0.000249 0.000379 0.000550 0.000788 0.001102 0.001498 0.002027
2026-04-26 0.000224 0.000355 0.000534 0.000789 0.001134 0.001578 0.002181
2026-05-03 0.000194 0.000322 0.000502 0.000766 0.001131 0.001609 0.002272
2026-05-10 0.000170 0.000295 0.000476 0.000747 0.001132 0.001645 0.002368
2026-05-17 0.000154 0.000277 0.000461 0.000743 0.001151 0.001705 0.002497
2026-05-24 0.000140 0.000261 0.000448 0.000741 0.001173 0.001768 0.002629
2026-05-31 0.000125 0.000244 0.000431 0.000731 0.001181 0.001812 0.002737
2026-06-07 0.000111 0.000226 0.000413 0.000718 0.001186 0.001852 0.002841
2026-06-14 0.000106 0.000222 0.000415 0.000737 0.001238 0.001960 0.003043
2026-06-21 0.000099 0.000215 0.000412 0.000748 0.001277 0.002049 0.003221
2026-06-28 0.000089 0.000202 0.000398 0.000739 0.001287 0.002096 0.003337
2026-07-05 0.000080 0.000189 0.000385 0.000731 0.001296 0.002142 0.003453
2026-07-12 0.000075 0.000183 0.000381 0.000738 0.001329 0.002223 0.003623
2026-07-19 0.000069 0.000175 0.000374 0.000739 0.001352 0.002290 0.003772
2026-07-26 0.000061 0.000161 0.000354 0.000717 0.001337 0.002297 0.003832
2026-08-02 0.000054 0.000149 0.000337 0.000699 0.001327 0.002313 0.003905
2026-08-09 0.000049 0.000141 0.000329 0.000696 0.001341 0.002364 0.004031
2026-08-16 0.000045 0.000135 0.000322 0.000694 0.001357 0.002420 0.004166