Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.000684 0.000783 0.000889 0.001010 0.001142 0.001284 0.001446
2025-05-25 0.000526 0.000664 0.000820 0.001009 0.001230 0.001479 0.001779
2025-06-01 0.000427 0.000576 0.000754 0.000978 0.001252 0.001571 0.001968
2025-06-08 0.000352 0.000505 0.000697 0.000948 0.001266 0.001648 0.002136
2025-06-15 0.000304 0.000462 0.000667 0.000946 0.001307 0.001753 0.002335
2025-06-22 0.000266 0.000427 0.000642 0.000944 0.001346 0.001853 0.002529
2025-06-29 0.000232 0.000391 0.000612 0.000932 0.001369 0.001931 0.002694
2025-07-06 0.000200 0.000356 0.000581 0.000915 0.001381 0.001993 0.002837
2025-07-13 0.000185 0.000343 0.000578 0.000935 0.001445 0.002123 0.003072
2025-07-20 0.000169 0.000328 0.000571 0.000949 0.001498 0.002239 0.003290
2025-07-27 0.000149 0.000305 0.000549 0.000939 0.001516 0.002308 0.003444
2025-08-03 0.000131 0.000280 0.000524 0.000922 0.001522 0.002359 0.003575
2025-08-10 0.000120 0.000269 0.000519 0.000935 0.001573 0.002475 0.003800
2025-08-17 0.000108 0.000255 0.000508 0.000938 0.001609 0.002570 0.003997
2025-08-24 0.000093 0.000230 0.000477 0.000908 0.001594 0.002591 0.004089
2025-08-31 0.000079 0.000209 0.000449 0.000880 0.001579 0.002611 0.004181
2025-09-07 0.000071 0.000197 0.000437 0.000878 0.001603 0.002688 0.004354
2025-09-14 0.000064 0.000186 0.000426 0.000876 0.001628 0.002766 0.004530
2025-09-21 0.000056 0.000173 0.000411 0.000865 0.001638 0.002820 0.004671
2025-09-28 0.000049 0.000159 0.000392 0.000848 0.001637 0.002858 0.004788
2025-10-05 0.000046 0.000156 0.000395 0.000868 0.001696 0.002989 0.005046
2025-10-12 0.000043 0.000152 0.000393 0.000881 0.001744 0.003103 0.005280
2025-10-19 0.000038 0.000142 0.000380 0.000871 0.001753 0.003158 0.005425