Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.000540 0.000613 0.000691 0.000779 0.000876 0.000980 0.001098
2026-04-12 0.000419 0.000520 0.000633 0.000771 0.000931 0.001112 0.001330
2026-04-19 0.000360 0.000474 0.000608 0.000778 0.000984 0.001224 0.001524
2026-04-26 0.000313 0.000434 0.000584 0.000779 0.001025 0.001320 0.001698
2026-05-03 0.000266 0.000388 0.000544 0.000756 0.001029 0.001367 0.001810
2026-05-10 0.000229 0.000351 0.000512 0.000737 0.001036 0.001414 0.001921
2026-05-17 0.000203 0.000326 0.000493 0.000733 0.001060 0.001481 0.002057
2026-05-24 0.000183 0.000305 0.000478 0.000731 0.001085 0.001550 0.002195
2026-05-31 0.000162 0.000283 0.000458 0.000722 0.001097 0.001600 0.002311
2026-06-07 0.000144 0.000262 0.000438 0.000710 0.001106 0.001645 0.002417
2026-06-14 0.000136 0.000256 0.000440 0.000729 0.001157 0.001748 0.002605
2026-06-21 0.000127 0.000247 0.000436 0.000739 0.001195 0.001834 0.002772
2026-06-28 0.000114 0.000231 0.000420 0.000731 0.001207 0.001884 0.002891
2026-07-05 0.000102 0.000216 0.000405 0.000722 0.001217 0.001932 0.003008
2026-07-12 0.000095 0.000208 0.000400 0.000729 0.001251 0.002013 0.003174
2026-07-19 0.000087 0.000198 0.000392 0.000731 0.001275 0.002082 0.003323
2026-07-26 0.000076 0.000181 0.000371 0.000708 0.001262 0.002093 0.003388
2026-08-02 0.000067 0.000167 0.000353 0.000690 0.001254 0.002112 0.003464
2026-08-09 0.000061 0.000158 0.000343 0.000687 0.001268 0.002165 0.003591
2026-08-16 0.000056 0.000151 0.000335 0.000685 0.001286 0.002222 0.003725
2026-08-23 0.000051 0.000142 0.000324 0.000676 0.001290 0.002259 0.003829
2026-08-30 0.000045 0.000132 0.000312 0.000665 0.001291 0.002289 0.003924
2026-09-06 0.000044 0.000131 0.000315 0.000683 0.001340 0.002398 0.004141