Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000569 0.000649 0.000734 0.000830 0.000937 0.001050 0.001180
2025-10-26 0.000437 0.000546 0.000670 0.000820 0.000996 0.001195 0.001436
2025-11-02 0.000373 0.000496 0.000642 0.000827 0.001053 0.001317 0.001647
2025-11-09 0.000322 0.000453 0.000616 0.000829 0.001098 0.001422 0.001837
2025-11-16 0.000271 0.000402 0.000571 0.000801 0.001100 0.001469 0.001956
2025-11-23 0.000231 0.000361 0.000535 0.000779 0.001105 0.001518 0.002073
2025-11-30 0.000204 0.000335 0.000515 0.000775 0.001131 0.001593 0.002225
2025-12-07 0.000183 0.000313 0.000500 0.000775 0.001161 0.001671 0.002381
2025-12-14 0.000162 0.000291 0.000480 0.000767 0.001178 0.001731 0.002513
2025-12-21 0.000143 0.000268 0.000458 0.000755 0.001188 0.001780 0.002631
2025-12-28 0.000135 0.000262 0.000461 0.000777 0.001246 0.001897 0.002843
2026-01-04 0.000126 0.000254 0.000458 0.000790 0.001291 0.001996 0.003032
2026-01-11 0.000113 0.000237 0.000442 0.000782 0.001306 0.002054 0.003167
2026-01-18 0.000100 0.000220 0.000424 0.000770 0.001314 0.002101 0.003287
2026-01-25 0.000092 0.000211 0.000419 0.000778 0.001350 0.002189 0.003468
2026-02-01 0.000085 0.000201 0.000410 0.000779 0.001377 0.002264 0.003630
2026-02-08 0.000073 0.000183 0.000385 0.000752 0.001358 0.002271 0.003693
2026-02-15 0.000064 0.000167 0.000365 0.000731 0.001346 0.002287 0.003769
2026-02-22 0.000058 0.000158 0.000356 0.000728 0.001363 0.002346 0.003910
2026-03-01 0.000053 0.000151 0.000348 0.000728 0.001385 0.002413 0.004064
2026-03-08 0.000047 0.000142 0.000337 0.000720 0.001393 0.002459 0.004185
2026-03-15 0.000042 0.000132 0.000324 0.000708 0.001394 0.002493 0.004290
2026-03-22 0.000041 0.000132 0.000329 0.000729 0.001452 0.002617 0.004534