Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 0.000633 0.000719 0.000809 0.000912 0.001025 0.001145 0.001283
2025-12-21 0.000488 0.000605 0.000736 0.000895 0.001080 0.001288 0.001538
2025-12-28 0.000429 0.000562 0.000720 0.000918 0.001157 0.001436 0.001781
2026-01-04 0.000379 0.000523 0.000701 0.000931 0.001218 0.001562 0.002000
2026-01-11 0.000332 0.000481 0.000670 0.000923 0.001249 0.001649 0.002170
2026-01-18 0.000292 0.000443 0.000641 0.000914 0.001275 0.001726 0.002328
2026-01-25 0.000266 0.000419 0.000628 0.000923 0.001320 0.001829 0.002517
2026-02-01 0.000240 0.000395 0.000611 0.000924 0.001355 0.001916 0.002688
2026-02-08 0.000209 0.000360 0.000575 0.000896 0.001348 0.001947 0.002785
2026-02-15 0.000184 0.000330 0.000546 0.000874 0.001346 0.001984 0.002889
2026-02-22 0.000167 0.000311 0.000529 0.000869 0.001367 0.002050 0.003032
2026-03-01 0.000152 0.000294 0.000515 0.000867 0.001392 0.002121 0.003184
2026-03-08 0.000137 0.000275 0.000496 0.000856 0.001403 0.002175 0.003314
2026-03-15 0.000122 0.000255 0.000475 0.000841 0.001408 0.002219 0.003431
2026-03-22 0.000116 0.000251 0.000478 0.000863 0.001467 0.002341 0.003661
2026-03-29 0.000108 0.000243 0.000475 0.000875 0.001512 0.002444 0.003865
2026-04-05 0.000098 0.000229 0.000461 0.000868 0.001526 0.002503 0.004006
2026-04-12 0.000089 0.000216 0.000447 0.000860 0.001538 0.002556 0.004140
2026-04-19 0.000083 0.000209 0.000442 0.000868 0.001575 0.002649 0.004333
2026-04-26 0.000077 0.000200 0.000434 0.000869 0.001601 0.002724 0.004502
2026-05-03 0.000068 0.000184 0.000411 0.000843 0.001581 0.002730 0.004566
2026-05-10 0.000060 0.000170 0.000392 0.000822 0.001569 0.002746 0.004645
2026-05-17 0.000055 0.000162 0.000382 0.000817 0.001583 0.002802 0.004787