Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.000720 0.000822 0.000931 0.001055 0.001191 0.001335 0.001501
2025-04-06 0.000553 0.000694 0.000853 0.001046 0.001272 0.001526 0.001831
2025-04-13 0.000457 0.000611 0.000794 0.001026 0.001307 0.001635 0.002043
2025-04-20 0.000403 0.000571 0.000778 0.001049 0.001389 0.001796 0.002316
2025-04-27 0.000359 0.000534 0.000760 0.001064 0.001456 0.001936 0.002562
2025-05-04 0.000312 0.000489 0.000725 0.001052 0.001485 0.002028 0.002749
2025-05-11 0.000271 0.000446 0.000687 0.001032 0.001500 0.002098 0.002908
2025-05-18 0.000246 0.000424 0.000676 0.001046 0.001557 0.002223 0.003138
2025-05-25 0.000222 0.000400 0.000659 0.001048 0.001598 0.002327 0.003341
2025-06-01 0.000191 0.000362 0.000620 0.001016 0.001589 0.002361 0.003452
2025-06-08 0.000166 0.000329 0.000584 0.000986 0.001580 0.002394 0.003560
2025-06-15 0.000149 0.000310 0.000567 0.000984 0.001608 0.002477 0.003737
2025-06-22 0.000134 0.000292 0.000553 0.000983 0.001640 0.002567 0.003927
2025-06-29 0.000120 0.000272 0.000533 0.000973 0.001658 0.002637 0.004092
2025-07-06 0.000105 0.000251 0.000509 0.000955 0.001661 0.002685 0.004225
2025-07-13 0.000098 0.000245 0.000510 0.000977 0.001725 0.002823 0.004487
2025-07-20 0.000091 0.000237 0.000507 0.000991 0.001777 0.002944 0.004727
2025-07-27 0.000081 0.000222 0.000489 0.000979 0.001789 0.003005 0.004882
2025-08-03 0.000072 0.000205 0.000468 0.000960 0.001788 0.003045 0.005007
2025-08-10 0.000067 0.000199 0.000465 0.000973 0.001838 0.003163 0.005247
2025-08-17 0.000061 0.000190 0.000457 0.000976 0.001870 0.003256 0.005450
2025-08-24 0.000052 0.000173 0.000432 0.000946 0.001847 0.003262 0.005526
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000158 0.000408 0.000917 0.001826 0.003270 0.005602