Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000930 0.001056 0.001189 0.001338 0.001503 0.001677 0.001875
2025-03-02 0.000740 0.000916 0.001115 0.001353 0.001629 0.001938 0.002307
2025-03-09 0.000609 0.000802 0.001030 0.001314 0.001656 0.002051 0.002538
2025-03-16 0.000509 0.000710 0.000957 0.001276 0.001674 0.002146 0.002744
2025-03-23 0.000446 0.000655 0.000920 0.001274 0.001726 0.002277 0.002989
2025-03-30 0.000396 0.000609 0.000889 0.001274 0.001777 0.002403 0.003228
2025-04-06 0.000350 0.000564 0.000853 0.001262 0.001810 0.002505 0.003436
2025-04-13 0.000307 0.000518 0.000813 0.001240 0.001826 0.002582 0.003612
2025-04-20 0.000285 0.000501 0.000810 0.001267 0.001906 0.002743 0.003898
2025-04-27 0.000263 0.000481 0.000801 0.001285 0.001972 0.002886 0.004163
2025-05-04 0.000236 0.000449 0.000772 0.001271 0.001993 0.002967 0.004346
2025-05-11 0.000209 0.000415 0.000738 0.001247 0.001998 0.003026 0.004499
2025-05-18 0.000193 0.000399 0.000729 0.001261 0.002057 0.003162 0.004761
2025-05-25 0.000177 0.000382 0.000718 0.001271 0.002110 0.003289 0.005014
2025-06-01 0.000154 0.000349 0.000679 0.001235 0.002094 0.003319 0.005131
2025-06-08 0.000134 0.000319 0.000642 0.001198 0.002075 0.003342 0.005239
2025-06-15 0.000122 0.000303 0.000627 0.001196 0.002107 0.003438 0.005450
2025-06-22 0.000111 0.000288 0.000614 0.001196 0.002141 0.003537 0.005667
2025-06-29 0.000100 0.000271 0.000595 0.001185 0.002157 0.003610 0.005848
2025-07-06 0.000089 0.000252 0.000571 0.001164 0.002156 0.003657 0.005989
2025-07-13 0.000084 0.000248 0.000574 0.001190 0.002231 0.003818 0.006301
2025-07-20 0.000079 0.000242 0.000573 0.001207 0.002291 0.003958 0.006583
2025-07-27 0.000071 0.000227 0.000555 0.001194 0.002301 0.004021 0.006752