Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.000564 0.000645 0.000731 0.000830 0.000939 0.001055 0.001189
2025-07-20 0.000443 0.000556 0.000685 0.000842 0.001026 0.001234 0.001485
2025-07-27 0.000371 0.000496 0.000645 0.000835 0.001067 0.001338 0.001677
2025-08-03 0.000313 0.000444 0.000607 0.000822 0.001094 0.001423 0.001845
2025-08-10 0.000277 0.000413 0.000590 0.000831 0.001144 0.001532 0.002041
2025-08-17 0.000244 0.000383 0.000569 0.000831 0.001179 0.001621 0.002213
2025-08-24 0.000208 0.000344 0.000533 0.000805 0.001179 0.001662 0.002323
2025-08-31 0.000179 0.000311 0.000501 0.000782 0.001178 0.001701 0.002430
2025-09-07 0.000160 0.000290 0.000484 0.000779 0.001203 0.001773 0.002580
2025-09-14 0.000144 0.000273 0.000470 0.000778 0.001230 0.001847 0.002733
2025-09-21 0.000128 0.000253 0.000451 0.000769 0.001243 0.001901 0.002859
2025-09-28 0.000112 0.000233 0.000430 0.000754 0.001246 0.001942 0.002967
2025-10-05 0.000105 0.000227 0.000432 0.000773 0.001302 0.002059 0.003186
2025-10-12 0.000097 0.000219 0.000428 0.000785 0.001346 0.002160 0.003386
2025-10-19 0.000087 0.000205 0.000414 0.000778 0.001362 0.002220 0.003528
2025-10-26 0.000077 0.000191 0.000397 0.000766 0.001368 0.002265 0.003648
2025-11-02 0.000071 0.000183 0.000393 0.000775 0.001406 0.002358 0.003840
2025-11-09 0.000065 0.000174 0.000384 0.000774 0.001430 0.002430 0.004001
2025-11-16 0.000056 0.000159 0.000362 0.000750 0.001414 0.002441 0.004073
2025-11-23 0.000048 0.000145 0.000343 0.000729 0.001401 0.002455 0.004148
2025-11-30 0.000044 0.000137 0.000334 0.000726 0.001418 0.002516 0.004296
2025-12-07 0.000040 0.000130 0.000327 0.000725 0.001438 0.002582 0.004451
2025-12-14 0.000035 0.000122 0.000316 0.000716 0.001444 0.002625 0.004571