Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.000511 0.000593 0.000680 0.000779 0.000890 0.001008 0.001144
2025-07-13 0.000395 0.000508 0.000638 0.000797 0.000985 0.001199 0.001458
2025-07-20 0.000334 0.000461 0.000614 0.000810 0.001051 0.001334 0.001688
2025-07-27 0.000278 0.000410 0.000578 0.000801 0.001085 0.001429 0.001872
2025-08-03 0.000233 0.000366 0.000542 0.000785 0.001105 0.001503 0.002027
2025-08-10 0.000205 0.000341 0.000528 0.000795 0.001154 0.001612 0.002226
2025-08-17 0.000180 0.000316 0.000511 0.000796 0.001191 0.001704 0.002404
2025-08-24 0.000150 0.000281 0.000476 0.000770 0.001187 0.001741 0.002511
2025-08-31 0.000126 0.000251 0.000444 0.000745 0.001183 0.001776 0.002614
2025-09-07 0.000111 0.000233 0.000429 0.000743 0.001208 0.001849 0.002768
2025-09-14 0.000098 0.000217 0.000415 0.000741 0.001234 0.001922 0.002922
2025-09-21 0.000085 0.000200 0.000398 0.000731 0.001246 0.001977 0.003052
2025-09-28 0.000073 0.000182 0.000377 0.000716 0.001250 0.002021 0.003170
2025-10-05 0.000067 0.000176 0.000377 0.000733 0.001304 0.002138 0.003392
2025-10-12 0.000061 0.000169 0.000374 0.000745 0.001349 0.002241 0.003597
2025-10-19 0.000053 0.000156 0.000359 0.000736 0.001361 0.002298 0.003736
2025-10-26 0.000045 0.000143 0.000342 0.000722 0.001364 0.002338 0.003851
2025-11-02 0.000041 0.000137 0.000339 0.000731 0.001403 0.002435 0.004050
2025-11-09 0.000037 0.000129 0.000331 0.000732 0.001430 0.002512 0.004222
2025-11-16 0.000030 0.000116 0.000310 0.000707 0.001412 0.002521 0.004292
2025-11-23 0.000025 0.000104 0.000291 0.000684 0.001396 0.002531 0.004363
2025-11-30 0.000022 0.000097 0.000283 0.000682 0.001414 0.002595 0.004516
2025-12-07 0.000019 0.000092 0.000276 0.000680 0.001433 0.002660 0.004672