Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000603 0.000693 0.000789 0.000899 0.001020 0.001150 0.001299
2025-05-04 0.000457 0.000580 0.000721 0.000892 0.001094 0.001322 0.001597
2025-05-11 0.000373 0.000508 0.000669 0.000875 0.001126 0.001421 0.001789
2025-05-18 0.000324 0.000468 0.000648 0.000887 0.001189 0.001554 0.002022
2025-05-25 0.000281 0.000430 0.000624 0.000888 0.001234 0.001661 0.002222
2025-06-01 0.000236 0.000382 0.000581 0.000861 0.001237 0.001714 0.002353
2025-06-08 0.000200 0.000342 0.000543 0.000836 0.001239 0.001761 0.002475
2025-06-15 0.000176 0.000317 0.000524 0.000833 0.001269 0.001844 0.002644
2025-06-22 0.000156 0.000295 0.000506 0.000831 0.001297 0.001925 0.002810
2025-06-29 0.000136 0.000272 0.000484 0.000819 0.001312 0.001986 0.002950
2025-07-06 0.000118 0.000249 0.000460 0.000802 0.001317 0.002032 0.003070
2025-07-13 0.000109 0.000241 0.000459 0.000820 0.001372 0.002149 0.003288
2025-07-20 0.000100 0.000230 0.000454 0.000832 0.001418 0.002256 0.003498
2025-07-27 0.000088 0.000213 0.000436 0.000822 0.001433 0.002318 0.003646
2025-08-03 0.000076 0.000196 0.000416 0.000806 0.001436 0.002364 0.003771
2025-08-10 0.000070 0.000188 0.000412 0.000817 0.001482 0.002471 0.003985
2025-08-17 0.000063 0.000178 0.000403 0.000819 0.001511 0.002554 0.004167
2025-08-24 0.000053 0.000161 0.000379 0.000793 0.001496 0.002570 0.004250
2025-08-31 0.000045 0.000146 0.000357 0.000769 0.001482 0.002586 0.004333
2025-09-07 0.000040 0.000138 0.000348 0.000767 0.001503 0.002656 0.004496
2025-09-14 0.000036 0.000130 0.000339 0.000765 0.001523 0.002725 0.004660
2025-09-21 0.000031 0.000120 0.000326 0.000754 0.001529 0.002771 0.004788
2025-09-28 0.000027 0.000110 0.000311 0.000738 0.001525 0.002800 0.004892