Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000702 0.000797 0.000898 0.001013 0.001139 0.001273 0.001426
2025-09-21 0.000545 0.000676 0.000823 0.001001 0.001209 0.001442 0.001723
2025-09-28 0.000454 0.000598 0.000769 0.000983 0.001243 0.001544 0.001920
2025-10-05 0.000406 0.000564 0.000758 0.001010 0.001324 0.001701 0.002181
2025-10-12 0.000365 0.000532 0.000743 0.001026 0.001390 0.001835 0.002415
2025-10-19 0.000322 0.000491 0.000712 0.001018 0.001420 0.001924 0.002594
2025-10-26 0.000285 0.000454 0.000683 0.001007 0.001445 0.002004 0.002760
2025-11-02 0.000260 0.000431 0.000669 0.001015 0.001492 0.002112 0.002964
2025-11-09 0.000235 0.000405 0.000650 0.001014 0.001525 0.002201 0.003144
2025-11-16 0.000205 0.000369 0.000613 0.000984 0.001516 0.002232 0.003246
2025-11-23 0.000181 0.000340 0.000582 0.000961 0.001514 0.002272 0.003359
2025-11-30 0.000164 0.000320 0.000565 0.000956 0.001538 0.002345 0.003519
2025-12-07 0.000149 0.000303 0.000551 0.000954 0.001566 0.002426 0.003693
2025-12-14 0.000133 0.000283 0.000531 0.000943 0.001579 0.002487 0.003839
2025-12-21 0.000118 0.000263 0.000508 0.000925 0.001581 0.002531 0.003963
2025-12-28 0.000113 0.000259 0.000512 0.000951 0.001649 0.002671 0.004224
2026-01-04 0.000106 0.000252 0.000511 0.000967 0.001702 0.002790 0.004459
2026-01-11 0.000096 0.000237 0.000496 0.000959 0.001717 0.002853 0.004613
2026-01-18 0.000087 0.000224 0.000480 0.000949 0.001728 0.002910 0.004758
2026-01-25 0.000081 0.000216 0.000475 0.000956 0.001768 0.003010 0.004968
2026-02-01 0.000074 0.000206 0.000465 0.000955 0.001792 0.003087 0.005146
2026-02-08 0.000065 0.000189 0.000440 0.000926 0.001770 0.003091 0.005214
2026-02-15 0.000057 0.000175 0.000420 0.000904 0.001758 0.003111 0.005305