Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.000656 0.000746 0.000841 0.000949 0.001067 0.001193 0.001337
2025-10-19 0.000513 0.000637 0.000776 0.000945 0.001142 0.001363 0.001630
2025-10-26 0.000428 0.000565 0.000727 0.000931 0.001179 0.001467 0.001826
2025-11-02 0.000375 0.000522 0.000703 0.000940 0.001236 0.001591 0.002045
2025-11-09 0.000330 0.000483 0.000678 0.000940 0.001279 0.001695 0.002238
2025-11-16 0.000282 0.000433 0.000633 0.000910 0.001278 0.001740 0.002358
2025-11-23 0.000243 0.000392 0.000596 0.000886 0.001281 0.001789 0.002480
2025-11-30 0.000218 0.000366 0.000575 0.000882 0.001309 0.001868 0.002640
2025-12-07 0.000196 0.000344 0.000559 0.000882 0.001339 0.001949 0.002806
2025-12-14 0.000175 0.000320 0.000538 0.000872 0.001355 0.002011 0.002945
2025-12-21 0.000156 0.000297 0.000515 0.000858 0.001364 0.002061 0.003069
2025-12-28 0.000148 0.000291 0.000518 0.000882 0.001427 0.002188 0.003300
2026-01-04 0.000138 0.000282 0.000516 0.000897 0.001479 0.002301 0.003515
2026-01-11 0.000124 0.000265 0.000499 0.000890 0.001496 0.002365 0.003664
2026-01-18 0.000111 0.000247 0.000480 0.000878 0.001505 0.002417 0.003796
2026-01-25 0.000103 0.000238 0.000474 0.000885 0.001544 0.002512 0.003992
2026-02-01 0.000095 0.000227 0.000465 0.000886 0.001572 0.002592 0.004166
2026-02-08 0.000082 0.000207 0.000438 0.000857 0.001551 0.002599 0.004233
2026-02-15 0.000072 0.000190 0.000416 0.000835 0.001539 0.002617 0.004317
2026-02-22 0.000066 0.000181 0.000406 0.000831 0.001557 0.002681 0.004469
2026-03-01 0.000060 0.000172 0.000397 0.000830 0.001580 0.002752 0.004634
2026-03-08 0.000054 0.000162 0.000385 0.000821 0.001587 0.002799 0.004763
2026-03-15 0.000049 0.000152 0.000370 0.000807 0.001587 0.002834 0.004873