Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000609 0.000692 0.000780 0.000880 0.000989 0.001106 0.001239
2025-12-28 0.000494 0.000611 0.000743 0.000903 0.001089 0.001298 0.001550
2026-01-04 0.000428 0.000561 0.000718 0.000915 0.001154 0.001431 0.001775
2026-01-11 0.000369 0.000510 0.000683 0.000908 0.001190 0.001526 0.001956
2026-01-18 0.000322 0.000467 0.000652 0.000899 0.001218 0.001609 0.002119
2026-01-25 0.000290 0.000440 0.000636 0.000907 0.001265 0.001713 0.002309
2026-02-01 0.000261 0.000413 0.000618 0.000909 0.001300 0.001802 0.002481
2026-02-08 0.000227 0.000375 0.000581 0.000881 0.001296 0.001837 0.002582
2026-02-15 0.000199 0.000343 0.000550 0.000860 0.001296 0.001876 0.002689
2026-02-22 0.000180 0.000322 0.000533 0.000855 0.001317 0.001943 0.002832
2026-03-01 0.000163 0.000304 0.000519 0.000853 0.001342 0.002014 0.002981
2026-03-08 0.000147 0.000284 0.000499 0.000842 0.001353 0.002065 0.003104
2026-03-15 0.000131 0.000264 0.000478 0.000827 0.001358 0.002109 0.003219
2026-03-22 0.000124 0.000259 0.000480 0.000849 0.001417 0.002230 0.003444
2026-03-29 0.000116 0.000251 0.000477 0.000861 0.001462 0.002332 0.003644
2026-04-05 0.000105 0.000236 0.000463 0.000854 0.001476 0.002390 0.003784
2026-04-12 0.000095 0.000222 0.000448 0.000845 0.001488 0.002444 0.003916
2026-04-19 0.000089 0.000215 0.000444 0.000853 0.001525 0.002535 0.004105
2026-04-26 0.000082 0.000206 0.000435 0.000854 0.001551 0.002610 0.004272
2026-05-03 0.000072 0.000189 0.000412 0.000828 0.001532 0.002616 0.004336
2026-05-10 0.000064 0.000175 0.000393 0.000808 0.001521 0.002633 0.004416
2026-05-17 0.000058 0.000166 0.000383 0.000803 0.001535 0.002689 0.004556
2026-05-24 0.000054 0.000158 0.000375 0.000801 0.001554 0.002753 0.004708