Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.000743 0.000850 0.000963 0.001091 0.001233 0.001384 0.001556
2025-01-12 0.000564 0.000710 0.000875 0.001076 0.001310 0.001575 0.001893
2025-01-19 0.000465 0.000624 0.000815 0.001055 0.001348 0.001690 0.002115
2025-01-26 0.000409 0.000582 0.000796 0.001078 0.001432 0.001856 0.002398
2025-02-02 0.000364 0.000546 0.000780 0.001096 0.001505 0.002007 0.002662
2025-02-09 0.000314 0.000496 0.000739 0.001078 0.001527 0.002093 0.002845
2025-02-16 0.000271 0.000450 0.000699 0.001056 0.001541 0.002165 0.003009
2025-02-23 0.000245 0.000427 0.000687 0.001068 0.001599 0.002292 0.003245
2025-03-02 0.000222 0.000404 0.000672 0.001075 0.001647 0.002407 0.003467
2025-03-09 0.000192 0.000367 0.000633 0.001046 0.001643 0.002450 0.003594
2025-03-16 0.000165 0.000333 0.000597 0.001016 0.001635 0.002486 0.003710
2025-03-23 0.000149 0.000313 0.000580 0.001013 0.001665 0.002574 0.003896
2025-03-30 0.000134 0.000295 0.000564 0.001012 0.001698 0.002668 0.004096
2025-04-06 0.000118 0.000274 0.000542 0.000999 0.001713 0.002737 0.004262
2025-04-13 0.000103 0.000252 0.000517 0.000980 0.001715 0.002786 0.004400
2025-04-20 0.000096 0.000245 0.000518 0.001001 0.001781 0.002928 0.004672
2025-04-27 0.000090 0.000238 0.000516 0.001018 0.001839 0.003061 0.004933
2025-05-04 0.000079 0.000220 0.000494 0.001001 0.001843 0.003112 0.005077
2025-05-11 0.000069 0.000203 0.000472 0.000980 0.001840 0.003152 0.005205
2025-05-18 0.000064 0.000196 0.000468 0.000992 0.001889 0.003272 0.005451
2025-05-25 0.000058 0.000188 0.000462 0.000998 0.001930 0.003379 0.005680
2025-06-01 0.000050 0.000172 0.000438 0.000971 0.001912 0.003395 0.005774
2025-06-08 0.000043 0.000157 0.000414 0.000942 0.001892 0.003406 0.005859