Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000809 0.000917 0.001032 0.001160 0.001302 0.001452 0.001624
2025-08-17 0.000626 0.000774 0.000941 0.001141 0.001374 0.001634 0.001947
2025-08-24 0.000520 0.000683 0.000874 0.001114 0.001403 0.001738 0.002153
2025-08-31 0.000437 0.000606 0.000813 0.001083 0.001418 0.001819 0.002329
2025-09-07 0.000384 0.000559 0.000781 0.001079 0.001461 0.001929 0.002536
2025-09-14 0.000341 0.000520 0.000754 0.001078 0.001503 0.002034 0.002739
2025-09-21 0.000301 0.000480 0.000722 0.001065 0.001527 0.002115 0.002910
2025-09-28 0.000265 0.000441 0.000687 0.001045 0.001538 0.002178 0.003057
2025-10-05 0.000248 0.000428 0.000687 0.001071 0.001610 0.002321 0.003310
2025-10-12 0.000230 0.000413 0.000683 0.001090 0.001672 0.002451 0.003548
2025-10-19 0.000208 0.000388 0.000660 0.001081 0.001693 0.002525 0.003713
2025-10-26 0.000187 0.000363 0.000637 0.001070 0.001710 0.002594 0.003871
2025-11-02 0.000174 0.000350 0.000630 0.001083 0.001763 0.002714 0.004103
2025-11-09 0.000158 0.000332 0.000615 0.001081 0.001794 0.002804 0.004297
2025-11-16 0.000139 0.000304 0.000582 0.001050 0.001780 0.002829 0.004397
2025-11-23 0.000122 0.000279 0.000552 0.001022 0.001767 0.002854 0.004499
2025-11-30 0.000111 0.000265 0.000538 0.001019 0.001792 0.002933 0.004677
2025-12-07 0.000102 0.000252 0.000526 0.001017 0.001819 0.003016 0.004863
2025-12-14 0.000092 0.000237 0.000509 0.001005 0.001828 0.003072 0.005010
2025-12-21 0.000082 0.000220 0.000488 0.000986 0.001826 0.003109 0.005130
2025-12-28 0.000078 0.000218 0.000492 0.001011 0.001894 0.003255 0.005413
2026-01-04 0.000074 0.000213 0.000493 0.001029 0.001952 0.003387 0.005676
2026-01-11 0.000067 0.000202 0.000479 0.001020 0.001964 0.003448 0.005834