Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.000674 0.000767 0.000865 0.000976 0.001099 0.001229 0.001378
2025-09-07 0.000527 0.000655 0.000799 0.000974 0.001178 0.001408 0.001684
2025-09-14 0.000447 0.000590 0.000760 0.000973 0.001231 0.001531 0.001904
2025-09-21 0.000382 0.000533 0.000719 0.000961 0.001265 0.001629 0.002094
2025-09-28 0.000328 0.000482 0.000679 0.000943 0.001285 0.001705 0.002253
2025-10-05 0.000301 0.000462 0.000674 0.000967 0.001355 0.001842 0.002490
2025-10-12 0.000276 0.000441 0.000666 0.000985 0.001416 0.001968 0.002714
2025-10-19 0.000245 0.000410 0.000640 0.000976 0.001440 0.002044 0.002876
2025-10-26 0.000218 0.000381 0.000615 0.000965 0.001458 0.002112 0.003026
2025-11-02 0.000201 0.000364 0.000606 0.000975 0.001504 0.002217 0.003227
2025-11-09 0.000183 0.000344 0.000590 0.000974 0.001535 0.002301 0.003400
2025-11-16 0.000160 0.000315 0.000558 0.000945 0.001524 0.002327 0.003494
2025-11-23 0.000140 0.000288 0.000527 0.000919 0.001515 0.002356 0.003594
2025-11-30 0.000127 0.000272 0.000513 0.000916 0.001539 0.002431 0.003761
2025-12-07 0.000115 0.000258 0.000501 0.000915 0.001566 0.002511 0.003934
2025-12-14 0.000104 0.000241 0.000483 0.000904 0.001577 0.002567 0.004074
2025-12-21 0.000092 0.000224 0.000462 0.000887 0.001577 0.002606 0.004190
2025-12-28 0.000088 0.000221 0.000466 0.000910 0.001641 0.002739 0.004445
2026-01-04 0.000083 0.000216 0.000466 0.000927 0.001694 0.002859 0.004683
2026-01-11 0.000075 0.000203 0.000452 0.000918 0.001707 0.002918 0.004830
2026-01-18 0.000067 0.000191 0.000438 0.000908 0.001715 0.002968 0.004967
2026-01-25 0.000063 0.000185 0.000434 0.000917 0.001756 0.003070 0.005182
2026-02-01 0.000058 0.000177 0.000426 0.000916 0.001779 0.003146 0.005358