Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.019568 0.021150 0.022799 0.024647 0.026662 0.028794 0.031222
2025-09-28 0.016943 0.019209 0.021698 0.024640 0.028029 0.031817 0.036385
2025-10-05 0.015152 0.017797 0.020817 0.024531 0.028990 0.034190 0.040741
2025-10-12 0.013956 0.016869 0.020302 0.024662 0.030081 0.036627 0.045181
2025-10-19 0.012973 0.016068 0.019815 0.024711 0.030977 0.038779 0.049310
2025-10-26 0.012123 0.015342 0.019331 0.024674 0.031695 0.040680 0.053164
2025-11-02 0.011402 0.014710 0.018900 0.024640 0.032366 0.042503 0.056967
2025-11-09 0.010616 0.013935 0.018220 0.024210 0.032449 0.043507 0.059674
2025-11-16 0.009920 0.013230 0.017579 0.023774 0.032469 0.044387 0.062213
2025-11-23 0.009424 0.012760 0.017220 0.023686 0.032941 0.045888 0.065687
2025-11-30 0.008940 0.012278 0.016810 0.023492 0.033233 0.047124 0.068815
2025-12-07 0.008513 0.011848 0.016446 0.023334 0.033551 0.048392 0.072038
2025-12-14 0.008061 0.011377 0.016019 0.023091 0.033773 0.049593 0.075341
2025-12-21 0.007719 0.011047 0.015779 0.023111 0.034390 0.051426 0.079758
2025-12-28 0.007371 0.010689 0.015476 0.023013 0.034813 0.052971 0.083802
2026-01-04 0.007112 0.010447 0.015329 0.023137 0.035574 0.055073 0.088870
2026-01-11 0.006852 0.010188 0.015141 0.023182 0.036204 0.056987 0.093733
2026-01-18 0.006590 0.009914 0.014914 0.023147 0.036695 0.058689 0.098330
2026-01-25 0.006348 0.009657 0.014698 0.023116 0.037180 0.060397 0.103033
2026-02-01 0.006037 0.009277 0.014271 0.022715 0.037023 0.061006 0.105810
2026-02-08 0.005745 0.008915 0.013854 0.022309 0.036830 0.061531 0.108454
2026-02-15 0.005541 0.008685 0.013640 0.022227 0.037183 0.063015 0.112941
2026-02-22 0.005329 0.008433 0.013376 0.022046 0.037349 0.064169 0.116874