Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.021448 0.023085 0.024787 0.026692 0.028764 0.030954 0.033444
2025-12-28 0.018657 0.020998 0.023560 0.026578 0.030044 0.033909 0.038559
2026-01-04 0.016852 0.019602 0.022725 0.026549 0.031121 0.036438 0.043119
2026-01-11 0.015583 0.018613 0.022160 0.026642 0.032185 0.038855 0.047551
2026-01-18 0.014546 0.017770 0.021643 0.026670 0.033069 0.041006 0.051691
2026-01-25 0.013750 0.017137 0.021299 0.026833 0.034064 0.043279 0.056057
2026-02-01 0.012882 0.016338 0.020671 0.026558 0.034430 0.044711 0.059347
2026-02-08 0.012057 0.015533 0.019972 0.026121 0.034517 0.045729 0.062086
2026-02-15 0.011423 0.014935 0.019497 0.025931 0.034896 0.047125 0.065385
2026-02-22 0.010821 0.014341 0.018986 0.025650 0.035108 0.048270 0.068360
2026-03-01 0.010308 0.013838 0.018565 0.025456 0.035413 0.049535 0.071552
2026-03-08 0.009847 0.013379 0.018177 0.025278 0.035713 0.050786 0.074769
2026-03-15 0.009470 0.013036 0.017952 0.025351 0.036424 0.052741 0.079289
2026-03-22 0.009051 0.012613 0.017596 0.025214 0.036819 0.054249 0.083230
2026-03-29 0.008695 0.012263 0.017324 0.025182 0.037357 0.055993 0.087645
2026-04-05 0.008402 0.011988 0.017144 0.025269 0.038074 0.058038 0.092670
2026-04-12 0.008114 0.011705 0.016934 0.025295 0.038685 0.059936 0.097560
2026-04-19 0.007879 0.011490 0.016815 0.025448 0.039498 0.062195 0.103202
2026-04-26 0.007556 0.011125 0.016448 0.025190 0.039621 0.063310 0.106908
2026-05-03 0.007216 0.010720 0.016002 0.024778 0.039462 0.063931 0.109758
2026-05-10 0.006954 0.010423 0.015710 0.024599 0.039679 0.065194 0.113842
2026-05-17 0.006687 0.010109 0.015376 0.024334 0.039729 0.066161 0.117430
2026-05-24 0.006454 0.009839 0.015102 0.024152 0.039908 0.067356 0.121514