Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.027424 0.029419 0.031500 0.033832 0.036378 0.039076 0.042157
2025-06-15 0.023950 0.026764 0.029846 0.033484 0.037676 0.042373 0.048057
2025-06-22 0.021599 0.024882 0.028613 0.033192 0.038694 0.045134 0.053302
2025-06-29 0.019672 0.023209 0.027351 0.032595 0.039115 0.047025 0.057460
2025-07-06 0.018596 0.022405 0.026982 0.032941 0.040581 0.050159 0.063259
2025-07-13 0.017548 0.021526 0.026414 0.032935 0.041523 0.052608 0.068271
2025-07-20 0.016815 0.020971 0.026183 0.033297 0.042903 0.055652 0.074234
2025-07-27 0.015951 0.020181 0.025582 0.033101 0.043485 0.057608 0.078783
2025-08-03 0.015178 0.019456 0.025010 0.032883 0.043985 0.059438 0.083229
2025-08-10 0.014493 0.018804 0.024487 0.032682 0.044467 0.061233 0.087710
2025-08-17 0.013900 0.018241 0.024047 0.032557 0.045024 0.063138 0.092457
2025-08-24 0.013246 0.017561 0.023405 0.032098 0.045049 0.064228 0.095982
2025-08-31 0.012592 0.016855 0.022702 0.031518 0.044869 0.065010 0.099099
2025-09-07 0.012077 0.016322 0.022215 0.031227 0.045098 0.066421 0.103335
2025-09-14 0.011610 0.015835 0.021768 0.030965 0.045345 0.067858 0.107699
2025-09-21 0.011093 0.015253 0.021157 0.030418 0.045106 0.068481 0.110689
2025-09-28 0.010856 0.015068 0.021116 0.030736 0.046247 0.071413 0.117943
2025-10-05 0.010546 0.014760 0.020878 0.030730 0.046856 0.073483 0.123797
2025-10-12 0.010344 0.014604 0.020858 0.031063 0.048030 0.076572 0.131773
2025-10-19 0.010023 0.014256 0.020530 0.030883 0.048330 0.078157 0.137020
2025-10-26 0.009716 0.013917 0.020201 0.030682 0.048578 0.079654 0.142205
2025-11-02 0.009430 0.013599 0.019892 0.030498 0.048839 0.081180 0.147558
2025-11-09 0.009175 0.013321 0.019633 0.030383 0.049209 0.082918 0.153477