Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.038763 0.041853 0.045097 0.048761 0.052792 0.057097 0.062051
2025-05-04 0.033639 0.037975 0.042779 0.048517 0.055212 0.062809 0.072129
2025-05-11 0.030226 0.035271 0.041090 0.048341 0.057198 0.067741 0.081359
2025-05-18 0.027638 0.033111 0.039631 0.048041 0.058707 0.071922 0.089755
2025-05-25 0.025678 0.031455 0.038528 0.047926 0.060240 0.076043 0.098216
2025-06-01 0.023800 0.029709 0.037113 0.047206 0.060810 0.078816 0.104970
2025-06-08 0.022113 0.028060 0.035667 0.046270 0.060930 0.080877 0.110780
2025-06-15 0.020825 0.026831 0.034659 0.045802 0.061578 0.083620 0.117677
2025-06-22 0.019706 0.025744 0.033752 0.045375 0.062201 0.086298 0.124614
2025-06-29 0.018551 0.024535 0.032594 0.044497 0.062074 0.087819 0.129845
2025-07-06 0.017967 0.024072 0.032430 0.045004 0.063972 0.092433 0.140241
2025-07-13 0.017275 0.023415 0.031945 0.044994 0.065065 0.095858 0.148971
2025-07-20 0.016792 0.023037 0.031845 0.045557 0.067083 0.100895 0.160893
2025-07-27 0.016111 0.022336 0.031236 0.045305 0.067798 0.103882 0.169571
2025-08-03 0.015505 0.021715 0.030708 0.045137 0.068617 0.107069 0.178860
2025-08-10 0.014916 0.021089 0.030137 0.044860 0.069223 0.109915 0.187760
2025-08-17 0.014412 0.020566 0.029694 0.044753 0.070089 0.113244 0.197839
2025-08-24 0.013807 0.019861 0.028936 0.044090 0.069962 0.114805 0.204650
2025-08-31 0.013193 0.019119 0.028086 0.043228 0.069433 0.115592 0.209983
2025-09-07 0.012717 0.018571 0.027515 0.042797 0.069618 0.117674 0.218092
2025-09-14 0.012279 0.018063 0.026986 0.042404 0.069840 0.119823 0.226521
2025-09-21 0.011775 0.017434 0.026236 0.041595 0.069259 0.120403 0.231670
2025-09-28 0.011569 0.017269 0.026229 0.042062 0.071026 0.125599 0.247290