Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-22 0.020247 0.021685 0.023176 0.024839 0.026643 0.028543 0.030698
2026-03-29 0.017788 0.019854 0.022102 0.024736 0.027744 0.031082 0.035079
2026-04-05 0.016124 0.018548 0.021280 0.024599 0.028541 0.033093 0.038779
2026-04-12 0.014973 0.017647 0.020748 0.024630 0.029390 0.035073 0.042428
2026-04-19 0.014141 0.017016 0.020433 0.024823 0.030359 0.037165 0.046258
2026-04-26 0.013334 0.016336 0.019981 0.024772 0.030963 0.038777 0.049515
2026-05-03 0.012502 0.015560 0.019342 0.024414 0.031113 0.039767 0.051967
2026-05-10 0.011872 0.014993 0.018920 0.024286 0.031521 0.041075 0.054877
2026-05-17 0.011272 0.014425 0.018456 0.024059 0.031758 0.042136 0.057472
2026-05-24 0.010745 0.013921 0.018041 0.023862 0.032004 0.043193 0.060090
2026-05-31 0.010262 0.013449 0.017642 0.023653 0.032206 0.044177 0.062633
2026-06-07 0.009892 0.013109 0.017398 0.023639 0.032666 0.045531 0.065777
2026-06-14 0.009482 0.012709 0.017071 0.023516 0.032997 0.046765 0.068901
2026-06-21 0.009121 0.012363 0.016804 0.023464 0.033430 0.048175 0.072395
2026-06-28 0.008766 0.012007 0.016503 0.023343 0.033743 0.049409 0.075678
2026-07-05 0.008483 0.011740 0.016316 0.023373 0.034276 0.050995 0.079617
2026-07-12 0.008266 0.011556 0.016236 0.023555 0.035044 0.052979 0.084329
2026-07-19 0.007998 0.011286 0.016015 0.023507 0.035441 0.054380 0.088138
2026-07-26 0.007668 0.010911 0.015622 0.023170 0.035354 0.054982 0.090590
2026-08-02 0.007417 0.010642 0.015376 0.023050 0.035605 0.056144 0.094091
2026-08-09 0.007156 0.010349 0.015081 0.022836 0.035687 0.057018 0.097119
2026-08-16 0.006918 0.010081 0.014813 0.022650 0.035802 0.057945 0.100293
2026-08-23 0.006690 0.009821 0.014546 0.022454 0.035885 0.058815 0.103408