Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.020354 0.021847 0.023399 0.025137 0.027028 0.029028 0.031303
2024-10-27 0.017989 0.020158 0.022532 0.025330 0.028547 0.032142 0.036479
2024-11-03 0.016291 0.018850 0.021758 0.025324 0.029600 0.034592 0.040897
2024-11-10 0.015202 0.018053 0.021396 0.025631 0.030892 0.037262 0.045636
2024-11-17 0.014045 0.017040 0.020642 0.025331 0.031330 0.038825 0.049016
2024-11-24 0.013170 0.016283 0.020111 0.025218 0.031926 0.040548 0.052643
2024-12-01 0.012324 0.015490 0.019461 0.024873 0.032154 0.041752 0.055601
2024-12-08 0.011748 0.014996 0.019148 0.024923 0.032869 0.043603 0.059521
2024-12-15 0.011091 0.014352 0.018590 0.024592 0.033019 0.044657 0.062349
2024-12-22 0.010445 0.013684 0.017957 0.024107 0.032905 0.045303 0.064589
2024-12-29 0.009954 0.013196 0.017536 0.023883 0.033128 0.046418 0.067569
2025-01-05 0.009493 0.012724 0.017109 0.023618 0.033261 0.047387 0.070362
2025-01-12 0.008971 0.012148 0.016513 0.023085 0.032975 0.047723 0.072207
2025-01-19 0.008724 0.011948 0.016438 0.023303 0.033820 0.049817 0.076995
2025-01-26 0.008431 0.011667 0.016230 0.023307 0.034329 0.051408 0.081062
2025-02-02 0.008239 0.011521 0.016210 0.023588 0.035274 0.053730 0.086507
2025-02-09 0.007907 0.011154 0.015844 0.023316 0.035322 0.054596 0.089500
2025-02-16 0.007642 0.010875 0.015597 0.023213 0.035630 0.055895 0.093330
2025-02-23 0.007339 0.010528 0.015230 0.022901 0.035573 0.056571 0.096074
2025-03-02 0.007145 0.010337 0.015092 0.022946 0.036103 0.058267 0.100798
2025-03-09 0.006878 0.010023 0.014753 0.022646 0.036034 0.058914 0.103592
2025-03-16 0.006592 0.009671 0.014340 0.022206 0.035701 0.059070 0.105448
2025-03-23 0.006377 0.009422 0.014078 0.022003 0.035763 0.059928 0.108722