Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.018472 0.019925 0.021437 0.023129 0.024972 0.026918 0.029133
2025-10-26 0.015975 0.018049 0.020320 0.022999 0.026076 0.029509 0.033638
2025-11-02 0.014365 0.016797 0.019563 0.022953 0.027012 0.031730 0.037658
2025-11-09 0.012984 0.015601 0.018671 0.022555 0.027359 0.033138 0.040662
2025-11-16 0.011877 0.014606 0.017889 0.022155 0.027586 0.034313 0.043346
2025-11-23 0.011106 0.013941 0.017433 0.022080 0.028150 0.035872 0.046541
2025-11-30 0.010403 0.013302 0.016946 0.021903 0.028530 0.037167 0.049414
2025-12-07 0.009815 0.012763 0.016541 0.021784 0.028946 0.038493 0.052364
2025-12-14 0.009270 0.012244 0.016121 0.021602 0.029240 0.039638 0.055095
2025-12-21 0.008868 0.011888 0.015890 0.021650 0.029832 0.041200 0.058475
2025-12-28 0.008448 0.011479 0.015561 0.021531 0.030166 0.042395 0.061367
2026-01-04 0.008097 0.011148 0.015316 0.021509 0.030624 0.043769 0.064581
2026-01-11 0.007754 0.010822 0.015079 0.021513 0.031156 0.045339 0.068281
2026-01-18 0.007419 0.010493 0.014825 0.021477 0.031629 0.046849 0.072000
2026-01-25 0.007113 0.010190 0.014588 0.021450 0.032103 0.048375 0.075827
2026-02-01 0.006737 0.009763 0.014146 0.021082 0.032023 0.049024 0.078257
2026-02-08 0.006389 0.009361 0.013719 0.020712 0.031911 0.049600 0.080582
2026-02-15 0.006144 0.009102 0.013495 0.020643 0.032266 0.050934 0.084252
2026-02-22 0.005892 0.008821 0.013223 0.020478 0.032451 0.051991 0.087497
2026-03-01 0.005670 0.008576 0.012993 0.020368 0.032713 0.053179 0.091034
2026-03-08 0.005449 0.008321 0.012736 0.020199 0.032863 0.054175 0.094278
2026-03-15 0.005289 0.008157 0.012615 0.020243 0.033372 0.055809 0.098775
2026-03-22 0.005105 0.007945 0.012408 0.020133 0.033605 0.056965 0.102452