Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.025649 0.027877 0.030207 0.032829 0.035697 0.038742 0.042220
2025-07-20 0.021909 0.025107 0.028646 0.032860 0.037749 0.043252 0.049931
2025-07-27 0.019579 0.023335 0.027670 0.033055 0.039587 0.047276 0.057047
2025-08-03 0.017662 0.021725 0.026574 0.032812 0.040655 0.050231 0.062874
2025-08-10 0.016409 0.020739 0.026061 0.033115 0.042268 0.053807 0.069563
2025-08-17 0.015063 0.019494 0.025079 0.032679 0.042816 0.055964 0.074457
2025-08-24 0.013870 0.018334 0.024092 0.032113 0.043085 0.057685 0.078787
2025-08-31 0.012938 0.017440 0.023370 0.031815 0.043637 0.059752 0.083643
2025-09-07 0.012139 0.016662 0.022737 0.031569 0.044203 0.061817 0.088563
2025-09-14 0.011458 0.015997 0.022207 0.031409 0.044847 0.063985 0.093715
2025-09-21 0.010775 0.015284 0.021558 0.031025 0.045118 0.065595 0.098093
2025-09-28 0.010317 0.014860 0.021289 0.031160 0.046136 0.068326 0.104293
2025-10-05 0.009808 0.014357 0.020904 0.031145 0.046990 0.070958 0.110684
2025-10-12 0.009364 0.013924 0.020602 0.031238 0.048023 0.073938 0.117857
2025-10-19 0.008983 0.013562 0.020381 0.031434 0.049211 0.077213 0.125712
2025-10-26 0.008528 0.013060 0.019913 0.031205 0.049694 0.079371 0.131832
2025-11-02 0.008233 0.012786 0.019779 0.031493 0.051016 0.082950 0.140576
2025-11-09 0.007801 0.012273 0.019237 0.031079 0.051144 0.084537 0.145952
2025-11-16 0.007375 0.011746 0.018643 0.030544 0.051023 0.085677 0.150588
2025-11-23 0.007033 0.011337 0.018219 0.030261 0.051308 0.087516 0.156580
2025-11-30 0.006725 0.010967 0.017838 0.030027 0.051657 0.089470 0.162890
2025-12-07 0.006452 0.010643 0.017516 0.029876 0.052134 0.091666 0.169782
2025-12-14 0.006158 0.010268 0.017089 0.029512 0.052203 0.093116 0.175327