Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.019214 0.020776 0.022403 0.024227 0.026215 0.028317 0.030711
2025-09-07 0.016424 0.018651 0.021098 0.023992 0.027328 0.031059 0.035559
2025-09-14 0.014639 0.017235 0.020204 0.023858 0.028252 0.033380 0.039844
2025-09-21 0.013234 0.016040 0.019350 0.023561 0.028799 0.035131 0.043410
2025-09-28 0.012309 0.015295 0.018916 0.023654 0.029727 0.037297 0.047520
2025-10-05 0.011466 0.014563 0.018409 0.023569 0.030360 0.039060 0.051155
2025-10-12 0.010825 0.014025 0.018087 0.023663 0.031182 0.041060 0.055167
2025-10-19 0.010261 0.013538 0.017782 0.023732 0.031940 0.042978 0.059141
2025-10-26 0.009703 0.013018 0.017390 0.023641 0.032445 0.044545 0.062684
2025-11-02 0.009239 0.012590 0.017089 0.023640 0.033051 0.046256 0.066499
2025-11-09 0.008702 0.012031 0.016570 0.023292 0.033125 0.047191 0.069205
2025-11-16 0.008180 0.011461 0.016001 0.022833 0.032998 0.047803 0.071434
2025-11-23 0.007740 0.010999 0.015582 0.022594 0.033221 0.049001 0.074725
2025-11-30 0.007349 0.010590 0.015219 0.022419 0.033530 0.050349 0.078351
2025-12-07 0.007007 0.010233 0.014909 0.022301 0.033910 0.051814 0.082240
2025-12-14 0.006650 0.009834 0.014515 0.022026 0.034019 0.052843 0.085464
2025-12-21 0.006415 0.009605 0.014363 0.022113 0.034695 0.054801 0.090338
2025-12-28 0.006155 0.009326 0.014117 0.022034 0.035092 0.056313 0.094537
2026-01-04 0.005953 0.009126 0.013981 0.022121 0.035757 0.058295 0.099662
2026-01-11 0.005759 0.008928 0.013840 0.022185 0.036382 0.060233 0.104823
2026-01-18 0.005545 0.008688 0.013616 0.022101 0.036742 0.061730 0.109268
2026-01-25 0.005362 0.008489 0.013450 0.022100 0.037242 0.063485 0.114292
2026-02-01 0.005124 0.008189 0.013104 0.021776 0.037156 0.064193 0.117385