Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.035876 0.038672 0.041602 0.044906 0.048534 0.052400 0.056842
2025-05-18 0.031123 0.035043 0.039373 0.044529 0.050527 0.057311 0.065607
2025-05-25 0.028047 0.032620 0.037875 0.044399 0.052336 0.061745 0.073844
2025-06-01 0.025492 0.030413 0.036248 0.043739 0.053189 0.064834 0.080455
2025-06-08 0.023366 0.028472 0.034685 0.042888 0.053563 0.067162 0.086089
2025-06-15 0.021790 0.027048 0.033597 0.042462 0.054325 0.069903 0.092334
2025-06-22 0.020463 0.025824 0.032639 0.042076 0.055027 0.072514 0.098500
2025-06-29 0.019148 0.024516 0.031462 0.041276 0.055053 0.074124 0.103288
2025-07-06 0.018456 0.023975 0.031251 0.041739 0.056808 0.078215 0.111945
2025-07-13 0.017672 0.023258 0.030742 0.041731 0.057855 0.081311 0.119306
2025-07-20 0.017133 0.022838 0.030605 0.042219 0.059622 0.085548 0.128743
2025-07-27 0.016402 0.022107 0.029984 0.041953 0.060224 0.088026 0.135530
2025-08-03 0.015745 0.021455 0.029449 0.041790 0.060982 0.090816 0.143115
2025-08-10 0.015111 0.020804 0.028880 0.041536 0.061571 0.093360 0.150491
2025-08-17 0.014569 0.020260 0.028436 0.041438 0.062382 0.096296 0.158776
2025-08-24 0.013931 0.019543 0.027697 0.040835 0.062330 0.097772 0.164547
2025-08-31 0.013291 0.018795 0.026876 0.040053 0.061923 0.098601 0.169170
2025-09-07 0.012793 0.018240 0.026321 0.039661 0.062132 0.100485 0.175914
2025-09-14 0.012336 0.017727 0.025807 0.039305 0.062372 0.102421 0.182903
2025-09-21 0.011817 0.017099 0.025086 0.038569 0.061905 0.103046 0.187334
2025-09-28 0.011597 0.016924 0.025068 0.038996 0.063486 0.107492 0.199876
2025-10-05 0.011292 0.016604 0.024802 0.038988 0.064287 0.110535 0.209796
2025-10-12 0.011102 0.016456 0.024807 0.039437 0.065932 0.115279 0.223790