Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.037804 0.040878 0.044109 0.047760 0.051779 0.056074 0.061021
2025-03-02 0.032900 0.037244 0.042065 0.047833 0.054573 0.062233 0.071643
2025-03-09 0.029194 0.034180 0.039943 0.047138 0.055939 0.066432 0.080000
2025-03-16 0.026304 0.031624 0.037974 0.046179 0.056597 0.069516 0.086957
2025-03-23 0.024238 0.029804 0.036630 0.045715 0.057631 0.072931 0.094394
2025-03-30 0.022539 0.028261 0.035449 0.045265 0.058517 0.076072 0.101572
2025-04-06 0.020901 0.026653 0.034029 0.044334 0.058604 0.078038 0.107168
2025-04-13 0.020024 0.025961 0.033731 0.044833 0.060604 0.082692 0.116874
2025-04-20 0.019066 0.025085 0.033109 0.044809 0.061816 0.086254 0.125206
2025-04-27 0.018414 0.024577 0.032940 0.045378 0.063875 0.091140 0.135908
2025-05-04 0.017562 0.023735 0.032243 0.045123 0.064666 0.094141 0.143854
2025-05-11 0.016817 0.022999 0.031646 0.044958 0.065553 0.097307 0.152283
2025-05-18 0.016055 0.022207 0.030935 0.044589 0.066115 0.100025 0.160262
2025-05-25 0.015446 0.021604 0.030465 0.044551 0.067181 0.103613 0.170042
2025-06-01 0.014715 0.020786 0.029629 0.043889 0.067186 0.105428 0.176827
2025-06-08 0.013982 0.019929 0.028690 0.043003 0.066754 0.106453 0.182230
2025-06-15 0.013417 0.019298 0.028063 0.042576 0.067044 0.108709 0.190089
2025-06-22 0.012894 0.018709 0.027469 0.042163 0.067317 0.110935 0.198061
2025-06-29 0.012303 0.017988 0.026636 0.041307 0.066767 0.111634 0.203081
2025-07-06 0.012047 0.017777 0.026597 0.041766 0.068533 0.116645 0.217184
2025-07-13 0.011701 0.017408 0.026286 0.041744 0.069431 0.120100 0.228419
2025-07-20 0.011489 0.017244 0.026296 0.042267 0.071340 0.125589 0.244483
2025-07-27 0.011134 0.016833 0.025884 0.042032 0.071832 0.128368 0.254948