Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.028438 0.030880 0.033435 0.036310 0.039457 0.042798 0.046617
2025-08-17 0.024192 0.027665 0.031509 0.036084 0.041393 0.047372 0.054631
2025-08-24 0.021225 0.025209 0.029801 0.035501 0.042411 0.050543 0.060882
2025-08-31 0.019175 0.023479 0.028607 0.035194 0.043469 0.053569 0.066908
2025-09-07 0.017574 0.022085 0.027614 0.034926 0.044400 0.056335 0.072629
2025-09-14 0.016296 0.020955 0.026808 0.034754 0.045336 0.059051 0.078347
2025-09-21 0.015112 0.019835 0.025903 0.034336 0.045850 0.061161 0.083302
2025-09-28 0.014287 0.019114 0.025447 0.034443 0.047016 0.064149 0.089573
2025-10-05 0.013453 0.018316 0.024820 0.034247 0.047710 0.066474 0.095001
2025-10-12 0.012821 0.017747 0.024457 0.034371 0.048826 0.069413 0.101449
2025-10-19 0.012254 0.017230 0.024125 0.034499 0.049926 0.072353 0.108040
2025-10-26 0.011740 0.016753 0.023813 0.034622 0.050999 0.075282 0.114759
2025-11-02 0.011317 0.016407 0.023703 0.035084 0.052680 0.079332 0.123684
2025-11-09 0.010664 0.015690 0.023013 0.034635 0.052949 0.081252 0.129397
2025-11-16 0.010030 0.014964 0.022265 0.034045 0.052944 0.082717 0.134437
2025-11-23 0.009524 0.014403 0.021731 0.033746 0.053367 0.084864 0.140725
2025-11-30 0.009069 0.013894 0.021246 0.033490 0.053827 0.087074 0.147238
2025-12-07 0.008671 0.013451 0.020837 0.033325 0.054415 0.089509 0.154283
2025-12-14 0.008249 0.012949 0.020307 0.032926 0.054574 0.091210 0.160112
2025-12-21 0.007964 0.012652 0.020089 0.033028 0.055583 0.094416 0.168867
2025-12-28 0.007639 0.012272 0.019714 0.032840 0.056069 0.096718 0.176089
2026-01-04 0.007395 0.012014 0.019526 0.032959 0.057093 0.100028 0.185422
2026-01-11 0.007167 0.011770 0.019349 0.033082 0.058124 0.103396 0.195087