Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.019947 0.021536 0.023192 0.025047 0.027068 0.029205 0.031639
2025-10-19 0.017317 0.019596 0.022097 0.025050 0.028448 0.032244 0.036818
2025-10-26 0.015553 0.018224 0.021268 0.025008 0.029493 0.034719 0.041297
2025-11-02 0.014257 0.017180 0.020618 0.024979 0.030390 0.036917 0.045440
2025-11-09 0.013027 0.016071 0.019747 0.024538 0.030656 0.038261 0.048509
2025-11-16 0.012004 0.015118 0.018964 0.024100 0.030829 0.039419 0.051325
2025-11-23 0.011285 0.014483 0.018517 0.024023 0.031413 0.041080 0.054840
2025-11-30 0.010613 0.013854 0.018023 0.023830 0.031794 0.042452 0.058002
2025-12-07 0.010043 0.013321 0.017611 0.023701 0.032224 0.043880 0.061282
2025-12-14 0.009510 0.012800 0.017179 0.023505 0.032529 0.045119 0.064335
2025-12-21 0.009115 0.012443 0.016942 0.023553 0.033161 0.046831 0.068144
2025-12-28 0.008682 0.012006 0.016568 0.023379 0.033447 0.048036 0.071246
2026-01-04 0.008338 0.011695 0.016375 0.023481 0.034186 0.050013 0.075752
2026-01-11 0.007998 0.011372 0.016150 0.023527 0.034847 0.051914 0.080282
2026-01-18 0.007663 0.011038 0.015887 0.023496 0.035376 0.053631 0.084618
2026-01-25 0.007356 0.010728 0.015642 0.023470 0.035902 0.055356 0.089061
2026-02-01 0.006971 0.010281 0.015166 0.023058 0.035787 0.056042 0.091796
2026-02-08 0.006615 0.009861 0.014711 0.022650 0.035646 0.056663 0.094441
2026-02-15 0.006367 0.009595 0.014477 0.022579 0.036043 0.058179 0.098717
2026-02-22 0.006110 0.009302 0.014187 0.022398 0.036243 0.059365 0.102472
2026-03-01 0.005883 0.009046 0.013943 0.022278 0.036531 0.060706 0.106577
2026-03-08 0.005656 0.008781 0.013670 0.022095 0.036697 0.061836 0.110357
2026-03-15 0.005492 0.008608 0.013539 0.022140 0.037256 0.063680 0.115581