Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.023843 0.025644 0.027523 0.029631 0.031933 0.034375 0.037163
2024-12-29 0.020721 0.023260 0.026045 0.029338 0.033136 0.037395 0.042551
2025-01-05 0.018585 0.021537 0.024900 0.029036 0.034013 0.039842 0.047236
2025-01-12 0.016803 0.019965 0.023678 0.028392 0.034261 0.041386 0.050782
2025-01-19 0.015829 0.019226 0.023322 0.028670 0.035537 0.044150 0.055918
2025-01-26 0.014880 0.018418 0.022783 0.028623 0.036328 0.046276 0.060307
2025-02-02 0.014236 0.017932 0.022587 0.028961 0.037585 0.049027 0.065667
2025-02-09 0.013431 0.017173 0.021976 0.028684 0.037965 0.050582 0.069436
2025-02-16 0.012775 0.016566 0.021514 0.028556 0.038507 0.052350 0.073584
2025-02-23 0.012153 0.015963 0.021015 0.028330 0.038870 0.053854 0.077412
2025-03-02 0.011664 0.015509 0.020685 0.028308 0.039502 0.055754 0.081933
2025-03-09 0.011096 0.014916 0.020129 0.027920 0.039560 0.056786 0.085156
2025-03-16 0.010509 0.014275 0.019478 0.027368 0.039351 0.057413 0.087807
2025-03-23 0.010057 0.013804 0.019046 0.027112 0.039565 0.058691 0.091592
2025-03-30 0.009635 0.013354 0.018622 0.026838 0.039727 0.059881 0.095297
2025-04-06 0.009155 0.012799 0.018016 0.026252 0.039357 0.060182 0.097487
2025-04-13 0.008941 0.012623 0.017960 0.026506 0.040327 0.062706 0.103709
2025-04-20 0.008661 0.012338 0.017726 0.026463 0.040807 0.064436 0.108633
2025-04-27 0.008489 0.012205 0.017715 0.026771 0.041872 0.067206 0.115653
2025-05-04 0.008188 0.011865 0.017370 0.026519 0.041981 0.068326 0.119672
2025-05-11 0.007937 0.011591 0.017116 0.026402 0.042308 0.069838 0.124540
2025-05-18 0.007680 0.011298 0.016818 0.026196 0.042465 0.071047 0.128898
2025-05-25 0.007479 0.011084 0.016638 0.026176 0.042941 0.072856 0.134578