Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.027194 0.029169 0.031227 0.033534 0.036052 0.038720 0.041766
2025-06-15 0.023745 0.026529 0.029578 0.033176 0.037320 0.041961 0.047576
2025-06-22 0.021418 0.024666 0.028357 0.032885 0.038324 0.044688 0.052755
2025-06-29 0.019512 0.023014 0.027112 0.032299 0.038745 0.046562 0.056868
2025-07-06 0.018444 0.022214 0.026742 0.032635 0.040186 0.049648 0.062581
2025-07-13 0.017404 0.021341 0.026176 0.032624 0.041110 0.052058 0.067515
2025-07-20 0.016675 0.020788 0.025943 0.032974 0.042465 0.055049 0.073379
2025-07-27 0.015823 0.020010 0.025353 0.032788 0.043048 0.056994 0.077883
2025-08-03 0.015057 0.019293 0.024788 0.032573 0.043544 0.058801 0.082270
2025-08-10 0.014383 0.018653 0.024279 0.032387 0.044037 0.060598 0.086727
2025-08-17 0.013793 0.018094 0.023840 0.032258 0.044581 0.062468 0.091392
2025-08-24 0.013144 0.017418 0.023202 0.031800 0.044599 0.063535 0.094852
2025-08-31 0.012499 0.016724 0.022513 0.031237 0.044438 0.064334 0.097973
2025-09-07 0.011988 0.016195 0.022031 0.030949 0.044667 0.065733 0.102162
2025-09-14 0.011525 0.015712 0.021589 0.030692 0.044915 0.067161 0.106485
2025-09-21 0.011014 0.015138 0.020987 0.030155 0.044686 0.067791 0.109463
2025-09-28 0.010777 0.014951 0.020942 0.030465 0.045808 0.070676 0.116602
2025-10-05 0.010468 0.014644 0.020703 0.030455 0.046402 0.072709 0.122358
2025-10-12 0.010265 0.014486 0.020679 0.030777 0.047552 0.075743 0.130194
2025-10-19 0.009949 0.014144 0.020358 0.030605 0.047860 0.077330 0.135412
2025-10-26 0.009644 0.013808 0.020033 0.030408 0.048109 0.078814 0.140539
2025-11-02 0.009363 0.013497 0.019733 0.030237 0.048386 0.080358 0.145899
2025-11-09 0.009109 0.013219 0.019474 0.030118 0.048745 0.082063 0.151714