Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.028463 0.030527 0.032678 0.035090 0.037723 0.040514 0.043701
2025-07-13 0.025112 0.028057 0.031283 0.035092 0.039483 0.044405 0.050365
2025-07-20 0.023068 0.026578 0.030573 0.035481 0.041387 0.048308 0.057103
2025-07-27 0.021240 0.025074 0.029569 0.035271 0.042375 0.051014 0.062443
2025-08-03 0.019773 0.023822 0.028690 0.035037 0.043184 0.053418 0.067444
2025-08-10 0.018563 0.022763 0.027927 0.034822 0.043912 0.055666 0.072307
2025-08-17 0.017565 0.021883 0.027297 0.034686 0.044669 0.057926 0.077271
2025-08-24 0.016548 0.020904 0.026461 0.034193 0.044870 0.059392 0.081174
2025-08-31 0.015594 0.019944 0.025582 0.033564 0.044807 0.060441 0.084498
2025-09-07 0.014863 0.019236 0.024989 0.033272 0.045166 0.062066 0.088732
2025-09-14 0.014217 0.018605 0.024460 0.033024 0.045548 0.063713 0.093078
2025-09-21 0.013514 0.017859 0.023730 0.032440 0.045387 0.064520 0.096140
2025-09-28 0.013160 0.017584 0.023646 0.032785 0.046626 0.067523 0.102954
2025-10-05 0.012720 0.017167 0.023338 0.032780 0.047329 0.069733 0.108637
2025-10-12 0.012422 0.016935 0.023282 0.033137 0.048594 0.072891 0.116147
2025-10-19 0.011984 0.016483 0.022879 0.032943 0.048973 0.074630 0.121328
2025-10-26 0.011571 0.016047 0.022480 0.032728 0.049294 0.076277 0.126457
2025-11-02 0.011189 0.015641 0.022106 0.032530 0.049624 0.077942 0.131732
2025-11-09 0.010851 0.015286 0.021792 0.032405 0.050059 0.079801 0.137500
2025-11-16 0.010449 0.014820 0.021289 0.031951 0.049911 0.080627 0.141354
2025-11-23 0.010039 0.014327 0.020725 0.031372 0.049516 0.080982 0.144302
2025-11-30 0.009726 0.013973 0.020362 0.031103 0.049635 0.082257 0.149167
2025-12-07 0.009440 0.013648 0.020033 0.030875 0.049808 0.083630 0.154331