Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.030551 0.032846 0.035243 0.037938 0.040887 0.044020 0.047606
2025-05-25 0.026557 0.029780 0.033323 0.037521 0.042378 0.047842 0.054485
2025-06-01 0.023714 0.027431 0.031677 0.036912 0.043234 0.050671 0.060158
2025-06-08 0.021524 0.025519 0.030220 0.036206 0.043693 0.052833 0.064971
2025-06-15 0.019947 0.024146 0.029217 0.035856 0.044415 0.055211 0.070074
2025-06-22 0.018654 0.022993 0.028352 0.035541 0.045065 0.057434 0.075029
2025-06-29 0.017406 0.021794 0.027319 0.034891 0.045164 0.058861 0.078926
2025-07-06 0.016733 0.021276 0.027106 0.035268 0.046608 0.062130 0.085564
2025-07-13 0.015994 0.020616 0.026650 0.035260 0.047486 0.064627 0.091234
2025-07-20 0.015480 0.020219 0.026510 0.035656 0.048921 0.067970 0.098372
2025-07-27 0.014805 0.019563 0.025972 0.035442 0.049441 0.069978 0.103587
2025-08-03 0.014185 0.018947 0.025449 0.035208 0.049895 0.071884 0.108748
2025-08-10 0.013601 0.018359 0.024944 0.034977 0.050346 0.073828 0.114159
2025-08-17 0.013104 0.017871 0.024554 0.034889 0.051001 0.076118 0.120315
2025-08-24 0.012527 0.017240 0.023924 0.034400 0.050988 0.077323 0.124697
2025-08-31 0.011952 0.016585 0.023228 0.033767 0.050701 0.078045 0.128264
2025-09-07 0.011503 0.016097 0.022754 0.033449 0.050891 0.079549 0.133325
2025-09-14 0.011091 0.015646 0.022316 0.033161 0.051104 0.081090 0.138555
2025-09-21 0.010627 0.015098 0.021705 0.032563 0.050761 0.081639 0.141947
2025-09-28 0.010425 0.014939 0.021682 0.032910 0.052021 0.085059 0.151113
2025-10-05 0.010150 0.014655 0.021453 0.032903 0.052668 0.087417 0.158389
2025-10-12 0.009976 0.014521 0.021450 0.033266 0.053974 0.091046 0.168539
2025-10-19 0.009684 0.014192 0.021125 0.033070 0.054272 0.092818 0.175006