Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.035897 0.038746 0.041735 0.045108 0.048815 0.052770 0.057317
2025-04-06 0.030696 0.034625 0.038970 0.044150 0.050182 0.057011 0.065369
2025-04-13 0.027965 0.032616 0.037973 0.044637 0.052761 0.062409 0.074839
2025-04-20 0.025701 0.030783 0.036828 0.044613 0.054466 0.066644 0.083029
2025-04-27 0.024192 0.029645 0.036317 0.045172 0.056757 0.071598 0.092371
2025-05-04 0.022604 0.028240 0.035302 0.044920 0.057874 0.074994 0.099811
2025-05-11 0.021289 0.027062 0.034450 0.044753 0.058997 0.078374 0.107394
2025-05-18 0.020108 0.025960 0.033596 0.044474 0.059882 0.081406 0.114642
2025-05-25 0.019130 0.025056 0.032929 0.044370 0.060947 0.084701 0.122471
2025-06-01 0.018068 0.023968 0.031930 0.043710 0.061131 0.086673 0.128387
2025-06-08 0.017044 0.022872 0.030851 0.042850 0.060930 0.088008 0.133349
2025-06-15 0.016249 0.022050 0.030106 0.042415 0.061310 0.090210 0.139829
2025-06-22 0.015510 0.021279 0.029402 0.042008 0.061718 0.092503 0.146706
2025-06-29 0.014702 0.020369 0.028447 0.041163 0.061377 0.093562 0.151554
2025-07-06 0.014319 0.020057 0.028351 0.041619 0.063113 0.098096 0.162835
2025-07-13 0.013836 0.019573 0.027970 0.041599 0.064060 0.101361 0.172111
2025-07-20 0.013524 0.019328 0.027934 0.042112 0.065906 0.106265 0.184847
2025-07-27 0.013049 0.018813 0.027456 0.041882 0.066472 0.108961 0.193623
2025-08-03 0.012623 0.018355 0.027041 0.041727 0.067148 0.111881 0.203084
2025-08-10 0.012201 0.017883 0.026584 0.041472 0.067622 0.114450 0.212064
2025-08-17 0.011839 0.017491 0.026234 0.041375 0.068363 0.117550 0.222412
2025-08-24 0.011389 0.016941 0.025606 0.040769 0.068144 0.118812 0.228993
2025-08-31 0.010925 0.016352 0.024891 0.039978 0.067535 0.119277 0.233884