Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-15 33.941976 40.035205 46.391450 53.476230 61.113994 69.064938 77.933255
2026-03-22 26.423395 35.133527 44.762532 56.024397 68.678385 82.320836 98.010946
2026-03-29 21.671306 31.719581 43.332457 57.386085 73.618165 91.509794 112.471648
2026-04-05 17.194435 27.859335 40.753246 56.872030 75.959784 97.408406 122.933622
2026-04-12 13.730753 24.691633 38.543442 56.386132 77.985249 102.657522 132.402314
2026-04-19 11.286627 22.475234 37.213972 56.708214 80.751279 108.589303 142.503397
2026-04-26 8.900876 19.964944 35.230041 55.990298 82.083357 112.700539 150.379182
2026-05-03 7.141793 18.082195 33.868799 55.890678 84.033567 117.436030 158.893880
2026-05-10 5.496879 16.076535 32.134262 55.146471 85.060103 120.973020 165.921842
2026-05-17 4.549967 15.064340 31.693655 56.024235 88.055346 126.832965 175.660729
2026-05-24 3.814620 14.289538 31.514815 57.192823 91.376503 133.059823 185.817440
2026-05-31 2.798435 12.717955 29.990217 56.414012 92.122018 136.081679 192.096251
2026-06-07 1.861731 11.005615 28.097895 55.037880 92.054751 138.100992 197.199256
2026-06-14 1.677446 11.040957 29.020435 57.663057 97.248800 146.666454 210.247756
2026-06-21 1.351989 10.597511 29.097970 59.039443 100.771225 153.136085 220.746513
2026-06-28 0.875957 9.479749 27.922051 58.518559 101.718300 156.346892 227.251981
2026-07-05 0.520646 8.465189 26.814391 58.024797 102.650325 159.502740 233.663245
2026-07-12 0.314232 7.807423 26.282765 58.351988 104.665465 164.011325 241.723494
2026-07-19 0.126705 6.865387 25.104464 57.622746 105.189650 166.589655 247.380832
2026-07-26 0.038200 6.189660 24.363296 57.521550 106.546723 170.212101 254.315003
2026-08-02 0.000588 5.384959 23.248225 56.765530 106.949813 172.577853 259.666988
2026-08-09 NaN 5.082971 23.171109 57.657220 109.655237 177.916981 268.725094
2026-08-16 NaN 4.876164 23.281833 58.844194 112.773925 183.793125 278.458496