Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 60.147542 68.354820 76.799166 86.103527 96.035545 106.289996 117.647447
2025-06-15 48.396220 60.189913 72.922373 87.552629 103.769061 121.074762 140.823275
2025-06-22 41.528183 55.319174 70.745844 88.998853 109.744448 132.356043 158.638715
2025-06-29 35.071885 49.985583 67.245136 88.222498 112.598374 139.651798 171.584310
2025-07-06 29.196881 44.619134 63.087456 86.121583 113.444739 144.269952 181.152748
2025-07-13 26.979562 43.462989 63.705877 89.421657 120.363676 155.660521 198.277179
2025-07-20 24.499814 41.686632 63.340484 91.351138 125.519934 164.908272 212.867574
2025-07-27 21.372339 38.735658 61.252892 90.962036 127.737102 170.598101 223.242749
2025-08-03 18.504267 35.847515 59.016793 90.192771 129.335319 175.435603 232.524928
2025-08-10 16.487005 33.961206 57.936994 90.754254 132.458113 182.007215 243.784774
2025-08-17 14.296503 31.591374 56.038269 90.123684 133.995669 186.598490 252.642762
2025-08-24 12.640684 29.864082 54.891472 90.369265 136.548913 192.358143 262.848754
2025-08-31 10.742205 27.562515 52.827003 89.335678 137.466750 196.151299 270.766597
2025-09-07 9.706044 26.583047 52.585795 90.702333 141.422605 203.659353 283.166212
2025-09-14 8.809862 25.740771 52.476023 92.197077 145.509524 211.310009 295.731734
2025-09-21 7.464383 23.908201 50.769494 91.401563 146.556426 215.148170 303.639125
2025-09-28 5.997696 21.606057 48.186788 89.256972 145.738744 216.588618 308.564450
2025-10-05 5.782972 21.797365 49.496852 92.626119 152.216224 227.192793 324.738658
2025-10-12 5.320784 21.405731 49.843453 94.595550 156.822700 235.441572 338.029030
2025-10-19 4.490762 20.075843 48.591465 94.198421 158.222449 239.609917 346.274726
2025-10-26 3.699285 18.671773 47.121736 93.413248 159.048677 243.014971 353.552607
2025-11-02 3.194723 17.862826 46.598155 93.986348 161.692473 248.725976 363.688834
2025-11-09 2.592756 16.650966 45.299035 93.342729 162.633290 252.227018 371.055582