Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 67.841687 76.662531 85.686057 95.574382 106.073882 116.860024 128.748549
2025-10-26 53.882330 66.481601 79.964801 95.331707 112.232778 130.139510 150.434081
2025-11-02 45.883177 60.568116 76.819399 95.859406 117.299523 140.469748 167.185991
2025-11-09 38.974703 54.938301 73.173655 95.077265 120.252505 147.917172 180.269972
2025-11-16 33.924047 50.858130 70.771134 95.218493 123.810378 155.666010 193.348502
2025-11-23 29.144941 46.597368 67.734438 94.245550 125.767261 161.339370 203.858414
2025-11-30 26.173522 44.294649 66.806896 95.549188 130.183414 169.666388 217.244796
2025-12-07 23.726127 42.425346 66.221761 97.102576 134.761617 178.077868 230.644961
2025-12-14 20.531264 39.246872 63.752136 96.150863 136.192724 182.703576 239.580790
2025-12-21 17.375614 35.810250 60.712374 94.289170 136.361430 185.716995 246.534487
2025-12-28 16.548354 35.661299 61.950032 97.789550 143.037882 196.405127 262.435315
2026-01-04 15.258857 34.694968 62.003389 99.708628 147.722169 204.692753 275.502615
2026-01-11 13.219133 32.402289 60.149739 99.110153 149.277119 209.263977 284.254694
2026-01-18 11.408760 30.281351 58.406316 98.559938 150.824572 213.782701 292.919431
2026-01-25 10.115818 28.874793 57.579574 99.150225 153.752582 219.930826 303.490035
2026-02-01 8.596768 26.885277 55.784306 98.343978 154.832847 223.776174 311.269133
2026-02-08 7.472782 25.465772 54.739657 98.489492 157.081949 229.016609 320.695906
2026-02-15 6.223583 23.618428 52.932652 97.497581 157.795897 232.319248 327.751191
2026-02-22 5.578344 22.897396 52.814304 98.826296 161.509446 239.321424 339.276160
2026-03-01 5.040419 22.328217 52.894834 100.409307 165.540970 246.712014 351.272674
2026-03-08 4.115132 20.728094 51.229555 99.439466 166.156701 249.805247 358.012947
2026-03-15 3.172175 18.850756 48.984001 97.542081 165.471867 251.216894 362.658296
2026-03-22 3.102083 19.201541 50.480523 101.109319 172.109581 261.866154 378.643621