Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 90.625685 100.975139 111.497686 122.966342 135.084154 147.478891 161.086873
2025-08-17 73.227975 88.090750 103.827459 121.606596 141.016888 161.457023 184.502873
2025-08-24 63.486704 80.928500 99.954860 121.998511 146.598790 172.995871 203.256655
2025-08-31 54.972654 74.055491 95.458395 120.821109 149.669393 181.119280 217.668852
2025-09-07 49.590103 70.145003 93.759556 122.275479 155.215843 191.581424 234.296013
2025-09-14 45.297192 67.079850 92.665586 124.087220 160.877842 201.934147 250.593194
2025-09-21 40.206721 62.599731 89.534139 123.197244 163.157355 208.233010 262.129568
2025-09-28 35.014894 57.568617 85.390856 120.798850 163.416430 212.004745 270.604394
2025-10-05 33.512374 57.160086 86.824307 125.019860 171.397096 224.624113 289.160127
2025-10-12 31.446207 55.828928 86.970156 127.562709 177.299404 234.771309 304.830516
2025-10-19 28.250156 52.722451 84.673592 126.936833 179.274715 240.230542 314.997569
2025-10-26 25.343712 49.796416 82.439840 126.245792 181.054548 245.368847 324.716640
2025-11-02 23.176949 47.805266 81.366442 126.993167 184.602295 252.648025 337.025076
2025-11-09 20.641667 45.073332 79.163163 126.188012 186.160556 257.505473 346.456956
2025-11-16 18.719967 43.112955 77.892574 126.494525 189.024481 263.872518 357.628640
2025-11-23 16.500336 40.489930 75.566150 125.307394 189.931488 267.813917 365.869917
2025-11-30 15.276184 39.377579 75.296902 126.790006 194.168001 275.768252 378.880708
2025-12-07 14.254330 38.517358 75.332572 128.640131 198.844863 284.244760 392.511837
2025-12-14 12.574107 36.363825 73.384780 127.731458 199.934372 288.286812 400.786048
2025-12-21 10.670654 33.598074 70.390386 125.282577 198.953387 289.715130 405.854887
2025-12-28 10.519557 34.087296 72.292861 129.592179 206.742555 301.995001 424.070708
2026-01-04 9.986957 33.794010 72.974367 132.187783 212.291398 311.497528 438.925937
2026-01-11 8.794200 32.076382 71.384201 131.548964 213.568445 315.660619 447.272302