Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 61.238127 69.529295 78.055617 87.446000 97.465602 107.806535 119.255733
2025-06-15 49.330641 61.249459 74.105689 88.867183 105.218458 122.658347 142.550194
2025-06-22 42.389964 56.335050 71.915418 90.332455 111.247460 134.028327 160.492388
2025-06-29 35.853856 50.943701 68.380475 89.548213 114.121725 141.373409 173.519038
2025-07-06 29.901006 45.517055 64.182093 87.428897 114.973917 146.022499 183.146068
2025-07-13 27.653130 44.348239 64.807385 90.758000 121.945772 157.490586 200.374955
2025-07-20 25.137536 42.551451 64.438856 92.704249 127.140455 166.799193 215.050863
2025-07-27 21.962180 39.565092 62.330639 92.311976 129.373762 172.525378 225.484779
2025-08-03 19.047351 36.641013 60.071910 91.536111 130.983297 177.393066 234.818112
2025-08-10 16.995385 34.730667 58.981194 92.102442 134.128509 184.005545 246.139269
2025-08-17 14.764860 32.329486 57.062579 91.466177 135.676452 188.624257 255.043707
2025-08-24 13.084773 30.591432 55.921697 91.737718 138.278000 194.455692 265.347533
2025-08-31 11.148219 28.259883 53.838829 90.700477 139.209114 198.280214 273.317013
2025-09-07 10.088924 27.265830 53.594558 92.078347 143.192302 205.832614 285.779855
2025-09-14 9.172115 26.411249 53.483836 93.586241 147.308292 213.529138 298.409871
2025-09-21 7.793684 24.550789 51.758304 92.783656 148.362121 217.389322 306.356263
2025-09-28 6.287993 22.212172 49.146183 90.620002 147.537981 218.837170 311.304761
2025-10-05 6.067438 22.406944 50.471671 94.018993 154.061274 229.503778 327.559632
2025-10-12 5.592060 22.009225 50.822511 96.005641 158.699652 237.799929 340.914480
2025-10-19 4.736882 20.657592 49.556488 95.605253 160.108942 241.991670 349.199156
2025-10-26 3.919462 19.229786 48.069917 94.813302 160.940542 245.415350 356.510636
2025-11-02 3.397148 18.406887 47.540388 95.391381 163.602124 251.157879 366.693736
2025-11-09 2.772286 17.173396 46.225932 94.741915 164.548649 254.677271 374.093122