Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 57.913454 65.946412 74.215662 83.330771 93.063860 103.115298 114.249819
2025-07-13 47.743378 59.450113 72.084720 86.596431 102.673399 119.820926 139.377528
2025-07-20 41.227911 54.969271 70.328370 88.485412 109.102389 131.552303 157.621732
2025-07-27 35.020027 49.935228 67.173946 88.097396 112.376806 139.286804 171.007918
2025-08-03 29.855871 45.485399 64.139791 87.337811 114.782024 145.670139 182.547167
2025-08-10 26.221643 42.491947 62.486822 87.885357 118.430270 153.248884 195.252021
2025-08-17 22.611647 39.141101 60.082557 87.257044 120.466731 158.787692 205.470082
2025-08-24 19.882628 36.669036 58.551223 87.499089 123.379874 165.221891 216.619771
2025-08-31 17.043619 33.748033 56.212094 86.539595 124.681089 169.635569 225.316704
2025-09-07 15.351256 32.290123 55.664917 87.739898 128.541391 177.027445 237.463505
2025-09-14 13.952901 31.122861 55.403967 89.226400 132.696458 184.733524 249.958956
2025-09-21 11.994843 28.880587 53.513242 88.464091 133.945468 188.866066 258.159228
2025-09-28 9.831262 26.069619 50.673562 86.348126 133.436688 190.858961 263.840751
2025-10-05 9.370988 26.082472 51.876272 89.661175 139.865752 201.363864 279.786166
2025-10-12 8.602243 25.462882 52.092938 91.591809 144.491239 209.638003 293.040130
2025-10-19 7.358412 23.818919 50.675390 91.195399 146.044288 214.074563 301.621385
2025-10-26 6.177722 22.114827 49.049965 90.420491 147.036454 217.766455 309.262659
2025-11-02 5.396877 21.089522 48.407892 90.979137 149.747995 223.585397 319.490540
2025-11-09 4.486543 19.629676 46.976499 90.338071 150.814671 227.301037 327.114474
2025-11-16 3.830499 18.613028 46.194538 90.585033 153.034238 232.451590 336.493660
2025-11-23 3.073780 17.182570 44.624620 89.606007 153.548880 235.400946 343.126764
2025-11-30 2.703235 16.657321 44.557930 90.830730 157.042892 242.147816 354.474717
2025-12-07 2.405021 16.266854 44.696918 92.347282 160.929048 249.398369 366.458175