Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 51.326750 58.924808 66.751695 75.381019 84.593847 94.103513 104.630182
2025-12-28 41.939063 52.998202 64.949877 78.678502 93.875843 110.062194 128.487570
2026-01-04 35.733142 48.661793 63.146223 80.272912 99.697181 120.804694 145.249086
2026-01-11 29.868445 43.854860 60.084486 79.796536 102.640349 127.895632 157.567594
2026-01-18 25.211112 39.869299 57.459254 79.352040 105.207860 134.216524 168.709214
2026-01-25 21.810010 37.024665 55.859346 79.814538 108.569096 141.229131 180.447040
2026-02-01 18.448625 33.846331 53.547862 79.163486 110.407318 146.317900 189.842396
2026-02-08 15.819338 31.350898 51.866108 79.087023 112.768404 151.885170 199.678160
2026-02-15 13.239102 28.622919 49.660311 78.172520 113.968932 155.974271 207.702435
2026-02-22 11.703299 27.246582 49.117799 79.261311 117.532566 162.794971 218.863182
2026-03-01 10.458884 26.170216 48.883088 80.669562 121.433295 169.977105 230.419502
2026-03-08 8.660976 23.977170 46.943300 79.731068 122.318127 173.473018 237.572587
2026-03-15 6.855210 21.519353 44.483284 78.015061 122.183205 175.734386 243.293114
2026-03-22 6.475473 21.562481 45.656984 81.186482 128.266495 185.572521 258.072848
2026-03-29 5.782881 20.919375 45.749300 82.843344 132.382325 192.988913 269.944612
2026-04-05 4.713201 19.355334 44.337630 82.352295 133.673151 196.897861 277.575260
2026-04-12 3.795940 17.915124 43.010471 81.901114 134.958633 200.759078 285.116964
2026-04-19 3.157844 16.954189 42.371858 82.371549 137.415674 206.049950 294.373364
2026-04-26 2.436390 15.598050 40.989958 81.709064 138.327708 209.379503 301.220642
2026-05-03 1.902174 14.555128 40.049760 81.631244 139.978506 213.608099 309.145408
2026-05-10 1.360128 13.260991 38.576109 80.700551 140.436944 216.300543 315.163782
2026-05-17 1.104817 12.776061 38.489157 81.808610 143.633531 222.449209 325.424440
2026-05-24 0.911457 12.431572 38.628327 83.241607 147.264081 229.147126 336.364381