Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 87.102644 97.204084 107.471404 118.657662 130.471771 142.549843 155.802898
2025-10-19 70.941253 85.520967 100.944633 118.352250 137.334976 157.300510 179.782391
2025-10-26 60.692047 77.692245 96.228260 117.685727 141.605284 167.239568 196.585249
2025-11-02 53.561003 72.373100 93.437193 118.349246 146.623587 177.379576 213.042022
2025-11-09 46.874495 66.838592 89.778207 117.459312 149.395323 184.597638 225.873630
2025-11-16 41.819831 62.742901 87.366740 117.619409 153.023918 192.492836 239.206256
2025-11-23 36.821380 58.275975 84.154452 116.522852 154.931965 198.213566 249.890534
2025-11-30 33.719740 55.920770 83.270392 117.991884 159.660079 207.019679 263.957869
2025-12-07 31.119681 53.992393 82.738574 119.737914 164.594909 215.971491 278.116898
2025-12-14 27.564191 50.512287 80.046062 118.666708 166.032874 220.749364 287.381235
2025-12-21 23.965109 46.679934 76.679647 116.571991 166.084814 223.780915 294.517701
2025-12-28 23.159942 46.724130 78.303483 120.685120 173.628052 235.608715 311.870923
2026-01-04 21.730010 45.784705 78.599487 123.125828 179.171920 245.142211 326.650464
2026-01-11 19.322070 43.204925 76.571308 122.501315 180.881580 250.074698 336.012743
2026-01-18 17.146121 40.787921 74.627570 121.874326 182.499257 254.828290 345.107328
2026-01-25 15.578684 39.195511 73.731423 122.542118 185.677138 261.417457 356.343652
2026-02-01 13.685454 36.892857 71.714794 121.636024 186.803852 265.474159 364.530193
2026-02-08 12.263969 35.249931 70.551904 121.799050 189.231298 271.072189 374.525830
2026-02-15 10.639758 33.077005 68.503630 120.680703 189.958549 274.546415 381.941417
2026-02-22 9.798254 32.249931 68.401274 122.178956 194.020463 282.093783 394.241263
2026-03-01 9.086838 31.599115 68.524031 123.959522 198.429986 290.060602 407.044977
2026-03-08 7.810704 29.686961 66.625728 122.867155 199.058674 293.320629 414.135590
2026-03-15 6.460532 27.416863 64.048168 120.730816 198.253223 294.748725 418.963103