Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 79.815608 89.446387 99.264779 109.991944 121.351546 132.993896 145.799189
2025-09-07 65.792164 79.796520 94.677536 111.540059 129.996649 149.474061 171.474970
2025-09-14 57.552477 74.084503 92.192080 113.238508 136.787105 162.108227 191.185248
2025-09-21 49.696246 67.776572 88.157060 112.399097 140.053540 170.269806 205.448521
2025-09-28 42.475887 61.423444 83.397490 110.116872 141.147416 175.545203 216.080642
2025-10-05 39.811852 60.184368 84.314949 114.124374 149.179802 188.425688 235.054065
2025-10-12 36.765634 58.164054 84.053447 116.534301 155.192266 198.876792 251.175026
2025-10-19 32.664384 54.458511 81.467434 115.933967 157.487936 204.910532 262.136601
2025-10-26 29.051849 51.086725 79.054014 115.333941 159.610180 210.604432 272.590120
2025-11-02 26.383178 48.758159 77.783630 115.988825 163.111465 217.811828 284.713988
2025-11-09 23.382447 45.724300 75.419236 115.126434 164.655331 222.622922 293.975148
2025-11-16 21.084923 43.500111 73.971153 115.298992 167.364389 228.738619 304.701566
2025-11-23 18.472332 40.625352 71.541204 114.151996 168.429545 232.915448 313.208326
2025-11-30 16.963579 39.301775 71.134796 115.559375 172.624410 240.822835 326.117007
2025-12-07 15.707743 38.262608 71.044505 117.320745 177.218734 249.182658 339.543986
2025-12-14 13.777481 35.951035 69.042310 116.459594 178.437706 253.402999 348.004732
2025-12-21 11.636170 33.051497 66.038251 114.131214 177.693637 255.155868 353.452034
2025-12-28 11.372955 33.413047 67.782206 118.220673 185.159935 266.964953 370.983731
2026-01-04 10.717647 33.004115 68.348450 120.679380 190.515972 276.178035 385.395284
2026-01-11 9.383009 31.195605 66.728612 120.066936 191.854120 280.404533 393.764507
2026-01-18 8.175317 29.481424 65.159442 119.454785 193.140646 284.530002 401.984056
2026-01-25 7.342321 28.415775 64.534650 120.122902 196.072741 290.682327 412.655253
2026-02-01 6.288628 26.740386 62.861539 119.243077 196.919566 294.198498 420.089849