Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 59.469794 67.618813 76.013037 85.272811 95.168606 105.397057 116.738229
2025-05-04 46.372848 57.858498 70.298475 84.635314 100.571407 117.622291 137.128136
2025-05-11 38.268692 51.405983 66.194817 83.789967 103.887566 125.889556 151.566884
2025-05-18 32.943214 47.293802 64.003975 84.422147 108.262187 134.833276 166.318259
2025-05-25 28.129669 43.163786 61.257207 83.924848 110.924150 141.497083 178.204031
2025-06-01 24.544788 40.127525 59.464567 84.237171 114.258603 148.713774 190.537946
2025-06-08 20.951030 36.681066 56.841178 83.260420 115.829389 153.697724 200.147273
2025-06-15 18.814762 34.950792 56.201949 84.570286 120.020598 161.659696 213.146245
2025-06-22 17.004174 33.477488 55.746899 85.990087 124.254219 169.609559 226.091872
2025-06-29 14.640759 30.953720 53.706192 85.227060 125.671445 174.100732 234.886427
2025-07-06 12.160729 27.968652 50.820862 83.184446 125.343424 176.372509 240.949707
2025-07-13 11.567041 27.881069 51.928539 86.382440 131.617127 186.670796 256.630928
2025-07-20 10.609045 27.123329 52.056076 88.280184 136.282033 195.081324 270.163316
2025-07-27 9.085251 25.233432 50.426004 87.712133 137.722360 199.492483 278.856245
2025-08-03 7.670551 23.338800 48.651413 86.835796 138.678023 203.240843 286.697444
2025-08-10 6.761111 22.251616 48.016024 87.483484 141.586036 209.398890 297.469285
2025-08-17 5.715809 20.739891 46.618264 86.975264 142.909083 213.528741 305.728202
2025-08-24 4.947200 19.668447 45.839159 87.294299 145.294669 218.976105 315.599552
2025-08-31 4.046123 18.137636 44.207792 86.296675 145.851603 222.060797 322.518853
2025-09-07 3.612029 17.602365 44.185356 87.634500 149.557561 229.161820 334.436665
2025-09-14 3.235729 17.140704 44.252520 89.084406 153.407236 236.448162 346.596470
2025-09-21 2.610507 15.890978 42.874842 88.305226 154.154532 239.712164 353.708114
2025-09-28 1.932060 14.263345 40.700256 86.219075 153.022095 240.490957 357.658775