Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 65.804791 74.443547 83.321880 93.095956 103.522410 114.282164 126.195295
2025-04-06 52.002847 64.234032 77.422273 92.565992 109.347250 127.256942 147.701202
2025-04-13 42.472776 56.357025 71.905892 90.332273 111.313600 134.227298 160.916568
2025-04-20 38.342531 53.889848 71.825963 93.591315 118.868458 146.925487 180.062146
2025-04-27 34.444340 51.158839 70.986594 95.570301 124.621667 157.322452 196.399501
2025-05-04 29.943530 47.196758 68.273181 94.983106 127.096183 163.737583 208.016613
2025-05-11 25.969521 43.493613 65.537138 94.068317 128.931520 169.211530 218.384049
2025-05-18 23.237083 41.143760 64.267849 94.751074 132.515183 176.603951 230.876720
2025-05-25 20.369073 38.328340 62.181005 94.228018 134.487169 181.980402 240.926506
2025-06-01 18.172566 36.242969 60.881450 94.559478 137.394671 188.388333 252.129831
2025-06-08 15.749530 33.584687 58.630212 93.513408 138.471645 192.506794 260.550468
2025-06-15 14.412559 32.438974 58.348597 94.958163 142.612478 200.295618 273.327836
2025-06-22 13.244183 31.474968 58.286281 96.697939 147.170627 208.672302 286.932188
2025-06-29 11.494774 29.385681 56.499823 96.036404 148.602539 213.183167 295.869665
2025-07-06 9.528766 26.682472 53.641848 93.771188 147.848879 214.904433 301.353042
2025-07-13 9.142127 26.734345 54.853379 97.100152 154.372823 225.679468 317.884963
2025-07-20 8.482740 26.210529 55.148562 99.123269 159.171084 234.298546 331.793346
2025-07-27 7.313878 24.571151 53.631808 98.523081 160.455072 238.473229 340.227136
2025-08-03 6.207065 22.889253 51.939226 97.588106 161.230938 241.962945 347.786628
2025-08-10 5.517489 21.974430 51.411045 98.285943 164.165096 248.173799 358.708683
2025-08-17 4.690351 20.620963 50.081161 97.751338 165.390361 252.177475 366.872386
2025-08-24 4.087737 19.678644 49.373690 98.090119 167.773722 257.647921 376.859045
2025-08-31 3.354979 18.263281 47.768636 97.020906 168.179054 260.539429 383.597217