Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 70.556685 79.533373 88.721187 98.796234 109.502410 120.510378 132.654856
2025-07-27 56.198793 69.016521 82.744243 98.408010 115.660554 133.969211 154.755846
2025-08-03 47.128277 61.923086 78.327036 97.591045 119.340990 142.911093 170.166349
2025-08-10 40.990181 57.243070 75.821134 98.173557 123.923350 152.292827 185.563283
2025-08-17 35.378726 52.506708 72.674898 97.497936 126.621259 159.180327 197.833556
2025-08-24 31.181895 49.028128 70.627895 97.757796 130.096847 166.703019 210.606045
2025-08-31 26.998272 45.148306 67.754579 96.734450 131.820389 172.012761 220.683499
2025-09-07 24.414039 43.090784 66.930928 98.013894 136.122658 180.193654 233.965443
2025-09-14 22.287736 41.442231 66.466093 99.603261 140.693261 188.612866 247.468187
2025-09-21 19.476683 38.580300 64.234334 98.819003 142.254874 193.385004 256.640793
2025-09-28 16.514052 35.208942 61.108860 96.714533 142.046790 195.934884 263.106628
2025-10-05 15.825250 35.167034 62.426781 100.296055 148.856930 206.877143 279.479836
2025-10-12 14.645813 34.288782 62.566571 102.350483 153.804335 215.651221 293.394181
2025-10-19 12.812004 32.193539 60.889524 101.924813 155.573697 220.544535 302.674592
2025-10-26 11.063305 30.041353 58.993251 101.095811 156.744596 224.643571 310.952994
2025-11-02 9.872653 28.712003 58.201100 101.689536 159.686255 230.879444 321.779991
2025-11-09 8.489598 26.867937 56.534211 101.000143 160.907457 234.948670 329.956788
2025-11-16 7.467570 25.566409 55.602505 101.265333 163.324667 240.469801 339.875534
2025-11-23 6.281441 23.768756 53.795776 100.220887 163.963094 243.730419 347.008675
2025-11-30 5.669972 23.070140 53.670077 101.526699 167.684469 250.841244 358.847918
2025-12-07 5.168892 22.542165 53.781205 103.148621 171.813829 258.462190 371.318236
2025-12-14 4.313680 21.066006 52.260540 102.348327 172.660367 261.908685 378.632987
2025-12-21 3.368130 19.151206 49.883069 100.200558 171.621845 262.911877 382.890044