Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.193269 0.224287 0.258718 0.299777 0.347426 0.401007 0.465867
2025-05-18 0.141421 0.181862 0.231550 0.297134 0.381529 0.486629 0.627720
2025-05-25 0.111349 0.153632 0.209330 0.288164 0.397088 0.542628 0.752490
2025-06-01 0.096393 0.140863 0.202869 0.295791 0.431881 0.624521 0.919107
2025-06-08 0.083512 0.128245 0.193759 0.296909 0.455792 0.692225 1.072688
2025-06-15 0.074511 0.119609 0.188620 0.302189 0.485204 0.770028 1.249821
2025-06-22 0.064701 0.108125 0.177276 0.295741 0.494653 0.817099 1.383399
2025-06-29 0.057390 0.099545 0.169197 0.293050 0.509084 0.872790 1.536788
2025-07-06 0.052074 0.093528 0.164429 0.294983 0.530989 0.942682 1.722153
2025-07-13 0.049454 0.091808 0.166662 0.309143 0.575608 1.056396 1.998779
2025-07-20 0.046515 0.089095 0.166719 0.319187 0.613653 1.162243 2.273464
2025-07-27 0.043652 0.086137 0.165909 0.327354 0.648869 1.266414 2.557197
2025-08-03 0.040235 0.081783 0.162117 0.329624 0.673564 1.354596 2.823380
2025-08-10 0.036595 0.076552 0.156042 0.326653 0.687523 1.423520 3.059941
2025-08-17 0.032699 0.070302 0.147172 0.316785 0.685865 1.460190 3.232763
2025-08-24 0.030980 0.068415 0.147007 0.325177 0.723805 1.583614 3.608980
2025-08-31 0.028794 0.065246 0.143749 0.326407 0.746133 1.675878 3.927066
2025-09-07 0.027198 0.063185 0.142634 0.332217 0.779307 1.795631 4.323187
2025-09-14 0.024780 0.058960 0.136228 0.325122 0.781799 1.845992 4.561422
2025-09-21 0.022900 0.055770 0.131815 0.322161 0.793653 1.919322 4.864604
2025-09-28 0.021529 0.053640 0.129631 0.324287 0.818059 2.025249 5.262533
2025-10-05 0.021087 0.053739 0.132759 0.339870 0.877763 2.224167 5.924059
2025-10-12 0.020389 0.053109 0.134038 0.350923 0.927254 2.403282 6.556912