Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.150705 0.174961 0.201907 0.234071 0.271435 0.313492 0.364460
2025-04-13 0.111521 0.143411 0.182623 0.234433 0.301180 0.384416 0.496327
2025-04-20 0.094371 0.130281 0.177660 0.244849 0.337892 0.462528 0.642765
2025-04-27 0.082240 0.120276 0.173422 0.253264 0.370545 0.537117 0.792818
2025-05-04 0.072886 0.112042 0.169532 0.260325 0.400685 0.610419 0.949534
2025-05-11 0.064304 0.103335 0.163227 0.262124 0.422156 0.672394 1.096258
2025-05-18 0.056479 0.094494 0.155214 0.259631 0.435772 0.722843 1.230195
2025-05-25 0.049010 0.085095 0.144900 0.251661 0.438796 0.755667 1.338107
2025-06-01 0.045260 0.081382 0.143370 0.258007 0.466371 0.832183 1.530072
2025-06-08 0.041172 0.076499 0.139133 0.258871 0.484050 0.893048 1.701133
2025-06-15 0.038170 0.073163 0.137161 0.263426 0.508705 0.968873 1.908932
2025-06-22 0.034224 0.067552 0.130311 0.257872 0.513369 1.007590 2.049599
2025-06-29 0.031011 0.063040 0.125149 0.255222 0.523897 1.059856 2.226406
2025-07-06 0.028491 0.059607 0.121700 0.255602 0.540650 1.126674 2.442625
2025-07-13 0.027359 0.058864 0.123517 0.266971 0.581471 1.247361 2.788970
2025-07-20 0.026102 0.057693 0.124285 0.276157 0.618671 1.364735 3.143513
2025-07-27 0.024818 0.056297 0.124393 0.283865 0.653490 1.480974 3.510818
2025-08-03 0.023186 0.053922 0.122084 0.285829 0.675471 1.571069 3.829034
2025-08-10 0.021368 0.050897 0.117973 0.283108 0.686145 1.636391 4.096358
2025-08-17 0.019324 0.047101 0.111664 0.274407 0.681411 1.664786 4.276236
2025-08-24 0.018486 0.046106 0.111796 0.281335 0.715803 1.791566 4.722249
2025-08-31 0.017350 0.044243 0.109632 0.282279 0.735247 1.883654 5.090374
2025-09-07 0.016536 0.043093 0.109083 0.287251 0.765638 2.006999 5.558414