Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.208649 0.241782 0.278474 0.322122 0.372644 0.429300 0.497687
2025-07-27 0.159113 0.204122 0.259202 0.331590 0.424298 0.539170 0.692536
2025-08-03 0.130332 0.179392 0.243727 0.334323 0.458779 0.624034 0.860673
2025-08-10 0.108681 0.158420 0.227423 0.330223 0.479760 0.689845 1.008395
2025-08-17 0.090779 0.139052 0.209362 0.319341 0.487444 0.735439 1.130588
2025-08-24 0.081430 0.130396 0.204895 0.326631 0.521153 0.820977 1.320453
2025-08-31 0.072512 0.120913 0.197540 0.327847 0.544673 0.892514 1.496028
2025-09-07 0.065786 0.113886 0.192889 0.332290 0.573118 0.974041 1.696369
2025-09-14 0.058130 0.104212 0.182545 0.325608 0.581579 1.022710 1.845968
2025-09-21 0.052286 0.096878 0.175170 0.322886 0.596068 1.082482 2.020951
2025-09-28 0.048106 0.091968 0.171381 0.325915 0.620826 1.162480 2.241105
2025-10-05 0.046172 0.090954 0.174451 0.341809 0.670944 1.293675 2.571897
2025-10-12 0.043639 0.088576 0.174859 0.352992 0.714015 1.417673 2.906467
2025-10-19 0.041203 0.086105 0.174825 0.363345 0.756788 1.546165 3.266449
2025-10-26 0.038239 0.082179 0.171412 0.366341 0.784770 1.647940 3.583237
2025-11-02 0.034877 0.076996 0.164820 0.361847 0.796388 1.717098 3.838642
2025-11-09 0.031233 0.070764 0.155311 0.349919 0.790479 1.748331 4.014474
2025-11-16 0.029640 0.068873 0.154893 0.357910 0.829367 1.880526 4.432324
2025-11-23 0.027670 0.065886 0.151713 0.359242 0.853212 1.981739 4.790575
2025-11-30 0.026137 0.063732 0.150157 0.364113 0.885737 2.106016 5.217835
2025-12-07 0.023921 0.059688 0.143786 0.356789 0.888294 2.160560 5.482192
2025-12-14 0.022192 0.056631 0.139411 0.353805 0.901059 2.240736 5.819729
2025-12-21 0.020985 0.054742 0.137653 0.357125 0.929929 2.363293 6.279832