Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.058195 0.066967 0.076635 0.088084 0.101280 0.116021 0.133747
2026-04-12 0.044235 0.056020 0.070313 0.088945 0.112629 0.141781 0.180473
2026-04-19 0.035652 0.048263 0.064614 0.087407 0.118439 0.159334 0.217525
2026-04-26 0.029268 0.041814 0.058981 0.084249 0.120624 0.171298 0.247622
2026-05-03 0.025808 0.038633 0.057020 0.085397 0.128280 0.190986 0.290245
2026-05-10 0.022860 0.035671 0.054819 0.085642 0.134290 0.208575 0.331520
2026-05-17 0.020644 0.033454 0.053342 0.086615 0.141254 0.228065 0.377737
2026-05-24 0.018246 0.030610 0.050485 0.084933 0.143603 0.240285 0.413378
2026-05-31 0.016281 0.028211 0.048020 0.083508 0.146045 0.252685 0.450476
2026-06-07 0.014992 0.026784 0.046976 0.084304 0.152253 0.271954 0.501577
2026-06-14 0.014305 0.026318 0.047502 0.087863 0.163658 0.301425 0.574425
2026-06-21 0.013508 0.025553 0.047395 0.090215 0.173045 0.328148 0.645151
2026-06-28 0.012699 0.024695 0.047061 0.092177 0.182060 0.355444 0.720926
2026-07-05 0.011828 0.023624 0.046218 0.093065 0.189109 0.379790 0.793981
2026-07-12 0.010768 0.022058 0.044240 0.091454 0.190915 0.393866 0.847488
2026-07-19 0.009650 0.020249 0.041586 0.088147 0.188808 0.399649 0.883954
2026-07-26 0.009100 0.019557 0.041118 0.089349 0.196341 0.426344 0.969224
2026-08-02 0.008514 0.018721 0.040261 0.089606 0.201818 0.449163 1.048502
2026-08-09 0.008048 0.018096 0.039780 0.090625 0.209077 0.476640 1.141804
2026-08-16 0.007400 0.016995 0.038150 0.088864 0.209762 0.489294 1.201429
2026-08-23 0.006834 0.016022 0.036706 0.087371 0.210896 0.503072 1.265425
2026-08-30 0.006483 0.015514 0.036269 0.088205 0.217690 0.530973 1.368092
2026-09-06 0.006349 0.015508 0.036996 0.091932 0.231991 0.578632 1.527277