Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.155076 0.180033 0.207759 0.240853 0.279295 0.322566 0.375003
2025-04-13 0.114744 0.147618 0.188058 0.241510 0.310402 0.396347 0.511949
2025-04-20 0.097159 0.134168 0.183011 0.252295 0.348266 0.476858 0.662864
2025-04-27 0.084663 0.123846 0.178607 0.260890 0.381780 0.553509 0.817172
2025-05-04 0.075005 0.115318 0.174515 0.268017 0.412584 0.628630 0.977990
2025-05-11 0.066204 0.106402 0.168092 0.269967 0.434832 0.692648 1.129376
2025-05-18 0.058188 0.097364 0.159944 0.267566 0.449123 0.745035 1.268027
2025-05-25 0.050528 0.087739 0.149412 0.259514 0.452512 0.779315 1.380014
2025-06-01 0.046715 0.084004 0.147998 0.266350 0.481467 0.859134 1.579624
2025-06-08 0.042515 0.078999 0.143687 0.267353 0.499915 0.922315 1.756840
2025-06-15 0.039424 0.075570 0.141678 0.272106 0.525463 1.000763 1.971664
2025-06-22 0.035375 0.069827 0.134704 0.266564 0.530663 1.041491 2.118418
2025-06-29 0.032075 0.065199 0.129426 0.263920 0.541690 1.095702 2.301314
2025-07-06 0.029506 0.061722 0.126000 0.264582 0.559520 1.165714 2.526539
2025-07-13 0.028349 0.060979 0.127923 0.276413 0.601834 1.290584 2.884430
2025-07-20 0.027047 0.059761 0.128695 0.285840 0.640081 1.411303 3.249057
2025-07-27 0.025710 0.058294 0.128749 0.293657 0.675664 1.530347 3.625515
2025-08-03 0.024034 0.055864 0.126416 0.295797 0.698581 1.623738 3.954447
2025-08-10 0.022167 0.052772 0.122244 0.293163 0.710006 1.692028 4.232086
2025-08-17 0.020064 0.048873 0.115787 0.284331 0.705494 1.722201 4.419632
2025-08-24 0.019218 0.047899 0.116059 0.291828 0.741863 1.855128 4.884891
2025-08-31 0.018048 0.045988 0.113868 0.292929 0.762276 1.951004 5.266665
2025-09-07 0.017208 0.044807 0.113326 0.298143 0.793867 2.078815 5.750570