Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.160491 0.185984 0.214222 0.247824 0.286730 0.330374 0.383075
2025-07-13 0.124619 0.159872 0.203029 0.259775 0.332492 0.422650 0.543109
2025-07-20 0.104642 0.143988 0.195594 0.268290 0.368204 0.500954 0.691192
2025-07-27 0.090948 0.132505 0.190164 0.276090 0.401146 0.576960 0.843783
2025-08-03 0.079235 0.121290 0.182548 0.278398 0.424986 0.641416 0.986638
2025-08-10 0.068703 0.109914 0.172607 0.275070 0.438876 0.691554 1.112953
2025-08-17 0.059003 0.098267 0.160409 0.266087 0.442001 0.724416 1.214958
2025-08-24 0.054052 0.093446 0.158127 0.272260 0.469525 0.798207 1.391137
2025-08-31 0.048935 0.087601 0.153301 0.273301 0.488121 0.858700 1.551311
2025-09-07 0.045002 0.083252 0.150378 0.277039 0.511422 0.929216 1.736625
2025-09-14 0.040221 0.076753 0.142853 0.271472 0.517055 0.968592 1.869269
2025-09-21 0.036495 0.071735 0.137382 0.268926 0.527720 1.017836 2.025485
2025-09-28 0.033606 0.068043 0.134095 0.270403 0.546729 1.085809 2.228266
2025-10-05 0.032309 0.067346 0.136493 0.283364 0.589987 1.205822 2.550374
2025-10-12 0.030720 0.065842 0.137086 0.292658 0.626740 1.316736 2.866914
2025-10-19 0.029191 0.064268 0.137324 0.301171 0.662734 1.429883 3.201651
2025-10-26 0.027258 0.061585 0.134923 0.303689 0.686010 1.518557 3.493279
2025-11-02 0.025007 0.057928 0.130009 0.300057 0.695169 1.577433 3.724647
2025-11-09 0.022518 0.053434 0.122751 0.290254 0.689102 1.601584 3.878336
2025-11-16 0.021474 0.052178 0.122645 0.296991 0.722252 1.718646 4.266423
2025-11-23 0.020134 0.050058 0.120304 0.298127 0.742118 1.806748 4.594497
2025-11-30 0.019095 0.048551 0.119234 0.302207 0.769583 1.915876 4.987935
2025-12-07 0.017543 0.045582 0.114316 0.296131 0.770919 1.961142 5.223521