Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.216316 0.250250 0.287731 0.332201 0.383528 0.440920 0.509983
2025-09-28 0.162170 0.207566 0.262903 0.335324 0.427644 0.541472 0.692637
2025-10-05 0.138501 0.190164 0.257602 0.352078 0.481110 0.651362 0.893462
2025-10-12 0.120777 0.175609 0.251291 0.363378 0.525319 0.751131 1.090660
2025-10-19 0.106862 0.163286 0.245024 0.372054 0.564746 0.846603 1.291378
2025-10-26 0.094613 0.151142 0.236652 0.375400 0.595244 0.930875 1.483905
2025-11-02 0.083007 0.138101 0.224800 0.371130 0.612407 0.995440 1.651997
2025-11-09 0.071883 0.124183 0.209557 0.359012 0.614705 1.035586 1.783908
2025-11-16 0.066269 0.118587 0.206960 0.367039 0.650511 1.133160 2.021145
2025-11-23 0.060473 0.111870 0.201535 0.369269 0.676114 1.215483 2.240336
2025-11-30 0.056005 0.106918 0.198500 0.375130 0.708362 1.312073 2.494776
2025-12-07 0.050272 0.098904 0.188975 0.367834 0.715347 1.363354 2.670425
2025-12-14 0.045650 0.092547 0.181975 0.364800 0.730604 1.432620 2.890455
2025-12-21 0.042291 0.088279 0.178496 0.368232 0.758865 1.529800 3.176747
2025-12-28 0.040893 0.087789 0.182326 0.386627 0.818936 1.695333 3.619163
2026-01-04 0.038979 0.085978 0.183244 0.399033 0.867897 1.843343 4.041521
2026-01-11 0.036955 0.083677 0.182859 0.408559 0.911670 1.984916 4.465642
2026-01-18 0.034607 0.080377 0.179962 0.412233 0.943001 2.103083 4.851323
2026-01-25 0.031819 0.075752 0.173657 0.407545 0.955061 2.180333 5.153277
2026-02-01 0.028681 0.069944 0.164070 0.394240 0.945868 2.209046 5.346209
2026-02-08 0.027379 0.068348 0.163942 0.403053 0.989320 2.362081 5.849305
2026-02-15 0.025763 0.065797 0.161295 0.405501 1.017730 2.482799 6.287479
2026-02-22 0.024521 0.064031 0.160329 0.411936 1.056531 2.632059 6.812384