Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-05-17 0.063160 0.072533 0.082856 0.095074 0.109150 0.124868 0.143770
2026-05-24 0.046871 0.059116 0.073938 0.093231 0.117730 0.147870 0.187870
2026-05-31 0.037941 0.051065 0.068032 0.091632 0.123718 0.165973 0.226110
2026-06-07 0.032705 0.046401 0.065077 0.092501 0.131925 0.186829 0.269592
2026-06-14 0.029699 0.044106 0.064683 0.096357 0.144164 0.214081 0.324932
2026-06-21 0.026970 0.041714 0.063656 0.098883 0.154419 0.239277 0.380060
2026-06-28 0.024653 0.039562 0.062599 0.101028 0.164073 0.264346 0.437779
2026-07-05 0.022478 0.037316 0.061047 0.102058 0.171858 0.287072 0.494201
2026-07-12 0.020119 0.034459 0.058134 0.100409 0.174848 0.302020 0.539008
2026-07-19 0.017758 0.031310 0.054355 0.096772 0.173870 0.309885 0.572013
2026-07-26 0.016521 0.029959 0.053472 0.098049 0.181612 0.333719 0.636636
2026-08-02 0.015280 0.028454 0.052136 0.098309 0.187433 0.354558 0.697940
2026-08-09 0.014247 0.027243 0.051249 0.099383 0.195064 0.379931 0.771911
2026-08-16 0.012935 0.025366 0.048929 0.097457 0.196664 0.393905 0.824924
2026-08-23 0.011806 0.023721 0.046868 0.095783 0.198521 0.408487 0.880865
2026-08-30 0.011083 0.022803 0.046132 0.096692 0.205745 0.434752 0.964987
2026-09-06 0.010744 0.022630 0.046867 0.100728 0.220008 0.477346 1.090485
2026-09-13 0.010291 0.022170 0.046954 0.103372 0.231520 0.515259 1.210191
2026-09-20 0.009837 0.021656 0.046870 0.105618 0.242374 0.552893 1.334060
2026-09-27 0.009320 0.020951 0.046299 0.106696 0.250656 0.585567 1.450186
2026-10-04 0.008630 0.019785 0.044593 0.104969 0.252143 0.602513 1.529561
2026-10-11 0.007852 0.018340 0.042118 0.101163 0.248196 0.605998 1.575183
2026-10-18 0.007497 0.017851 0.041795 0.102500 0.257034 0.641718 1.709344