Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.176116 0.204610 0.236288 0.274127 0.318117 0.367670 0.427767
2025-04-06 0.128721 0.165718 0.211264 0.271513 0.349228 0.446257 0.576875
2025-04-13 0.104568 0.144448 0.197102 0.271824 0.375373 0.514184 0.715072
2025-04-20 0.092057 0.134695 0.194304 0.283904 0.415595 0.602744 0.890212
2025-04-27 0.082141 0.126313 0.191196 0.293709 0.452266 0.689311 1.072793
2025-05-04 0.073992 0.118947 0.187959 0.301971 0.486557 0.775348 1.264804
2025-05-11 0.066053 0.110554 0.181670 0.304026 0.510544 0.847326 1.442920
2025-05-18 0.058542 0.101693 0.173249 0.301066 0.525261 0.905152 1.603971
2025-05-25 0.051169 0.092009 0.162099 0.291743 0.527432 0.941323 1.731183
2025-06-01 0.047533 0.088327 0.160672 0.299013 0.559265 1.032152 1.966896
2025-06-08 0.043456 0.083294 0.156159 0.299940 0.579304 1.103563 2.174913
2025-06-15 0.040520 0.080001 0.154376 0.305615 0.608701 1.195325 2.433004
2025-06-22 0.036423 0.074054 0.147052 0.299987 0.616038 1.246847 2.620715
2025-06-29 0.033104 0.069264 0.141441 0.297135 0.628704 1.310690 2.842995
2025-07-06 0.030507 0.065616 0.137652 0.297475 0.647852 1.389751 3.107583
2025-07-13 0.029382 0.064926 0.139847 0.310711 0.696091 1.535668 3.537938
2025-07-20 0.028113 0.063758 0.140866 0.321454 0.740089 1.677523 3.977900
2025-07-27 0.026801 0.062330 0.141137 0.330508 0.781305 1.817983 4.433250
2025-08-03 0.025093 0.059783 0.138607 0.332760 0.806898 1.925559 4.823939
2025-08-10 0.023168 0.056495 0.134002 0.329516 0.818896 2.002447 5.149030
2025-08-17 0.020987 0.052334 0.126883 0.319300 0.812494 2.034046 5.363387
2025-08-24 0.020106 0.051273 0.127071 0.327267 0.852767 2.185861 5.911100
2025-08-31 0.018897 0.049241 0.124647 0.328282 0.875240 2.295219 6.360227