Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.214004 0.248496 0.286813 0.332546 0.385666 0.445452 0.517893
2025-05-04 0.162126 0.208692 0.265984 0.341717 0.439325 0.561081 0.724821
2025-05-11 0.132377 0.182888 0.249548 0.344087 0.474995 0.650315 0.903753
2025-05-18 0.110543 0.161762 0.233322 0.340797 0.498590 0.722542 1.066006
2025-05-25 0.092471 0.142190 0.215155 0.330303 0.508136 0.773530 1.201964
2025-06-01 0.083071 0.133547 0.210965 0.338704 0.545176 0.867568 1.412665
2025-06-08 0.073892 0.123692 0.203202 0.339822 0.570006 0.944563 1.605197
2025-06-15 0.067260 0.116885 0.199115 0.345821 0.602704 1.037030 1.833782
2025-06-22 0.059340 0.106764 0.188105 0.338383 0.611110 1.088950 1.998197
2025-06-29 0.053321 0.099128 0.180293 0.335274 0.626213 1.153429 2.191993
2025-07-06 0.048878 0.093740 0.175726 0.337265 0.650442 1.236465 2.429651
2025-07-13 0.046839 0.092558 0.178635 0.353440 0.703022 1.377732 2.796018
2025-07-20 0.044339 0.090277 0.179378 0.365881 0.750626 1.516581 3.178994
2025-07-27 0.041777 0.087573 0.179005 0.376110 0.795227 1.655216 3.580905
2025-08-03 0.038709 0.083428 0.175209 0.378718 0.824170 1.765019 3.935712
2025-08-10 0.035400 0.078354 0.168878 0.375094 0.839190 1.847017 4.240019
2025-08-17 0.031785 0.072168 0.159461 0.363532 0.835207 1.887153 4.454812
2025-08-24 0.030225 0.070374 0.159363 0.372788 0.879257 2.038971 4.948090
2025-08-31 0.028201 0.067270 0.155973 0.374019 0.904750 2.151268 5.361604
2025-09-07 0.026738 0.065300 0.154935 0.380630 0.943760 2.299590 5.882572
2025-09-14 0.024448 0.061070 0.148127 0.372434 0.945542 2.358577 6.186117
2025-09-21 0.022667 0.057886 0.143470 0.369008 0.958823 2.447340 6.578282
2025-09-28 0.021363 0.055750 0.141138 0.371202 0.986775 2.576326 7.094219