Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.178161 0.206618 0.238168 0.275748 0.319304 0.368215 0.427338
2025-06-15 0.134017 0.172195 0.219022 0.280713 0.359931 0.458359 0.590161
2025-06-22 0.106484 0.146813 0.199839 0.274727 0.377938 0.515455 0.713120
2025-06-29 0.089025 0.130000 0.187013 0.272232 0.396663 0.572190 0.839547
2025-07-06 0.077319 0.118662 0.179075 0.273930 0.419539 0.635368 0.981087
2025-07-13 0.071007 0.113940 0.179494 0.287062 0.459779 0.727425 1.176003
2025-07-20 0.065010 0.108641 0.177984 0.296445 0.494618 0.814440 1.373118
2025-07-27 0.059835 0.103823 0.176371 0.305018 0.528570 0.903184 1.583196
2025-08-03 0.054379 0.097724 0.171725 0.307600 0.552248 0.976887 1.775896
2025-08-10 0.048735 0.090514 0.164199 0.303997 0.564263 1.031213 1.940069
2025-08-17 0.042989 0.082367 0.153983 0.294131 0.563426 1.061945 2.063835
2025-08-24 0.040279 0.079516 0.153012 0.301183 0.594681 1.154611 2.315158
2025-08-31 0.036977 0.075206 0.148946 0.302093 0.614780 1.229514 2.543491
2025-09-07 0.034520 0.072277 0.147222 0.307442 0.644388 1.326522 2.829057
2025-09-14 0.031112 0.066971 0.140119 0.300883 0.648656 1.372705 3.014069
2025-09-21 0.028471 0.062947 0.135155 0.298149 0.660504 1.435617 3.242285
2025-09-28 0.026521 0.060177 0.132491 0.300009 0.682412 1.522183 3.533116
2025-10-05 0.025775 0.059983 0.135345 0.314401 0.733863 1.678993 4.002816
2025-10-12 0.024745 0.059014 0.136357 0.324684 0.777065 1.822056 4.458064
2025-10-19 0.023718 0.057928 0.136970 0.334079 0.819239 1.967405 4.936749
2025-10-26 0.022331 0.055812 0.134949 0.336909 0.845892 2.079039 5.346188
2025-11-02 0.020647 0.052770 0.130389 0.332960 0.855322 2.150021 5.661692
2025-11-09 0.018728 0.048911 0.123421 0.322148 0.846116 2.173804 5.857928