Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.185448 0.214833 0.247356 0.286023 0.330753 0.380883 0.441352
2025-08-10 0.135790 0.174125 0.220999 0.282546 0.361289 0.458749 0.588712
2025-08-17 0.106692 0.146781 0.199299 0.273167 0.374509 0.508874 0.700968
2025-08-24 0.092100 0.134191 0.192520 0.279304 0.405351 0.582133 0.849666
2025-08-31 0.079830 0.122236 0.183933 0.280306 0.427365 0.643904 0.988174
2025-09-07 0.070965 0.113596 0.178376 0.284066 0.452629 0.711873 1.142647
2025-09-14 0.061706 0.102855 0.167914 0.278359 0.461749 0.755226 1.262948
2025-09-21 0.054779 0.094797 0.160434 0.276036 0.475291 0.806109 1.400229
2025-09-28 0.049841 0.089331 0.156366 0.278570 0.496697 0.871543 1.568725
2025-10-05 0.047460 0.087931 0.158894 0.292540 0.539102 0.976834 1.818385
2025-10-12 0.044638 0.085341 0.158943 0.301900 0.574036 1.072319 2.060855
2025-10-19 0.041890 0.082521 0.158178 0.309517 0.606343 1.166073 2.310298
2025-10-26 0.038601 0.078354 0.154578 0.311612 0.628955 1.245271 2.543562
2025-11-02 0.034970 0.073084 0.148280 0.307706 0.639402 1.302348 2.740307
2025-11-09 0.031124 0.066894 0.139424 0.297491 0.635683 1.330497 2.880511
2025-11-16 0.029375 0.064867 0.138768 0.304175 0.667783 1.435011 3.193781
2025-11-23 0.027288 0.061854 0.135692 0.305266 0.687901 1.516335 3.465971
2025-11-30 0.025661 0.059657 0.134096 0.309362 0.714971 1.615311 3.788773
2025-12-07 0.023390 0.055724 0.128239 0.303146 0.717952 1.661193 3.995026
2025-12-14 0.021617 0.052742 0.124190 0.300615 0.729113 1.726642 4.254736
2025-12-21 0.020368 0.050860 0.122466 0.303375 0.753097 1.824297 4.603415
2025-12-28 0.019998 0.051086 0.125730 0.318593 0.809067 2.003844 5.175490
2026-01-04 0.019329 0.050482 0.126921 0.328789 0.853681 2.160572 5.708314