Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.153846 0.177991 0.204652 0.236275 0.272759 0.313538 0.362587
2025-11-09 0.110593 0.141533 0.179221 0.228501 0.291259 0.368552 0.471069
2025-11-16 0.091928 0.126223 0.170955 0.233561 0.318963 0.431489 0.591243
2025-11-23 0.078123 0.113614 0.162564 0.234982 0.339466 0.484920 0.703195
2025-11-30 0.068571 0.104813 0.157271 0.238701 0.362027 0.542073 0.825526
2025-12-07 0.058977 0.094264 0.147601 0.234039 0.370764 0.579055 0.921361
2025-12-14 0.051681 0.086042 0.140076 0.231156 0.381057 0.618466 1.024217
2025-12-21 0.046826 0.080959 0.136635 0.233963 0.400133 0.672932 1.156366
2025-12-28 0.044155 0.079082 0.138032 0.244648 0.433016 0.752795 1.338959
2026-01-04 0.041115 0.076132 0.137170 0.251164 0.459184 0.823664 1.513411
2026-01-11 0.038292 0.073184 0.135896 0.256638 0.483833 0.894026 1.694115
2026-01-18 0.035354 0.069640 0.133091 0.258864 0.502555 0.955296 1.864231
2026-01-25 0.031982 0.064934 0.127724 0.255865 0.511522 1.000276 2.010243
2026-02-01 0.028368 0.059322 0.120016 0.247449 0.509069 1.023377 2.116508
2026-02-08 0.026694 0.057422 0.119340 0.252928 0.534782 1.103848 2.346366
2026-02-15 0.024793 0.054810 0.116913 0.254466 0.552447 1.169769 2.553145
2026-02-22 0.023318 0.052924 0.115755 0.258492 0.575672 1.249275 2.797056
2026-03-01 0.021209 0.049390 0.110695 0.253445 0.578609 1.286049 2.951699
2026-03-08 0.019477 0.046499 0.106714 0.250324 0.585402 1.331685 3.130826
2026-03-15 0.018370 0.044928 0.105503 0.253362 0.606480 1.410986 3.395414
2026-03-22 0.017939 0.044912 0.107839 0.264929 0.648645 1.542272 3.795948
2026-03-29 0.017225 0.044124 0.108276 0.271983 0.680775 1.653458 4.160252
2026-04-05 0.016487 0.043188 0.108257 0.277909 0.710764 1.762521 4.531087