Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.181678 0.210323 0.241996 0.279614 0.323082 0.371743 0.430371
2025-09-07 0.136756 0.175175 0.222072 0.283540 0.362029 0.458977 0.587975
2025-09-14 0.109021 0.149787 0.203078 0.277863 0.380200 0.515517 0.708398
2025-09-21 0.091352 0.132898 0.190333 0.275554 0.398950 0.571440 0.831524
2025-09-28 0.079701 0.121840 0.182982 0.278195 0.422976 0.635344 0.971546
2025-10-05 0.073437 0.117354 0.183897 0.292100 0.464002 0.727256 1.162599
2025-10-12 0.067263 0.111930 0.182338 0.301439 0.498379 0.812079 1.351937
2025-10-19 0.061661 0.106529 0.179890 0.308612 0.529495 0.894387 1.545962
2025-10-26 0.056112 0.100404 0.175346 0.311421 0.553158 0.966345 1.730099
2025-11-02 0.050334 0.093095 0.167818 0.307949 0.565162 1.019160 1.886148
2025-11-09 0.044399 0.084736 0.157414 0.297950 0.564030 1.048214 2.001891
2025-11-16 0.041559 0.081725 0.156240 0.304603 0.593935 1.135963 2.235547
2025-11-23 0.038192 0.077382 0.152237 0.305688 0.613914 1.208342 2.450291
2025-11-30 0.035544 0.074141 0.149979 0.309921 0.640546 1.296417 2.706580
2025-12-07 0.032081 0.068812 0.142976 0.303716 0.645293 1.341519 2.880282
2025-12-14 0.029386 0.064753 0.138063 0.301192 0.657203 1.402087 3.092763
2025-12-21 0.027475 0.062140 0.135844 0.304080 0.680816 1.489265 3.372037
2025-12-28 0.026778 0.062115 0.139118 0.319279 0.732922 1.642613 3.814678
2026-01-04 0.025708 0.061113 0.140130 0.329487 0.774914 1.778106 4.232145
2026-01-11 0.024534 0.059730 0.140125 0.337328 0.812276 1.907007 4.648800
2026-01-18 0.023121 0.057610 0.138194 0.340398 0.838699 2.013435 5.023882
2026-01-25 0.021388 0.054513 0.133631 0.336603 0.848115 2.080783 5.311145
2026-02-01 0.019389 0.050522 0.126500 0.325673 0.838692 2.101788 5.484969