Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.174303 0.202137 0.232997 0.269752 0.312351 0.360188 0.418010
2025-06-15 0.131273 0.168610 0.214389 0.274681 0.352076 0.448206 0.576889
2025-06-22 0.104415 0.143859 0.195685 0.268830 0.369567 0.503699 0.696365
2025-06-29 0.087362 0.127449 0.183174 0.266392 0.387785 0.558870 0.819217
2025-07-06 0.075932 0.116397 0.175461 0.268092 0.410125 0.620416 0.956882
2025-07-13 0.069769 0.111803 0.175901 0.280943 0.449380 0.710056 1.146377
2025-07-20 0.063903 0.106632 0.174441 0.290112 0.483334 0.794710 1.337835
2025-07-27 0.058834 0.101918 0.172863 0.298463 0.516370 0.880941 1.541654
2025-08-03 0.053493 0.095961 0.168340 0.301006 0.539458 0.952631 1.728706
2025-08-10 0.047966 0.088916 0.161006 0.297526 0.551213 1.005520 1.888114
2025-08-17 0.042331 0.080944 0.151030 0.287914 0.550417 1.035410 2.008183
2025-08-24 0.039665 0.078139 0.150054 0.294741 0.580734 1.125221 2.251394
2025-08-31 0.036424 0.073915 0.146074 0.295609 0.600244 1.197841 2.472353
2025-09-07 0.034018 0.071056 0.144406 0.300855 0.629098 1.292083 2.749016
2025-09-14 0.030671 0.065857 0.137460 0.294445 0.633206 1.336784 2.927811
2025-09-21 0.028077 0.061915 0.132607 0.291773 0.644706 1.397749 3.148445
2025-09-28 0.026167 0.059212 0.130026 0.293636 0.666113 1.481925 3.430225
2025-10-05 0.025439 0.059033 0.132840 0.307720 0.716255 1.634235 3.884985
2025-10-12 0.024428 0.058088 0.133841 0.317770 0.758308 1.773044 4.325298
2025-10-19 0.023418 0.057023 0.134439 0.326923 0.799281 1.913856 4.787667
2025-10-26 0.022056 0.054953 0.132476 0.329710 0.825249 2.022173 5.183518
2025-11-02 0.020402 0.051975 0.128030 0.325896 0.834500 2.091153 5.488736
2025-11-09 0.018513 0.048191 0.121218 0.315361 0.825571 2.114234 5.678313