Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.223658 0.258702 0.297392 0.343272 0.396196 0.455339 0.526464
2025-10-19 0.170428 0.217985 0.275887 0.351560 0.447884 0.566462 0.723666
2025-10-26 0.140041 0.192077 0.259882 0.354687 0.483889 0.653968 0.895207
2025-11-02 0.117044 0.169971 0.242870 0.350580 0.505782 0.721572 1.044999
2025-11-09 0.097869 0.149348 0.223751 0.339073 0.513474 0.767728 1.167457
2025-11-16 0.087837 0.140114 0.218989 0.346588 0.548068 0.854492 1.357239
2025-11-23 0.078461 0.130336 0.211741 0.348685 0.573619 0.929191 1.535752
2025-11-30 0.071398 0.123137 0.207335 0.354198 0.604387 1.014259 1.739096
2025-12-07 0.063140 0.112797 0.196411 0.347290 0.613267 1.063836 1.888010
2025-12-14 0.056579 0.104489 0.187799 0.343022 0.625623 1.119695 2.052668
2025-12-21 0.052220 0.099523 0.184322 0.347185 0.652893 1.203561 2.275219
2025-12-28 0.050234 0.098646 0.187985 0.364587 0.705846 1.338238 2.604676
2026-01-04 0.047472 0.096057 0.188350 0.376130 0.749672 1.461794 2.929296
2026-01-11 0.044627 0.092975 0.187446 0.385139 0.789676 1.582478 3.262410
2026-01-18 0.041465 0.088851 0.183996 0.388564 0.818723 1.684444 3.568776
2026-01-25 0.037847 0.083336 0.177106 0.384066 0.830861 1.753462 3.814358
2026-02-01 0.033884 0.076605 0.166945 0.371465 0.824407 1.783282 3.979739
2026-02-08 0.032153 0.074562 0.166471 0.379695 0.863652 1.913023 4.375615
2026-02-15 0.030090 0.071526 0.163494 0.381990 0.889899 2.017142 4.725406
2026-02-22 0.028496 0.069380 0.162248 0.388028 0.925154 2.144438 5.141329
2026-03-01 0.026086 0.065022 0.155491 0.380464 0.927935 2.198448 5.391676
2026-03-08 0.024097 0.061456 0.150199 0.375789 0.937016 2.267766 5.685828
2026-03-15 0.022853 0.059594 0.148766 0.380348 0.968984 2.394207 6.133043