Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 10.160189 11.731803 13.414393 15.343960 17.489546 19.796074 22.456943
2025-07-13 8.424134 10.523136 12.907824 15.797535 19.183304 23.003191 27.616250
2025-07-20 7.169037 9.575923 12.450101 16.093609 20.544605 25.759253 32.280960
2025-07-27 6.101742 8.664379 11.865001 16.086789 21.433550 27.901070 36.229188
2025-08-03 5.022164 7.574833 10.905393 15.468328 21.445624 28.891933 38.737989
2025-08-10 4.296868 6.850704 10.317732 15.230948 21.860509 30.332201 41.790278
2025-08-17 3.665028 6.170724 9.706058 14.880275 22.058924 31.451197 44.420425
2025-08-24 3.189470 5.655215 9.262287 14.700985 22.439942 32.782218 47.329036
2025-08-31 2.741393 5.123596 8.737601 14.349783 22.535502 33.701144 49.685654
2025-09-07 2.464214 4.827341 8.529509 14.428001 23.216083 35.413976 53.138036
2025-09-14 2.185450 4.493257 8.228877 14.335779 23.628036 36.748179 56.090724
2025-09-21 1.995598 4.287953 8.109743 14.502453 24.411926 38.614219 59.817215
2025-09-28 1.822659 4.094843 7.996553 14.672509 25.210722 40.534684 63.691312
2025-10-05 1.714323 4.007710 8.049991 15.104763 26.417398 43.073626 68.505449
2025-10-12 1.591550 3.877672 8.016931 15.388072 27.397085 45.300764 72.920905
2025-10-19 1.436824 3.664637 7.818998 15.380490 27.911386 46.843488 76.371588
2025-10-26 1.218033 3.289455 7.295400 14.783527 27.450496 46.895304 77.620033
2025-11-02 1.073141 3.050412 6.999380 14.554433 27.563214 47.806604 80.148739
2025-11-09 0.932557 2.799483 6.656625 14.216237 27.472417 48.389577 82.185090
2025-11-16 0.825837 2.610492 6.416345 14.043357 27.642382 49.372706 84.838807
2025-11-23 0.715283 2.393769 6.099090 13.704803 27.508891 49.863171 86.737987
2025-11-30 0.653710 2.291090 6.006966 13.780190 28.085887 51.494103 90.426723
2025-12-07 0.584645 2.157073 5.835725 13.691297 28.367128 52.649687 93.393071