Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 10.148472 11.704264 13.374116 15.294459 17.436459 19.746768 22.421487
2025-09-07 7.972472 10.051812 12.444235 15.380215 18.864637 22.845740 27.714818
2025-09-14 6.620509 8.943999 11.763026 15.394081 19.902309 25.268709 32.088175
2025-09-21 5.723147 8.202103 11.347701 15.565227 20.997458 27.679436 36.430915
2025-09-28 4.964237 7.511647 10.878738 15.558222 21.783625 29.662670 40.252774
2025-10-05 4.496911 7.140442 10.762095 15.954167 23.054921 32.260535 44.904144
2025-10-12 4.067177 6.761781 10.580587 16.216190 24.122118 34.598685 49.271737
2025-10-19 3.651604 6.350124 10.302214 16.298561 24.915665 36.571731 53.195979
2025-10-26 3.162382 5.766687 9.714141 15.877511 24.955229 37.492242 55.701778
2025-11-02 2.771705 5.291731 9.239334 15.572321 25.117129 38.555762 58.404940
2025-11-09 2.428310 4.853142 8.777182 15.241069 25.202116 39.487827 60.926934
2025-11-16 2.138671 4.471385 8.368157 14.953055 25.318345 40.445766 63.490806
2025-11-23 1.845501 4.051403 7.863975 14.483153 25.136998 40.970585 65.467608
2025-11-30 1.682202 3.851142 7.710162 14.564282 25.803077 42.759024 69.328544
2025-12-07 1.526239 3.645271 7.526573 14.577525 26.351866 44.378148 72.975634
2025-12-14 1.408935 3.501319 7.438596 14.741163 27.140242 46.376850 77.235823
2025-12-21 1.280313 3.317723 7.261301 14.734465 27.642038 47.941110 80.874651
2025-12-28 1.212909 3.255722 7.303985 15.113093 28.791541 50.542408 86.156858
2026-01-04 1.135646 3.162450 7.278180 15.363697 29.730559 52.834237 91.016392
2026-01-11 1.046070 3.029809 7.163740 15.442485 30.374381 54.668640 95.205645
2026-01-18 0.916335 2.785079 6.803774 15.039784 30.162116 55.109190 97.209762
2026-01-25 0.811323 2.584302 6.514338 14.747946 30.123130 55.819302 99.645683
2026-02-01 0.715488 2.391637 6.223415 14.431238 30.018920 56.408855 101.892048