Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 10.932616 12.590972 14.369443 16.413173 18.691233 21.146777 23.988035
2025-08-10 8.368775 10.537547 13.031480 16.090734 19.720299 23.866337 28.936466
2025-08-17 6.778006 9.151769 12.032369 15.743938 20.354122 25.844671 32.825956
2025-08-24 5.653602 8.114020 11.241824 15.443164 20.864516 27.545084 36.310373
2025-08-31 4.717307 7.168445 10.421484 14.959713 21.019207 28.714304 39.090803
2025-09-07 4.164040 6.656238 10.090948 15.041874 21.847349 30.711221 42.938824
2025-09-14 3.686844 6.185320 9.753800 15.056856 22.544170 32.523523 46.575570
2025-09-21 3.328838 5.842435 9.553006 15.222952 23.424089 34.582367 50.583046
2025-09-28 2.977269 5.465082 9.259025 15.215684 24.034390 36.271097 54.123199
2025-10-05 2.768373 5.288678 9.244190 15.603279 25.209110 38.764538 58.832776
2025-10-12 2.555186 5.079393 9.155054 15.860673 26.189303 41.002750 63.242924
2025-10-19 2.332839 4.828238 8.974101 15.954233 26.914525 42.885403 67.192768
2025-10-26 2.032927 4.408864 8.487931 15.537822 26.849989 43.628452 69.554704
2025-11-02 1.789008 4.062089 8.091143 15.232153 26.929246 44.571611 72.223057
2025-11-09 1.570987 3.736461 7.699476 14.900777 26.937630 45.390797 74.713495
2025-11-16 1.385649 3.451020 7.351584 14.613391 26.990270 46.262859 77.290682
2025-11-23 1.199311 3.137898 6.923110 14.151553 26.723421 46.616731 79.075794
2025-11-30 1.100538 2.998661 6.806935 14.230033 27.351077 48.380075 83.057266
2025-12-07 1.004155 2.851839 6.662391 14.244344 27.863994 49.969739 86.804755
2025-12-14 0.932238 2.751586 6.600141 14.403009 28.625933 51.975453 91.249081
2025-12-21 0.850515 2.616813 6.455883 14.396066 29.093592 53.511661 94.985190
2025-12-28 0.810662 2.579561 6.509065 14.766373 30.238280 56.185609 100.595424
2026-01-04 0.762694 2.515376 6.499576 15.012328 31.166653 58.523826 105.718817