Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 10.832580 12.468376 14.220972 16.233016 18.473519 20.886182 23.675000
2025-09-28 8.482613 10.662516 13.163852 16.225623 19.850329 23.982061 29.024001
2025-10-05 7.260190 9.755207 12.768429 16.633087 21.411999 27.079430 34.255993
2025-10-12 6.332206 9.012289 12.393410 16.902743 22.682124 29.759072 38.988613
2025-10-19 5.543965 8.317654 11.958119 16.985544 23.634806 32.005991 43.202449
2025-10-26 4.723614 7.465321 11.205617 16.547003 23.825408 33.229905 46.106034
2025-11-02 4.087967 6.787430 10.606197 16.231471 24.108390 34.527840 49.094966
2025-11-09 3.546889 6.179343 10.036197 15.888028 24.295025 35.661334 51.861874
2025-11-16 3.100288 5.659954 9.538971 15.592157 24.500503 36.792011 54.625990
2025-11-23 2.672423 5.118260 8.953959 15.110395 24.389487 37.450455 56.732145
2025-11-30 2.429438 4.851433 8.763904 15.196334 25.088945 39.248171 60.454799
2025-12-07 2.202149 4.584443 8.547010 15.216598 25.676151 40.889073 63.989544
2025-12-14 2.022328 4.384655 8.426861 15.385247 26.501796 42.916663 68.165547
2025-12-21 1.830158 4.139767 8.209214 15.377604 27.046933 44.542472 71.803066
2025-12-28 1.723586 4.044082 8.236623 15.767500 28.222374 47.134914 76.921231
2026-01-04 1.606572 3.913892 8.190587 16.025577 29.190377 49.435965 81.662526
2026-01-11 1.475283 3.738906 8.048005 16.104828 29.864129 51.299120 85.788772
2026-01-18 1.292449 3.432664 7.636552 15.685120 29.690343 51.833793 87.903834
2026-01-25 1.144560 3.181800 7.306228 15.383190 29.689125 52.624644 90.416126
2026-02-01 1.010048 2.942100 6.975273 15.054607 29.619135 53.292031 92.740815
2026-02-08 0.894918 2.730914 6.681205 14.771582 29.606948 54.040592 95.198812
2026-02-15 0.775980 2.492116 6.307858 14.310828 29.255200 54.214963 96.740096
2026-02-22 0.716369 2.394168 6.220517 14.393011 29.865864 55.982166 100.858972