Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 9.522850 11.020403 12.626302 14.470714 16.524583 18.735486 21.289306
2025-06-15 7.670397 9.627403 11.858454 14.570479 17.757326 21.362273 25.726434
2025-06-22 6.309677 8.497282 11.125003 14.473500 18.583528 23.418982 29.489680
2025-06-29 5.421365 7.769741 10.721994 14.638308 19.623270 25.679662 33.509131
2025-07-06 4.736261 7.186768 10.397179 14.810733 20.609655 27.852089 37.449845
2025-07-13 4.281409 6.839020 10.314956 15.244924 21.901463 30.411889 41.926835
2025-07-20 3.856768 6.472496 10.153592 15.529124 22.972212 32.693426 46.095502
2025-07-27 3.411211 6.016680 9.813029 15.517905 23.611815 34.401149 49.542537
2025-08-03 2.872328 5.350833 9.101186 14.912186 23.371291 34.890171 51.354956
2025-08-10 2.507293 4.912899 8.680763 14.681944 23.619482 36.019563 54.029358
2025-08-17 2.168638 4.475104 8.216213 14.340842 23.669638 36.850822 56.293292
2025-08-24 1.909246 4.140089 7.880320 14.162628 23.932065 37.967751 58.962642
2025-08-31 1.644935 3.764711 7.447580 13.804117 23.906106 38.672740 61.082040
2025-09-07 1.491542 3.576012 7.309036 13.901014 24.567924 40.383899 64.670441
2025-09-14 1.325955 3.341175 7.067958 13.807968 24.919966 41.638397 67.621439
2025-09-21 1.215410 3.202536 6.983701 13.966844 25.667948 43.495885 71.490404
2025-09-28 1.117044 3.076074 6.909172 14.132985 26.426837 45.383634 75.442453
2025-10-05 1.059169 3.030041 6.979470 14.551284 27.606702 47.940262 80.444558
2025-10-12 0.988978 2.946864 6.970695 14.825125 28.553037 50.156466 84.980234
2025-10-19 0.894389 2.793481 6.810990 14.814320 29.017402 51.628217 88.415277
2025-10-26 0.753986 2.506453 6.356638 14.230757 28.479451 51.497551 89.387597
2025-11-02 0.663100 2.327830 6.106501 14.008983 28.545534 52.317822 91.831219
2025-11-09 0.573925 2.137371 5.812068 13.680475 28.404657 52.791559 93.734924