Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 10.469076 12.073991 13.797792 15.781687 17.996398 20.387175 23.157554
2025-07-13 8.403884 10.583379 13.091730 16.171448 19.828865 24.010951 29.130606
2025-07-20 7.126891 9.602079 12.603614 16.469344 21.270071 26.987574 34.258688
2025-07-27 6.144653 8.777835 12.117296 16.594806 22.364591 29.467589 38.780909
2025-08-03 5.175403 7.816216 11.309487 16.170806 22.649603 30.866301 41.936018
2025-08-10 4.436449 7.057948 10.663584 15.854414 22.984864 32.270067 45.080809
2025-08-17 3.821309 6.391360 10.060096 15.512837 23.216270 33.493622 47.983377
2025-08-24 3.319789 5.827156 9.535807 15.216032 23.453412 34.691342 50.851767
2025-08-31 2.848293 5.249731 8.930387 14.737832 23.377786 35.422634 53.075433
2025-09-07 2.577425 4.959091 8.724550 14.819982 24.088266 37.247409 56.842943
2025-09-14 2.326145 4.670300 8.491254 14.832450 24.678892 38.905025 60.411877
2025-09-21 2.131870 4.456204 8.354888 14.976427 25.458662 40.846727 64.431354
2025-09-28 1.920159 4.190039 8.114561 14.943424 25.972844 42.432434 68.016292
2025-10-05 1.800114 4.079175 8.124950 15.313358 27.124222 44.997571 73.110372
2025-10-12 1.678071 3.949536 8.089321 15.598055 28.144260 47.390109 78.011654
2025-10-19 1.543592 3.778835 7.964513 15.717994 28.895458 49.387953 82.370467
2025-10-26 1.351915 3.466720 7.554291 15.312687 28.758416 49.996453 84.627805
2025-11-02 1.195431 3.207695 7.218264 15.010298 28.767150 50.818498 87.219055
2025-11-09 1.053893 2.961729 6.883844 14.683892 28.710363 51.521682 89.630906
2025-11-16 0.932742 2.744811 6.585723 14.400315 28.705347 52.295945 92.161962
2025-11-23 0.808526 2.501705 6.210978 13.943519 28.367567 52.505284 93.788498
2025-11-30 0.745457 2.400036 6.119765 14.021983 28.978185 54.288803 97.976209
2025-12-07 0.682533 2.289577 5.999568 14.033893 29.464718 55.874443 101.878340