Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 14.272992 16.356391 18.572747 21.099038 23.891577 26.876805 30.301956
2025-01-19 11.755356 14.528291 17.650552 21.402466 25.763368 30.646855 36.502476
2025-01-26 10.226925 13.459027 17.271721 22.050962 27.828067 34.531140 42.838195
2025-02-02 8.997058 12.522034 16.853979 22.485284 29.521588 37.929694 48.634529
2025-02-09 7.854013 11.521359 16.202919 22.493912 30.591322 40.522246 53.466306
2025-02-16 6.585780 10.193056 14.977823 21.622138 30.425308 41.494875 56.248316
2025-02-23 5.757502 9.358053 14.301982 21.370349 30.975247 43.316202 60.080207
2025-03-02 4.979983 8.501834 13.506673 20.868903 31.120078 44.564834 63.159196
2025-03-09 4.405976 7.878203 12.973075 20.666423 31.618120 46.248743 66.808695
2025-03-16 3.836985 7.196686 12.290431 20.187469 31.679127 47.312186 69.625823
2025-03-23 3.487282 6.824158 12.030832 20.289404 32.535755 49.453973 73.920884
2025-03-30 3.145575 6.426244 11.695290 20.244390 33.158347 51.268344 77.793179
2025-04-06 2.896289 6.163476 11.555237 20.489371 34.216314 53.731157 82.643706
2025-04-13 2.659710 5.896669 11.384653 20.668100 35.169699 56.059623 87.352501
2025-04-20 2.521311 5.793637 11.472850 21.251497 36.742938 59.308618 93.425954
2025-04-27 2.363474 5.636240 11.454352 21.654314 38.044076 62.186291 99.025607
2025-05-04 2.155199 5.357106 11.202725 21.655219 38.711561 64.140069 103.328410
2025-05-11 1.842887 4.830038 10.470120 20.806670 37.998095 64.009349 104.582684
2025-05-18 1.648855 4.523635 10.109526 20.561365 38.222659 65.273274 107.888713
2025-05-25 1.445157 4.168894 9.628770 20.074694 38.026181 65.877800 110.214259
2025-06-01 1.296989 3.918614 9.325119 19.878211 38.288678 67.180162 113.595572
2025-06-08 1.135636 3.614085 8.888965 19.413824 38.077596 67.729475 115.837692
2025-06-15 1.046477 3.472301 8.766107 19.512613 38.813606 69.771526 120.380972