Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 7.300843 8.524601 9.845391 11.371502 13.080694 14.930367 17.077735
2025-04-13 5.771541 7.351270 9.171144 11.404320 14.051428 17.069360 20.749392
2025-04-20 4.871945 6.677936 8.874133 11.703089 15.209207 19.369321 24.632313
2025-04-27 4.176093 6.115501 8.590006 11.914416 16.193276 21.441677 28.284237
2025-05-04 3.553516 5.541172 8.193975 11.898085 16.830480 23.060742 31.399079
2025-05-11 2.884659 4.800984 7.479055 11.365776 16.717277 23.671795 33.215374
2025-05-18 2.448980 4.328052 7.066252 11.179482 17.011152 24.777913 35.666076
2025-05-25 2.067419 3.880153 6.633204 10.909267 17.143753 25.641252 37.793262
2025-06-01 1.779651 3.538158 6.315365 10.764982 17.420764 26.684187 40.169637
2025-06-08 1.505915 3.179012 5.929666 10.477120 17.454874 27.368340 42.052922
2025-06-15 1.344708 2.991688 5.795069 10.554927 18.016523 28.800098 45.003574
2025-06-22 1.177387 2.768533 5.576637 10.476778 18.326697 29.867802 47.458358
2025-06-29 1.061529 2.628545 5.487913 10.603191 18.959026 31.433050 50.686447
2025-07-06 0.958222 2.497997 5.401394 10.722282 19.578028 32.991870 53.943692
2025-07-13 0.894251 2.439275 5.437028 11.046014 20.531054 35.075590 58.021700
2025-07-20 0.823234 2.354682 5.415411 11.265191 21.318502 36.926321 61.797734
2025-07-27 0.733447 2.213852 5.272417 11.257116 21.725967 38.199090 64.735248
2025-08-03 0.603273 1.954998 4.870951 10.751078 21.270190 38.104409 65.591034
2025-08-10 0.521873 1.799275 4.658957 10.574237 21.356124 38.853745 67.742473
2025-08-17 0.444168 1.637151 4.415099 10.316364 21.283034 39.337698 69.485555
2025-08-24 0.385584 1.514360 4.241440 10.178628 21.408668 40.138499 71.733945
2025-08-31 0.325186 1.372325 4.008175 9.903486 21.270243 40.495101 73.281357
2025-09-07 0.293736 1.310475 3.951104 9.977923 21.765276 41.908583 76.537748