Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 15.191806 17.338147 19.621484 22.225109 25.105215 28.187175 31.727915
2025-10-26 11.763088 14.590864 17.800138 21.688279 26.246284 31.394588 37.622450
2025-11-02 9.682292 12.816351 16.554760 21.295074 27.094030 33.903458 42.445896
2025-11-09 8.151560 11.422464 15.495982 20.865083 27.671072 35.921970 46.581791
2025-11-16 6.983905 10.309728 14.616494 20.492094 28.176035 37.751659 50.437743
2025-11-23 5.954299 9.242278 13.661513 19.888921 28.271560 38.984657 53.504052
2025-11-30 5.343425 8.672600 13.296343 19.997750 29.244657 41.317799 57.996018
2025-12-07 4.811895 8.152085 12.938293 20.061091 30.118485 43.511073 62.337622
2025-12-14 4.393781 7.751227 12.704900 20.259523 31.154000 45.922875 67.012849
2025-12-21 3.983827 7.316956 12.378776 20.284942 31.921172 47.968151 71.228453
2025-12-28 3.742875 7.124795 12.393023 20.794762 33.380098 50.992769 76.849869
2026-01-04 3.492080 6.889246 12.316405 21.150471 34.612362 53.721287 82.120804
2026-01-11 3.203798 6.566020 12.082675 21.256968 35.488742 55.988820 86.841173
2026-01-18 2.821112 6.036761 11.473540 20.732963 35.381550 56.822872 89.535447
2026-01-25 2.509591 5.600759 10.980610 20.353884 35.460553 57.907588 92.593768
2026-02-01 2.227237 5.186821 10.489565 19.939551 35.450774 58.840241 95.432845
2026-02-08 1.984703 4.821576 10.051939 19.580193 35.498213 59.841635 98.378586
2026-02-15 1.737061 4.415804 9.507132 18.999158 35.150990 60.214883 100.377148
2026-02-22 1.606924 4.239012 9.366261 19.103983 35.917739 62.310860 105.008298
2026-03-01 1.482998 4.060999 9.208132 19.164996 36.606406 64.295330 109.507696
2026-03-08 1.385038 3.929096 9.127214 19.356143 37.514004 66.640649 114.607209
2026-03-15 1.276996 3.761100 8.961885 19.380630 38.132563 68.535866 119.045201
2026-03-22 1.225619 3.720770 9.047667 19.871796 39.567069 71.769836 125.636992