Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 6.729103 7.837154 9.034358 10.419635 11.973804 13.659053 15.619923
2025-12-28 5.320677 6.815853 8.554309 10.707690 13.284938 16.251470 19.904041
2026-01-04 4.444790 6.130368 8.203092 10.903814 14.290987 18.357792 23.564847
2026-01-11 3.762706 5.537285 7.827889 10.943317 15.005456 20.053407 26.722848
2026-01-18 3.113590 4.876397 7.258891 10.631206 15.187282 21.027060 28.960705
2026-01-25 2.622282 4.355339 6.800186 10.389485 15.396355 21.992834 31.176313
2026-02-01 2.212946 3.892142 6.360918 10.113027 15.505751 22.793000 33.166947
2026-02-08 1.880895 3.498316 5.972967 9.859692 15.604367 23.551434 35.098176
2026-02-15 1.588363 3.125553 5.572793 9.542511 15.570992 24.100112 36.735103
2026-02-22 1.423022 2.941290 5.442696 9.613145 16.092252 25.431746 39.490164
2026-03-01 1.272709 2.762199 5.300283 9.646042 16.546583 26.671844 42.144820
2026-03-08 1.150714 2.617496 5.198390 9.729491 17.072094 28.024107 44.993650
2026-03-15 1.027514 2.456007 5.055227 9.737945 17.485470 29.235023 47.695606
2026-03-22 0.958475 2.391540 5.075207 10.017215 18.337679 31.132167 51.467939
2026-03-29 0.883524 2.304318 5.044351 10.203141 19.041713 32.821476 54.974797
2026-04-05 0.797754 2.181636 4.934959 10.240563 19.497304 34.135730 57.946972
2026-04-12 0.683884 1.979041 4.652322 9.944970 19.374670 34.531412 59.516856
2026-04-19 0.591694 1.810473 4.417848 9.716102 19.345993 35.064361 61.302077
2026-04-26 0.508129 1.647707 4.177094 9.454409 19.240411 35.460321 62.873223
2026-05-03 0.437111 1.503142 3.957925 9.214668 19.155057 35.877288 64.478798
2026-05-10 0.370617 1.357096 3.718603 8.914596 18.940277 36.064174 65.710827
2026-05-17 0.337739 1.297929 3.665318 8.981412 19.393957 37.379500 68.797549
2026-05-24 0.305790 1.235380 3.597569 9.012532 19.779968 38.588462 71.737684