Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 9.163046 10.621364 12.186914 13.986815 15.993046 18.154574 20.653432
2025-05-04 7.323878 9.219734 11.385377 14.022570 17.126507 20.642725 24.905061
2025-05-11 5.758394 7.806081 10.276937 13.438095 17.332047 21.927617 27.713403
2025-05-18 4.770665 6.909740 9.618557 13.234507 17.862587 23.512158 30.846584
2025-05-25 3.968819 6.120987 8.972350 12.929550 18.171683 24.764518 33.555086
2025-06-01 3.380046 5.529149 8.498018 12.766306 18.596656 26.123781 36.395008
2025-06-08 2.848844 4.941983 7.955020 12.437052 18.740501 27.080616 38.707836
2025-06-15 2.526155 4.618288 7.741315 12.526496 19.426193 28.746420 41.974988
2025-06-22 2.208724 4.258966 7.433137 12.440953 19.839266 30.034671 44.755115
2025-06-29 1.991316 4.032212 7.298240 12.587396 20.570743 31.766020 48.171422
2025-07-06 1.804002 3.831167 7.180356 12.740555 21.303804 33.508882 51.640484
2025-07-13 1.684346 3.733166 7.215328 13.123446 22.382876 35.765758 55.880807
2025-07-20 1.549159 3.592359 7.169541 13.377154 23.281750 37.801824 59.885431
2025-07-27 1.385319 3.375412 6.973366 13.369187 23.769236 39.244483 63.072406
2025-08-03 1.156006 2.995784 6.456044 12.789218 23.323708 39.278599 64.204017
2025-08-10 1.009066 2.762553 6.177027 12.586200 23.455938 40.167000 66.594227
2025-08-17 0.869172 2.522106 5.859833 12.290200 23.413752 40.775948 68.571411
2025-08-24 0.762300 2.338390 5.631792 12.132154 23.583136 41.704867 71.040152
2025-08-31 0.652478 2.128405 5.329909 11.815528 23.463805 42.168399 72.801951
2025-09-07 0.593101 2.032814 5.249816 11.901154 24.027843 43.720525 76.261373
2025-09-14 0.525613 1.904300 5.087931 11.818945 24.292512 44.795069 78.999863
2025-09-21 0.482681 1.834382 5.044268 11.959474 24.949662 46.516480 82.781728
2025-09-28 0.444115 1.769929 5.006118 12.106487 25.620480 48.273727 86.653949