Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 7.670813 8.942395 10.313144 11.895189 13.665102 15.578549 17.797809
2025-04-13 6.093129 7.740443 9.634439 11.954405 14.699803 17.825057 21.630578
2025-04-20 5.159065 7.046104 9.334792 12.275971 15.913396 20.221126 25.661414
2025-04-27 4.432865 6.462275 9.043143 12.500597 16.939424 22.372002 29.440569
2025-05-04 3.780761 5.863518 8.632432 12.485866 17.602223 24.048753 32.657425
2025-05-11 3.077982 5.089542 7.887832 11.933523 17.485610 24.680749 34.530445
2025-05-18 2.619229 4.594373 7.457582 11.740256 17.790240 25.823467 37.055717
2025-05-25 2.216596 4.124744 7.005731 11.459429 17.927401 26.714581 39.245891
2025-06-01 1.912360 3.765777 6.673916 11.309437 18.214080 27.790855 41.691714
2025-06-08 1.622358 3.388334 6.270928 11.010009 18.249013 28.496261 43.628739
2025-06-15 1.451319 3.191371 6.130351 11.090971 18.830477 29.973411 46.663892
2025-06-22 1.274885 2.959240 5.906792 11.017537 19.163584 31.092324 49.213498
2025-06-29 1.151623 2.812047 5.814613 11.150082 19.819866 32.709298 52.536301
2025-07-06 1.041467 2.674520 5.724393 11.274480 20.461414 34.317984 55.886180
2025-07-13 0.973186 2.612700 5.761966 11.611602 21.448337 36.467060 60.077848
2025-07-20 0.897258 2.523476 5.739498 11.839752 22.263350 38.374768 63.956933
2025-07-27 0.801081 2.374715 5.589829 11.831373 22.684783 39.685908 66.972856
2025-08-03 0.661274 2.100859 5.169135 11.304745 22.212649 39.587186 67.849463
2025-08-10 0.573643 1.935943 4.946905 11.120677 22.301285 40.358558 70.056928
2025-08-17 0.489782 1.764047 4.691116 10.852198 22.225292 40.856293 71.844556
2025-08-24 0.426409 1.633727 4.508894 10.708774 22.355014 41.680515 74.150729
2025-08-31 0.360898 1.482794 4.263968 10.422215 22.211400 42.046921 75.736842
2025-09-07 0.326719 1.417045 4.204083 10.499746 22.723469 43.502196 79.076828