Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-15 5.586786 6.529179 7.550812 8.736783 10.071627 11.523530 13.218033
2026-03-22 4.388196 5.654086 7.134152 8.977220 11.194496 13.759196 16.932050
2026-03-29 3.657640 5.082583 6.847316 9.162222 12.084356 15.614162 20.160153
2026-04-05 3.088989 4.586512 6.535863 9.208152 12.718835 17.112186 22.955841
2026-04-12 2.542916 4.024350 6.046240 8.934201 12.869537 17.953815 24.913344
2026-04-19 2.131665 3.582701 5.652428 8.722008 13.044907 18.790268 26.855246
2026-04-26 1.783307 3.179653 5.258516 8.454318 13.096562 19.430637 28.529986
2026-05-03 1.507574 2.846899 4.924607 8.228866 13.169250 20.075263 30.207627
2026-05-10 1.268821 2.538321 4.589821 7.962441 13.147442 20.564670 31.666070
2026-05-17 1.136180 2.389742 4.487837 8.035332 13.617752 21.757665 34.141743
2026-05-24 1.014860 2.243589 4.372388 8.071390 14.024030 22.863296 36.521095
2026-05-31 0.913734 2.120058 4.280537 8.133057 14.464453 24.026899 39.015027
2026-06-07 0.813335 1.985464 4.158431 8.137706 14.818772 25.083416 41.404560
2026-06-14 0.755902 1.928820 4.169010 8.365577 15.539947 26.721749 44.715024
2026-06-21 0.697426 1.861299 4.151711 8.540208 16.177391 28.248684 47.900465
2026-06-28 0.629529 1.763018 4.065705 8.583563 16.593023 29.437875 50.600761
2026-07-05 0.537204 1.594362 3.824901 8.325009 16.477270 29.772493 51.980854
2026-07-12 0.462814 1.454503 3.625575 8.124798 16.444814 30.230433 53.557166
2026-07-19 0.393580 1.314229 3.409098 7.872298 16.300968 30.492883 54.821579
2026-07-26 0.336681 1.194446 3.221968 7.659704 16.211710 30.834288 56.213173
2026-08-02 0.284575 1.076540 3.024559 7.408554 16.033576 31.012571 57.336153
2026-08-09 0.259477 1.030797 2.985732 7.477257 16.449605 32.210582 60.161084
2026-08-16 0.234792 0.981349 2.932673 7.511246 16.799355 33.302921 62.837226