Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 14.186126 16.218640 18.384100 20.856836 23.595975 26.530987 29.907276
2025-10-19 11.314068 14.057641 17.176037 20.959466 25.400844 30.423944 36.507985
2025-10-26 9.230248 12.248504 15.856583 20.440886 26.059792 32.669595 40.975748
2025-11-02 7.779161 10.931500 14.867003 20.065959 26.670374 34.692687 45.076536
2025-11-09 6.637178 9.831784 13.980867 19.656616 27.097883 36.392368 48.732527
2025-11-16 5.735410 8.927242 13.227899 19.302000 27.495707 37.987785 52.233821
2025-11-23 4.915610 8.033174 12.386910 18.727623 27.515208 39.033209 55.001150
2025-11-30 4.433320 7.565363 12.079368 18.831097 28.407842 41.211366 59.275418
2025-12-07 4.007036 7.130963 11.771817 18.891337 29.212335 43.267912 63.422457
2025-12-14 3.670136 6.796348 11.574786 19.079948 30.180435 45.554244 67.925079
2025-12-21 3.334697 6.426627 11.288632 19.104132 30.892073 47.486247 71.976207
2025-12-28 3.142891 6.273722 11.320498 19.597407 32.292653 50.413883 77.479107
2026-01-04 2.922791 6.054367 11.234867 19.909359 33.445764 53.043139 82.670081
2026-01-11 2.681707 5.772471 11.023715 20.004797 34.266024 55.208347 87.254142
2026-01-18 2.360254 5.307591 10.468270 19.505655 34.135861 55.958320 89.795535
2026-01-25 2.098756 4.924932 10.019496 19.144877 34.189772 56.962610 92.712387
2026-02-01 1.861310 4.560823 9.571606 18.751037 34.160279 57.822564 95.418542
2026-02-08 1.657350 4.239466 9.172550 18.409898 34.188776 58.755479 98.239541
2026-02-15 1.448273 3.880609 8.673029 17.857442 33.835003 59.071215 100.116878
2026-02-22 1.339737 3.726772 8.547365 17.956959 34.562793 61.087394 104.629294
2026-03-01 1.236112 3.571270 8.405257 18.014896 35.215799 62.995513 109.012057
2026-03-08 1.154423 3.456657 8.334220 18.196307 36.081310 65.259540 113.993796
2026-03-15 1.063809 3.309246 8.184676 18.219568 36.667804 67.082616 118.318179