Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 10.369024 11.983385 13.711742 15.693631 17.897051 20.265229 22.996449
2025-03-02 8.046996 10.102368 12.443745 15.287373 18.625580 22.397816 26.959432
2025-03-09 6.582775 8.873122 11.622629 15.123472 19.416194 24.460919 30.786480
2025-03-16 5.406264 7.782426 10.774549 14.747851 19.808189 25.957227 33.905424
2025-03-23 4.677597 7.139984 10.373787 14.826355 20.681753 27.997408 37.691901
2025-03-30 4.045535 6.531957 9.929818 14.768244 21.319997 29.712936 41.083764
2025-04-06 3.601236 6.123075 9.696284 14.939627 22.224952 31.762617 44.932325
2025-04-13 3.224960 5.762316 9.483129 15.098550 23.088290 33.757242 48.743857
2025-04-20 2.976027 5.562296 9.473518 15.524687 24.314764 36.254942 53.275518
2025-04-27 2.725277 5.327140 9.383332 15.812184 25.338928 38.492372 57.504699
2025-05-04 2.438114 4.996300 9.112785 15.801304 25.915841 40.112033 60.918595
2025-05-11 2.053939 4.450462 8.452103 15.142429 25.495388 40.297030 62.329782
2025-05-18 1.804821 4.116044 8.106835 14.951374 25.760257 41.464923 65.157815
2025-05-25 1.555200 3.746746 7.667633 14.573599 25.710228 42.159769 67.316510
2025-06-01 1.372746 3.482088 7.382305 14.421101 25.988880 43.329304 70.171654
2025-06-08 1.183265 3.175420 6.992342 14.061570 25.913165 43.954706 72.235084
2025-06-15 1.073663 3.021414 6.865452 14.138014 26.529592 45.628825 75.869787
2025-06-22 0.959903 2.841426 6.672400 14.082409 26.920583 46.960981 79.018313
2025-06-29 0.882647 2.733621 6.607777 14.247578 27.676436 48.868968 83.067112
2025-07-06 0.811415 2.629576 6.540579 14.400679 28.412239 50.758914 87.124201
2025-07-13 0.771115 2.596133 6.612358 14.811135 29.595451 53.377950 92.344629
2025-07-20 0.721553 2.531829 6.614295 15.088095 30.555100 55.661394 97.091817
2025-07-27 0.652081 2.403958 6.470667 15.077617 31.010732 57.144443 100.625594