Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-08 5.750371 6.716214 7.762697 8.976878 10.342773 11.827723 13.559971
2026-03-15 4.388683 5.656367 7.138702 8.984751 11.205742 13.774828 16.953157
2026-03-22 3.686042 5.121951 6.899984 9.231927 12.174997 15.729377 20.306048
2026-03-29 3.171229 4.702722 6.694080 9.421166 13.000393 17.475568 23.423085
2026-04-05 2.729153 4.298086 6.431274 9.468071 13.593822 18.910027 26.169502
2026-04-12 2.273942 3.803077 5.975885 9.187692 13.697577 19.676027 28.048652
2026-04-19 1.923357 3.407192 5.605424 8.970549 13.840767 20.464806 29.953677
2026-04-26 1.619859 3.038637 5.228539 8.696491 13.862575 21.061384 31.593802
2026-05-03 1.376784 2.731474 4.907138 8.465610 13.912411 21.675329 33.256279
2026-05-10 1.163661 2.443366 4.581914 8.192836 13.867932 22.133667 34.696035
2026-05-17 1.046620 2.307560 4.487270 8.267445 14.340345 23.344758 37.238905
2026-05-24 0.938333 2.172271 4.377940 8.304434 14.747703 24.466223 39.680495
2026-05-31 0.844984 2.054411 4.289438 8.371637 15.210057 25.696256 42.341116
2026-06-07 0.753832 1.927598 4.171534 8.377230 15.568839 26.778011 44.813964
2026-06-14 0.702809 1.876675 4.186450 8.610581 16.306379 28.464360 48.246909
2026-06-21 0.650189 1.814437 4.172905 8.789317 16.956917 30.032693 51.542674
2026-06-28 0.588126 1.721431 4.089887 8.833624 17.377407 31.246309 54.321757
2026-07-05 0.502438 1.558715 3.850733 8.568805 17.246972 31.564598 55.704073
2026-07-12 0.433330 1.423693 3.652798 8.363769 17.204080 32.014589 57.297319
2026-07-19 0.368777 1.287739 3.437098 8.105064 17.046301 32.261425 58.563419
2026-07-26 0.315673 1.171527 3.250545 7.887184 16.945852 32.592608 59.966114
2026-08-02 0.266924 1.056827 3.053323 7.629850 16.754068 32.754989 61.088496
2026-08-09 0.243690 1.013016 3.015763 7.700227 17.178579 33.984179 64.002911