Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 13.265471 15.210756 17.290114 19.672243 22.319621 25.165335 28.449294
2025-07-27 10.554045 13.174398 16.168330 19.819404 24.127387 29.023836 34.983733
2025-08-03 8.578617 11.451274 14.908289 19.329411 24.783587 31.239919 39.403603
2025-08-10 7.202810 10.192496 13.954557 18.962871 25.373925 33.218801 43.446759
2025-08-17 6.125592 9.145920 13.104059 18.566204 25.789615 34.887066 47.064342
2025-08-24 5.277232 8.286080 12.380807 18.220418 26.173444 36.450737 50.530513
2025-08-31 4.509558 7.439674 11.576390 17.665069 26.191523 37.478512 53.278403
2025-09-07 4.058218 6.996021 11.279983 17.760926 27.056704 39.617076 57.522224
2025-09-14 3.649483 6.567190 10.957156 17.775159 27.778569 41.557579 61.535283
2025-09-21 3.340036 6.257446 10.776873 17.967800 28.738792 43.835529 66.059219
2025-09-28 3.022592 5.898132 10.484923 17.960338 29.387403 45.677889 70.014993
2025-10-05 2.839205 5.743263 10.495888 18.404676 30.707587 48.502942 75.423224
2025-10-12 2.643166 5.550027 10.434557 18.737486 31.884251 51.179497 80.736485
2025-10-19 2.430093 5.302965 10.262738 18.877342 32.762792 53.441362 85.514005
2025-10-26 2.136129 4.871524 9.741192 18.406709 32.654148 54.216559 88.120846
2025-11-02 1.895302 4.512546 9.312539 18.054727 32.701737 55.208408 91.054437
2025-11-09 1.677604 4.172497 8.886927 17.673868 32.672027 56.063846 93.788004
2025-11-16 1.490766 3.872269 8.506926 17.341910 32.695516 56.986451 96.630928
2025-11-23 1.300085 3.538489 8.033665 16.808862 32.348067 57.300632 98.530522
2025-11-30 1.200873 3.394594 7.912635 16.900862 33.055382 59.300196 103.085127
2025-12-07 1.102334 3.239618 7.756094 16.914522 33.621959 61.082622 107.336623
2025-12-14 1.029492 3.136246 7.694432 17.099422 34.489059 63.371339 112.438462
2025-12-21 0.944923 2.993055 7.538331 17.092260 35.011207 65.102776 116.686860