Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 1274.774747 1446.228540 1635.860961 1861.779619 2124.402762 2421.021592 2782.742831
2025-10-19 1012.397058 1240.080350 1515.235412 1874.908316 2336.546724 2914.401391 3700.729312
2025-10-26 866.817338 1116.934131 1437.618811 1884.179027 2498.261066 3325.319066 4544.578569
2025-11-02 781.136695 1048.697028 1408.718122 1937.050548 2707.038923 3811.209109 5557.014913
2025-11-09 710.715223 987.670350 1375.885285 1971.809213 2885.301887 4269.810160 6600.887961
2025-11-16 651.440602 932.919948 1341.856981 1995.103795 3042.832904 4712.634757 7691.920739
2025-11-23 602.318970 886.106844 1311.900126 2017.165803 3196.377877 5165.673306 8877.066664
2025-11-30 564.399028 851.267407 1294.777105 2054.797997 3376.686086 5685.466567 10274.651429
2025-12-07 512.149968 788.429374 1226.256800 1998.058381 3385.601566 5902.910361 11140.684650
2025-12-14 466.769546 732.079322 1162.126813 1940.201691 3382.627435 6094.256379 11986.014272
2025-12-21 425.320381 678.372962 1097.022758 1872.647403 3351.605159 6224.937213 12726.099726
2025-12-28 411.841873 670.048799 1107.708436 1941.835363 3587.173624 6914.068454 14825.459577
2026-01-04 391.983279 649.657496 1096.437514 1970.978360 3752.503131 7495.573698 16837.614519
2026-01-11 371.435145 626.365149 1077.910841 1984.377364 3888.512949 8039.529347 18899.332148
2026-01-18 352.430543 604.106446 1058.966874 1994.295395 4017.764163 8589.195520 21113.310906
2026-01-25 341.105230 594.777582 1063.056851 2050.749137 4255.552001 9431.386366 24340.928974
2026-02-01 328.275084 581.513311 1058.249667 2087.871740 4454.953520 10217.427033 27635.756112
2026-02-08 315.052418 566.392268 1048.343071 2112.754260 4629.279289 10972.858031 31065.309836
2026-02-15 302.704755 551.954166 1038.431540 2136.322885 4803.734315 11761.822624 34848.747233
2026-02-22 292.919262 541.749052 1036.130981 2176.530974 5025.209326 12722.025515 39523.670735
2026-03-01 274.251657 512.482899 991.985108 2115.910463 4981.408509 12928.234220 41620.959503
2026-03-08 256.958633 484.846708 949.168062 2054.114337 4926.484127 13093.543007 43630.271868
2026-03-15 240.065315 456.965962 903.825805 1981.983732 4834.970744 13135.249260 45193.331214