Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1217.571577 1387.892582 1578.875558 1809.915897 2083.197500 2397.794680 2789.741394
2025-07-13 990.684218 1220.548584 1504.139230 1884.191299 2386.988094 3039.124318 3965.191308
2025-07-20 857.220164 1108.164517 1436.904830 1907.619748 2578.645880 3523.599843 4997.501991
2025-07-27 764.688698 1027.247510 1388.258923 1934.158671 2762.899828 4015.918945 6140.713003
2025-08-03 691.954853 959.738629 1343.207888 1950.734628 2924.993204 4494.267582 7366.871556
2025-08-10 646.206677 922.916316 1334.315276 2015.200513 3165.699180 5136.599050 9030.835373
2025-08-17 603.653095 884.566677 1316.288511 2059.335954 3376.078913 5764.510081 10839.709412
2025-08-24 563.320668 844.398107 1289.284524 2082.453240 3550.476285 6358.726514 12753.882859
2025-08-31 526.880271 806.103272 1260.029666 2095.928161 3706.923179 6947.690873 14839.535518
2025-09-07 499.717079 779.825662 1247.186088 2135.638312 3918.330234 7691.863301 17541.679843
2025-09-14 458.369080 725.900173 1181.027604 2067.224890 3900.886893 7938.312141 19070.965617
2025-09-21 422.614329 678.406202 1121.447447 2003.610289 3882.478507 8177.685465 20668.025992
2025-09-28 387.418331 629.915909 1057.141856 1926.166826 3829.357828 8342.385221 22177.386508
2025-10-05 376.376023 623.197071 1068.741638 2003.334076 4134.915082 9470.513205 27184.600098
2025-10-12 359.785891 604.892690 1056.508291 2028.969791 4325.884731 10354.327358 31854.056165
2025-10-19 345.011486 588.606321 1046.386222 2057.516132 4529.249371 11330.380851 37425.401723
2025-10-26 330.325464 571.233757 1032.345232 2075.389513 4709.437116 12293.759902 43563.901369
2025-11-02 322.073411 565.376264 1040.666663 2144.895130 5038.223798 13816.204279 53218.161899
2025-11-09 312.177633 555.489198 1039.688496 2192.502390 5318.199969 15279.890835 63830.290238
2025-11-16 300.903161 541.986131 1029.830819 2217.444646 5540.136176 16626.888849 75084.977189
2025-11-23 289.547869 527.464485 1016.456906 2231.985413 5735.473866 17952.979412 87574.687572
2025-11-30 281.250288 518.532749 1014.374629 2274.845345 6026.843561 19761.320947 105198.209184
2025-12-07 264.567621 491.192233 969.366940 2201.013593 5937.803727 20020.049093 112456.948010