Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 996.343896 1133.269330 1287.316748 1474.473523 1697.055478 1954.977677 2278.904377
2025-05-04 797.225863 976.148130 1197.381782 1495.194733 1892.075383 2412.262726 3161.925249
2025-05-11 692.187733 886.801058 1142.063720 1509.239335 2037.351266 2791.678364 3993.907154
2025-05-18 632.139076 840.792695 1128.338248 1566.173974 2239.756065 3280.147737 5103.927428
2025-05-25 578.737542 793.661714 1102.166608 1594.966942 2398.374210 3728.344799 6272.717855
2025-06-01 529.387325 744.702439 1064.529836 1596.771056 2509.504186 4117.044320 7451.053940
2025-06-08 486.998487 700.380774 1026.970099 1590.593386 2602.382743 4489.458834 8716.296257
2025-06-15 459.706242 675.601288 1015.944700 1625.079587 2770.707819 5038.670825 10555.923931
2025-06-22 419.484704 626.240432 959.274741 1571.564108 2764.039059 5234.804920 11648.545622
2025-06-29 386.032894 584.637784 910.946691 1526.042201 2763.991086 5443.265359 12855.289375
2025-07-06 355.442126 545.099370 862.169757 1473.205288 2739.683729 5591.498840 13962.153035
2025-07-13 345.138241 538.481168 869.554576 1527.528281 2949.107092 6337.765962 17193.809616
2025-07-20 328.801123 520.934768 857.098031 1544.142470 3086.454666 6965.306389 20495.309332
2025-07-27 314.542632 505.935659 848.012561 1566.980074 3244.859117 7705.306022 24746.788449
2025-08-03 300.676203 490.354192 836.058880 1581.751427 3386.720250 8447.241405 29609.884569
2025-08-10 293.364000 485.935019 844.778674 1642.173158 3655.998322 9670.434976 37788.557548
2025-08-17 283.226727 475.418837 840.433484 1672.730831 3854.737454 10752.779796 46552.524546
2025-08-24 270.950038 459.916502 824.611691 1674.646335 3976.157620 11625.207727 55295.214384
2025-08-31 258.858236 443.879186 806.236689 1668.088602 4072.763552 12453.137891 65000.334110
2025-09-07 251.671152 436.780833 805.693831 1704.701126 4306.249972 13921.560535 81952.475528
2025-09-14 236.828169 413.677469 769.447619 1647.891216 4241.147587 14144.156100 89258.122889
2025-09-21 223.818333 393.453270 737.898353 1599.590102 4194.864375 14440.258608 98001.507699
2025-09-28 211.101934 373.114335 704.696712 1543.554695 4114.024336 14559.360055 105458.764625