Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1067.845072 1209.781584 1367.033183 1554.778966 1773.617021 2021.576171 2325.119521
2025-09-07 859.815909 1050.132233 1280.628792 1582.945554 1972.845669 2463.999825 3137.868177
2025-09-14 718.164960 919.441623 1177.380341 1536.984047 2033.053253 2704.798887 3703.338214
2025-09-21 619.381085 822.603790 1094.847625 1493.347752 2073.958422 2908.667088 4236.515144
2025-09-28 541.889095 741.673661 1019.297027 1442.590424 2088.623111 3066.585803 4717.907359
2025-10-05 508.955569 717.333464 1017.489365 1494.050756 2256.139655 3472.204371 5656.852202
2025-10-12 474.216273 685.598590 999.778285 1516.757299 2378.698687 3821.379510 6565.638877
2025-10-19 442.741440 654.888204 979.252789 1530.672131 2486.089949 4158.185815 7516.296627
2025-10-26 415.098953 626.975599 959.466393 1542.060585 2588.580114 4499.361501 8543.121831
2025-11-02 397.085716 612.266691 958.761213 1584.535776 2750.337452 4973.088368 9939.865495
2025-11-09 377.127777 592.373661 947.133732 1605.725194 2874.468106 5392.900978 11316.947013
2025-11-16 357.874525 571.834475 932.165171 1618.532000 2983.214981 5798.094386 12756.705575
2025-11-23 338.870925 550.756019 915.355180 1628.048749 3091.204491 6230.338022 14402.166410
2025-11-30 324.344492 536.287993 909.042127 1657.209926 3244.830688 6793.827524 16552.920828
2025-12-07 300.468549 503.297864 865.973101 1608.745122 3225.494162 6956.752729 17669.518060
2025-12-14 279.284311 473.533297 826.307023 1562.705194 3204.819687 7112.442185 18812.009161
2025-12-21 259.140873 444.226010 785.119816 1509.171224 3159.916822 7200.712923 19782.368947
2025-12-28 253.615639 441.547040 794.656896 1563.446938 3372.891225 7987.645260 23209.080351
2026-01-04 244.966292 432.288376 790.446030 1587.401427 3516.905970 8622.386556 26371.181436
2026-01-11 235.942580 421.631890 782.497046 1602.082702 3640.186239 9226.224267 29661.864511
2026-01-18 227.288309 411.066075 773.824431 1614.099390 3758.556118 9842.098904 33254.198906
2026-01-25 222.319523 407.403747 779.059252 1658.925117 3970.346370 10787.141888 38587.244008
2026-02-01 215.563199 399.667464 775.049445 1681.291461 4125.079078 11592.314388 43728.060193