Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 1202.947523 1373.090495 1564.684868 1797.581278 2074.585204 2395.437658 2797.996502
2025-06-15 959.053285 1182.324953 1459.191910 1832.641921 2330.783646 2983.407603 3921.880328
2025-06-22 797.904861 1029.599698 1334.080888 1772.200195 2401.261979 3295.860878 4710.215851
2025-06-29 687.114321 918.449179 1236.546968 1718.471283 2453.299926 3572.690964 5493.806796
2025-07-06 600.669727 825.982277 1147.394393 1655.498321 2470.426348 3787.464932 6217.971570
2025-07-13 564.629976 799.037379 1146.206613 1719.785588 2690.188532 4361.820888 7705.329934
2025-07-20 524.822628 760.887050 1121.823979 1741.256888 2839.466405 4842.455603 9156.825784
2025-07-27 492.327157 729.726095 1103.494766 1768.091692 2999.786931 5373.588082 10876.294430
2025-08-03 462.594358 699.435158 1082.353664 1785.713764 3144.155523 5902.719855 12770.812822
2025-08-10 443.873259 684.745600 1084.821367 1844.659497 3376.689800 6665.357022 15516.564804
2025-08-17 423.540501 665.199746 1076.414540 1881.465948 3570.271672 7389.307484 18469.454658
2025-08-24 402.416925 642.242671 1059.316154 1898.660667 3724.821627 8060.918828 21582.664511
2025-08-31 379.510291 615.037413 1033.283752 1897.788551 3847.256904 8707.060228 25024.157708
2025-09-07 364.254116 600.163520 1028.698500 1940.809727 4081.067550 9718.313681 30343.316675
2025-09-14 337.388900 562.010556 976.228837 1875.333868 4042.648240 9971.383087 33018.422382
2025-09-21 314.128183 528.703195 930.087844 1817.823225 4014.015456 10247.988769 35992.045133
2025-09-28 291.955706 495.838992 882.022175 1750.356769 3948.662920 10399.447406 38557.823071
2025-10-05 286.004500 493.059420 893.505362 1819.223824 4256.328700 11829.266937 48294.732726
2025-10-12 275.840291 481.383694 885.753771 1842.233474 4444.208596 12933.971594 57503.485139
2025-10-19 266.935027 471.470356 880.695199 1870.997455 4655.264254 14204.966913 69122.503722
2025-10-26 257.770435 460.361510 872.079811 1889.890199 4842.021822 15465.020380 82329.731230
2025-11-02 252.834912 457.351240 880.559692 1953.108010 5180.381589 17481.827244 104111.604038
2025-11-09 246.241654 450.467918 879.888988 1992.598667 5453.642135 19364.125943 128419.194024