Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 1229.097972 1394.227595 1577.145073 1795.453807 2049.764490 2337.677943 2689.743525
2025-09-28 943.897850 1151.997682 1403.128034 1731.075504 2151.791408 2678.473810 3395.721209
2025-10-05 836.763453 1072.598310 1374.207069 1793.414307 2369.229361 3144.586986 4288.652957
2025-10-12 749.724892 999.069970 1333.067081 1821.357432 2530.911205 3546.625204 5151.984232
2025-10-19 681.741608 938.752492 1296.837669 1843.645594 2678.303175 3939.750737 6061.300775
2025-10-26 626.500449 887.779656 1264.637928 1862.859030 2817.392857 4333.376086 7034.559985
2025-11-02 589.244458 857.504141 1257.136889 1915.131126 3010.400947 4835.314275 8276.640220
2025-11-09 549.065461 817.894843 1229.941883 1930.807505 3142.666463 5251.884954 9443.302853
2025-11-16 512.800001 780.268201 1201.040330 1938.545804 3259.739841 5655.712490 10661.359833
2025-11-23 483.498388 750.579677 1181.240181 1958.038114 3397.993316 6116.080944 12082.741118
2025-11-30 460.051687 728.010382 1170.450450 1990.966341 3563.589067 6651.857803 13775.286935
2025-12-07 424.671150 682.435223 1116.238572 1939.044897 3559.645443 6847.627949 14751.878979
2025-12-14 391.406867 638.751073 1063.081631 1886.461595 3553.902730 7052.300653 15832.074121
2025-12-21 359.597471 595.243648 1006.746544 1822.347793 3517.648691 7189.112243 16790.335732
2025-12-28 349.575759 589.128871 1016.963528 1888.166000 3760.692753 7986.247462 19650.468888
2026-01-04 335.457741 574.385731 1009.711965 1917.871940 3929.704428 8643.095470 22321.134663
2026-01-11 321.757955 559.242787 1000.196536 1941.539770 4088.254578 9303.846391 25201.570104
2026-01-18 308.778387 544.381622 989.801739 1961.947698 4241.978156 9981.588560 28348.134433
2026-01-25 300.640745 538.029829 995.443104 2017.479344 4487.518265 10948.331445 32752.932595
2026-02-01 288.954985 523.904515 984.203443 2034.136246 4639.918115 11693.356747 36674.783756
2026-02-08 277.288606 508.952793 969.981866 2042.359058 4772.199277 12409.260819 40761.131227
2026-02-15 267.615768 497.270711 961.555344 2063.073287 4940.377688 13267.167336 45729.818839
2026-02-22 259.830364 488.837211 959.261568 2098.070391 5152.597028 14307.643092 51880.422386