Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 1250.043705 1406.835836 1576.797575 1774.902598 1999.702293 2247.136019 2540.492311
2026-04-12 1002.524234 1216.156097 1466.728274 1783.125875 2173.142316 2639.652807 3242.190500
2026-04-19 876.180731 1119.440761 1420.805806 1823.266864 2349.213844 3016.657483 3933.405167
2026-04-26 783.484364 1043.807284 1380.922061 1852.170806 2498.242647 3359.164421 4603.714992
2026-05-03 710.830688 981.647333 1345.974914 1875.791785 2633.058616 3686.151256 5278.539272
2026-05-10 650.356039 927.163390 1312.363477 1892.630984 2753.550052 3997.674838 5957.094091
2026-05-17 606.183483 889.682100 1296.606712 1929.799952 2902.192563 4358.377139 6740.486123
2026-05-24 548.853987 826.622531 1236.472348 1892.970406 2932.821072 4540.804713 7263.134396
2026-05-31 495.193215 763.625806 1169.830730 1838.052066 2927.089840 4661.885113 7694.142752
2026-06-07 447.339701 705.085716 1104.365231 1777.679979 2904.629566 4750.446333 8075.053824
2026-06-14 429.126894 691.566043 1107.917799 1828.004156 3066.526236 5153.837436 9031.512754
2026-06-21 407.302604 670.116103 1096.435076 1851.423759 3183.624398 5490.008436 9901.815548
2026-06-28 384.192657 645.135184 1077.825000 1862.297159 3282.187894 5807.213440 10780.766868
2026-07-05 362.723005 621.215560 1059.052160 1871.141121 3377.850939 6128.324412 11703.558886
2026-07-12 348.790833 609.077219 1059.298291 1913.393054 3537.443021 6580.370239 12927.682330
2026-07-19 334.156663 594.407424 1053.651005 1943.820361 3676.754397 7005.964522 14144.897306
2026-07-26 319.896682 579.207539 1045.648147 1968.687413 3806.847162 7424.718416 15393.394570
2026-08-02 305.781651 563.123462 1034.612944 1986.415558 3923.780367 7827.183979 16651.267076
2026-08-09 295.519777 553.437118 1034.668388 2025.548523 4086.870460 8338.179441 18202.337647
2026-08-16 276.401713 525.375377 997.474163 1986.772904 4085.080812 8503.783159 18998.071565
2026-08-23 256.629646 494.632536 952.816902 1928.957315 4037.544057 8566.202490 19561.867383
2026-08-30 237.798632 464.465064 907.182938 1865.406831 3971.883071 8582.432823 20017.759534
2026-09-06 232.844593 461.765273 916.369700 1918.379932 4166.050970 9194.360899 21977.200448