Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 1253.455985 1419.810082 1603.172037 1820.805807 2072.753612 2356.054546 2699.854342
2025-11-09 1007.035252 1231.311070 1501.042193 1851.644656 2298.665076 2854.014118 3603.110247
2025-11-16 868.881716 1117.370810 1434.098260 1871.996904 2468.906798 3264.565308 4423.002968
2025-11-23 772.574820 1034.342620 1383.939535 1892.214357 2624.401278 3659.781757 5268.868461
2025-11-30 703.992581 975.565179 1353.126288 1926.637785 2794.018659 4087.029175 6218.975906
2025-12-07 624.803430 890.757995 1273.016439 1875.329225 2824.528190 4304.772521 6873.804732
2025-12-14 559.287797 817.568265 1199.898887 1822.369218 2840.401066 4494.529197 7504.223208
2025-12-21 501.987734 750.281096 1127.598703 1760.214639 2830.137198 4634.965355 8065.214977
2025-12-28 480.306927 735.049823 1133.178806 1822.136290 3030.568800 5154.480732 9390.975167
2026-01-04 454.039591 709.706260 1119.472450 1849.155972 3172.257355 5587.272776 10626.025157
2026-01-11 428.056004 682.220322 1099.148957 1861.572710 3287.657039 5985.067425 11859.490109
2026-01-18 404.184613 655.990938 1078.152432 1869.758217 3394.819613 6379.683209 13155.662775
2026-01-25 388.589642 643.053070 1079.757624 1921.109855 3594.900343 6995.816089 15079.551117
2026-02-01 371.122209 625.426672 1071.551988 1953.355506 3762.118562 7571.874169 17041.027895
2026-02-08 353.782250 606.429286 1058.867719 1975.015348 3909.611841 8127.127179 19072.608875
2026-02-15 337.973162 588.812376 1046.959172 1996.505127 4058.899478 8708.828644 21302.421784
2026-02-22 325.381024 576.033922 1042.868018 2033.101879 4245.445102 9405.834150 24003.801257
2026-03-01 303.062291 543.250427 997.456304 1978.556135 4219.796496 9590.448724 25322.373043
2026-03-08 282.517134 512.379768 953.328321 1922.268154 4182.965954 9741.531249 26579.899710
2026-03-15 262.644610 481.463348 906.774034 1856.225634 4115.145032 9803.962150 27587.984432
2026-03-22 257.868365 479.812716 919.187008 1922.020620 4374.634433 10765.037526 31664.671289
2026-03-29 249.665255 470.703797 915.445538 1950.736451 4545.937733 11518.385851 35278.087876
2026-04-05 240.545351 459.081531 905.477047 1963.933848 4679.386809 12189.581484 38805.978793