Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1241.173912 1414.517381 1608.600052 1842.985661 2119.665077 2437.447921 2832.322564
2025-07-27 994.234597 1223.738876 1505.953619 1882.648035 2378.553586 3018.002029 3919.614283
2025-08-03 860.108830 1110.683958 1437.616069 1903.330565 2562.840158 3483.977600 4905.783923
2025-08-10 779.719702 1047.353847 1414.139574 1966.212661 2798.962301 4047.384124 6140.133334
2025-08-17 710.295347 985.743695 1379.055728 1999.405187 2987.666207 4564.841443 7414.104144
2025-08-24 650.088847 927.780581 1338.603585 2013.684520 3142.734381 5049.811576 8743.121243
2025-08-31 599.626599 877.234106 1301.122585 2023.949545 3287.964463 5539.039830 10197.312518
2025-09-07 562.524120 842.289861 1282.397949 2059.874427 3479.366992 6142.358902 12032.554422
2025-09-14 511.369669 779.658136 1211.668268 1996.457202 3479.602867 6382.089898 13166.072787
2025-09-21 468.000376 725.373919 1148.742292 1937.913194 3478.098868 6614.903004 14345.646981
2025-09-28 428.652306 674.191181 1085.866456 1871.272817 3449.634983 6784.463859 15421.275362
2025-10-05 414.992665 664.905072 1094.178739 1937.884969 3698.848198 7603.053106 18407.256049
2025-10-12 394.040465 642.134676 1077.885961 1958.321021 3862.517931 8282.668706 21329.992087
2025-10-19 376.719736 624.376829 1069.175226 1993.343823 4066.157883 9112.336615 25061.118975
2025-10-26 359.589993 605.319176 1055.840183 2016.565424 4246.433961 9927.515381 29121.418083
2025-11-02 349.175110 597.556151 1063.044910 2083.834446 4542.950557 11130.359392 35125.828778
2025-11-09 335.973866 583.406119 1056.245346 2119.454242 4768.563934 12199.776626 41254.910288
2025-11-16 321.717373 566.059623 1041.328937 2134.768304 4945.373687 13177.555618 47621.982087
2025-11-23 308.188516 549.045922 1025.461277 2145.780678 5113.229639 14179.243152 54767.300158
2025-11-30 298.230275 538.259996 1021.465738 2184.325846 5364.680827 15534.548383 64601.119249
2025-12-07 279.666758 508.975147 975.842610 2116.289607 5301.084194 15795.858356 69040.934891
2025-12-14 262.996089 482.460664 934.151223 2053.508854 5243.238196 16067.808498 73799.318224
2025-12-21 246.859994 456.066386 890.807107 1982.078555 5148.718732 16184.785380 77810.287774