Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 892.364061 1015.534363 1154.424045 1323.611769 1525.447654 1760.153369 2056.128658
2025-04-06 672.400341 827.653632 1021.470256 1285.321707 1641.695381 2116.160900 2812.976276
2025-04-13 557.747752 718.248612 930.935888 1240.743734 1693.430549 2352.657364 3429.598380
2025-04-20 501.782367 671.138263 907.235970 1272.055239 1844.148982 2749.645665 4389.790000
2025-04-27 451.398365 622.161270 870.095587 1272.183587 1941.277250 3079.521712 5342.164857
2025-05-04 422.499770 599.026526 865.420906 1318.162508 2117.190195 3580.195840 6789.394891
2025-05-11 398.707088 579.792158 862.775131 1364.902216 2301.531657 4142.972691 8603.173871
2025-05-18 383.282881 571.151877 874.885011 1437.346472 2546.960753 4896.127401 11231.248667
2025-05-25 353.651155 536.240224 838.716808 1416.528114 2604.746644 5265.915163 13077.301114
2025-06-01 324.046476 498.390397 793.055123 1370.687216 2600.920892 5493.022224 14646.715798
2025-06-08 301.634095 470.527713 761.756030 1347.753791 2641.405988 5840.304145 16819.763552
2025-06-15 288.419147 457.145302 754.767513 1371.828545 2792.144012 6521.729223 20665.642870
2025-06-22 265.407039 426.275467 715.465931 1330.381417 2797.282241 6857.065103 23712.779559
2025-06-29 244.690668 398.182228 679.359992 1292.597861 2809.740475 7244.289572 27544.083897
2025-07-06 225.697762 371.418235 642.724693 1247.618780 2792.853792 7536.492051 31317.435582
2025-07-13 217.002031 362.762374 640.410175 1279.160652 2988.173736 8628.829640 41170.680327
2025-07-20 205.955875 348.678732 625.612373 1279.288776 3096.900343 9478.711286 51248.316040
2025-07-27 200.216741 344.167901 629.810966 1325.594698 3355.359697 11068.850635 70962.433479
2025-08-03 194.874777 339.913239 633.995001 1372.669804 3632.776572 12946.737833 100173.389187
2025-08-10 191.837348 339.912675 647.249689 1445.639999 4022.091757 15681.416025 153701.077265
2025-08-17 181.931417 325.223047 626.588152 1424.669761 4081.039667 16793.334563 191711.794121
2025-08-24 171.054710 307.792534 598.217782 1378.496536 4037.164771 17321.369172 223850.146358
2025-08-31 162.614267 294.853727 578.977979 1355.397958 4075.641556 18396.274739 278518.949433