Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 968.271338 1090.524575 1223.856315 1380.322513 1559.230920 1757.788654 1995.361878
2026-01-11 782.619519 948.857269 1145.483187 1396.316417 1709.369093 2089.221081 2588.118227
2026-01-18 677.333840 862.293264 1093.224191 1404.930941 1818.018681 2351.317603 3099.429689
2026-01-25 612.545287 811.482910 1071.125923 1438.362026 1950.094637 2646.300924 3679.557640
2026-02-01 557.169190 763.472815 1043.092841 1454.797112 2054.006492 2907.468523 4238.802194
2026-02-08 509.552877 719.210663 1012.981922 1461.212696 2139.446981 3146.193383 4789.405214
2026-02-15 472.384408 684.915629 991.868291 1475.769286 2234.741054 3405.446463 5399.227615
2026-02-22 444.085883 660.148627 981.122584 1502.857734 2349.338215 3703.506594 6105.465186
2026-03-01 405.085303 615.287647 935.273695 1469.461166 2362.229230 3837.102861 6549.413824
2026-03-08 368.115603 570.151180 884.599456 1422.475092 2346.194266 3918.128324 6907.597524
2026-03-15 336.373335 530.548497 839.087157 1379.049221 2330.447333 3995.645797 7265.536907
2026-03-22 324.445087 521.867523 842.667372 1418.188959 2461.029923 4343.450286 8172.958968
2026-03-29 308.449922 505.704637 833.314348 1435.533245 2557.289543 4645.040141 9044.914188
2026-04-05 292.866217 489.044738 821.797530 1448.046472 2646.296852 4944.102163 9957.953106
2026-04-12 278.262427 472.795753 809.412212 1457.310408 2729.253645 5239.593721 10904.847582
2026-04-19 268.817377 464.795273 810.808282 1492.104166 2865.052311 5655.706136 12175.868924
2026-04-26 257.569833 452.622286 803.508774 1509.222142 2966.696075 6012.556262 13367.211114
2026-05-03 245.820512 438.605672 791.584202 1515.903839 3047.078262 6332.909494 14522.006675
2026-05-10 236.074841 427.568137 784.322634 1531.064944 3146.583313 6706.280909 15864.060789
2026-05-17 228.600491 420.253632 783.552874 1559.280051 3277.057628 7164.682974 17494.621144
2026-05-24 214.440533 399.060572 754.036226 1524.494778 3263.724024 7288.149554 18273.652131
2026-05-31 199.841927 376.056826 719.301498 1475.560761 3213.202006 7317.139850 18803.425224
2026-06-07 186.737184 355.196450 687.484466 1430.340773 3166.829903 7350.927127 19352.676804