Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-08 1221.752110 1376.959353 1545.770491 1743.246617 1968.217211 2216.871157 2512.999875
2026-03-15 943.799625 1145.510474 1382.977233 1684.132083 2057.260014 2506.146625 3089.756558
2026-03-22 832.893678 1063.597360 1350.425962 1735.231079 2241.005178 2887.248158 3782.162777
2026-03-29 743.903356 989.616758 1308.872697 1757.260215 2375.863068 3206.631219 4419.249535
2026-04-05 672.209309 926.048288 1268.561329 1769.011327 2489.108837 3499.205049 5043.533300
2026-04-12 614.262644 872.808436 1233.570853 1779.622822 2595.582441 3786.026204 5684.433375
2026-04-19 574.764125 840.240890 1222.301151 1819.811026 2744.621262 4144.429884 6467.110039
2026-04-26 537.381264 806.246694 1204.279940 1845.766728 2871.422721 4477.794906 7243.870061
2026-05-03 503.861729 774.347097 1185.426415 1866.770543 2989.797723 4806.084075 8045.222252
2026-05-10 473.425807 744.075559 1165.623554 1882.952161 3099.688721 5128.304432 8868.894152
2026-05-17 450.815633 723.939199 1159.487044 1919.691565 3245.457658 5522.188767 9859.447575
2026-05-24 416.346813 681.462133 1113.189513 1883.981638 3262.043172 5692.312479 10460.435442
2026-05-31 380.201079 633.941408 1055.658059 1825.414756 3235.563753 5788.284959 10944.530726
2026-06-07 347.450928 589.699185 1000.262312 1765.768868 3201.482493 5867.098904 11405.913362
2026-06-14 336.549228 582.280581 1007.678506 1819.436354 3381.515712 6363.405931 12755.664691
2026-06-21 321.786052 566.750963 999.265854 1842.626664 3504.998370 6762.162197 13952.979981
2026-06-28 306.689415 549.374262 985.967439 1854.994817 3607.793814 7129.165857 15126.913853
2026-07-05 292.666451 532.851762 972.818383 1866.164007 3708.616072 7501.304074 16357.238540
2026-07-12 283.733214 525.131864 975.458174 1908.466729 3876.804393 8030.474107 18008.449857
2026-07-19 273.536947 514.200681 971.001803 1935.790121 4015.721925 8510.636833 19607.511373
2026-07-26 263.423793 502.660988 964.399951 1957.901839 4145.163723 8982.750725 21248.599503
2026-08-02 253.427350 490.611540 955.820726 1974.937692 4264.740917 9444.520267 22924.927885
2026-08-09 246.332502 483.851354 957.343174 2013.618790 4436.406507 10044.037962 25031.639414