Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 1228.669179 1403.155316 1599.761423 1838.905466 2123.539880 2453.473526 2867.754868
2025-06-15 978.113551 1206.962261 1491.080393 1874.808595 2387.406345 3060.042278 4029.044445
2025-06-22 812.276085 1049.533321 1361.847958 1812.087956 2459.960190 3383.572757 4848.009551
2025-06-29 698.405980 934.948771 1260.834396 1755.647858 2512.089586 3667.863701 5658.623233
2025-07-06 609.638354 839.669503 1168.495931 1689.580508 2527.751478 3886.986929 6406.016785
2025-07-13 573.002088 812.349971 1167.668277 1756.340507 2755.648930 4484.097369 7959.274522
2025-07-20 532.498297 773.525570 1142.993927 1779.014689 2910.920798 4985.020262 9479.977077
2025-07-27 498.396980 740.120045 1121.643709 1802.079003 3067.915885 5519.120198 11237.653453
2025-08-03 467.434278 708.046848 1098.004817 1816.423286 3209.200934 6051.137501 13173.947728
2025-08-10 448.351315 692.971041 1100.299965 1876.347521 3447.425474 6837.732474 16030.934209
2025-08-17 428.632613 674.688036 1094.624861 1919.814549 3659.322312 7618.441092 19213.334914
2025-08-24 408.089274 652.953505 1080.249616 1943.910948 3833.847326 8356.320253 22623.795038
2025-08-31 385.354086 626.164957 1055.330195 1946.488594 3968.505342 9051.893879 26342.251879
2025-09-07 369.985050 611.210387 1050.970506 1991.312725 4211.754312 10111.724608 31999.460508
2025-09-14 342.620582 572.172281 996.945843 1923.118695 4169.518011 10368.373884 34806.885430
2025-09-21 318.850232 537.944419 949.133504 1862.484794 4135.591778 10643.162486 37897.537080
2025-09-28 296.172798 504.144780 899.299579 1791.456364 4063.026785 10784.033616 40531.323250
2025-10-05 290.271576 501.570432 911.522101 1863.222680 4383.721387 12284.817032 50914.858699
2025-10-12 280.044621 489.853974 903.938665 1887.607295 4580.001818 13445.674522 60758.533864
2025-10-19 270.588661 478.916032 896.925920 1912.416941 4783.527540 14715.159577 72731.796400
2025-10-26 260.977004 466.960004 886.656883 1927.849387 4963.328873 15972.955126 86320.445331
2025-11-02 255.986136 463.907933 895.270486 1992.341638 5310.596840 18062.497315 109323.391837
2025-11-09 249.811906 457.970023 896.959946 2039.144151 5613.710569 20122.183414 136178.961988