Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 1214.505396 1377.539030 1558.114834 1773.604295 2024.600680 2308.727045 2656.116963
2025-09-28 931.364323 1136.692517 1384.477679 1708.056529 2123.168366 2642.836409 3350.534463
2025-10-05 825.976359 1058.854916 1356.713588 1770.755718 2339.549014 3105.559313 4236.013079
2025-10-12 739.868844 986.048039 1315.852810 1798.093254 2498.986995 3502.513791 5088.992775
2025-10-19 671.033268 924.014926 1276.494109 1814.756705 2636.400313 3878.235055 5966.918664
2025-10-26 615.111456 871.532777 1241.333608 1828.263915 2764.625306 4251.475538 6900.199874
2025-11-02 578.550066 841.839568 1234.016338 1879.640699 2954.145263 4744.139896 8118.926042
2025-11-09 541.474894 806.731719 1213.398095 1905.301461 3102.058179 5185.800170 9328.576653
2025-11-16 507.400979 772.388206 1189.486691 1921.023674 3232.536351 5613.113738 10592.200331
2025-11-23 478.545822 743.250053 1170.339571 1941.253816 3371.552842 6074.226506 12014.817873
2025-11-30 455.643076 721.439211 1160.622468 1975.790340 3539.780895 6614.923064 13719.320944
2025-12-07 420.144147 675.495100 1105.510551 1921.753260 3530.932025 6799.457561 14668.473117
2025-12-14 387.093342 631.869131 1051.932660 1867.362319 3519.540096 6988.092310 15700.180257
2025-12-21 355.509611 588.452208 995.221256 1801.418060 3477.135586 7106.149289 16596.419922
2025-12-28 346.004520 583.011277 1006.217475 1867.805988 3719.188825 7895.762315 19420.401611
2026-01-04 332.186102 568.591392 999.147772 1896.927994 3884.604397 8538.093615 22029.758169
2026-01-11 318.086933 552.479301 987.320703 1914.661085 4026.729981 9149.963111 24732.718477
2026-01-18 304.740995 536.703185 974.670824 1929.038891 4162.905484 9772.166426 27659.954388
2026-01-25 296.869149 530.658365 980.476361 1983.736198 4402.855604 10712.075765 31919.208592
2026-02-01 286.595004 519.166563 974.305391 2011.061281 4579.687353 11517.148148 36011.592710
2026-02-08 275.979941 506.213033 964.015934 2027.805106 4732.256361 12285.620050 40260.482316
2026-02-15 266.539883 494.913023 956.190592 2049.351880 4900.715493 13137.012458 45160.970384
2026-02-22 259.052220 487.014546 954.863488 2086.141533 5115.962486 14179.304912 51270.806407