Dec 31, 2020Dec 31, 2021Dec 31, 2022Dec 31, 2023Dec 31, 2024102050100200500100020005000
ActualForecastBear 68.0%Bull 68.0%Bear 95.0%Bull 95.0%Bear 99.7%Bull 99.7%MSTR Price ForecastTimeAverage Price in $

Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MSTR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 180.312835 219.011171 267.063822 332.251519 420.199043 5.375270e+02 7.109248e+02
2025-04-06 138.051015 183.153056 246.535276 345.978622 506.006571 7.697108e+02 1.278877e+03
2025-04-13 110.046159 154.504689 222.300425 340.054730 556.297041 9.796560e+02 2.024225e+03
2025-04-20 98.780266 145.948378 223.501093 372.094721 684.461465 1.424776e+03 3.909619e+03
2025-04-27 89.737969 138.203036 223.023775 399.942873 820.835035 2.027176e+03 7.800304e+03
2025-05-04 81.901636 130.523402 220.197141 421.575197 958.153418 2.816202e+03 1.632876e+04
2025-05-11 74.710767 122.444764 214.399490 434.392991 1083.389050 3.785179e+03 3.609859e+04
2025-05-18 68.041375 114.083211 206.016552 438.049919 1186.827869 4.902042e+03 8.577266e+04
2025-05-25 61.606012 105.124337 194.481602 429.832476 1247.689616 5.988821e+03 2.124912e+05
2025-06-01 55.863992 96.701617 182.502871 416.688955 1284.130012 7.085973e+03 6.097124e+05
2025-06-08 50.924736 89.242828 171.365374 402.634932 1309.985386 8.269235e+03 2.491448e+06
2025-06-15 49.999386 89.826789 178.714465 445.911343 1633.495941 1.427611e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 46.880366 85.575419 174.232693 452.527785 1801.419068 2.038961e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 44.713653 83.106325 173.750782 473.035477 2085.045766 3.384136e+04 NaN
2025-07-06 41.538728 78.022190 165.692481 464.050334 2179.910140 4.567180e+04 NaN
2025-07-13 40.864385 78.456375 172.203009 512.648341 2781.175898 1.165989e+05 NaN
2025-07-20 39.895307 78.073844 176.449727 555.383207 3466.085153 3.616921e+05 NaN
2025-07-27 38.646741 76.863977 178.133905 588.883801 4189.790618 1.536520e+06 NaN
2025-08-03 37.111993 74.773069 176.848101 608.855991 4856.925277 1.151451e+07 NaN
2025-08-10 35.364398 71.961876 172.896453 614.570465 5386.515394 5.256860e+08 NaN
2025-08-17 33.366255 68.325114 165.818814 601.739590 5617.573118 NaN NaN
2025-08-24 31.386380 64.559761 157.811809 581.293679 5685.380332 NaN NaN
2025-08-31 29.552378 61.012406 150.030282 559.537174 5692.879127 NaN NaN