Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-03-22 1.033376 1.156851 1.291059 1.448065 1.627077 1.825250 2.061839
2026-03-29 0.873861 1.045987 1.247790 1.503119 1.819337 2.200393 2.697785
2026-04-05 0.757038 0.955933 1.203791 1.538206 1.981952 2.556620 3.367045
2026-04-12 0.660989 0.871986 1.148481 1.542124 2.095927 2.859002 4.010565
2026-04-19 0.575930 0.787872 1.077506 1.509000 2.147191 3.075066 4.561316
2026-04-26 0.494990 0.697791 0.984772 1.428919 2.114299 3.157776 4.918078
2026-05-03 0.439178 0.636166 0.923900 1.385045 2.125147 3.301512 5.385648
2026-05-10 0.397646 0.590521 0.880580 1.360754 2.160204 3.483594 5.940467
2026-05-17 0.378041 0.575641 0.881685 1.405305 2.310556 3.873506 6.920834
2026-05-24 0.357736 0.557289 0.874794 1.434780 2.437378 4.238056 7.915808
2026-05-31 0.329555 0.523445 0.839113 1.410583 2.465206 4.425663 8.597127
2026-06-07 0.303971 0.491516 0.803408 1.381917 2.480216 4.589208 9.255052
2026-06-14 0.294474 0.486715 0.814885 1.442165 2.675915 5.143694 10.880470
2026-06-21 0.282676 0.476952 0.816886 1.485497 2.845846 5.676352 12.582803
2026-06-28 0.269841 0.464156 0.812119 1.515241 2.992622 6.185145 14.349335
2026-07-05 0.254449 0.445326 0.794341 1.517059 3.080932 6.580099 15.927923
2026-07-12 0.236174 0.419604 0.761151 1.483718 3.088283 6.791120 17.077632
2026-07-19 0.214323 0.385435 0.708768 1.404827 2.983614 6.720750 17.445027
2026-07-26 0.198565 0.361720 0.674872 1.361660 2.955165 6.831876 18.355856
2026-08-02 0.186293 0.343833 0.651057 1.337779 2.968751 7.050679 19.639344
2026-08-09 0.181894 0.341065 0.657519 1.381453 3.150686 7.736255 22.541365
2026-08-16 0.176290 0.335421 0.657496 1.410351 3.300204 8.362715 25.437599
2026-08-23 0.166295 0.320087 0.635806 1.386616 3.312271 8.609998 27.125923