Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 1.569994 1.785464 2.021665 2.300122 2.619830 2.975893 3.403176
2025-11-02 1.211228 1.483778 1.806905 2.219445 2.733883 3.356492 4.170566
2025-11-09 0.952874 1.240090 1.603122 2.098122 2.759332 3.617472 4.824301
2025-11-16 0.804356 1.102467 1.500591 2.075286 2.890464 4.015492 5.703401
2025-11-23 0.686756 0.984308 1.401080 2.033348 2.978719 4.356240 6.545571
2025-11-30 0.633311 0.945756 1.403028 2.129462 3.270360 5.019722 7.955749
2025-12-07 0.578711 0.896480 1.380185 2.181168 3.496395 5.608842 9.335864
2025-12-14 0.519021 0.830725 1.322163 2.166874 3.610777 6.029674 10.496641
2025-12-21 0.456772 0.752747 1.234296 2.090245 3.607457 6.248226 11.332391
2025-12-28 0.433043 0.734901 1.241835 2.174026 3.888510 6.991452 13.226533
2026-01-04 0.411724 0.718279 1.248717 2.255998 4.174751 7.779312 15.326089
2026-01-11 0.387024 0.692681 1.236435 2.300414 4.394827 8.469678 17.338660
2026-01-18 0.362136 0.664959 1.218883 2.335997 4.609294 9.192448 19.570985
2026-01-25 0.327297 0.615042 1.154803 2.273600 4.620269 9.507860 20.986252
2026-02-01 0.290394 0.557272 1.069486 2.158082 4.505569 9.543352 21.779059
2026-02-08 0.268426 0.526371 1.033270 2.138827 4.592487 10.024850 23.691525
2026-02-15 0.246542 0.493354 0.989255 2.097537 4.625074 10.388965 25.384269
2026-02-22 0.240418 0.491879 1.009546 2.197914 4.990620 11.571085 29.341158
2026-03-01 0.230397 0.481156 1.009155 2.251900 5.255437 12.553349 32.965782
2026-03-08 0.215464 0.458391 0.980442 2.237352 5.353634 13.140791 35.635181
2026-03-15 0.196865 0.425822 0.926919 2.158178 5.281797 13.287434 37.098733
2026-03-22 0.192178 0.423805 0.941691 2.244925 5.641675 14.611306 42.229689
2026-03-29 0.187496 0.421313 0.955054 2.329781 6.008751 16.012482 47.883790