Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 1.707176 1.956562 2.230723 2.554655 2.927191 3.342509 3.841084
2025-07-20 1.435285 1.781187 2.193316 2.721301 3.380965 4.179563 5.222272
2025-07-27 1.224261 1.626335 2.139597 2.844614 3.790908 5.021492 6.750504
2025-08-03 1.043424 1.471234 2.051401 2.898783 4.110548 5.789621 8.308114
2025-08-10 0.869050 1.291508 1.895857 2.827955 4.238129 6.305983 9.594675
2025-08-17 0.717275 1.117075 1.716935 2.688334 4.234231 6.619689 10.619671
2025-08-24 0.622176 1.011532 1.621880 2.655694 4.379657 7.168555 12.080828
2025-08-31 0.542452 0.917363 1.529169 2.609216 4.489639 7.667445 13.526033
2025-09-07 0.504309 0.885361 1.531402 2.717729 4.870025 8.662517 15.967368
2025-09-14 0.459952 0.835926 1.496316 2.754204 5.125483 9.469906 18.187706
2025-09-21 0.412491 0.774176 1.430728 2.724725 5.252991 10.057137 20.075246
2025-09-28 0.362751 0.701493 1.335527 2.625571 5.231861 10.356321 21.434917
2025-10-05 0.343245 0.685576 1.347921 2.742894 5.665459 11.629318 25.040079
2025-10-12 0.326323 0.672593 1.364524 2.871725 6.143585 13.067674 29.251044
2025-10-19 0.307867 0.653977 1.367348 2.972437 6.578153 14.481713 33.658472
2025-10-26 0.285648 0.624399 1.343463 3.012073 6.884932 15.664010 37.742245
2025-11-02 0.255843 0.574357 1.269270 2.928992 6.900730 16.191764 40.357209
2025-11-09 0.224716 0.517246 1.172119 2.779176 6.737138 16.274860 41.883714
2025-11-16 0.205291 0.484465 1.125710 2.742562 6.841059 17.015892 45.223052
2025-11-23 0.187155 0.452373 1.076811 2.692935 6.905064 17.667148 48.440369
2025-11-30 0.180555 0.447292 1.091465 2.804096 7.397550 19.487772 55.184092
2025-12-07 0.170194 0.431541 1.078048 2.841223 7.700612 20.856907 60.903817
2025-12-14 0.157220 0.407505 1.040888 2.810481 7.815081 21.732912 65.346510