Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 1.463412 1.679425 1.916791 2.197059 2.519084 2.877683 3.307574
2025-06-29 1.119709 1.392335 1.716855 2.131975 2.649528 3.274404 4.087582
2025-07-06 0.862397 1.148768 1.513878 2.014268 2.683686 3.550471 4.761721
2025-07-13 0.744877 1.054757 1.474697 2.086725 2.958674 4.160601 5.951018
2025-07-20 0.659034 0.985739 1.453385 2.173669 3.259691 4.843626 7.343494
2025-07-27 0.586598 0.921963 1.426385 2.243271 3.540044 5.531041 8.843510
2025-08-03 0.518300 0.852260 1.377786 2.268776 3.751465 6.137648 10.304647
2025-08-10 0.445127 0.762820 1.283863 2.205188 3.806195 6.496784 11.409832
2025-08-17 0.376635 0.670511 1.171236 2.091714 3.756613 6.669041 12.212046
2025-08-24 0.333491 0.615451 1.113510 2.063380 3.847886 7.090535 13.509709
2025-08-31 0.295752 0.564587 1.055843 2.025771 3.914361 7.471599 14.780550
2025-09-07 0.280197 0.552676 1.067197 2.117734 4.235518 8.365911 17.165162
2025-09-14 0.255997 0.522099 1.041709 2.139718 4.433319 9.069370 19.319786
2025-09-21 0.229240 0.482795 0.994139 2.111051 4.525540 9.577277 21.155475
2025-09-28 0.199393 0.432976 0.918735 2.013787 4.459784 9.748937 22.295291
2025-10-05 0.189407 0.424048 0.927216 2.097916 4.800028 10.839291 25.668093
2025-10-12 0.181018 0.417418 0.939642 2.192442 5.177466 12.066514 29.559146
2025-10-19 0.171733 0.407424 0.943183 2.266928 5.519220 13.261166 33.567706
2025-10-26 0.160113 0.390332 0.928182 2.295221 5.754209 14.236800 37.191270
2025-11-02 0.144019 0.360259 0.878721 2.232300 5.754240 14.638678 39.404695
2025-11-09 0.126860 0.325208 0.812652 2.118189 5.606805 14.647621 40.574264
2025-11-16 0.116249 0.305344 0.781583 2.089938 5.679984 15.236819 43.429122
2025-11-23 0.106249 0.285734 0.748637 2.052093 5.721916 15.749280 46.154336