Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.380710 1.581584 1.802187 2.062551 2.361626 2.694633 3.093865
2025-07-13 1.136713 1.409025 1.732824 2.146741 2.662646 3.285611 4.096741
2025-07-20 0.970808 1.287920 1.691719 2.244824 2.984868 3.943917 5.286245
2025-07-27 0.837813 1.180035 1.642962 2.317093 3.277736 4.603618 6.583426
2025-08-03 0.723284 1.074537 1.576014 2.347439 3.510725 5.209983 7.900102
2025-08-10 0.609015 0.949007 1.458438 2.281681 3.588027 5.596532 8.949226
2025-08-17 0.507612 0.825832 1.323934 2.165641 3.564597 5.818167 9.766435
2025-08-24 0.444516 0.752742 1.255213 2.140435 3.676800 6.262206 11.002468
2025-08-31 0.390011 0.685384 1.185372 2.100966 3.755331 6.654944 12.201908
2025-09-07 0.364968 0.664548 1.190285 2.189484 4.066232 7.487232 14.305761
2025-09-14 0.335140 0.630771 1.167345 2.223210 4.279702 8.168938 16.225847
2025-09-21 0.302136 0.586526 1.119220 2.202180 4.384590 8.657411 17.837050
2025-09-28 0.262323 0.525320 1.033801 2.102050 4.330158 8.847839 18.918010
2025-10-05 0.248141 0.512832 1.041306 2.189252 4.668938 9.879422 21.939861
2025-10-12 0.236440 0.503801 1.054501 2.290158 5.051832 11.060238 25.488859
2025-10-19 0.223208 0.489711 1.055279 2.364424 5.387766 12.189444 29.113304
2025-10-26 0.207657 0.468449 1.037873 2.395702 5.631237 13.147447 32.497209
2025-11-02 0.186357 0.431474 0.981101 2.328725 5.635670 13.552625 34.598018
2025-11-09 0.164052 0.389245 0.907015 2.210325 5.498548 13.598207 35.793608
2025-11-16 0.150385 0.365649 0.873147 2.184639 5.586845 14.210344 38.574246
2025-11-23 0.137289 0.341748 0.835538 2.144365 5.632046 14.719836 41.166089
2025-11-30 0.132808 0.338668 0.848297 2.234778 6.032914 16.215520 46.766503
2025-12-07 0.125636 0.327802 0.840200 2.269230 6.288398 17.360360 51.563488