Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 1.634819 1.866534 2.120908 2.421129 2.766110 3.150513 3.611882
2025-09-07 1.348562 1.663348 2.037579 2.516314 3.114026 3.837688 4.783420
2025-09-14 1.126009 1.481960 1.934518 2.554440 3.385300 4.465683 5.985726
2025-09-21 0.942348 1.311400 1.808574 2.531252 3.561636 4.988056 7.130123
2025-09-28 0.782851 1.143577 1.654673 2.437241 3.615468 5.339487 8.083131
2025-10-05 0.715549 1.092996 1.653262 2.553503 3.979423 6.176895 9.870223
2025-10-12 0.660955 1.051442 1.656177 2.671728 4.357064 7.081607 11.898677
2025-10-19 0.603202 0.995608 1.627216 2.731549 4.644264 7.875598 13.862645
2025-10-26 0.551265 0.941356 1.592024 2.773044 4.901606 8.648575 15.902858
2025-11-02 0.488755 0.860681 1.501416 2.704643 4.953368 9.063685 17.349311
2025-11-09 0.424834 0.769362 1.380637 2.564819 4.852865 9.182417 18.241604
2025-11-16 0.385462 0.717408 1.323563 2.534208 4.951226 9.683711 19.958329
2025-11-23 0.346842 0.663612 1.259163 2.486051 5.018499 10.152912 21.729813
2025-11-30 0.330810 0.651155 1.271754 2.591764 5.412010 11.340563 25.245162
2025-12-07 0.309340 0.625336 1.255014 2.635329 5.682192 12.310768 28.451452
2025-12-14 0.283674 0.587882 1.210244 2.613603 5.807689 12.984831 31.092018
2025-12-21 0.254163 0.538933 1.135863 2.517530 5.752909 13.244765 32.781923
2025-12-28 0.246328 0.535380 1.157395 2.638441 6.215140 14.772726 37.909824
2026-01-04 0.238957 0.531913 1.178558 2.761141 6.699535 16.428232 43.678945
2026-01-11 0.227535 0.517951 1.174460 2.823252 7.044231 17.790496 48.918790
2026-01-18 0.215734 0.501732 1.163213 2.866310 7.346931 19.091856 54.237949
2026-01-25 0.197794 0.468994 1.109343 2.795554 7.342951 19.583286 57.314970
2026-02-01 0.177276 0.427807 1.030594 2.650841 7.120423 19.447369 58.496601