Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.538427 1.758854 2.000926 2.286696 2.615111 2.981050 3.420195
2025-08-17 1.142341 1.411576 1.731719 2.141218 2.652259 3.270510 4.077569
2025-08-24 0.921682 1.216020 1.590338 2.102935 2.789350 3.680609 4.931930
2025-08-31 0.760133 1.061136 1.466806 2.056250 2.895634 4.055209 5.791219
2025-09-07 0.678717 0.996500 1.447623 2.139000 3.179771 4.700698 7.114987
2025-09-14 0.601302 0.923340 1.402162 2.171838 3.389738 5.262031 8.395938
2025-09-21 0.527020 0.842518 1.331547 2.152209 3.510784 5.697749 9.539870
2025-09-28 0.454275 0.753077 1.233968 2.073088 3.520455 5.950274 10.412458
2025-10-05 0.427331 0.733741 1.245172 2.172092 3.836223 6.747051 12.330199
2025-10-12 0.403909 0.716724 1.256993 2.271765 4.163762 7.604252 14.481549
2025-10-19 0.375802 0.687537 1.243315 2.322552 4.407070 8.338211 16.507481
2025-10-26 0.347299 0.653847 1.216917 2.345112 4.598012 8.995549 18.477061
2025-11-02 0.308567 0.597617 1.144454 2.274743 4.607921 9.321323 19.865630
2025-11-09 0.269465 0.535991 1.054447 2.158052 4.508841 9.415283 20.783804
2025-11-16 0.245294 0.501059 1.012596 2.133986 4.599094 9.915610 22.678273
2025-11-23 0.222433 0.466004 0.966221 2.094053 4.649217 10.336051 24.460821
2025-11-30 0.213763 0.459610 0.978412 2.182470 4.996483 11.466368 28.113716
2025-12-07 0.201290 0.443469 0.967758 2.218176 5.227650 12.363188 31.349356
2025-12-14 0.185779 0.418741 0.935300 2.199239 5.326524 12.959772 33.924631
2025-12-21 0.167470 0.385543 0.879962 2.118890 5.264300 13.152738 35.471368
2025-12-28 0.163249 0.384556 0.898577 2.220482 5.672236 14.589320 40.652796
2026-01-04 0.159147 0.383352 0.916483 2.322637 6.096566 16.132740 46.418822
2026-01-11 0.152251 0.374529 0.914923 2.374698 6.395695 17.387103 51.578465