Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-19 0.989741 1.105036 1.230168 1.376357 1.542831 1.726922 1.946491
2026-04-26 0.775268 0.922217 1.093721 1.309778 1.576247 1.896119 2.312150
2026-05-03 0.645525 0.806463 1.005244 1.271117 1.620870 2.070069 2.698437
2026-05-10 0.559471 0.727406 0.944693 1.250156 1.674458 2.251887 3.112598
2026-05-17 0.515337 0.694132 0.935249 1.289791 1.807376 2.550565 3.726616
2026-05-24 0.476098 0.661231 0.920070 1.316044 1.920314 2.831004 4.353238
2026-05-31 0.430202 0.613072 0.876656 1.293733 1.954965 2.994390 4.817794
2026-06-07 0.391102 0.570311 0.835774 1.268839 1.979739 3.141459 5.273260
2026-06-14 0.373083 0.556909 0.836917 1.308297 2.110575 3.476076 6.104459
2026-06-21 0.355625 0.542400 0.834334 1.340387 2.231424 3.807660 6.984030
2026-06-28 0.340722 0.530335 0.834034 1.375396 2.360251 4.168956 7.981674
2026-07-05 0.321665 0.509746 0.817590 1.380204 2.434245 4.436954 8.836709
2026-07-12 0.297052 0.478888 0.782762 1.351649 2.448308 4.602539 9.532688
2026-07-19 0.267886 0.438173 0.727800 1.281247 2.374578 4.584927 9.827137
2026-07-26 0.246623 0.409433 0.691401 1.241756 2.357009 4.680615 10.403116
2026-08-02 0.230253 0.387971 0.666115 1.220718 2.373931 4.851612 11.195172
2026-08-09 0.223696 0.383424 0.671076 1.259047 2.519106 5.326309 12.854221
2026-08-16 0.215891 0.375932 0.669791 1.284496 2.639677 5.764145 14.522466
2026-08-23 0.202892 0.357824 0.646801 1.262767 2.652555 5.948724 15.535735
2026-08-30 0.190716 0.340398 0.623741 1.238545 2.656632 6.112281 16.528222
2026-09-06 0.186478 0.337808 0.629584 1.276917 2.811988 6.683220 18.896567
2026-09-13 0.181681 0.333751 0.632091 1.308122 2.954304 7.245319 21.398995
2026-09-20 0.177413 0.330406 0.635725 1.342164 3.108324 7.867196 24.288024