Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 2.157754 2.461432 2.795042 3.189134 3.642495 4.148336 4.756410
2025-10-19 1.755505 2.161413 2.644354 3.262962 4.036749 4.975836 6.206800
2025-10-26 1.472728 1.932793 2.518085 3.321035 4.399858 5.807458 7.796807
2025-11-02 1.215859 1.684499 2.315684 3.234087 4.546653 6.370567 9.124274
2025-11-09 0.999804 1.451229 2.089884 3.067887 4.543128 6.709780 10.177956
2025-11-16 0.870616 1.318045 1.979897 3.041750 4.724653 7.325622 11.721076
2025-11-23 0.759484 1.193914 1.862738 2.981790 4.836570 7.839405 13.172471
2025-11-30 0.712317 1.160886 1.878485 3.128784 5.293019 8.958894 15.794190
2025-12-07 0.659232 1.110288 1.857616 3.209057 5.643881 9.944465 18.335048
2025-12-14 0.596581 1.035143 1.785266 3.188533 5.811021 10.624755 20.417990
2025-12-21 0.528031 0.941200 1.668555 3.071821 5.783406 10.939203 21.840293
2025-12-28 0.505908 0.927244 1.691472 3.213935 6.260309 12.270625 25.504580
2026-01-04 0.485417 0.915124 1.718510 3.372089 6.800866 13.826760 29.957214
2026-01-11 0.455766 0.882163 1.702298 3.442943 7.175648 15.103561 34.043267
2026-01-18 0.427601 0.848747 1.681080 3.500458 7.530489 16.392029 38.396319
2026-01-25 0.387142 0.785966 1.593623 3.406535 7.541496 16.924126 41.056396
2026-02-01 0.343737 0.712271 1.475300 3.229973 7.340607 16.940827 42.445374
2026-02-08 0.318249 0.673598 1.426443 3.201866 7.478960 17.774197 46.072635
2026-02-15 0.292476 0.631522 1.365557 3.138304 7.523484 18.386113 49.229822
2026-02-22 0.285862 0.630949 1.396121 3.293343 8.126226 20.486151 56.877949
2026-03-01 0.274401 0.618153 1.397513 3.378016 8.563731 22.229973 63.869796
2026-03-08 0.256713 0.589103 1.358060 3.356308 8.721347 23.253464 68.945425
2026-03-15 0.234278 0.546603 1.282336 3.233076 8.590311 23.465668 71.589583