Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.737891 2.004259 2.297339 2.643686 3.041795 3.485095 4.016255
2025-05-04 1.415423 1.776199 2.207003 2.759184 3.448221 4.279915 5.360684
2025-05-11 1.162541 1.569382 2.090771 2.807620 3.767780 5.010055 6.741145
2025-05-18 0.940351 1.354408 1.919350 2.745889 3.924571 5.546079 7.949460
2025-05-25 0.755586 1.153497 1.727800 2.616219 3.956322 5.903974 8.954657
2025-06-01 0.645024 1.038047 1.634923 2.606079 4.147314 6.501242 10.376898
2025-06-08 0.549078 0.927534 1.529795 2.556211 4.262836 6.990631 11.691903
2025-06-15 0.509038 0.899126 1.547163 2.699685 4.699777 8.032875 14.023433
2025-06-22 0.458392 0.844222 1.511506 2.746562 4.977411 8.842908 16.068016
2025-06-29 0.404565 0.775055 1.440589 2.719619 5.118671 9.431062 17.794329
2025-07-06 0.345668 0.687543 1.324242 2.592414 5.057870 9.646835 18.863661
2025-07-13 0.324576 0.668753 1.331826 2.697620 5.443621 10.724533 21.685030
2025-07-20 0.307102 0.656124 1.352372 2.836878 5.926440 12.070833 25.260607
2025-07-27 0.284807 0.630415 1.343682 2.916545 6.302039 13.258626 28.690068
2025-08-03 0.259993 0.595614 1.311499 2.942559 6.569801 14.262974 31.879777
2025-08-10 0.229585 0.543851 1.236041 2.864042 6.601204 14.775196 34.080306
2025-08-17 0.198511 0.485751 1.138395 2.721394 6.468645 14.912457 35.459995
2025-08-24 0.180353 0.455278 1.098856 2.706662 6.626412 15.714545 38.472470
2025-08-31 0.161846 0.421138 1.045999 2.652562 6.683099 16.290855 41.028946
2025-09-07 0.157089 0.420747 1.073952 2.800014 7.250093 18.141605 46.937723
2025-09-14 0.147139 0.405441 1.062982 2.847822 7.574183 19.445003 51.655538
2025-09-21 0.134364 0.380698 1.024693 2.819445 7.698337 20.266809 55.248708
2025-09-28 0.118256 0.344397 0.951336 2.687365 7.530219 20.321358 56.826247