Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.398145 0.509883 0.630610 0.769101 0.922088 1.084616 1.269090
2025-10-19 0.267547 0.422552 0.606161 0.831865 1.095289 1.387632 1.731694
2025-10-26 0.198556 0.371954 0.592004 0.875164 1.216802 1.605371 2.071581
2025-11-02 0.136879 0.314359 0.557358 0.884548 1.291600 1.764672 2.341613
2025-11-09 0.076164 0.238434 0.484867 0.835287 1.286439 1.822941 2.488303
2025-11-16 0.034339 0.172984 0.414006 0.778191 1.263817 1.854357 2.598361
2025-11-23 0.014650 0.135372 0.376188 0.759511 1.285072 1.935065 2.763494
2025-11-30 0.006072 0.115532 0.362646 0.772076 1.344826 2.061583 2.982349
2025-12-07 0.000888 0.092348 0.338266 0.765703 1.377339 2.152696 3.157218
2025-12-14 NaN 0.067326 0.303806 0.740227 1.381437 2.206184 3.284744
2025-12-21 NaN 0.064114 0.313001 0.782194 1.477719 2.376612 3.555707
2025-12-28 NaN 0.063786 0.328241 0.833734 1.587329 2.564209 3.848040
2026-01-04 NaN 0.059071 0.334057 0.872474 1.682906 2.738787 4.130850
2026-01-11 NaN 0.060381 0.354630 0.936189 1.814775 2.961642 4.475467
2026-01-18 NaN 0.057980 0.365309 0.983142 1.922667 3.153248 4.781000
2026-01-25 NaN 0.047995 0.354257 0.992863 1.977292 3.275682 5.000516
2026-02-01 NaN 0.028701 0.308937 0.940546 1.940913 3.278183 5.069253
2026-02-08 NaN 0.013572 0.262009 0.879699 1.888647 3.257398 5.106793
2026-02-15 NaN 0.007115 0.239202 0.859775 1.894662 3.312105 5.238058
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004765 0.234243 0.873181 1.950299 3.432833 5.452959
2026-03-01 NaN 0.002032 0.219706 0.866382 1.974578 3.511054 5.613473
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000174 0.196340 0.839184 1.966257 3.544442 5.716102
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000205 0.207241 0.883972 2.069783 3.729813 6.013782