Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.336807 0.443367 0.560050 0.695365 0.846221 1.007719 1.192245
2025-07-27 0.217409 0.363125 0.540040 0.761321 1.023006 1.316374 1.664492
2025-08-03 0.153445 0.313902 0.524931 0.802692 1.143224 1.535100 2.009613
2025-08-10 0.097916 0.258226 0.489134 0.809085 1.214753 1.692513 2.281067
2025-08-17 0.047227 0.188340 0.419553 0.760695 1.209914 1.752191 2.432160
2025-08-24 0.015984 0.130026 0.352870 0.705788 1.188921 1.786287 2.547847
2025-08-31 0.003848 0.096828 0.316587 0.686721 1.209316 1.867296 2.716382
2025-09-07 0.000322 0.078381 0.300829 0.694396 1.262981 1.988219 2.932079
2025-09-14 NaN 0.059004 0.277594 0.687394 1.294551 2.079741 3.110711
2025-09-21 NaN 0.040648 0.249587 0.669124 1.308112 2.146592 3.257663
2025-09-28 NaN 0.038029 0.257878 0.709900 1.404590 2.320395 3.537421
2025-10-05 NaN 0.036777 0.269269 0.755787 1.508398 2.503868 3.829479
2025-10-12 NaN 0.033239 0.274966 0.794605 1.606300 2.685189 4.126200
2025-10-19 NaN 0.035318 0.297659 0.863861 1.749541 2.927600 4.501744
2025-10-26 NaN 0.033028 0.306422 0.908430 1.856742 3.122514 4.817453
2025-11-02 NaN 0.025039 0.294307 0.915155 1.908404 3.244250 5.041233
2025-11-09 NaN 0.011727 0.252074 0.863490 1.871910 3.247947 5.115000
2025-11-16 NaN 0.003172 0.209426 0.804707 1.821065 3.229966 5.159221
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000609 0.188178 0.784266 1.826182 3.285483 5.295559
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000065 0.181324 0.792497 1.875162 3.400259 5.507785
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.167852 0.784988 1.898722 3.479894 5.674486
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.150012 0.765382 1.901937 3.530882 5.803670
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.159531 0.809115 2.006994 3.722751 6.115834