Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.268626 0.365629 0.473392 0.599763 0.741929 0.895232 1.071461
2025-06-15 0.140835 0.263075 0.418091 0.617498 0.858050 1.131632 1.459882
2025-06-22 0.074531 0.195532 0.369132 0.608986 0.912402 1.269073 1.707756
2025-06-29 0.032458 0.140755 0.321843 0.591110 0.947020 1.377497 1.917861
2025-07-06 0.017244 0.121692 0.318754 0.626338 1.043853 1.557194 2.208915
2025-07-13 0.008721 0.109484 0.322601 0.668758 1.148381 1.745347 2.509532
2025-07-20 0.003317 0.097699 0.323898 0.705503 1.244151 1.921836 2.795575
2025-07-27 0.001596 0.097311 0.344647 0.770528 1.377487 2.145305 3.138810
2025-08-03 0.000197 0.090056 0.350756 0.812589 1.479376 2.329014 3.433584
2025-08-10 NaN 0.073564 0.334960 0.818997 1.531446 2.448888 3.649702
2025-08-17 NaN 0.046322 0.287204 0.770112 1.503997 2.465129 3.736553
2025-08-24 NaN 0.024700 0.239650 0.715036 1.463587 2.461623 3.796429
2025-08-31 NaN 0.013246 0.211913 0.692489 1.471465 2.524705 3.945209
2025-09-07 NaN 0.008987 0.205985 0.708691 1.536617 2.664430 4.192223
2025-09-14 NaN 0.003992 0.188310 0.700338 1.563609 2.752223 4.372453
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000763 0.166551 0.680871 1.572140 2.814287 4.519309
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000514 0.173041 0.718842 1.668975 2.995772 4.819024
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000465 0.183092 0.764380 1.777706 3.193601 5.139956
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000313 0.190224 0.803771 1.876961 3.378688 5.444733
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000750 0.211526 0.873312 2.023341 3.628067 5.832298
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000668 0.221155 0.918200 2.131425 3.825494 6.153352
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000072 0.212990 0.925032 2.180085 3.942052 6.370606
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.179083 0.872868 2.134529 3.928974 6.420300