Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.420038 0.543509 0.677603 0.832082 1.003347 1.185849 1.393544
2025-05-04 0.274989 0.445187 0.649043 0.901626 1.198215 1.528914 1.919616
2025-05-11 0.198917 0.387720 0.631282 0.948023 1.333078 1.773480 2.304214
2025-05-18 0.132675 0.323974 0.591995 0.957709 1.416771 1.953666 2.611614
2025-05-25 0.069760 0.242053 0.512614 0.903859 1.412858 2.022425 2.782354
2025-06-01 0.028938 0.174059 0.438362 0.845659 1.394944 2.067778 2.919925
2025-06-08 0.010043 0.132512 0.394356 0.821522 1.414933 2.154833 3.103265
2025-06-15 0.003182 0.112750 0.381772 0.839181 1.487534 2.305406 3.361910
2025-06-22 0.000035 0.087706 0.353606 0.830058 1.521826 2.406292 3.558878
2025-06-29 NaN 0.063629 0.320044 0.808484 1.536377 2.480244 3.721354
2025-07-06 NaN 0.058649 0.326179 0.849194 1.636809 2.663778 4.018857
2025-07-13 NaN 0.056019 0.337074 0.897395 1.747692 2.860837 4.333301
2025-07-20 NaN 0.052999 0.348307 0.949646 1.869608 3.078992 4.682915
2025-07-27 NaN 0.055938 0.375758 1.030367 2.033760 3.354130 5.106319
2025-08-03 NaN 0.052151 0.384204 1.078369 2.150759 3.567556 5.452329
2025-08-10 NaN 0.041850 0.371572 1.089204 2.213906 3.710571 5.710390
2025-08-17 NaN 0.023023 0.322124 1.031402 2.175075 3.718222 5.797429
2025-08-24 NaN 0.009598 0.273676 0.968977 2.125559 3.709058 5.861078
2025-08-31 NaN 0.003864 0.246765 0.943025 2.127884 3.766901 6.007721
2025-09-07 NaN 0.002250 0.243018 0.962010 2.198176 3.915960 6.270602
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000458 0.225953 0.952204 2.223346 4.003509 6.454464
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.203768 0.929003 2.226345 4.060084 6.597965
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.212358 0.972768 2.334789 4.260991 6.927641