Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-19 0.020077 0.042255 0.072788 0.114588 0.167643 0.230562 0.308841
2026-04-26 0.000584 0.012479 0.043446 0.099889 0.184634 0.296657 0.447267
2026-05-03 NaN 0.002226 0.025300 0.083977 0.185360 0.329944 0.533980
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000081 0.016692 0.078087 0.196991 0.375923 0.636587
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.012925 0.079278 0.218464 0.435164 0.756946
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.009265 0.077893 0.234277 0.485807 0.865963
2026-05-31 NaN NaN 0.005179 0.070876 0.237851 0.517159 0.948015
2026-06-07 NaN NaN 0.006107 0.083463 0.280009 0.608748 1.115828
2026-06-14 NaN NaN 0.006549 0.094018 0.318469 0.695146 1.277168
2026-06-21 NaN NaN 0.006067 0.100172 0.348282 0.768455 1.420668
2026-06-28 NaN NaN 0.007507 0.115850 0.397835 0.873332 1.609825
2026-07-05 NaN NaN 0.007770 0.125870 0.436127 0.960921 1.775043
2026-07-12 NaN NaN 0.006017 0.125864 0.455540 1.021584 1.906294
2026-07-19 NaN NaN 0.002510 0.110257 0.440933 1.027917 1.960370
2026-07-26 NaN NaN 0.000508 0.093392 0.419977 1.021859 1.994978
2026-08-02 NaN NaN 0.000075 0.087121 0.421576 1.052041 2.081911
2026-08-09 NaN NaN 0.000014 0.088391 0.441254 1.112707 2.214160
2026-08-16 NaN NaN NaN 0.086915 0.453801 1.161314 2.328799
2026-08-23 NaN NaN NaN 0.079432 0.449868 1.181283 2.400652
2026-08-30 NaN NaN NaN 0.092843 0.501756 1.298314 2.618553
2026-09-06 NaN NaN NaN 0.104050 0.547592 1.404932 2.821103
2026-09-13 NaN NaN NaN 0.110569 0.581273 1.490825 2.993032
2026-09-20 NaN NaN 0.000008 0.127137 0.640937 1.621507 3.232141