Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.232835 0.322847 0.423696 0.542740 0.677379 0.823194 0.991425
2025-06-29 0.105062 0.211613 0.350765 0.533075 0.755828 1.011507 1.320455
2025-07-06 0.061815 0.173125 0.336447 0.564816 0.855913 1.199880 1.624565
2025-07-13 0.036987 0.149354 0.333720 0.605683 0.963590 1.395348 1.936365
2025-07-20 0.020525 0.129500 0.330119 0.640500 1.059924 1.574280 2.226198
2025-07-27 0.013423 0.124649 0.347294 0.702475 1.190245 1.794259 2.564893
2025-08-03 0.006593 0.113046 0.350371 0.742550 1.290765 1.976747 2.858101
2025-08-10 0.001159 0.091937 0.332155 0.748635 1.344283 2.099417 3.078001
2025-08-17 NaN 0.059393 0.282856 0.702144 1.322961 2.125125 3.177460
2025-08-24 NaN 0.033269 0.234140 0.649476 1.288358 2.130474 3.249067
2025-08-31 NaN 0.020311 0.208845 0.631174 1.299433 2.192785 3.389692
2025-09-07 NaN 0.014488 0.200642 0.640962 1.350158 2.306417 3.594226
2025-09-14 NaN 0.007340 0.181468 0.631144 1.374786 2.390018 3.767319
2025-09-21 NaN 0.002277 0.159503 0.613290 1.386553 2.456664 3.919908
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001691 0.165201 0.649508 1.480149 2.632971 4.211909
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001486 0.174344 0.692851 1.584912 2.824670 4.524004
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001106 0.180663 0.730354 1.680730 3.004378 4.820931
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001763 0.200789 0.796619 1.821219 3.244872 5.196038
2025-10-26 NaN 0.001544 0.209559 0.839414 1.925515 3.436450 5.508670
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000420 0.201085 0.845901 1.973402 3.551448 5.723159
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.167869 0.796275 1.931928 3.543628 5.778993
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.134650 0.739935 1.876397 3.514272 5.805225
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.118662 0.720324 1.878051 3.562523 5.930781