Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.276257 0.373552 0.481382 0.607614 0.749439 0.902224 1.077725
2025-07-13 0.159850 0.287332 0.446744 0.650047 0.893864 1.170033 1.500386
2025-07-20 0.105375 0.242726 0.431368 0.685993 1.003421 1.372970 1.824340
2025-07-27 0.077505 0.224477 0.442778 0.750075 1.143513 1.609855 2.187005
2025-08-03 0.052975 0.201236 0.440644 0.791484 1.251603 1.805563 2.498843
2025-08-10 0.029199 0.167196 0.415889 0.797755 1.311890 1.941140 2.737726
2025-08-17 0.008179 0.118105 0.357194 0.749684 1.296825 1.980568 2.858454
2025-08-24 0.000197 0.076908 0.299598 0.695103 1.267340 1.997752 2.948703
2025-08-31 NaN 0.054457 0.268956 0.676120 1.282339 2.068272 3.101757
2025-09-07 NaN 0.042652 0.256596 0.683729 1.332651 2.182929 3.308505
2025-09-14 NaN 0.030036 0.236938 0.676786 1.360884 2.268054 3.477862
2025-09-21 NaN 0.018653 0.213617 0.660561 1.373968 2.332217 3.620125
2025-09-28 NaN 0.016377 0.219425 0.698273 1.469650 2.510365 3.912828
2025-10-05 NaN 0.015143 0.228830 0.743192 1.577135 2.705733 4.229421
2025-10-12 NaN 0.013372 0.235098 0.781932 1.675163 2.888273 4.529495
2025-10-19 NaN 0.015179 0.257146 0.850444 1.817861 3.130632 4.905811
2025-10-26 NaN 0.014138 0.266269 0.894670 1.924392 3.324960 5.221464
2025-11-02 NaN 0.009518 0.255924 0.901354 1.974402 3.443756 5.441289
2025-11-09 NaN 0.002553 0.217483 0.850038 1.934820 3.441200 5.505752
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000010 0.178705 0.791649 1.880850 3.416823 5.540396
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.159671 0.771309 1.884052 3.468690 5.671557
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.153845 0.779464 1.932068 3.581919 5.881948
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.141910 0.772023 1.954378 3.659269 6.045578