Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.196954 0.276539 0.366205 0.472501 0.593136 0.724142 0.875633
2025-10-26 0.105802 0.208219 0.340808 0.513605 0.723973 0.964822 1.255291
2025-11-02 0.055454 0.157410 0.307689 0.518324 0.787221 1.105281 1.498277
2025-11-09 0.017871 0.101533 0.251758 0.481938 0.791378 1.169668 1.648105
2025-11-16 0.001676 0.059106 0.199963 0.439332 0.778510 1.206261 1.758709
2025-11-23 NaN 0.037207 0.172816 0.425595 0.798873 1.280517 1.911832
2025-11-30 NaN 0.026530 0.162556 0.434848 0.848646 1.390720 2.108039
2025-12-07 NaN 0.015869 0.145705 0.430136 0.876838 1.471842 2.267300
2025-12-14 NaN 0.006707 0.123114 0.411360 0.882273 1.521574 2.386047
2025-12-21 NaN 0.005533 0.128244 0.442500 0.961021 1.668218 2.627109
2025-12-28 NaN 0.004643 0.133902 0.474525 1.041136 1.816826 2.870899
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002862 0.132337 0.492134 1.099350 1.936105 3.077505
2026-01-11 NaN 0.002897 0.143596 0.537292 1.202927 2.120936 3.373764
2026-01-18 NaN 0.002310 0.149845 0.573043 1.293173 2.289198 3.650756
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000738 0.142377 0.580189 1.339006 2.397071 3.850149
2026-02-01 NaN NaN 0.114511 0.540996 1.311064 2.403625 3.918795
2026-02-08 NaN NaN 0.087118 0.495793 1.270026 2.389880 3.959390
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.074295 0.481112 1.276246 2.440124 4.081796
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.071363 0.490988 1.322767 2.546663 4.277781
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.063467 0.485961 1.343739 2.616926 4.426013
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.051422 0.465927 1.337975 2.648598 4.522942
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.056735 0.499141 1.424274 2.811783 4.793961
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.062351 0.533227 1.512120 2.977264 5.068148