Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.447997 0.576640 0.716016 0.876270 1.053652 1.242420 1.457002
2025-04-06 0.249926 0.414058 0.612541 0.860088 1.152181 1.479063 1.866379
2025-04-13 0.177003 0.357737 0.594145 0.904204 1.283343 1.718784 2.245206
2025-04-20 0.127057 0.316474 0.583712 0.949759 1.410376 1.949999 2.612117
2025-04-27 0.094209 0.289086 0.583722 1.002058 1.540382 2.180510 2.974508
2025-05-04 0.077615 0.282806 0.609797 1.085912 1.707852 2.454636 3.387378
2025-05-11 0.057404 0.262855 0.612038 1.135202 1.829896 2.672741 3.733169
2025-05-18 0.035555 0.229555 0.588881 1.146258 1.900623 2.826689 4.001330
2025-05-25 0.012565 0.173438 0.520102 1.087107 1.875825 2.860028 4.122301
2025-06-01 0.001489 0.124837 0.453066 1.023226 1.839555 2.875212 4.218068
2025-06-08 NaN 0.095743 0.414330 0.996903 1.850327 2.946846 4.380300
2025-06-15 NaN 0.083983 0.407834 1.019067 1.926533 3.100932 4.643265
2025-06-22 NaN 0.066844 0.387426 1.020757 1.978495 3.230048 4.883777
2025-06-29 NaN 0.047437 0.355008 1.000348 1.998696 3.318637 5.075382
2025-07-06 NaN 0.044177 0.363879 1.048884 2.116613 3.533646 5.423994
2025-07-13 NaN 0.041323 0.373114 1.097873 2.235247 3.749811 5.774426
2025-07-20 NaN 0.040028 0.386672 1.154333 2.364737 3.980317 6.143026
2025-07-27 NaN 0.044534 0.419180 1.244533 2.543576 4.275937 6.593737
2025-08-03 NaN 0.042672 0.430684 1.297461 2.668188 4.500419 6.955306
2025-08-10 NaN 0.034680 0.419562 1.309320 2.732458 4.645299 7.216739
2025-08-17 NaN 0.018708 0.368858 1.245822 2.683813 4.639613 7.287358
2025-08-24 NaN 0.007429 0.318545 1.177117 2.623891 4.616476 7.333867
2025-08-31 NaN 0.002831 0.290996 1.148765 2.622504 4.669870 7.475914