Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.285129 0.384983 0.495510 0.624757 0.769824 0.925964 1.105172
2025-06-15 0.151954 0.278437 0.437621 0.641401 0.886389 1.164326 1.497160
2025-06-22 0.082704 0.208958 0.387772 0.633121 0.942123 1.304280 1.748733
2025-06-29 0.037780 0.152033 0.339125 0.614762 0.977168 1.414034 1.961119
2025-07-06 0.021116 0.132164 0.335960 0.650717 1.075554 1.596093 2.255383
2025-07-13 0.011482 0.119403 0.339915 0.693972 1.181666 1.786566 2.559083
2025-07-20 0.005048 0.107060 0.341257 0.731434 1.278844 1.965138 2.847910
2025-07-27 0.002829 0.106660 0.362584 0.797678 1.414054 2.191114 3.194306
2025-08-03 0.000713 0.099045 0.368866 0.840506 1.517317 2.376787 3.491650
2025-08-10 NaN 0.081670 0.352648 0.847030 1.570065 2.497889 3.709565
2025-08-17 NaN 0.052718 0.303533 0.797256 1.542237 2.514260 3.797077
2025-08-24 NaN 0.029634 0.255406 0.742710 1.503538 2.513651 3.861107
2025-08-31 NaN 0.016910 0.226903 0.720081 1.512074 2.578129 4.012055
2025-09-07 NaN 0.012002 0.220705 0.736514 1.577986 2.719130 4.260876
2025-09-14 NaN 0.006032 0.202379 0.728020 1.605388 2.807879 4.442626
2025-09-21 NaN 0.001727 0.179751 0.708140 1.614013 2.870543 4.590604
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001331 0.186494 0.746863 1.712114 3.053784 4.892572
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001250 0.196947 0.793309 1.822266 3.253525 5.215908
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000985 0.204359 0.833468 1.922787 3.440354 5.522903
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001708 0.226466 0.904322 2.070980 3.692011 5.913208
2025-10-26 NaN 0.001580 0.236448 0.950033 2.180361 3.891185 6.236456
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000477 0.227991 0.956990 2.229590 4.008742 6.455143
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.192795 0.903871 2.183478 3.995515 6.505108