Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.330981 0.434670 0.548040 0.679344 0.825566 0.981950 1.160476
2025-09-07 0.185647 0.318644 0.481792 0.687223 0.931313 1.205883 1.532530
2025-09-14 0.110410 0.246822 0.431997 0.680211 0.988175 1.345481 1.780742
2025-09-21 0.058467 0.186494 0.382366 0.662060 1.023190 1.453537 1.988132
2025-09-28 0.038488 0.166980 0.382094 0.702251 1.125745 1.638283 2.281996
2025-10-05 0.026318 0.155855 0.390804 0.752225 1.239135 1.835158 2.589644
2025-10-12 0.015982 0.141971 0.391977 0.789624 1.334898 2.009538 2.869794
2025-10-19 0.011159 0.139105 0.409826 0.849892 1.460068 2.219985 3.193276
2025-10-26 0.006384 0.131340 0.417587 0.894571 1.564086 2.403877 3.484596
2025-11-02 0.001668 0.112646 0.402614 0.903777 1.619538 2.526262 3.700738
2025-11-09 NaN 0.078967 0.351653 0.854069 1.592326 2.542361 3.785489
2025-11-16 NaN 0.049847 0.299285 0.796110 1.549658 2.535799 3.839911
2025-11-23 NaN 0.033651 0.270686 0.775680 1.561037 2.602013 3.989530
2025-11-30 NaN 0.025380 0.259614 0.783903 1.613353 2.722150 4.207713
2025-12-07 NaN 0.016549 0.240964 0.776447 1.641379 2.809273 4.383458
2025-12-14 NaN 0.008674 0.217246 0.756962 1.650123 2.869933 4.525181
2025-12-21 NaN 0.008167 0.226770 0.800054 1.752364 3.055229 4.824986
2025-12-28 NaN 0.008605 0.241608 0.853519 1.870400 3.261857 5.152156
2026-01-04 NaN 0.007872 0.249473 0.893461 1.968089 3.441360 5.445019
2026-01-11 NaN 0.009201 0.269752 0.957710 2.102696 3.670534 5.801311
2026-01-18 NaN 0.009097 0.281436 1.005253 2.212123 3.866085 6.115004
2026-01-25 NaN 0.006175 0.273995 1.015041 2.264212 3.984661 6.330739
2026-02-01 NaN 0.001272 0.236513 0.962157 2.219186 3.971515 6.377701