Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.308644 0.410026 0.521490 0.651160 0.796098 0.951587 1.129562
2025-08-17 0.144171 0.264273 0.415624 0.609609 0.843074 1.108195 1.425963
2025-08-24 0.064631 0.175360 0.336312 0.560370 0.845255 1.181376 1.595974
2025-08-31 0.027050 0.125109 0.292398 0.543545 0.877492 1.283060 1.793732
2025-09-07 0.010341 0.097067 0.271440 0.550302 0.933921 1.409579 2.017089
2025-09-14 0.001586 0.070738 0.245140 0.544120 0.969720 1.508023 2.204697
2025-09-21 NaN 0.047447 0.215693 0.527943 0.988472 1.582494 2.361097
2025-09-28 NaN 0.042278 0.220512 0.563718 1.077702 1.746115 2.626773
2025-10-05 NaN 0.040040 0.230989 0.608253 1.179068 1.925399 2.912046
2025-10-12 NaN 0.035699 0.235002 0.641592 1.264419 2.083971 3.171727
2025-10-19 NaN 0.036212 0.251307 0.695564 1.379244 2.281003 3.479618
2025-10-26 NaN 0.032943 0.256501 0.730366 1.466572 2.442298 3.743075
2025-11-02 NaN 0.024045 0.243806 0.735937 1.515337 2.558212 3.956604
2025-11-09 NaN 0.010415 0.204192 0.690015 1.487477 2.572999 4.043574
2025-11-16 NaN 0.002275 0.165013 0.637781 1.445857 2.566319 4.100628
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000204 0.145335 0.619654 1.453533 2.624075 4.238226
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.138509 0.626921 1.499936 2.734071 4.442662
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.126111 0.620290 1.523618 2.812503 4.606115
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.110179 0.602950 1.528925 2.864859 4.735279
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.117575 0.641281 1.624558 3.042687 5.027827
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.128760 0.688895 1.735425 3.241855 5.348370
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.134973 0.724469 1.826766 3.413988 5.633875
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.150254 0.781945 1.953801 3.635847 5.984283