Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.021265 0.023756 0.026417 0.029470 0.032876 0.036561 0.040849
2026-04-12 0.016569 0.020004 0.023961 0.028859 0.034760 0.041644 0.050291
2026-04-19 0.013178 0.017015 0.021737 0.027978 0.036015 0.046026 0.059463
2026-04-26 0.010511 0.014389 0.019445 0.026520 0.036176 0.048912 0.067023
2026-05-03 0.008715 0.012565 0.017843 0.025612 0.036773 0.052258 0.075434
2026-05-10 0.007337 0.011079 0.016448 0.024717 0.037155 0.055211 0.083503
2026-05-17 0.006537 0.010295 0.015914 0.024931 0.039072 0.060462 0.095403
2026-05-24 0.005622 0.009203 0.014762 0.024029 0.039130 0.062850 0.103114
2026-05-31 0.004732 0.008029 0.013330 0.022483 0.037939 0.063085 0.107314
2026-06-07 0.004154 0.007289 0.012499 0.021795 0.038027 0.065318 0.114954
2026-06-14 0.003837 0.006951 0.012288 0.022114 0.039821 0.070534 0.128186
2026-06-21 0.003574 0.006673 0.012144 0.022517 0.041781 0.076196 0.142767
2026-06-28 0.003216 0.006188 0.011596 0.022159 0.042379 0.079595 0.153797
2026-07-05 0.002908 0.005764 0.011113 0.021870 0.043078 0.083264 0.165791
2026-07-12 0.002600 0.005304 0.010512 0.021285 0.043139 0.085728 0.175731
2026-07-19 0.002276 0.004773 0.009713 0.020215 0.042113 0.085960 0.181218
2026-07-26 0.002033 0.004379 0.009144 0.019541 0.041806 0.087573 0.189688
2026-08-02 0.001819 0.004020 0.008606 0.018867 0.041415 0.088949 0.197779
2026-08-09 0.001705 0.003863 0.008470 0.019035 0.042833 0.094249 0.214936
2026-08-16 0.001530 0.003552 0.007971 0.018349 0.042293 0.095264 0.222645
2026-08-23 0.001336 0.003175 0.007287 0.017170 0.040509 0.093343 0.223402
2026-08-30 0.001211 0.002944 0.006906 0.016645 0.040175 0.094645 0.231838
2026-09-06 0.001150 0.002860 0.006854 0.016889 0.041680 0.100344 0.251440