Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.199721 0.212363 0.225602 0.240538 0.256965 0.274530 0.294799
2025-04-13 0.168218 0.186255 0.206315 0.230456 0.258958 0.291842 0.333101
2025-04-20 0.152710 0.174343 0.199542 0.231472 0.271457 0.320725 0.387430
2025-04-27 0.142771 0.167029 0.196365 0.235168 0.286287 0.353085 0.450183
2025-05-04 0.133779 0.159564 0.191696 0.235720 0.296243 0.379476 0.508501
2025-05-11 0.125562 0.152127 0.186051 0.233917 0.302162 0.400315 0.561637
2025-05-18 0.118393 0.145351 0.180504 0.231379 0.306285 0.418475 0.613247
2025-05-25 0.111300 0.138110 0.173669 0.226220 0.305707 0.428967 0.653554
2025-06-01 0.105836 0.132660 0.168815 0.223335 0.307996 0.443898 0.704087
2025-06-08 0.101284 0.128148 0.164904 0.221393 0.311349 0.460711 0.761258
2025-06-15 0.098695 0.126162 0.164373 0.224360 0.322658 0.492390 0.854885
2025-06-22 0.094305 0.121394 0.159509 0.220227 0.321733 0.501962 0.904068
2025-06-29 0.089284 0.115596 0.152966 0.213233 0.315701 0.502045 0.934061
2025-07-06 0.084704 0.110265 0.146897 0.206668 0.309965 0.502267 0.965545
2025-07-13 0.082556 0.108362 0.145847 0.208120 0.318500 0.531720 1.078427
2025-07-20 0.081037 0.107288 0.145969 0.211465 0.330766 0.570781 1.231664
2025-07-27 0.078955 0.105271 0.144504 0.211992 0.337775 0.599825 1.368802
2025-08-03 0.076552 0.102661 0.141961 0.210465 0.340630 0.620069 1.487784
2025-08-10 0.074169 0.099980 0.139169 0.208294 0.341972 0.637024 1.604033
2025-08-17 0.071452 0.096686 0.135247 0.203868 0.338341 0.641504 1.678091
2025-08-24 0.069306 0.094195 0.132507 0.201389 0.338472 0.655340 1.795844
2025-08-31 0.067453 0.092088 0.130296 0.199719 0.340113 0.673301 1.941354
2025-09-07 0.066550 0.091419 0.130397 0.202270 0.350954 0.717460 2.233861