Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 14.821426 16.981890 19.363143 22.185062 25.441481 29.085552 33.478592
2025-11-09 11.688456 14.439464 17.717268 21.920392 27.181629 33.568799 41.940336
2025-11-16 9.822152 12.795833 16.539737 21.618070 28.356524 37.032144 49.115763
2025-11-23 8.444350 11.486422 15.492402 21.182287 29.103423 39.809581 55.494819
2025-11-30 7.843199 11.083650 15.523978 22.094403 31.641860 45.120734 65.788619
2025-12-07 7.186413 10.503535 15.211673 22.436443 33.343493 49.353777 74.929108
2025-12-14 6.537123 9.848877 14.700930 22.395756 34.422429 52.714251 83.049165
2025-12-21 5.947191 9.212521 14.137815 22.189039 35.182039 55.603792 90.669975
2025-12-28 5.674140 9.028131 14.231277 22.989888 37.570637 61.233127 103.269074
2026-01-04 5.379322 8.775548 14.184271 23.542596 39.583160 66.411162 115.626647
2026-01-11 5.161861 8.624188 14.278330 24.322617 42.029110 72.516565 130.210809
2026-01-18 4.717577 8.052088 13.621373 23.752058 42.068116 74.443388 137.458878
2026-01-25 4.356194 7.595868 13.130031 23.439092 42.557866 77.257996 146.748817
2026-02-01 4.038813 7.188842 12.687991 23.169924 43.094091 80.196508 156.585598
2026-02-08 3.746489 6.800521 12.243652 22.849234 43.489809 82.885621 166.189319
2026-02-15 3.463247 6.404425 11.750585 22.387400 43.560144 84.935512 174.691325
2026-02-22 3.397155 6.406765 11.992239 23.354087 46.516830 92.929808 196.396841
2026-03-01 3.257601 6.256793 11.931726 23.716621 48.284513 98.682845 213.949697
2026-03-08 3.080638 6.019388 11.682214 23.673494 49.205002 102.757904 228.255173
2026-03-15 2.898377 5.756890 11.361881 23.454392 49.728256 106.029038 241.094418
2026-03-22 2.843588 5.746639 11.544656 24.303260 52.626131 114.711608 267.418550
2026-03-29 2.763955 5.678689 11.603231 24.889157 54.996193 122.448172 292.390608
2026-04-05 2.711144 5.662298 11.766614 25.716085 57.983169 131.869001 322.561313