Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 8.382766 9.547795 10.816989 12.302529 13.994031 15.860625 18.077538
2026-04-12 6.606711 8.101251 9.852502 12.056902 14.759570 17.967897 22.070442
2026-04-19 5.564199 7.188968 9.193662 11.850716 15.283961 19.576570 25.361912
2026-04-26 4.801340 6.477070 8.634727 11.619262 15.646974 20.903967 28.304864
2026-05-03 4.229057 5.923582 8.187974 11.438907 15.995617 22.170271 31.200577
2026-05-10 3.767452 5.457934 7.793415 11.260325 16.288041 23.334357 33.998631
2026-05-17 3.578674 5.347615 7.867468 11.724851 17.496913 25.841307 38.875347
2026-05-24 3.335040 5.128424 7.756460 11.895571 18.271557 27.757713 43.015415
2026-05-31 3.064860 4.840761 7.512899 11.834889 18.675661 29.130510 46.413400
2026-06-07 2.818866 4.565922 7.260984 11.730770 18.988873 30.366441 49.667761
2026-06-14 2.707641 4.492685 7.312687 12.103188 20.074803 32.877683 55.141708
2026-06-21 2.585210 4.389087 7.304196 12.370743 21.000755 35.185449 60.442529
2026-06-28 2.494161 4.332362 7.370784 12.773310 22.192162 38.034696 66.917008
2026-07-05 2.286384 4.059151 7.053369 12.494583 22.194411 38.873806 69.976651
2026-07-12 2.111405 3.828098 6.788469 12.282216 22.287878 39.863013 73.357674
2026-07-19 1.949166 3.606224 6.521532 12.042185 22.306852 40.710649 76.529553
2026-07-26 1.810282 3.415513 6.294859 11.855214 22.402702 41.693064 80.009976
2026-08-02 1.684227 3.238512 6.079245 11.670077 22.483067 42.643538 83.487600
2026-08-09 1.658832 3.249843 6.211932 12.151654 23.861265 46.112169 92.078785
2026-08-16 1.594982 3.181622 6.188735 12.328642 24.658631 48.522420 98.758900
2026-08-23 1.506458 3.057938 6.049607 12.265732 24.974140 50.011510 103.689985
2026-08-30 1.419496 2.930783 5.894328 12.157791 25.188138 51.308357 108.314394
2026-09-06 1.392950 2.924764 5.978965 12.543882 26.439338 54.776136 117.721425