Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 7.378671 8.430637 9.591823 10.970717 12.566198 14.357434 16.525332
2025-07-13 6.115584 7.516029 9.187439 11.337250 14.040634 17.342493 21.703912
2025-07-20 5.324208 6.896506 8.882225 11.590169 15.211685 19.922504 26.570805
2025-07-27 4.836657 6.540481 8.794745 12.021687 16.565206 22.797519 32.102609
2025-08-03 4.234360 5.933902 8.271153 11.755563 16.879102 24.230868 35.749273
2025-08-10 3.784180 5.473368 7.877633 11.594555 17.277502 25.771336 39.676801
2025-08-17 3.417294 5.085595 7.535067 11.448977 17.650295 27.272615 43.678665
2025-08-24 3.100193 4.734969 7.204266 11.271163 17.930132 28.627353 47.569933
2025-08-31 2.819347 4.409845 6.875785 11.052453 18.103023 29.801928 51.267467
2025-09-07 2.716173 4.352389 6.957420 11.497623 19.405484 32.971831 58.797115
2025-09-14 2.560878 4.194414 6.858615 11.624612 20.167108 35.278838 65.042438
2025-09-21 2.389845 3.994096 6.669413 11.572398 20.597993 37.028772 70.442201
2025-09-28 2.216702 3.778134 6.439093 11.432374 20.867914 38.537062 75.624742
2025-10-05 2.142370 3.727143 6.489914 11.804713 22.129155 42.050488 85.300187
2025-10-12 2.057462 3.649266 6.484399 12.068314 23.204226 45.314280 94.894792
2025-10-19 2.005301 3.625711 6.574030 12.519087 24.691703 49.565772 107.201777
2025-10-26 1.861006 3.419195 6.305344 12.241059 24.667131 50.684261 112.668979
2025-11-02 1.743530 3.254133 6.101621 12.072860 24.850404 52.256632 119.384883
2025-11-09 1.638118 3.104119 5.914732 11.920788 25.049627 53.879547 126.436658
2025-11-16 1.537728 2.956366 5.720548 11.735051 25.154382 55.298159 133.180628
2025-11-23 1.440957 2.808724 5.515191 11.506610 25.139275 56.436958 139.375648
2025-11-30 1.421698 2.816081 5.625397 11.971604 26.748556 61.556908 156.609918
2025-12-07 1.370796 2.754465 5.587462 12.104259 27.596414 64.945783 169.749588