Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 6.188859 7.059958 8.020616 9.160427 10.478260 11.956788 13.745166
2025-06-15 5.194187 6.367773 7.766443 9.563248 11.820388 14.574995 18.211454
2025-06-22 4.472911 5.777466 7.422695 9.663836 12.658764 16.553048 22.049187
2025-06-29 3.904021 5.258258 7.045720 9.599365 13.189265 18.108339 25.449004
2025-07-06 3.452121 4.817935 6.692037 9.481224 13.577890 19.453614 28.662387
2025-07-13 3.217480 4.639175 6.660814 9.785590 14.566264 21.722817 33.470535
2025-07-20 2.998445 4.451925 6.586367 10.000737 15.422659 23.864473 38.328550
2025-07-27 2.850510 4.350047 6.619700 10.370013 16.539730 26.513205 44.320256
2025-08-03 2.586499 4.041348 6.301455 10.142318 16.658398 27.543265 47.695190
2025-08-10 2.376944 3.797310 6.058736 10.005480 16.900207 28.785016 51.569553
2025-08-17 2.196006 3.582133 5.840650 9.882660 17.142771 30.037618 55.599234
2025-08-24 2.030846 3.377998 5.621127 9.731797 17.311841 31.163155 59.511862
2025-08-31 1.868723 3.167777 5.376932 9.520051 17.359312 32.090869 63.209212
2025-09-07 1.820912 3.151176 5.466170 9.919368 18.587932 35.390315 72.153299
2025-09-14 1.731728 3.053065 5.400816 10.021949 19.252446 37.656958 79.246052
2025-09-21 1.626751 2.917403 5.254943 9.954674 19.569456 39.251533 85.091581
2025-09-28 1.524048 2.777605 5.089378 9.831760 19.757105 40.592069 90.544163
2025-10-05 1.485264 2.754655 5.142097 10.148379 20.890329 44.071045 101.454887
2025-10-12 1.437604 2.710621 5.149798 10.372208 21.846936 47.271727 112.177173
2025-10-19 1.410633 2.704592 5.231099 10.756425 23.194639 51.511251 126.128916
2025-10-26 1.319505 2.564025 5.031109 10.519512 23.119247 52.441499 131.734118
2025-11-02 1.245083 2.451922 4.880734 10.377143 23.245787 53.863894 138.853076
2025-11-09 1.177668 2.349432 4.742585 10.249364 23.392702 55.351049 146.375435