Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 4.847062 5.518508 6.258106 7.134670 8.147102 9.281951 10.653496
2025-04-13 3.869782 4.724424 5.739887 7.040668 8.670253 10.654038 13.266865
2025-04-20 3.399652 4.369996 5.589628 7.245924 9.453120 12.316223 16.348769
2025-04-27 3.049072 4.086183 5.450674 7.394632 10.121070 13.850412 19.409163
2025-05-04 2.820338 3.918893 5.422915 7.657743 10.937230 15.640505 23.017965
2025-05-11 2.501264 3.582740 5.113879 7.471684 11.067977 16.439928 25.247615
2025-05-18 2.262213 3.330887 4.890794 7.372703 11.295473 17.380441 27.778193
2025-05-25 2.065223 3.118456 4.699452 7.291878 11.526797 18.331251 30.418637
2025-06-01 1.885923 2.914013 4.497315 7.166517 11.661982 19.125316 32.873666
2025-06-08 1.723919 2.720763 4.292692 7.011772 11.723371 19.788996 35.164447
2025-06-15 1.670378 2.695485 4.352653 7.298063 12.558119 21.861606 40.260136
2025-06-22 1.580796 2.602274 4.290885 7.366687 13.012000 23.298781 44.338939
2025-06-29 1.477306 2.478697 4.169926 7.324051 13.268267 24.417529 47.984582
2025-07-06 1.377832 2.353798 4.035846 7.244021 13.444695 25.402053 51.492102
2025-07-13 1.333225 2.321120 4.060484 7.457648 14.202059 27.598591 57.841270
2025-07-20 1.283229 2.274282 4.054753 7.611323 14.854782 29.655581 64.180897
2025-07-27 1.252873 2.260551 4.107946 7.882905 15.772539 32.364653 72.387759
2025-08-03 1.165274 2.133089 3.936739 7.690871 15.704124 32.958166 75.741935
2025-08-10 1.096181 2.035676 3.815414 7.588717 15.815119 33.953821 80.204880
2025-08-17 1.034918 1.948901 3.708039 7.505302 15.957013 35.032022 85.028650
2025-08-24 0.973455 1.857374 3.584310 7.375931 15.982302 35.842115 89.284648
2025-08-31 0.913592 1.764925 3.451960 7.216245 15.921830 36.441318 93.073431
2025-09-07 0.903598 1.772384 3.524250 7.511685 16.948914 39.786082 104.833664