Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 5.024806 5.723096 6.492576 7.404931 8.459154 9.641352 11.070754
2025-04-13 4.011273 4.900016 5.956643 7.311007 9.008835 11.077077 13.803041
2025-04-20 3.521491 4.530473 5.799818 7.525244 9.826845 12.815444 17.029264
2025-04-27 3.156356 4.234519 5.654654 7.680320 10.524994 14.421219 20.236911
2025-05-04 2.918105 4.059871 5.625173 7.954381 11.377594 16.294817 24.021084
2025-05-11 2.586552 3.710150 5.303347 7.760672 11.515275 17.133915 26.364226
2025-05-18 2.338202 3.448100 5.070882 7.657420 11.753425 18.120002 29.022997
2025-05-25 2.133586 3.227038 4.871358 7.572804 11.995053 19.116253 31.797061
2025-06-01 1.947537 3.014528 4.660885 7.442099 12.136744 19.949406 34.379248
2025-06-08 1.779511 2.813718 4.447858 7.280707 12.201178 20.645890 36.789629
2025-06-15 1.723908 2.787315 4.510065 7.579118 13.073943 22.819269 42.150434
2025-06-22 1.632082 2.692279 4.448870 7.656389 13.559526 24.347795 46.486618
2025-06-29 1.525028 2.564314 4.323709 7.613462 13.831125 25.529655 50.344753
2025-07-06 1.421903 2.434542 4.184089 7.530008 14.016362 26.565567 54.048605
2025-07-13 1.375602 2.400481 4.209580 7.752896 14.809638 28.874847 60.751789
2025-07-20 1.323752 2.351757 4.203511 7.913303 15.493676 31.038819 67.450493
2025-07-27 1.292205 2.337320 4.258607 8.196496 16.454868 33.888068 76.123138
2025-08-03 1.201522 2.205050 4.080519 7.996348 16.384313 34.515833 79.679030
2025-08-10 1.129972 2.103900 3.954186 7.889669 16.500927 35.565020 84.404350
2025-08-17 1.066512 2.013744 3.842247 7.802247 16.649205 36.699585 89.508859
2025-08-24 1.002911 1.918767 3.713485 7.667214 16.676068 37.553963 94.019288
2025-08-31 0.940978 1.822849 3.575755 7.500488 16.612891 38.186056 98.035675
2025-09-07 0.930598 1.830505 3.650831 7.808770 17.689560 41.709472 110.496321