Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 6.057895 6.908949 7.847272 8.960309 10.246857 11.689915 13.434929
2025-06-15 5.083991 6.230338 7.596006 9.349704 11.551760 14.237990 17.782593
2025-06-22 4.379542 5.653993 7.260395 9.447428 12.368339 16.164103 21.517814
2025-06-29 3.823816 5.147078 6.892520 9.384442 12.885054 17.678222 24.825365
2025-07-06 3.382215 4.717077 6.547347 9.269173 13.263575 18.987676 27.950529
2025-07-13 3.152926 4.542574 6.517004 9.566144 14.226727 21.196679 32.626023
2025-07-20 2.938817 4.359715 6.444424 9.776045 15.061100 23.280900 37.348034
2025-07-27 2.794220 4.260282 6.477108 10.136334 16.149439 25.858236 43.170321
2025-08-03 2.535964 3.958594 6.166371 9.914168 16.264734 26.859643 46.447424
2025-08-10 2.330946 3.720081 5.929386 9.780677 16.500098 28.067061 50.209192
2025-08-17 2.153896 3.509756 5.716450 9.660889 16.736257 29.285005 54.121124
2025-08-24 1.991440 3.308783 5.499644 9.509317 16.892567 30.363625 57.887095
2025-08-31 1.832645 3.103043 5.260771 9.301956 16.936911 31.261447 61.465538
2025-09-07 1.785880 3.086852 5.347926 9.691235 18.132617 34.466890 70.137477
2025-09-14 1.698613 2.990979 5.284162 9.791244 18.779200 36.668318 77.011700
2025-09-21 1.595860 2.858362 5.141747 9.725611 19.087445 38.216343 82.674661
2025-09-28 1.495321 2.721691 4.980108 9.605773 19.269871 39.517613 87.955921
2025-10-05 1.457373 2.699297 5.031649 9.914486 20.372512 42.895562 98.524085
2025-10-12 1.410723 2.656272 5.039218 10.132708 21.303130 46.002488 108.905984
2025-10-19 1.384340 2.650429 5.118683 10.507314 22.614220 50.117425 122.411805
2025-10-26 1.295088 2.512954 4.923385 10.276313 22.540556 51.019095 127.833030
2025-11-02 1.222194 2.403319 4.776551 10.137522 22.663455 52.398629 134.719099
2025-11-09 1.156158 2.303083 4.641661 10.012985 22.806258 53.841098 141.994810