Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 8.983693 10.279874 11.711386 13.411971 15.380223 17.590280 20.265079
2025-08-10 7.097594 8.739036 10.698581 13.218853 16.386829 20.253235 25.354533
2025-08-17 5.975469 7.751919 9.994186 13.048596 17.126471 22.418664 29.864879
2025-08-24 5.167914 6.992870 9.402693 12.842854 17.668862 24.258566 34.041646
2025-08-31 4.534252 6.359984 8.865711 12.590050 18.043591 25.827368 37.940524
2025-09-07 4.256160 6.171405 8.895641 13.099773 19.507989 29.043734 44.560690
2025-09-14 3.926669 5.864115 8.709104 13.249827 20.425667 31.514019 50.305501
2025-09-21 3.602242 5.525374 8.432222 13.216327 21.031278 33.533871 55.534259
2025-09-28 3.296319 5.181555 8.107845 13.062296 21.407506 35.196654 60.329537
2025-10-05 3.155762 5.082502 8.153138 13.500823 22.789021 38.642488 68.582634
2025-10-12 3.009334 4.958030 8.141406 13.834722 24.014086 41.931828 76.935955
2025-10-19 2.906789 4.895456 8.222906 14.329691 25.561699 45.937835 87.094351
2025-10-26 2.667538 4.582110 7.855446 14.004852 25.609197 47.246738 92.303768
2025-11-02 2.473728 4.331547 7.575286 13.809719 25.874126 48.985200 98.581730
2025-11-09 2.302365 4.106057 7.319205 13.631516 26.145886 50.752285 105.122476
2025-11-16 2.142578 3.888159 7.057766 13.415911 26.316425 52.324921 111.433304
2025-11-23 1.991397 3.673927 6.784978 13.150998 26.356332 53.625485 117.299267
2025-11-30 1.953628 3.670532 6.909506 13.685156 28.090441 58.644692 132.187305
2025-12-07 1.872856 3.577443 6.852372 13.842417 29.041709 62.081545 143.860679
2025-12-14 1.776672 3.446475 6.709717 13.807308 29.570199 64.637352 153.759769
2025-12-21 1.674641 3.296095 6.516198 13.645880 29.800628 66.539083 162.294771
2025-12-28 1.642632 3.285357 6.606174 14.105482 31.480438 71.974733 180.540922
2026-01-04 1.601161 3.251717 6.645408 14.455462 32.941215 77.053181 198.587717