Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 5.034249 5.732137 6.500832 7.411831 8.463958 9.643194 11.068224
2025-05-04 4.211663 5.147234 6.259889 7.686489 9.475356 11.655024 14.528455
2025-05-11 3.516711 4.521811 5.785188 7.500867 9.787009 12.752058 16.927195
2025-05-18 3.056444 4.094460 5.459103 7.401551 10.123025 13.841168 19.375605
2025-05-25 2.710863 3.760604 5.194658 7.320350 10.431153 14.879143 21.832607
2025-06-01 2.420708 3.462205 4.933702 7.194376 10.633288 15.754842 24.123297
2025-06-08 2.173183 3.194036 4.680477 7.038896 10.754490 16.497352 26.269795
2025-06-15 2.076945 3.135757 4.724109 7.326326 11.572337 18.384779 30.464233
2025-06-22 1.942566 3.004175 4.639822 7.398039 12.043815 19.755555 33.955366
2025-06-29 1.799144 2.843823 4.493053 7.348732 12.301348 20.785286 36.965524
2025-07-06 1.665282 2.686136 4.334659 7.260542 12.476034 21.679397 39.826437
2025-07-13 1.605158 2.643588 4.360013 7.485208 13.216842 23.648881 44.950288
2025-07-20 1.534645 2.579091 4.345078 7.641865 13.859749 25.528002 50.195575
2025-07-27 1.488724 2.552693 4.392802 7.914883 14.747018 27.969616 56.926561
2025-08-03 1.375359 2.397947 4.200022 7.722000 14.716751 28.610207 59.958299
2025-08-10 1.286123 2.279345 4.062292 7.619344 14.850463 29.589122 63.851477
2025-08-17 1.207694 2.174311 3.940674 7.535517 15.010882 30.635846 68.036322
2025-08-24 1.130246 2.065193 3.802558 7.405498 15.060238 31.447925 71.785906
2025-08-31 1.055748 1.956194 3.656174 7.245036 15.027223 32.073297 75.172676
2025-09-07 1.040448 1.959835 3.728362 7.541682 16.013880 35.085098 84.881941
2025-09-14 1.000981 1.913068 3.696810 7.615700 16.512705 37.034926 92.192254
2025-09-21 0.951192 1.842146 3.611091 7.564808 16.721077 38.322394 97.957480
2025-09-28 0.901030 1.767016 3.511201 7.473786 16.826239 39.371200 103.236559