Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 14.763604 16.929607 19.320853 22.159547 25.441518 29.121486 33.567283
2025-10-19 12.157978 15.043542 18.491696 22.927446 28.499708 35.290474 44.228634
2025-10-26 10.075884 13.153377 17.042532 22.340183 29.403374 38.544862 51.352202
2025-11-02 8.704658 11.870112 16.057463 22.035788 30.408129 41.798981 58.612396
2025-11-09 7.674090 10.865124 15.255974 21.785476 31.329545 44.894380 65.856719
2025-11-16 6.834880 10.004267 14.520603 21.485154 32.062703 47.698432 72.883410
2025-11-23 6.107519 9.211604 13.776793 21.052260 32.493770 50.023681 79.353139
2025-11-30 5.828834 9.048897 13.931239 21.964301 35.032393 55.766717 91.773025
2025-12-07 5.454069 8.693423 13.743910 22.300508 36.661250 60.194413 102.496657
2025-12-14 5.047005 8.242897 13.355765 22.256499 37.634547 63.605691 111.824588
2025-12-21 4.658162 7.783058 12.904518 22.050529 38.290044 66.507798 120.528300
2025-12-28 4.494763 7.682993 13.036105 22.843793 40.743850 72.753542 135.965843
2026-01-04 4.298834 7.513965 13.041910 23.428576 42.907201 78.744762 151.733216
2026-01-11 4.154130 7.421091 13.170074 24.242568 45.569371 85.923377 170.657155
2026-01-18 3.810726 6.939336 12.558499 23.619757 45.434171 87.750313 179.049623
2026-01-25 3.543597 6.574671 12.128387 23.296957 45.839567 90.651361 189.960258
2026-02-01 3.309377 6.251783 11.747893 23.031520 46.324088 93.740922 201.603133
2026-02-08 3.090017 5.939087 11.360111 22.713066 46.661880 96.547188 212.931241
2026-02-15 2.873832 5.615102 10.923646 22.254060 46.655716 98.615763 222.823850
2026-02-22 2.832257 5.634236 11.165942 23.221150 49.782085 107.729143 250.021847
2026-03-01 2.727819 5.517229 11.123058 23.577682 51.604945 114.146490 271.619027
2026-03-08 2.590824 5.322166 10.903693 23.531012 52.518006 118.592625 288.951902
2026-03-15 2.447959 5.103821 10.618393 23.312589 53.014868 122.119789 304.410386