Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 8.488074 9.710311 11.060549 12.665167 14.523177 16.610539 19.138388
2025-07-27 7.044123 8.675752 10.625934 13.137705 16.300216 20.167132 25.279964
2025-08-03 5.875119 7.622879 9.831829 12.845755 16.877630 22.122362 29.522241
2025-08-10 5.089920 6.888273 9.266565 12.668331 17.452201 24.003539 33.764124
2025-08-17 4.495062 6.306388 8.796816 12.507119 17.956431 25.762401 37.963928
2025-08-24 4.008745 5.805376 8.361886 12.311008 18.340407 27.333436 42.014020
2025-08-31 3.595655 5.357469 7.943062 12.069957 18.596731 28.697549 45.857594
2025-09-07 3.428860 5.252722 8.011406 12.558400 20.004025 31.956394 53.086501
2025-09-14 3.204140 5.032933 7.875628 12.699936 20.854356 34.391267 59.217296
2025-09-21 2.971130 4.775523 7.651664 12.666292 21.395777 36.347846 64.728885
2025-09-28 2.744224 4.505850 7.380116 12.519192 21.715326 37.936551 69.743198
2025-10-05 2.644346 4.436998 7.432257 12.927286 23.042574 41.433915 78.729635
2025-10-12 2.526734 4.330238 7.414454 13.217351 24.201137 44.778693 87.926255
2025-10-19 2.450950 4.289215 7.506171 13.712922 25.792865 49.114535 99.692765
2025-10-26 2.262678 4.030849 7.186496 13.407229 25.807064 50.373911 105.229245
2025-11-02 2.109854 3.824237 6.942973 13.221448 26.032907 52.069738 111.906881
2025-11-09 1.973624 3.637266 6.719880 13.052650 26.271033 53.807049 118.892359
2025-11-16 1.845128 3.454704 6.489914 12.847321 26.408732 55.339367 125.602772
2025-11-23 1.722332 3.273647 6.248234 12.594956 26.418138 56.588289 131.804296
2025-11-30 1.694911 3.277028 6.368836 13.106343 28.134167 61.804780 148.318092
2025-12-07 1.629821 3.199994 6.321438 13.254542 29.056088 65.314919 161.081732
2025-12-14 1.550858 3.088806 6.195323 13.219314 29.554961 67.888834 171.802609
2025-12-21 1.466348 2.960027 6.022772 13.065291 29.760556 69.780866 180.987357