Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RNDR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-07-21 4.332488 5.073279 5.888460 6.850120 7.951538 9.171525 10.623054
2024-07-28 3.252805 4.256772 5.473103 7.046345 9.017519 11.394935 14.467643
2024-08-04 2.598829 3.741453 5.243559 7.341501 10.170779 13.825345 18.869195
2024-08-11 2.201114 3.441866 5.191286 7.798439 11.536487 16.644450 24.079583
2024-08-18 1.919521 3.229660 5.194137 8.291313 12.971100 19.677995 29.885813
2024-08-25 1.662914 2.993695 5.104792 8.607190 14.153801 22.445929 35.570912
2024-09-01 1.488890 2.850042 5.121707 9.065694 15.576017 25.675134 42.213388
2024-09-08 1.240109 2.527270 4.788782 8.898325 15.967368 27.339918 46.594175
2024-09-15 1.008857 2.188336 4.368688 8.511637 15.928855 28.287088 49.886701
2024-09-22 0.867507 1.992010 4.168716 8.473964 16.461132 30.187572 54.858520
2024-09-29 0.728665 1.772293 3.887982 8.242830 16.610897 31.434991 58.814131
2024-10-06 0.672269 1.716562 3.917301 8.600188 17.863733 34.688290 66.461128
2024-10-13 0.586730 1.583001 3.776248 8.619692 18.514675 36.987014 72.734004
2024-10-20 0.527292 1.498975 3.727943 8.824140 19.551739 40.093042 80.745213
2024-10-27 0.485469 1.449322 3.746622 9.170225 20.904916 43.900987 90.347909
2024-11-03 0.461025 1.439401 3.853949 9.721968 22.735295 48.770279 102.317265
2024-11-10 0.440620 1.436117 3.975919 10.320335 24.721345 54.097775 115.550593
2024-11-17 0.409735 1.396877 4.003916 10.703998 26.280551 58.693131 127.680226
2024-11-24 0.389968 1.385857 4.100804 11.261578 28.274804 64.319160 142.241024
2024-12-01 0.338238 1.265829 3.895893 11.057733 28.531794 66.371917 149.737227
2024-12-08 0.283450 1.121821 3.601328 10.586886 28.117600 66.966579 154.269902
2024-12-15 0.251340 1.044702 3.478788 10.540969 28.697765 69.735398 163.528072
2024-12-22 0.215966 0.946573 3.278315 10.259353 28.674376 71.172106 170.044862