Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.632511 0.820564 1.033399 1.289025 1.584644 1.912864 2.301887
2025-04-06 0.380048 0.611675 0.909625 1.306642 1.807800 2.406316 3.161845
2025-04-13 0.211886 0.438863 0.774372 1.269042 1.944304 2.801269 3.938050
2025-04-20 0.122605 0.334864 0.695793 1.278981 2.128990 3.260741 4.819290
2025-04-27 0.069058 0.259036 0.632844 1.291118 2.307298 3.715607 5.714385
2025-05-04 0.032344 0.186737 0.548870 1.248625 2.393301 4.042223 6.449433
2025-05-11 0.012615 0.131457 0.473056 1.199180 2.454931 4.329305 7.135422
2025-05-18 0.004818 0.100715 0.435160 1.205958 2.599430 4.736969 7.998079
2025-05-25 0.000958 0.070294 0.381265 1.168562 2.662734 5.022031 8.692635
2025-06-01 0.000227 0.060459 0.379753 1.235513 2.905822 5.586451 9.802318
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.045411 0.352067 1.239744 3.036493 5.980032 10.672342
2025-06-15 NaN 0.041789 0.363711 1.333654 3.333050 6.641948 11.951472
2025-06-22 NaN 0.035292 0.360947 1.395886 3.580248 7.242331 13.167682
2025-06-29 NaN 0.027325 0.345186 1.423801 3.765095 7.749986 14.259903
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017560 0.307831 1.388658 3.825600 8.057088 15.057289
2025-07-13 NaN 0.012489 0.290240 1.401683 3.979291 8.520478 16.100994
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008696 0.274465 1.415878 4.134535 8.989284 17.160665
2025-07-27 NaN 0.004566 0.241655 1.371259 4.164643 9.246433 17.897062
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001964 0.209618 1.318859 4.171941 9.462010 18.570400
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001019 0.196736 1.326259 4.306687 9.900179 19.600328
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000279 0.172624 1.286432 4.333376 10.148428 20.332509
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000199 0.177870 1.357917 4.613648 10.851460 21.800785
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000046 0.166641 1.362453 4.741103 11.284736 22.842984