Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.412649 0.543882 0.694533 0.877841 1.092437 1.333388 1.622019
2025-11-09 0.222769 0.373609 0.573965 0.848266 1.202847 1.635127 2.191031
2025-11-16 0.135586 0.291490 0.529578 0.890285 1.394457 2.047470 2.929710
2025-11-23 0.075624 0.217876 0.470602 0.893364 1.527693 2.393084 3.610618
2025-11-30 0.048047 0.183659 0.459026 0.957775 1.747118 2.864936 4.482535
2025-12-07 0.028220 0.150427 0.436600 0.996823 1.928334 3.292142 5.314622
2025-12-14 0.014649 0.118690 0.404402 1.009938 2.066094 3.661328 6.080524
2025-12-21 0.006061 0.088343 0.361595 0.992712 2.148817 3.949824 6.741001
2025-12-28 0.002451 0.070282 0.339498 1.008675 2.284298 4.320476 7.529465
2026-01-04 0.000682 0.054056 0.313581 1.010130 2.391752 4.649933 8.266255
2026-01-11 0.000052 0.037748 0.276318 0.977750 2.432962 4.874090 8.851613
2026-01-18 NaN 0.026282 0.246325 0.953954 2.484863 5.114314 9.465326
2026-01-25 NaN 0.019551 0.230345 0.962318 2.601122 5.469434 10.273685
2026-02-01 NaN 0.012147 0.200975 0.928413 2.630679 5.681555 10.869133
2026-02-08 NaN 0.009954 0.199813 0.971905 2.819110 6.168490 11.905365
2026-02-15 NaN 0.006776 0.185768 0.974551 2.922655 6.513522 12.727195
2026-02-22 NaN 0.006129 0.192756 1.042613 3.168265 7.111750 13.962807
2026-03-01 NaN 0.004880 0.191363 1.083852 3.358514 7.618726 15.063324
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003350 0.182181 1.097665 3.489571 8.025175 16.011026
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001825 0.164905 1.079363 3.547463 8.302697 16.756152
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001154 0.158100 1.096260 3.684940 8.726018 17.745049
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000605 0.147939 1.097789 3.786377 9.085930 18.635988
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000180 0.130107 1.063461 3.800461 9.285494 19.266557