Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.811710 1.029397 1.272573 1.561423 1.892253 2.256546 2.685198
2025-06-15 0.535550 0.818415 1.172132 1.633421 2.205819 2.880230 3.722146
2025-06-22 0.351758 0.654480 1.077926 1.678974 2.476826 3.468575 4.762964
2025-06-29 0.226339 0.522030 0.985864 1.698615 2.702362 4.006930 5.771262
2025-07-06 0.134105 0.399552 0.872206 1.659235 2.831653 4.418420 6.632464
2025-07-13 0.083798 0.325707 0.811871 1.680352 3.035642 4.929903 7.637489
2025-07-20 0.050421 0.265666 0.756484 1.694556 3.221919 5.418235 8.623516
2025-07-27 0.025635 0.203879 0.677095 1.651505 3.310245 5.765309 9.422942
2025-08-03 0.011551 0.155684 0.607853 1.610894 3.392011 6.099050 10.207699
2025-08-10 0.005160 0.126228 0.570323 1.620433 3.550721 6.547101 11.161460
2025-08-17 0.001371 0.093741 0.509902 1.572592 3.605183 6.835858 11.891241
2025-08-24 0.000482 0.083059 0.507827 1.643642 3.866409 7.446758 13.099360
2025-08-31 0.000035 0.065264 0.475322 1.646254 4.011148 7.889676 14.086227
2025-09-07 0.000001 0.061063 0.489656 1.756535 4.356691 8.659776 15.575325
2025-09-14 NaN 0.053139 0.485584 1.822898 4.624542 9.314223 16.906955
2025-09-21 NaN 0.043437 0.467820 1.853120 4.825428 9.866188 18.096090
2025-09-28 NaN 0.031050 0.426220 1.816010 4.894140 10.204105 18.967954
2025-10-05 NaN 0.024648 0.409850 1.840863 5.082447 10.741161 20.150593
2025-10-12 NaN 0.019036 0.391711 1.857195 5.253016 11.251262 21.298861
2025-10-19 NaN 0.012389 0.354458 1.811945 5.295207 11.545772 22.118566
2025-10-26 NaN 0.007657 0.320717 1.768959 5.337100 11.838349 22.938068
2025-11-02 NaN 0.005324 0.305321 1.779279 5.489917 12.323000 24.064521
2025-11-09 NaN 0.002767 0.273375 1.728333 5.507271 12.572224 24.822863