Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.594567 0.763947 0.955120 1.184327 1.449128 1.743014 2.091368
2025-10-19 0.340422 0.541277 0.799388 1.143666 1.579228 2.100948 2.761817
2025-10-26 0.194787 0.392889 0.684301 1.113979 1.702046 2.451262 3.449753
2025-11-02 0.116008 0.302303 0.615890 1.122092 1.862155 2.852349 4.223940
2025-11-09 0.061247 0.219893 0.531422 1.083684 1.944253 3.148766 4.875385
2025-11-16 0.037633 0.183204 0.509581 1.132226 2.149218 3.618862 5.775797
2025-11-23 0.019749 0.143317 0.466924 1.134844 2.279294 3.985884 6.547945
2025-11-30 0.012322 0.127319 0.467452 1.210585 2.526711 4.531096 7.585417
2025-12-07 0.006649 0.108512 0.454353 1.256768 2.726462 5.012062 8.546050
2025-12-14 0.002834 0.088114 0.428656 1.272320 2.872953 5.416073 9.406437
2025-12-21 0.000739 0.066728 0.389459 1.251650 2.952111 5.716694 10.122431
2025-12-28 0.000154 0.054826 0.372980 1.275603 3.109380 6.142394 11.031525
2026-01-04 0.000004 0.043070 0.350931 1.284894 3.243740 6.542754 11.924280
2026-01-11 NaN 0.029718 0.311687 1.245210 3.282484 6.790080 12.594213
2026-01-18 NaN 0.020302 0.279559 1.215383 3.335649 7.060936 13.305672
2026-01-25 NaN 0.015139 0.263738 1.224851 3.465499 7.462364 14.226663
2026-02-01 NaN 0.009287 0.232846 1.184444 3.489750 7.684768 14.873218
2026-02-08 NaN 0.007754 0.233261 1.236272 3.707660 8.243981 16.058907
2026-02-15 NaN 0.005272 0.218852 1.239166 3.821541 8.626069 16.971864
2026-02-22 NaN 0.004906 0.228120 1.319681 4.106222 9.312852 18.380747
2026-03-01 NaN 0.003975 0.227910 1.368726 4.324503 9.888018 19.620692
2026-03-08 NaN 0.002741 0.218633 1.385239 4.471716 10.341034 20.672280
2026-03-15 NaN 0.001465 0.199698 1.363319 4.531052 10.638447 21.477730