Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 3.842382 4.462941 5.118585 5.859712 6.670995 7.529016 8.501973
2024-12-29 3.032135 3.908095 4.896083 6.079338 7.444415 8.956987 10.746690
2025-01-05 2.454770 3.487313 4.722943 6.278111 8.151123 10.303943 12.934677
2025-01-12 1.981129 3.095841 4.506975 6.364689 8.687353 11.440437 14.894413
2025-01-19 1.562880 2.695251 4.211938 6.296496 8.994378 12.281636 16.501779
2025-01-26 1.302990 2.460357 4.090605 6.415374 9.511439 13.368734 18.411538
2025-02-02 1.092770 2.257612 3.980006 6.521599 9.994791 14.407624 20.268280
2025-02-09 0.858985 1.972917 3.713880 6.381069 10.127434 14.985754 21.543222
2025-02-16 0.671380 1.725191 3.468279 6.238873 10.233756 15.514221 22.748058
2025-02-23 0.548863 1.566622 3.338624 6.246767 10.533961 16.291358 24.274987
2025-03-02 0.429525 1.385279 3.147735 6.141766 10.659627 16.826941 25.485601
2025-03-09 0.382245 1.342799 3.184327 6.384118 11.285036 18.044720 27.608720
2025-03-16 0.309864 1.228813 3.087078 6.414307 11.610470 18.873220 29.250743
2025-03-23 0.280802 1.211869 3.163635 6.727645 12.363617 20.307855 31.729802
2025-03-30 0.248282 1.177536 3.202941 6.979035 13.028628 21.630415 34.076626
2025-04-06 0.206980 1.106226 3.161925 7.090326 13.480478 22.658452 36.035690
2025-04-13 0.158523 0.994228 3.024789 7.025401 13.654160 23.290219 37.457293
2025-04-20 0.132053 0.941761 3.003208 7.157526 14.133862 24.363305 39.495864
2025-04-27 0.108783 0.889827 2.975457 7.273892 14.587411 25.401414 41.493876
2025-05-04 0.076578 0.782019 2.807883 7.123323 14.605913 25.802820 42.605547
2025-05-11 0.051881 0.684312 2.646774 6.970392 14.609812 26.176425 43.676525
2025-05-18 0.037953 0.627201 2.574462 6.979098 14.874862 26.936316 45.297542
2025-05-25 0.024409 0.552798 2.444999 6.865901 14.929903 27.379447 46.469605