Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 6.645273e-01 0.852062 1.063142 1.315541 1.606372 1.928344 2.309062
2025-08-10 3.981289e-01 0.627654 0.920325 1.308033 1.795491 2.376126 3.107850
2025-08-17 2.252346e-01 0.450414 0.778704 1.258972 1.911644 2.737982 3.832961
2025-08-24 1.451791e-01 0.367325 0.733585 1.315601 2.155726 3.268118 4.795123
2025-08-31 8.516450e-02 0.285575 0.664010 1.317534 2.316156 3.692929 5.641971
2025-09-07 5.674413e-02 0.247715 0.652859 1.399892 2.590912 4.281278 6.726331
2025-09-14 3.528154e-02 0.209732 0.628794 1.453141 2.821074 4.814692 7.754450
2025-09-21 1.978272e-02 0.172398 0.593079 1.477190 3.002743 5.282701 8.705447
2025-09-28 8.784204e-03 0.132508 0.536485 1.451247 3.097388 5.623033 9.484802
2025-10-05 4.023752e-03 0.109789 0.511525 1.478637 3.277280 6.092827 10.457566
2025-10-12 1.396275e-03 0.088675 0.481464 1.489099 3.425720 6.517128 11.373346
2025-10-19 1.823756e-04 0.065005 0.430997 1.446393 3.475006 6.786916 12.068046
2025-10-26 2.440199e-07 0.046481 0.385988 1.408709 3.532705 7.077187 12.810972
2025-11-02 NaN 0.035799 0.362814 1.417082 3.674596 7.506100 13.772269
2025-11-09 NaN 0.023910 0.322077 1.373290 3.712744 7.766869 14.485762
2025-11-16 NaN 0.020632 0.323124 1.437602 3.963659 8.383837 15.754369
2025-11-23 NaN 0.015056 0.303451 1.441798 4.094684 8.804686 16.730152
2025-11-30 NaN 0.013859 0.313283 1.530503 4.400251 9.525816 18.182612
2025-12-07 NaN 0.011635 0.312407 1.587688 4.643625 10.147318 19.490643
2025-12-14 NaN 0.008836 0.301710 1.613544 4.822818 10.663453 20.642664
2025-12-21 NaN 0.005466 0.275566 1.586122 4.887372 10.983422 21.491636
2025-12-28 NaN 0.003994 0.267651 1.615311 5.073322 11.516951 22.685209
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002633 0.255170 1.626467 5.219629 11.983396 23.778092