Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.644072 0.829223 1.038090 1.288314 1.577108 1.897263 2.276283
2025-07-13 0.389913 0.618186 0.910060 1.297477 1.785290 2.366984 3.100652
2025-07-20 0.235898 0.469634 0.809285 1.304876 1.976894 2.826158 3.949693
2025-07-27 0.131373 0.343306 0.698001 1.266785 2.092794 3.191024 4.703126
2025-08-03 0.069844 0.252105 0.607418 1.231990 2.197142 3.537707 5.445625
2025-08-10 0.038070 0.196279 0.554972 1.239404 2.353580 3.956397 6.297132
2025-08-17 0.016762 0.142375 0.484695 1.199430 2.427170 4.255950 6.994045
2025-08-24 0.009021 0.121044 0.473585 1.258297 2.655946 4.785642 8.025365
2025-08-31 0.003446 0.094208 0.437741 1.262104 2.791229 5.179733 8.875600
2025-09-07 0.001619 0.084282 0.441630 1.343177 3.059476 5.782178 10.039575
2025-09-14 0.000511 0.071989 0.433083 1.395748 3.279806 6.317421 11.118990
2025-09-21 0.000061 0.058407 0.413283 1.419570 3.448657 6.776579 12.096923
2025-09-28 NaN 0.041553 0.371471 1.388185 3.518855 7.089710 12.879415
2025-10-05 NaN 0.032429 0.353214 1.408637 3.685549 7.562658 13.913542
2025-10-12 NaN 0.024645 0.333844 1.422094 3.838404 8.017065 14.929628
2025-10-19 NaN 0.015993 0.298072 1.384532 3.887520 8.300931 15.691408
2025-10-26 NaN 0.009878 0.266126 1.348989 3.935616 8.582132 16.453170
2025-11-02 NaN 0.006775 0.250732 1.357632 4.073091 9.016978 17.460955
2025-11-09 NaN 0.003546 0.221370 1.315445 4.099478 9.260678 18.172940
2025-11-16 NaN 0.002885 0.224206 1.378339 4.353911 9.905452 19.528523
2025-11-23 NaN 0.001678 0.210601 1.382496 4.479971 10.328493 20.539037
2025-11-30 NaN 0.001520 0.219879 1.468808 4.791506 11.084814 22.092186
2025-12-07 NaN 0.001135 0.220721 1.524717 5.037338 11.729673 23.475875