Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 4.218024e-01 0.554986 0.707709 0.893366 1.110533 1.354196 1.645890
2025-11-09 2.294398e-01 0.383152 0.586810 0.865096 1.224272 1.661613 2.223443
2025-11-16 1.406052e-01 0.300001 0.542424 0.908652 1.419457 2.080005 2.971285
2025-11-23 7.907981e-02 0.225040 0.482772 0.912263 1.554986 2.430170 3.659691
2025-11-30 5.061109e-02 0.190115 0.471145 0.977843 1.777382 2.907319 4.539954
2025-12-07 3.001929e-02 0.156117 0.448434 1.017658 1.961020 3.339154 5.379614
2025-12-14 1.580299e-02 0.123555 0.415697 1.031077 2.100533 3.712099 6.152013
2025-12-21 6.692432e-03 0.092319 0.372068 1.013625 2.184211 4.003288 6.817627
2025-12-28 2.791525e-03 0.073688 0.349550 1.029861 2.321261 4.377370 7.612106
2026-01-04 8.251277e-04 0.056909 0.323133 1.031403 2.430001 4.709887 8.354458
2026-01-11 7.797478e-05 0.039972 0.285054 0.998500 2.471545 4.935786 8.943637
2026-01-18 2.932622e-09 0.028056 0.254583 0.974826 2.524907 5.179522 9.563816
2026-01-25 NaN 0.021009 0.238281 0.983438 2.642652 5.537998 10.378183
2026-02-01 NaN 0.013206 0.208245 0.949137 2.672741 5.752218 10.978068
2026-02-08 NaN 0.010886 0.207115 0.993455 2.863515 6.243682 12.021844
2026-02-15 NaN 0.007495 0.192742 0.996220 2.968302 6.591720 12.849212
2026-02-22 NaN 0.006802 0.199923 1.065334 3.216515 7.194720 14.092523
2026-03-01 NaN 0.005459 0.198529 1.107287 3.408907 7.705923 15.200147
2026-03-08 NaN 0.003799 0.189130 1.121366 3.541401 8.115622 16.153672
2026-03-15 NaN 0.002122 0.171394 1.102784 3.599825 8.395095 16.902865
2026-03-22 NaN 0.001373 0.164415 1.119960 3.738712 8.821581 17.897415
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000747 0.153990 1.121576 3.841270 9.184294 18.793585
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000243 0.135635 1.086674 3.855315 9.384926 19.426959