Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.639852 0.819327 1.021359 1.263007 1.541566 1.850104 2.215147
2025-09-28 0.373678 0.589231 0.864615 1.230160 1.690702 2.240382 2.934474
2025-10-05 0.231957 0.455362 0.778684 1.249696 1.888229 2.695616 3.764851
2025-10-12 0.141023 0.352979 0.701843 1.256455 2.058124 3.121488 4.584093
2025-10-19 0.077180 0.260472 0.609351 1.215988 2.148551 3.440930 5.279017
2025-10-26 0.040471 0.194494 0.536813 1.185821 2.240729 3.759238 5.980508
2025-11-02 0.021753 0.153959 0.495584 1.194735 2.385286 4.152194 6.794394
2025-11-09 0.009013 0.112347 0.434857 1.154740 2.443444 4.417618 7.436466
2025-11-16 0.004606 0.095988 0.425193 1.205706 2.649961 4.907979 8.409879
2025-11-23 0.001578 0.075245 0.394640 1.208338 2.772027 5.272967 9.212079
2025-11-30 0.000700 0.068483 0.401136 1.287566 3.030296 5.855238 10.344961
2025-12-07 0.000178 0.058799 0.393870 1.334815 3.233103 6.356554 11.370314
2025-12-14 0.000008 0.047450 0.375702 1.356655 3.395106 6.806095 12.342331
2025-12-21 NaN 0.034274 0.340758 1.332318 3.468869 7.116842 13.115731
2025-12-28 NaN 0.027398 0.327451 1.358188 3.638417 7.587995 14.142913
2026-01-04 NaN 0.020878 0.309455 1.368008 3.775921 8.009366 15.102272
2026-01-11 NaN 0.013454 0.275338 1.326395 3.806529 8.251665 15.789677
2026-01-18 NaN 0.008481 0.247441 1.295009 3.853449 8.520650 16.522292
2026-01-25 NaN 0.005954 0.234352 1.304816 3.985622 8.938302 17.495471
2026-02-01 NaN 0.003163 0.207075 1.262459 4.002103 9.154180 18.152280
2026-02-08 NaN 0.002556 0.208662 1.316731 4.231815 9.749623 19.424292
2026-02-15 NaN 0.001522 0.196268 1.319572 4.347077 10.144872 20.381564
2026-02-22 NaN 0.001429 0.205907 1.403749 4.649089 10.879610 21.896718