Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.767560 0.976575 1.210563 1.489022 1.808489 2.160795 2.575907
2025-06-29 0.469400 0.728189 1.054732 1.483644 2.019034 2.652923 3.447554
2025-07-06 0.273708 0.531868 0.901803 1.436119 2.154942 3.057746 4.246015
2025-07-13 0.168596 0.415933 0.817652 1.449295 2.353668 3.543523 5.168225
2025-07-20 0.101832 0.328163 0.746528 1.459089 2.537030 4.011920 6.087062
2025-07-27 0.054306 0.245891 0.657070 1.418668 2.635081 4.362325 6.860301
2025-08-03 0.026701 0.184038 0.581548 1.381397 2.725042 4.697254 7.618569
2025-08-10 0.013264 0.146175 0.539225 1.389609 2.879236 5.124618 8.513513
2025-08-17 0.004680 0.106970 0.476692 1.346483 2.941577 5.414692 9.220722
2025-08-24 0.002114 0.092861 0.471025 1.410465 3.183054 5.978648 10.331100
2025-08-31 0.000493 0.072957 0.439420 1.414584 3.319282 6.384679 11.222374
2025-09-07 0.000147 0.067073 0.448931 1.506881 3.614163 7.044023 12.497431
2025-09-14 0.000008 0.057451 0.442328 1.564875 3.855772 7.636117 13.701269
2025-09-21 NaN 0.046269 0.423319 1.591171 4.040888 8.145581 14.796798
2025-09-28 NaN 0.032650 0.382616 1.557351 4.109975 8.470117 15.622883
2025-10-05 NaN 0.025508 0.365772 1.579552 4.285496 8.971242 16.725127
2025-10-12 NaN 0.019377 0.347575 1.594187 4.445374 9.449450 17.800245
2025-10-19 NaN 0.012391 0.312082 1.553352 4.490318 9.735865 18.585132
2025-10-26 NaN 0.007499 0.280215 1.514744 4.534815 10.020268 19.370164
2025-11-02 NaN 0.005085 0.265290 1.524037 4.678185 10.475699 20.429080
2025-11-09 NaN 0.002553 0.235602 1.478351 4.700037 10.720363 21.159444
2025-11-16 NaN 0.002092 0.239483 1.546676 4.972549 11.407983 22.601684
2025-11-23 NaN 0.001177 0.225960 1.551136 5.103885 11.849974 23.659289