Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.844904 1.068406 1.317626 1.613191 1.951235 2.323014 2.759989
2025-06-15 0.563738 0.855766 1.219503 1.692381 2.277644 2.965755 3.823228
2025-06-22 0.373966 0.688073 1.124726 1.741732 2.557921 3.569730 4.887399
2025-06-29 0.243030 0.551295 1.030700 1.763151 2.790342 4.121263 5.916866
2025-07-06 0.145787 0.423997 0.913681 1.723336 2.923664 4.542671 6.795832
2025-07-13 0.092220 0.346891 0.851371 1.745292 3.132967 5.065525 7.820471
2025-07-20 0.056325 0.283980 0.794029 1.759991 3.323915 5.564402 8.825256
2025-07-27 0.029332 0.219060 0.711793 1.715869 3.414691 5.919227 9.640149
2025-08-03 0.013690 0.168224 0.639968 1.674191 3.498664 6.260278 10.439808
2025-08-10 0.006395 0.137021 0.600959 1.683993 3.661175 6.717552 11.410808
2025-08-17 0.001881 0.102497 0.538181 1.634858 3.717160 7.012544 12.154120
2025-08-24 0.000747 0.091289 0.536669 1.709442 3.987141 7.639752 13.389366
2025-08-31 0.000087 0.072261 0.502996 1.712563 4.136113 8.092832 14.395376
2025-09-07 0.000010 0.067737 0.517913 1.826073 4.489679 8.878030 15.909866
2025-09-14 NaN 0.059189 0.513643 1.894314 4.763590 9.544994 17.263672
2025-09-21 NaN 0.048692 0.495124 1.925392 4.969013 10.107466 18.472482
2025-09-28 NaN 0.035221 0.451791 1.887316 5.039503 10.452169 19.359260
2025-10-05 NaN 0.028201 0.434692 1.912852 5.231977 10.999214 20.560993
2025-10-12 NaN 0.022007 0.415741 1.929615 5.406278 11.518691 21.727576
2025-10-19 NaN 0.014607 0.376860 1.883170 5.449657 11.819074 22.561043
2025-10-26 NaN 0.009258 0.341596 1.839018 5.492678 12.117380 23.394093
2025-11-02 NaN 0.006575 0.325468 1.849614 5.648820 12.610798 24.538134
2025-11-09 NaN 0.003575 0.292020 1.797274 5.666785 12.864949 25.308958