Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.156145 0.184587 0.216439 0.254711 0.299410 0.349923 0.411301
2025-08-17 0.107428 0.141928 0.184753 0.241656 0.315112 0.406559 0.528858
2025-08-24 0.085009 0.122080 0.171774 0.242917 0.341771 0.473837 0.663170
2025-08-31 0.067479 0.103928 0.156027 0.235381 0.352548 0.518409 0.770063
2025-09-07 0.057585 0.094224 0.149574 0.238482 0.376743 0.582324 0.909564
2025-09-14 0.049453 0.085485 0.142711 0.239138 0.396226 0.640268 1.045644
2025-09-21 0.042186 0.076747 0.134246 0.235519 0.407709 0.686190 1.167144
2025-09-28 0.036700 0.070023 0.127904 0.234110 0.421951 0.737169 1.301334
2025-10-05 0.034155 0.068044 0.129252 0.245792 0.459351 0.829781 1.514234
2025-10-12 0.032464 0.067341 0.132664 0.261390 0.505152 0.941089 1.770580
2025-10-19 0.029915 0.064554 0.131776 0.268745 0.536517 1.029754 1.995246
2025-10-26 0.026720 0.059955 0.126751 0.267402 0.551099 1.088992 2.171406
2025-11-02 0.022841 0.053513 0.117584 0.257467 0.549448 1.120814 2.305778
2025-11-09 0.019226 0.047056 0.107504 0.244370 0.540047 1.137226 2.413553
2025-11-16 0.017316 0.044116 0.104444 0.245656 0.560416 1.214632 2.651475
2025-11-23 0.015019 0.039850 0.097793 0.238039 0.560609 1.250568 2.807668
2025-11-30 0.013745 0.037858 0.096020 0.241174 0.584741 1.339066 3.084018
2025-12-07 0.012470 0.035638 0.093366 0.241837 0.603256 1.417278 3.346219
2025-12-14 0.011114 0.032956 0.089179 0.238179 0.611137 1.472661 3.563378
2025-12-21 0.010034 0.030832 0.086075 0.236754 0.624135 1.540884 3.816794
2025-12-28 0.009668 0.030670 0.088034 0.248563 0.671174 1.692949 4.281115
2026-01-04 0.009478 0.030992 0.091331 0.264328 0.730081 1.879119 4.845211
2026-01-11 0.008957 0.030224 0.091529 0.271763 0.768346 2.019175 5.311445