Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.080343 0.094018 0.109268 0.127530 0.148802 0.172798 0.201925
2026-01-18 0.061368 0.078802 0.100063 0.127885 0.163327 0.206972 0.264827
2026-01-25 0.046646 0.065049 0.089346 0.123739 0.171160 0.234250 0.324632
2026-02-01 0.035815 0.053840 0.079419 0.118306 0.175906 0.258092 0.384377
2026-02-08 0.028812 0.046396 0.073051 0.116304 0.184697 0.288693 0.459012
2026-02-15 0.023298 0.039977 0.066847 0.113149 0.190902 0.316247 0.533900
2026-02-22 0.019849 0.036119 0.063843 0.114339 0.203964 0.356422 0.635773
2026-03-01 0.016821 0.032337 0.060201 0.113647 0.213530 0.392154 0.736228
2026-03-08 0.013972 0.028288 0.055301 0.109701 0.216424 0.416459 0.820286
2026-03-15 0.012048 0.025609 0.052414 0.108919 0.224934 0.452154 0.931445
2026-03-22 0.010916 0.024291 0.051906 0.112673 0.242874 0.508595 1.092608
2026-03-29 0.010040 0.023333 0.051939 0.117502 0.263770 0.574132 1.283273
2026-04-05 0.008997 0.021892 0.050879 0.120227 0.281660 0.638523 1.487897
2026-04-12 0.007916 0.020149 0.048847 0.120453 0.294222 0.694033 1.684338
2026-04-19 0.006740 0.017930 0.045305 0.116477 0.296369 0.726770 1.835174
2026-04-26 0.005691 0.015805 0.041577 0.111317 0.294698 0.750412 1.969175
2026-05-03 0.004965 0.014372 0.039301 0.109404 0.300869 0.794298 2.162567
2026-05-10 0.004301 0.012963 0.036807 0.106418 0.303671 0.830278 2.342710
2026-05-17 0.003890 0.012185 0.035869 0.107527 0.317859 0.898615 2.623361
2026-05-24 0.003470 0.011286 0.034412 0.106868 0.326971 0.954985 2.881909
2026-05-31 0.003011 0.010163 0.032081 0.103150 0.326448 0.984435 3.068975
2026-06-07 0.002698 0.009439 0.030804 0.102412 0.334821 1.041190 3.348856
2026-06-14 0.002530 0.009160 0.030864 0.105942 0.357291 1.144143 3.791277