Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.217121 0.256333 0.300165 0.352732 0.414004 0.483106 0.566894
2025-07-27 0.165702 0.218134 0.282935 0.368651 0.478781 0.615230 0.796813
2025-08-03 0.129948 0.186083 0.261025 0.367847 0.515577 0.711977 0.992081
2025-08-10 0.102298 0.157258 0.235538 0.354295 0.528858 0.774782 1.145965
2025-08-17 0.081333 0.133145 0.211285 0.336500 0.530623 0.818223 1.274096
2025-08-24 0.070017 0.121186 0.202349 0.338818 0.560469 0.903548 1.470921
2025-08-31 0.058611 0.106909 0.187233 0.328505 0.568109 0.954324 1.618538
2025-09-07 0.051987 0.099466 0.181900 0.332901 0.599191 1.044320 1.837122
2025-09-14 0.045987 0.092073 0.175411 0.334041 0.624230 1.126113 2.049688
2025-09-21 0.040141 0.083967 0.166392 0.329170 0.637569 1.188541 2.234424
2025-09-28 0.035586 0.077607 0.159630 0.327354 0.655785 1.260695 2.442828
2025-10-05 0.033611 0.076130 0.161971 0.343116 0.708539 1.400255 2.787703
2025-10-12 0.032372 0.076267 0.168032 0.368080 0.784182 1.594267 3.263063
2025-10-19 0.030200 0.074064 0.169084 0.383173 0.842490 1.762403 3.708993
2025-10-26 0.026945 0.068839 0.162924 0.382106 0.867280 1.867068 4.040434
2025-11-02 0.023190 0.061754 0.151583 0.368019 0.862408 1.910710 4.251751
2025-11-09 0.019700 0.054671 0.139138 0.349561 0.845355 1.926606 4.405918
2025-11-16 0.017937 0.051672 0.135859 0.351965 0.875486 2.046230 4.794742
2025-11-23 0.015680 0.046946 0.127642 0.341269 0.873730 2.095409 5.033255
2025-11-30 0.014461 0.044845 0.125704 0.345828 0.908792 2.230709 5.479124
2025-12-07 0.013215 0.042441 0.122619 0.347011 0.935667 2.349793 5.899502
2025-12-14 0.011849 0.039425 0.117441 0.341959 0.946202 2.431362 6.239641
2025-12-21 0.010757 0.037041 0.113639 0.340076 0.964624 2.533695 6.639893