Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.102175 0.120241 0.140448 0.164706 0.193027 0.225032 0.263939
2025-11-16 0.074605 0.097632 0.126109 0.163854 0.212515 0.273087 0.354175
2025-11-23 0.057500 0.081499 0.113501 0.159168 0.222546 0.307274 0.429052
2025-11-30 0.048502 0.073397 0.108701 0.162210 0.241053 0.352727 0.522702
2025-12-07 0.041142 0.065927 0.103013 0.162250 0.254182 0.391067 0.609976
2025-12-14 0.034608 0.058406 0.095789 0.158390 0.260189 0.418712 0.683697
2025-12-21 0.030098 0.053260 0.091289 0.157776 0.270575 0.453502 0.771761
2025-12-28 0.027534 0.050886 0.090816 0.163426 0.291471 0.506928 0.895658
2026-01-04 0.025625 0.049320 0.091396 0.170763 0.315842 0.568458 1.039818
2026-01-11 0.023510 0.047033 0.090336 0.174911 0.334864 0.622547 1.176674
2026-01-18 0.021153 0.043924 0.087320 0.174958 0.346206 0.663898 1.294701
2026-01-25 0.018328 0.039475 0.081165 0.168155 0.343639 0.679164 1.365353
2026-02-01 0.015550 0.034845 0.074303 0.159594 0.337660 0.689357 1.431817
2026-02-08 0.013936 0.032443 0.071652 0.159335 0.348535 0.734040 1.572985
2026-02-15 0.012179 0.029440 0.067301 0.154838 0.349923 0.759696 1.678308
2026-02-22 0.011243 0.028148 0.066452 0.157807 0.367611 0.820931 1.865519
2026-03-01 0.010206 0.026449 0.064440 0.157846 0.378751 0.869395 2.030704
2026-03-08 0.009052 0.024274 0.061010 0.154089 0.380682 0.897796 2.154452
2026-03-15 0.008226 0.022794 0.059024 0.153490 0.389898 0.943527 2.323073
2026-03-22 0.007818 0.022341 0.059489 0.158991 0.414516 1.027531 2.591220
2026-03-29 0.007520 0.022134 0.060548 0.166135 0.444098 1.126565 2.906893
2026-04-05 0.007094 0.021505 0.060422 0.170173 0.466291 1.210185 3.194260
2026-04-12 0.006534 0.020404 0.058882 0.170219 0.478084 1.269366 3.426977