Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.199462 0.236994 0.279080 0.329688 0.388809 0.455606 0.536710
2025-05-04 0.149226 0.198981 0.260901 0.343269 0.449570 0.581702 0.757921
2025-05-11 0.115132 0.167573 0.238170 0.339423 0.480045 0.667428 0.934828
2025-05-18 0.089918 0.140958 0.214371 0.326494 0.491962 0.725391 1.077363
2025-05-25 0.071080 0.119078 0.192302 0.310522 0.494521 0.767292 1.198637
2025-06-01 0.061637 0.109460 0.186271 0.316408 0.528469 0.856488 1.396677
2025-06-08 0.051017 0.095835 0.171462 0.305619 0.533942 0.901538 1.530362
2025-06-15 0.045491 0.089869 0.168125 0.312730 0.568463 0.994914 1.749076
2025-06-22 0.040187 0.083323 0.162659 0.315062 0.594551 1.076298 1.955221
2025-06-29 0.034891 0.075841 0.154307 0.310814 0.608053 1.136922 2.131001
2025-07-06 0.030502 0.069382 0.146865 0.307052 0.621550 1.198169 2.312827
2025-07-13 0.028406 0.067310 0.147617 0.319044 0.665690 1.318352 2.611620
2025-07-20 0.027699 0.068339 0.155189 0.346496 0.744662 1.513953 3.075378
2025-07-27 0.025682 0.066124 0.155759 0.359805 0.797453 1.666054 3.473472
2025-08-03 0.022561 0.060741 0.148644 0.355705 0.813861 1.748690 3.744289
2025-08-10 0.019247 0.054238 0.137978 0.342188 0.808449 1.786652 3.929012
2025-08-17 0.016238 0.047904 0.126673 0.325495 0.793789 1.803595 4.071558
2025-08-24 0.014922 0.045796 0.125203 0.331647 0.830990 1.933206 4.462216
2025-08-31 0.012886 0.041291 0.117040 0.320371 0.826468 1.971974 4.661166
2025-09-07 0.011968 0.039813 0.116422 0.327803 0.867012 2.113911 5.098801
2025-09-14 0.010932 0.037773 0.113998 0.330240 0.895633 2.231481 5.492295
2025-09-21 0.009749 0.035036 0.109230 0.325801 0.906544 2.309087 5.801381
2025-09-28 0.008723 0.032586 0.104879 0.321868 0.918229 2.389492 6.124045