Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.164326 0.193908 0.227001 0.266726 0.313079 0.365422 0.428979
2025-09-07 0.121282 0.159562 0.206947 0.269751 0.350642 0.451148 0.585337
2025-09-14 0.096128 0.137187 0.191988 0.270143 0.378374 0.522554 0.728751
2025-09-21 0.077964 0.119064 0.177455 0.265922 0.395943 0.579285 0.856551
2025-09-28 0.065442 0.106043 0.166954 0.264216 0.414704 0.637542 0.991056
2025-10-05 0.059260 0.101184 0.167173 0.277513 0.456080 0.731990 1.188251
2025-10-12 0.054929 0.098372 0.169797 0.294320 0.504176 0.841080 1.419331
2025-10-19 0.049727 0.093159 0.167561 0.302464 0.538605 0.931485 1.629576
2025-10-26 0.044121 0.086296 0.161432 0.302843 0.559446 1.001024 1.811694
2025-11-02 0.038055 0.077617 0.150827 0.293682 0.562058 1.039130 1.942842
2025-11-09 0.032323 0.068670 0.138464 0.279499 0.553493 1.056017 2.037048
2025-11-16 0.029092 0.064184 0.133903 0.279400 0.570896 1.121044 2.225013
2025-11-23 0.025086 0.057708 0.125008 0.270530 0.572109 1.159426 2.373989
2025-11-30 0.022740 0.054442 0.122239 0.273873 0.598366 1.249346 2.634367
2025-12-07 0.020449 0.050908 0.118370 0.274296 0.618532 1.329245 2.883433
2025-12-14 0.018104 0.046843 0.112730 0.270014 0.628008 1.388169 3.095588
2025-12-21 0.016246 0.043627 0.108515 0.268283 0.642692 1.459272 3.340735
2025-12-28 0.015562 0.043219 0.110761 0.281777 0.693211 1.612392 3.779213
2026-01-04 0.015116 0.043354 0.114315 0.298831 0.753957 1.794190 4.299962
2026-01-11 0.014211 0.042112 0.114291 0.307095 0.794791 1.935364 4.743247
2026-01-18 0.013003 0.039831 0.111303 0.307479 0.816463 2.034635 5.099764
2026-01-25 0.011496 0.036438 0.104916 0.298184 0.812801 2.073818 5.318104
2026-02-01 0.009965 0.032695 0.097032 0.283792 0.794244 2.075020 5.444482