Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.178597 0.210314 0.245748 0.288229 0.337742 0.393594 0.461345
2025-09-28 0.129782 0.170152 0.220010 0.285962 0.370761 0.475971 0.616267
2025-10-05 0.108426 0.153894 0.214351 0.300292 0.418966 0.576685 0.801796
2025-10-12 0.095325 0.144414 0.213752 0.318277 0.471213 0.686060 1.009932
2025-10-19 0.083171 0.133422 0.208258 0.326992 0.509675 0.778916 1.204352
2025-10-26 0.071839 0.121396 0.198823 0.327481 0.534593 0.853251 1.378418
2025-11-02 0.060720 0.107714 0.184491 0.317668 0.541220 0.899092 1.512178
2025-11-09 0.050767 0.094292 0.168460 0.302417 0.536281 0.924805 1.614877
2025-11-16 0.045020 0.087229 0.161994 0.302121 0.555689 0.991416 1.791146
2025-11-23 0.039012 0.078743 0.151797 0.293687 0.559436 1.031101 1.924363
2025-11-30 0.035750 0.074939 0.149523 0.299213 0.588571 1.117568 2.148520
2025-12-07 0.032221 0.070072 0.144561 0.298890 0.606471 1.185069 2.344221
2025-12-14 0.028330 0.064132 0.137202 0.293907 0.616726 1.243005 2.535551
2025-12-21 0.025206 0.059365 0.131628 0.291950 0.633107 1.315226 2.764474
2025-12-28 0.023928 0.058445 0.133905 0.306601 0.685130 1.463047 3.160008
2026-01-04 0.023038 0.058257 0.137700 0.324952 0.747059 1.637344 3.628382
2026-01-11 0.021510 0.056308 0.137289 0.333844 0.789417 1.775292 4.035017
2026-01-18 0.019584 0.053070 0.133457 0.334344 0.812988 1.875493 4.370828
2026-01-25 0.017254 0.048422 0.125631 0.324332 0.811105 1.919617 4.587264
2026-02-01 0.014919 0.043363 0.116073 0.308773 0.794089 1.927715 4.722637
2026-02-08 0.013640 0.040951 0.112812 0.308470 0.813899 2.022267 5.068074
2026-02-15 0.012119 0.037602 0.106652 0.299865 0.811953 2.065305 5.295705
2026-02-22 0.011374 0.036368 0.105933 0.305504 0.846934 2.200640 5.760941