Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 0.150685 0.179950 0.212892 0.252645 0.299243 0.352059 0.416381
2025-04-13 0.105036 0.141498 0.187228 0.248494 0.328086 0.427612 0.561079
2025-04-20 0.084154 0.124023 0.178193 0.256524 0.366116 0.513088 0.724021
2025-04-27 0.074415 0.117996 0.181168 0.278280 0.422385 0.626574 0.935548
2025-05-04 0.064552 0.109254 0.177879 0.289208 0.463109 0.721536 1.130787
2025-05-11 0.053950 0.097063 0.166882 0.285934 0.480875 0.783428 1.282745
2025-05-18 0.044254 0.084390 0.152766 0.274956 0.484055 0.821950 1.401276
2025-05-25 0.036142 0.072878 0.138565 0.261290 0.480215 0.847626 1.500363
2025-06-01 0.032181 0.068197 0.135419 0.266036 0.507681 0.926810 1.694763
2025-06-08 0.027126 0.060467 0.125456 0.256823 0.508882 0.960678 1.814231
2025-06-15 0.024608 0.057390 0.123805 0.262835 0.538304 1.046486 2.032585
2025-06-22 0.022042 0.053744 0.120449 0.264931 0.560274 1.120495 2.235937
2025-06-29 0.019071 0.048832 0.114109 0.260859 0.571171 1.177767 2.419521
2025-07-06 0.016540 0.044472 0.108317 0.257228 0.582770 1.238161 2.616599
2025-07-13 0.015218 0.042762 0.108096 0.265574 0.620193 1.352997 2.931508
2025-07-20 0.014931 0.043604 0.113845 0.288049 0.690496 1.541015 3.411009
2025-07-27 0.013965 0.042474 0.114722 0.299334 0.737354 1.684893 3.812895
2025-08-03 0.012326 0.039175 0.109747 0.295953 0.750529 1.758610 4.074180
2025-08-10 0.010536 0.035058 0.102009 0.284616 0.743689 1.788021 4.242793
2025-08-17 0.008888 0.030986 0.093685 0.270501 0.728300 1.796582 4.365960
2025-08-24 0.008189 0.029693 0.092700 0.275404 0.760157 1.915420 4.747135
2025-08-31 0.007069 0.026789 0.086693 0.265887 0.754441 1.946278 4.929466
2025-09-07 0.006585 0.025902 0.086388 0.272097 0.790021 2.078258 5.359180