Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.210171 0.248174 0.290662 0.341627 0.401041 0.468061 0.549337
2025-07-27 0.160175 0.210913 0.273636 0.356623 0.463274 0.595446 0.771380
2025-08-03 0.125556 0.179847 0.252348 0.355719 0.498720 0.688883 0.960170
2025-08-10 0.098816 0.151953 0.227662 0.342554 0.511489 0.749558 1.108994
2025-08-17 0.078554 0.128640 0.204201 0.325327 0.513174 0.791567 1.232994
2025-08-24 0.067645 0.117123 0.195631 0.327683 0.542236 0.874442 1.424026
2025-08-31 0.056620 0.103316 0.181006 0.317695 0.549616 0.923582 1.566968
2025-09-07 0.050224 0.096130 0.175865 0.321979 0.579753 1.010811 1.778849
2025-09-14 0.044433 0.088997 0.169616 0.323134 0.604084 1.090183 1.985069
2025-09-21 0.038785 0.081165 0.160902 0.318439 0.617035 1.150716 2.164199
2025-09-28 0.034383 0.075017 0.154365 0.316692 0.634694 1.220648 2.366232
2025-10-05 0.032410 0.073448 0.156341 0.331356 0.684596 1.353584 2.696115
2025-10-12 0.031209 0.073564 0.162160 0.355398 0.757547 1.540866 3.155347
2025-10-19 0.029113 0.071434 0.163161 0.369937 0.813801 1.703217 3.586239
2025-10-26 0.025970 0.066382 0.157187 0.368841 0.837597 1.804050 3.906041
2025-11-02 0.022348 0.059541 0.146223 0.355188 0.832766 1.845946 4.109734
2025-11-09 0.018983 0.052708 0.134210 0.337352 0.816244 1.861177 4.258469
2025-11-16 0.017292 0.049837 0.131096 0.339791 0.845620 1.977373 4.635714
2025-11-23 0.015116 0.045277 0.123162 0.329451 0.843887 2.024811 4.866117
2025-11-30 0.013942 0.043256 0.121305 0.333885 0.877834 2.155746 5.297642
2025-12-07 0.012744 0.040945 0.118348 0.335081 0.903930 2.271156 5.704892
2025-12-14 0.011427 0.038038 0.113357 0.330221 0.914153 2.350108 6.034092
2025-12-21 0.010375 0.035740 0.109691 0.328412 0.931978 2.449088 6.421334