Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-12 0.048503 0.056400 0.065172 0.075638 0.087789 0.101455 0.117997
2026-04-19 0.035249 0.044787 0.056342 0.071376 0.090429 0.113794 0.144658
2026-04-26 0.026200 0.035987 0.048783 0.066748 0.091345 0.123890 0.170318
2026-05-03 0.020797 0.030642 0.044431 0.065165 0.095600 0.138729 0.204678
2026-05-10 0.016727 0.026270 0.040497 0.063269 0.098880 0.152593 0.240085
2026-05-17 0.014163 0.023583 0.038455 0.063659 0.105432 0.172146 0.287305
2026-05-24 0.011995 0.021081 0.036201 0.063217 0.110457 0.189991 0.334836
2026-05-31 0.010014 0.018502 0.033338 0.061179 0.112347 0.202819 0.375996
2026-06-07 0.008662 0.016771 0.031608 0.060761 0.116892 0.220797 0.429176
2026-06-14 0.007791 0.015764 0.030994 0.062242 0.125101 0.246593 0.501179
2026-06-21 0.007119 0.015018 0.030733 0.064321 0.134748 0.276540 0.586267
2026-06-28 0.006484 0.014230 0.030247 0.065837 0.143459 0.305913 0.675067
2026-07-05 0.005799 0.013266 0.029347 0.066565 0.151167 0.335589 0.772421
2026-07-12 0.004898 0.011667 0.026831 0.063346 0.149756 0.345724 0.829031
2026-07-19 0.004103 0.010163 0.024266 0.059558 0.146391 0.351015 0.875808
2026-07-26 0.003595 0.009246 0.022895 0.058345 0.148922 0.370447 0.960546
2026-08-02 0.003139 0.008376 0.021483 0.056771 0.150282 0.387345 1.042424
2026-08-09 0.002849 0.007875 0.020897 0.057200 0.156860 0.418447 1.167440
2026-08-16 0.002559 0.007320 0.020075 0.056853 0.161326 0.444932 1.285398
2026-08-23 0.002247 0.006643 0.018809 0.055051 0.161470 0.459922 1.374360
2026-08-30 0.002029 0.006197 0.018097 0.054695 0.165669 0.486916 1.503633
2026-09-06 0.001895 0.005971 0.017972 0.056040 0.175149 0.530755 1.692357
2026-09-13 0.001789 0.005813 0.018019 0.057920 0.186641 0.582676 1.916826