Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.184565 0.219972 0.259744 0.307640 0.363665 0.427034 0.504048
2025-04-06 0.129750 0.174193 0.229736 0.303882 0.399863 0.519461 0.679278
2025-04-13 0.099288 0.145927 0.209096 0.300149 0.427125 0.596857 0.839646
2025-04-20 0.083224 0.131795 0.202061 0.309848 0.469419 0.694973 1.035398
2025-04-27 0.075788 0.127902 0.207622 0.336478 0.536986 0.833800 1.301968
2025-05-04 0.066946 0.119829 0.204995 0.349396 0.584490 0.947297 1.542621
2025-05-11 0.056639 0.107290 0.192975 0.345021 0.603369 1.017956 1.723820
2025-05-18 0.046911 0.093875 0.177183 0.331601 0.604872 1.059934 1.862110
2025-05-25 0.038648 0.081566 0.161262 0.315292 0.598652 1.087351 1.977531
2025-06-01 0.034782 0.076945 0.158461 0.321887 0.632861 1.185733 2.221710
2025-06-08 0.029514 0.068549 0.147217 0.310964 0.633460 1.224762 2.364872
2025-06-15 0.026986 0.065444 0.145847 0.318816 0.669889 1.331095 2.637997
2025-06-22 0.024277 0.061662 0.142937 0.324015 0.703419 1.438434 2.929466
2025-06-29 0.021132 0.056321 0.135989 0.320013 0.718378 1.512698 3.167220
2025-07-06 0.018460 0.051571 0.129552 0.316089 0.732796 1.586994 3.411795
2025-07-13 0.017073 0.049757 0.129495 0.326267 0.778255 1.727661 3.801448
2025-07-20 0.016865 0.050979 0.136772 0.354205 0.865668 1.962526 4.403982
2025-07-27 0.015831 0.049764 0.137914 0.367756 0.922206 2.137612 4.897222
2025-08-03 0.014005 0.045953 0.131939 0.363167 0.936393 2.223040 5.207509
2025-08-10 0.012001 0.041190 0.122713 0.349089 0.926374 2.254142 5.402439
2025-08-17 0.010158 0.036502 0.112888 0.331979 0.906768 2.261470 5.544821
2025-08-24 0.009423 0.035168 0.112153 0.338898 0.947705 2.411351 6.022367
2025-08-31 0.008163 0.031813 0.105070 0.327437 0.940350 2.447241 6.240062