Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.141261 0.167506 0.196951 0.232389 0.273837 0.320738 0.377788
2025-07-13 0.106369 0.141079 0.184243 0.241673 0.315874 0.408292 0.531897
2025-07-20 0.089361 0.129018 0.182310 0.258733 0.365027 0.507068 0.710624
2025-07-27 0.076190 0.118059 0.178057 0.269576 0.404770 0.596057 0.885896
2025-08-03 0.063696 0.105094 0.167890 0.269022 0.426498 0.660662 1.032996
2025-08-10 0.052139 0.091155 0.153510 0.259047 0.431446 0.699583 1.144860
2025-08-17 0.042519 0.078481 0.138829 0.245791 0.428432 0.724494 1.236112
2025-08-24 0.037283 0.072283 0.133661 0.247059 0.448520 0.787349 1.393944
2025-08-31 0.031653 0.064372 0.124252 0.239406 0.451934 0.822218 1.507879
2025-09-07 0.028416 0.060382 0.121214 0.242553 0.474387 0.891416 1.687512
2025-09-14 0.025359 0.056221 0.117201 0.243179 0.491980 0.953360 1.859979
2025-09-21 0.022241 0.051406 0.111197 0.239025 0.499749 0.997727 2.004042
2025-09-28 0.019366 0.046806 0.105323 0.235078 0.508944 1.048625 2.171911
2025-10-05 0.017999 0.045353 0.105868 0.244673 0.547052 1.160312 2.471854
2025-10-12 0.017351 0.045448 0.109760 0.261967 0.603342 1.314239 2.872875
2025-10-19 0.016283 0.044338 0.110765 0.272943 0.647330 1.447588 3.245651
2025-10-26 0.014596 0.041362 0.106983 0.272383 0.665625 1.528824 3.517178
2025-11-02 0.012589 0.037172 0.099634 0.262290 0.660801 1.559525 3.682631
2025-11-09 0.010697 0.032918 0.091439 0.248876 0.646318 1.566998 3.797036
2025-11-16 0.009744 0.031114 0.089224 0.250159 0.667364 1.657052 4.107759
2025-11-23 0.008521 0.028282 0.083839 0.242414 0.664977 1.692286 4.294764
2025-11-30 0.007870 0.027051 0.082623 0.245599 0.690743 1.796966 4.656900
2025-12-07 0.007193 0.025607 0.080584 0.246232 0.709913 1.887558 4.994016