Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.183711 0.215981 0.251998 0.295143 0.345392 0.402038 0.470716
2025-10-19 0.138739 0.181257 0.233653 0.302828 0.391620 0.501631 0.648159
2025-10-26 0.110611 0.156351 0.217024 0.303105 0.421789 0.579349 0.804073
2025-11-02 0.088823 0.134062 0.197852 0.293903 0.434364 0.631681 0.929280
2025-11-09 0.071663 0.114596 0.178474 0.279804 0.435790 0.665956 1.030309
2025-11-16 0.061882 0.104181 0.170194 0.279858 0.456506 0.728680 1.178226
2025-11-23 0.052485 0.092696 0.158293 0.272030 0.463068 0.769368 1.295397
2025-11-30 0.047237 0.087159 0.154967 0.277202 0.490456 0.844903 1.475419
2025-12-07 0.042029 0.080838 0.149327 0.277413 0.509013 0.907201 1.639304
2025-12-14 0.036677 0.073422 0.140696 0.271024 0.514880 0.947893 1.769455
2025-12-21 0.032861 0.068313 0.135506 0.270066 0.530051 1.005864 1.935540
2025-12-28 0.031209 0.067180 0.137571 0.282898 0.572086 1.116199 2.208280
2026-01-04 0.029808 0.066586 0.141035 0.299790 0.625687 1.257033 2.560553
2026-01-11 0.027565 0.063930 0.140110 0.307941 0.663448 1.372652 2.879079
2026-01-18 0.024883 0.059887 0.135729 0.308256 0.685115 1.458794 3.148346
2026-01-25 0.021775 0.054371 0.127405 0.298906 0.685091 1.500690 3.331110
2026-02-01 0.018732 0.048510 0.117475 0.284575 0.672278 1.514169 3.454873
2026-02-08 0.017054 0.045688 0.114069 0.284630 0.691459 1.597828 3.739322
2026-02-15 0.015087 0.041816 0.107643 0.276673 0.691136 1.638420 3.932203
2026-02-22 0.014093 0.040310 0.106737 0.281931 0.722559 1.753561 4.306882
2026-03-01 0.012934 0.038174 0.103961 0.282145 0.741734 1.842398 4.629618
2026-03-08 0.011581 0.035280 0.098837 0.275650 0.743392 1.889994 4.858983
2026-03-15 0.010618 0.033342 0.095963 0.274677 0.758967 1.972707 5.182707