Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.162970 0.193886 0.228612 0.270440 0.319389 0.374791 0.442182
2025-05-18 0.111875 0.149676 0.196901 0.259967 0.341685 0.443671 0.580246
2025-05-25 0.082588 0.120790 0.172501 0.247080 0.351252 0.490856 0.691241
2025-06-01 0.068230 0.107374 0.163951 0.250799 0.379650 0.562409 0.839532
2025-06-08 0.054756 0.092061 0.149247 0.242050 0.387286 0.603813 0.948258
2025-06-15 0.047678 0.084971 0.145167 0.247705 0.415772 0.677319 1.110805
2025-06-22 0.041265 0.077660 0.139300 0.249120 0.436947 0.740951 1.264003
2025-06-29 0.035257 0.069898 0.131310 0.245471 0.448700 0.789949 1.397902
2025-07-06 0.030386 0.063292 0.124208 0.242068 0.459899 0.838417 1.534943
2025-07-13 0.028018 0.061020 0.124531 0.251882 0.495242 0.931152 1.756520
2025-07-20 0.026991 0.061222 0.129465 0.270811 0.549162 1.061532 2.056800
2025-07-27 0.024976 0.059019 0.129334 0.279762 0.585008 1.162284 2.312348
2025-08-03 0.021822 0.054008 0.123197 0.276689 0.598754 1.226453 2.512554
2025-08-10 0.018487 0.048001 0.114117 0.266368 0.596959 1.261342 2.661945
2025-08-17 0.015478 0.042159 0.104427 0.253212 0.587356 1.279384 2.779468
2025-08-24 0.014050 0.039922 0.102520 0.257020 0.614374 1.374100 3.061207
2025-08-31 0.012049 0.035811 0.095537 0.248067 0.611935 1.406966 3.217488
2025-09-07 0.011118 0.034375 0.094821 0.253855 0.643570 1.515500 3.544818
2025-09-14 0.010076 0.032420 0.092483 0.255302 0.665161 1.604082 3.837090
2025-09-21 0.008928 0.029926 0.088339 0.251568 0.673787 1.664354 4.072024
2025-09-28 0.007935 0.027686 0.084512 0.248086 0.682539 1.725644 4.314960
2025-10-05 0.007548 0.027268 0.085673 0.258129 0.726670 1.874044 4.773724
2025-10-12 0.007495 0.027925 0.090008 0.277498 0.797149 2.091941 5.416046