Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.160507 0.190580 0.224326 0.264939 0.312433 0.366156 0.431475
2025-06-15 0.118082 0.157175 0.205857 0.270690 0.354496 0.458882 0.598444
2025-06-22 0.092756 0.134569 0.190863 0.271681 0.384125 0.534334 0.749380
2025-06-29 0.074456 0.116118 0.175986 0.267453 0.402647 0.593858 0.883205
2025-07-06 0.061289 0.101882 0.163652 0.263298 0.418510 0.649102 1.015011
2025-07-13 0.054528 0.095889 0.162067 0.274013 0.456498 0.739356 1.206881
2025-07-20 0.050751 0.093882 0.166073 0.293470 0.509701 0.857666 1.453806
2025-07-27 0.046322 0.089901 0.166012 0.305783 0.552150 0.962693 1.689849
2025-08-03 0.040619 0.082622 0.159089 0.305047 0.571888 1.031739 1.872648
2025-08-10 0.034449 0.073402 0.147272 0.293723 0.571186 1.065224 1.997036
2025-08-17 0.028879 0.064398 0.134500 0.278708 0.561528 1.081237 2.091087
2025-08-24 0.026001 0.060417 0.130834 0.280571 0.583459 1.155912 2.298063
2025-08-31 0.022103 0.053810 0.121374 0.270499 0.582772 1.191757 2.443065
2025-09-07 0.020129 0.051169 0.119839 0.276692 0.615730 1.296102 2.732011
2025-09-14 0.018009 0.047789 0.116168 0.277734 0.638028 1.381622 2.992560
2025-09-21 0.015808 0.043792 0.110474 0.273420 0.648183 1.443333 3.210853
2025-09-28 0.013919 0.040213 0.105174 0.269178 0.657802 1.504626 3.434120
2025-10-05 0.013124 0.039355 0.106264 0.280119 0.703026 1.646312 3.842506
2025-10-12 0.012845 0.039854 0.110786 0.299984 0.771294 1.844974 4.393959
2025-10-19 0.012205 0.039219 0.112311 0.312555 0.823599 2.013009 4.893040
2025-10-26 0.011037 0.036819 0.108833 0.311804 0.843261 2.108500 5.236555
2025-11-02 0.009582 0.033258 0.101646 0.300242 0.834411 2.136547 5.426437
2025-11-09 0.008184 0.029577 0.093519 0.284912 0.813880 2.134445 5.544467