Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.129193 0.151981 0.177451 0.208010 0.243659 0.283916 0.332815
2025-11-09 0.090229 0.118066 0.152469 0.198036 0.256732 0.329727 0.427344
2025-11-16 0.071481 0.101267 0.140937 0.197474 0.275818 0.380383 0.530397
2025-11-23 0.057446 0.086928 0.128700 0.191942 0.284994 0.416584 0.616505
2025-11-30 0.049688 0.079596 0.124292 0.195571 0.305981 0.470022 0.731712
2025-12-07 0.042845 0.072261 0.118389 0.195473 0.320512 0.514681 0.838229
2025-12-14 0.036473 0.064520 0.110501 0.190729 0.326507 0.546078 0.926849
2025-12-21 0.032032 0.059222 0.105667 0.189994 0.338388 0.587452 1.035445
2025-12-28 0.029536 0.056880 0.105393 0.196761 0.363414 0.652820 1.191076
2026-01-04 0.027628 0.055288 0.106142 0.205265 0.392232 0.727417 1.370563
2026-01-11 0.025486 0.052918 0.105101 0.210219 0.414950 0.793292 1.541121
2026-01-18 0.023113 0.049734 0.102077 0.210917 0.429548 0.845544 1.691586
2026-01-25 0.020080 0.044939 0.095623 0.204751 0.431497 0.876922 1.811445
2026-02-01 0.017092 0.039797 0.087811 0.194874 0.425001 0.891729 1.901874
2026-02-08 0.015347 0.037091 0.084674 0.194314 0.437570 0.945840 2.078226
2026-02-15 0.013457 0.033737 0.079638 0.188867 0.438859 0.976649 2.209207
2026-02-22 0.012456 0.032317 0.078702 0.192440 0.460374 1.052546 2.445782
2026-03-01 0.011327 0.030397 0.076334 0.192344 0.473479 1.111493 2.651586
2026-03-08 0.010062 0.027924 0.072295 0.187673 0.475231 1.145124 2.803650
2026-03-15 0.009163 0.026261 0.069998 0.186950 0.486324 1.201327 3.014661
2026-03-22 0.008726 0.025773 0.070594 0.193612 0.516468 1.305653 3.352461
2026-03-29 0.008395 0.025528 0.071786 0.201983 0.551981 1.426798 3.745026
2026-04-05 0.007932 0.024830 0.071674 0.206861 0.579037 1.530086 4.104588