Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.001209 0.001353 0.001497 0.001653 0.001817 0.001982 0.002162
2025-03-02 0.000904 0.001105 0.001316 0.001552 0.001805 0.002069 0.002362
2025-03-09 0.000696 0.000939 0.001204 0.001508 0.001845 0.002203 0.002607
2025-03-16 0.000553 0.000827 0.001139 0.001509 0.001927 0.002380 0.002899
2025-03-23 0.000441 0.000740 0.001094 0.001525 0.002023 0.002570 0.003206
2025-03-30 0.000342 0.000655 0.001042 0.001529 0.002102 0.002739 0.003489
2025-04-06 0.000255 0.000572 0.000986 0.001520 0.002162 0.002887 0.003747
2025-04-13 0.000185 0.000500 0.000934 0.001513 0.002221 0.003030 0.003999
2025-04-20 0.000130 0.000438 0.000891 0.001511 0.002283 0.003174 0.004251
2025-04-27 0.000085 0.000383 0.000849 0.001508 0.002340 0.003312 0.004494
2025-05-04 0.000061 0.000356 0.000845 0.001550 0.002452 0.003512 0.004807
2025-05-11 0.000048 0.000347 0.000866 0.001625 0.002603 0.003759 0.005175
2025-05-18 0.000014 0.000263 0.000766 0.001535 0.002549 0.003763 0.005264
2025-05-25 0.000001 0.000208 0.000702 0.001489 0.002548 0.003828 0.005422
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000175 0.000669 0.001485 0.002598 0.003953 0.005651
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000156 0.000661 0.001514 0.002690 0.004130 0.005939
2025-06-15 NaN 0.000142 0.000658 0.001550 0.002791 0.004317 0.006240
2025-06-22 NaN 0.000123 0.000644 0.001569 0.002868 0.004475 0.006506
2025-06-29 NaN 0.000102 0.000621 0.001572 0.002923 0.004604 0.006736
2025-07-06 NaN 0.000083 0.000598 0.001573 0.002974 0.004728 0.006960
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000067 0.000577 0.001576 0.003028 0.004854 0.007187
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000052 0.000556 0.001577 0.003077 0.004974 0.007405
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000048 0.000563 0.001623 0.003188 0.005170 0.007714