Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.001582 0.001752 0.001921 0.002101 0.002288 0.002475 0.002677
2025-09-28 0.001384 0.001635 0.001892 0.002173 0.002469 0.002770 0.003100
2025-10-05 0.001190 0.001503 0.001831 0.002195 0.002586 0.002990 0.003436
2025-10-12 0.001030 0.001393 0.001782 0.002222 0.002699 0.003199 0.003756
2025-10-19 0.000872 0.001272 0.001710 0.002215 0.002770 0.003357 0.004017
2025-10-26 0.000733 0.001160 0.001640 0.002202 0.002830 0.003498 0.004255
2025-11-02 0.000611 0.001057 0.001572 0.002187 0.002880 0.003625 0.004474
2025-11-09 0.000509 0.000970 0.001517 0.002180 0.002936 0.003754 0.004693
2025-11-16 0.000425 0.000897 0.001473 0.002181 0.002997 0.003887 0.004912
2025-11-23 0.000353 0.000832 0.001434 0.002185 0.003058 0.004016 0.005126
2025-11-30 0.000319 0.000816 0.001452 0.002254 0.003193 0.004226 0.005425
2025-12-07 0.000252 0.000745 0.001398 0.002235 0.003223 0.004317 0.005592
2025-12-14 0.000199 0.000700 0.001392 0.002291 0.003364 0.004558 0.005955
2025-12-21 0.000152 0.000659 0.001388 0.002352 0.003511 0.004809 0.006333
2025-12-28 0.000098 0.000593 0.001348 0.002367 0.003604 0.004999 0.006644
2026-01-04 0.000056 0.000536 0.001315 0.002388 0.003704 0.005195 0.006962
2026-01-11 0.000021 0.000467 0.001260 0.002377 0.003763 0.005345 0.007226
2026-01-18 0.000001 0.000401 0.001203 0.002362 0.003816 0.005484 0.007478
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000340 0.001147 0.002344 0.003862 0.005615 0.007718
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000289 0.001101 0.002336 0.003919 0.005756 0.007967
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000247 0.001064 0.002337 0.003984 0.005906 0.008225
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000209 0.001030 0.002340 0.004051 0.006056 0.008482
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000200 0.001045 0.002411 0.004201 0.006303 0.008850