Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.147331e-03 0.001294 0.001442 0.001601 0.001768 0.001938 0.002122
2025-05-04 9.435230e-04 0.001174 0.001415 0.001685 0.001976 0.002278 0.002614
2025-05-11 7.216959e-04 0.001010 0.001327 0.001694 0.002100 0.002532 0.003021
2025-05-18 4.877584e-04 0.000804 0.001172 0.001615 0.002120 0.002670 0.003304
2025-05-25 3.279480e-04 0.000659 0.001070 0.001584 0.002187 0.002855 0.003637
2025-06-01 2.000679e-04 0.000527 0.000967 0.001542 0.002234 0.003014 0.003939
2025-06-08 1.165528e-04 0.000434 0.000901 0.001534 0.002315 0.003209 0.004280
2025-06-15 7.277686e-05 0.000389 0.000890 0.001592 0.002472 0.003489 0.004716
2025-06-22 2.918463e-05 0.000317 0.000832 0.001584 0.002545 0.003669 0.005036
2025-06-29 6.539087e-06 0.000263 0.000793 0.001593 0.002636 0.003869 0.005377
2025-07-06 2.133935e-07 0.000238 0.000792 0.001654 0.002789 0.004139 0.005799
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000185 0.000738 0.001635 0.002839 0.004286 0.006075
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000129 0.000672 0.001606 0.002888 0.004447 0.006389
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000107 0.000670 0.001671 0.003063 0.004765 0.006894
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000071 0.000622 0.001667 0.003148 0.004976 0.007277
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000027 0.000527 0.001580 0.003119 0.005047 0.007494
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000007 0.000467 0.001544 0.003156 0.005197 0.007804
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000407 0.001498 0.003176 0.005326 0.008088
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000370 0.001488 0.003244 0.005512 0.008439
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000369 0.001543 0.003402 0.005812 0.008930
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000336 0.001533 0.003468 0.005994 0.009275
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000314 0.001542 0.003558 0.006206 0.009656
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000317 0.001601 0.003721 0.006511 0.010149