Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.001305 0.001464 0.001625 0.001797 0.001977 0.002157 0.002353
2025-09-07 0.001105 0.001340 0.001582 0.001849 0.002132 0.002424 0.002744
2025-09-14 0.000896 0.001182 0.001486 0.001829 0.002201 0.002589 0.003021
2025-09-21 0.000765 0.001095 0.001456 0.001871 0.002328 0.002810 0.003353
2025-09-28 0.000680 0.001050 0.001464 0.001949 0.002489 0.003065 0.003718
2025-10-05 0.000566 0.000959 0.001413 0.001955 0.002566 0.003225 0.003977
2025-10-12 0.000482 0.000896 0.001389 0.001985 0.002666 0.003406 0.004256
2025-10-19 0.000384 0.000807 0.001325 0.001965 0.002707 0.003518 0.004456
2025-10-26 0.000309 0.000737 0.001281 0.001964 0.002764 0.003645 0.004671
2025-11-02 0.000235 0.000660 0.001221 0.001941 0.002792 0.003738 0.004844
2025-11-09 0.000186 0.000611 0.001193 0.001952 0.002858 0.003871 0.005059
2025-11-16 0.000131 0.000544 0.001137 0.001926 0.002879 0.003950 0.005213
2025-11-23 0.000076 0.000473 0.001088 0.001927 0.002954 0.004119 0.005500
2025-11-30 0.000040 0.000423 0.001064 0.001958 0.003067 0.004333 0.005842
2025-12-07 0.000007 0.000343 0.000990 0.001925 0.003101 0.004457 0.006081
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000303 0.000970 0.001958 0.003216 0.004673 0.006426
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000284 0.000981 0.002032 0.003379 0.004945 0.006835
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000237 0.000941 0.002034 0.003452 0.005111 0.007121
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000205 0.000922 0.002063 0.003556 0.005313 0.007446
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000159 0.000869 0.002041 0.003596 0.005437 0.007681
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000125 0.000833 0.002039 0.003658 0.005585 0.007943
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000089 0.000782 0.002015 0.003690 0.005696 0.008159
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000067 0.000757 0.002026 0.003765 0.005857 0.008434