Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.001184 0.001333 0.001483 0.001644 0.001814 0.001985 0.002171
2025-05-25 0.000898 0.001125 0.001362 0.001628 0.001915 0.002213 0.002544
2025-06-01 0.000660 0.000936 0.001240 0.001593 0.001983 0.002399 0.002869
2025-06-08 0.000491 0.000801 0.001159 0.001588 0.002075 0.002603 0.003210
2025-06-15 0.000392 0.000732 0.001143 0.001648 0.002234 0.002877 0.003623
2025-06-22 0.000281 0.000630 0.001075 0.001640 0.002308 0.003051 0.003923
2025-06-29 0.000202 0.000554 0.001029 0.001650 0.002398 0.003239 0.004234
2025-07-06 0.000157 0.000518 0.001030 0.001713 0.002545 0.003489 0.004613
2025-07-13 0.000096 0.000442 0.000968 0.001692 0.002589 0.003617 0.004850
2025-07-20 0.000047 0.000364 0.000896 0.001652 0.002605 0.003710 0.005044
2025-07-27 0.000029 0.000340 0.000897 0.001704 0.002732 0.003930 0.005381
2025-08-03 0.000012 0.000304 0.000875 0.001724 0.002816 0.004097 0.005656
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000218 0.000773 0.001642 0.002787 0.004146 0.005814
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000161 0.000708 0.001608 0.002818 0.004271 0.006065
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000108 0.000638 0.001563 0.002834 0.004376 0.006295
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000074 0.000595 0.001553 0.002893 0.004534 0.006585
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000062 0.000596 0.001609 0.003039 0.004796 0.006999
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000038 0.000557 0.001599 0.003095 0.004948 0.007282
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000022 0.000531 0.001609 0.003175 0.005129 0.007597
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000017 0.000539 0.001670 0.003325 0.005395 0.008013
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000005 0.000498 0.001649 0.003362 0.005518 0.008259
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.000448 0.001609 0.003370 0.005605 0.008459
2025-10-19 NaN NaN 0.000452 0.001661 0.003504 0.005849 0.008846