Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.000996 1.138837e-03 0.001284 0.001441 0.001606 0.001773 0.001956
2025-06-15 0.000823 1.031010e-03 0.001249 0.001493 0.001756 0.002029 0.002331
2025-06-22 0.000631 8.791334e-04 0.001150 0.001462 0.001805 0.002169 0.002579
2025-06-29 0.000502 7.808540e-04 0.001097 0.001472 0.001893 0.002345 0.002862
2025-07-06 0.000447 7.613060e-04 0.001129 0.001571 0.002076 0.002624 0.003254
2025-07-13 0.000337 6.606495e-04 0.001056 0.001546 0.002114 0.002739 0.003465
2025-07-20 0.000232 5.509828e-04 0.000963 0.001488 0.002110 0.002803 0.003615
2025-07-27 0.000186 5.133887e-04 0.000954 0.001528 0.002215 0.002986 0.003897
2025-08-03 0.000129 4.491370e-04 0.000905 0.001514 0.002255 0.003094 0.004091
2025-08-10 0.000065 3.544054e-04 0.000807 0.001433 0.002210 0.003101 0.004169
2025-08-17 0.000030 2.950590e-04 0.000750 0.001400 0.002220 0.003168 0.004312
2025-08-24 0.000004 2.202761e-04 0.000662 0.001320 0.002168 0.003161 0.004367
2025-08-31 NaN 1.658469e-04 0.000608 0.001301 0.002211 0.003290 0.004610
2025-09-07 NaN 1.440008e-04 0.000606 0.001352 0.002345 0.003529 0.004984
2025-09-14 NaN 9.689864e-05 0.000549 0.001323 0.002376 0.003646 0.005218
2025-09-21 NaN 6.943295e-05 0.000520 0.001333 0.002456 0.003822 0.005521
2025-09-28 NaN 6.808157e-05 0.000550 0.001428 0.002648 0.004133 0.005983
2025-10-05 NaN 3.906288e-05 0.000502 0.001404 0.002682 0.004252 0.006218
2025-10-12 NaN 1.345002e-05 0.000438 0.001349 0.002671 0.004315 0.006385
2025-10-19 NaN 7.355598e-06 0.000433 0.001387 0.002784 0.004528 0.006730
2025-10-26 NaN 5.095944e-07 0.000400 0.001374 0.002827 0.004653 0.006969
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000332 0.001297 0.002778 0.004662 0.007068
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000293 0.001265 0.002790 0.004746 0.007254