Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.001255 0.001409 0.001564 0.001729 0.001901 0.002074 0.002261
2025-11-09 0.001015 0.001239 0.001470 0.001723 0.001991 0.002266 0.002567
2025-11-16 0.000831 0.001106 0.001397 0.001724 0.002077 0.002443 0.002850
2025-11-23 0.000680 0.000993 0.001335 0.001727 0.002156 0.002608 0.003115
2025-11-30 0.000592 0.000942 0.001334 0.001790 0.002297 0.002834 0.003441
2025-12-07 0.000478 0.000849 0.001277 0.001785 0.002357 0.002970 0.003666
2025-12-14 0.000364 0.000743 0.001198 0.001749 0.002378 0.003058 0.003837
2025-12-21 0.000302 0.000696 0.001182 0.001782 0.002473 0.003225 0.004089
2025-12-28 0.000219 0.000610 0.001115 0.001750 0.002491 0.003303 0.004243
2026-01-04 0.000165 0.000557 0.001083 0.001756 0.002549 0.003424 0.004441
2026-01-11 0.000112 0.000494 0.001034 0.001740 0.002579 0.003511 0.004600
2026-01-18 0.000073 0.000445 0.001000 0.001737 0.002623 0.003612 0.004772
2026-01-25 0.000027 0.000372 0.000942 0.001721 0.002671 0.003741 0.005002
2026-02-01 0.000002 0.000308 0.000891 0.001714 0.002730 0.003884 0.005250
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000254 0.000849 0.001715 0.002798 0.004037 0.005510
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000207 0.000811 0.001718 0.002867 0.004191 0.005770
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000189 0.000818 0.001781 0.003009 0.004427 0.006124
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000147 0.000777 0.001775 0.003065 0.004563 0.006363
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000100 0.000716 0.001740 0.003081 0.004651 0.006545
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000081 0.000706 0.001772 0.003182 0.004837 0.006837
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000048 0.000653 0.001741 0.003199 0.004923 0.007015
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000029 0.000627 0.001746 0.003262 0.005061 0.007251
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000012 0.000588 0.001730 0.003296 0.005164 0.007444