Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.001058 0.001204 0.001353 0.001513 0.001680 0.001850 0.002034
2025-08-10 0.000776 0.000979 0.001193 0.001431 0.001687 0.001953 0.002247
2025-08-17 0.000588 0.000830 0.001094 0.001398 0.001733 0.002086 0.002484
2025-08-24 0.000405 0.000664 0.000961 0.001314 0.001712 0.002141 0.002631
2025-08-31 0.000295 0.000568 0.000896 0.001298 0.001761 0.002266 0.002849
2025-09-07 0.000222 0.000506 0.000864 0.001314 0.001841 0.002422 0.003100
2025-09-14 0.000142 0.000419 0.000793 0.001278 0.001857 0.002504 0.003265
2025-09-21 0.000101 0.000379 0.000775 0.001302 0.001940 0.002658 0.003508
2025-09-28 0.000078 0.000363 0.000788 0.001362 0.002063 0.002857 0.003800
2025-10-05 0.000045 0.000317 0.000755 0.001362 0.002113 0.002970 0.003994
2025-10-12 0.000025 0.000288 0.000742 0.001385 0.002188 0.003112 0.004218
2025-10-19 0.000008 0.000250 0.000712 0.001383 0.002232 0.003215 0.004397
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000194 0.000661 0.001370 0.002283 0.003351 0.004645
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000120 0.000566 0.001292 0.002253 0.003394 0.004788
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000075 0.000508 0.001260 0.002280 0.003502 0.005007
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000029 0.000422 0.001180 0.002240 0.003530 0.005131
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000010 0.000382 0.001165 0.002282 0.003655 0.005368
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000002 0.000363 0.001180 0.002363 0.003826 0.005658
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000317 0.001146 0.002376 0.003912 0.005847
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000306 0.001169 0.002465 0.004091 0.006144
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000315 0.001226 0.002599 0.004326 0.006508
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.000293 0.001226 0.002655 0.004462 0.006753
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000284 0.001248 0.002740 0.004634 0.007039