Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.001009 0.001153 0.001298 0.001456 0.001622 0.001790 0.001973
2025-06-15 0.000836 0.001046 0.001265 0.001511 0.001774 0.002048 0.002352
2025-06-22 0.000643 0.000894 0.001166 0.001480 0.001825 0.002190 0.002602
2025-06-29 0.000513 0.000795 0.001114 0.001490 0.001914 0.002368 0.002887
2025-07-06 0.000458 0.000776 0.001146 0.001591 0.002098 0.002648 0.003281
2025-07-13 0.000347 0.000674 0.001073 0.001565 0.002137 0.002765 0.003494
2025-07-20 0.000241 0.000564 0.000979 0.001508 0.002133 0.002829 0.003645
2025-07-27 0.000194 0.000526 0.000971 0.001548 0.002239 0.003014 0.003928
2025-08-03 0.000135 0.000461 0.000921 0.001534 0.002279 0.003122 0.004122
2025-08-10 0.000070 0.000365 0.000822 0.001453 0.002234 0.003129 0.004201
2025-08-17 0.000034 0.000305 0.000765 0.001420 0.002244 0.003197 0.004345
2025-08-24 0.000006 0.000231 0.000679 0.001344 0.002198 0.003196 0.004408
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000176 0.000626 0.001325 0.002242 0.003327 0.004653
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000153 0.000624 0.001378 0.002378 0.003568 0.005030
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000105 0.000566 0.001348 0.002409 0.003686 0.005265
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000076 0.000537 0.001358 0.002490 0.003864 0.005570
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000075 0.000567 0.001455 0.002683 0.004177 0.006034
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000045 0.000519 0.001431 0.002717 0.004296 0.006270
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000017 0.000454 0.001375 0.002707 0.004359 0.006438
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000010 0.000449 0.001414 0.002821 0.004573 0.006784
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000002 0.000415 0.001401 0.002864 0.004700 0.007025
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000346 0.001323 0.002814 0.004709 0.007124
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000306 0.001291 0.002827 0.004793 0.007312