Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 0.001360 0.001520 0.001680 0.001851 0.002029 0.002207 0.002400
2025-10-19 0.001099 0.001330 0.001568 0.001828 0.002105 0.002387 0.002697
2025-10-26 0.000891 0.001174 0.001472 0.001807 0.002169 0.002544 0.002961
2025-11-02 0.000719 0.001039 0.001388 0.001787 0.002226 0.002687 0.003204
2025-11-09 0.000581 0.000929 0.001320 0.001778 0.002287 0.002829 0.003442
2025-11-16 0.000471 0.000839 0.001267 0.001777 0.002353 0.002972 0.003677
2025-11-23 0.000378 0.000761 0.001220 0.001779 0.002417 0.003109 0.003902
2025-11-30 0.000330 0.000734 0.001230 0.001842 0.002548 0.003316 0.004202
2025-12-07 0.000257 0.000664 0.001184 0.001836 0.002597 0.003431 0.004397
2025-12-14 0.000182 0.000581 0.001115 0.001799 0.002607 0.003500 0.004539
2025-12-21 0.000145 0.000548 0.001106 0.001832 0.002696 0.003655 0.004775
2025-12-28 0.000101 0.000496 0.001070 0.001829 0.002740 0.003758 0.004952
2026-01-04 0.000055 0.000435 0.001032 0.001841 0.002823 0.003929 0.005232
2026-01-11 0.000016 0.000363 0.000973 0.001825 0.002874 0.004066 0.005477
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000296 0.000915 0.001808 0.002923 0.004199 0.005719
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000237 0.000860 0.001790 0.002970 0.004330 0.005956
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000188 0.000814 0.001782 0.003026 0.004469 0.006203
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000148 0.000777 0.001783 0.003091 0.004618 0.006459
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000114 0.000743 0.001785 0.003156 0.004765 0.006712
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000103 0.000754 0.001849 0.003297 0.005000 0.007065
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000074 0.000718 0.001844 0.003349 0.005130 0.007296
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000042 0.000661 0.001806 0.003360 0.005209 0.007466
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000031 0.000654 0.001840 0.003459 0.005392 0.007755