Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-04-05 0.000786 0.000914 0.001043 0.001183 0.001329 0.001476 0.001635
2026-04-12 0.000564 0.000744 0.000932 0.001142 0.001368 0.001600 0.001856
2026-04-19 0.000380 0.000589 0.000820 0.001085 0.001376 0.001682 0.002025
2026-04-26 0.000237 0.000460 0.000721 0.001031 0.001380 0.001753 0.002175
2026-05-03 0.000146 0.000377 0.000664 0.001017 0.001421 0.001859 0.002359
2026-05-10 0.000089 0.000324 0.000636 0.001031 0.001490 0.001992 0.002570
2026-05-17 0.000048 0.000281 0.000615 0.001049 0.001561 0.002125 0.002778
2026-05-24 0.000013 0.000228 0.000576 0.001041 0.001599 0.002219 0.002941
2026-05-31 NaN 0.000174 0.000527 0.001017 0.001615 0.002286 0.003072
2026-06-07 NaN 0.000147 0.000512 0.001034 0.001677 0.002402 0.003256
2026-06-14 NaN 0.000112 0.000480 0.001025 0.001707 0.002481 0.003396
2026-06-21 NaN 0.000083 0.000452 0.001021 0.001740 0.002562 0.003537
2026-06-28 NaN 0.000047 0.000412 0.001010 0.001781 0.002671 0.003732
2026-07-05 NaN 0.000014 0.000357 0.000977 0.001795 0.002750 0.003894
2026-07-12 NaN NaN 0.000293 0.000926 0.001786 0.002800 0.004024
2026-07-19 NaN NaN 0.000236 0.000878 0.001775 0.002847 0.004150
2026-07-26 NaN NaN 0.000205 0.000865 0.001810 0.002947 0.004334
2026-08-02 NaN NaN 0.000191 0.000879 0.001877 0.003084 0.004561
2026-08-09 NaN NaN 0.000180 0.000897 0.001948 0.003226 0.004792
2026-08-16 NaN NaN 0.000157 0.000889 0.001986 0.003325 0.004973
2026-08-23 NaN NaN 0.000128 0.000867 0.002001 0.003398 0.005121
2026-08-30 NaN NaN 0.000120 0.000883 0.002067 0.003530 0.005338
2026-09-06 NaN NaN 0.000101 0.000875 0.002099 0.003620 0.005505