Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.001567 0.001735 0.001904 0.002086 0.002276 0.002469 0.002678
2025-01-12 0.001257 0.001517 0.001789 0.002092 0.002419 0.002760 0.003138
2025-01-19 0.000955 0.001278 0.001632 0.002041 0.002496 0.002981 0.003533
2025-01-26 0.000734 0.001104 0.001529 0.002039 0.002621 0.003256 0.003991
2025-02-02 0.000556 0.000957 0.001442 0.002044 0.002750 0.003535 0.004459
2025-02-09 0.000447 0.000878 0.001426 0.002127 0.002967 0.003915 0.005044
2025-02-16 0.000355 0.000808 0.001412 0.002208 0.003180 0.004291 0.005627
2025-02-23 0.000222 0.000650 0.001269 0.002119 0.003184 0.004422 0.005930
2025-03-02 0.000131 0.000530 0.001160 0.002061 0.003218 0.004584 0.006265
2025-03-09 0.000073 0.000442 0.001084 0.002039 0.003291 0.004789 0.006649
2025-03-16 0.000036 0.000375 0.001030 0.002040 0.003388 0.005020 0.007062
2025-03-23 0.000018 0.000338 0.001017 0.002094 0.003552 0.005331 0.007568
2025-03-30 0.000004 0.000291 0.000987 0.002130 0.003705 0.005644 0.008098
2025-04-06 NaN 0.000239 0.000941 0.002143 0.003828 0.005924 0.008595
2025-04-13 NaN 0.000175 0.000859 0.002096 0.003870 0.006106 0.008976
2025-04-20 NaN 0.000134 0.000811 0.002096 0.003976 0.006366 0.009454
2025-04-27 NaN 0.000101 0.000769 0.002104 0.004089 0.006637 0.009945
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000089 0.000777 0.002190 0.004311 0.007046 0.010608
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000077 0.000784 0.002273 0.004530 0.007451 0.011266
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000040 0.000691 0.002183 0.004502 0.007540 0.011535
2025-05-25 NaN 0.000018 0.000622 0.002125 0.004514 0.007677 0.011862
2025-06-01 NaN 0.000007 0.000576 0.002103 0.004576 0.007878 0.012266
2025-06-08 NaN 0.000002 0.000544 0.002104 0.004670 0.008117 0.012717