Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.001039 0.001180 0.001322 0.001476 0.001637 0.001800 0.001977
2025-07-13 0.000781 0.000991 0.001212 0.001459 0.001726 0.002004 0.002312
2025-07-20 0.000560 0.000814 0.001095 0.001421 0.001783 0.002167 0.002603
2025-07-27 0.000435 0.000728 0.001066 0.001471 0.001930 0.002427 0.002997
2025-08-03 0.000314 0.000626 0.001007 0.001479 0.002026 0.002627 0.003324
2025-08-10 0.000181 0.000483 0.000884 0.001400 0.002015 0.002702 0.003510
2025-08-17 0.000099 0.000387 0.000805 0.001366 0.002050 0.002824 0.003744
2025-08-24 0.000035 0.000288 0.000709 0.001301 0.002041 0.002892 0.003913
2025-08-31 0.000007 0.000230 0.000660 0.001289 0.002092 0.003025 0.004152
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000197 0.000642 0.001316 0.002186 0.003207 0.004446
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000149 0.000593 0.001295 0.002220 0.003314 0.004653
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000123 0.000576 0.001316 0.002303 0.003480 0.004925
2025-09-28 NaN 0.000108 0.000582 0.001381 0.002458 0.003748 0.005337
2025-10-05 NaN 0.000067 0.000530 0.001361 0.002506 0.003892 0.005609
2025-10-12 NaN 0.000032 0.000468 0.001322 0.002527 0.004004 0.005847
2025-10-19 NaN 0.000021 0.000463 0.001369 0.002662 0.004254 0.006247
2025-10-26 NaN 0.000007 0.000434 0.001376 0.002743 0.004439 0.006570
2025-11-02 NaN NaN 0.000358 0.001299 0.002708 0.004479 0.006721
2025-11-09 NaN NaN 0.000312 0.001265 0.002729 0.004586 0.006950
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.000255 0.001203 0.002705 0.004636 0.007108
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.000227 0.001191 0.002751 0.004770 0.007367
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.000218 0.001216 0.002849 0.004971 0.007704
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000190 0.001196 0.002880 0.005084 0.007935