Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.001163 0.001304 0.001447 0.001601 0.001762 0.001925 0.002102
2025-04-06 0.000942 0.001149 0.001365 0.001606 0.001864 0.002131 0.002428
2025-04-13 0.000770 0.001023 0.001296 0.001608 0.001950 0.002311 0.002718
2025-04-20 0.000628 0.000912 0.001230 0.001602 0.002018 0.002464 0.002973
2025-04-27 0.000512 0.000818 0.001171 0.001594 0.002077 0.002602 0.003206
2025-05-04 0.000450 0.000779 0.001170 0.001649 0.002201 0.002806 0.003509
2025-05-11 0.000402 0.000753 0.001180 0.001710 0.002330 0.003014 0.003814
2025-05-18 0.000291 0.000631 0.001065 0.001619 0.002278 0.003015 0.003884
2025-05-25 0.000218 0.000551 0.000996 0.001577 0.002279 0.003071 0.004013
2025-06-01 0.000166 0.000493 0.000950 0.001560 0.002306 0.003155 0.004171
2025-06-08 0.000134 0.000459 0.000933 0.001576 0.002369 0.003280 0.004373
2025-06-15 0.000115 0.000446 0.000941 0.001623 0.002470 0.003445 0.004621
2025-06-22 0.000088 0.000416 0.000928 0.001644 0.002543 0.003585 0.004846
2025-06-29 0.000062 0.000379 0.000903 0.001650 0.002598 0.003703 0.005045
2025-07-06 0.000040 0.000344 0.000877 0.001653 0.002647 0.003814 0.005237
2025-07-13 0.000022 0.000308 0.000846 0.001647 0.002685 0.003911 0.005412
2025-07-20 0.000009 0.000274 0.000816 0.001640 0.002720 0.004002 0.005580
2025-07-27 0.000006 0.000269 0.000831 0.001695 0.002832 0.004186 0.005854
2025-08-03 0.000003 0.000268 0.000852 0.001758 0.002953 0.004380 0.006140
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000205 0.000764 0.001666 0.002877 0.004336 0.006146
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000167 0.000713 0.001623 0.002861 0.004363 0.006235
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000142 0.000682 0.001606 0.002877 0.004428 0.006367
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000129 0.000673 0.001621 0.002935 0.004543 0.006559